Davis Schneider — OGILVIE

Davis SchneiderLF Buffalo Bisons

Age 27 R/R 5'8" / 190 lbs MLB Svc 2.169S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION358 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 10099vR 93

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP244

ISO176

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

Whiff%

619.9%

xAVG

100.185

POWER60

Barrel%

7712.3

Avg EV

4989.1

Bat Spd

5571.8

EYE60

Chase%

9021.0%

SPEED50

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 731 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

289

442

—

wRC+

102

▶▶R

wOBA

282

318

▶R

ISO

125

190

▶▶R

BABIP

263

261

—

31.8%

29.0%

▶R

BB%

13.1%

12.4%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.169 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.2M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-4	$4M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	210	168	40	12	1	4	36	36	2	3	1	238	379	393	771	155	273	17	17	346	121	+5	+0	—	—	+5	1.0
2018	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	161	133	31	8	1	3	22	47	3	4	4	233	354	376	730	143	329	29	14	328	108	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.4
2021	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	179	147	34	7	1	9	26	59	2	0	1	231	354	476	830	245	305	33	15	359	129	+6	-0	—	—	+4	1.0
2022	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	75	60	14	4	0	2	14	20	1	1	1	233	387	400	787	167	316	27	19	361	130	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	190	166	47	8	3	6	22	46	1	10	0	283	370	476	846	193	357	24	12	373	138	+9	+2	—	—	+4	1.5
2022	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	189	157	36	10	1	8	29	50	2	6	1	229	356	459	815	229	280	26	15	361	130	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	141	116	32	12	1	8	21	43	4	1	0	276	404	603	1.008	328	369	30	15	434	180	+13	+0	+2	+2	+3	2.1
2023	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	392	309	85	21	1	21	72	86	6	9	3	275	421	553	975	278	309	22	18	421	171	+33	+1	—	—	+8	4.3
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	454	397	76	19	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	191	285	343	628	151	257	32	10	283	78	-12	+1	-0	-5	+10	-0.6
2025	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	227	188	44	5	0	11	36	60	2	3	1	234	363	436	799	202	280	26	16	358	128	+8	+0	-2	-4	+5	0.7
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	160	133	30	6	2	4	24	46	2	3	1	226	352	391	743	165	310	29	15	336	114	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	822	701	152	36	2	32	104	247	11	10	1	217	327	411	738	194	280	30	13	330	109	+9	+2	+0	-7	+18	2.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	210	182	30	8	1	3	22	52	2	3	1	165	262	269	531	104	204	25	10	245	52	-12	+0	—	—	+5	-0.7
2018	19	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	161	142	22	5	1	2	13	67	3	4	4	155	241	246	487	92	250	42	8	221	36	-12	-1	—	—	+3	-1.0
2021	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	179	153	26	5	1	7	20	80	2	0	1	170	274	353	627	183	261	45	11	275	72	-6	-0	—	—	+4	-0.2
2022	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	75	65	13	3	0	2	9	24	1	1	1	200	307	338	645	138	289	32	12	287	80	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2022	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	190	171	39	6	3	4	17	55	1	10	0	228	302	368	670	140	310	29	9	297	87	-3	+2	—	—	+4	0.3
2022	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	189	168	26	5	1	6	18	70	2	6	1	155	245	304	548	149	212	37	10	246	53	-11	+1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2023	24	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	141	116	32	12	1	8	21	43	4	1	0	276	404	603	1.008	328	369	30	15	429	176	+13	+0	+2	+2	+3	2.1
2023	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	392	330	73	17	1	17	51	106	6	9	3	221	336	433	769	212	251	27	13	328	108	+4	+1	—	—	+8	1.3
2024	25	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	454	397	76	19	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	191	285	343	628	151	257	32	10	279	75	-13	+1	-0	-5	+10	-0.8
2025	26	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	227	188	44	5	0	11	36	60	2	3	1	234	363	436	799	202	280	26	16	353	125	+7	+0	-2	-4	+5	0.6
2025	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	160	140	25	4	2	3	17	56	2	3	1	179	277	300	577	121	258	35	11	259	61	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	210	182	30	8	1	3	22	52	2	3	1	165	262	269	531	104	206	25	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	—	210	168	40	12	1	4	36	36	2	3	1	238	379	393	771	155	273	17	17	346	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	161	142	22	5	1	2	13	67	3	4	4	155	241	246	487	92	267	42	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	161	133	31	8	1	3	22	47	3	4	4	233	354	376	730	143	329	29	14	328	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	179	153	26	5	1	7	20	80	2	0	1	170	274	353	627	183	275	45	11	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	179	147	34	7	1	9	26	59	2	0	1	231	354	476	830	245	305	33	15	359	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	454	404	79	15	4	12	44	149	4	17	2	196	281	342	623	146	273	33	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	454	383	97	22	4	16	65	116	4	17	2	253	367	457	824	204	320	26	14	366	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	446	105	29	2	25	72	149	10	10	3	235	354	478	832	242	289	28	14	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	533	425	117	33	2	29	93	129	10	10	3	275	417	567	984	292	324	24	17	424	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	454	397	76	19	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	191	285	343	628	151	257	32	10	279	75	-13	+1	-0	-5	+10	-0.8
2024	25	MLB RAW	Toronto Blue Jays	—	454	397	76	19	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	191	285	343	628	151	257	32	10	283	75	-13	+1	-0	-5	+10	-0.8
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	387	328	68	9	2	14	53	116	4	6	2	207	325	375	700	168	270	30	14	314	99	-1	+0	-2	-4	+8	0.2
2025	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	387	321	74	11	2	15	60	106	4	6	2	231	358	417	776	187	292	27	16	349	99	-1	+0	-2	-4	+8	0.2
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	210	184	30	8	1	3	22	52	2	3	1	163	262	266	528	103	204	25	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	161	144	22	5	1	2	13	67	3	4	4	153	241	243	484	90	250	42	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	179	155	26	5	1	7	20	80	2	0	1	168	274	348	623	181	261	45	11	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	454	403	79	15	4	12	44	149	4	17	2	196	281	342	623	146	266	33	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	446	105	29	2	25	72	149	10	10	3	235	354	478	832	242	282	28	14	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	454	399	76	19	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	190	285	341	626	150	257	32	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	387	327	68	9	2	14	53	116	4	6	2	208	325	376	701	168	271	30	14	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	446	105	29	2	25	72	149	10	10	3	235	354	478	832	242	282	28	14	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	454	399	76	19	1	13	47	144	5	6	0	190	285	341	626	150	257	32	10	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	387	327	68	9	2	14	53	116	4	6	2	208	325	376	701	168	271	30	14	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	TOR	—	358	281	46	11	0	11	64	106	8	5	3	164	334	320	655	157	208	30	18	301	90	-4	-0	+0	-4	+8	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	TOR	—	140	113	16	6	0	3	25	47	0	1	0	142	297	274	571	133	203	34	18	269	90	-2	+0	+0	-4	+3	-0.2
YTD	27	AAA RAW	TOR	—	218	150	33	6	0	10	57	49	8	4	3	220	456	460	916	240	245	22	26	411	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB RAW	TOR	—	140	113	16	6	0	3	25	47	0	1	0	142	297	274	571	133	203	34	18	269	69	-5	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
ROS	27	AAA MLE	TOR	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		243	33	11	315	99	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	TOR	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		244	33	11	303	99	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	TOR	—	149	121	17	6	0	3	26	50	0	1	0	140	293	264	557	124	203	34	17	271	90	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.0
TOT	27	AAA MLE	TOR	—	367	289	47	11	0	11	65	109	8	5	3	163	331	315	646	152	208	30	18	301	90	-4	-0	+0	-4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TOR	82%	446	369	71	17	1	15	67	131	7	6	2	192	327	366	693	173	248	29	15	317	101	+0	+0	+2	-5	+10	0.7
2028	29	MLB MLE	TOR	82%	435	359	69	16	1	15	66	129	7	5	2	192	329	368	696	175	247	30	15	315	99	-0	+0	+1	-5	+9	0.6
2029	30	MLB MLE	TOR	82%	426	351	66	16	0	14	65	127	7	5	2	188	326	353	680	165	244	30	15	311	97	-2	+0	+0	-5	+9	0.4
2030	31	MLB MLE	TOR	82%	411	339	62	15	0	13	62	124	7	4	2	183	321	342	663	159	240	30	15	307	94	-3	+0	-1	-4	+9	0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	TOR	82%	366	302	58	14	1	12	55	108	6	5	2	192	328	364	692	172	249	30	15	305	101	+0	+0	+1	-4	+8	0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	TOR	82%	357	294	56	13	1	12	54	106	6	4	2	190	328	364	692	173	248	30	15	303	99	-0	+0	+1	-4	+8	0.4
2029	30	MLB CTX	TOR	82%	349	287	53	13	0	11	53	104	6	4	2	185	324	345	669	160	245	30	15	300	97	-1	+0	+0	-4	+8	0.3
2030	31	MLB CTX	TOR	82%	337	278	51	12	0	11	51	102	5	3	1	183	320	345	666	162	241	30	15	295	94	-3	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2240	1870	371	88	4	78	318	670	34	26	8	198	325	375	700	176	258	30	14	311	90	+5	+2	+2	-22	+49	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	543	108	26	1	23	92	194	10	8	2	199	326	378	703	179	258	30	14	311	90	+1	+1	+1	-6	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4105	3478	675	154	14	133	532	1271	58	66	21	194	311	361	672	167	257	31	13	302	90	+4	+2	+3	-26	+55	4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	551	106	24	2	21	84	201	9	10	3	192	309	358	667	165	254	31	13	302	90	+1	+1	+1	-7	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#2Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
/162	664	18	10	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.1	2,721	94	32	197	320	374	-29	-1	4.4	4.7
/162	664	23	8	-7.1	-0.1	1.1	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	2.9	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
/162	664	28	0	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Davis Schneider (OGILVIE)	27	35	60	50	60	189/324/361	172	243	12	5	29%	15%	99	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jabari Blash 2017 · MLB	28	39→41	55→60	46→50	46	206/301/391	185	287	23	7	35%	10%	97	+1.1	216/317/413	197	321	25	8	37%	11%	107	+1.8	207/315/414	208	304	27	7	38%	12%	103	+1.1
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	44	54→55	52→50	50	228/313/419	191	297	21	13	30%	10%	106	+1.8	217/307/382	165	302	18	15	32%	10%	96	+1.0	189/286/327	139	279	15	16	35%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Casper Wells 2013 · MLB	28	44	54→60	48→50	47	231/305/418	188	286	21	8	27%	8%	103	+1.6	205/274/324	119	285	12	7	30%	8%	70	-0.9	126/185/146	21	186	0	0	30%	7%	-6	-1.1
✕DJ Stewart 2021 · MLB	27	42→48	52→55	44→50	52	220/308/391	171	265	20	8	25%	10%	99	+1.2	220/322/399	179	275	23	5	28%	12%	105	+1.7	208/314/396	188	250	26	2	28%	11%	99	+0.6
✕Jon Knott 2006 · MLB	27	40	52→55	49→40	45	210/277/377	168	252	19	4	25%	7%	83	+0.1	218/284/395	177	264	21	4	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/280/385	173	256	20	3	26%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Greg Bird 2019 · MLB	26	39→48	54→55	46→30	53	210/299/392	182	243	22	3	24%	10%	95	+1.0	213/295/377	164	268	20	4	27%	10%	91	+0.6	185/259/322	138	237	17	1	29%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	41→43	54→55	51→55	46	222/286/395	174	270	23	14	27%	8%	91	+0.7	210/275/355	145	288	18	22	32%	8%	78	-0.3	207/286/372	166	264	22	25	30%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Kyle Lewis 2023 · MLB	28	42→48	55	49→40	50	223/307/395	173	281	25	7	30%	10%	99	+1.2	247/315/421	174	320	23	5	29%	8%	107	+1.9	265/331/442	176	345	24	0	29%	8%	115	+1.4
✕Wladimir Balentien 2010 · MLB	26	43→45	52→55	44→50	47	224/287/391	167	270	19	7	25%	8%	90	+0.6	232/287/399	167	280	20	11	24%	7%	92	+0.7	228/276/401	173	268	21	14	24%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Donnie Murphy 2010 · MLB	27	43→41	52→65	49→45	41	223/283/394	171	301	20	9	32%	7%	89	+0.5	226/286/418	192	273	23	5	26%	6%	96	+1.0	219/282/429	210	256	25	2	26%	6%	93	+0.3
✕Curt Casali 2017 · MLB	28	40	50	46→30	49	208/293/358	149	264	18	3	28%	10%	85	+0.2	232/300/352	120	290	14	3	24%	8%	86	+0.3	240/318/384	145	301	16	0	25%	9%	94	+0.4
✕Brandon Allen 2013 · MLB	27	42→47	53→55	49→50	47	219/297/394	175	290	20	8	31%	9%	95	+0.9	220/283/371	151	277	17	6	26%	8%	84	+0.1	215/279/360	145	265	16	5	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→33	53→55	48→50	42	204/270/371	167	252	23	7	29%	6%	80	-0.2	224/299/394	170	301	21	11	31%	8%	96	+1.0	213/305/397	185	287	23	11	32%	10%	95	+0.4
✕Max Stassi 2018 · MLB	27	40→43	49→55	44→40	44	206/279/348	142	274	17	4	31%	8%	78	-0.3	217/297/362	145	287	18	4	29%	9%	88	+0.4	215/301/376	160	280	21	0	29%	10%	91	+0.3
●Ryan Schimpf 2015 · AAA	27	34→41	53→60	45	44	190/267/360	171	245	21	4	31%	8%	76	-0.4	203/285/409	206	250	26	3	30%	9%	95	+0.9	190/283/414	223	228	30	1	32%	10%	92	+0.6
✕Stuart Fairchild 2023 · MLB	27	44→42	51→50	50→55	42	224/300/386	162	299	19	13	30%	7%	95	+0.9	224/302/369	145	295	15	20	28%	8%	91	+0.6	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕David Cook 2008 · AA	27	42→50	53→55	47→50	48	218/295/392	174	273	20	10	28%	9%	93	+0.8	229/306/394	165	285	19	10	25%	9%	98	+1.2	225/303/386	161	278	18	10	25%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	38→37	51→55	46→40	48	197/289/366	169	263	18	6	31%	10%	86	+0.3	193/283/348	155	247	19	6	29%	10%	80	-0.2	169/266/316	146	205	21	3	29%	10%	64	-0.6
✕Aristides Aquino 2022 · MLB	28	39→41	60	48→50	48	221/304/433	213	274	29	9	31%	10%	107	+1.8	216/284/387	171	314	21	8	36%	8%	88	+0.5	197/256/365	168	291	22	6	39%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Austin Hedges 2020 · MLB	27	39→40	53→60	49→45	43	212/273/379	167	267	22	5	30%	7%	82	+0.0	190/253/326	136	234	19	5	28%	7%	63	-1.4	190/263/292	101	234	13	4	24%	8%	57	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps