Davis Wendzel — OGILVIE

Davis Wendzel3B Indianapolis Indians

Age 29 R/R 5'11" / 210 lbs AAA Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION261 act + 174 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .285 / .370

PA174

HR6

K%24

BB%8

BABIP231

ISO169

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT50

Whiff%

3312.9%

xwOBA

160.269

POWER55

Barrel%

538.6

Avg EV

1085.4

Bat Spd

5571.9

EYE50

Chase%

1040.4%

SPEED45

Sprint

4327.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$0.6M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.6M
2028	Arb-3	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.1M
2029	Arb-4	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$2M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	AA	3 teams	—	263	235	48	10	1	6	16	74	10	1	2	204	284	332	615	128	268	28	6	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	3 teams	—	263	223	53	10	1	8	28	61	10	1	2	238	349	399	748	161	288	23	11	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	376	344	56	9	0	14	28	128	0	2	1	163	226	311	537	148	204	34	7	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	376	333	67	11	0	17	39	101	0	2	1	201	285	387	672	186	228	27	10	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	547	474	79	12	0	20	56	179	13	3	3	167	273	319	591	152	212	33	10	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	547	453	107	19	0	30	77	129	13	3	3	236	363	477	840	241	259	24	14	370	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	372	337	72	16	0	7	22	76	9	5	1	214	280	323	603	110	252	20	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	372	325	80	18	0	9	34	65	9	5	1	246	334	385	719	138	278	17	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	356	319	66	14	0	14	25	80	9	1	0	207	283	382	666	176	228	22	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	356	307	77	17	0	13	37	63	9	1	0	251	348	433	782	182	274	18	10	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	PIT	—	261	228	44	15	1	9	23	61	7	2	1	193	287	386	673	193	217	23	9	288	79	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.2
YTD	29	AAA	PIT	—	261	217	50	18	1	10	34	51	7	2	1	230	353	461	814	230	252	20	13	358	132	+9	+0	+0	+1	+7	1.8
ROS	29	AAA	PIT	10%	174	154	31	8	0	6	14	41	4	1	0	201	285	370	655	169	239	24	8	296	85	-3	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.3
ROS	29	MLB	PIT	10%	17	16	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	250	294	500	794	250	238	24	6	277	70	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	29	AAA	PIT	—	278	244	48	16	1	10	24	65	7	2	1	197	287	393	681	197	221	23	9	287	78	-7	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.2
TOT	29	AAA	PIT	—	435	382	75	23	1	15	37	102	11	3	1	196	286	380	666	183	223	23	9	291	81	-9	+0	+0	+2	+12	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	PIT	33%	380	338	69	17	1	12	31	91	8	3	1	204	286	367	653	163	241	24	8	293	82	-8	+0	-1	+1	+11	0.4
2028	31	MLB	PIT	46%	365	324	66	16	1	11	30	88	8	2	1	204	287	361	648	157	242	24	8	291	81	-8	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.2
2029	32	MLB	PIT	54%	346	307	62	15	1	10	29	84	7	2	1	202	286	355	641	153	241	24	8	287	78	-9	+0	-3	+1	+10	-0.0
2027	30	MLB	PIT	33%	124	110	23	6	0	4	10	30	3	1	0	209	293	373	665	164	239	24	8	276	69	-4	+0	-0	+0	+4	-0.1
2028	31	MLB	PIT	46%	167	147	29	7	0	5	14	40	4	1	0	197	285	347	632	150	241	24	8	274	68	-6	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
2029	32	MLB	PIT	54%	185	164	32	8	0	5	15	45	4	1	0	195	279	335	614	140	240	24	8	271	65	-7	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	542	484	94	24	0	16	41	131	12	3	0	194	274	343	617	149	229	24	8	265	61	-24	+1	-2	+3	+15	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	113	29	0	19	49	157	14	4	0	195	273	343	616	148	230	24	8	265	61	-29	+1	-2	+4	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	3179	2832	549	117	4	100	251	841	68	20	10	194	275	344	619	150	235	26	8	275	68	-114	+0	-5	+11	+90	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	112	24	1	20	51	172	14	4	2	193	275	342	617	149	235	26	8	275	68	-23	+0	-1	+2	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	33	28	6	4	0	1	2	8	3	0	0	214	333	464	798	250	263	24	6	355	130	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	187	159	38	6	0	6	21	43	6	1	2	239	349	390	739	151	288	23	11	336	115	+3	-1	—	—	+5	0.8
2021	24	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	43	36	9	0	1	1	5	10	1	0	0	250	357	389	746	139	308	23	12	331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	355	314	65	9	0	17	37	94	0	2	1	207	291	398	689	191	232	26	10	304	91	-4	+0	—	—	+10	0.7
2022	25	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	21	19	2	2	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	105	190	211	401	105	167	33	10	189	3	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	547	453	107	19	0	30	77	129	13	3	3	236	363	477	840	241	259	24	14	370	142	+26	-1	—	—	+15	4.1
2024	27	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	49	47	6	2	0	1	1	12	1	0	0	128	163	234	397	106	147	24	2	180	-4	-6	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.2
2024	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	323	278	74	16	0	8	33	53	8	5	1	266	361	410	771	144	299	16	10	345	122	+8	+1	—	—	+9	1.8
2025	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	356	307	77	17	0	13	37	63	9	1	0	251	348	433	782	182	274	18	10	348	124	+10	+0	—	—	+10	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	49	47	6	2	0	1	1	12	1	0	0	128	163	234	397	106	147	24	2	180	-4	-6	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	502	15	3	205	285	361	+2	+1	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	20	4	205	285	361	+2.4	+1.4	0.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Davis Wendzel (OGILVIE)	29	50	55	45	50	196/286/380	183	223	15	3	23%	9%	81	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Michael McKenry 2014 · MLB	29	45→47	51→55	45→40	48	232/299/392	160	279	19	4	24%	8%	94	+1.3	231/315/383	152	289	17	7	24%	10%	98	+1.6	214/312/358	144	276	15	5	26%	11%	87	+0.3
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	49→50	48→45	49	233/301/374	141	274	17	6	22%	8%	90	+1.0	239/299/374	135	304	15	6	25%	8%	89	+1.0	230/288/355	125	295	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Anthony Recker 2013 · MLB	29	43→48	51→55	44→45	47	223/298/385	162	285	20	7	28%	9%	92	+1.2	210/278/372	162	283	21	6	32%	8%	80	+0.4	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕David Bote 2022 · MLB	29	42→48	49→55	47→45	51	215/300/363	148	259	17	5	24%	10%	88	+0.9	225/293/375	150	288	16	8	27%	7%	87	+0.8	225/292/380	155	289	17	8	27%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Steve Holm 2009 · MLB	29	48	47→50	43→40	51	238/314/376	138	280	14	5	20%	8%	96	+1.5	216/280/324	108	269	9	4	22%	7%	68	-0.5	195/257/288	93	248	7	1	23%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→43	53→55	49→40	45	223/288/393	170	274	22	6	27%	7%	90	+1.0	215/275/384	169	275	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	205/266/377	172	258	22	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Maikel Franco 2022 · MLB	29	44→54	50→55	46→40	48	225/277/376	151	242	18	3	16%	6%	80	+0.4	228/268/358	130	261	15	5	19%	5%	72	-0.2	227/255/340	112	262	14	2	19%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Jayson Nix 2011 · MLB	28	43→49	54→55	46→55	46	230/296/403	173	266	22	10	23%	7%	96	+1.5	216/281/350	134	275	14	13	26%	7%	76	+0.0	207/276/316	109	275	10	18	27%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Josh Phegley 2017 · MLB	29	48→47	51→60	46→40	45	244/296/415	171	280	18	3	20%	6%	98	+1.6	228/286/377	149	268	15	3	21%	6%	85	+0.7	221/276/376	155	255	16	0	20%	5%	80	+0.1
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	41	218/283/355	137	263	16	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	206/269/342	136	270	17	5	30%	5%	69	-0.4	174/240/294	120	233	17	0	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Matt Downs 2013 · MLB	29	43→50	50	40→50	45	223/285/377	154	255	19	7	21%	6%	85	+0.7	204/261/323	119	247	13	6	23%	6%	60	-1.0	166/221/247	81	206	7	0	23%	6%	22	-1.8
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Scott Moore 2013 · MLB	29	49→51	49→55	42→50	46	243/308/393	150	299	16	5	24%	7%	98	+1.6	207/273/342	135	273	14	3	29%	6%	70	-0.3	180/249/302	122	242	13	1	30%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Brandon Larson 2005 · MLB	29	42	47→50	46→45	52	212/300/344	133	268	15	9	26%	10%	82	+0.5	229/286/389	160	293	20	6	28%	6%	88	+0.9	222/268/381	159	280	22	4	29%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Welington Castillo 2016 · MLB	29	46→56	53→55	47→30	45	240/304/411	171	285	22	2	24%	7%	102	+1.8	254/308/423	169	316	22	3	26%	7%	105	+2.1	257/308/416	159	323	22	2	27%	6%	101	+1.0
✕Tim Beckham 2019 · MLB	29	48→55	50→55	41→50	43	242/296/394	151	309	18	5	27%	7%	93	+1.3	240/293/424	184	306	23	5	28%	7%	100	+1.7	257/306/445	189	333	25	3	30%	6%	108	+0.9
●Marshall McDougall 2008 · MLB	29	45→55	51→55	46→45	42	235/272/394	159	270	19	5	21%	5%	83	+0.6	238/275/388	150	263	18	8	17%	5%	82	+0.5	272/318/445	174	288	23	7	15%	6%	113	+1.5
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2022 · MLB	28	38→48	51→50	47→40	46	200/299/357	158	263	19	4	30%	9%	87	+0.8	200/279/341	141	296	16	7	36%	8%	73	-0.1	123/213/244	121	196	16	0	44%	9%	23	-0.8
✕Deibinson Romero 2016 · AAA	29	46→45	49→55	41→40	47	231/295/380	149	272	16	4	22%	7%	89	+1.0	230/293/360	130	262	15	5	18%	7%	83	+0.6	225/291/331	105	252	13	1	16%	7%	74	-0.0