Daniel Vogelbach

Daniel Vogelbach1B Toronto Blue Jays

Age 33 L/R 6'0" / 270 lbs MLB Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 229 proj PA

wRC+†117

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .335 / .419

PA229

HR8

K%22

BB%12

ISO185

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractPOW 56

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT—

Whiff%

906.2%

xwOBA

810.345

POWER56

Barrel%

6210.0

Avg EV

6990.4

Bat Spd

6172.5

EYE69

Chase%

9022.8%

SPEED20

Sprint

1023.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.2	$0.8M	-$0.8M
Totals		$2M		$0.8M	-$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	18	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	27	25	5	2	0	1	1	3	1	1	0	200	259	400	659	200	190	11	4	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	18	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	27	24	7	3	0	1	2	2	1	1	0	292	370	542	912	250	286	7	7	399	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	115	107	25	9	1	5	7	20	0	1	0	234	281	477	757	243	241	17	6	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	115	102	33	12	2	7	12	14	0	1	0	324	395	686	1.081	363	317	12	10	456	207	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A	2 teams	—	568	513	115	20	0	18	45	125	2	5	4	224	289	368	658	144	257	22	8	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A	2 teams	—	568	483	137	23	0	19	73	90	2	5	4	284	379	449	828	166	309	16	13	365	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+	2 teams	—	648	582	132	29	1	18	52	163	5	5	4	227	296	373	669	146	278	25	8	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	A+	2 teams	—	648	551	147	32	1	16	83	102	5	5	4	267	368	416	783	149	296	16	13	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA	2 teams	—	330	282	67	16	1	6	46	86	0	1	1	238	345	365	710	128	318	26	14	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AA	2 teams	—	330	265	74	18	1	7	63	62	0	1	1	279	418	434	852	155	338	19	19	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	563	504	138	27	2	24	52	120	4	0	0	274	346	478	825	204	314	21	9	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	563	459	134	25	2	23	97	101	4	0	0	292	420	505	925	214	328	18	17	408	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA	2 teams	—	572	507	130	22	0	14	59	129	1	3	1	256	335	383	718	126	314	23	10	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA	2 teams	—	572	487	139	26	0	17	79	107	1	3	1	285	386	444	830	158	332	19	14	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA	2 teams	—	480	418	105	20	0	25	56	97	3	0	1	251	344	478	822	227	268	20	12	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA	2 teams	—	480	384	104	18	0	24	90	85	3	0	1	271	413	505	918	234	288	18	19	404	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	558	462	99	18	0	32	92	149	2	0	0	214	347	461	808	247	237	27	16	350	126	+16	+0	-6	-10	+16	1.7
2019	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	558	462	96	17	0	30	92	149	2	0	0	208	342	439	781	232	232	27	16	348	125	+15	+0	-6	-10	+16	1.6
2020	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	136	115	24	3	0	6	20	33	1	0	0	209	331	391	722	183	237	24	15	325	107	+1	+0	+0	-2	+4	0.3
2020	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	136	115	24	3	0	6	20	33	1	0	0	209	331	391	722	183	237	24	15	328	109	+1	+0	+0	-2	+4	0.3
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	—	323	267	64	8	0	13	55	72	0	0	0	240	370	416	785	176	279	22	17	349	125	+9	+0	-4	-6	+9	0.9
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	—	323	263	62	8	0	12	59	70	0	0	0	236	376	403	779	167	275	22	18	354	129	+11	+0	-4	-6	+9	1.0
2022	29	MLB	New York Mets	—	461	386	92	19	1	18	73	114	1	0	0	238	361	433	794	194	290	25	16	350	126	+13	+0	-1	-8	+13	1.8
2022	29	MLB	New York Mets	—	461	386	92	19	1	18	73	114	1	0	0	238	361	433	794	194	290	25	16	356	130	+16	+0	-1	-8	+13	2.0
2023	30	MLB	New York Mets	—	319	275	64	8	0	13	42	81	2	0	0	233	339	404	742	171	282	25	13	330	111	+4	+0	+0	-6	+9	0.7
2023	30	MLB	New York Mets	—	319	275	64	8	0	13	42	81	2	0	0	233	339	404	742	171	282	25	13	335	115	+5	+0	+0	-6	+9	0.9
2024	31	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	79	70	13	5	0	1	9	17	0	0	0	186	278	300	578	114	231	22	11	264	60	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2024	31	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	79	70	13	5	0	1	9	17	0	0	0	186	278	300	578	114	231	22	11	267	63	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season
2026	33	MLB	TOR	—	229	197	47	10	1	8	28	50	2	2	1	239	339	421	761	183	273	22	12	338	117	+4	+0	-0	-4	+6	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	TOR	100%	187	161	37	7	1	7	23	42	1	1	1	230	330	416	746	186	264	22	12	327	108	+2	-0	-5	-3	+5	-0.2
2028	35	MLB	TOR	100%	137	118	26	5	0	5	17	32	1	1	0	220	324	390	713	169	254	23	12	315	99	-0	+0	-6	-2	+4	-0.4
2027	34	MLB	TOR	100%	187	161	37	7	1	7	23	42	1	1	1	230	330	416	746	186	265	22	12	323	105	+1	-0	-5	-3	+5	-0.2
2028	35	MLB	TOR	100%	137	118	26	5	0	5	17	32	1	1	0	220	324	390	713	169	255	23	12	311	96	-1	+0	-6	-2	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2268	1917	423	75	2	93	335	560	10	2	1	221	340	407	747	187	260	25	15	335	115	+38	+0	-23	-58	+64	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	549	122	21	1	27	96	160	3	1	0	222	341	412	752	189	262	25	15	335	115	+11	+0	-7	-17	+18	0.6
Career	—			—	5732	4989	1183	228	8	214	677	1333	26	20	13	237	331	415	746	178	278	23	12	328	109	+60	-1	-24	-102	+162	9.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	134	26	1	24	77	151	3	2	1	237	331	413	745	177	278	23	12	328	109	+7	+0	-3	-12	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2011	18	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	27	24	7	3	0	1	2	2	1	1	0	292	370	542	912	250	286	7	7	399	164	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2012	19	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	115	102	33	12	2	7	12	14	0	1	0	324	395	686	1.081	363	317	12	10	456	207	+14	+0	—	—	+3	1.8
2013	20	A+	Daytona Cubs	—	66	50	14	2	0	2	16	13	0	1	0	280	455	440	895	160	343	20	24	408	171	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2013	20	A	Kane County Cougars	—	502	433	123	21	0	17	57	77	2	4	4	284	368	450	819	166	305	15	11	360	133	+19	-1	—	—	+14	3.3
2014	21	A+	Daytona Cubs	—	560	482	129	28	1	16	66	91	5	4	4	268	362	429	791	162	296	16	12	351	127	+17	-1	—	—	+16	3.3
2014	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	88	69	18	4	0	0	17	11	0	1	0	261	407	319	726	58	300	12	19	337	116	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2015	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	313	254	69	16	1	7	57	61	0	1	1	272	405	425	830	154	330	19	18	374	145	+16	-0	—	—	+9	2.5
2015	22	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	17	11	5	2	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	455	647	636	1.283	182	500	6	35	557	284	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2016	23	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	563	459	134	25	2	23	97	101	4	0	0	292	420	505	925	214	328	18	17	408	171	+45	+0	—	—	+16	6.2
2017	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	31	28	6	1	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	214	290	250	540	36	316	29	10	255	53	-2	+0	-2	-10	+1	-1.3
2017	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	541	459	133	25	0	17	76	98	1	3	1	290	392	455	847	166	332	18	14	376	146	+28	+0	—	—	+15	4.5
2018	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	102	87	18	2	0	4	13	26	2	0	0	207	324	368	691	161	246	25	13	317	100	+0	+0	-0	-9	+3	-0.6
2018	25	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	378	297	86	16	0	20	77	59	1	0	1	290	437	545	983	256	299	16	20	428	186	+37	-0	—	—	+11	4.8
2019	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	558	462	96	17	0	30	92	149	2	0	0	208	342	439	781	232	232	27	16	348	125	+15	+0	-6	-10	+16	1.6
2020	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	136	115	24	3	0	6	20	33	1	0	0	209	331	391	722	183	237	24	15	328	109	+1	+0	+0	-2	+4	0.3
2021	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	258	215	47	8	0	9	43	57	0	0	0	219	349	381	730	163	255	22	17	334	114	+4	+0	-4	-6	+7	0.2
2021	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	65	48	15	0	0	3	16	13	0	0	0	312	484	500	984	188	364	20	25	435	191	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	29	MLB	New York Mets	—	461	386	92	19	1	18	73	114	1	0	0	238	361	433	794	194	290	25	16	356	130	+16	+0	-1	-8	+13	2.0
2023	30	MLB	New York Mets	—	319	275	64	8	0	13	42	81	2	0	0	233	339	404	742	171	282	25	13	335	115	+5	+0	+0	-6	+9	0.9
2024	31	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	79	70	13	5	0	1	9	17	0	0	0	186	278	300	578	114	231	22	11	267	63	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1944	1638	360	63	1	81	295	486	8	0	0	220	342	408	749	188	260	25	15	338	117	+37	+0	-12	-52	+55	2.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Matt Joycelast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,318 PA	13	4,318	146	34	242	343	425	-46	-44	11.7	11.9
	/162	664	22	5	242	343	425	-7.1	-6.7	1.8	pk7: 12
#2Tony Clarklast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,637 PA	10	2,637	124	0	250	328	467	-35	-28	7.8	8.7
	/162	664	31	0	250	328	467	-8.8	-7.0	2.0	pk7: 10
#3David Delluccilast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,658 PA	10	2,658	94	36	249	336	439	-26	-28	7.6	7.9
	/162	664	23	9	249	336	439	-6.5	-7.0	1.9	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	2,466	101	4	224	339	414	-44	-23	6.1	6.2
	/162	664	27	1	224	339	414	-11.9	-6.2	1.7	pk7: 6
#4Steve Pearcelast yr '19 career totals — 12 seasons, 2,517 PA	12	2,517	91	13	253	331	440	-36	-35	4.8	6.0
	/162	664	24	3	253	331	440	-9.6	-9.1	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Ji Man Choilast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,823 PA	7	1,823	65	6	234	338	423	-33	-31	1.8	1.8
	/162	664	24	2	234	338	423	-11.9	-11.3	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	8	1,653	64	6	237	329	420	-28	-31	1.0	1.7
#6Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	/162	664	26	2	237	329	420	-11.3	-12.4	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Vogelbach (OGILVIE)	33	—	56	20	69	235/335/419	184	273	8	2	22%	12%	117	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Aubrey Huff 2010 · MLB	33	53→60	53→60	36→45	53	268/331/450	182	284	20	3	14%	8%	122	+3.3	268/347/446	178	291	19	5	15%	10%	128	+3.6	270/355/447	177	293	19	5	15%	11%	124	+2.6
●Aaron Guiel 2005 · MLB	32	46→53	52→60	37→45	50	235/313/404	169	268	19	6	20%	8%	104	+2.0	233/315/424	191	267	23	6	22%	8%	110	+2.4	228/313/423	195	258	24	4	22%	8%	107	+2.1
✕Daryle Ward 2007 · MLB	32	51→56	54→60	37→30	53	264/329/444	180	280	21	3	15%	8%	120	+3.1	258/340/429	171	297	18	4	19%	11%	121	+3.2	238/320/387	149	278	17	2	20%	10%	91	+0.4
●Matt Joyce 2017 · MLB	32	46→53	51→60	37→50	62	231/349/399	167	280	18	3	23%	14%	117	+2.9	246/348/442	196	284	23	4	21%	13%	127	+3.6	248/350/442	194	284	23	2	20%	13%	125	+2.0
✕Ty Wigginton 2011 · MLB	33	50→55	51→60	37→50	50	253/313/412	159	275	20	2	16%	7%	105	+2.1	226/299/366	140	262	16	6	20%	9%	87	+0.8	215/295/350	135	249	16	7	20%	9%	76	+0.1
✕Luis Valbuena 2018 · MLB	32	41→51	59→60	38→50	55	227/317/437	210	258	28	3	24%	11%	114	+2.7	223/291/395	172	293	22	7	30%	9%	92	+1.2	200/256/339	139	279	19	6	35%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Emmanuel Valdez 2011 · AAA	32	50→52	53→55	37→40	52	255/334/427	172	309	20	3	24%	10%	118	+3.0	231/303/392	161	311	20	4	31%	8%	96	+1.5	205/293/384	179	285	23	3	35%	10%	90	+0.6
✕Todd Hollandsworth 2005 · MLB	32	55→56	53→55	43→50	52	275/341/459	184	317	19	7	20%	9%	128	+3.7	249/301/408	159	295	16	6	20%	7%	98	+1.6	243/288/393	150	289	14	4	21%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Andy Abad 2006 · MLB	33	49→51	53→50	40→45	47	254/300/425	171	273	21	6	16%	6%	103	+1.9	246/293/383	137	268	17	6	15%	5%	89	+0.9	241/289/355	114	263	14	4	14%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Neil Walker 2019 · MLB	33	48→57	51→55	41→45	56	247/332/404	158	280	19	2	20%	11%	111	+2.5	250/328/390	140	306	14	6	21%	10%	105	+2.1	270/352/410	140	328	13	5	20%	11%	117	+1.8
●Adam Dunn 2012 · MLB	32	42→51	57→70	37→50	57	221/336/423	202	295	25	1	32%	14%	118	+3.0	211/325/426	215	274	30	2	33%	14%	115	+2.7	211/329/436	225	265	32	1	32%	14%	112	+2.5
✕Felix Perez 2017 · AAA	32	48→52	54→65	38→50	44	251/297/431	180	286	22	5	21%	6%	104	+2.0	244/295/435	191	284	26	5	24%	5%	104	+2.0	231/285/456	225	252	34	0	25%	5%	107	+1.0
●Robin Ventura 2001 · MLB	34	45→48	57→55	38→40	62	239/339/440	202	248	25	5	17%	13%	123	+3.3	242/353/431	189	264	24	4	18%	15%	126	+3.5	240/356/423	183	263	24	2	18%	15%	116	+2.5
✕Shelley Duncan 2013 · MLB	33	42→45	54→60	40→45	51	222/300/400	178	255	22	4	23%	9%	97	+1.5	191/257/319	128	235	15	4	25%	8%	58	-1.2	154/212/252	99	192	11	0	26%	6%	20	-2.8
✕Brett Harper 2013 · AAA	32	49→50	55→60	38→30	41	254/306/428	174	309	24	5	26%	5%	107	+2.2	250/308/422	172	311	24	6	27%	7%	105	+2.1	239/296/402	163	290	26	0	27%	6%	94	+0.7
✕Troy O'Leary 2002 · MLB	32	49→53	51→50	39→30	50	249/309/419	170	274	17	3	17%	7%	105	+2.1	250/319/386	136	285	13	6	17%	9%	100	+1.7	254/331/362	108	292	9	5	15%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Jason Kubel 2014 · MLB	32	47→57	53→60	41→40	49	241/314/417	176	305	21	3	27%	10%	107	+2.2	233/311/359	126	330	13	6	30%	10%	90	+1.0	224/312/294	70	354	3	3	34%	11%	69	-0.1
✕Jay Bruce 2019 · MLB	32	46→54	58→65	41→50	52	244/316/454	210	273	26	4	22%	10%	118	+3.0	224/286/456	232	245	31	4	24%	8%	106	+2.2	206/255/492	287	195	43	1	24%	6%	101	+0.7
✕José Cruz Jr. 2006 · MLB	32	48→51	55→65	42→50	62	247/349/441	194	281	21	6	20%	14%	127	+3.6	234/330/387	153	282	15	10	21%	13%	105	+2.1	228/323/362	134	279	11	13	21%	12%	92	+0.6
✕Edgard Clemente 2010 · AAA	34	49	54→55	39→40	49	252/318/426	175	293	22	6	22%	8%	111	+2.5	258/315/431	173	312	21	8	24%	7%	111	+2.5	236/297/411	175	299	24	9	29%	6%	95	+0.3