Jordan Walker — OGILVIE

Jordan WalkerRF St. Louis Cardinals

Age 24 R/R 6'6" / 250 lbs MLB Svc 2.256S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION395 act + 263 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 111100vR 71

AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .325 / .453

PA263

HR11

SB10

K%26

BB%8

BABIP320

ISO193

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

Whiff%

649.5%

xwOBA

570.317

POWER55

Barrel%

7511.9

Avg EV

9092.9

Bat Spd

9077.7

EYE45

Chase%

9021.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.1

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 681 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

187

494

—

wRC+

108

◀◀L

wOBA

326

271

◀◀L

ISO

180

127

◀◀L

BABIP

314

298

◀L

27.8%

32.2%

◀L

BB%

9.1%

6.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.256 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+1.6	$12M	+$12M
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+2.5	$19M	+$14M
2028	Arb-3	$8M	+2.5	$17M	+$11M
2029	Arb-4	$11M	+2.4	$15M	+$7M
Totals		$24M		$64M	+$45M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A+	2 teams	—	366	337	88	22	3	11	21	116	6	14	2	261	316	442	758	181	363	32	6	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A+	2 teams	—	366	325	103	25	4	14	33	87	6	14	2	317	390	548	938	231	394	24	9	408	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA	2 teams	—	626	564	157	37	4	18	42	167	10	25	7	278	339	454	793	176	357	27	7	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA	2 teams	—	626	538	163	37	3	24	68	139	10	25	7	303	391	517	908	214	361	22	11	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	MLB	2 teams	—	600	538	140	24	2	20	48	143	10	11	4	260	332	424	756	164	317	24	8	332	112	+8	+1	-12	-6	+17	0.7
2023	21	MLB	2 teams	—	600	533	143	25	2	20	53	136	10	11	4	268	346	435	781	167	323	23	9	347	124	+16	+1	-12	-6	+17	1.5
2024	22	AAA	2 teams	—	555	516	114	32	3	12	31	147	4	5	3	221	270	364	635	143	283	26	6	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	2 teams	—	555	506	123	33	4	14	41	123	4	5	3	243	305	407	712	164	292	22	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	3 teams	—	456	419	86	16	1	7	33	150	3	11	3	205	268	298	566	93	300	33	7	256	54	-23	+1	-7	-5	+13	-2.1
2025	23	MLB	3 teams	—	456	417	88	16	1	8	35	144	3	11	3	211	277	312	589	101	301	32	8	269	64	-19	+1	-7	-5	+13	-1.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	MLB	STL	—	395	357	105	19	0	22	32	98	3	13	5	294	357	532	889	238	346	25	8	380	149	+22	+1	-1	-4	+11	2.9
YTD	24	MLB	STL	—	395	357	105	19	0	22	32	98	3	13	5	294	357	532	889	238	346	25	8	386	154	+24	+1	-1	-4	+11	3.1
ROS	24	MLB	STL	100%	263	238	62	11	1	11	21	69	2	10	3	260	325	453	778	193	319	26	8	344	121	+6	+1	-1	-3	+7	1.0
ROS	24	MLB	STL	100%	263	238	62	11	1	11	21	69	2	10	3	261	326	454	779	193	319	26	8	337	116	+5	+1	-1	-3	+7	0.9
FULL	24	MLB	STL	—	658	595	167	30	1	33	53	167	5	23	8	281	345	501	845	220	336	25	8	363	136	+27	+1	-3	-7	+19	3.8
TOT	24	MLB	STL	—	658	595	167	30	1	33	53	167	5	23	8	281	344	501	845	220	336	25	8	366	138	+28	+1	-3	-7	+19	3.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	STL	92%	645	584	150	26	2	28	51	169	5	25	7	257	322	452	774	195	310	26	8	339	118	+13	+2	-4	-7	+18	2.3
2028	26	MLB	STL	92%	632	572	147	26	2	28	50	166	5	24	7	257	322	456	778	199	310	26	8	340	119	+13	+2	-3	-7	+18	2.3
2029	27	MLB	STL	92%	620	560	143	25	2	27	50	163	5	24	7	255	322	452	774	196	310	26	8	340	118	+13	+2	-3	-7	+18	2.3
2030	28	MLB	STL	92%	607	548	139	24	1	27	49	161	5	22	6	254	321	449	770	195	309	27	8	339	118	+12	+2	-4	-7	+17	2.1
2031	29	MLB	STL	92%	595	536	136	24	1	26	49	159	5	20	6	254	322	448	770	194	308	27	8	337	116	+11	+2	-5	-6	+17	1.8
2032	30	MLB	STL	92%	583	525	132	23	1	25	48	157	5	18	5	251	320	442	762	190	306	27	8	333	113	+9	+2	-5	-6	+17	1.6
2033	31	MLB	STL	92%	572	516	128	22	1	24	47	156	4	15	4	248	316	434	750	186	302	27	8	328	110	+6	+1	-6	-6	+16	1.2
2034	32	MLB	STL	92%	560	505	122	20	1	23	46	155	4	12	3	242	310	422	732	180	297	28	8	322	104	+3	+1	-7	-6	+16	0.7
2035	33	MLB	STL	92%	483	438	101	16	0	19	39	136	3	8	2	231	298	397	695	167	291	28	8	313	98	-1	+1	-7	-5	+14	0.1
2036	34	MLB	STL	88%	423	383	86	13	0	16	34	122	3	5	1	225	293	384	677	159	283	29	8	303	90	-5	+1	-7	-5	+12	-0.4
2037	35	MLB	STL	83%	369	335	71	10	0	13	29	109	2	3	1	212	279	358	637	146	274	30	8	291	81	-8	+0	-8	-4	+10	-0.9
2027	25	MLB	STL	92%	593	536	138	24	2	26	47	156	5	23	6	257	323	455	778	198	310	26	8	333	113	+9	+2	-3	-6	+17	1.8
2028	26	MLB	STL	92%	581	525	135	23	2	26	46	152	5	22	6	257	323	457	780	200	310	26	8	334	114	+9	+2	-3	-6	+16	1.8
2029	27	MLB	STL	92%	570	514	131	23	1	25	46	150	5	22	6	255	322	449	772	195	309	26	8	334	114	+9	+2	-3	-6	+16	1.8
2030	28	MLB	STL	92%	558	503	127	22	1	24	45	148	5	20	6	252	320	443	763	191	309	27	8	333	113	+8	+2	-4	-6	+16	1.6
2031	29	MLB	STL	92%	547	493	125	22	1	24	45	146	4	19	5	254	321	448	769	195	307	27	8	330	111	+7	+2	-4	-6	+15	1.4
2032	30	MLB	STL	92%	536	483	121	21	1	23	44	144	4	16	5	251	318	441	759	190	305	27	8	327	109	+5	+1	-5	-6	+15	1.1
2033	31	MLB	STL	92%	526	474	117	20	1	22	43	143	4	14	4	247	315	432	747	186	302	27	8	322	105	+3	+1	-5	-6	+15	0.8
2034	32	MLB	STL	92%	515	464	113	19	1	21	42	142	4	11	3	244	312	425	736	181	297	28	8	316	100	-0	+1	-6	-6	+15	0.4
2035	33	MLB	STL	92%	444	402	93	15	0	17	36	125	3	8	2	231	299	396	695	164	291	28	8	308	94	-3	+1	-6	-5	+13	-0.1
2036	34	MLB	STL	88%	370	334	75	11	0	14	30	106	3	5	1	225	294	383	678	159	283	29	8	297	86	-6	+1	-6	-4	+10	-0.5
2037	35	MLB	STL	83%	306	277	60	9	0	11	24	90	2	3	1	217	284	368	652	152	274	29	8	286	77	-8	+0	-6	-3	+9	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6848	6190	1524	262	15	271	545	1851	57	191	55	246	313	425	738	179	305	27	8	321	104	+27	+16	-78	-80	+194	8.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	145	25	1	26	52	176	5	18	5	247	313	425	738	179	306	27	8	321	104	+3	+2	-7	-8	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	8955	8114	2002	371	25	335	688	2445	81	252	71	247	312	422	734	176	309	27	8	323	105	+54	+22	-84	-96	+254	15.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	145	27	2	24	50	177	6	18	5	246	312	421	733	175	309	27	8	323	105	+4	+2	-6	-7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	244	226	66	14	3	8	15	66	3	13	2	292	344	487	831	195	382	27	6	366	138	+10	+2	—	—	+7	2.0
2021	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	122	99	37	11	1	6	18	21	3	1	0	374	483	687	1.170	313	419	17	15	493	236	+19	+0	—	—	+3	2.3
2022	20	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	536	461	141	31	3	19	58	116	9	22	5	306	394	510	904	204	365	22	11	393	159	+36	+2	—	—	+15	5.5
2022	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	90	77	22	6	0	5	10	23	1	3	2	286	375	558	933	273	333	26	11	398	162	+6	-0	—	—	+3	0.9
2023	21	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	465	420	116	19	2	16	37	104	6	7	4	276	343	445	789	169	331	22	8	350	126	+14	-0	-12	-6	+13	0.8
2023	21	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	135	113	27	6	0	4	16	32	4	4	0	239	353	398	752	159	291	24	12	337	116	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	178	164	33	10	1	5	10	50	2	1	0	201	256	366	622	165	252	28	6	274	68	-7	+0	-5	-6	+5	-1.3
2024	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	377	342	90	23	3	9	31	73	2	4	3	263	328	427	755	164	309	19	8	334	114	+6	-0	—	—	+11	1.7
2025	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	396	363	78	13	1	6	29	126	3	10	3	215	278	306	584	91	310	32	7	267	62	-17	+1	-7	-5	+11	-1.7
2025	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	17	16	4	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	250	294	250	544		400	35	6	254	53	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	43	38	6	3	0	2	5	12	0	1	0	158	256	395	651	237	167	28	12	289	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1039	947	227	42	4	27	76	280	11	18	7	240	304	378	682	138	310	27	7	305	92	-10	+1	-24	-17	+29	-2.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Justin Uptonlast yr '22 AS×4SS×2 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,649 PA	16	7,649	325	151	261	342	469	-82	-91	29.6	27.0
	/162	664	28	13	261	342	469	-7.1	-7.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#2Hunter Pencelast yr '20 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,006 PA	14	7,006	244	120	279	334	461	-68	-67	24.3	22.9
	/162	664	23	11	279	334	461	-6.5	-6.4	2.3	pk7: 21
#3Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	13	6,603	318	65	245	314	469	-71	-54	19.6	19.5
#3Jay Brucelast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA	/162	664	32	7	245	314	469	-7.1	-5.4	2.0	pk7: 19
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	7,633	304	223	249	311	429	-82	-116	21.1	18.8
	/162	664	26	19	249	311	429	-7.1	-10.1	1.8	pk7: 17
#4Mark Reynoldslast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,243 PA	13	6,243	298	64	236	328	453	-49	-105	15.9	16.3
	/162	664	32	7	236	328	453	-5.2	-11.1	1.7	pk7: 17
#5Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	11	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.7
#5Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	/162	664	24	17	252	326	437	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#6Juan Encarnacionlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,344 PA	8	4,344	129	84	270	319	435	-39	-48	8.7	9.0
	/162	664	20	13	270	319	435	-5.9	-7.3	1.3	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jordan Walker (OGILVIE)	24	35	55	60	45	281/344/501	220	336	33	23	25%	8%	138	+3.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Chris Young 2008 · MLB	24	43→49	58→60	54→55	47	232/295/441	210	259	26	22	23%	7%	105	+2.1	238/312/432	194	286	21	17	24%	9%	110	+2.4	239/321/428	189	289	20	17	24%	10%	109	+2.5
✕Justin Maxwell 2009 · MLB	25	42→44	54→60	55→60	44	221/289/403	182	280	23	23	30%	8%	93	+1.3	218/297/368	150	319	17	29	34%	9%	87	+0.8	223/297/433	210	304	27	17	34%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Casper Wells 2009 · AA	24	42→46	56→60	53→50	44	226/297/423	197	271	24	16	27%	7%	102	+1.9	224/293/423	199	289	24	10	30%	7%	100	+1.7	228/301/438	210	281	24	7	27%	8%	103	+1.3
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	54→60	55→50	45	256/314/439	183	307	21	23	24%	7%	112	+2.6	258/314/460	202	301	28	14	24%	7%	118	+3.0	245/301/434	189	280	27	12	23%	7%	103	+1.2
●Victor Diaz 2006 · MLB	24	50→51	56→60	50	45	258/315/456	198	324	24	12	28%	8%	117	+2.9	225/273/377	152	310	19	8	33%	6%	79	+0.3	231/306/431	200	325	29	9	36%	8%	106	+1.2
✕Jonny DeLuca 2023 · AA	25	40→38	58→60	56→55	46	219/283/421	202	243	26	15	23%	7%	95	+1.4	228/293/391	163	266	18	19	21%	7%	92	+1.2	228/294/377	150	266	16	23	21%	7%	85	+0.3
●Oneil Cruz 2023 · MLB	24	44→53	57→60	54→60	42	231/290/432	201	300	25	20	31%	7%	101	+1.8	237/308/423	186	317	22	24	31%	9%	105	+2.1	238/321/427	189	324	23	34	32%	10%	106	+1.7
✕Joe Benson 2012 · MLB	24	46→48	55→60	49→50	43	236/307/431	196	313	22	14	31%	8%	108	+2.3	208/272/352	144	288	14	14	31%	7%	72	-0.2	207/277/319	112	282	9	13	28%	7%	64	-0.5
●Trevor Story 2019 · MLB	26	44→49	57→60	53→55	45	232/298/434	201	292	24	17	29%	8%	105	+2.1	241/312/434	193	297	22	21	26%	9%	111	+2.5	234/312/421	187	284	21	23	25%	9%	104	+1.7
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	46→50	55→60	54→60	42	238/298/423	185	313	23	22	31%	7%	102	+1.8	255/317/463	208	319	27	28	28%	8%	120	+3.1	247/320/444	197	301	28	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
✕Jake Fraley 2020 · MLB	25	50	56→60	52→55	41	256/305/454	199	317	22	18	27%	5%	113	+2.6	245/325/428	183	313	22	18	27%	10%	115	+2.7	241/341/414	173	287	23	23	23%	12%	114	+1.5
✕Dustin Harris 2023 · AA	24	46→51	56→55	54→60	46	243/303/433	190	278	25	19	23%	7%	107	+2.2	226/297/362	136	291	14	29	26%	8%	85	+0.7	236/306/357	121	292	13	33	22%	8%	85	+0.6
★Tyler O'Neill 2019 · MLB	24	41→51	62→65	51→50	40	230/288/454	224	300	32	10	35%	7%	107	+2.2	236/294/450	214	315	31	11	34%	7%	108	+2.3	252/328/462	210	318	28	16	29%	9%	123	+2.3
●Jo Adell 2022 · MLB	23	43→44	57→65	50	36	231/275/429	198	308	26	10	34%	5%	94	+1.3	218/276/423	205	293	27	12	34%	6%	93	+1.3	218/285/448	231	251	34	12	29%	7%	102	+1.5
●Josh Lowe 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	53→55	58→60	45	239/303/408	169	318	21	25	31%	8%	100	+1.7	251/307/423	172	352	19	28	32%	7%	105	+2.1	252/308/426	174	353	19	33	32%	7%	102	+1.5
★George Springer 2015 · MLB	25	44→54	57→70	55	44	229/310/424	195	320	26	22	35%	9%	108	+2.3	256/346/445	189	317	24	13	25%	11%	128	+3.6	269/357/488	218	293	30	6	19%	11%	140	+4.5
●Elijah Dukes 2008 · MLB	24	47→52	53→55	47→50	54	241/323/415	174	271	20	12	20%	10%	110	+2.4	244/342/414	170	292	17	14	21%	12%	118	+3.0	247/350/417	170	297	16	14	21%	12%	117	+2.2
✕Blake Tekotte 2012 · MLB	25	44→48	53→55	53→55	44	228/293/405	176	290	21	24	29%	8%	95	+1.4	199/253/331	132	275	13	16	31%	6%	59	-1.1	189/253/305	116	256	9	10	28%	6%	49	-0.9
●Keston Hiura 2021 · MLB	24	49→56	59→65	47→50	40	254/319/467	213	337	28	12	32%	6%	123	+3.3	237/319/444	207	338	28	8	36%	8%	117	+2.9	239/314/472	233	328	36	3	37%	7%	119	+1.8
●Randal Grichuk 2016 · MLB	24	45→50	57→70	47→45	38	237/281/443	206	295	24	8	29%	5%	100	+1.7	241/289/476	235	297	29	7	29%	6%	112	+2.6	237/287/481	244	284	32	5	29%	5%	111	+2.1