Jordan Walker — OGILVIE

Jordan WalkerRF St. Louis Cardinals

Age 24 R/R 6'6" / 250 lbs MLB HR -7%K -4% Svc 2.256S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 1.6 · 2026

wRC+†vL 114119vR 73

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .298 / .387

PA516

HR16

SB14

K%28

BB%8

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

45→45

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.3peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.256 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.6	$13M	+$12M
2027	Arb-2	$1M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.9M
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.0M
2029	Arb-4	$4M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$20M	+$13M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A+	2 teams	366	337	87	21	2	12	21	116	6	14	2	.258	.313	.439	.752	.181	.355	32	6	.323	106	+2	+2	+0	-4	+10	1.1
2022	20	AA	2 teams	626	561	150	32	4	19	45	173	10	25	7	.267	.333	.440	.773	.173	.346	28	7	.333	113	+9	+2	+0	-7	+18	2.3
2023	21	MLB	2 teams	600	538	138	25	2	20	48	143	10	11	4	.257	.329	.422	.751	.165	.311	24	8	.329	110	+7	+1	-12	-6	+17	0.6
2024	22	AAA	2 teams	555	516	113	30	3	12	31	140	4	5	3	.219	.269	.359	.627	.140	.274	25	6	.272	66	-21	-0	-5	-6	+16	-1.7
2025	23	MLB	3 teams	456	419	87	15	1	8	33	149	3	11	3	.208	.270	.305	.576	.098	.300	33	7	.258	56	-23	+1	-7	-5	+13	-2.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	98	89	26	4	0	8	9	31	0	4	0	.292	.357	.607	.964	.315	.360	32	9	.411	173	+8	+1	-1	-1	+3	1.0
ROS	24	MLB	STL	418	379	93	17	1	17	33	120	3	10	1	.245	.311	.430	.741	.185	.310	29	8	.325	107	+3	+2	-6	-4	+12	0.6
TOT	24	MLB	STL	516	468	119	21	1	25	42	151	3	14	1	.254	.320	.464	.783	.209	.320	29	8	.341	119	+11	+2	-7	-6	+15	1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB	STL	571	518	125	23	2	20	44	144	4	14	2	.241	.306	.409	.715	.168	.291	25	8	.316	100	+0	+2	-8	-6	+16	0.4
2028	26	MLB	STL	571	517	125	22	2	21	45	144	4	14	2	.242	.307	.414	.721	.172	.291	25	8	.318	101	+1	+2	-8	-6	+16	0.5
2029	27	MLB	STL	566	511	123	22	2	20	46	143	4	13	2	.241	.308	.409	.717	.168	.291	25	8	.318	102	+1	+2	-8	-6	+16	0.5
2030	28	MLB	STL	558	504	121	22	2	20	45	142	4	12	1	.240	.307	.411	.718	.171	.291	25	8	.317	101	+0	+2	-9	-6	+16	0.3
2031	29	MLB	STL	546	492	117	21	2	19	45	141	4	11	1	.238	.307	.404	.711	.167	.290	26	8	.315	99	-1	+2	-9	-6	+15	0.2
2032	30	MLB	STL	534	481	113	20	1	19	44	140	4	10	0	.235	.304	.399	.704	.164	.289	26	8	.312	97	-2	+2	-10	-6	+15	-0.1
2033	31	MLB	STL	519	467	108	19	1	18	43	138	4	7	0	.231	.302	.392	.693	.161	.287	27	8	.308	94	-4	+1	-10	-6	+15	-0.4
2034	32	MLB	STL	500	452	102	18	1	16	41	135	3	5	0	.226	.294	.376	.670	.150	.286	27	8	.303	90	-6	+1	-11	-5	+14	-0.7
2035	33	MLB	STL	470	426	96	17	1	15	38	130	3	3	0	.225	.293	.376	.669	.150	.284	28	8	.297	86	-8	+1	-11	-5	+13	-1.0
2036	34	MLB	STL	423	383	85	15	1	13	34	121	3	1	0	.222	.290	.368	.659	.146	.282	29	8	.291	81	-9	+0	-11	-5	+12	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8279	7501	1783	339	28	269	636	2219	73	166	28	.238	.304	.398	.701	.160	.299	27	8	.309	95	-48	+22	-126	-89	+235	-0.7
/ 162G	—			650	589	140	27	2	21	50	174	6	13	2	.238	.304	.397	.701	.160	.299	27	8	.309	95	-4	+2	-10	-7	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A+	Peoria Chiefs	244	226	66	14	3	8	15	66	3	13	2	.292	.344	.487	.831	.195	.382	27	6	.366	138	+10	+2	—	—	+7	2.0
2021	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	122	99	37	11	1	6	18	21	3	1	0	.374	.483	.687	1.170	.313	.419	17	15	.493	236	+19	+0	—	—	+3	2.3
2022	20	AA	Springfield Cardinals	536	461	141	31	3	19	58	116	9	22	5	.306	.394	.510	.904	.204	.365	22	11	.393	159	+36	+2	—	—	+15	5.5
2022	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	90	77	22	6	0	5	10	23	1	3	2	.286	.375	.558	.933	.273	.333	26	11	.398	162	+6	-0	—	—	+3	0.9
2023	21	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	465	420	116	19	2	16	37	104	6	7	4	.276	.343	.445	.789	.169	.331	22	8	.350	126	+14	-0	-12	-6	+13	0.8
2023	21	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	135	113	27	6	0	4	16	32	4	4	0	.239	.353	.398	.752	.159	.291	24	12	.337	116	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	178	164	33	10	1	5	10	50	2	1	0	.201	.256	.366	.622	.165	.252	28	6	.274	68	-7	+0	-5	-6	+5	-1.3
2024	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	377	342	90	23	3	9	31	73	2	4	3	.263	.328	.427	.755	.164	.309	19	8	.334	114	+6	-0	—	—	+11	1.7
2025	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	396	363	78	13	1	6	29	126	3	10	3	.215	.278	.306	.584	.091	.310	32	7	.267	62	-17	+1	-7	-5	+11	-1.7
2025	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	17	16	4	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	.250	.294	.250	.544	.000	.400	35	6	.254	53	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	43	38	6	3	0	2	5	12	0	1	0	.158	.256	.395	.651	.237	.167	28	12	.289	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1039	947	227	42	4	27	76	280	11	18	7	.240	.304	.378	.682	.138	.310	27	7	.305	92	-10	+1	-24	-17	+29	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordan Walker (OGILVIE)	24	35	55	60	45	.243/.308/.423	.180	.281	20	12	22%	8%	107	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Casper Wells 2009 · AA	24	43→46	56→60	53→50	44	.227/.300/.420	.192	.273	23	16	26%	7%	102	+1.9	.223/.292/.415	.192	.289	23	11	30%	7%	98	+1.6	.225/.297/.431	.205	.278	24	7	27%	7%	99	+1.1
✕Jonny DeLuca 2023 · AA	25	40→37	58→60	56→55	46	.219/.281/.421	.202	.243	26	15	23%	7%	95	+1.4	.228/.292/.398	.170	.264	19	18	22%	7%	92	+1.2	.228/.294/.381	.153	.268	16	23	21%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Jerry Sands 2012 · MLB	24	44→46	57→60	48→45	46	.235/.298/.432	.197	.279	25	7	26%	8%	105	+2.1	.215/.281/.369	.154	.280	19	4	29%	8%	80	+0.4	.236/.302/.383	.147	.286	16	2	23%	8%	90	+0.6
●Christopher Morel 2023 · MLB	24	41→46	54→60	49→50	41	.216/.279/.394	.178	.298	22	15	34%	7%	86	+0.8	.225/.298/.429	.204	.290	27	11	31%	9%	104	+2.0	.219/.298/.421	.202	.276	27	10	30%	9%	99	+1.4
✕Justin Maxwell 2008 · MLB	24	42→45	55→60	54→60	39	.221/.279/.401	.180	.298	24	19	34%	6%	89	+0.9	.219/.293/.380	.161	.300	19	27	32%	9%	89	+0.9	.221/.295/.429	.208	.301	26	17	34%	9%	97	+0.7
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	54→55	56→55	42	.224/.287/.400	.176	.302	22	22	33%	7%	92	+1.2	.204/.276/.344	.140	.280	16	17	31%	8%	72	-0.2	.184/.266/.306	.121	.251	14	16	31%	9%	55	-0.9
●Chris Young 2008 · MLB	24	42→49	58→60	54→55	47	.231/.295/.441	.210	.261	26	22	23%	8%	105	+2.1	.238/.310/.431	.193	.285	21	17	24%	9%	109	+2.4	.239/.321/.424	.186	.290	20	17	24%	10%	107	+2.4
✕Alexander Canario 2023 · AAA	23	36→34	58→60	53→50	39	.206/.265/.407	.201	.278	27	17	36%	7%	84	+0.6	.216/.277/.401	.185	.303	24	12	35%	7%	88	+0.9	.211/.275/.376	.165	.297	22	8	35%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Clint Frazier 2019 · MLB	24	47→46	51→55	52→50	43	.235/.293/.403	.168	.305	17	11	28%	7%	94	+1.3	.233/.302/.404	.171	.299	19	7	27%	8%	98	+1.6	.221/.305/.391	.169	.282	19	5	28%	9%	93	+0.6
●Davis Schneider 2023 · AAA	24	41→44	50→55	53→50	45	.206/.286/.363	.157	.300	18	12	36%	10%	82	+0.5	.219/.316/.410	.191	.291	23	10	31%	11%	106	+2.2	.213/.322/.409	.196	.275	24	9	30%	12%	106	+1.6
●Victor Diaz 2006 · MLB	24	50→51	56→60	50	45	.258/.314/.455	.197	.324	24	12	28%	7%	117	+2.9	.226/.274/.379	.153	.310	19	8	32%	6%	80	+0.4	.230/.305/.438	.207	.323	30	9	36%	8%	108	+1.3
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→38	54→60	52→50	37	.208/.266/.387	.178	.310	23	17	39%	7%	79	+0.3	.209/.272/.395	.186	.271	26	12	32%	7%	84	+0.6	.200/.266/.385	.185	.241	27	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Ryan Rua 2014 · AA	24	37→47	55	53→50	41	.207/.267/.392	.184	.252	23	10	29%	6%	81	+0.4	.231/.286/.381	.150	.293	18	8	27%	6%	85	+0.7	.238/.297/.373	.135	.306	16	9	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Joe Benson 2012 · MLB	24	47→50	53→60	49→50	43	.236/.308/.417	.181	.320	19	14	31%	8%	105	+2.1	.210/.275/.353	.143	.292	14	14	31%	7%	73	-0.1	.208/.279/.321	.113	.282	9	13	28%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Brandon Allen 2011 · MLB	25	43→47	54→55	50	47	.225/.300/.405	.180	.280	22	11	28%	9%	98	+1.6	.221/.297/.396	.175	.289	20	9	29%	9%	94	+1.3	.214/.284/.389	.175	.276	20	6	29%	8%	84	+0.4
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2008 · AA	24	37→47	54→55	51→50	42	.207/.268/.381	.174	.255	23	10	29%	7%	79	+0.3	.212/.262/.374	.162	.265	19	10	27%	5%	74	-0.1	.240/.297/.413	.174	.280	20	7	22%	7%	94	+0.9
✕Wladimir Balentien 2008 · AAA	24	42→45	52→55	49→50	41	.218/.275/.386	.167	.290	21	12	32%	7%	82	+0.5	.221/.281/.392	.171	.271	21	9	26%	7%	86	+0.8	.219/.279/.399	.180	.260	22	7	25%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Brandon Wood 2009 · MLB	24	40→45	55→65	50	40	.217/.271/.401	.184	.280	24	11	32%	6%	85	+0.7	.209/.255/.359	.150	.264	20	5	29%	5%	67	-0.5	.196/.241/.325	.130	.246	17	1	28%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Nick Pratto 2023 · MLB	24	37→43	59→55	50	46	.204/.297/.414	.211	.281	27	9	36%	10%	99	+1.7	.197/.272/.341	.144	.297	17	9	37%	8%	70	-0.3	.183/.252/.298	.116	.279	13	9	37%	8%	48	-1.4
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	52→60	55→50	45	.253/.312/.425	.172	.306	19	22	23%	7%	108	+2.3	.261/.317/.468	.207	.304	29	15	24%	7%	121	+3.2	.244/.300/.437	.193	.276	28	12	23%	7%	102	+1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)