Christopher Morel

Christopher MorelLF Miami Marlins

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs MLB HR -6%H -3% Svc 3.680 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION133 act + 282 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 6468vR 78

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .289 / .391

PA282

HR11

SB5

K%32

BB%9

BABIP281

ISO178

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

1415.1%

xwOBA

470.305

POWER55

Barrel%

6911.1

Avg EV

6289.9

Bat Spd

9076.0

EYE50

Chase%

6528.7%

SPEED55

Sprint

3726.9

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 916 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

287

629

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

277

296

▶R

ISO

165

155

◀L

BABIP

244

269

▶R

30.3%

28.8%

▶R

BB%

8.7%

9.2%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.680 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.8M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$-2M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	DSL Cubs 1	—	268	237	38	4	1	6	21	53	5	23	10	160	243	262	505	101	175	20	8	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	DSL Cubs 1	—	268	223	49	6	2	7	35	37	5	23	10	220	338	359	697	139	228	14	13	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	—	128	117	21	4	0	1	7	40	2	1	4	179	238	239	477	60	260	31	5	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	—	128	113	29	6	0	2	11	28	2	1	4	257	333	363	696	106	321	22	9	313	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	South Bend Cubs	—	278	260	56	10	4	5	8	87	4	9	6	215	250	342	592	127	298	31	3	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	South Bend Cubs	—	278	257	73	15	7	6	11	60	4	9	6	284	324	467	790	183	345	22	4	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	3 teams	—	511	470	84	15	4	16	31	196	4	21	3	179	236	330	565	151	258	38	6	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	3 teams	—	511	452	103	20	6	18	49	148	4	21	3	228	309	418	727	190	291	29	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB	2 teams	—	547	489	116	23	5	21	46	179	6	13	10	237	311	434	744	196	326	33	8	321	104	+2	-1	-6	+2	+15	1.3
2022	23	MLB	2 teams	—	547	487	122	24	5	23	48	167	6	13	10	251	325	462	787	211	331	31	9	344	121	+13	-1	-6	+2	+15	2.4
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	—	666	599	150	27	6	42	56	213	8	15	4	250	323	526	849	275	312	32	8	358	132	+24	+1	-5	+2	+19	4.3
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	—	666	586	152	30	7	40	69	199	8	15	4	259	345	539	885	280	321	30	10	383	151	+38	+1	-5	+2	+19	5.7
2024	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	611	535	103	11	3	22	61	159	10	8	7	193	287	348	635	155	226	26	10	281	74	-18	-1	-10	+2	+17	-1.0
2024	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	611	535	105	11	3	21	61	159	10	8	7	196	290	346	636	150	233	26	10	288	79	-15	-1	-10	+2	+17	-0.7
2025	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	305	278	62	17	0	12	25	109	2	7	2	223	292	414	705	191	318	36	8	305	92	-3	+1	-6	-3	+9	-0.3
2025	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	305	278	61	16	0	11	25	109	2	7	2	219	289	396	684	176	316	36	8	305	92	-3	+1	-6	-3	+9	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	MIA	—	133	123	23	5	0	2	9	48	1	1	0	187	248	276	525	89	288	36	7	227	32	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.8
YTD	27	MLB	MIA	—	133	121	24	5	0	2	11	45	1	1	0	198	271	289	560	91	297	34	8	258	56	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	27	MLB	MIA	100%	282	253	54	10	1	11	24	90	3	5	1	213	289	391	681	178	284	32	9	304	91	-3	+1	-2	-3	+8	0.0
ROS	27	MLB	MIA	100%	282	253	54	10	1	11	24	90	3	5	1	213	289	391	681	178	279	32	9	292	82	-6	+1	-2	-3	+8	-0.3
FULL	27	MLB	MIA	—	415	376	77	15	1	13	33	138	4	6	1	205	276	354	630	149	283	33	8	271	66	-16	+1	-2	-4	+12	-1.1
TOT	27	MLB	MIA	—	415	376	77	15	1	13	33	138	4	6	1	205	276	354	630	149	283	33	8	279	72	-13	+1	-2	-4	+12	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	MIA	100%	599	537	115	21	3	22	51	192	6	9	2	214	290	387	677	173	283	32	9	301	89	-8	+1	-6	-6	+17	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	MIA	100%	599	537	114	21	3	22	51	192	6	9	2	212	288	385	673	173	278	32	9	289	80	-14	+1	-6	-6	+17	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2651	2370	519	94	14	107	235	820	26	45	21	219	296	406	702	187	283	31	9	308	94	-19	+1	-34	-6	+75	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	127	23	3	26	58	201	6	11	5	219	296	403	699	184	283	31	9	308	94	-5	+0	-8	-2	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	4195	3775	799	142	27	158	330	1318	50	111	49	212	284	389	673	177	275	31	8	293	82	-83	+3	-34	-19	+119	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	123	22	4	24	51	204	8	17	8	210	283	385	667	174	274	31	8	293	82	-13	+0	-5	-3	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	DSL Cubs 1	—	268	223	49	6	2	7	35	37	5	23	10	220	338	359	697	139	228	14	13	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+8	0.8
2018	19	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	—	128	113	29	6	0	2	11	28	2	1	4	257	333	363	696	106	321	22	9	313	97	-0	-1	—	—	+4	0.2
2019	20	A	South Bend Cubs	—	278	257	73	15	7	6	11	60	4	9	6	284	324	467	790	183	345	22	4	340	118	+6	-1	—	—	+8	1.3
2021	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	39	35	9	1	0	1	4	10	0	2	0	257	333	371	705	114	333	26	10	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	417	368	81	17	5	17	41	124	3	16	3	220	303	432	735	212	276	30	10	322	104	+2	+2	—	—	+12	1.6
2021	22	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	55	49	13	2	1	0	4	14	1	3	0	265	333	347	680	82	361	25	7	305	91	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	425	379	89	19	4	16	38	137	3	10	7	235	310	433	742	198	320	32	9	325	107	+3	-1	-6	+2	+12	1.1
2022	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	122	108	33	5	1	7	10	30	3	3	3	306	380	565	945	259	366	25	8	409	171	+10	-1	—	—	+3	1.3
2023	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	429	388	96	17	3	26	36	133	2	6	2	247	315	508	822	260	303	31	8	356	130	+15	+0	-5	+2	+12	2.5
2023	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	134	115	38	9	2	11	17	41	2	4	1	330	425	730	1.156	400	429	31	13	489	232	+20	+0	—	—	+4	2.5
2023	24	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	103	83	18	4	2	3	16	25	4	5	1	217	369	422	791	205	273	24	16	358	132	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	611	535	105	11	3	21	61	159	10	8	7	196	290	346	636	150	233	26	10	288	79	-15	-1	-10	+2	+17	-0.7
2025	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	305	278	61	16	0	11	25	109	2	7	2	219	289	396	684	176	316	36	8	305	92	-3	+1	-6	-3	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1770	1580	351	63	10	74	160	538	17	31	18	222	301	415	716	193	284	30	9	316	100	+0	-1	-26	+3	+50	2.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,857	115	49	219	293	406	-31	-47	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	27	11	219	293	406	-7.1	-11.0	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Logan Morrisonlast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,713 PA	9	3,713	137	23	239	325	427	-58	-79	1.7	2.6
	/162	664	24	4	239	325	427	-10.4	-14.1	0.3	pk7: 3
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christopher Morel (OGILVIE)	27	40	55	55	50	205/276/354	149	283	13	6	33%	8%	72	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	43→41	54→55	52→50	50	221/307/408	188	288	21	13	30%	10%	102	+1.8	208/299/363	155	294	17	15	32%	10%	87	+0.8	177/275/304	127	268	13	16	36%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Stuart Fairchild 2023 · MLB	27	44→42	52→50	50→55	42	223/298/390	167	299	20	13	31%	7%	94	+1.3	223/301/370	147	293	16	20	28%	8%	89	+1.0	220/316/365	145	284	15	26	26%	9%	92	+0.7
●Mike Wilson 2010 · AAA	27	38→48	54→60	54→50	41	203/282/375	173	283	22	9	36%	8%	84	+0.6	230/303/403	173	301	22	10	30%	8%	99	+1.7	233/307/410	177	297	22	9	28%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Jabari Blash 2016 · AAA	27	39→41	58→60	48→50	44	214/292/419	206	279	27	9	33%	8%	98	+1.6	208/310/397	189	306	24	7	37%	11%	101	+1.8	194/309/387	193	292	25	6	39%	12%	95	+0.9
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	42→43	59→55	51→55	46	231/296/433	202	277	28	14	28%	8%	104	+2.0	215/280/381	166	290	22	22	32%	8%	83	+0.6	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
●Jeff Bailey 2006 · AAA	27	43→49	54→55	49→45	43	226/299/401	175	288	22	9	29%	7%	97	+1.5	229/309/397	168	282	20	6	25%	8%	100	+1.7	230/314/402	172	277	21	5	24%	9%	100	+1.5
✕Donnie Murphy 2010 · MLB	27	43→40	52→65	49→45	40	223/281/393	170	300	20	9	32%	6%	87	+0.8	230/290/428	198	276	24	5	26%	6%	100	+1.7	225/289/444	220	260	27	2	25%	7%	99	+0.7
✕Dilson Herrera 2021 · MLB	27	39→49	55→50	47→50	41	213/274/394	181	276	23	11	32%	7%	85	+0.7	203/260/354	151	298	19	8	37%	6%	68	-0.5	146/205/283	138	208	20	0	41%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Casper Wells 2011 · MLB	26	41→46	57→60	45→50	42	220/287/421	201	277	24	10	30%	7%	97	+1.5	229/299/415	186	291	21	8	28%	8%	101	+1.8	223/301/403	180	282	20	6	27%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Brandon Allen 2013 · MLB	27	43→47	53→55	49→50	46	220/297/398	178	292	20	8	31%	9%	95	+1.4	219/279/373	154	279	18	6	27%	8%	81	+0.4	212/274/358	146	266	17	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Michael Hermosillo 2022 · MLB	27	45→46	55	50→55	43	229/318/418	189	310	23	15	32%	8%	110	+2.4	216/295/383	167	282	20	15	30%	7%	91	+1.1	177/240/344	167	200	27	17	28%	4%	56	-0.5
✕Kevin Padlo 2022 · MLB	26	38→40	55	48→50	41	209/273/391	182	282	24	10	35%	8%	83	+0.6	194/263/337	143	269	16	13	33%	8%	65	-0.7	175/255/305	131	241	15	14	32%	9%	52	-1.0
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	55	53→55	42	229/287/409	180	290	23	18	30%	6%	94	+1.3	232/293/371	139	295	15	20	25%	8%	86	+0.8	233/296/352	119	297	11	21	24%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Bobby Dalbec 2023 · MLB	28	42	59→60	53→50	41	226/291/432	206	298	28	6	34%	7%	102	+1.8	210/282/396	186	316	25	12	39%	8%	89	+0.9	197/272/380	184	302	25	13	41%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Kody Clemens 2023 · MLB	27	38→44	53→60	51→45	40	210/256/385	175	259	22	8	29%	6%	74	-0.1	219/276/410	191	259	24	9	26%	7%	89	+1.0	227/284/442	214	256	27	8	24%	6%	98	+1.0
✕J.J. Matijevic 2023 · MLB	27	44→42	58→60	52→50	42	230/293/433	203	313	26	12	34%	8%	102	+1.9	226/286/400	174	310	19	11	32%	7%	90	+1.0	213/276/388	175	290	18	8	32%	7%	79	+0.3
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	38→37	56→55	53→50	35	214/252/400	187	277	25	17	33%	4%	77	+0.1	219/282/362	143	318	16	10	34%	7%	79	+0.3	222/301/341	118	337	12	5	34%	9%	79	+0.1
●Chas McCormick 2022 · MLB	27	47→51	52→55	48→55	47	243/313/407	164	307	21	11	28%	8%	104	+2.0	245/322/409	164	312	21	14	27%	9%	108	+2.3	239/319/393	154	302	20	17	26%	9%	101	+1.2
✕Kyle Lewis 2023 · MLB	28	42→52	54→55	49→40	50	224/306/395	171	282	24	7	29%	10%	98	+1.6	242/307/411	169	318	22	5	29%	8%	102	+1.9	254/317/423	169	336	23	0	30%	8%	106	+1.2
✕Kent Matthes 2014 · AAA	27	40→49	55→65	50	37	218/259/408	190	276	23	13	31%	4%	82	+0.5	204/248/342	138	276	15	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	188/232/321	133	254	14	8	32%	4%	45	-1.2