Kyle Jensen
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | AAAOklahoma City… | 456 | .259/.316/.484 | 20 | 0 | 66 | — | .198/.239/.375 | |
| 2016 | 28 | AAAARI | 555 | .289/.354/.546 | 30 | 1 | 67 | — | .198/.252/.358 | |
| 2016 | 28 | MLBARI | 34 | .194/.265/.452 | 2 | 0 | 90 | -0.6 | ||
| 2018 | 30 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 231 | .188/.241/.300 | 5 | 0 | 11 | — | .155/.196/.253 | |
| 2019 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 529 | 470 | 128 | 26 | 1 | 18 | 45 | 119 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 272 | 346 | 447 | 793 | 174 | 324 | 22 | 9 | 349 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 87 | 80 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 310 | 475 | 785 | 225 | 288 | 26 | 8 | 344 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 447 | 391 | 121 | 20 | 1 | 22 | 46 | 114 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 309 | 389 | 535 | 924 | 225 | 381 | 26 | 10 | 401 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 521 | 445 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 24 | 69 | 162 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 340 | 452 | 792 | 218 | 304 | 31 | 13 | 349 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 100 | 91 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 330 | 390 | 593 | 983 | 264 | 397 | 23 | 6 | 428 | 176 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 226 | 202 | 47 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 299 | 485 | 784 | 252 | 285 | 31 | 8 | 335 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 291 | 245 | 58 | 16 | 0 | 16 | 33 | 73 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 237 | 355 | 498 | 853 | 261 | 268 | 25 | 11 | 375 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 556 | 497 | 129 | 29 | 0 | 27 | 48 | 147 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 260 | 333 | 481 | 814 | 221 | 312 | 26 | 9 | 356 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 456 | 417 | 108 | 28 | 3 | 20 | 31 | 110 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 316 | 484 | 801 | 225 | 302 | 24 | 7 | 348 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 34 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 452 | 716 | 258 | 250 | 38 | 6 | 312 | 90 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 555 | 498 | 144 | 34 | 2 | 30 | 44 | 169 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 289 | 354 | 546 | 900 | 257 | 373 | 30 | 8 | 387 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 207 | 189 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 255 | 317 | 572 | 122 | 274 | 34 | 7 | 255 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 24 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 125 | 167 | 292 | 42 | 176 | 29 | 0 | 129 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 34 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 452 | 716 | 258 | 250 | 38 | 6 | 312 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +1 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 529 | 485 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 159 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 206 | 264 | 313 | 577 | 107 | 275 | 30 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 87 | 82 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 264 | 402 | 667 | 183 | 273 | 31 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 447 | 404 | 105 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 33 | 161 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 324 | 458 | 781 | 198 | 367 | 36 | 7 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 521 | 467 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 21 | 47 | 203 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 269 | 373 | 641 | 182 | 267 | 39 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 226 | 206 | 34 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 91 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 165 | 222 | 306 | 528 | 141 | 238 | 40 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 291 | 255 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 23 | 87 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 188 | 286 | 380 | 667 | 192 | 227 | 30 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 556 | 511 | 102 | 23 | 0 | 18 | 34 | 188 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 259 | 350 | 609 | 151 | 267 | 34 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 456 | 429 | 85 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 144 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 239 | 375 | 614 | 177 | 249 | 32 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 34 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 452 | 716 | 258 | 250 | 38 | 6 | 302 | 90 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 555 | 511 | 101 | 23 | 1 | 19 | 31 | 220 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 198 | 252 | 358 | 610 | 160 | 288 | 40 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 207 | 194 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 196 | 253 | 449 | 98 | 229 | 41 | 5 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 529 | 485 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 159 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 206 | 264 | 313 | 577 | 107 | 280 | 30 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 529 | 470 | 128 | 26 | 1 | 18 | 45 | 119 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 272 | 346 | 447 | 793 | 174 | 324 | 22 | 9 | 349 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 486 | 124 | 19 | 2 | 24 | 38 | 188 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 255 | 316 | 451 | 766 | 195 | 358 | 35 | 7 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 534 | 471 | 141 | 21 | 2 | 27 | 53 | 137 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 299 | 376 | 524 | 901 | 225 | 365 | 26 | 10 | 392 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 621 | 554 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 24 | 57 | 242 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 188 | 271 | 363 | 633 | 175 | 274 | 39 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 621 | 536 | 134 | 28 | 3 | 29 | 75 | 185 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 250 | 348 | 476 | 824 | 226 | 322 | 30 | 12 | 362 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 461 | 83 | 25 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 178 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 180 | 260 | 358 | 618 | 178 | 238 | 34 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 517 | 447 | 105 | 31 | 0 | 28 | 50 | 144 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 235 | 331 | 492 | 823 | 257 | 275 | 28 | 10 | 358 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 556 | 511 | 102 | 23 | 0 | 18 | 34 | 188 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 259 | 350 | 609 | 151 | 272 | 34 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 556 | 497 | 129 | 29 | 0 | 27 | 48 | 147 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 260 | 333 | 481 | 814 | 221 | 312 | 26 | 9 | 356 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 456 | 429 | 85 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 144 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 239 | 375 | 614 | 177 | 250 | 32 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 456 | 417 | 108 | 28 | 3 | 20 | 31 | 110 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 316 | 484 | 801 | 225 | 302 | 24 | 7 | 348 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 589 | 542 | 107 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 33 | 233 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 253 | 363 | 616 | 166 | 292 | 40 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 589 | 529 | 150 | 34 | 3 | 32 | 46 | 182 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 284 | 349 | 541 | 889 | 257 | 366 | 31 | 8 | 383 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 217 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 193 | 240 | 433 | 88 | 238 | 41 | 5 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 231 | 213 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 241 | 300 | 542 | 113 | 261 | 33 | 6 | 242 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 529 | 486 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 159 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 206 | 264 | 313 | 577 | 107 | 275 | 30 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 534 | 486 | 124 | 19 | 2 | 24 | 38 | 188 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 255 | 316 | 451 | 766 | 195 | 352 | 35 | 7 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 621 | 553 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 24 | 57 | 242 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 188 | 271 | 363 | 634 | 175 | 267 | 39 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 462 | 83 | 25 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 178 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 180 | 260 | 357 | 617 | 177 | 232 | 34 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 556 | 510 | 102 | 23 | 0 | 18 | 34 | 188 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 259 | 351 | 610 | 151 | 267 | 34 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 456 | 430 | 85 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 19 | 144 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 239 | 374 | 613 | 177 | 249 | 32 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 589 | 544 | 107 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 33 | 233 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 197 | 253 | 362 | 615 | 165 | 286 | 40 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 231 | 218 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 193 | 239 | 432 | 87 | 229 | 41 | 5 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 452 | 716 | 258 | 250 | 38 | 6 | 312 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +1 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 114 | 0 | 19 | 38 | 38 | 249 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 263 | 449 | 712 | 256 | 248 | 38 | 6 | 312 | 69 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -121 | +14 | -11.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4033 | 3685 | 738 | 157 | 10 | 137 | 258 | 1426 | 51 | 16 | 7 | 200 | 262 | 360 | 622 | 160 | 278 | 35 | 6 | 271 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -6 | +1 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 119 | 25 | 2 | 22 | 42 | 230 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 262 | 360 | 623 | 160 | 279 | 35 | 6 | 271 | 69 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -121 | +14 | -11.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAASacramento River Cats · 207 PAwOBA .252 → .190 (−62)K% 33.8% → 40.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.82% | ÷1.071 | ×1.290 | — | — | 40.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.25% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 4.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.01% | ÷0.963 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 18.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.04% | ÷0.910 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 4.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.20% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 3.19% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 114, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .252 → .190; ISO .122 → .088; BABIP .274 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAReno Aces · 555 PAwOBA .381 → .267 (−114)K% 30.5% → 39.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.45% | ÷0.991 | ×1.290 | — | — | 39.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷0.979 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.71% | ÷1.052 | ×0.900 | ×0.974 | ×0.992 | 19.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.33% | ÷1.060 | ×0.810 | ×0.974 | ×0.992 | 7.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.974 | ×0.992 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.12% | ÷1.092 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 6.46% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .381 → .267; ISO .257 → .167; BABIP .373 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 456 PAwOBA .339 → .266 (−73)K% 24.1% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.12% | ÷0.984 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.36% | ÷1.095 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 4.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.57% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | ×0.959 | ×1.003 | 15.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.12% | ÷0.965 | ×0.810 | ×0.959 | ×1.003 | 7.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.941 | ×0.810 | ×0.959 | ×1.003 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.51% | ÷0.866 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 5.89% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .339 → .266; ISO .225 → .185; BABIP .302 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 556 PAwOBA .348 → .267 (−82)K% 26.4% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.44% | ÷1.008 | ×1.290 | — | — | 33.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.45% | ÷1.007 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 6.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.26% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.86% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 18.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.29% | ÷0.923 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 7.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.71% | ÷1.098 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 5.58% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .348 → .267; ISO .221 → .156; BABIP .312 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAJacksonville Suns · 291 PAwOBA .367 → .291 (−76)K% 25.1% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.09% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.34% | ÷0.980 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.12% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 3.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.12% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 13.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.30% | ÷1.029 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 7.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.082 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.30% | ÷1.036 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 7.17% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 116, K 105, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .367 → .291; ISO .261 → .205; BABIP .268 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 226 PAwOBA .331 → .234 (−97)K% 31.4% → 40.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.42% | ÷1.009 | ×1.290 | — | — | 40.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.52% | ÷0.963 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.27% | ÷0.987 | ×0.900 | ×0.957 | ×1.033 | 13.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.45% | ÷0.959 | ×0.810 | ×0.957 | ×1.033 | 9.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.810 | ×0.957 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.16% | ÷1.400 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 5.27% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 180, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 87, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .331 → .234; ISO .252 → .151; BABIP .285 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAJacksonville Suns · 521 PAwOBA .343 → .276 (−67)K% 31.1% → 38.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.09% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.24% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 9.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.14% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×1.012 | 17.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.42% | ÷0.995 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×1.012 | 6.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.078 | ×0.880 | ×0.962 | ×1.012 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.48% | ÷0.896 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 7.66% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 116, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .343 → .276; ISO .218 → .185; BABIP .304 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 447 PAwOBA .394 → .339 (−54)K% 25.5% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.50% | ÷1.005 | ×1.420 | — | — | 36.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷1.016 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 7.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.16% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×0.998 | 26.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.22% | ÷0.938 | ×0.960 | ×1.003 | ×0.998 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷0.943 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×0.998 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.94% | ÷0.848 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 8.22% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 94, 2B 88, 3B 89, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .394 → .339; ISO .225 → .208; BABIP .381 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .