Luken Baker — OGILVIE

Luken Baker1B Reno Aces

Age 29 R/R 6'4" / 285 lbs AAA HR -11% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION211 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8884vR 72

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%10

BABIP264

ISO211

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

3512.6%

xAVG

100.191

POWER60

Barrel%

406.9

Avg EV

3287.8

Bat Spd

6472.8

EYE60

Chase%

6728.5%

SPEED45

Sprint

1025.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 83 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

161

◀◀L

wOBA

406

182

◀◀L

ISO

242

046

◀◀L

BABIP

354

133

◀◀L

21.4%

29.6%

◀◀L

BB%

17.9%

14.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.6M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	156	139	40	9	0	3	16	31	0	0	0	288	361	417	779	129	349	20	10	348	122	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2018	21	ROK	GCL Cardinals	—	28	24	12	2	0	1	3	4	0	0	0	500	556	708	1.264	208	550	14	11	532	246	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2019	22	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	496	439	107	32	1	10	52	112	3	1	1	244	328	390	717	146	304	23	10	322	104	+3	-0	—	—	+11	1.3
2021	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	391	347	86	20	0	26	38	103	2	0	0	248	326	530	856	282	270	26	10	368	135	+16	+0	—	—	+8	2.5
2022	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	513	464	106	14	0	21	37	129	5	0	0	228	292	394	687	166	265	25	7	303	91	-5	+0	—	—	+11	0.6
2023	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	99	86	18	3	0	2	13	31	0	0	0	209	313	314	627	105	302	31	13	291	83	-2	+0	-1	-9	+2	-1.0
2023	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	380	314	105	22	0	33	59	76	3	0	0	334	444	720	1.164	385	344	20	16	488	217	+53	+0	—	—	+8	6.2
2024	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	49	40	7	1	1	2	7	11	0	1	0	175	298	400	698	225	172	22	14	299	89	-1	+0	-1	-9	+1	-0.9
2024	27	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	452	376	87	18	0	32	67	110	2	0	0	231	351	535	885	303	228	24	15	379	143	+23	+0	—	—	+10	3.3
2025	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	41	34	8	3	0	0	7	10	0	0	0	235	366	324	689	88	333	24	17	323	105	+0	+0	-0	-8	+1	-0.7
2025	28	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	409	345	77	21	0	18	58	104	2	0	0	223	338	441	779	217	260	25	14	344	119	+9	+0	—	—	+9	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	189	160	33	7	1	4	27	52	0	1	0	206	321	338	658	131	274	28	14	300	89	-2	+0	-2	-26	+4	-2.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	156	144	33	7	0	2	11	41	0	0	0	229	284	319	603	90	303	26	7	274	72	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2018	21	ROK MLE	GCL Cardinals	—	28	25	10	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	400	444	560	1.004	160	437	21	7	419	170	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2019	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	496	452	84	25	1	9	39	157	3	1	1	186	255	305	560	119	257	32	8	247	53	-28	-0	—	—	+11	-1.7
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	391	359	68	14	0	20	26	129	2	0	0	189	248	396	644	206	222	33	7	275	72	-13	+0	—	—	+8	-0.5
2022	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	513	477	84	11	0	14	24	159	5	0	0	176	223	287	511	111	220	31	5	223	37	-38	+0	—	—	+11	-2.8
2023	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	99	86	18	3	0	2	13	31	0	0	0	209	313	314	627	105	302	31	13	294	85	-2	+0	-1	-9	+2	-0.9
2023	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	380	333	89	19	0	25	40	92	3	0	0	267	351	550	901	282	285	24	11	380	143	+20	+0	—	—	+8	2.8
2024	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	49	40	7	1	1	2	7	11	0	1	0	175	298	400	698	225	172	22	14	305	92	-0	+0	-1	-9	+1	-0.9
2024	27	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	452	399	72	16	0	22	44	138	2	0	0	180	265	386	651	206	195	31	10	283	78	-12	+0	—	—	+10	-0.2
2025	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	41	34	8	3	0	0	7	10	0	0	0	235	366	324	689	88	333	24	17	323	105	+0	+0	-0	-8	+1	-0.7
2025	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	—	409	365	64	16	0	14	38	132	2	0	0	175	257	334	591	159	221	32	9	263	64	-17	+0	—	—	+9	-0.9
2018	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	184	169	43	9	0	3	13	47	0	0	0	254	308	361	669	107	331	26	7	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	184	163	52	11	0	4	19	35	0	0	0	319	390	460	850	141	381	19	10	376	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	496	452	84	25	1	9	39	157	3	1	1	186	255	305	560	119	260	32	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	496	439	107	32	1	10	52	112	3	1	1	244	328	390	717	146	304	23	10	322	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	391	359	68	14	0	20	26	129	2	0	0	189	248	396	644	206	224	33	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	391	347	86	20	0	26	38	103	2	0	0	248	326	530	856	282	270	26	10	368	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	513	477	84	11	0	14	24	159	5	0	0	176	223	287	511	111	225	31	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	513	464	106	14	0	21	37	129	5	0	0	228	292	394	687	166	265	25	7	303	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	479	419	107	22	0	27	53	123	3	0	0	255	343	501	844	246	293	26	11	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	479	400	123	25	0	35	72	107	3	0	0	307	417	632	1.049	325	336	22	15	448	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	439	79	17	1	24	51	149	2	1	0	180	268	387	656	207	200	30	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	501	416	94	19	1	34	74	121	2	1	0	226	346	522	867	296	222	24	15	371	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	399	72	19	0	14	45	142	2	0	0	180	267	333	600	153	235	32	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	450	379	85	24	0	18	65	114	2	0	0	224	341	430	771	206	267	25	14	342	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	184	169	43	9	0	3	13	47	0	0	0	254	308	361	669	107	323	26	7	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	496	451	84	25	1	9	39	157	3	1	1	186	255	306	561	120	257	32	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	391	360	68	14	0	20	26	129	2	0	0	189	248	394	643	206	222	33	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	513	479	84	11	0	14	24	159	5	0	0	175	223	286	509	111	220	31	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	479	420	107	22	0	27	53	123	3	0	0	255	343	500	843	245	288	26	11	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	443	79	17	1	24	51	149	2	1	0	178	268	384	652	205	193	30	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	400	72	19	0	14	45	142	2	0	0	180	267	333	599	153	231	32	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	479	420	107	22	0	27	53	123	3	0	0	255	343	500	843	245	288	26	11	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	443	79	17	1	24	51	149	2	1	0	178	268	384	652	205	193	30	10	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	450	400	72	19	0	14	45	142	2	0	0	180	267	333	599	153	231	32	10	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	ARI	—	211	187	30	8	1	2	20	76	2	0	1	160	249	246	495	86	252	36	9	231	42	-14	-0	+0	-4	+5	-1.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA RAW	ARI	—	211	179	39	11	2	3	28	59	2	0	1	218	330	352	682	134	303	28	13	310	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	29	AAA MLE	ARI	10%	21	19	4	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	211	286	421	707	211	257	33	10	292	84	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	29	MLB CTX	ARI	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						264	50	0	289	84	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	29	MLB A+C	ARI	—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							50	0	289	46	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	29	AAA MLE	ARI	—	232	206	34	9	1	3	22	83	2	0	1	165	252	262	514	97	254	36	9	237	46	-15	-0	+0	-4	+5	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	ARI	33%	380	334	66	16	1	12	40	116	3	1	1	198	289	359	648	162	260	31	11	293	85	-7	-0	-3	-7	+8	-0.9
2027	30	MLB CTX	ARI	33%	124	109	22	6	0	4	13	38	1	0	0	202	293	367	660	165	267	31	10	290	85	-2	+0	-1	-2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	315	271	55	13	1	8	40	91	1	1	0	203	308	347	655	144	269	29	13	296	75	-5	+0	-3	-28	+7	-2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	559	114	27	2	17	83	188	2	2	0	204	309	351	660	147	269	29	13	296	75	-10	+0	-6	-57	+14	-5.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3415	3067	607	134	3	124	293	1029	20	3	2	198	272	365	637	167	248	30	9	279	75	-10	+0	-5	-33	+13	-3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	117	26	1	24	56	196	4	1	0	200	275	372	646	171	251	30	9	279	75	-11	+0	-5	-36	+14	-3.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	248	7	0	206	300	352	-4	-0	-0.2	-0.2
/162	664	19	1	-11.9	-1.2	-0.6	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luken Baker (OGILVIE)	29	40	60	45	60	194/287/358	164	257	8	0	31%	11%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shelley Duncan 2009 · MLB	29	40→45	55→60	46→45	48	219/288/399	180	255	23	7	25%	8%	93	+0.8	225/298/401	176	265	22	4	24%	9%	97	+1.1	223/298/399	176	259	22	2	23%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Jabari Blash 2018 · MLB	29	42→41	54→60	42→50	50	210/318/390	180	309	22	6	36%	12%	103	+1.5	225/316/432	207	333	27	9	38%	10%	111	+2.1	210/302/453	243	299	34	10	40%	9%	107	+1.2
✕DJ Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	41→48	53→55	42→50	56	217/324/392	175	268	22	4	27%	12%	105	+1.7	221/325/401	180	278	24	6	28%	11%	107	+1.9	207/321/383	176	258	24	6	28%	12%	99	+0.6
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2021 · MLB	29	43→42	56→50	48→30	56	229/328/422	193	277	24	5	26%	12%	112	+2.2	221/309/378	157	283	19	3	27%	11%	95	+1.0	212/305/355	144	277	18	1	28%	11%	88	+0.3
●Chris Carter 2016 · MLB	29	38→48	64→65	42→45	50	218/312/458	240	271	34	4	33%	11%	115	+2.4	211/302/439	228	272	31	4	34%	10%	107	+1.9	195/296/423	228	254	32	1	36%	11%	100	+0.9
●Mark Trumbo 2015 · MLB	29	44→53	58→65	41→45	46	240/298/440	200	282	27	5	26%	8%	105	+1.7	248/303/451	203	292	28	3	25%	7%	110	+2.1	245/301/445	200	285	28	1	25%	7%	106	+1.7
✕Andrew Brown 2014 · MLB	29	46→47	54→60	46→40	44	237/299/422	185	305	22	5	29%	8%	101	+1.4	231/297/407	176	289	21	5	27%	8%	97	+1.1	217/285/392	175	264	23	2	27%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Matt Davidson 2020 · MLB	29	39→44	57→60	45→30	40	214/281/404	190	289	26	2	35%	7%	92	+0.7	224/292/428	204	292	29	3	33%	7%	101	+1.4	226/301/448	222	285	33	0	32%	7%	106	+1.2
✕Jon Knott 2008 · MLB	29	41→40	53→55	45→40	47	219/288/396	178	263	21	5	26%	8%	92	+0.7	219/286/370	151	277	17	6	26%	8%	84	+0.2	205/268/350	145	253	16	2	25%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Nate Gold 2009 · AAA	29	42→45	53→60	41→30	44	224/281/395	171	271	22	2	26%	7%	89	+0.5	222/289/369	147	278	16	6	25%	8%	85	+0.2	201/289/329	127	234	10	0	18%	9%	79	-0.0
✕Jordan Luplow 2023 · MLB	29	36→46	61→65	45→50	53	209/302/427	218	232	30	8	26%	11%	105	+1.7	215/295/375	160	256	20	13	24%	9%	90	+0.6	204/286/341	136	246	16	15	24%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Valentino Pascucci 2009 · AAA	30	44	55	47→45	50	229/316/411	182	294	24	7	30%	10%	106	+1.8	215/297/376	161	291	20	4	31%	10%	91	+0.6	203/285/356	153	277	18	2	32%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Mac Williamson 2019 · MLB	29	42→50	54→55	44→45	42	223/285/393	171	280	23	6	29%	7%	90	+0.6	230/301/400	170	299	23	9	30%	8%	98	+1.2	212/291/376	164	274	26	7	32%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Kyle Lewis 2023 · MLB	28	42→48	55	49→40	50	223/307/395	173	281	25	7	30%	10%	99	+1.2	247/315/421	174	320	23	5	29%	8%	107	+1.9	265/331/442	176	345	24	0	29%	8%	115	+1.4
●Daniel Vogelbach 2022 · MLB	29	44→51	55→60	45→40	64	230/350/414	184	269	24	3	24%	16%	119	+2.7	241/350/419	178	296	22	3	24%	14%	120	+2.8	241/356/427	186	295	24	0	25%	15%	120	+1.8
✕Donnie Murphy 2013 · MLB	30	42→41	57→65	48→45	44	227/293/431	204	269	24	5	26%	7%	102	+1.5	212/277/371	159	266	20	6	28%	6%	82	+0.0	197/263/338	141	247	18	4	28%	6%	67	-0.5
●Mike Ford 2021 · MLB	29	42→51	55	43→30	50	225/296/408	184	241	24	3	19%	8%	98	+1.2	205/290/364	159	251	20	3	26%	10%	85	+0.2	221/309/392	172	259	23	2	24%	10%	97	+0.5
✕Adam Duvall 2019 · MLB	30	41→45	57→70	42→45	45	224/289/424	200	267	25	5	27%	7%	99	+1.2	228/291/471	243	259	35	4	27%	7%	111	+2.1	225/286/491	266	245	40	3	28%	7%	112	+1.6
●Connor Joe 2022 · MLB	29	48→51	52→50	45	55	246/336/415	169	290	20	4	22%	11%	114	+2.3	239/331/387	148	294	14	6	22%	11%	105	+1.7	235/331/379	145	291	12	5	22%	11%	102	+1.1
✕Mike Bianucci 2015 · AAA	29	43→40	56→60	46→40	40	233/275/417	184	272	25	4	25%	5%	92	+0.7	235/274/413	178	286	24	7	27%	5%	91	+0.6	227/256/415	188	268	28	2	28%	3%	82	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps