Luis Valdez — OGILVIE

Luis ValdezSS Chesapeake Baysox

Age 26 S/R 5'11" / 165 lbs AA HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .238 / .274

PA136

HR2

SB6

K%35

BB%6

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20→20

PWR

28→28

SPD

78→78

EYE

32→32

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.4peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-9M		$-28M	-$19M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	DSL Orioles 2	100	88	23	3	1	1	7	30	3	21	3	.261	.337	.352	.689	.091	.373	30	7	.292	82	-2	+3	+0	+1	+3	0.5
2022	22	A	2 teams	491	453	106	11	3	2	28	156	6	71	15	.234	.287	.285	.572	.051	.349	32	6	.258	56	-25	+8	+0	+5	+14	0.3
2023	23	A+	2 teams	301	281	47	10	2	2	13	113	2	47	6	.167	.209	.238	.448	.071	.265	38	4	.194	6	-32	+7	+0	+3	+9	-1.3
2024	24	A+	5 teams	198	181	33	3	2	0	15	66	0	40	8	.182	.245	.221	.466	.039	.284	33	8	.206	16	-19	+5	+0	+2	+6	-0.6
2025	25	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	138	128	24	2	4	0	3	59	1	14	2	.188	.212	.266	.478	.078	.343	43	2	.192	5	-15	+2	+0	+1	+4	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	BAL	136	126	23	4	1	2	8	48	1	6	1	.183	.237	.278	.515	.095	.280	35	6	.234	37	-10	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 11%	BAL	209	192	37	7	1	3	13	71	2	9	2	.193	.251	.286	.538	.094	.282	34	6	.243	44	-13	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
2028	28	MLB 22%	BAL	276	254	49	9	2	4	18	92	2	11	2	.193	.252	.291	.543	.098	.282	33	7	.248	48	-16	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.5
2029	29	MLB 34%	BAL	310	284	55	10	2	5	21	103	2	11	2	.194	.254	.296	.550	.102	.282	33	7	.250	49	-18	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.6
2030	30	MLB 48%	BAL	333	305	59	11	2	5	22	111	3	11	2	.193	.255	.292	.546	.098	.281	33	7	.248	48	-19	+1	-2	+4	+9	-0.7
2031	31	MLB 56%	BAL	330	302	58	11	2	5	22	111	3	10	1	.192	.254	.291	.545	.099	.279	34	7	.245	45	-20	+2	-3	+4	+9	-0.9
2032	32	MLB 67%	BAL	319	293	55	10	2	4	21	109	2	9	1	.188	.247	.276	.523	.089	.278	34	7	.240	42	-21	+1	-4	+3	+9	-1.1
2033	33	MLB 84%	BAL	294	271	50	9	2	4	19	102	2	8	0	.185	.243	.277	.520	.092	.276	35	6	.235	38	-21	+2	-4	+3	+8	-1.2
2034	34	MLB	BAL	254	233	42	8	1	3	17	91	2	7	0	.180	.242	.262	.504	.082	.274	36	7	.229	33	-19	+1	-5	+3	+7	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3689	3391	661	108	27	40	227	1262	31	275	45	.195	.252	.278	.530	.083	.294	34	6	.238	40	-250	+37	-20	+40	+105	-9.0
/ 162G	—			650	597	117	19	5	7	40	222	5	48	8	.196	.252	.280	.532	.084	.296	34	6	.238	40	-44	+6	-3	+7	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	DSL Orioles 2	100	84	28	4	1	1	11	21	3	21	3	.333	.429	.440	.869	.107	.422	21	11	.386	154	+6	+3	—	—	+3	1.2
2022	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	67	60	14	0	1	1	5	21	0	12	1	.233	.292	.317	.609	.083	.333	31	7	.269	64	-3	+2	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	424	377	102	13	4	2	39	95	6	59	14	.271	.348	.342	.691	.072	.355	22	9	.316	100	+0	+6	—	—	+12	1.9
2023	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	276	249	49	12	2	2	20	77	2	43	5	.197	.262	.285	.547	.088	.270	28	7	.247	47	-17	+7	—	—	+8	-0.2
2023	23	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	25	24	8	1	0	0	1	8	0	4	1	.333	.360	.375	.735	.042	.500	32	4	.333	113	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	19	16	4	0	0	0	3	4	0	4	2	.250	.368	.250	.618	.000	.333	21	16	.301	88	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	24	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	73	67	11	1	1	0	5	24	0	13	2	.164	.222	.209	.431	.045	.250	33	7	.199	11	-7	+2	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	24	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	32	26	8	1	1	0	6	6	0	8	1	.308	.438	.423	.861	.115	.400	19	19	.391	157	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	24	ROK	FCL Orioles	34	30	8	1	0	0	4	6	0	7	1	.267	.353	.300	.653	.033	.333	18	12	.306	92	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	24	INTL	Toros del Este	40	35	9	0	0	0	4	11	0	8	2	.257	.333	.257	.590	.000	.375	28	10	.273	67	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	25	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	138	127	23	2	3	0	4	48	1	14	2	.181	.212	.244	.456	.063	.287	35	3	.197	9	-14	+2	—	—	+4	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Valdez (OGILVIE)	26	20	28	78	32	.184/.238/.274	.089	.280	2	6	35%	6%	37	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Tolbert 2023 · A	25	40→48	39→45	70→65	42	.190/.259/.286	.096	.283	5	39	33%	8%	49	-1.8	.212/.268/.313	.101	.299	7	40	30%	6%	59	-1.1	.217/.271/.316	.099	.300	8	48	29%	5%	58	-0.9
✕Nick Heath 2020 · AAA	26	45→38	39→40	63→65	40	.206/.267/.291	.085	.334	7	43	38%	8%	53	-1.5	.198/.267/.301	.103	.336	9	36	40%	8%	56	-1.3	.172/.253/.274	.102	.308	8	36	43%	8%	41	-1.0
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	59→60	39	.200/.260/.310	.111	.293	9	26	34%	6%	56	-1.3	.207/.268/.324	.117	.323	12	22	37%	6%	63	-0.8	.189/.251/.296	.108	.301	12	29	39%	5%	47	-1.1
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA	26	47	36→30	62→65	41	.218/.274/.284	.065	.323	4	39	32%	7%	54	-1.4	.207/.265/.277	.070	.308	4	31	32%	7%	49	-1.8	.172/.238/.213	.041	.267	1	38	33%	7%	19	-1.5
✕Terrance Gore 2017 · AAA	26	47→40	33→30	67→70	41	.219/.270/.258	.039	.300	1	53	26%	6%	46	-2.0	.207/.263/.259	.052	.288	2	43	27%	6%	43	-2.2	.191/.254/.237	.046	.275	1	52	28%	6%	31	-1.0
✕Marland Williams 2007 · AAA	26	38	43→45	61→60	38	.190/.247/.302	.112	.295	10	36	38%	7%	48	-1.9	.185/.243/.303	.118	.343	13	25	46%	7%	47	-1.9	.152/.210/.269	.117	.302	15	23	52%	6%	20	-2.3
✕Mel Stocker 2008 · AA	27	47	38→40	66→65	45	.223/.276/.316	.094	.276	3	32	20%	6%	63	-0.9	.235/.289/.316	.081	.287	3	39	18%	6%	69	-0.4	.240/.295/.313	.073	.289	2	46	16%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	40→44	37→30	58→55	42	.182/.263/.250	.067	.302	4	26	38%	9%	42	-2.3	.195/.265/.272	.077	.291	6	20	32%	8%	48	-1.9	.190/.256/.259	.069	.262	5	20	28%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Kevin Mattison 2012 · AAA	26	42→47	42→45	60	40	.205/.262/.316	.111	.273	9	30	28%	6%	58	-1.2	.191/.248/.300	.109	.292	9	24	36%	6%	48	-1.9	.166/.224/.274	.107	.271	10	25	40%	6%	29	-2.0
✕David Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	42→41	43→50	68→70	44	.209/.271/.325	.116	.278	11	46	28%	7%	64	-0.8	.212/.282/.349	.137	.273	15	51	27%	8%	75	-0.0	.208/.280/.353	.146	.256	18	61	26%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Ovandy Suero 2008 · A	26	45→48	35→30	61→65	37	.212/.250/.264	.051	.301	3	43	30%	4%	37	-2.6	.221/.262/.289	.068	.296	3	40	25%	5%	50	-1.8	.228/.266/.303	.075	.291	3	52	22%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Tanner English 2018 · AAA	25	38→45	41→45	60→55	39	.179/.255/.280	.101	.298	8	27	40%	8%	46	-2.0	.173/.230/.274	.101	.298	8	20	42%	6%	33	-2.9	.156/.201/.253	.097	.259	7	19	41%	4%	12	-1.8
✕Lucius Fox 2022 · AAA	25	42→49	40	58→60	46	.203/.279/.300	.097	.284	7	30	29%	9%	62	-0.9	.204/.261/.302	.098	.295	9	19	32%	7%	53	-1.5	.182/.233/.258	.076	.265	8	17	33%	6%	27	-1.1
✕Jacob Hannemann 2017 · AA	26	43	43→45	58→60	40	.210/.259/.324	.113	.279	9	23	28%	5%	59	-1.1	.200/.252/.308	.108	.267	9	26	28%	5%	52	-1.6	.188/.240/.285	.097	.249	9	29	27%	5%	38	-1.5
✕Ryan Strausborger 2015 · AAA	27	44→45	41→45	61→55	40	.216/.257/.320	.104	.275	8	23	24%	4%	56	-1.3	.215/.261/.318	.103	.278	10	26	25%	5%	58	-1.2	.204/.256/.297	.093	.271	9	28	27%	5%	48	-0.9
✕Champ Stuart 2018 · AA	25	38→39	38→30	59→60	35	.176/.240/.250	.074	.321	6	30	44%	7%	32	-3.0	.190/.261/.289	.099	.325	10	27	41%	8%	51	-1.7	.105/.207/.202	.096	.168	15	37	45%	11%	5	-1.1
✕Michael Reed 2021 · AA	26	39→42	44→45	56→55	35	.195/.242/.312	.117	.297	13	26	38%	5%	49	-1.8	.197/.256/.292	.095	.331	9	18	40%	7%	50	-1.8	.178/.243/.266	.089	.301	9	22	41%	7%	34	-0.7
✕Steward Berroa 2023 · AA	24	40→49	44→45	68→65	45	.197/.272/.318	.121	.284	11	45	33%	9%	63	-0.8	.217/.291/.328	.111	.321	10	46	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.222/.301/.321	.099	.325	9	52	31%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Eric Reed 2008 · MLB	27	49→51	37→40	62→60	38	.233/.268/.315	.082	.310	3	33	26%	4%	59	-1.1	.222/.265/.304	.082	.288	5	23	23%	5%	55	-1.4	.202/.247/.221	.019	.259	0	19	21%	5%	22	-0.9
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	60→55	35	.184/.231/.279	.094	.282	5	18	35%	5%	34	-2.8	.201/.243/.292	.091	.293	6	17	32%	5%	43	-2.2	.215/.238/.292	.078	.283	5	26	26%	2%	37	-0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)