Davis Schneider — OGILVIE

Davis SchneiderLF Toronto Blue Jays

Age 27 R/R 5'8" / 190 lbs MLB Svc 2.169S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION228 act + 152 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8495vR 121

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .331 / .383

PA152

HR5

K%29

BB%14

BABIP275

ISO172

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

Whiff%

5810.1%

xwOBA

410.298

POWER60

Barrel%

7912.5

Avg EV

5289.3

Bat Spd

5571.8

EYE60

Chase%

9021.5%

SPEED50

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 731 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

289

442

—

wRC+

102

▶▶R

wOBA

282

318

▶R

ISO

125

190

▶▶R

BABIP

263

261

—

31.8%

29.0%

▶R

BB%

13.1%

12.4%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.169 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+1.3	$10M	+$7M
2028	Arb-3	$4M	+1.2	$8M	+$5M
2029	Arb-4	$5M	+1.0	$6M	+$2M
Totals		$13M		$26M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	210	182	30	8	1	3	22	52	2	3	1	165	262	269	531	104	206	25	10	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	210	168	40	12	1	4	36	36	2	3	1	238	379	393	771	155	273	17	17	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	161	142	22	5	1	2	13	67	3	4	4	155	241	246	487	92	267	42	8	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	161	133	31	8	1	3	22	47	3	4	4	233	354	376	730	143	329	29	14	328	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	179	152	27	5	1	8	21	81	2	0	1	178	286	382	667	204	288	45	12	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	179	147	34	7	1	9	26	59	2	0	1	231	354	476	830	245	305	33	15	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	3 teams	—	454	403	81	14	4	14	45	151	4	17	2	201	288	360	647	159	279	33	10	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	3 teams	—	454	383	97	22	4	16	65	116	4	17	2	253	367	457	824	204	320	26	14	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	533	446	106	28	2	29	72	152	10	10	3	238	356	504	861	267	285	29	14	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	533	425	117	33	2	29	93	129	10	10	3	275	417	567	984	292	324	24	17	424	183	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	454	397	76	19	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	191	285	343	628	151	257	32	10	279	71	-15	+1	-0	-5	+13	-0.6
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	454	397	76	19	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	191	285	343	628	151	257	32	10	283	75	-13	+1	-0	-5	+13	-0.4
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	387	328	70	9	2	16	53	117	4	6	2	213	330	399	729	186	274	30	14	320	103	+1	+0	-2	-4	+11	0.7
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	387	321	74	11	2	15	60	106	4	6	2	231	358	417	776	187	292	27	16	349	125	+11	+0	-2	-4	+11	1.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	TOR	—	228	179	34	9	0	6	40	64	5	5	2	190	353	341	693	151	250	28	18	315	99	-0	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.4
YTD	27	MLB	TOR	—	228	169	34	9	0	6	50	60	5	5	2	201	397	361	758	160	264	26	22	350	126	+7	+0	+0	-2	+6	1.2
ROS	27	MLB	TOR	100%	152	128	27	7	0	5	21	44	2	3	1	211	331	383	714	172	277	29	14	330	111	+2	+0	+1	-2	+4	0.6
ROS	27	MLB	TOR	100%	152	128	27	7	0	5	21	44	2	3	1	211	331	383	714	172	278	29	14	319	102	+0	+0	+1	-2	+4	0.4
FULL	27	MLB	TOR	—	380	307	61	16	0	11	61	108	7	8	3	199	344	358	702	160	260	28	16	317	100	+0	+0	+1	-4	+11	0.9
TOT	27	MLB	TOR	—	380	307	61	16	0	11	61	108	7	8	3	199	344	358	702	160	260	28	16	321	104	+2	+0	+1	-4	+11	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TOR	82%	382	319	69	17	1	13	54	111	6	6	2	216	340	398	738	182	279	29	14	330	111	+5	+0	+1	-4	+11	1.3
2028	29	MLB	TOR	82%	382	319	69	17	1	13	54	111	6	6	2	216	340	398	738	182	278	29	14	328	109	+4	+0	+0	-4	+11	1.2
2029	30	MLB	TOR	82%	382	318	67	16	1	13	55	112	6	5	2	211	338	390	728	179	276	29	14	325	107	+3	+0	-0	-4	+11	1.0
2027	28	MLB	TOR	82%	313	261	57	14	1	11	44	91	5	5	2	218	342	406	748	188	281	29	14	320	103	+1	+0	+1	-3	+9	0.8
2028	29	MLB	TOR	82%	313	260	57	14	1	11	45	91	5	5	1	219	345	408	753	188	279	29	14	318	101	+1	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.7
2029	30	MLB	TOR	82%	313	260	54	13	0	10	45	92	5	4	1	208	335	373	709	165	277	29	14	315	99	-0	+0	-0	-3	+9	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1913	1610	347	84	4	69	259	565	28	27	6	216	334	401	735	186	281	30	14	323	105	+11	+3	+2	-19	+54	5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	547	118	29	1	23	88	192	10	9	2	216	335	399	733	183	283	30	14	323	105	+4	+1	+1	-6	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	3676	3134	644	145	15	129	457	1142	50	66	20	205	316	385	701	179	272	31	12	310	95	-19	+5	+2	-32	+104	6.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	554	115	26	3	23	81	202	9	12	4	208	318	390	708	182	275	31	12	310	95	-3	+1	+0	-6	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	210	168	40	12	1	4	36	36	2	3	1	238	379	393	771	155	273	17	17	346	123	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.2
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	161	133	31	8	1	3	22	47	3	4	4	233	354	376	730	143	329	29	14	328	110	+2	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2021	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	179	147	34	7	1	9	26	59	2	0	1	231	354	476	830	245	305	33	15	359	133	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
2022	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	75	60	14	4	0	2	14	20	1	1	1	233	387	400	787	167	316	27	19	361	134	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	190	166	47	8	3	6	22	46	1	10	0	283	370	476	846	193	357	24	12	373	143	+9	+2	—	—	+5	1.7
2022	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	189	157	36	10	1	8	29	50	2	6	1	229	356	459	815	229	280	26	15	361	134	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.4
2023	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	141	116	32	12	1	8	21	43	4	1	0	276	404	603	1.008	328	369	30	15	434	190	+14	+0	+2	+2	+4	2.3
2023	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	392	309	85	21	1	21	72	86	6	9	3	275	421	553	975	278	309	22	18	421	180	+35	+1	—	—	+11	4.8
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	454	397	76	19	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	191	285	343	628	151	257	32	10	283	75	-13	+1	-0	-5	+13	-0.4
2025	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	227	188	44	5	0	11	36	60	2	3	1	234	363	436	799	202	280	26	16	358	132	+8	+0	-2	-4	+6	0.9
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	160	133	30	6	2	4	24	46	2	3	1	226	352	391	743	165	310	29	15	336	115	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	822	701	152	36	2	32	104	247	11	10	1	217	327	411	738	194	280	30	13	330	110	+10	+2	+0	-7	+23	2.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	6	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	24	7	230	317	416	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,031	72	27	211	325	394	-22	-0	5.0	5.2
	/162	664	24	9	211	325	394	-7.1	-0.1	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	7	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	/162	664	16	9	239	330	385	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Ricky Ledeelast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,897 PA	7	1,897	52	21	239	323	404	-8	-6	5.0	5.0
	/162	664	18	7	239	323	404	-2.9	-2.1	1.7	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	7	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
	/162	664	28	0	220	342	411	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Davis Schneider (OGILVIE)	27	35	60	50	60	199/344/358	160	260	11	8	28%	16%	104	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→37	52→55	46→40	48	203/292/382	179	269	18	6	31%	10%	89	+1.0	195/284/360	165	248	20	6	29%	10%	81	+0.4	169/268/327	158	201	23	3	29%	11%	62	-0.4
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	43→41	54→55	52→50	50	221/307/408	188	288	21	13	30%	10%	102	+1.8	208/299/363	155	294	17	15	32%	10%	87	+0.8	177/275/304	127	268	13	16	36%	10%	59	-0.5
✕DJ Stewart 2021 · MLB	27	42→47	55→60	44→50	51	224/310/412	188	265	23	8	25%	10%	104	+2.0	224/324/413	189	278	25	5	28%	11%	111	+2.5	212/319/414	202	253	29	2	28%	11%	105	+1.0
✕Clint Frazier 2022 · MLB	27	44→45	51→55	48→50	53	223/318/386	163	288	18	7	28%	11%	101	+1.8	199/286/319	120	299	12	11	35%	9%	70	-0.3	180/265/284	104	278	11	12	36%	9%	50	-1.0
✕Jabari Blash 2016 · AAA	27	39→41	58→60	48→50	44	214/292/419	206	279	27	9	33%	8%	98	+1.6	208/310/397	189	306	24	7	37%	11%	101	+1.8	194/309/387	193	292	25	6	39%	12%	95	+0.9
✕Ian Stewart 2012 · MLB	27	39→49	51→60	46→45	49	206/288/366	160	263	20	8	29%	10%	83	+0.6	180/261/310	130	264	15	5	35%	9%	57	-1.2	146/232/263	117	224	13	2	39%	9%	28	-1.2
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→38	50	47→45	50	192/289/343	151	253	19	7	31%	10%	79	+0.3	193/288/320	127	267	14	10	30%	11%	72	-0.2	180/282/293	113	252	12	11	31%	12%	61	-0.6
●Mike Hessman 2005 · MLB	27	41→36	53→65	48→45	42	218/278/388	170	277	21	7	29%	7%	85	+0.7	184/254/370	186	239	27	6	35%	7%	71	-0.3	197/276/419	222	259	31	4	36%	8%	91	+1.0
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕Jon Knott 2006 · MLB	27	39→40	52→55	49→40	44	209/275/377	167	251	19	4	25%	7%	80	+0.4	220/285/403	183	265	22	4	26%	7%	91	+1.1	216/283/399	183	257	22	3	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Paul DeJong 2022 · MLB	28	41→50	56→60	47→45	49	222/304/405	184	258	25	7	25%	9%	101	+1.8	210/274/390	180	262	25	6	30%	7%	84	+0.6	227/278/404	177	297	25	5	32%	5%	87	+0.6
●David Cook 2008 · AA	27	42→50	53→60	47→50	48	219/295/396	177	274	21	10	28%	9%	94	+1.3	232/308/409	177	289	21	10	26%	9%	102	+1.9	227/305/403	176	281	21	10	26%	9%	97	+1.2
●Shelley Duncan 2007 · AAA	27	38→45	57→60	45	41	213/266/402	190	250	26	4	27%	6%	84	+0.6	227/292/430	203	261	28	5	25%	8%	102	+1.8	224/296/436	211	249	30	4	24%	9%	103	+1.5
●David Fry 2023 · AAA	27	45→47	51→55	48→45	44	232/295/390	158	284	18	4	25%	7%	92	+1.2	242/316/414	172	296	20	7	24%	8%	107	+2.2	238/322/421	183	291	23	7	25%	9%	107	+1.0
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	28	38→47	56→60	47→50	41	208/261/408	199	257	23	8	30%	6%	82	+0.5	229/274/409	180	263	21	8	22%	5%	88	+0.9	250/295/458	208	274	27	11	20%	6%	108	+1.3
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→33	56→55	48→50	41	210/275/394	185	256	26	7	30%	6%	85	+0.7	229/303/422	193	298	25	11	31%	8%	104	+2.0	218/311/435	216	279	30	11	32%	10%	107	+0.8
●Patrick Wisdom 2019 · MLB	27	40→45	53→70	48→50	39	211/273/378	167	297	22	10	36%	7%	80	+0.4	211/277/411	200	291	29	10	37%	8%	91	+1.1	208/294/461	253	268	37	8	37%	10%	108	+1.6
●Mike Wilson 2011 · AAA	28	39→49	55→60	50	45	214/292/395	181	273	24	12	31%	8%	92	+1.2	235/302/398	163	315	19	8	30%	8%	97	+1.5	236/302/393	156	324	18	4	31%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Donnie Murphy 2010 · MLB	27	43→40	52→65	49→45	40	223/281/393	170	300	20	9	32%	6%	87	+0.8	230/290/428	198	276	24	5	26%	6%	100	+1.7	225/289/444	220	260	27	2	25%	7%	99	+0.7
✕Stuart Fairchild 2023 · MLB	27	44→42	52→50	50→55	42	223/298/390	167	299	20	13	31%	7%	94	+1.3	223/301/370	147	293	16	20	28%	8%	89	+1.0	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7