Davis Wendzel
3B Indianapolis Indians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AAACIN | 323 | .266/.361/.410 | 8 | 5 | 72 | — | .221/.292/.317 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLBTEX | 49 | .128/.163/.234 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -0.2 | |
| 2025 | 28 | AAACIN | 356 | .251/.348/.433 | 13 | 1 | 68 | — | .194/.272/.329 |
| 2026 | 29 | AAAPIT | 261 | .230/.353/.461 | 10 | 2 | 71 | — | .180/.275/.342 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBPIT | 16 | .217/.296/.361 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ33% MLB | 31 | MLBPIT | 61 | .214/.292/.353 | 1 | 0 | 84 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 33 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 333 | 464 | 798 | 250 | 263 | 24 | 6 | 355 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 187 | 159 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 239 | 349 | 390 | 739 | 151 | 288 | 23 | 11 | 336 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 43 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 357 | 389 | 746 | 139 | 308 | 23 | 12 | 331 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 355 | 314 | 65 | 9 | 0 | 17 | 37 | 94 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 207 | 291 | 398 | 689 | 191 | 232 | 26 | 10 | 304 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 21 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 190 | 211 | 401 | 105 | 167 | 33 | 10 | 189 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 547 | 453 | 107 | 19 | 0 | 30 | 77 | 129 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 236 | 363 | 477 | 840 | 241 | 259 | 24 | 14 | 370 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 49 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 163 | 234 | 397 | 106 | 147 | 24 | 2 | 180 | 7 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 323 | 278 | 74 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 53 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 266 | 361 | 410 | 771 | 144 | 299 | 16 | 10 | 345 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 356 | 307 | 77 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 251 | 348 | 433 | 782 | 182 | 274 | 18 | 10 | 348 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 261 | 217 | 50 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 51 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 353 | 461 | 814 | 230 | 252 | 20 | 13 | 358 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 49 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 163 | 234 | 397 | 106 | 147 | 24 | 2 | 180 | 8 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 33 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 303 | 448 | 751 | 241 | 249 | 27 | 3 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 187 | 167 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 210 | 290 | 317 | 608 | 108 | 265 | 27 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 43 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 262 | 316 | 578 | 132 | 234 | 35 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 355 | 324 | 57 | 8 | 0 | 13 | 27 | 111 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 239 | 321 | 560 | 145 | 209 | 31 | 8 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 21 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 95 | 100 | 195 | 50 | 109 | 48 | 5 | 101 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 547 | 475 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 20 | 55 | 160 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 181 | 284 | 337 | 620 | 156 | 219 | 29 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 49 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 163 | 234 | 397 | 106 | 147 | 24 | 2 | 178 | 7 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 323 | 290 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 64 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 221 | 292 | 317 | 609 | 97 | 258 | 20 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 356 | 319 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 78 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 272 | 329 | 601 | 135 | 222 | 22 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 261 | 228 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 180 | 275 | 342 | 617 | 162 | 204 | 23 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 263 | 233 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 74 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 287 | 326 | 614 | 124 | 265 | 28 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 263 | 223 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 238 | 349 | 399 | 748 | 161 | 288 | 23 | 11 | 337 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 344 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 121 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 169 | 231 | 308 | 539 | 140 | 210 | 32 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 376 | 333 | 67 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 39 | 101 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 201 | 285 | 387 | 672 | 186 | 228 | 27 | 10 | 298 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 547 | 475 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 20 | 55 | 160 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 181 | 284 | 337 | 620 | 156 | 221 | 29 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 547 | 453 | 107 | 19 | 0 | 30 | 77 | 129 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 236 | 363 | 477 | 840 | 241 | 259 | 24 | 14 | 370 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 337 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 76 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 277 | 312 | 589 | 101 | 251 | 20 | 6 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 372 | 325 | 80 | 18 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 65 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 246 | 334 | 385 | 719 | 138 | 278 | 17 | 9 | 323 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 356 | 319 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 78 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 272 | 329 | 601 | 135 | 222 | 22 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 356 | 307 | 77 | 17 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 251 | 348 | 433 | 782 | 182 | 274 | 18 | 10 | 348 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 261 | 228 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 180 | 275 | 342 | 617 | 162 | 209 | 23 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | — | 261 | 217 | 50 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 51 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 353 | 461 | 814 | 230 | 252 | 20 | 13 | 358 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 263 | 233 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 74 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 202 | 287 | 326 | 614 | 124 | 258 | 28 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 376 | 345 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 121 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 168 | 231 | 307 | 538 | 139 | 203 | 32 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 547 | 474 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 20 | 55 | 160 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 181 | 284 | 338 | 621 | 156 | 219 | 29 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 338 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 76 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 210 | 277 | 311 | 588 | 101 | 243 | 20 | 6 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 356 | 319 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 78 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 272 | 329 | 601 | 135 | 222 | 22 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 261 | 229 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 179 | 275 | 341 | 616 | 162 | 204 | 23 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 338 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 76 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 210 | 277 | 311 | 588 | 101 | 243 | 20 | 6 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 356 | 319 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 78 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 272 | 329 | 601 | 135 | 222 | 22 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 261 | 229 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 61 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 179 | 275 | 341 | 616 | 162 | 204 | 23 | 9 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 10% | 311 | 277 | 61 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 69 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 218 | 296 | 365 | 662 | 147 | 259 | 22 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 296 | 361 | 657 | 143 | 260 | 25 | 6 | 295 | 87 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | PIT | 33% | 188 | 168 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 293 | 357 | 650 | 142 | 257 | 23 | 7 | 292 | 84 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | PIT | 33% | 61 | 55 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 292 | 353 | 645 | 138 | 259 | 23 | 8 | 290 | 84 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 110 | 102 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 227 | 275 | 502 | 108 | 203 | 24 | 5 | 241 | 68 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 603 | 101 | 30 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 154 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 228 | 277 | 505 | 109 | 204 | 24 | 5 | 241 | 68 | -39 | +0 | +1 | +9 | +14 | -1.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2518 | 2242 | 430 | 91 | 2 | 71 | 197 | 648 | 56 | 15 | 8 | 192 | 274 | 329 | 603 | 137 | 233 | 26 | 8 | 269 | 68 | -11 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +8 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 111 | 23 | 1 | 18 | 51 | 167 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 192 | 273 | 328 | 601 | 136 | 233 | 26 | 8 | 269 | 68 | -19 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 261 PAwOBA .353 → .273 (−80)K% 19.5% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 10.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 8.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 4.14% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .353 → .273; ISO .230 → .172; BABIP .252 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALouisville Bats · 356 PAwOBA .342 → .269 (−72)K% 17.7% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.70% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.39% | ÷1.002 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.53% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.26% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 16.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.97% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 5.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.33% | ÷0.901 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.10% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .342 → .269; ISO .182 → .142; BABIP .274 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALouisville Bats · 323 PAwOBA .339 → .275 (−64)K% 16.4% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.41% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.91% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 19.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.11% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.56% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.25% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .339 → .275; ISO .144 → .104; BABIP .299 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAARound Rock Express · 547 PAwOBA .363 → .278 (−85)K% 23.6% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.58% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.08% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.90% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 16.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.86% | ÷1.044 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 4.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.26% | ÷1.035 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 6.38% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 84, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .363 → .278; ISO .241 → .167; BABIP .259 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAARound Rock Express · 355 PAwOBA .299 → .242 (−58)K% 26.5% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.48% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.73% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×0.953 | ×1.033 | 16.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.09% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×0.953 | ×1.033 | 3.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.953 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.73% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.84% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .299 → .242; ISO .191 → .146; BABIP .232 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Rangers · 21 PAwOBA .184 → .101 (−83)K% 33.3% → 48.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.990 | ×1.440 | — | — | 48.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.996 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.039 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 10.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 109, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .184 → .101; ISO .105 → .055; BABIP .167 → .109. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 187 PAwOBA .329 → .272 (−57)K% 23.0% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.99% | ÷1.044 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.23% | ÷1.098 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 7.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.21% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.41% | ÷1.006 | ×0.940 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 21.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.17% | ÷0.957 | ×0.870 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.17% | ÷1.114 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.67% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 109, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .329 → .272; ISO .151 → .117; BABIP .288 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Rangers · 43 PAwOBA .331 → .225 (−106)K% 23.3% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.26% | ÷0.988 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.63% | ÷1.071 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷0.994 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 21.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.064 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 2.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.015 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 2.82% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 113, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .331 → .225; ISO .139 → .093; BABIP .308 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).