Davis Schneider — OGILVIE

Davis SchneiderLF Toronto Blue Jays

Age 27 R/R 5'8" / 190 lbs MLB HR +12%BB +4% Svc 2.169S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 0.4 · 2026

wRC+†vL 7195vR 105

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .304 / .380

PA350

HR13

K%30

BB%12

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

60→60

SPD

50→50

EYE

62↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.169 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.8M
2027	Arb-2	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Arb-3	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2029	Arb-4	$0.8M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	210	182	30	8	1	3	22	52	2	3	1	.165	.262	.269	.531	.104	.206	25	10	.245	46	-13	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.9
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	161	142	22	5	1	2	13	67	3	4	4	.155	.241	.246	.487	.092	.267	42	8	.221	27	-13	-1	+0	-2	+5	-1.1
2021	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	179	153	27	5	1	8	20	81	2	0	1	.176	.280	.379	.659	.203	.284	45	11	.282	74	-5	-0	+0	-2	+5	-0.3
2022	23	AA	3 teams	454	405	80	15	4	13	43	152	4	17	2	.198	.281	.351	.632	.153	.277	33	9	.279	72	-15	+3	+0	-5	+13	-0.4
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	533	446	109	29	2	29	72	150	10	10	3	.244	.362	.513	.875	.269	.294	28	14	.371	142	+25	+1	+2	+2	+15	4.6
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	454	397	76	20	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	.191	.285	.345	.630	.154	.257	32	10	.278	71	-15	+1	-0	-5	+13	-0.6
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	387	328	69	9	2	14	53	116	4	6	2	.210	.327	.378	.705	.168	.275	30	14	.311	97	-2	+0	-2	-4	+11	0.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	42	34	6	2	0	1	8	13	0	0	0	.176	.333	.324	.657	.147	.250	31	19	.305	91	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	TOR	308	263	51	11	1	11	39	93	3	4	1	.194	.305	.369	.674	.175	.251	30	13	.309	95	-2	+0	-1	-3	+9	0.3
TOT	27	MLB	TOR	350	297	57	13	1	12	47	106	3	4	1	.192	.308	.364	.672	.172	.249	30	13	.309	95	-2	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	TOR	456	390	76	16	2	17	58	125	5	5	1	.195	.307	.377	.684	.182	.237	27	13	.308	94	-3	+1	-2	-5	+13	0.3
2028	29	MLB	TOR	445	380	73	16	1	16	57	123	5	4	1	.192	.305	.366	.671	.174	.236	28	13	.306	93	-4	+0	-3	-5	+13	0.1
2029	30	MLB	TOR	435	371	71	15	1	16	56	122	5	3	1	.191	.306	.367	.672	.175	.234	28	13	.303	90	-5	+0	-4	-5	+12	-0.1
2030	31	MLB	TOR	420	359	67	14	1	15	54	119	4	1	0	.187	.300	.357	.656	.170	.232	28	13	.299	87	-6	+0	-4	-4	+12	-0.3
2031	32	MLB	TOR	401	343	64	14	1	14	51	116	4	0	0	.187	.299	.356	.655	.169	.230	29	13	.295	84	-7	+0	-5	-4	+11	-0.5
2032	33	MLB	TOR	371	317	57	12	1	12	47	110	4	0	0	.180	.293	.338	.631	.158	.228	30	13	.289	79	-9	+0	-6	-4	+11	-0.8
2033	34	MLB	TOR	326	279	48	10	1	10	41	99	3	0	0	.172	.285	.323	.607	.151	.225	30	13	.282	74	-10	+0	-6	-3	+9	-1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5540	4755	920	199	21	193	673	1669	63	63	17	.193	.302	.366	.668	.172	.248	30	12	.299	87	-82	+6	-31	-52	+157	-0.2
/ 162G	—			650	558	107	23	2	23	79	196	7	7	2	.192	.300	.364	.663	.172	.244	30	12	.299	87	-10	+1	-4	-6	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	210	168	40	12	1	4	36	36	2	3	1	.238	.379	.393	.771	.155	.273	17	17	.346	123	+6	+0	—	—	+6	1.2
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	161	133	31	8	1	3	22	47	3	4	4	.233	.354	.376	.730	.143	.329	29	14	.328	110	+2	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2021	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	179	147	34	7	1	9	26	59	2	0	1	.231	.354	.476	.830	.245	.305	33	15	.359	133	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
2022	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	75	60	14	4	0	2	14	20	1	1	1	.233	.387	.400	.787	.167	.316	27	19	.361	134	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	190	166	47	8	3	6	22	46	1	10	0	.283	.370	.476	.846	.193	.357	24	12	.373	143	+9	+2	—	—	+5	1.7
2022	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	189	157	36	10	1	8	29	50	2	6	1	.229	.356	.459	.815	.229	.280	26	15	.361	134	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.4
2023	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	141	116	32	12	1	8	21	43	4	1	0	.276	.404	.603	1.008	.328	.369	30	15	.434	190	+14	+0	+2	+2	+4	2.3
2023	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	392	309	85	21	1	21	72	86	6	9	3	.275	.421	.553	.975	.278	.309	22	18	.421	180	+35	+1	—	—	+11	4.8
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	454	397	76	19	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	.191	.285	.343	.628	.151	.257	32	10	.283	75	-13	+1	-0	-5	+13	-0.4
2025	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	227	188	44	5	0	11	36	60	2	3	1	.234	.363	.436	.799	.202	.280	26	16	.358	132	+8	+0	-2	-4	+6	0.9
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	160	133	30	6	2	4	24	46	2	3	1	.226	.352	.391	.743	.165	.310	29	15	.336	115	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			822	701	152	36	2	32	104	247	11	10	1	.217	.327	.411	.738	.194	.280	30	13	.330	110	+10	+2	+0	-7	+23	2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Davis Schneider (OGILVIE)	27	35	60	50	60	.196/.307/.376	.180	.238	13	5	27%	13%	95	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	40→43	55	51→55	45	.219/.283/.402	.182	.267	25	13	28%	8%	90	+1.0	.216/.279/.378	.162	.291	21	21	32%	8%	82	+0.5	.215/.294/.402	.188	.269	26	25	30%	10%	92	+0.8
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	37	52→55	46→40	48	.196/.288/.367	.171	.263	19	6	32%	10%	84	+0.6	.195/.284/.358	.163	.250	20	6	29%	10%	80	+0.4	.173/.269/.328	.156	.208	22	3	29%	10%	63	-0.3
✕Jabari Blash 2017 · MLB	28	38→40	57→60	46→50	45	.206/.298/.400	.194	.283	25	8	35%	10%	97	+1.5	.214/.315/.411	.197	.316	25	7	37%	11%	107	+2.2	.205/.314/.415	.209	.300	28	7	38%	12%	102	+1.4
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	44	54→55	52→50	48	.228/.308/.419	.191	.299	21	13	30%	10%	105	+2.1	.219/.307/.387	.168	.303	19	15	32%	10%	96	+1.5	.188/.286/.329	.140	.277	15	16	35%	11%	69	-0.2
●Mike Hessman 2005 · MLB	27	42→37	53→65	49→45	43	.223/.285/.396	.173	.282	21	8	29%	7%	89	+1.0	.185/.255/.369	.184	.240	26	6	35%	7%	71	-0.3	.197/.277/.420	.223	.260	31	4	36%	8%	91	+1.0
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→32	55	48→50	41	.206/.272/.384	.178	.253	25	7	30%	6%	82	+0.5	.228/.302/.420	.192	.300	25	10	31%	8%	103	+1.9	.222/.313/.433	.210	.294	28	11	32%	10%	107	+0.8
✕Jon Knott 2007 · MLB	28	40	55	45→40	45	.218/.280/.409	.191	.255	23	4	25%	7%	91	+1.1	.220/.287/.394	.174	.269	21	5	26%	8%	89	+1.0	.212/.283/.375	.163	.261	20	3	26%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Greg Bird 2019 · MLB	26	40→46	55	47→30	53	.215/.303/.403	.188	.249	22	3	24%	10%	99	+1.7	.213/.297/.386	.173	.267	21	4	28%	10%	92	+1.2	.184/.260/.333	.149	.236	20	1	31%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Joe Mather 2009 · MLB	27	43→45	57→60	51→50	46	.234/.298/.432	.199	.257	26	9	21%	7%	105	+2.1	.216/.275/.363	.147	.257	16	11	23%	6%	76	+0.1	.206/.260/.310	.104	.261	10	8	24%	7%	52	-0.7
●Ryan Schimpf 2015 · AAA	27	35→39	54→60	45	45	.196/.273/.377	.181	.253	22	5	32%	8%	80	+0.4	.202/.284/.408	.206	.248	27	3	30%	9%	93	+1.3	.188/.282/.411	.223	.223	31	1	32%	10%	88	+0.7
✕DJ Stewart 2021 · MLB	27	42→48	54→60	44→50	50	.224/.307/.403	.178	.267	22	9	25%	9%	101	+1.8	.224/.325/.409	.185	.279	24	5	28%	11%	110	+2.4	.212/.318/.409	.197	.253	28	2	28%	11%	104	+0.9
✕Clint Frazier 2022 · MLB	27	44→46	51→55	46→50	51	.226/.313/.393	.166	.290	19	7	28%	10%	100	+1.7	.200/.291/.325	.125	.297	13	11	34%	10%	74	-0.1	.180/.269/.291	.112	.273	12	12	36%	9%	54	-0.9
●Shelley Duncan 2007 · AAA	27	38→43	56→60	45	41	.214/.268/.400	.186	.254	25	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6	.227/.291/.429	.202	.262	28	5	25%	8%	101	+1.8	.225/.296/.436	.211	.249	30	4	24%	9%	103	+1.5
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→39	49→50	47→45	49	.192/.289/.338	.146	.258	18	7	32%	10%	77	+0.1	.192/.286/.318	.126	.265	14	10	31%	11%	70	-0.3	.179/.280/.288	.109	.251	11	11	31%	12%	58	-0.7
✕Casper Wells 2013 · MLB	28	44→46	56→60	47→50	46	.232/.304/.432	.200	.286	23	8	27%	8%	107	+2.2	.209/.278/.339	.130	.286	13	7	30%	8%	72	-0.2	.126/.186/.146	.021	.186	0	0	30%	7%	-22	-1.1
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	36→33	52→55	50	44	.192/.280/.359	.167	.275	20	12	36%	9%	79	+0.3	.185/.266/.345	.160	.294	20	12	41%	8%	69	-0.4	.162/.246/.317	.156	.267	21	12	45%	8%	51	-1.1
✕Christian Villanueva 2018 · MLB	27	43→45	52→55	44→50	45	.226/.281/.389	.164	.260	20	5	23%	6%	85	+0.7	.239/.299/.430	.191	.288	26	7	26%	6%	105	+2.1	.237/.300/.447	.210	.279	31	5	27%	6%	107	+1.4
✕Stuart Fairchild 2023 · MLB	27	44→43	53→50	50→55	42	.227/.302/.402	.174	.300	21	13	30%	7%	98	+1.6	.225/.303/.374	.149	.296	16	19	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.217/.302/.357	.140	.282	15	25	27%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Brandon Allen 2013 · MLB	27	42→47	53→55	49→50	48	.218/.300/.396	.177	.288	21	9	31%	10%	95	+1.4	.220/.283/.372	.152	.277	17	6	26%	8%	82	+0.5	.215/.279/.359	.144	.264	16	5	25%	8%	75	+0.0
✕David Bote 2021 · MLB	28	45→48	54→55	47→45	50	.232/.318/.410	.178	.292	22	9	28%	10%	107	+2.2	.218/.294/.367	.149	.276	17	7	26%	8%	85	+0.7	.227/.294/.384	.157	.293	17	8	27%	7%	87	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)