Walker Jenkins — OGILVIE

Walker JenkinsOF St. Paul Saints

Age 21 L/R 6'3" / 210 lbs AAA BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 2.8 · 2031

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .321 / .374

PA320

HR8

SB10

K%25

BB%10

MLB%20%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

52↗60

PWR

44↗52

SPD

51↗52

FLD

44↗52

EYE

56↗64

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.8peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$12M	+$12M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$18M	+$17M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.5	$22M	+$21M
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+2.7	$24M	+$19M
2031	Arb-3	$9M	+2.8	$26M	+$17M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.8	$27M	+$13M
Totals		$31M		$129M	+$98M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	115	108	32	4	3	3	6	20	1	6	3	.296	.339	.472	.811	.176	.341	17	5	.348	125	+3	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.6
2024	19	A+	4 teams	368	321	71	17	3	5	40	64	3	17	3	.221	.313	.340	.653	.118	.258	17	11	.293	83	-7	+2	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2025	20	AA	3 teams	368	321	78	14	2	8	34	102	10	17	3	.243	.334	.374	.708	.131	.327	28	9	.312	97	-1	+2	+0	-2	+10	0.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	AAA	St. Paul Saints	80	69	14	2	0	1	9	16	2	3	1	.203	.312	.275	.588	.072	.250	20	11	.258	56	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	21	MLB	MIN	240	209	48	9	1	5	24	58	5	7	2	.230	.324	.354	.678	.124	.290	24	10	.311	96	-1	+1	-0	-1	+7	0.5
TOT	21	MLB	MIN	320	278	62	11	1	6	33	74	7	10	3	.223	.321	.335	.655	.112	.281	23	10	.298	86	-5	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 47%	MIN	464	404	96	18	2	12	48	102	9	13	3	.238	.332	.381	.713	.144	.288	22	10	.324	106	+3	+1	-0	-3	+13	1.5
2028	23	MLB 70%	MIN	512	443	108	20	2	15	54	109	10	13	3	.244	.339	.400	.739	.156	.290	21	11	.333	113	+8	+1	-0	-3	+15	2.1
2029	24	MLB 93%	MIN	542	469	117	21	3	17	58	114	10	14	3	.249	.345	.416	.760	.166	.291	21	11	.338	117	+11	+2	-0	-3	+15	2.5
2030	25	MLB	MIN	557	481	121	22	3	18	61	116	10	13	3	.252	.348	.422	.770	.170	.292	21	11	.342	120	+12	+1	-0	-3	+16	2.7
2031	26	MLB	MIN	564	487	122	22	3	18	62	118	10	13	2	.251	.347	.419	.766	.168	.293	21	11	.344	121	+14	+2	-0	-3	+16	2.8
2032	27	MLB	MIN	564	486	122	22	3	18	63	118	10	12	2	.251	.349	.420	.769	.169	.293	21	11	.344	121	+14	+2	-0	-3	+16	2.8
2033	28	MLB	MIN	559	481	121	22	3	18	63	118	10	11	2	.252	.350	.422	.772	.170	.293	21	11	.343	121	+13	+1	-1	-3	+16	2.7
2034	29	MLB	MIN	549	472	116	21	2	17	62	118	10	10	1	.246	.346	.407	.752	.161	.293	21	11	.341	119	+12	+2	-2	-3	+16	2.5
2035	30	MLB	MIN	538	462	114	21	2	17	61	117	10	10	1	.247	.347	.411	.758	.165	.292	22	11	.338	117	+10	+2	-2	-3	+15	2.2
2036	31	MLB	MIN	524	451	110	20	2	16	59	116	9	8	0	.244	.343	.404	.747	.160	.291	22	11	.335	114	+8	+2	-3	-3	+15	1.9
2037	32	MLB	MIN	505	434	105	19	2	15	57	115	9	7	0	.242	.342	.399	.741	.157	.290	23	11	.330	111	+6	+1	-4	-3	+14	1.6
2038	33	MLB	MIN	475	411	97	17	2	13	53	111	8	6	0	.236	.335	.382	.717	.146	.289	23	11	.325	107	+4	+1	-4	-3	+13	1.1
2039	34	MLB	MIN	429	371	86	15	2	11	48	104	7	5	0	.232	.331	.372	.703	.140	.288	24	11	.319	102	+1	+1	-5	-3	+12	0.7
2040	35	MLB	MIN	374	324	73	13	1	9	41	94	6	5	0	.225	.323	.355	.678	.130	.287	25	11	.312	97	-1	+1	-6	-2	+11	0.2
2041	36	MLB	MIN	315	273	59	10	1	7	34	83	5	4	0	.216	.314	.337	.651	.121	.285	26	11	.303	90	-4	+1	-6	-2	+9	-0.2
2042	37	MLB	MIN	251	218	47	8	1	5	27	68	4	4	0	.216	.313	.330	.644	.115	.282	27	11	.294	83	-5	+1	-7	-2	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8813	7626	1843	335	43	247	955	1965	156	195	31	.242	.338	.394	.732	.152	.292	22	11	.329	110	+100	+27	-41	-53	+250	28.9
/ 162G	—			650	562	136	25	3	18	70	145	12	14	2	.242	.339	.393	.732	.151	.293	22	11	.329	110	+7	+2	-3	-4	+18	2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	56	51	20	2	3	1	4	6	1	2	1	.392	.446	.608	1.054	.216	.432	11	7	.459	209	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	59	54	18	3	1	2	5	8	0	4	2	.333	.390	.537	.927	.204	.364	14	8	.406	169	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	19	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	28	25	4	1	0	0	3	4	0	2	0	.160	.250	.200	.450	.040	.190	14	11	.218	25	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	19	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	152	131	38	12	2	3	17	24	3	8	2	.290	.384	.481	.865	.191	.333	16	11	.381	150	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	151	121	33	6	1	3	28	17	0	4	1	.273	.409	.413	.823	.140	.291	11	19	.370	142	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	37	28	11	3	1	0	8	2	0	3	0	.393	.528	.571	1.099	.179	.407	5	22	.470	218	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	20	AAA	St. Paul Saints	102	91	22	6	1	2	9	26	2	4	0	.242	.324	.396	.719	.154	.317	25	9	.323	106	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	20	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	235	191	59	11	1	7	34	44	7	11	3	.309	.431	.487	.918	.178	.364	19	14	.406	169	+18	+1	—	—	+7	2.6
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	31	25	7	0	0	1	5	6	1	2	0	.280	.419	.400	.819	.120	.333	19	16	.379	148	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Walker Jenkins (OGILVIE)	21	52→60	44→52	51→52	64	.234/.321/.374	.140	.297	8	9	25%	10%	100	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jason Heyward 2011 · MLB	21	54→60	51→55	49→50	55	.268/.349/.437	.169	.311	18	10	19%	10%	126	+3.5	.253/.339/.431	.178	.296	20	12	21%	11%	120	+3.1	.262/.343/.427	.164	.302	19	15	19%	10%	117	+2.8
●Jeremy Hermida 2007 · MLB	23	50→59	50→55	53→50	56	.250/.343/.413	.163	.304	17	14	23%	12%	118	+3.0	.264/.342/.431	.167	.324	18	8	23%	10%	121	+3.2	.266/.345/.430	.165	.323	19	5	22%	10%	117	+2.5
✕Gavin Lux 2020 · MLB	22	50→58	49→50	50	47	.250/.307/.403	.153	.310	16	12	25%	8%	99	+1.7	.249/.315/.391	.142	.314	15	9	24%	9%	100	+1.7	.263/.338/.380	.117	.334	8	5	22%	10%	103	+1.6
●Domonic Brown 2010 · AA	22	50→55	46→55	52→55	46	.247/.303/.381	.133	.304	13	17	23%	7%	92	+1.2	.253/.313/.405	.152	.311	16	16	23%	8%	102	+1.9	.252/.317/.416	.164	.286	19	11	19%	8%	101	+1.4
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	52→58	41→45	48→50	53	.248/.314/.348	.100	.291	8	13	17%	8%	88	+0.9	.222/.296/.324	.102	.270	9	9	20%	9%	75	-0.0	.263/.355/.386	.123	.307	11	2	17%	11%	113	+2.8
●Vaughn Grissom 2023 · MLB	22	54→63	47→50	54→55	47	.269/.331/.403	.135	.312	15	19	19%	6%	110	+2.4	.261/.324/.385	.124	.312	12	15	19%	7%	102	+1.9	.252/.317/.372	.120	.303	11	13	20%	7%	93	+0.9
●Riley Greene 2023 · MLB	22	52→62	47→60	50	44	.250/.314/.395	.145	.348	14	9	31%	8%	101	+1.8	.263/.330/.439	.176	.350	20	7	28%	9%	118	+3.0	.263/.332/.466	.203	.338	25	5	28%	9%	124	+3.1
●Jesse Winker 2015 · AA	21	47→57	47→55	49→45	51	.234/.309/.371	.137	.290	14	5	24%	9%	92	+1.2	.257/.325/.377	.120	.313	12	5	20%	9%	101	+1.8	.272/.369/.498	.227	.291	28	1	17%	11%	143	+2.8
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	46→52	47→60	48→50	48	.228/.298/.366	.138	.291	14	13	26%	8%	87	+0.8	.216/.287/.334	.118	.296	10	14	28%	8%	74	-0.1	.243/.309/.437	.195	.311	23	11	28%	8%	105	+1.3
★Eric Hosmer 2011 · AA	21	53→63	47→55	52→50	46	.258/.306/.403	.145	.308	13	8	20%	6%	99	+1.7	.276/.328/.429	.153	.312	17	11	17%	7%	115	+2.7	.291/.358/.463	.171	.327	22	5	17%	9%	129	+4.2
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
●Jurickson Profar 2015 · MLB	22	47→56	46→55	49→50	49	.234/.298/.364	.129	.274	13	11	19%	8%	85	+0.7	.231/.300/.342	.111	.275	11	8	19%	8%	81	+0.4	.257/.353/.419	.161	.284	18	7	16%	11%	121	+2.9
●B.J. Upton 2005 · MLB	20	50→60	49→60	52→60	48	.249/.316/.400	.151	.315	15	12	25%	8%	102	+1.9	.261/.330/.404	.143	.333	14	31	24%	9%	109	+2.4	.265/.358/.417	.152	.341	15	35	24%	12%	120	+3.2
★Austin Meadows 2017 · AAA	22	50→56	46→65	55	44	.246/.290/.384	.138	.300	11	16	22%	6%	87	+0.8	.248/.295/.411	.163	.290	17	17	20%	6%	97	+1.5	.255/.336/.495	.240	.289	30	8	23%	10%	129	+2.7
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	43→53	52→60	54→50	45	.225/.291/.400	.174	.276	20	15	26%	7%	93	+1.3	.234/.302/.399	.165	.280	20	13	23%	8%	97	+1.5	.237/.305/.454	.217	.309	28	3	32%	8%	109	+1.8
●Andrew Benintendi 2017 · MLB	23	51→61	47→55	51→50	49	.252/.303/.403	.152	.280	12	13	15%	6%	98	+1.6	.262/.335/.421	.159	.300	16	16	17%	9%	116	+2.8	.263/.345/.422	.159	.306	16	16	19%	10%	116	+3.1
✕Oscar Taveras 2013 · AA	21	55	50→55	51→45	44	.276/.314/.443	.167	.310	16	7	17%	5%	113	+2.6	.262/.298/.400	.138	.294	13	7	16%	4%	95	+1.4	.258/.291/.371	.113	.290	11	4	15%	4%	84	+0.4
●Eddie Rosario 2013 · A	21	49→55	50→60	49→50	43	.249/.288/.408	.159	.297	17	12	23%	5%	93	+1.3	.245/.280/.388	.143	.307	13	10	24%	5%	84	+0.6	.277/.313/.475	.198	.296	27	7	17%	5%	116	+2.8
●Logan Morrison 2010 · AA	22	51→61	49→65	46→45	49	.256/.316/.406	.150	.303	16	7	21%	8%	105	+2.1	.255/.338/.421	.166	.296	15	4	18%	11%	117	+2.9	.238/.329/.446	.208	.261	28	6	21%	11%	112	+2.2
●Esteban Quiroz 2013 · AAA	21	47→57	42→55	49→45	45	.228/.281/.337	.109	.272	9	10	20%	6%	72	-0.2	.236/.300/.349	.113	.282	9	8	19%	7%	82	+0.5	.283/.357/.422	.139	.316	15	7	15%	9%	125	+2.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)