Enrique Bradfield Jr.
OF Norfolk Tides| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA/A+2 orgs | 469 | .272/.361/.371 | 4 | 74 | 66 | — | .233/.295/.316 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/AA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 393 | .235/.345/.340 | 3 | 53 | 75 | — | .222/.299/.309 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/A+/ABAL | 417 | .262/.355/.363 | 5 | 44 | 76 | — | .242/.310/.328 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 25 | MLBBAL | 21 | .210/.283/.292 | 0 | 2 | 62 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 26 | MLBBAL | 88 | .213/.286/.306 | 1 | 7 | 67 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 27 | MLBBAL | 124 | .214/.287/.309 | 2 | 9 | 68 | -0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 21 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 118 | 286 | 118 | 403 | 154 | 19 | 19 | 219 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 77 | 53 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 302 | 507 | 340 | 846 | 38 | 348 | 12 | 25 | 399 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 120 | 101 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 287 | 395 | 396 | 791 | 109 | 326 | 12 | 12 | 359 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 349 | 303 | 81 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 58 | 3 | 59 | 9 | 267 | 349 | 363 | 712 | 96 | 317 | 17 | 10 | 318 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 62 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 179 | 233 | 286 | 519 | 107 | 237 | 31 | 6 | 228 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | — | 208 | 171 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 37 | 3 | 26 | 3 | 269 | 393 | 386 | 779 | 117 | 333 | 18 | 15 | 355 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 31 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 179 | 258 | 250 | 508 | 71 | 278 | 32 | 10 | 238 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 92 | 77 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 22 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 221 | 341 | 312 | 652 | 91 | 309 | 24 | 14 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 370 | 320 | 84 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 79 | 4 | 36 | 5 | 263 | 346 | 362 | 709 | 100 | 335 | 21 | 10 | 316 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 27 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 364 | 462 | 545 | 1.007 | 182 | 438 | 22 | 15 | 429 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 20 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 77 | 368 | 77 | 445 | 200 | 40 | 30 | 255 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 21 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 105 | 190 | 105 | 296 | 131 | 24 | 10 | 154 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 77 | 60 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 283 | 427 | 317 | 743 | 33 | 324 | 16 | 16 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 120 | 106 | 30 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 283 | 361 | 387 | 748 | 104 | 319 | 15 | 8 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 349 | 316 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 76 | 3 | 59 | 9 | 215 | 273 | 291 | 564 | 76 | 264 | 22 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 62 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 175 | 217 | 281 | 497 | 105 | 238 | 39 | 5 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Chesapeake Baysox | — | 208 | 181 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 43 | 3 | 26 | 3 | 254 | 345 | 343 | 687 | 88 | 323 | 21 | 11 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 31 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 103 | 161 | 138 | 299 | 34 | 229 | 42 | 6 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 370 | 331 | 82 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 95 | 4 | 36 | 5 | 248 | 310 | 332 | 643 | 85 | 323 | 26 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 27 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 292 | 346 | 458 | 804 | 167 | 365 | 30 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 20 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 263 | 67 | 330 | 178 | 55 | 20 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 98 | 78 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 244 | 385 | 269 | 655 | 26 | 302 | 17 | 15 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 98 | 70 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 257 | 458 | 286 | 744 | 29 | 305 | 13 | 23 | 360 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 422 | 97 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 94 | 6 | 74 | 13 | 230 | 293 | 306 | 599 | 76 | 286 | 20 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 469 | 404 | 110 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 72 | 6 | 74 | 13 | 272 | 361 | 371 | 732 | 99 | 319 | 15 | 11 | 328 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 393 | 349 | 78 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 104 | 4 | 53 | 5 | 223 | 302 | 315 | 617 | 92 | 307 | 26 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 393 | 332 | 78 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 88 | 4 | 53 | 5 | 235 | 345 | 340 | 686 | 105 | 309 | 22 | 13 | 313 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 417 | 369 | 89 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 113 | 4 | 44 | 6 | 241 | 310 | 325 | 636 | 84 | 333 | 27 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 417 | 355 | 93 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 47 | 93 | 4 | 44 | 6 | 262 | 355 | 363 | 718 | 101 | 338 | 22 | 11 | 320 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 98 | 80 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | 3 | 24 | 2 | 237 | 385 | 263 | 648 | 25 | 283 | 17 | 15 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 428 | 97 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 94 | 6 | 74 | 13 | 227 | 293 | 301 | 595 | 75 | 278 | 20 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 393 | 351 | 78 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 104 | 4 | 53 | 5 | 222 | 302 | 313 | 615 | 91 | 296 | 26 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 417 | 377 | 89 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 113 | 4 | 44 | 6 | 236 | 310 | 318 | 629 | 82 | 319 | 27 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 469 | 428 | 97 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 94 | 6 | 74 | 13 | 227 | 293 | 301 | 595 | 75 | 278 | 20 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 393 | 351 | 78 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 104 | 4 | 53 | 5 | 222 | 302 | 313 | 615 | 91 | 296 | 26 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 417 | 377 | 89 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 113 | 4 | 44 | 6 | 236 | 310 | 318 | 629 | 82 | 319 | 27 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | BAL | 10% | 380 | 342 | 71 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 99 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 207 | 280 | 287 | 567 | 80 | 278 | 26 | 8 | 260 | 62 | -17 | +4 | +3 | -2 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | BAL | 10% | 21 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 210 | 283 | 292 | 575 | 82 | 282 | 24 | 10 | 263 | 62 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | BAL | 35% | 253 | 228 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 66 | 2 | 19 | 3 | 210 | 284 | 300 | 584 | 90 | 279 | 26 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -10 | +3 | +2 | -2 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | BAL | 44% | 281 | 253 | 53 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 73 | 3 | 21 | 3 | 211 | 284 | 303 | 587 | 92 | 279 | 26 | 8 | 268 | 68 | -11 | +3 | +2 | -2 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | BAL | 35% | 88 | 80 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 213 | 286 | 306 | 592 | 93 | 283 | 26 | 8 | 270 | 67 | -4 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | BAL | 44% | 124 | 112 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 214 | 287 | 309 | 596 | 95 | 283 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 68 | -5 | +1 | +1 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 212 | 192 | 41 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 55 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 214 | 284 | 318 | 602 | 104 | 281 | 26 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -8 | +2 | +1 | -1 | +5 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 125 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 169 | 6 | 49 | 6 | 212 | 283 | 314 | 597 | 102 | 280 | 26 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -25 | +7 | +4 | -4 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2121 | 1888 | 423 | 68 | 17 | 18 | 176 | 522 | 24 | 251 | 34 | 224 | 298 | 307 | 605 | 83 | 297 | 25 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -30 | +8 | +5 | -4 | +16 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 130 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 160 | 7 | 77 | 10 | 225 | 298 | 309 | 608 | 85 | 297 | 25 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -27 | +7 | +4 | -4 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAANorfolk Tides · 370 PAwOBA .310 → .280 (−30)K% 21.4% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.35% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×1.033 | 26.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×1.033 | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×1.033 | 1.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.20% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .310 → .280; ISO .100 → .087; BABIP .335 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Frederick Keys · 27 PAwOBA .434 → .352 (−83)K% 22.2% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 8.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 31.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 4.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 5.38% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .434 → .352; ISO .182 → .160; BABIP .438 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 20 PAwOBA .251 → .179 (−72)K% 40.0% → 54.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 54.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 20.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 17.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .251 → .179; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAChesapeake Baysox · 208 PAwOBA .345 → .309 (−35)K% 17.8% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.79% | ÷1.044 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.90% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 10.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.13% | ÷0.957 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×1.012 | 23.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.96% | ÷0.970 | ×0.860 | ×0.982 | ×1.012 | 7.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | ×1.012 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.248 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .345 → .309; ISO .117 → .101; BABIP .333 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 62 PAwOBA .229 → .203 (−26)K% 30.6% → 38.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.65% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.45% | ÷1.063 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷0.959 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 19.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 2.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 3.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷0.945 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.10% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 92, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .229 → .203; ISO .107 → .094; BABIP .237 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 31 PAwOBA .232 → .163 (−69)K% 32.3% → 41.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.26% | ÷1.013 | ×1.310 | — | — | 41.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷0.944 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 6.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.990 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 14.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.010 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 8.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.229 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 118, K 103, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .232 → .163; ISO .071 → .049; BABIP .278 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 349 PAwOBA .313 → .249 (−65)K% 16.6% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.62% | ÷0.993 | ×1.310 | — | — | 21.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.03% | ÷0.947 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.90% | ÷1.048 | ×0.870 | ×1.017 | ×0.998 | 20.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | ×1.017 | ×0.998 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.017 | ×0.998 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.026 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.05% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .313 → .249; ISO .096 → .079; BABIP .317 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABowie Baysox · 120 PAwOBA .350 → .315 (−35)K% 11.7% → 14.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.67% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 2.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.29% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×1.028 | ×1.027 | 25.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.60% | ÷1.062 | ×0.860 | ×1.028 | ×1.027 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.30% | ÷1.135 | ×0.950 | ×1.028 | ×1.027 | 2.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.249 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.74% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 127, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .350 → .315; ISO .109 → .090; BABIP .326 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .