Dillon Paulson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AATB | 59 | .340/.386/.396 | 0 | 0 | 93 | — | .309/.333/.364 |
| 2022 | 25 | A+/ROKTB | 89 | .224/.395/.448 | 4 | 0 | 77 | — | .189/.301/.392 |
| 2023 | 26 | A+DET | 214 | .255/.340/.378 | 3 | 0 | 62 | — | .215/.278/.318 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Ogden Raptors | — | 275 | 224 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 51 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 394 | 522 | 916 | 250 | 302 | 19 | 15 | 393 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 142 | 116 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 45 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 293 | 423 | 500 | 923 | 207 | 448 | 32 | 18 | 409 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 361 | 300 | 67 | 17 | 1 | 12 | 56 | 88 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 347 | 407 | 754 | 183 | 270 | 24 | 16 | 337 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 59 | 53 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 340 | 386 | 396 | 782 | 57 | 429 | 22 | 7 | 343 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 57 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 333 | 465 | 798 | 302 | 91 | 16 | 18 | 336 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 32 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 500 | 417 | 917 | 83 | 400 | 12 | 25 | 424 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 214 | 188 | 48 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 340 | 378 | 717 | 122 | 310 | 20 | 11 | 323 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 275 | 241 | 45 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 73 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 271 | 349 | 620 | 162 | 222 | 27 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 142 | 122 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 61 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 331 | 377 | 708 | 156 | 393 | 43 | 14 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 361 | 319 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 116 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 263 | 310 | 574 | 135 | 230 | 32 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 59 | 55 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 309 | 333 | 364 | 697 | 55 | 394 | 27 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 57 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 149 | 259 | 426 | 685 | 277 | 68 | 21 | 11 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 32 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 375 | 333 | 708 | 74 | 300 | 19 | 16 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 214 | 195 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 278 | 318 | 596 | 103 | 272 | 25 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 275 | 241 | 45 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 73 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 271 | 349 | 620 | 162 | 228 | 27 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK RAW | Ogden Raptors | — | 275 | 224 | 61 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 51 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 394 | 522 | 916 | 250 | 302 | 19 | 15 | 393 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 441 | 82 | 22 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 176 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 186 | 281 | 329 | 609 | 143 | 270 | 35 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 503 | 416 | 101 | 27 | 2 | 16 | 82 | 133 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 243 | 369 | 433 | 801 | 190 | 314 | 26 | 16 | 357 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 59 | 55 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 309 | 333 | 364 | 697 | 55 | 415 | 27 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 59 | 53 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 340 | 386 | 396 | 782 | 57 | 429 | 22 | 7 | 343 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 89 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 291 | 365 | 656 | 189 | 161 | 19 | 12 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 89 | 67 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 395 | 448 | 843 | 224 | 208 | 15 | 20 | 368 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 214 | 195 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 278 | 318 | 596 | 103 | 277 | 25 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 214 | 188 | 48 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 340 | 378 | 717 | 122 | 310 | 20 | 11 | 323 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | Ogden Raptors | — | 275 | 245 | 45 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 73 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 271 | 343 | 614 | 159 | 222 | 27 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 440 | 82 | 22 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 176 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 186 | 281 | 330 | 610 | 143 | 276 | 35 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 59 | 57 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 298 | 333 | 351 | 684 | 53 | 394 | 27 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 89 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 291 | 351 | 641 | 182 | 151 | 19 | 12 | 283 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 214 | 195 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 278 | 318 | 596 | 103 | 272 | 25 | 7 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1140 | 1006 | 199 | 52 | 3 | 27 | 111 | 335 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 198 | 281 | 336 | 617 | 138 | 260 | 29 | 10 | 273 | 71 | -40 | +0 | +0 | -20 | +25 | -3.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 574 | 114 | 30 | 2 | 15 | 63 | 191 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 281 | 336 | 617 | 138 | 262 | 29 | 10 | 273 | 71 | -23 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 214 PAwOBA .318 → .260 (−57)K% 19.6% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.63% | ÷1.007 | ×1.270 | — | — | 24.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.75% | ÷0.993 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 7.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.23% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 19.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.59% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 7.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.012 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 1.81% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .318 → .260; ISO .122 → .101; BABIP .310 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 57 PAwOBA .345 → .273 (−72)K% 15.8% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 20.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.54% | ÷1.038 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 9.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.011 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 4.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.079 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 1.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.020 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 9.93% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .345 → .273; ISO .302 → .287; BABIP .091 → .068. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Rays · 32 PAwOBA .415 → .300 (−116)K% 12.5% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 15.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 22.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 7.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 101, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .415 → .300; ISO .083 → .065; BABIP .400 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 59 PAwOBA .339 → .306 (−34)K% 22.0% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.03% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.08% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 3.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.50% | ÷1.019 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 35.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.50% | ÷1.046 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 90, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .339 → .306; ISO .057 → .048; BABIP .429 → .394. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AGreat Lakes Loons · 361 PAwOBA .332 → .256 (−76)K% 24.4% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.38% | ÷1.035 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.24% | ÷1.031 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.45% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 15.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.02% | ÷0.934 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 6.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.061 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.66% | ÷1.018 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.45% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 87, 3B 112, K 107, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .332 → .256; ISO .183 → .145; BABIP .270 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 142 PAwOBA .399 → .307 (−92)K% 31.7% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.69% | ÷0.991 | ×1.340 | — | — | 42.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.31% | ÷0.948 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 13.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.76% | ÷1.043 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 23.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.08% | ÷0.935 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.012 | 12.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.049 | ×0.760 | — | ×1.012 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.63% | ÷0.969 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 5.41% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 109, 2B 87, 3B 110, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .399 → .307; ISO .207 → .163; BABIP .448 → .393. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKOgden Raptors · 275 PAwOBA .392 → .276 (−116)K% 18.5% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 9.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.979 | ×0.985 | 12.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.979 | ×0.985 | 8.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.979 | ×0.985 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 4.27% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .392 → .276; ISO .250 → .181; BABIP .302 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).