Camden Duzenack
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 26 | AAA/AAARI | 237 | .253/.298/.443 | 9 | 4 | 50 | — | .201/.239/.349 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 386 | .256/.310/.450 | 14 | 11 | 63 | — | .213/.252/.364 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA/AAARI | 318 | .312/.391/.486 | 10 | 4 | 77 | — | .244/.314/.350 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 399 | 351 | 79 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 76 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 225 | 311 | 333 | 645 | 108 | 275 | 19 | 8 | 294 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 28 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 308 | 493 | 154 | 200 | 25 | 4 | 207 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 85 | 68 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 147 | 318 | 250 | 568 | 103 | 163 | 20 | 16 | 279 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 359 | 327 | 72 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 95 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 220 | 280 | 431 | 711 | 211 | 247 | 26 | 6 | 309 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 154 | 143 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 287 | 329 | 524 | 853 | 238 | 351 | 28 | 5 | 368 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 83 | 78 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 192 | 241 | 295 | 536 | 103 | 280 | 33 | 5 | 243 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 349 | 318 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 74 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 261 | 311 | 465 | 776 | 204 | 299 | 21 | 6 | 333 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 37 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 297 | 303 | 600 | 91 | 286 | 30 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 27 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 333 | 304 | 638 | 87 | 238 | 7 | 15 | 299 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 291 | 253 | 81 | 16 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 54 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 320 | 396 | 502 | 898 | 182 | 370 | 19 | 8 | 391 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 399 | 360 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 99 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 186 | 258 | 272 | 530 | 86 | 236 | 25 | 5 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 28 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 148 | 231 | 379 | 115 | 143 | 36 | 4 | 134 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 85 | 72 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 139 | 271 | 236 | 507 | 97 | 150 | 24 | 12 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 359 | 334 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 130 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 162 | 209 | 314 | 523 | 153 | 203 | 36 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 154 | 145 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 263 | 407 | 670 | 179 | 293 | 34 | 3 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 83 | 79 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 152 | 193 | 241 | 433 | 89 | 242 | 42 | 4 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 349 | 324 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 88 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 213 | 252 | 364 | 616 | 151 | 249 | 25 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 27 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 296 | 292 | 588 | 83 | 203 | 11 | 11 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 291 | 259 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 66 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 247 | 316 | 355 | 671 | 108 | 293 | 23 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 386 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 109 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 179 | 249 | 267 | 516 | 88 | 236 | 26 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 427 | 377 | 83 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 83 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 220 | 303 | 332 | 635 | 111 | 270 | 19 | 7 | 288 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 444 | 406 | 63 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 24 | 150 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 155 | 219 | 291 | 509 | 135 | 195 | 34 | 5 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 444 | 395 | 82 | 10 | 3 | 20 | 35 | 112 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 208 | 287 | 400 | 687 | 192 | 231 | 25 | 8 | 303 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 224 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 87 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 192 | 230 | 321 | 551 | 129 | 278 | 37 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 237 | 221 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 253 | 298 | 443 | 741 | 190 | 326 | 30 | 5 | 324 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 386 | 359 | 76 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 98 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 212 | 251 | 362 | 613 | 150 | 260 | 25 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 386 | 351 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 14 | 23 | 85 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 256 | 310 | 450 | 760 | 194 | 298 | 22 | 6 | 328 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 284 | 67 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 68 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 236 | 304 | 338 | 643 | 102 | 290 | 21 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 318 | 276 | 86 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 56 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 312 | 391 | 486 | 877 | 174 | 357 | 18 | 8 | 383 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 388 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 109 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 178 | 249 | 265 | 514 | 88 | 230 | 26 | 5 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 444 | 408 | 63 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 24 | 150 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 154 | 219 | 289 | 508 | 135 | 193 | 34 | 5 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 224 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 87 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 192 | 230 | 321 | 551 | 129 | 275 | 37 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 386 | 364 | 76 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 98 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 209 | 251 | 357 | 608 | 148 | 249 | 25 | 4 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 287 | 67 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 68 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 233 | 304 | 334 | 639 | 101 | 285 | 21 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1812 | 1659 | 318 | 63 | 9 | 40 | 88 | 512 | 39 | 40 | 20 | 192 | 249 | 313 | 562 | 121 | 248 | 28 | 5 | 245 | 52 | -104 | +0 | +0 | +19 | +39 | -4.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 114 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 184 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 192 | 250 | 311 | 561 | 119 | 248 | 28 | 5 | 245 | 52 | -37 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 291 PAwOBA .384 → .287 (−97)K% 18.6% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.56% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.90% | ÷0.922 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 5.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.09% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 2.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.64% | ÷1.054 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×0.968 | 22.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.04% | ÷1.008 | ×0.840 | ×0.973 | ×0.968 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.940 | ×0.973 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.03% | ÷1.637 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 227, 1B 111, 2B 102, 3B 125, K 101, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .384 → .287; ISO .182 → .107; BABIP .370 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAReno Aces · 27 PAwOBA .292 → .231 (−61)K% 7.4% → 9.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.951 | ×1.200 | — | — | 9.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.096 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 9.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.026 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 12.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.059 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .292 → .231; ISO .087 → .071; BABIP .238 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAReno Aces · 349 PAwOBA .327 → .260 (−67)K% 21.2% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.20% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.73% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.26% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.951 | ×1.003 | 16.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.20% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×1.003 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.100 | ×0.970 | ×0.951 | ×1.003 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.33% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.88% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 120, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .327 → .260; ISO .204 → .155; BABIP .299 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAReno Aces · 154 PAwOBA .362 → .279 (−83)K% 27.9% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.92% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷0.963 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 21.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.096 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 6.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.113 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×1.018 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 5.95% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 109, 2B 119, 3B 123, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .362 → .279; ISO .238 → .170; BABIP .351 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 83 PAwOBA .237 → .172 (−65)K% 32.5% → 42.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.53% | ÷0.946 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.82% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 3.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.025 | ×0.940 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 15.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.80% | ÷1.034 | ×0.870 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 8.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.945 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.271 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.19% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 89, K 89, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .237 → .172; ISO .103 → .066; BABIP .280 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Visalia Rawhide · 359 PAwOBA .303 → .226 (−77)K% 26.5% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.46% | ÷0.979 | ×1.340 | — | — | 36.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.57% | ÷0.986 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 3.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.10% | ÷0.974 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 15.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.88% | ÷1.148 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 2.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷0.909 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.76% | ÷1.095 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 6.44% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 95, 2B 130, 3B 82, K 96, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .303 → .226; ISO .211 → .154; BABIP .247 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAJackson Generals · 85 PAwOBA .273 → .223 (−50)K% 20.0% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.028 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.47% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 11.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.53% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 3.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.73% | ÷0.996 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 12.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.099 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 1.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.92% | ÷0.966 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.29% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .273 → .223; ISO .103 → .089; BABIP .163 → .150. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Visalia Rawhide · 399 PAwOBA .288 → .232 (−56)K% 19.0% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.029 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.52% | ÷1.008 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.51% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 2.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.91% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 17.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷1.051 | ×0.820 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 5.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.972 | ×0.998 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.45% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.31% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 106, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .288 → .232; ISO .108 → .086; BABIP .275 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .