Matt Tuiasosopo

PosLF

B/TR/R

Born1986-05-10

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	29	AAACWS	423	.230/.346/.447	18	3	63	—	.181/.265/.319
2016	30	AAAGwinnett Brav…	248	.246/.354/.483	11	0	78	—	.198/.276/.369
2017	31	AAAGwinnett Brav…	428	.207/.318/.306	8	1	42	—	.172/.252/.248

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	19	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	464	409	113	21	3	6	44	96	9	8	5	276	359	386	746	110	347	21	9	338	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	241	217	40	4	0	1	19	64	2	2	1	184	256	217	473	32	255	27	8	222	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	—	253	232	71	14	0	1	14	58	5	5	6	306	359	379	738	73	405	23	6	333	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA	West Tenn Diamond Jaxx	—	548	446	116	27	5	9	76	113	11	4	8	260	381	404	784	143	317	21	14	348	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	47	44	7	2	1	0	2	16	1	0	0	159	213	250	463	91	250	34	4	211	29	-4	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.2
2008	22	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	500	436	124	32	2	13	48	102	12	4	0	284	371	456	827	172	342	20	10	367	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	25	22	5	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	227	292	409	701	182	235	20	8	299	89	-0	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2009	23	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	269	226	59	15	0	11	36	83	3	3	1	261	370	473	843	212	361	31	13	369	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	ROK	AZL Mariners	—	32	27	11	0	0	1	4	6	1	0	0	407	500	519	1.019	111	500	19	12	458	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	138	127	22	5	0	4	9	49	1	0	0	173	234	307	541	134	243	36	7	243	52	-8	+0	-4	-3	+3	-1.3
2010	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	176	143	36	6	0	5	32	35	1	2	2	252	392	399	791	147	301	20	18	362	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	526	439	99	20	6	14	75	132	5	11	2	226	345	394	739	169	284	25	14	331	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	481	418	101	14	0	12	51	117	5	3	4	242	331	361	692	120	305	24	11	312	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	191	164	40	7	0	7	25	57	2	0	0	244	351	415	765	171	330	30	13	346	124	+5	+0	-5	-2	+4	0.3
2014	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	487	409	98	18	0	13	71	120	5	1	1	240	359	379	738	139	306	25	15	337	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	423	356	82	21	1	18	57	123	6	3	0	230	346	447	793	216	294	29	13	350	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	248	211	52	17	0	11	32	71	3	0	0	246	354	483	837	237	313	29	13	367	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	428	363	75	10	1	8	55	139	5	1	0	207	318	306	624	99	306	32	13	289	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	401	357	74	15	1	12	38	127	4	0	0	207	291	356	646	148	283	32	9	292	83	-8	+0	-9	-2	+9	-1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	19	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	464	423	104	18	3	5	30	130	9	8	5	246	310	338	648	92	338	28	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	241	222	39	4	0	1	14	78	2	2	1	176	231	207	438	32	256	32	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+ MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	253	236	65	12	0	1	10	78	5	5	6	275	319	339	658	64	395	31	4	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA MLE	West Tenn Diamond Jaxx	—	548	469	120	28	5	8	53	138	11	4	8	256	345	388	733	132	317	25	10	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	47	44	7	2	1	0	2	16	1	0	0	159	213	250	463	91	250	34	4	211	29	-4	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.2
2008	22	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	500	448	110	27	2	10	36	132	12	4	0	246	319	382	700	136	315	26	7	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	25	22	5	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	227	292	409	701	182	235	20	8	299	89	-0	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2009	23	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	269	235	50	12	0	8	27	107	3	3	1	213	302	366	668	153	340	40	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	ROK MLE	AZL Mariners	—	32	29	9	0	0	1	2	9	1	0	0	310	375	414	789	103	391	28	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	138	127	22	5	0	4	9	49	1	0	0	173	234	307	541	134	243	36	7	246	52	-8	+0	-4	-3	+3	-1.3
2010	24	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	176	151	33	5	0	4	24	45	1	2	2	219	330	331	661	113	277	26	14	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	526	458	90	18	5	11	56	172	5	11	2	197	291	330	621	133	273	33	11	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	481	434	97	13	0	11	35	142	5	3	4	224	289	329	619	106	294	30	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	191	164	40	7	0	7	25	57	2	0	0	244	351	415	765	171	330	30	13	352	124	+5	+0	-5	-2	+4	0.3
2014	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	487	432	93	16	0	10	48	148	5	1	1	215	301	322	623	106	296	30	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	423	376	68	17	1	11	37	152	6	3	0	181	265	319	584	138	260	36	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	248	222	44	14	0	8	21	81	3	0	0	198	276	369	646	171	266	33	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	428	383	66	9	1	6	36	169	5	1	0	172	252	248	500	76	279	39	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	464	423	104	18	3	5	30	130	9	8	5	246	310	338	648	92	343	28	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	464	409	113	21	3	6	44	96	9	8	5	276	359	386	746	110	347	21	9	338	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	494	458	103	15	0	2	24	156	7	7	7	225	274	271	545	46	336	32	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	494	449	111	18	0	2	33	122	7	7	7	247	309	301	609	53	334	25	7	279	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA MLE	West Tenn Diamond Jaxx	—	548	469	120	28	5	8	53	138	11	4	8	256	345	388	733	132	332	25	10	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA RAW	West Tenn Diamond Jaxx	—	548	446	116	27	5	9	76	113	11	4	8	260	381	404	784	143	317	21	14	348	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	547	492	117	29	3	10	38	148	13	4	0	238	309	370	679	132	317	27	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	547	480	131	34	3	13	50	118	13	4	0	273	357	438	795	165	334	22	9	353	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	326	286	64	13	0	10	31	121	4	3	1	224	308	374	683	150	344	37	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	326	275	75	16	0	13	42	94	4	3	1	273	377	473	850	200	365	29	13	373	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	314	278	55	10	0	8	33	94	2	2	2	198	288	320	608	122	267	30	11	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	314	270	58	11	0	9	41	84	2	2	2	215	323	356	678	141	277	27	13	310	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	526	458	90	18	5	11	56	172	5	11	2	197	291	330	621	133	281	33	11	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	526	439	99	20	6	14	75	132	5	11	2	226	345	394	739	169	284	25	14	331	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	481	434	97	13	0	11	35	142	5	3	4	224	289	329	619	106	303	30	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	481	418	101	14	0	12	51	117	5	3	4	242	331	361	692	120	305	24	11	312	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	191	164	40	7	0	7	25	57	2	0	0	244	351	415	765	171	330	30	13	352	124	+5	+0	-5	-2	+4	0.3
2013	27	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	191	164	40	7	0	7	25	57	2	0	0	244	351	415	765	171	330	30	13	346	124	+5	+0	-5	-2	+4	0.3
2014	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	487	432	93	16	0	10	48	148	5	1	1	215	301	322	623	106	301	30	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	—	487	409	98	18	0	13	71	120	5	1	1	240	359	379	738	139	306	25	15	337	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	423	376	68	17	1	11	37	152	6	3	0	181	265	319	584	138	264	36	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	—	423	356	82	21	1	18	57	123	6	3	0	230	346	447	793	216	294	29	13	350	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	248	222	44	14	0	8	21	81	3	0	0	198	276	369	646	171	267	33	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Braves	—	248	211	52	17	0	11	32	71	3	0	0	246	354	483	837	237	313	29	13	367	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	428	383	66	9	1	6	36	169	5	1	0	172	252	248	500	76	284	39	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Braves	—	428	363	75	10	1	8	55	139	5	1	0	207	318	306	624	99	306	32	13	289	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	19	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	464	422	104	18	3	5	30	130	9	8	5	246	310	339	648	92	338	28	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	494	460	103	15	0	2	24	156	7	7	7	224	274	270	544	46	327	32	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA MLE	West Tenn Diamond Jaxx	—	548	479	120	28	5	8	53	138	11	4	8	251	345	380	725	129	317	25	10	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	547	491	117	29	3	10	38	148	13	4	0	238	309	371	680	132	309	27	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	326	288	64	13	0	10	31	121	4	3	1	222	308	372	680	149	337	37	10	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	314	276	55	10	0	8	33	94	2	2	2	199	288	322	610	123	262	30	11	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	526	460	90	18	5	11	56	172	5	11	2	196	291	328	619	133	273	33	11	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	481	438	97	13	0	11	35	142	5	3	4	221	289	326	616	105	294	30	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	191	162	40	7	0	7	25	57	2	0	0	247	351	420	771	173	330	30	13	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	487	431	93	16	0	10	48	148	5	1	1	216	301	323	624	107	296	30	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	423	377	68	17	1	11	37	152	6	3	0	180	265	318	583	138	260	36	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	248	222	44	14	0	8	21	81	3	0	0	198	276	369	646	171	266	33	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	428	384	66	9	1	6	36	169	5	1	0	172	252	247	500	76	279	39	8	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	401	357	74	15	1	12	38	127	4	0	0	207	291	356	646	148	283	32	9	292	75	-8	+0	-9	-2	+9	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	120	24	2	19	62	206	6	0	0	207	291	354	645	147	284	32	10	292	75	-13	+0	-15	-4	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5477	4875	1061	207	18	107	467	1708	77	47	30	218	296	333	630	116	308	31	9	280	75	-8	+0	-9	-2	+9	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	127	25	2	13	55	203	9	6	4	219	297	337	634	117	310	31	8	280	75	-13	+0	-15	-4	+14	-1.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAAGwinnett Braves · 428 PAwOBA .284 → .230 (−54)K% 32.5% → 39.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.48%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	39.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.85%	÷0.999	×0.690	—	×0.962	8.54%
HBP% /PA	1.17%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	1.06%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.005	×0.930	×1.035	×0.962	23.04%
Doubles /BIP	4.46%	÷0.936	×0.830	×1.035	×0.962	3.94%
Triples /BIP	0.45%	÷1.005	×0.970	×1.035	×0.962	0.43%
Home runs /BIP	3.57%	÷0.972	×0.840	—	×0.962	2.97%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 101, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.

Result: wOBA .284 → .230; ISO .099 → .082; BABIP .306 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAGwinnett Braves · 248 PAwOBA .360 → .284 (−76)K% 28.6% → 32.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.63%	÷1.046	×1.200	—	—	32.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.90%	÷1.022	×0.690	—	×0.972	8.47%
HBP% /PA	1.21%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	1.11%
Singles /BIP	17.14%	÷1.017	×0.930	×1.014	×0.972	15.45%
Doubles /BIP	12.14%	÷0.991	×0.830	×1.014	×0.972	10.02%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.014	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.86%	÷1.132	×0.840	—	×0.972	5.67%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 109, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .360 → .284; ISO .237 → .183; BABIP .313 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAACharlotte Knights · 423 PAwOBA .342 → .261 (−82)K% 29.1% → 35.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.08%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	35.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.00%	÷1.017	×0.690	—	×0.982	8.67%
HBP% /PA	1.42%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.31%
Singles /BIP	18.03%	÷0.973	×0.930	×1.015	×0.982	17.17%
Doubles /BIP	9.01%	÷0.993	×0.830	×1.015	×0.982	7.51%
Triples /BIP	0.43%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.015	×0.982	0.36%
Home runs /BIP	7.73%	÷1.306	×0.840	—	×0.982	4.88%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .342 → .261; ISO .216 → .147; BABIP .294 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAACharlotte Knights · 487 PAwOBA .330 → .276 (−53)K% 24.6% → 30.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.64%	÷0.975	×1.200	—	—	30.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.58%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×0.992	9.86%
HBP% /PA	1.03%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.96%
Singles /BIP	23.18%	÷0.966	×0.930	×1.050	×0.992	23.26%
Doubles /BIP	6.23%	÷0.977	×0.830	×1.050	×0.992	5.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.910	×0.970	×1.050	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.50%	÷1.118	×0.840	—	×0.992	3.35%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 82, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .330 → .276; ISO .139 → .109; BABIP .306 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAABuffalo Bisons · 481 PAwOBA .305 → .273 (−32)K% 24.3% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.32%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	29.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.40%	÷1.002	×0.690	—	×1.018	7.29%
HBP% /PA	1.04%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.99%
Singles /BIP	24.92%	÷0.992	×0.930	×1.028	×1.018	24.44%
Doubles /BIP	4.65%	÷0.963	×0.830	×1.028	×1.018	4.19%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.002	×0.970	×1.028	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.99%	÷0.901	×0.840	—	×1.018	3.78%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 93, 3B 100, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .305 → .273; ISO .120 → .111; BABIP .305 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAATacoma Rainiers · 526 PAwOBA .326 → .275 (−51)K% 25.1% → 32.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.10%	÷0.990	×1.290	—	—	32.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.26%	÷0.976	×0.710	—	×1.033	10.71%
HBP% /PA	0.95%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.96%
Singles /BIP	19.22%	÷0.960	×0.900	×1.019	×1.033	18.97%
Doubles /BIP	6.51%	÷0.896	×0.810	×1.019	×1.033	6.20%
Triples /BIP	1.95%	÷0.993	×0.810	×1.019	×1.033	1.68%
Home runs /BIP	4.56%	÷1.004	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.66%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 92, 2B 79, 3B 99, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .326 → .275; ISO .169 → .137; BABIP .284 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAATacoma Rainiers · 176 PAwOBA .352 → .296 (−56)K% 19.9% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.89%	÷1.012	×1.290	—	—	25.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.61%	÷0.968	×0.710	—	×1.048	13.54%
HBP% /PA	0.57%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.58%
Singles /BIP	23.15%	÷1.034	×0.900	×1.048	×1.048	22.13%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.086	×0.810	×1.048	×1.048	4.55%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.934	×0.810	×1.048	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.63%	÷1.031	×0.780	—	×1.048	3.67%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 117, 3B 87, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .352 → .296; ISO .147 → .116; BABIP .301 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAATacoma Rainiers · 269 PAwOBA .361 → .295 (−66)K% 30.9% → 39.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.86%	÷1.000	×1.290	—	—	39.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.38%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.050	9.98%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	1.15%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷1.000	×0.900	×1.044	×1.050	22.77%
Doubles /BIP	10.49%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.044	×1.050	9.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.810	×1.044	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.050	6.30%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .361 → .295; ISO .212 → .165; BABIP .361 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).