David Villar — OGILVIE

David Villar1B Syracuse Mets

Age 29 R/R 5'11" / 216 lbs AAA Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 324 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .293 / .354

PA324

HR9

K%27

BB%9

ISO143

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1714.7%

xwOBA

530.312

POWER45

Barrel%

8112.8

Avg EV

3087.6

Bat Spd

3069.2

EYE60

Chase%

7027.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

2326.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	AZL Giants Black	—	25	21	5	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	238	333	286	619	48	333	28	8	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	AZL Giants Black	—	25	19	6	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	316	458	368	827	53	400	20	16	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	479	430	81	17	2	11	33	203	9	4	1	188	261	314	575	126	314	42	7	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	479	423	111	24	2	13	40	144	9	4	1	262	339	421	760	158	359	30	8	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	446	406	93	19	0	21	25	143	15	5	1	229	298	431	729	202	298	32	6	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	446	385	106	29	0	20	46	112	15	5	1	275	374	506	881	231	340	25	10	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	547	469	104	21	2	30	58	181	17	1	2	222	329	467	796	245	284	33	11	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	547	454	118	25	2	36	73	151	17	1	2	260	382	562	944	302	304	28	13	408	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	474	423	87	18	0	18	43	143	6	6	1	206	288	376	664	170	261	30	9	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	474	411	96	20	0	22	55	134	6	6	1	234	333	443	775	209	288	28	12	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	519	463	102	23	0	14	41	151	8	2	1	220	295	361	656	140	289	29	8	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	519	443	115	30	0	17	61	137	8	2	1	260	359	442	802	183	331	26	12	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	274	241	48	6	0	4	28	77	3	1	0	199	290	274	564	75	272	28	10	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	274	230	55	7	0	7	39	63	3	1	0	239	357	361	717	122	296	23	14	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	NYM	—	324	288	62	12	1	9	29	88	4	2	1	215	296	358	654	142	272	27	9	294	83	-6	+0	-0	-6	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	NYM	27%	342	304	65	12	1	10	31	94	4	2	1	214	295	359	654	145	270	27	9	291	80	-8	+0	-2	-6	+10	-0.6
2027	30	MLB	NYM	27%	93	84	17	3	0	3	8	26	1	1	0	202	280	345	625	143	270	28	9	281	73	-3	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	476	419	84	20	1	18	42	147	12	2	2	200	292	382	674	181	257	31	9	301	89	-6	-0	-2	-12	+13	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	114	27	1	25	57	201	16	3	3	199	289	381	671	182	254	31	9	301	89	-8	-1	-2	-17	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	3430	3045	647	129	6	117	290	1087	67	23	8	212	295	374	669	162	284	32	8	294	83	-65	+1	-4	-39	+97	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	122	24	1	22	55	206	13	4	2	211	295	371	665	159	282	32	8	294	83	-12	+0	-1	-7	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	AZL Giants Black	—	25	19	6	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	316	458	368	827	53	400	20	16	373	144	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2019	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	479	423	111	24	2	13	40	144	9	4	1	262	339	421	760	158	359	30	8	336	115	+8	+0	—	—	+14	2.3
2021	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	446	385	106	29	0	20	46	112	15	5	1	275	374	506	881	231	340	25	10	389	156	+28	+1	—	—	+13	4.2
2022	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	181	156	36	6	1	9	18	58	6	0	1	231	333	455	788	224	300	32	10	349	125	+5	-0	-1	+2	+5	1.1
2022	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	366	298	82	19	1	27	55	93	11	1	1	275	407	617	1.024	342	306	25	15	438	193	+39	-0	—	—	+10	5.0
2023	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	140	124	18	6	0	5	11	45	4	1	1	145	237	315	552	169	173	32	8	250	50	-8	-0	+2	+2	+4	-0.1
2023	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	334	287	78	14	0	17	44	89	2	5	0	272	372	498	871	226	335	27	13	383	152	+19	+1	—	—	+9	3.1
2024	27	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	37	35	9	4	0	1	1	13	0	0	0	257	278	457	735	200	364	35	3	312	97	-0	+0	-1	-9	+1	-1.0
2024	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	482	408	106	26	0	16	60	124	8	2	1	260	366	441	807	181	328	26	12	358	132	+17	+0	—	—	+14	3.2
2025	28	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	25	20	4	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	200	360	250	610	50	267	20	16	301	89	-0	+0	-1	-5	+1	-0.6
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	249	210	51	6	0	7	35	58	2	1	0	243	356	371	728	129	299	23	14	332	112	+3	+0	—	—	+7	1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	383	335	67	17	1	15	34	121	11	1	2	200	295	391	686	191	257	32	9	306	92	-3	-1	-1	-11	+11	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#4John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	447	18	2	200	290	384	-8	-1	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	26	3	200	290	384	-11.9	-1.0	-0.3	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Villar (OGILVIE)	29	45	45	45	60	213/293/354	141	272	9	2	27%	9%	83	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Brad Nelson 2012 · MLB	29	40→48	49→50	44→50	47	209/271/350	141	249	17	4	24%	8%	72	-0.2	223/282/374	151	270	19	4	24%	7%	82	+0.5	217/278/362	145	258	18	2	24%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Yermín Mercedes 2022 · MLB	29	48→53	49→50	47→45	45	247/296/386	139	281	18	5	20%	6%	91	+1.1	232/297/373	141	287	17	9	24%	8%	88	+0.9	211/291/352	140	267	18	10	27%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Matt Tuiasosopo 2015 · MLB	29	47→50	45	41→45	48	227/306/348	121	314	14	3	30%	10%	85	+0.7	203/280/327	124	303	13	4	35%	9%	69	-0.4	183/264/300	117	281	13	2	37%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Alex Burg 2016 · AAA	28	44→40	51→50	44→40	46	224/299/381	157	295	19	3	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/268/341	133	272	15	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	175/228/284	109	227	11	2	28%	5%	33	-1.5
✕Nick Evans 2015 · MLB	29	45→55	50→55	41→40	46	230/289/385	154	278	18	3	24%	7%	88	+0.9	244/299/371	127	316	14	4	26%	7%	88	+0.9	249/305/360	111	326	12	0	26%	7%	83	+0.6
✕Jorge Bonifacio 2022 · MLB	29	39→49	49→55	46→45	43	203/264/354	151	261	16	7	29%	7%	69	-0.4	210/277/378	168	269	22	8	30%	7%	82	+0.5	200/270/372	172	249	24	7	30%	7%	76	+0.0
●Jeff Bailey 2008 · AAA	29	43→49	50→55	44→45	48	220/300/375	155	271	18	7	26%	8%	91	+1.1	234/313/395	161	284	19	6	24%	8%	101	+1.8	231/313/385	154	282	17	3	23%	8%	95	+1.1
✕Jason Coats 2019 · MLB	29	43→50	50→55	49→45	40	222/264/383	161	265	18	6	24%	4%	76	+0.1	213/251/362	149	273	18	9	29%	4%	66	-0.6	198/232/337	140	254	20	8	31%	4%	49	-1.1
●Connor Joe 2021 · MLB	28	46→52	47→50	43→45	52	227/317/369	141	287	14	5	25%	10%	96	+1.5	230/322/373	143	281	14	6	22%	11%	98	+1.6	229/327/375	146	282	13	5	22%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Jaylin Davis 2023 · MLB	29	39→45	48→50	44→45	41	200/272/339	139	292	16	7	36%	8%	69	-0.4	206/284/353	147	310	17	8	36%	8%	79	+0.3	175/274/336	161	263	19	3	38%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Russ Canzler 2015 · MLB	29	44→54	48→55	44→45	44	226/280/371	145	286	16	4	27%	7%	80	+0.4	231/278/370	139	277	17	6	23%	6%	79	+0.3	226/269/351	125	262	17	2	21%	5%	66	-0.4
✕O'Koyea Dickson 2019 · AAA	29	41→46	54→55	44→45	43	220/278/397	178	262	23	6	26%	6%	87	+0.8	226/278/371	145	264	16	9	21%	6%	79	+0.3	220/269/366	146	240	13	0	15%	5%	70	-0.1
✕Bryce Brentz 2018 · MLB	29	44→46	51→60	46→40	41	226/274/381	155	293	19	4	30%	6%	80	+0.4	214/273/393	179	309	22	4	36%	7%	84	+0.6	189/257/380	191	284	25	1	41%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Marquez Smith 2014 · AAA	29	46→53	47→55	46→40	44	232/288/367	135	284	14	4	24%	6%	82	+0.5	232/309/370	138	307	13	5	27%	9%	92	+1.2	233/316/372	140	311	12	3	27%	10%	94	+1.1
✕Jerry Sands 2017 · MLB	29	45→46	48→60	41→45	46	229/287/369	139	276	17	3	24%	7%	82	+0.5	243/306/422	179	305	20	6	26%	8%	105	+2.1	248/319/457	209	310	23	5	27%	9%	115	+1.4
✕Jerad Head 2012 · MLB	29	44→46	49→55	47→50	37	225/269/376	151	280	17	6	26%	4%	77	+0.1	226/278/375	149	276	17	8	25%	5%	81	+0.4	225/282/375	150	269	18	7	23%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Joey Terdoslavich 2018 · MLB	29	47→50	45→55	44→40	49	236/296/359	123	275	13	4	20%	8%	83	+0.6	249/298/387	138	296	17	7	21%	6%	92	+1.2	262/305/404	142	307	20	3	21%	5%	96	+0.8
✕Brandon Allen 2015 · MLB	29	43→47	50→55	50	46	222/283/373	151	276	18	5	26%	8%	82	+0.5	208/269/332	124	265	14	5	26%	7%	66	-0.6	190/253/301	111	240	12	3	26%	7%	50	-1.0
✕Chris Marrero 2017 · AAA	29	48→52	51→55	47→30	43	246/286/409	163	287	19	2	22%	5%	92	+1.2	231/280/382	151	276	18	6	23%	6%	83	+0.6	152/220/276	123	169	17	0	23%	6%	30	-0.6
✕Abraham M. Nunez 2006 · MLB	29	45→46	46→50	42→45	49	224/291/350	126	277	14	9	24%	9%	79	+0.3	230/288/373	143	292	16	8	26%	7%	84	+0.6	229/287/374	145	289	17	5	26%	7%	82	+0.2