Walker Jenkins — OGILVIE

Walker JenkinsOF St. Paul Saints

Age 22 L/R 6'3" / 210 lbs AAA Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†115

AVG/OBP/SLG.262 / .339 / .424

PA138

HR4

SB5

K%20

BB%9

BABIP304

ISO164

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$29M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 62 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT62

xAVG

390.242

POWER55

Barrel%

467.6

Avg EV

1186.1

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED53

Sprint

5527.7

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%20%·20% over 89 PA (45d) · proj 20%

BB%8%▼8% over 93 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.163·.167 over 84 AB (60d) · proj .161

HR/BB4.8%▲6.2% over 65 BBE (60d) · proj 4.1%

BABIP.300▼.246 over 61 BIP (60d) · proj .304

SLASH.262/.331/.425·proj .262/.336/.423

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+1.8	$12M	+$8M
2030	Arb-2	$11M	+2.0	$13M	+$5M
2031	Arb-3	$17M	+2.2	$13M	+$2M
Totals		$35M		$51M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	56	51	20	2	3	1	4	6	1	2	1	392	446	608	1.054	216	432	11	7	459	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	59	54	18	3	1	2	5	8	0	4	2	333	390	537	927	204	364	14	8	406	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	28	25	4	1	0	0	3	4	0	2	0	160	250	200	450	40	190	14	11	218	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	152	131	38	12	2	3	17	24	3	8	2	290	384	481	865	191	333	16	11	381	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	151	121	33	6	1	3	28	17	0	4	1	273	409	413	823	140	291	11	19	370	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	37	28	11	3	1	0	8	2	0	3	0	393	528	571	1.099	179	407	5	22	470	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	102	91	22	6	1	2	9	26	2	4	0	242	324	396	719	154	317	25	9	323	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	235	191	59	11	1	7	34	44	7	11	3	309	431	487	918	178	364	19	14	406	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	25	7	0	0	1	5	6	1	2	0	280	419	400	819	120	333	19	16	379	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	93	84	19	2	0	4	7	19	1	1	1	226	293	393	686	167	246	20	8	304	92	-1	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.2
2026	21	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	307	263	81	17	3	12	42	48	2	17	4	308	407	532	939	224	340	16	14	413	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	93	84	19	2	0	4	7	19	1	1	1	226	293	393	686	167	246	20	8	304	92	-1	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	56	52	20	2	3	1	3	8	1	2	1	385	429	596	1.025	212	436	14	5	419	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	59	56	15	2	1	2	3	11	0	4	2	268	305	446	752	179	290	19	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	28	26	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	2	0	154	214	192	407	38	169	18	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	152	136	31	9	1	2	12	31	3	8	2	228	305	353	658	125	281	20	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	151	128	30	5	1	3	21	23	0	4	1	234	342	359	702	125	252	15	14	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	37	31	10	3	1	0	5	3	0	3	0	323	417	484	901	161	321	8	14	372	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	102	94	20	5	1	1	6	32	2	4	0	213	275	319	594	106	312	31	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	235	200	55	10	1	6	25	57	7	11	3	275	375	425	800	150	339	24	11	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	31	27	6	0	0	1	3	8	1	2	0	222	323	333	656	111	306	26	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	93	84	19	2	0	4	7	19	1	1	1	226	293	393	686	167	246	20	8	304	92	-1	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.2
2026	21	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	307	275	76	15	3	9	30	58	2	17	4	276	352	451	803	175	324	19	10	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	115	108	35	4	4	3	6	20	1	6	3	324	365	519	884	194	376	17	5	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	115	105	38	5	4	3	9	14	1	6	3	362	417	571	989	210	398	12	8	432	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	368	321	74	17	3	5	40	63	3	17	3	231	321	349	670	118	268	17	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	368	305	86	22	4	6	56	47	3	17	3	282	398	439	838	157	312	13	15	373	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	368	320	81	15	2	8	35	97	10	17	3	253	345	388	733	134	335	26	10	323	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA RAW	3 teams	—	368	307	88	17	2	10	48	76	10	17	3	287	400	453	853	166	348	21	13	381	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	400	359	95	17	3	13	37	77	3	18	5	265	338	437	776	173	305	19	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	400	347	100	19	3	16	49	67	3	18	5	288	381	499	880	210	318	17	12	388	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	115	107	35	4	4	3	6	20	1	6	3	327	365	523	889	196	361	17	5	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	368	322	74	17	3	5	40	63	3	17	3	230	321	348	669	118	265	17	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	368	320	81	15	2	8	35	97	10	17	3	253	345	388	733	134	329	26	10	323	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	400	357	95	17	3	13	37	77	3	18	5	266	338	440	778	174	306	19	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	368	322	74	17	3	5	40	63	3	17	3	230	321	348	669	118	265	17	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	368	320	81	15	2	8	35	97	10	17	3	253	345	388	733	134	329	26	10	323	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	400	357	95	17	3	13	37	77	3	18	5	266	338	440	778	174	306	19	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	510	452	118	22	3	15	47	100	6	18	4	262	339	423	762	161	304	20	9	338	115	+9	+2	+0	-3	+11	1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	138	122	32	6	1	4	13	27	2	5	1	262	339	424	763	161	304	20	9	339	115	+2	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	74%	454	404	106	20	3	14	42	88	5	16	4	263	340	430	770	166	303	19	9	341	117	+9	+2	+1	-3	+10	1.9
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	79%	490	436	115	21	3	16	46	95	5	17	4	265	342	439	782	174	303	19	9	346	120	+12	+2	+1	-3	+11	2.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	81%	529	469	124	23	3	18	49	103	6	18	5	266	343	444	787	178	303	19	9	348	121	+13	+2	+1	-3	+11	2.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	82%	562	498	133	25	4	19	53	110	6	19	5	266	343	445	788	180	303	20	9	348	122	+15	+2	+1	-3	+12	2.7
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	80%	557	494	130	24	3	19	52	110	6	19	5	265	342	443	785	178	302	20	9	347	121	+14	+2	+1	-3	+12	2.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	80%	549	487	128	24	3	18	51	110	6	16	4	263	340	438	778	175	302	20	9	344	119	+12	+2	+0	-3	+12	2.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	77%	537	477	125	23	3	18	50	109	5	13	4	260	337	431	769	171	300	20	9	340	117	+11	+1	-0	-3	+12	2.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	76%	525	466	121	22	3	17	49	108	5	10	3	257	334	423	757	166	299	21	9	336	113	+8	+1	-1	-3	+11	1.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIN	76%	510	453	116	21	3	16	47	107	5	6	2	253	329	413	742	160	296	21	9	330	109	+6	+0	-2	-3	+11	1.2
2037	32	MLB MLE	MIN	75%	491	440	108	19	2	14	44	105	4	2	2	248	323	400	723	153	292	21	9	322	104	+2	-0	-3	-3	+11	0.7
2038	33	MLB MLE	MIN	75%	461	413	100	17	2	13	41	101	4	2	1	241	315	384	699	143	287	22	9	313	98	-1	+0	-3	-3	+10	0.3
2039	34	MLB MLE	MIN	71%	415	373	86	14	2	10	36	94	3	1	1	232	305	365	671	133	281	23	9	301	90	-5	-0	-4	-2	+9	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	74%	338	300	79	15	2	10	31	66	4	12	3	263	340	430	771	167	303	20	9	342	117	+7	+1	+0	-2	+7	1.4
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	79%	387	344	92	17	3	13	36	75	4	14	3	266	343	440	783	175	304	19	9	346	120	+9	+2	+1	-2	+8	1.8
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	81%	427	379	101	19	3	14	40	83	5	15	4	266	343	445	788	179	303	19	9	348	121	+11	+1	+1	-3	+9	2.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	82%	458	407	108	20	3	16	43	90	5	16	4	266	343	446	790	180	303	20	9	349	122	+12	+2	+1	-3	+10	2.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	80%	446	396	104	19	3	15	42	88	5	15	4	265	342	443	786	179	303	20	9	347	121	+11	+1	+1	-3	+10	2.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	80%	437	388	103	19	3	15	41	87	5	13	3	263	340	439	779	176	302	20	9	344	119	+10	+1	+0	-3	+9	1.9
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	77%	416	370	97	18	2	14	39	84	4	10	3	261	338	432	770	172	300	20	9	341	117	+8	+1	-0	-2	+9	1.5
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	76%	401	357	92	17	2	13	37	82	4	8	2	258	334	424	758	167	299	20	9	336	113	+6	+1	-1	-2	+9	1.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIN	76%	386	344	87	16	2	12	35	81	4	4	2	253	329	414	743	161	296	21	9	330	109	+4	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.9
2037	32	MLB CTX	MIN	75%	370	331	83	15	2	11	33	79	3	2	1	248	323	401	724	153	292	21	9	322	104	+2	+0	-2	-2	+8	0.6
2038	33	MLB CTX	MIN	75%	347	310	75	13	2	9	31	76	3	1	1	241	315	385	700	144	287	22	9	313	98	-1	-0	-3	-2	+8	0.2
2039	34	MLB CTX	MIN	71%	293	264	60	10	1	7	25	66	2	1	1	233	306	366	671	133	281	23	9	301	90	-4	-0	-3	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4799	4274	1100	200	28	153	440	976	49	112	32	257	334	425	758	167	299	20	9	336	112	+75	+10	-6	-31	+104	15.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	149	27	4	21	60	132	7	15	4	257	335	427	761	169	298	20	9	336	112	+10	+1	-1	-4	+14	2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7581	6740	1735	317	48	228	701	1546	80	206	56	257	335	420	755	163	301	20	9	334	112	+99	+13	-9	-40	+139	20.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	149	27	4	20	60	133	7	18	5	258	335	422	757	164	301	20	9	334	112	+10	+1	-1	-4	+14	2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	10.9	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
/162	664	17	10	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#2Jason Heywardlast yr '25 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,995 PA	10.5	6,995	186	125	255	336	408	-73	+52	27.1	25.0
/162	664	18	12	-6.9	+4.9	2.6	pk7: 23
#3Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	7.4	4,936	156	115	258	331	425	-30	+18	19.2	16.8
/162	664	21	16	-4.0	+2.4	2.6	pk7: 14
#4Tommy Phamlast yr '25 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,826 PA	7.3	4,826	149	131	257	345	422	-38	-44	16.1	16.3
/162	664	21	18	-5.3	-6.1	2.2	pk7: 17
#5Cody Rosslast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,733 PA	5.6	3,733	131	33	264	324	449	-13	-12	15.1	15.6
/162	664	23	6	-2.3	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 16
#6Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
/162	664	20	24	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Walker Jenkins (OGILVIE)	22	57→62	50→55	52→53	66	260/336/419	160	304	7	9	20%	9%	115	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jeremy Hermida 2007 · MLB	23	51→59	49→55	53→50	56	251/343/407	155	306	15	13	22%	11%	114	+2.4	263/336/427	164	321	18	7	23%	9%	116	+2.5	263/338/427	163	319	19	5	22%	9%	118	+2.2
●Vaughn Grissom 2023 · MLB	22	56→65	48→50	54→55	47	277/339/417	140	321	15	19	19%	6%	115	+2.4	264/329/386	122	318	11	15	19%	7%	104	+1.6	259/326/374	115	315	9	13	20%	8%	98	+0.8
●Carlos Correa 2017 · MLB	22	54→61	54→60	54→55	53	273/345/463	190	316	21	17	20%	10%	128	+3.3	269/344/470	201	314	25	7	22%	10%	129	+3.4	263/344/444	182	303	22	0	20%	10%	124	+3.1
●Bo Bichette 2020 · MLB	22	55→62	51→60	52→55	45	274/322/446	172	332	16	21	22%	6%	115	+2.4	283/327/467	184	336	21	18	22%	6%	122	+3.0	296/338/473	177	346	22	13	20%	5%	129	+3.8
★Rickie Weeks Jr. 2006 · MLB	23	49→58	54→55	59→55	49	249/340/438	188	306	20	19	24%	9%	120	+2.8	251/351/417	166	310	16	23	23%	10%	120	+2.8	256/348/440	184	314	21	11	24%	10%	125	+3.4
★Eric Hosmer 2012 · MLB	22	58→64	50→55	50	47	292/334/454	162	329	17	10	17%	6%	121	+2.9	275/326/421	146	309	16	11	16%	7%	111	+2.1	294/356/470	176	329	22	5	17%	8%	134	+4.2
●Jordan Walker 2024 · MLB	22	53→58	51→55	51→50	46	265/331/432	167	333	19	13	25%	8%	116	+2.5	239/297/388	149	309	17	12	27%	7%	93	+0.8	236/293/390	154	305	18	13	28%	7%	92	+0.7
●Gregory Polanco 2015 · MLB	23	53→57	47→60	54→55	49	261/315/399	139	304	14	25	19%	7%	101	+1.4	254/309/406	152	296	15	20	19%	7%	101	+1.4	250/314/453	203	277	24	14	19%	8%	115	+2.1
●Gavin Lux 2020 · MLB	22	52→60	50	50	47	261/318/424	163	324	18	11	25%	8%	108	+1.9	257/322/404	147	324	14	9	23%	9%	105	+1.7	267/342/390	122	340	8	5	22%	10%	110	+1.7
✕Leo Heras 2013 · AAA	23	57→67	48→50	54→55	48	281/331/425	144	313	15	18	16%	6%	114	+2.3	242/308/374	132	298	11	18	21%	8%	93	+0.8	242/316/372	130	313	11	18	24%	9%	93	+0.5
●Michael Harris II 2023 · MLB	22	56→59	52→60	58→55	42	277/324/454	177	345	18	24	25%	6%	118	+2.6	273/311/443	170	320	19	19	21%	5%	111	+2.1	268/297/436	169	304	21	14	20%	3%	105	+1.6
●Wander Franco 2023 · MLB	22	56→60	48→55	53→55	53	275/330/432	157	294	13	11	12%	7%	114	+2.4	268/328/444	176	289	19	24	14%	8%	117	+2.6	274/336/469	195	291	21	37	14%	8%	126	+2.7
★Gunnar Henderson 2023 · MLB	22	51→56	50→60	56→55	49	244/328/411	167	344	17	15	32%	10%	109	+2.0	260/336/467	207	319	24	16	25%	10%	125	+3.2	263/338/474	211	310	25	18	23%	9%	129	+3.8
●Colby Rasmus 2009 · AAA	22	44→54	51→65	53→50	49	227/299/386	159	271	18	17	24%	8%	93	+0.8	243/308/415	172	291	20	10	23%	8%	103	+1.5	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9
●Domonic Brown 2011 · MLB	23	54→57	50→55	53→55	45	265/318/425	159	329	16	18	24%	7%	109	+2.0	255/316/410	155	303	16	13	20%	8%	104	+1.6	254/315/416	162	289	18	11	18%	8%	106	+1.4
✕Oscar Taveras 2014 · AAA	22	57→58	49→55	52→45	45	283/320/446	163	312	15	9	15%	4%	114	+2.4	253/292/377	124	287	12	6	16%	5%	88	+0.4	258/295/372	114	290	11	1	15%	4%	88	+0.4
★Austin Meadows 2017 · AAA	22	52→59	47→65	57→55	44	256/302/406	150	313	12	17	22%	6%	98	+1.2	255/302/425	170	297	18	17	20%	6%	103	+1.5	251/327/490	238	284	30	8	23%	9%	129	+2.5
✕Ryan Kalish 2011 · MLB	23	51→53	48→50	57→55	49	254/316/397	143	308	15	23	22%	8%	101	+1.4	234/291/348	114	301	11	21	25%	7%	81	-0.1	217/264/312	94	293	8	20	27%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Evan Carter 2024 · MLB	21	51→55	48→50	55	53	249/338/400	151	321	14	22	25%	11%	110	+2.1	225/311/368	143	287	14	21	25%	10%	94	+0.9	200/289/333	133	250	13	24	24%	10%	77	-0.2
●Corbin Carroll 2023 · MLB	22	52→53	58→60	62→60	48	258/340/480	222	335	23	25	29%	9%	130	+3.5	251/333/465	214	290	24	34	22%	9%	124	+3.1	245/330/467	222	275	25	37	21%	10%	124	+3.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps