Walker Jenkins — OGILVIE

Walker JenkinsOF St. Paul Saints

Age 21 L/R 6'3" / 210 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION166 act + 154 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†109

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .333 / .382

PA154

HR3

SB5

K%22

BB%9

BABIP310

ISO132

MLB%20%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT61

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$14M	+$13M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.5	$17M	+$17M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+2.9	$18M	+$14M
2030	Arb-2	$11M	+3.2	$19M	+$12M
2031	Arb-3	$16M	+3.3	$18M	+$8M
Totals		$35M		$87M	+$64M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	115	108	34	4	4	3	6	20	1	6	3	315	357	509	866	194	365	17	5	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	115	105	38	5	4	3	9	14	1	6	3	362	417	571	989	210	398	12	8	432	189	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	4 teams	—	368	321	68	16	3	5	40	67	3	17	3	212	305	327	632	115	249	18	11	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	4 teams	—	368	305	86	22	4	6	56	47	3	17	3	282	398	439	838	157	312	13	15	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	3 teams	—	368	322	77	14	2	8	33	105	10	17	3	239	329	370	698	130	325	29	9	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	3 teams	—	368	307	88	17	2	10	48	76	10	17	3	287	400	453	853	166	348	21	13	381	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	AAA	MIN	—	166	148	37	9	2	3	16	31	2	7	1	250	331	399	730	149	298	19	10	310	95	-1	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.4
YTD	21	AAA	MIN	—	166	141	39	10	2	3	23	26	2	7	1	277	386	440	825	163	321	16	14	371	142	+8	+1	+0	-1	+5	1.3
ROS	21	AAA	MIN	20%	154	136	34	7	1	3	14	34	3	5	1	250	333	382	716	132	313	22	9	327	109	+2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.6
ROS	21	MLB	MIN	20%	31	27	7	1	0	1	3	7	1	1	0	259	355	407	762	148	313	23	10	316	100	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
FULL	21	AAA	MIN	—	197	175	44	10	2	4	19	38	3	8	1	251	335	400	735	149	301	19	10	311	96	-1	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.5
TOT	21	AAA	MIN	—	320	284	71	16	3	6	30	65	5	12	2	250	332	391	723	141	304	20	9	318	102	+1	+2	+0	-2	+9	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIN	62%	464	411	105	22	3	11	43	99	7	15	3	255	336	404	740	148	310	21	9	332	112	+6	+2	+0	-3	+13	1.9
2028	23	MLB	MIN	77%	512	451	118	24	4	14	48	107	8	16	3	262	343	426	769	164	310	21	9	341	119	+11	+2	+0	-3	+15	2.5
2029	24	MLB	MIN	80%	542	478	126	25	4	16	51	112	8	17	3	264	345	433	778	169	310	21	9	346	123	+14	+2	+0	-3	+15	2.9
2030	25	MLB	MIN	81%	557	490	131	26	4	18	53	114	9	18	3	267	350	447	797	180	310	20	10	349	125	+16	+2	+0	-3	+16	3.2
2031	26	MLB	MIN	82%	564	496	132	26	4	18	54	116	9	18	3	266	349	444	792	177	310	21	10	351	127	+17	+2	+0	-3	+16	3.3
2032	27	MLB	MIN	80%	564	495	132	26	4	18	55	116	9	18	3	267	351	444	795	178	310	21	10	351	127	+17	+2	+0	-3	+16	3.3
2033	28	MLB	MIN	80%	559	490	131	26	4	18	55	116	9	17	3	267	352	447	799	180	310	21	10	350	126	+16	+2	-1	-3	+16	3.1
2034	29	MLB	MIN	77%	549	482	127	25	4	17	54	115	8	16	3	263	347	438	785	174	309	21	10	348	124	+15	+2	-1	-3	+16	2.9
2035	30	MLB	MIN	76%	538	472	123	24	3	17	53	114	8	14	2	261	345	432	777	172	308	21	10	345	122	+14	+2	-2	-3	+15	2.6
2036	31	MLB	MIN	76%	524	459	118	23	3	16	52	112	8	12	2	257	343	425	768	168	306	21	10	341	119	+11	+2	-3	-3	+15	2.3
2037	32	MLB	MIN	75%	505	443	113	22	3	15	50	110	7	9	2	255	340	420	760	165	303	22	10	335	115	+9	+1	-3	-3	+14	1.8
2038	33	MLB	MIN	75%	475	418	103	19	3	13	47	106	7	7	1	246	333	400	732	153	298	22	10	328	109	+5	+1	-4	-3	+13	1.3
2039	34	MLB	MIN	71%	429	378	90	16	2	11	42	99	6	4	1	238	324	378	702	140	292	23	10	319	102	+1	+0	-5	-3	+12	0.7
2040	35	MLB	MIN	66%	374	330	76	13	2	9	36	89	5	3	0	230	315	364	679	133	286	24	10	309	94	-2	+1	-5	-2	+11	0.1
2041	36	MLB	MIN	57%	315	278	62	10	2	7	30	77	4	1	0	223	308	349	657	126	279	24	10	298	86	-5	+0	-6	-2	+9	-0.4
2027	22	MLB	MIN	62%	290	256	66	14	2	7	27	62	5	9	2	258	340	410	750	152	310	21	9	321	104	+1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.9
2028	23	MLB	MIN	77%	394	348	91	18	3	11	37	82	6	13	2	261	343	425	768	164	310	21	9	330	110	+5	+2	+0	-2	+11	1.6
2029	24	MLB	MIN	80%	433	382	101	20	3	13	41	89	7	14	2	264	347	435	781	170	311	21	9	335	115	+7	+2	+0	-3	+12	1.9
2030	25	MLB	MIN	81%	452	399	105	21	3	14	43	93	7	15	3	263	345	436	781	173	310	21	10	338	117	+9	+2	+0	-3	+13	2.1
2031	26	MLB	MIN	82%	461	407	108	21	3	15	44	94	7	15	3	265	347	442	789	177	310	20	10	340	118	+10	+2	+0	-3	+13	2.2
2032	27	MLB	MIN	80%	453	399	106	21	3	15	44	93	7	15	3	266	349	446	795	180	310	21	10	340	118	+9	+2	+0	-3	+13	2.2
2033	28	MLB	MIN	80%	445	391	103	20	3	14	44	92	7	14	2	263	348	437	786	174	310	21	10	339	118	+9	+2	-0	-3	+13	2.1
2034	29	MLB	MIN	77%	425	374	98	19	3	13	42	89	6	12	2	262	346	433	779	171	309	21	10	337	116	+8	+2	-1	-3	+12	1.8
2035	30	MLB	MIN	76%	411	361	95	19	3	13	41	87	6	10	2	263	348	440	788	177	308	21	10	335	114	+7	+1	-1	-2	+12	1.6
2036	31	MLB	MIN	76%	397	349	90	18	2	12	39	85	6	9	2	258	343	424	767	166	306	21	10	331	111	+5	+1	-2	-2	+11	1.3
2037	32	MLB	MIN	75%	381	334	84	16	2	11	38	83	6	7	1	251	339	410	749	159	303	22	10	325	107	+3	+1	-3	-2	+11	1.0
2038	33	MLB	MIN	75%	357	314	78	15	2	10	35	80	5	5	1	248	333	404	738	156	299	22	10	318	102	+1	+1	-3	-2	+10	0.6
2039	34	MLB	MIN	71%	303	266	65	12	2	8	30	70	4	3	1	244	330	395	725	150	293	23	10	309	95	-2	+0	-3	-2	+9	0.2
2040	35	MLB	MIN	66%	248	219	50	9	1	6	24	59	3	2	0	228	313	361	674	132	286	24	10	299	87	-4	+0	-4	-1	+7	-0.1
2041	36	MLB	MIN	57%	180	159	36	6	1	4	17	44	2	1	0	226	309	352	661	126	280	24	9	288	79	-4	+0	-4	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5661	4985	1283	250	36	167	549	1209	85	145	26	257	341	422	764	165	307	21	10	329	110	+63	+19	-20	-34	+160	19.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	147	29	4	19	63	139	10	17	3	257	341	421	762	164	307	21	10	329	110	+7	+2	-2	-4	+18	2.2
Career	—			—	8476	7458	1900	368	59	237	816	1828	129	230	42	255	339	415	754	160	306	22	10	335	114	+139	+29	-29	-51	+240	33.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	146	28	5	18	63	140	10	18	3	255	340	416	756	161	306	22	10	335	114	+11	+2	-2	-4	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	56	51	20	2	3	1	4	6	1	2	1	392	446	608	1.054	216	432	11	7	459	209	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	59	54	18	3	1	2	5	8	0	4	2	333	390	537	927	204	364	14	8	406	169	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	19	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	28	25	4	1	0	0	3	4	0	2	0	160	250	200	450	40	190	14	11	218	25	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	19	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	152	131	38	12	2	3	17	24	3	8	2	290	384	481	865	191	333	16	11	381	150	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	151	121	33	6	1	3	28	17	0	4	1	273	409	413	823	140	291	11	19	370	142	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	37	28	11	3	1	0	8	2	0	3	0	393	528	571	1.099	179	407	5	22	470	218	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	20	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	102	91	22	6	1	2	9	26	2	4	0	242	324	396	719	154	317	25	9	323	106	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	20	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	235	191	59	11	1	7	34	44	7	11	3	309	431	487	918	178	364	19	14	406	169	+18	+1	—	—	+7	2.6
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	25	7	0	0	1	5	6	1	2	0	280	419	400	819	120	333	19	16	379	148	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brett Gardnerlast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,577 PA	13	6,577	139	272	256	341	398	-41	+49	29.8	26.6
	/162	664	14	27	256	341	398	-4.2	+4.9	3.0	pk7: 23
#2Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	14	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
	/162	664	17	10	257	338	410	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#3David DeJesuslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,906 PA	12	5,906	99	66	275	349	411	-25	+24	26.3	24.1
	/162	664	11	7	275	349	411	-2.9	+2.7	3.0	pk7: 22
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,692	167	145	258	338	424	-34	+14	25.2	21.1
	/162	664	20	17	258	338	424	-4.0	+1.6	2.9	pk7: 17
#4José Cruz Jr.last yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,179 PA	9	4,179	153	81	247	336	445	-35	-7	17.4	17.2
	/162	664	24	13	247	336	445	-5.6	-1.1	2.8	pk7: 17
#5Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	8	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.2
	/162	664	22	9	247	350	440	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17
#6Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	8	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
	/162	664	20	24	260	321	441	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Walker Jenkins (OGILVIE)	21	55→61	45→52	51→53	66	250/332/391	141	304	6	12	20%	9%	102	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jeremy Hermida 2007 · MLB	23	50→59	49→55	53→50	56	249/342/406	157	304	16	13	22%	12%	115	+2.8	264/341/430	166	323	18	7	23%	10%	121	+3.2	266/345/430	165	323	19	5	22%	10%	117	+2.5
●Vaughn Grissom 2023 · MLB	22	56→65	48→50	54→55	47	278/340/417	140	325	15	19	19%	6%	118	+3.0	262/325/389	127	314	12	15	19%	7%	104	+2.0	253/318/377	123	304	11	13	20%	7%	94	+1.0
●Bo Bichette 2020 · MLB	22	53→62	51→60	52→55	44	264/312/436	172	321	17	21	23%	6%	111	+2.5	280/325/463	183	333	21	18	22%	6%	123	+3.3	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Carlos Correa 2016 · MLB	21	54→60	52→60	56→55	50	271/334/453	182	316	19	21	20%	8%	124	+3.4	270/347/453	183	320	21	11	21%	10%	129	+3.7	262/346/440	178	304	21	0	20%	11%	122	+3.2
★Gunnar Henderson 2023 · MLB	22	49→55	50→60	56→55	48	239/320/405	166	335	17	15	32%	10%	105	+2.1	256/333/456	200	316	22	16	25%	10%	124	+3.4	260/338/463	204	308	23	18	23%	10%	124	+3.8
★Eric Hosmer 2012 · MLB	22	58→65	50→55	50	47	291/335/451	160	331	17	10	18%	6%	123	+3.3	280/335/428	148	316	15	11	16%	8%	118	+3.0	301/366/480	179	338	22	5	17%	9%	138	+4.9
●CJ Abrams 2022 · AA	21	53	43→60	56→60	42	252/301/376	124	329	9	22	26%	6%	89	+1.0	248/297/383	135	294	13	29	20%	5%	90	+1.0	255/324/446	192	293	22	28	21%	7%	115	+2.5
★Austin Meadows 2017 · AAA	22	50→57	47→65	56→55	43	245/289/390	145	298	12	17	22%	6%	88	+0.9	249/297/419	170	287	19	17	20%	6%	100	+1.7	253/333/497	244	285	30	8	23%	10%	130	+2.8
●Jason Heyward 2010 · AA	20	54→60	50→55	53→50	47	268/320/429	161	307	16	9	19%	7%	111	+2.5	261/348/438	177	310	19	12	21%	11%	125	+3.5	259/351/444	185	308	20	14	22%	12%	125	+3.3
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	47→53	45→50	55	52	228/311/364	135	289	10	21	23%	10%	92	+1.2	235/322/388	153	305	15	21	26%	10%	102	+1.9	232/325/392	160	298	16	24	26%	10%	101	+1.1
●Corbin Carroll 2022 · A	21	49→54	45→65	56→60	46	231/302/364	133	330	12	17	32%	9%	87	+0.8	251/331/458	207	309	21	32	25%	9%	124	+3.4	249/336/472	222	286	23	37	21%	10%	126	+3.9
●J.P. Crawford 2016 · AA	21	53→58	41→45	48→50	54	253/321/356	103	294	8	13	16%	9%	92	+1.2	215/289/317	102	264	9	9	21%	9%	70	-0.3	264/356/391	126	308	11	2	17%	11%	114	+2.9
●Domonic Brown 2010 · AA	22	51→54	46→55	53→55	47	251/308/386	136	311	13	17	23%	7%	95	+1.4	251/312/396	145	310	14	16	23%	8%	100	+1.7	252/316/413	162	285	18	11	18%	8%	101	+1.4
●Wander Franco 2022 · MLB	21	55→57	48→55	49→55	52	271/325/431	160	290	14	9	13%	7%	114	+2.7	271/329/439	168	291	16	20	13%	8%	118	+3.0	275/337/446	171	292	17	27	12%	8%	118	+2.2
●Adam Eaton 2012 · AA	23	57→65	43→45	54→55	51	271/357/391	119	329	9	21	19%	8%	118	+3.0	279/348/386	107	335	6	23	17%	7%	111	+2.5	285/357/412	127	339	9	15	17%	8%	119	+3.3
●Riley Greene 2022 · AAA	21	51→61	52→65	57→50	42	249/313/420	171	352	19	13	33%	8%	107	+2.2	266/332/426	160	364	16	8	29%	9%	116	+2.8	273/350/500	226	349	29	3	28%	10%	139	+4.0
●Jordan Walker 2023 · AA	21	54→57	51→55	54→50	42	264/319/433	169	348	17	16	28%	6%	112	+2.6	242/302/390	148	314	16	11	27%	7%	94	+1.3	235/293/388	153	306	18	12	28%	7%	87	+0.6
●Rocco Baldelli 2004 · MLB	22	57→61	44→55	55	44	277/318/406	128	328	11	21	19%	5%	105	+2.1	280/325/440	160	320	16	17	17%	5%	117	+2.9	278/324/454	176	314	19	16	18%	5%	116	+1.8
●Ozzie Albies 2018 · MLB	21	53→59	43→60	59→55	45	255/301/377	122	309	9	21	20%	6%	89	+1.0	270/318/450	180	307	19	15	18%	6%	117	+2.9	275/329/488	213	303	24	15	18%	7%	127	+3.0
●B.J. Upton 2006 · MLB	21	53→60	48→60	57→60	48	261/324/412	151	330	14	29	24%	8%	109	+2.4	263/342/401	138	337	14	34	24%	10%	114	+2.7	265/358/417	152	341	15	35	24%	12%	120	+3.2