Victor Mesa
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 316 | .249/.324/.345 | 4 | 11 | 51 | — | .208/.266/.282 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA/AAMIA | 342 | .219/.285/.279 | 3 | 35 | 39 | — | .208/.261/.264 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAAMIA | 37 | .206/.270/.294 | 1 | 2 | 29 | — | .171/.216/.257 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 113 | 107 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 178 | 200 | 196 | 396 | 19 | 209 | 14 | 3 | 177 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 390 | 357 | 90 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 48 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 252 | 299 | 283 | 582 | 31 | 287 | 12 | 5 | 263 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 74 | 70 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 271 | 301 | 329 | 630 | 57 | 322 | 16 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 91 | 75 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 93 | 236 | 107 | 343 | 13 | 121 | 21 | 13 | 182 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ | Beloit Snappers | — | 225 | 206 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 306 | 359 | 432 | 791 | 126 | 355 | 16 | 7 | 351 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 103 | 95 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 200 | 248 | 242 | 490 | 42 | 217 | 13 | 5 | 223 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 239 | 206 | 47 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 228 | 301 | 296 | 597 | 68 | 265 | 17 | 7 | 265 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 37 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 270 | 294 | 564 | 88 | 214 | 14 | 5 | 261 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 113 | 108 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 157 | 173 | 176 | 349 | 19 | 188 | 17 | 2 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 390 | 362 | 74 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 68 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 204 | 244 | 229 | 473 | 25 | 240 | 17 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 91 | 79 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 89 | 191 | 101 | 292 | 13 | 116 | 26 | 9 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 225 | 211 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 256 | 296 | 355 | 651 | 100 | 311 | 22 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 103 | 96 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 188 | 228 | 229 | 457 | 42 | 202 | 16 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 239 | 212 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 51 | 6 | 26 | 2 | 217 | 275 | 278 | 553 | 61 | 249 | 21 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 37 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 171 | 216 | 257 | 473 | 86 | 194 | 16 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 577 | 541 | 105 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 100 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 194 | 227 | 216 | 443 | 22 | 235 | 17 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 577 | 534 | 128 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 76 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 240 | 280 | 272 | 552 | 32 | 276 | 13 | 4 | 248 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 316 | 290 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 73 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 210 | 266 | 286 | 552 | 76 | 267 | 23 | 6 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 316 | 281 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 56 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 249 | 324 | 345 | 669 | 96 | 295 | 18 | 9 | 302 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 309 | 63 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 67 | 7 | 35 | 4 | 204 | 255 | 249 | 504 | 45 | 246 | 20 | 4 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 342 | 301 | 66 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 53 | 7 | 35 | 4 | 219 | 285 | 279 | 564 | 60 | 249 | 15 | 6 | 253 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 37 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 171 | 216 | 257 | 473 | 86 | 179 | 16 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 37 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 270 | 294 | 564 | 88 | 214 | 14 | 5 | 261 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 577 | 549 | 105 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 100 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 191 | 227 | 213 | 440 | 22 | 228 | 17 | 3 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 316 | 291 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 73 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 210 | 266 | 285 | 551 | 76 | 255 | 23 | 6 | 243 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 342 | 318 | 63 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 67 | 7 | 35 | 4 | 198 | 255 | 242 | 497 | 44 | 235 | 20 | 4 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 37 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 171 | 216 | 257 | 473 | 86 | 194 | 16 | 3 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1272 | 1175 | 235 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 246 | 16 | 69 | 11 | 200 | 244 | 243 | 487 | 43 | 244 | 19 | 4 | 217 | 33 | -102 | +9 | +0 | -8 | +28 | -7.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 120 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 126 | 8 | 35 | 6 | 200 | 244 | 243 | 487 | 43 | 244 | 19 | 4 | 217 | 33 | -52 | +5 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 37 PAwOBA .254 → .211 (−42)K% 13.5% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.51% | ÷1.040 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 18.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.031 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.35% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 108, K 108, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .254 → .211; ISO .088 → .060; BABIP .214 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 239 PAwOBA .265 → .238 (−27)K% 16.7% → 21.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.74% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.021 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.51% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 2.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.89% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 21.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.61% | ÷1.056 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 3.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.91% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 93, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .265 → .238; ISO .068 → .057; BABIP .265 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 103 PAwOBA .222 → .196 (−26)K% 12.6% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.62% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.85% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.73% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×1.018 | 19.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.22% | ÷0.898 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.018 | 1.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.036 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 86, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .222 → .196; ISO .042 → .032; BABIP .217 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Beloit Snappers · 225 PAwOBA .343 → .280 (−63)K% 16.4% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.44% | ÷1.025 | ×1.350 | — | — | 21.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.11% | ÷1.054 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.22% | ÷1.049 | ×0.910 | ×1.039 | ×0.978 | 24.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.10% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×0.978 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.59% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | ×1.039 | ×0.978 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.37% | ÷1.082 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 1.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 110, 2B 91, 3B 95, K 105, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .343 → .280; ISO .126 → .101; BABIP .355 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 91 PAwOBA .183 → .150 (−32)K% 20.9% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.88% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.19% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 9.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.71% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | ×1.049 | ×0.998 | 10.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | ×1.049 | ×0.998 | 1.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 102, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .183 → .150; ISO .013 → .012; BABIP .121 → .116. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 390 PAwOBA .258 → .211 (−47)K% 12.3% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.31% | ÷1.007 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.62% | ÷0.998 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.54% | ÷1.045 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 22.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.62% | ÷0.931 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.120 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.803 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 61, 1B 109, 2B 86, 3B 124, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .258 → .211; ISO .031 → .025; BABIP .287 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 113 PAwOBA .173 → .152 (−20)K% 14.2% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.16% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.65% | ÷1.015 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 1.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.68% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×0.956 | ×1.027 | 16.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.20% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | ×0.956 | ×1.027 | 2.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.956 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .173 → .152; ISO .019 → .017; BABIP .209 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .