Kody Clemens
1B Minnesota Twins| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28 | AAAPHI | 301 | .266/.326/.489 | 14 | 6 | 81 | — | .232/.279/.400 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLBPHI | 120 | .219/.258/.447 | 5 | 0 | 91 | -0.7 | |
| 2025 | 29 | MLBMIN | 386 | .213/.283/.434 | 19 | 5 | 96 | 0.2 | |
| 2026 | 30 | MLBMIN | 583 | .239/.300/.460 | 27 | 10 | 108 | 0.9 | |
| 2027PROJ | 31 | MLBMIN | 425 | .241/.302/.459 | 20 | 7 | 110 | 1.1 | |
| 2028PROJ98% MLB | 32 | MLBMIN | 495 | .235/.295/.445 | 22 | 4 | 105 | 0.6 | |
| 2029PROJ98% MLB | 33 | MLBMIN | 404 | .227/.286/.428 | 17 | 1 | 97 | -0.1 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 46 | 42 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 238 | 289 | 357 | 646 | 119 | 300 | 26 | 4 | 285 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 174 | 149 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 302 | 392 | 477 | 868 | 174 | 342 | 16 | 12 | 379 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 54 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 278 | 277 | 554 | 106 | 250 | 33 | 11 | 261 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 469 | 411 | 98 | 24 | 7 | 11 | 45 | 101 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 238 | 320 | 411 | 731 | 173 | 283 | 22 | 10 | 320 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 413 | 369 | 91 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 94 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 247 | 317 | 466 | 783 | 220 | 278 | 23 | 9 | 339 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 127 | 117 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 200 | 308 | 508 | 162 | 148 | 26 | 6 | 223 | 41 | -9 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 264 | 241 | 66 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 71 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 274 | 330 | 535 | 865 | 261 | 333 | 27 | 8 | 370 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 148 | 139 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 277 | 367 | 644 | 137 | 295 | 27 | 5 | 288 | 79 | -4 | +0 | +1 | -8 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 279 | 234 | 60 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 43 | 58 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 256 | 374 | 564 | 938 | 308 | 264 | 21 | 15 | 404 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 120 | 114 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 258 | 447 | 706 | 228 | 250 | 24 | 4 | 307 | 91 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -8 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 301 | 274 | 73 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 63 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 266 | 326 | 489 | 815 | 223 | 295 | 21 | 7 | 354 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 386 | 348 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 29 | 93 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 213 | 283 | 434 | 717 | 221 | 231 | 24 | 8 | 312 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 583 | 531 | 127 | 22 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 127 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 239 | 300 | 460 | 759 | 220 | 263 | 22 | 7 | 330 | 108 | +6 | +1 | -0 | -10 | +13 | 0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1364 | 1249 | 275 | 54 | 12 | 60 | 89 | 322 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 220 | 280 | 427 | 706 | 207 | 246 | 24 | 7 | 309 | 95 | -8 | +2 | +4 | -31 | +30 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 46 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 244 | 326 | 570 | 116 | 284 | 37 | 2 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 174 | 156 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 38 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 244 | 310 | 378 | 688 | 135 | 284 | 22 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 54 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 241 | 265 | 506 | 102 | 237 | 41 | 7 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 469 | 422 | 78 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 143 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 185 | 252 | 320 | 572 | 135 | 240 | 30 | 7 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 413 | 380 | 81 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 113 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 265 | 374 | 639 | 161 | 256 | 27 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 127 | 117 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 200 | 308 | 508 | 162 | 148 | 26 | 6 | 229 | 41 | -9 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 264 | 247 | 55 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 84 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 223 | 264 | 413 | 677 | 190 | 289 | 32 | 5 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 148 | 139 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 277 | 367 | 644 | 137 | 295 | 27 | 5 | 285 | 79 | -4 | +0 | +1 | -8 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 279 | 247 | 47 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 70 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 190 | 281 | 389 | 669 | 198 | 212 | 25 | 11 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 120 | 114 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 258 | 447 | 706 | 228 | 250 | 24 | 4 | 303 | 91 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -8 | +3 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 301 | 280 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 232 | 279 | 400 | 679 | 168 | 270 | 25 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 386 | 349 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 93 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 212 | 280 | 433 | 713 | 221 | 231 | 24 | 7 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 583 | 532 | 127 | 22 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 127 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 239 | 298 | 459 | 757 | 220 | 263 | 22 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +6 | +1 | -0 | -10 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 220 | 199 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 231 | 292 | 357 | 648 | 126 | 294 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 220 | 191 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 288 | 370 | 450 | 821 | 162 | 333 | 18 | 10 | 360 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 523 | 471 | 85 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 165 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 180 | 249 | 310 | 559 | 130 | 247 | 32 | 7 | 247 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 523 | 458 | 106 | 26 | 7 | 12 | 51 | 119 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 231 | 315 | 397 | 713 | 166 | 281 | 23 | 10 | 314 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 413 | 380 | 81 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 113 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 265 | 374 | 639 | 161 | 264 | 27 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 413 | 369 | 91 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 94 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 247 | 317 | 466 | 783 | 220 | 278 | 23 | 9 | 339 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 391 | 364 | 72 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 117 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 198 | 244 | 379 | 623 | 181 | 245 | 30 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 391 | 358 | 83 | 16 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 104 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 232 | 288 | 461 | 748 | 229 | 271 | 27 | 7 | 323 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 386 | 79 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 110 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 205 | 279 | 381 | 660 | 176 | 241 | 26 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 427 | 373 | 92 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 51 | 98 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 247 | 340 | 491 | 831 | 244 | 276 | 23 | 12 | 364 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 394 | 90 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 103 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 228 | 273 | 409 | 681 | 180 | 271 | 24 | 5 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 421 | 388 | 98 | 22 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 92 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 253 | 306 | 477 | 783 | 224 | 282 | 22 | 6 | 340 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 386 | 349 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 93 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 212 | 280 | 433 | 713 | 221 | 230 | 24 | 7 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | — | 386 | 348 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 29 | 93 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 213 | 283 | 434 | 717 | 221 | 231 | 24 | 8 | 312 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 583 | 532 | 127 | 22 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 127 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 239 | 298 | 459 | 757 | 220 | 262 | 22 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +6 | +1 | -0 | -10 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | — | 583 | 531 | 127 | 22 | 7 | 27 | 39 | 127 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 239 | 300 | 460 | 759 | 220 | 263 | 22 | 7 | 330 | 108 | +6 | +1 | -0 | -10 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 220 | 201 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 229 | 292 | 353 | 645 | 124 | 284 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 523 | 475 | 85 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 165 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 179 | 249 | 307 | 556 | 128 | 240 | 32 | 7 | 247 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 413 | 383 | 81 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 113 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 211 | 265 | 371 | 636 | 159 | 256 | 27 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 391 | 366 | 72 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 117 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 197 | 244 | 377 | 621 | 180 | 243 | 30 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 384 | 79 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 110 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 206 | 279 | 383 | 662 | 177 | 241 | 26 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 394 | 90 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 103 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 228 | 273 | 409 | 681 | 180 | 264 | 24 | 5 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 386 | 350 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 93 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 280 | 431 | 712 | 220 | 231 | 24 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 583 | 533 | 127 | 22 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 127 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 238 | 298 | 458 | 756 | 220 | 263 | 22 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 421 | 394 | 90 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 103 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 228 | 273 | 409 | 681 | 180 | 264 | 24 | 5 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 386 | 350 | 74 | 12 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 93 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 280 | 431 | 712 | 220 | 231 | 24 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 30 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 583 | 533 | 127 | 22 | 7 | 27 | 38 | 127 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 238 | 298 | 458 | 756 | 220 | 263 | 22 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIN | 100% | 503 | 458 | 110 | 19 | 6 | 23 | 34 | 112 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 241 | 302 | 458 | 760 | 218 | 266 | 22 | 7 | 331 | 110 | +6 | +1 | +4 | -9 | +11 | 2.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIN | 100% | 425 | 388 | 94 | 16 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 95 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 241 | 302 | 459 | 762 | 219 | 266 | 22 | 7 | 332 | 110 | +5 | +1 | +4 | -8 | +9 | 1.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIN | 98% | 505 | 460 | 108 | 18 | 5 | 23 | 34 | 115 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 234 | 295 | 444 | 739 | 210 | 261 | 23 | 7 | 323 | 105 | +3 | +0 | +1 | -9 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB MLE | MIN | 98% | 412 | 378 | 86 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 96 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 286 | 427 | 713 | 200 | 255 | 23 | 7 | 312 | 97 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -7 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB MLE | MIN | 94% | 306 | 281 | 61 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 74 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 217 | 275 | 406 | 681 | 188 | 246 | 24 | 6 | 299 | 88 | -4 | -0 | -2 | -5 | +7 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIN | 98% | 495 | 453 | 106 | 18 | 5 | 22 | 33 | 113 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 235 | 295 | 445 | 740 | 211 | 261 | 23 | 7 | 323 | 105 | +3 | +0 | +1 | -9 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB CTX | MIN | 98% | 404 | 371 | 84 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 26 | 94 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 227 | 286 | 428 | 714 | 201 | 255 | 23 | 6 | 313 | 97 | -1 | -0 | -1 | -7 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB CTX | MIN | 94% | 286 | 263 | 58 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 69 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 276 | 407 | 682 | 189 | 247 | 24 | 6 | 299 | 88 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2549 | 2336 | 523 | 95 | 24 | 111 | 166 | 598 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 224 | 283 | 428 | 711 | 204 | 251 | 23 | 7 | 311 | 88 | -11 | +2 | +2 | -52 | +55 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 133 | 24 | 6 | 28 | 42 | 152 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 223 | 282 | 424 | 707 | 201 | 251 | 23 | 6 | 311 | 88 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -13 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5012 | 4582 | 1003 | 184 | 53 | 189 | 332 | 1263 | 46 | 65 | 20 | 219 | 278 | 406 | 684 | 187 | 257 | 25 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -6 | +2 | +5 | -60 | +65 | 0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 131 | 24 | 7 | 25 | 43 | 164 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 221 | 280 | 411 | 691 | 190 | 259 | 25 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -13 | +14 | 0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 301 PAwOBA .347 → .288 (−60)K% 20.9% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.93% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.64% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.38% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | ×1.023 | ×0.992 | 19.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.16% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×0.992 | 5.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.023 | ×0.992 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.64% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.66% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .347 → .288; ISO .223 → .167; BABIP .295 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 279 PAwOBA .395 → .297 (−98)K% 20.8% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.79% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.41% | ÷0.982 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.91% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.952 | ×1.003 | 13.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.68% | ÷1.117 | ×0.830 | ×0.952 | ×1.003 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.105 | ×0.970 | ×0.952 | ×1.003 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.23% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 6.99% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 123, 3B 121, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .395 → .297; ISO .308 → .219; BABIP .264 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 264 PAwOBA .361 → .285 (−76)K% 26.9% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.89% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.20% | ÷0.964 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.59% | ÷1.015 | ×0.930 | ×0.985 | ×1.018 | 18.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×1.018 | 5.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×1.018 | 2.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.65% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 5.31% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .361 → .285; ISO .261 → .190; BABIP .333 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 413 PAwOBA .335 → .275 (−60)K% 22.8% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.72% | ÷1.038 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.91% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 18.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.18% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.033 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.50% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .335 → .275; ISO .220 → .165; BABIP .278 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 469 PAwOBA .315 → .253 (−63)K% 21.5% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.54% | ÷1.005 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷0.958 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 7.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.06% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 15.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.74% | ÷1.037 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.26% | ÷1.004 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.55% | ÷0.963 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.24% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 101, K 101, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .315 → .253; ISO .173 → .140; BABIP .283 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAErie SeaWolves · 54 PAwOBA .255 → .198 (−57)K% 33.3% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.050 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.85% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷0.978 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 17.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.077 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.127 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.294 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.14% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 125, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .255 → .198; ISO .106 → .069; BABIP .250 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 174 PAwOBA .372 → .298 (−74)K% 15.5% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.52% | ÷0.971 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.49% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.77% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 20.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.20% | ÷1.024 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.045 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.28% | ÷0.942 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .372 → .298; ISO .174 → .142; BABIP .342 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 46 PAwOBA .283 → .226 (−57)K% 26.1% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷0.987 | ×1.420 | — | — | 37.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.097 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 3.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 22.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.995 | ×0.960 | — | ×1.012 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.277 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .283 → .226; ISO .119 → .085; BABIP .300 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).