Walker Jenkins
OF St. Paul Saints| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | AA/A+/A/ROKMIN | 368 | .282/.398/.439 | 6 | 17 | 88 | — | .234/.324/.357 |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA/AA/AMIN | 368 | .287/.400/.453 | 10 | 17 | 105 | — | .253/.343/.388 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAAMIN | 307 | .308/.407/.532 | 12 | 17 | 122 | — | .276/.352/.451 |
| 2026 | 21 | MLBMIN | 93 | .226/.293/.393 | 4 | 1 | 92 | -0.2 | |
| 2027PROJ65% MLB | 22 | MLBMIN | 101 | .262/.339/.424 | 3 | 4 | 115 | 0.4 | |
| 2028PROJ74% MLB | 23 | MLBMIN | 268 | .266/.343/.439 | 9 | 9 | 120 | 1.2 | |
| 2029PROJ74% MLB | 24 | MLBMIN | 304 | .268/.346/.448 | 10 | 11 | 123 | 1.5 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 56 | 51 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 392 | 446 | 608 | 1.054 | 216 | 432 | 11 | 7 | 459 | 170 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 59 | 54 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 333 | 390 | 537 | 927 | 204 | 364 | 14 | 8 | 406 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 28 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 250 | 200 | 450 | 40 | 190 | 14 | 11 | 218 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 152 | 131 | 38 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 290 | 384 | 481 | 865 | 191 | 333 | 16 | 11 | 381 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 151 | 121 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 273 | 409 | 413 | 823 | 140 | 291 | 11 | 19 | 370 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 37 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 393 | 528 | 571 | 1.099 | 179 | 407 | 5 | 22 | 470 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 102 | 91 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 242 | 324 | 396 | 719 | 154 | 317 | 25 | 9 | 323 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 235 | 191 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 44 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 309 | 431 | 487 | 918 | 178 | 364 | 19 | 14 | 406 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 31 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 280 | 419 | 400 | 819 | 120 | 333 | 19 | 16 | 379 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 93 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 293 | 393 | 686 | 167 | 246 | 20 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 307 | 263 | 81 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 48 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 308 | 407 | 532 | 939 | 224 | 340 | 16 | 14 | 413 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 93 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 293 | 393 | 686 | 167 | 246 | 20 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +2 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 56 | 52 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 385 | 429 | 596 | 1.025 | 212 | 436 | 14 | 5 | 419 | 170 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 59 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 268 | 305 | 446 | 752 | 179 | 290 | 19 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 28 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 214 | 192 | 407 | 38 | 169 | 18 | 7 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 152 | 136 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 228 | 305 | 353 | 658 | 125 | 281 | 20 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 151 | 128 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 342 | 359 | 702 | 125 | 252 | 15 | 14 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 37 | 31 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 323 | 417 | 484 | 901 | 161 | 321 | 8 | 14 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 102 | 94 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 213 | 275 | 319 | 594 | 106 | 312 | 31 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 235 | 200 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 57 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 275 | 375 | 425 | 800 | 150 | 339 | 24 | 11 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 31 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 323 | 333 | 656 | 111 | 306 | 26 | 10 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 93 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 293 | 393 | 686 | 167 | 246 | 20 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 307 | 275 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 58 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 276 | 352 | 451 | 803 | 175 | 324 | 19 | 10 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 115 | 108 | 35 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 324 | 365 | 519 | 884 | 194 | 376 | 17 | 5 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 115 | 105 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 362 | 417 | 571 | 989 | 210 | 398 | 12 | 8 | 432 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 368 | 321 | 74 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 63 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 231 | 321 | 349 | 670 | 118 | 268 | 17 | 11 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 368 | 305 | 86 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 56 | 47 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 282 | 398 | 439 | 838 | 157 | 312 | 13 | 15 | 373 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 320 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 97 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 253 | 345 | 388 | 733 | 134 | 335 | 26 | 10 | 323 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 368 | 307 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 48 | 76 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 287 | 400 | 453 | 853 | 166 | 348 | 21 | 13 | 381 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 400 | 359 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 77 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 265 | 338 | 437 | 776 | 173 | 305 | 19 | 9 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 400 | 347 | 100 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 49 | 67 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 288 | 381 | 499 | 880 | 210 | 318 | 17 | 12 | 388 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 115 | 107 | 35 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 327 | 365 | 523 | 889 | 196 | 361 | 17 | 5 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 368 | 322 | 74 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 63 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 230 | 321 | 348 | 669 | 118 | 265 | 17 | 11 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 320 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 97 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 253 | 345 | 388 | 733 | 134 | 329 | 26 | 10 | 323 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 400 | 357 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 77 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 266 | 338 | 440 | 778 | 174 | 306 | 19 | 9 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 368 | 322 | 74 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 63 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 230 | 321 | 348 | 669 | 118 | 265 | 17 | 11 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 368 | 320 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 97 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 253 | 345 | 388 | 733 | 134 | 329 | 26 | 10 | 323 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 400 | 357 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 77 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 266 | 338 | 440 | 778 | 174 | 306 | 19 | 9 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIN | 65% | 510 | 452 | 118 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 47 | 100 | 6 | 18 | 4 | 262 | 339 | 423 | 762 | 161 | 304 | 20 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +9 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +11 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIN | 65% | 101 | 90 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 262 | 339 | 424 | 763 | 161 | 304 | 20 | 9 | 339 | 115 | +2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIN | 74% | 364 | 323 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 70 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 266 | 343 | 438 | 781 | 172 | 304 | 19 | 9 | 346 | 120 | +9 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIN | 74% | 408 | 363 | 98 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 38 | 78 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 268 | 345 | 447 | 792 | 179 | 305 | 19 | 9 | 350 | 123 | +11 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +9 | 2.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIN | 75% | 455 | 404 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 87 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 269 | 347 | 452 | 799 | 182 | 305 | 19 | 9 | 352 | 125 | +13 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +10 | 2.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIN | 75% | 494 | 439 | 118 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 47 | 94 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 270 | 347 | 453 | 801 | 184 | 305 | 19 | 10 | 353 | 125 | +15 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIN | 73% | 488 | 434 | 116 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 46 | 94 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 268 | 346 | 451 | 797 | 182 | 304 | 19 | 9 | 352 | 124 | +14 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +11 | 2.5 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIN | 73% | 479 | 426 | 113 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 45 | 93 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 267 | 344 | 446 | 790 | 179 | 304 | 19 | 9 | 349 | 122 | +13 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +10 | 2.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIN | 71% | 465 | 413 | 110 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 44 | 92 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 264 | 342 | 439 | 781 | 175 | 302 | 20 | 9 | 345 | 120 | +11 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +10 | 1.9 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIN | 70% | 451 | 402 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 42 | 91 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 261 | 338 | 431 | 769 | 170 | 301 | 20 | 9 | 341 | 117 | +9 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIN | 70% | 434 | 387 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 89 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 257 | 333 | 421 | 754 | 164 | 298 | 21 | 9 | 335 | 113 | +7 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIN | 69% | 409 | 365 | 91 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 86 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 327 | 408 | 735 | 157 | 294 | 21 | 9 | 327 | 107 | +4 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB MLE | MIN | 69% | 372 | 332 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 80 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 319 | 392 | 711 | 147 | 289 | 22 | 9 | 317 | 101 | +0 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB MLE | MIN | 65% | 315 | 282 | 67 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 70 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 310 | 373 | 682 | 137 | 283 | 22 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -3 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIN | 74% | 268 | 238 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 52 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 266 | 343 | 439 | 782 | 173 | 304 | 19 | 9 | 346 | 120 | +6 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIN | 74% | 304 | 269 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 58 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 268 | 346 | 448 | 793 | 179 | 305 | 19 | 10 | 350 | 123 | +8 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIN | 75% | 340 | 301 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 65 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 270 | 347 | 453 | 800 | 183 | 305 | 19 | 9 | 353 | 125 | +10 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +7 | 1.7 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIN | 75% | 370 | 328 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 71 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 270 | 348 | 454 | 802 | 184 | 305 | 19 | 9 | 354 | 125 | +11 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +8 | 1.9 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIN | 73% | 358 | 317 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 69 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 269 | 347 | 451 | 798 | 183 | 304 | 19 | 9 | 352 | 124 | +10 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +8 | 1.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIN | 73% | 349 | 309 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 68 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 267 | 345 | 447 | 791 | 180 | 304 | 19 | 9 | 349 | 122 | +9 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIN | 71% | 330 | 293 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 65 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 264 | 342 | 440 | 782 | 176 | 302 | 20 | 9 | 346 | 120 | +8 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIN | 70% | 316 | 280 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 63 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 261 | 338 | 432 | 770 | 171 | 301 | 20 | 9 | 341 | 117 | +6 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIN | 70% | 302 | 268 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 62 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 333 | 422 | 755 | 165 | 298 | 21 | 9 | 335 | 113 | +5 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIN | 69% | 283 | 253 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 252 | 327 | 409 | 736 | 157 | 294 | 21 | 9 | 327 | 107 | +2 | -0 | -2 | -2 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB CTX | MIN | 69% | 257 | 230 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 320 | 393 | 712 | 148 | 289 | 21 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +0 | -0 | -2 | -2 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB CTX | MIN | 65% | 204 | 183 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 310 | 373 | 683 | 137 | 283 | 22 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3774 | 3353 | 872 | 156 | 21 | 124 | 351 | 751 | 37 | 87 | 25 | 260 | 337 | 430 | 767 | 170 | 299 | 20 | 9 | 341 | 115 | +74 | +7 | -8 | -24 | +82 | 13.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 577 | 150 | 27 | 4 | 21 | 60 | 129 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 260 | 335 | 430 | 765 | 170 | 300 | 20 | 9 | 341 | 115 | +13 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 2.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6540 | 5816 | 1514 | 276 | 44 | 200 | 610 | 1311 | 69 | 182 | 49 | 260 | 338 | 426 | 764 | 166 | 303 | 20 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +105 | +11 | -12 | -34 | +117 | 19.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 150 | 27 | 4 | 20 | 61 | 130 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 260 | 337 | 424 | 761 | 164 | 302 | 20 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +13 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +14 | 2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASt. Paul Saints · 307 PAwOBA .402 → .349 (−53)K% 15.6% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.64% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 9.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×1.050 | 22.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.050 | 7.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×1.050 | 1.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.10% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .402 → .349; ISO .224 → .183; BABIP .340 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAWichita Wind Surge · 235 PAwOBA .401 → .348 (−53)K% 18.7% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.72% | ÷0.941 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.47% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 10.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.98% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 2.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.21% | ÷1.025 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 26.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.48% | ÷1.031 | ×0.840 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.986 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 4.06% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 88, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .401 → .348; ISO .178 → .152; BABIP .364 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASt. Paul Saints · 102 PAwOBA .315 → .269 (−46)K% 25.5% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.49% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.944 | ×0.930 | ×0.994 | ×1.050 | 20.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.23% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×1.050 | 8.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.994 | ×1.050 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷1.253 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.81% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .315 → .269; ISO .154 → .116; BABIP .317 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 31 PAwOBA .370 → .306 (−64)K% 19.4% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.35% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.13% | ÷1.054 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.58% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 29.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.898 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 4.83% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .370 → .306; ISO .120 → .108; BABIP .333 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 152 PAwOBA .374 → .294 (−80)K% 15.8% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.972 | ×1.270 | — | — | 20.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.18% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 7.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.97% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.050 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.63% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 18.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.21% | ÷1.119 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 8.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.87% | ÷1.146 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.191 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.98% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 129, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .374 → .294; ISO .191 → .136; BABIP .333 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 151 PAwOBA .367 → .307 (−59)K% 11.3% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.26% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.54% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 13.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.12% | ÷1.096 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×1.045 | 19.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.045 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.962 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | ×1.045 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.962 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.51% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .367 → .307; ISO .140 → .126; BABIP .291 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Twins · 37 PAwOBA .472 → .372 (−100)K% 5.4% → 8.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.41% | ÷0.974 | ×1.440 | — | — | 7.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.62% | ÷1.046 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 12.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷1.036 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 21.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.54% | ÷0.971 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 8.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.890 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .472 → .372; ISO .179 → .155; BABIP .407 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAWichita Wind Surge · 28 PAwOBA .213 → .178 (−35)K% 14.3% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷0.963 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 8.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.091 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 12.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.979 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.126 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.845 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 118, 2B 96, 3B 125, K 93, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .213 → .178; ISO .040 → .035; BABIP .190 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).