Chad Spanberger

Pos1B

B/TL/R

Born1995-11-01

Age (2027)31

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AALAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2018	22	A+/A2 orgs	510	.298/.358/.538	27	17	80	—	.226/.273/.392
2019	23	AATOR	480	.237/.310/.399	13	4	59	—	.196/.254/.332
2021	25	AAMIL	332	.204/.291/.384	12	2	38	—	.160/.221/.291

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	21	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	269	235	69	15	2	19	27	71	3	2	0	294	374	617	991	323	336	26	10	420	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	92	78	18	2	0	3	14	17	0	0	0	231	348	372	720	141	259	18	15	330	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	418	385	120	20	4	24	21	88	8	17	4	312	360	571	931	260	347	21	5	401	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	480	431	102	29	1	13	43	117	3	4	3	237	310	399	709	162	293	24	9	316	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	332	294	60	15	1	12	31	111	5	2	0	204	291	384	675	180	277	33	9	302	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Grand Junction Rockies	—	269	247	46	9	1	13	15	102	3	2	0	186	242	389	630	202	241	38	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	92	82	15	2	0	2	10	25	0	0	0	183	272	280	552	98	225	27	11	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	418	394	93	14	3	17	12	121	8	17	4	236	273	416	689	180	285	29	3	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	480	443	87	22	1	12	31	142	3	4	3	196	254	332	585	135	253	30	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	332	306	49	11	1	9	19	138	5	2	0	160	221	291	512	131	240	42	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	Grand Junction Rockies	—	269	247	46	9	1	13	15	102	3	2	0	186	242	389	630	202	243	38	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Grand Junction Rockies	—	269	235	69	15	2	19	27	71	3	2	0	294	374	617	991	323	336	26	10	420	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	510	477	107	16	3	19	21	146	8	17	4	224	269	390	659	166	278	29	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	510	463	138	22	4	27	35	105	8	17	4	298	358	538	896	240	331	21	7	388	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	480	443	87	22	1	12	31	142	3	4	3	196	254	332	585	135	257	30	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	480	431	102	29	1	13	43	117	3	4	3	237	310	399	709	162	293	24	9	316	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	332	306	49	11	1	9	19	138	5	2	0	160	221	291	512	131	248	42	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	332	294	60	15	1	12	31	111	5	2	0	204	291	384	675	180	277	33	9	302	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	Grand Junction Rockies	—	269	249	46	9	1	13	15	102	3	2	0	185	242	386	627	201	241	38	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	510	476	107	16	3	19	21	146	8	17	4	225	269	391	660	166	274	29	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	480	443	87	22	1	12	31	142	3	4	3	196	254	332	585	135	253	30	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	332	305	49	11	1	9	19	138	5	2	0	161	221	292	513	131	240	42	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	1591	1473	289	58	6	53	86	528	19	25	7	196	250	352	601	155	261	33	5	262	63	-70	+2	+0	-28	+34	-6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	118	24	2	22	35	216	8	10	3	196	250	352	602	156	260	33	5	262	63	-28	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AABiloxi Shuckers · 332 PAwOBA .293 → .225 (−68)K% 33.4% → 41.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.43%	÷0.980	×1.220	—	—	41.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.73%	÷1.033	×0.690	—	×0.988	5.77%
HBP% /PA	1.51%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	1.26%
Singles /BIP	17.49%	÷0.993	×0.940	×0.993	×0.988	16.23%
Doubles /BIP	8.20%	÷1.124	×0.870	×0.993	×0.988	6.23%
Triples /BIP	0.55%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.993	×0.988	0.49%
Home runs /BIP	6.56%	÷0.929	×0.780	—	×0.988	5.44%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 100, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .293 → .225; ISO .180 → .136; BABIP .277 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 480 PAwOBA .308 → .255 (−54)K% 24.4% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.38%	÷1.006	×1.220	—	—	29.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.75%	÷0.956	×0.700	—	×1.012	6.48%
HBP% /PA	0.62%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	0.54%
Singles /BIP	18.79%	÷1.023	×0.970	×0.950	×1.012	17.13%
Doubles /BIP	9.24%	÷1.064	×0.860	×0.950	×1.012	7.18%
Triples /BIP	0.32%	÷0.900	×0.950	×0.950	×1.012	0.32%
Home runs /BIP	4.14%	÷0.860	×0.780	—	×1.012	3.80%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 105, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 101, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .308 → .255; ISO .162 → .136; BABIP .293 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ALansing Lugnuts · 418 PAwOBA .391 → .295 (−95)K% 21.1% → 29.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.05%	÷0.989	×1.360	—	—	28.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.07%	÷0.995	×0.690	—	×0.990	2.79%
HBP% /PA	1.91%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	1.48%
Singles /BIP	24.24%	÷1.018	×0.920	×0.967	×0.990	20.97%
Doubles /BIP	6.73%	÷1.033	×0.830	×0.967	×0.990	5.18%
Triples /BIP	1.35%	÷1.150	×0.910	×0.967	×0.990	1.02%
Home runs /BIP	8.08%	÷1.034	×0.800	—	×0.990	6.19%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .391 → .295; ISO .260 → .187; BABIP .347 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 92 PAwOBA .318 → .249 (−69)K% 18.5% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.48%	÷0.979	×1.420	—	—	26.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.13%	÷1.011	×0.750	—	×0.998	10.47%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.31%	÷1.015	×0.920	×0.963	×0.998	18.56%
Doubles /BIP	3.28%	÷0.977	×0.960	×0.963	×0.998	3.09%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.005	×0.810	×0.963	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.92%	÷1.147	×0.880	—	×0.998	3.77%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 101, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .318 → .249; ISO .141 → .106; BABIP .259 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ROKGrand Junction Rockies · 269 PAwOBA .413 → .271 (−142)K% 26.4% → 38.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.39%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	38.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.67%	÷1.000	×0.610	—	×0.975	5.75%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.78%
Singles /BIP	20.12%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.970	×0.975	15.61%
Doubles /BIP	9.15%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.970	×0.975	6.23%
Triples /BIP	1.22%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.970	×0.975	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	11.59%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.975	8.47%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .413 → .271; ISO .323 → .211; BABIP .336 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).