Christopher Morel

Christopher MorelLF Tampa Bay Rays

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs MLB Svc 3.680 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.1 · 2026

wRC+†vL 70100vR 85

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .295 / .413

PA415

HR19

SB8

K%30

BB%9

xwOBA.304

Barrel%14.8%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

55→55

SPD

55→55

EYE

54↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.8peak

2026

Barrel%

9014.8

xwOBA

460.304

Avg EV

9091.8

Whiff%

100.194

Chase%

400.337

Speed

6328.0

Bat Spd

9076.0

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.680 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$2M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-0.0M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	DSL Cubs 1	268	237	38	4	1	6	21	53	5	23	10	.160	.243	.262	.505	.101	.175	20	8	.228	33	-20	+1	+0	-3	+8	-1.5
2018	19	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	128	117	21	4	0	1	7	40	2	1	4	.179	.238	.239	.477	.060	.260	31	5	.221	27	-11	-1	+0	-1	+4	-1.0
2019	20	A	South Bend Cubs	278	260	58	11	4	5	8	78	4	9	6	.223	.257	.354	.611	.131	.294	28	3	.255	53	-15	-1	+0	-3	+8	-1.1
2021	22	AA	3 teams	511	470	83	16	3	16	31	197	4	21	3	.177	.234	.326	.559	.149	.255	39	6	.243	44	-32	+3	+0	-5	+14	-2.1
2022	23	MLB	2 teams	547	490	115	24	4	23	45	177	6	13	10	.235	.307	.441	.748	.206	.315	32	8	.320	103	+2	-1	-6	+2	+15	1.3
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	666	599	151	27	6	42	56	215	8	15	4	.252	.324	.528	.852	.275	.317	32	8	.361	134	+26	+1	-5	+2	+19	4.5
2024	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	611	535	103	11	3	21	61	159	10	8	7	.193	.287	.342	.629	.150	.228	26	10	.280	72	-19	-1	-10	+2	+17	-1.1
2025	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	305	278	60	15	0	11	25	109	2	7	2	.216	.285	.388	.674	.173	.310	36	8	.297	86	-5	+1	-6	-3	+9	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	TB	415	371	81	13	2	19	37	125	4	8	2	.218	.296	.418	.714	.199	.269	30	9	.315	100	-0	+1	-7	-4	+12	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	TB	418	373	81	13	2	19	38	126	4	7	2	.217	.296	.416	.712	.198	.269	30	9	.314	99	-1	+1	-8	-4	+12	-0.0
2028	29	MLB	TB	411	366	79	13	2	18	38	125	4	6	1	.216	.297	.410	.706	.194	.268	30	9	.312	97	-1	+1	-8	-4	+12	-0.1
2029	30	MLB	TB	405	361	77	12	2	18	37	125	4	5	1	.213	.294	.407	.701	.194	.266	31	9	.309	95	-2	+1	-9	-4	+11	-0.4
2030	31	MLB	TB	390	347	74	12	2	17	36	122	4	3	0	.213	.295	.406	.701	.193	.264	31	9	.305	92	-4	+1	-9	-4	+11	-0.5
2031	32	MLB	TB	371	330	69	11	2	16	34	118	4	1	0	.209	.291	.400	.691	.191	.262	32	9	.300	88	-5	+0	-10	-4	+11	-0.8
2032	33	MLB	TB	341	304	61	10	1	14	31	111	3	0	0	.201	.281	.378	.659	.178	.260	33	9	.295	84	-6	+0	-10	-4	+10	-1.0
2033	34	MLB	TB	297	265	52	8	1	12	27	99	3	0	0	.196	.278	.370	.648	.174	.258	33	9	.288	78	-7	+0	-10	-3	+8	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6362	5703	1203	204	35	258	532	1979	71	127	52	.211	.286	.395	.681	.184	.270	31	8	.298	86	-101	+5	-95	-42	+180	-5.4
/ 162G	—			650	583	123	21	4	26	54	202	7	13	5	.211	.286	.395	.680	.184	.270	31	8	.298	86	-10	+1	-10	-4	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	DSL Cubs 1	268	223	49	6	2	7	35	37	5	23	10	.220	.338	.359	.697	.139	.228	14	13	.315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+8	0.8
2018	19	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	128	113	29	6	0	2	11	28	2	1	4	.257	.333	.363	.696	.106	.321	22	9	.313	97	-0	-1	—	—	+4	0.2
2019	20	A	South Bend Cubs	278	257	73	15	7	6	11	60	4	9	6	.284	.324	.467	.790	.183	.345	22	4	.340	118	+6	-1	—	—	+8	1.3
2021	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	39	35	9	1	0	1	4	10	0	2	0	.257	.333	.371	.705	.114	.333	26	10	.320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	417	368	81	17	5	17	41	124	3	16	3	.220	.303	.432	.735	.212	.276	30	10	.322	104	+2	+2	—	—	+12	1.6
2021	22	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	55	49	13	2	1	0	4	14	1	3	0	.265	.333	.347	.680	.082	.361	25	7	.305	91	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	425	379	89	19	4	16	38	137	3	10	7	.235	.310	.433	.742	.198	.320	32	9	.325	107	+3	-1	-6	+2	+12	1.1
2022	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	122	108	33	5	1	7	10	30	3	3	3	.306	.380	.565	.945	.259	.366	25	8	.409	171	+10	-1	—	—	+3	1.3
2023	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	429	388	96	17	3	26	36	133	2	6	2	.247	.315	.508	.822	.260	.303	31	8	.356	130	+15	+0	-5	+2	+12	2.5
2023	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	134	115	38	9	2	11	17	41	2	4	1	.330	.425	.730	1.156	.400	.429	31	13	.489	232	+20	+0	—	—	+4	2.5
2023	24	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	103	83	18	4	2	3	16	25	4	5	1	.217	.369	.422	.791	.205	.273	24	16	.358	132	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	611	535	105	11	3	21	61	159	10	8	7	.196	.290	.346	.636	.150	.233	26	10	.288	79	-15	-1	-10	+2	+17	-0.7
2025	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	305	278	61	16	0	11	25	109	2	7	2	.219	.289	.396	.684	.176	.316	36	8	.305	92	-3	+1	-6	-3	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1770	1580	351	63	10	74	160	538	17	31	18	.222	.301	.415	.716	.193	.284	30	9	.316	100	+0	-1	-26	+3	+50	2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christopher Morel (OGILVIE)	27	40	55	55	50	.216/.295/.413	.197	.269	19	8	30%	9%	100	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Weston Wilson 2022 · AAA	27	40→43	55	51→55	45	.219/.283/.402	.182	.267	25	13	28%	8%	90	+1.0	.216/.279/.378	.162	.291	21	21	32%	8%	82	+0.5	.215/.294/.402	.188	.269	26	25	30%	10%	92	+0.8
✕Jabari Blash 2016 · AAA	27	39→40	59→60	47→50	44	.214/.293/.420	.206	.279	27	10	34%	8%	99	+1.7	.209/.309/.401	.192	.302	24	7	36%	11%	102	+1.8	.197/.311/.392	.195	.294	26	6	38%	12%	97	+1.0
✕Aristides Aquino 2021 · MLB	27	40	64→65	49→50	40	.230/.284/.462	.231	.272	35	10	30%	6%	107	+2.2	.215/.289/.413	.198	.290	27	9	34%	9%	96	+1.5	.193/.274/.380	.187	.267	25	6	36%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	44	54→55	52→50	48	.228/.308/.419	.191	.299	21	13	30%	10%	105	+2.1	.219/.307/.387	.168	.303	19	15	32%	10%	96	+1.5	.188/.286/.329	.140	.277	15	16	35%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Joe Mather 2009 · MLB	27	43→45	57→60	51→50	46	.234/.298/.432	.199	.257	26	9	21%	7%	105	+2.1	.216/.275/.363	.147	.257	16	11	23%	6%	76	+0.1	.206/.260/.310	.104	.261	10	8	24%	7%	52	-0.7
✕Bobby Dalbec 2023 · MLB	28	43→44	60	53→50	41	.231/.296/.443	.212	.305	29	5	34%	7%	107	+2.2	.213/.285/.401	.188	.321	26	12	39%	8%	91	+1.1	.200/.275/.384	.184	.313	25	13	42%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Mike Wilson 2011 · AAA	28	40→50	56→60	50	45	.217/.293/.402	.186	.279	25	12	32%	8%	95	+1.4	.230/.299/.389	.159	.307	19	8	30%	8%	93	+1.3	.229/.297/.377	.148	.312	17	4	31%	8%	86	+0.4
✕Casper Wells 2012 · MLB	27	43→46	56→60	44→50	42	.226/.292/.422	.197	.290	24	8	30%	7%	99	+1.7	.222/.294/.388	.166	.284	18	7	27%	8%	91	+1.1	.211/.292/.373	.161	.265	16	5	26%	9%	84	+0.3
✕Valentino Pascucci 2008 · AAA	29	43→45	58→55	51→45	45	.231/.309/.434	.203	.290	27	10	30%	8%	110	+2.4	.221/.306/.396	.175	.289	23	6	30%	10%	98	+1.6	.209/.300/.379	.170	.272	22	3	31%	11%	89	+0.7
✕Tyler Moore 2014 · MLB	27	45→46	59→65	51→40	41	.242/.289/.452	.210	.298	27	5	29%	6%	106	+2.2	.222/.283/.378	.156	.281	18	3	27%	7%	84	+0.6	.204/.267/.340	.136	.256	16	0	27%	7%	63	-0.4
●Ryan Noda 2023 · AAA	27	40→49	55	50	46	.209/.304/.392	.183	.294	25	12	36%	10%	97	+1.5	.202/.323/.370	.168	.300	20	8	36%	13%	100	+1.7	.182/.324/.341	.159	.276	19	6	37%	15%	91	+0.9
✕Kyle Lewis 2023 · MLB	28	44→46	55	49→40	51	.229/.315/.401	.171	.291	25	7	29%	11%	103	+1.9	.247/.316/.423	.176	.320	23	4	29%	9%	109	+2.4	.268/.335/.445	.177	.348	24	0	28%	8%	118	+1.7
✕David Villar 2023 · MLB	26	42	59→60	44→40	45	.227/.314/.440	.213	.296	28	4	32%	9%	114	+2.7	.213/.295/.379	.166	.285	21	5	31%	9%	90	+1.0	.201/.283/.336	.135	.271	17	4	31%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Stuart Fairchild 2023 · MLB	27	44→43	53→50	50→55	42	.227/.302/.402	.174	.300	21	13	30%	7%	98	+1.6	.225/.303/.374	.149	.296	16	19	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.217/.302/.357	.140	.282	15	25	27%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	39→37	56→60	53→50	35	.216/.255/.404	.187	.281	25	17	33%	4%	79	+0.3	.222/.283/.373	.151	.316	18	11	33%	7%	82	+0.5	.225/.303/.344	.119	.336	12	5	34%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Chris Heisey 2012 · MLB	27	47→52	55	51→55	45	.249/.306/.431	.182	.287	23	12	23%	6%	108	+2.3	.241/.292/.395	.154	.290	17	11	23%	5%	92	+1.2	.235/.281/.376	.141	.282	14	11	22%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Michael Hermosillo 2022 · MLB	27	44→46	54→55	50→55	42	.223/.311/.406	.183	.310	22	15	34%	8%	104	+2.0	.219/.300/.389	.170	.288	21	15	30%	7%	95	+1.4	.179/.243/.346	.167	.201	27	17	28%	4%	58	-0.5
✕Jaylin Davis 2022 · MLB	28	42→47	57→50	47→45	41	.222/.291/.413	.191	.301	26	10	34%	7%	97	+1.5	.198/.274/.336	.138	.299	16	7	37%	8%	69	-0.4	.182/.266/.311	.129	.275	15	4	37%	9%	57	-0.8
✕Chris Aguila 2005 · MLB	26	46→54	57→55	51→50	46	.245/.302/.443	.198	.284	25	9	24%	7%	108	+2.3	.254/.299/.399	.145	.308	15	12	22%	6%	95	+1.4	.240/.292/.387	.147	.298	18	11	25%	6%	86	+0.5
●Jeff Bailey 2006 · AAA	27	44→49	53→55	49→45	43	.228/.301/.399	.171	.291	22	9	29%	7%	97	+1.5	.229/.308/.397	.168	.282	20	6	26%	8%	100	+1.7	.230/.314/.403	.173	.278	21	5	24%	9%	100	+1.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)