Luis Valdez — OGILVIE

Luis ValdezSS Chesapeake Baysox

Age 26 S/R 5'11" / 165 lbs AA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†29

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .221 / .241

PA11

HR0

K%30

BB%4

ISO61

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 28

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER28

scouting grade only

EYE33

scouting grade only

SPEED78

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	ROK	DSL Orioles 2	—	100	84	28	4	1	1	11	21	3	21	3	333	429	440	869	107	422	21	11	386	148	+6	+3	—	—	+2	1.1
2022	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	67	60	14	0	1	1	5	21	0	12	1	233	292	317	609	83	333	31	7	269	68	-3	+2	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	424	377	102	13	4	2	39	95	6	59	14	271	348	342	691	72	355	22	9	316	100	+0	+6	—	—	+9	1.6
2023	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	276	249	49	12	2	2	20	77	2	43	5	197	262	285	547	88	270	28	7	247	53	-15	+7	—	—	+6	-0.3
2023	23	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	25	24	8	1	0	0	1	8	0	4	1	333	360	375	735	42	500	32	4	333	111	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	19	16	4	0	0	0	3	4	0	4	2	250	368	250	618		333	21	16	301	90	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	24	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	73	67	11	1	1	0	5	24	0	13	2	164	222	209	431	45	250	33	7	199	21	-7	+2	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	24	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	32	26	8	1	1	0	6	6	0	8	1	308	438	423	861	115	400	19	19	391	151	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	24	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	34	30	8	1	0	0	4	6	0	7	1	267	353	300	653	33	333	18	12	306	93	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	40	35	9	0	0	0	4	11	0	8	2	257	333	257	590		375	28	10	273	71	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	25	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	138	127	23	2	3	0	4	48	1	14	2	181	212	244	456	63	287	35	3	197	20	-13	+2	—	—	+3	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 2	—	100	88	23	3	1	1	7	30	3	21	3	261	337	352	689	91	353	30	7	292	84	-2	+3	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	67	62	12	0	1	1	3	28	0	12	1	194	231	274	505	81	311	42	4	214	31	-6	+2	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	424	391	97	11	3	2	25	127	6	59	14	248	303	307	610	59	355	30	6	269	68	-16	+6	—	—	+9	-0.1
2023	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	276	255	42	10	2	2	14	105	2	43	5	165	214	243	457	78	249	38	5	196	19	-27	+7	—	—	+6	-1.4
2023	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	25	24	6	1	0	0	1	11	0	4	1	250	280	292	572	42	450	44	4	234	45	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	24	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	19	17	4	0	0	0	2	5	0	4	2	235	316	235	551		311	26	11	245	52	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	73	68	9	1	1	0	4	32	0	13	2	132	181	176	357	44	227	44	5	150	-12	-10	+2	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	24	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	32	28	8	1	1	0	4	8	0	8	1	286	375	393	768	107	362	25	12	307	94	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	34	31	7	1	0	0	3	8	0	7	1	226	294	258	552	32	273	24	9	224	38	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	25	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	138	128	23	2	3	0	3	56	1	14	2	180	205	242	447	62	296	41	2	190	15	-14	+2	—	—	+3	-0.9
2021	21	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 2	—	100	88	23	3	1	1	7	30	3	21	3	261	337	352	689	91	373	30	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 2	—	100	84	28	4	1	1	11	21	3	21	3	333	429	440	869	107	422	21	11	386	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	491	453	108	11	4	2	28	156	6	71	15	238	292	294	585	55	356	32	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	491	437	116	13	5	3	44	116	6	71	15	265	341	339	680	73	352	24	9	310	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	301	280	47	10	2	2	14	116	2	47	6	168	213	239	452	71	271	39	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	301	273	57	13	2	2	21	85	2	47	6	209	270	293	563	84	289	28	7	254	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	5 teams	—	198	181	33	3	2	0	15	68	0	40	8	182	245	221	466	39	289	34	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	5 teams	—	198	174	40	3	2	0	22	51	0	40	8	230	316	270	586	40	323	26	11	273	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	138	128	23	2	3	0	3	56	1	14	2	180	205	242	447	62	315	41	2	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Chesapeake Baysox	—	138	127	23	2	3	0	4	48	1	14	2	181	212	244	456	63	287	35	3	197	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 2	—	100	90	23	3	1	1	7	30	3	21	3	256	337	344	681	89	353	30	7	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	491	454	108	11	4	2	28	156	6	71	15	238	292	293	585	55	349	32	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	301	282	47	10	2	2	14	116	2	47	6	167	213	238	450	71	266	39	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	5 teams	—	198	181	33	3	2	0	15	68	0	40	8	182	245	221	466	39	274	34	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	138	133	23	2	3	0	3	56	1	14	2	173	205	233	438	60	296	41	2	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	301	282	47	10	2	2	14	116	2	47	6	167	213	238	450	71	266	39	5	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	5 teams	—	198	181	33	3	2	0	15	68	0	40	8	182	245	221	466	39	274	34	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	138	133	23	2	3	0	3	56	1	14	2	173	205	233	438	60	296	41	2	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	BAL	2%	11	11	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	91	91	91	182		259	27	0	212	29	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BAL	27%	209	195	37	7	2	1	10	61	2	9	2	190	237	262	498	72	262	29	5	223	37	-16	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.8
2027	27	MLB CTX	BAL	27%	56	53	9	2	0	0	3	16	0	2	0	170	214	208	422	38	266	29	5	220	37	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	53	9	2	0	0	3	16	0	2	0	170	214	208	422	38	243	29	5	220	42	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	615	104	23	0	0	35	186	0	23	0	169	214	207	420	37	242	29	5	220	42	-49	+5	+0	+7	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1448	1336	272	36	14	6	77	490	14	202	36	204	254	265	519	61	312	34	5	231	42	-17	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	122	16	6	3	35	220	6	91	16	203	254	265	519	62	312	34	5	231	42	-49	+3	+0	+7	+14	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Valdez (OGILVIE)	26	20	28	78	33	180/221/241	61	259	0	6	30%	4%	29	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Terrance Gore 2017 · AAA	26	48→42	33→30	67→70	42	225/276/263	38	300	2	54	24%	6%	55	-2.0	208/264/262	54	289	3	42	27%	6%	51	-2.3	193/256/240	47	276	1	52	28%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Tyler Tolbert 2023 · A	25	39→49	39→45	70→65	42	185/254/277	92	281	5	40	34%	8%	51	-2.2	217/272/314	97	302	7	40	29%	6%	65	-1.2	227/289/306	79	310	6	60	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	43	181/262/245	64	295	4	26	37%	9%	47	-2.5	197/266/275	78	286	6	19	30%	8%	55	-2.0	187/253/253	65	254	4	20	26%	8%	42	-1.2
✕Ovandy Suero 2008 · A	26	46→48	34→30	61→65	37	215/253/263	49	306	2	45	30%	4%	46	-2.6	225/267/296	71	297	4	39	24%	5%	59	-1.7	237/273/311	74	298	3	52	20%	4%	61	-0.9
✕Marland Williams 2006 · AA	25	42→40	41→45	62→60	39	205/250/307	102	286	8	32	31%	6%	55	-1.9	186/245/300	114	318	11	30	42%	7%	53	-2.1	160/225/274	114	291	12	34	47%	7%	37	-1.8
✕Champ Stuart 2018 · AA	25	39→38	38→30	59→60	36	181/244/257	76	317	6	31	42%	7%	42	-2.9	193/263/293	100	317	10	25	39%	8%	58	-1.7	105/204/196	90	163	13	37	43%	11%	13	-1.1
✕Tanner English 2018 · AAA	25	36→44	41→45	60→55	38	173/250/275	102	300	8	27	42%	8%	50	-2.3	176/231/273	97	295	7	19	40%	5%	41	-3.0	159/204/252	93	257	6	19	39%	4%	23	-1.8
✕Delvin Zinn 2022 · AA	25	40→44	37→30	56→55	40	195/244/261	67	264	5	32	28%	6%	43	-2.8	190/255/265	75	270	5	26	29%	7%	49	-2.4	118/211/155	36	182	0	39	31%	8%	8	-1.2
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	61→55	35	185/232/279	94	288	5	18	36%	5%	42	-2.9	203/247/293	90	294	6	17	31%	5%	51	-2.3	211/234/280	69	277	5	26	26%	2%	39	-0.8
✕Justin Lavey 2023 · A	25	38	40	58→55	34	180/232/267	87	317	7	18	44%	6%	40	-3.1	199/248/288	89	325	7	16	38%	6%	51	-2.3	189/218/251	62	299	6	20	38%	3%	26	-0.7
✕Pedro Powell 2009 · AA	25	47→53	33→30	61→65	47	217/278/260	43	284	1	41	23%	7%	55	-1.9	222/273/281	59	295	2	30	24%	6%	58	-1.7	233/269/272	39	312	0	41	24%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	40→39	39→40	55	39	197/248/283	86	274	7	17	30%	6%	49	-2.4	226/280/355	129	277	16	11	24%	6%	78	-0.3	232/279/364	132	253	21	6	18%	6%	80	-0.0
✕Cody Wilson 2023 · AAA	27	38	37→30	58→55	35	176/235/246	71	305	5	27	41%	6%	37	-3.3	175/239/243	68	321	5	25	44%	6%	38	-3.2	147/215/196	49	280	3	29	45%	6%	17	-2.0
✕Keenyn Walker 2016 · AA	25	40→49	35→30	56→60	38	184/243/237	53	301	3	31	38%	7%	37	-3.3	209/269/290	81	324	5	23	34%	7%	59	-1.6	208/273/292	83	329	4	25	35%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Patrick Norris 2010 · A	24	46→47	33→30	58→60	42	212/264/255	43	298	1	28	28%	6%	49	-2.4	212/255/277	65	304	2	21	29%	5%	50	-2.3	209/247/273	64	302	1	23	30%	4%	42	-2.4
✕Alfredo Reyes 2019 · AA	25	46	37→30	57→55	39	211/266/275	65	337	5	28	37%	7%	55	-2.0	205/273/284	79	339	6	19	38%	8%	59	-1.6	148/225/208	59	264	3	17	41%	8%	22	-1.4
✕Jacob Hannemann 2016 · AA	25	43	40→45	58→60	39	208/253/303	95	289	6	19	30%	5%	55	-1.9	205/256/312	107	272	9	25	27%	5%	59	-1.6	190/242/287	97	250	9	29	27%	5%	46	-1.5
✕Reggie Pruitt 2021 · A	24	43→45	36→30	59→60	38	196/256/269	73	327	3	28	38%	7%	49	-2.4	185/248/268	83	348	6	18	45%	6%	47	-2.6	121/191/176	56	255	4	25	50%	6%	3	-2.0
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	41→40	38→40	56→55	37	195/251/283	88	286	4	18	32%	5%	51	-2.2	202/259/288	86	306	6	23	34%	6%	55	-1.9	194/253/273	79	299	5	30	34%	5%	46	-1.4
✕Cristian Paulino 2017 · A	25	43	40	56→60	35	210/243/305	96	286	7	28	29%	3%	53	-2.1	222/266/318	96	303	9	27	28%	5%	64	-1.3	229/275/313	84	306	9	37	27%	5%	62	-0.7