Rowdy Tellez — OGILVIE

Rowdy Tellez1B Gwinnett Stripers

Age 31 L/L 6'4" / 270 lbs AAA BB -5% Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

wRC+†vL 4889vR 94

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .286 / .405

PA381

HR16

K%24

BB%8

xwOBA.328

Barrel%15.3%

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

55→55

SPD

20→20

EYE

46↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.1peak

2027

Barrel%

9015.3

xwOBA

670.328

Avg EV

8191.2

Whiff%

470.113

Chase%

470.323

Speed

1023.5

Bat Spd

8274.8

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 8.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$-2M	-$3M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	141	130	21	3	2	1	9	38	1	1	0	.162	.221	.238	.460	.077	.217	27	6	.217	24	-12	+0	+0	-3	+4	-1.1
2014	19	ROK	2 teams	267	242	60	8	1	5	17	51	3	3	2	.248	.305	.351	.657	.103	.288	19	6	.286	77	-7	-0	+0	-5	+8	-0.4
2015	20	A	3 teams	538	498	115	21	0	13	30	137	2	6	2	.231	.277	.351	.629	.120	.287	25	6	.278	71	-18	+0	+0	-10	+15	-1.2
2016	21	AA	2 teams	564	509	129	28	2	17	42	134	6	4	3	.253	.318	.417	.734	.163	.307	24	7	.321	104	+2	-0	+0	-10	+16	0.8
2017	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	501	462	88	25	1	6	30	119	2	6	1	.190	.243	.288	.531	.097	.238	24	6	.234	37	-36	+1	+0	-9	+14	-3.0
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	517	475	118	27	0	14	30	110	5	7	4	.248	.300	.394	.694	.145	.291	21	6	.302	90	-6	-0	-3	-9	+15	-0.4
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	518	467	114	27	0	26	39	147	8	1	1	.244	.313	.469	.782	.225	.295	28	8	.335	114	+8	-0	-5	-9	+15	0.9
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	127	113	31	5	0	8	11	20	1	0	1	.274	.344	.531	.875	.257	.264	16	9	.370	141	+6	-0	-2	-2	+4	0.5
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	388	352	88	18	2	15	29	79	6	0	0	.250	.318	.440	.758	.190	.282	20	7	.322	105	+2	+0	-6	-7	+11	0.0
2022	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	599	529	111	22	0	31	62	121	5	2	1	.210	.299	.427	.726	.217	.211	20	10	.300	88	-8	+0	-8	-11	+17	-1.0
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	385	344	70	11	1	13	36	95	0	0	0	.203	.279	.355	.634	.151	.237	25	9	.276	70	-13	+0	-4	-7	+11	-1.3
2024	29	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	421	383	91	15	0	13	31	89	2	1	0	.238	.298	.379	.677	.141	.273	21	7	.297	86	-7	+0	-8	-8	+12	-1.1
2025	30	MLB	2 teams	328	304	70	12	0	19	18	90	3	1	0	.230	.280	.457	.737	.227	.258	27	5	.314	99	-0	+0	-6	-6	+9	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	31	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	82	71	13	4	0	3	10	20	0	2	0	.183	.284	.366	.650	.183	.204	24	12	.293	82	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
ROS	31	MLB	ATL	299	271	59	12	0	13	25	73	1	2	0	.218	.286	.406	.692	.188	.246	24	8	.304	91	-3	+0	-5	-5	+8	-0.4
TOT	31	MLB	ATL	381	342	72	16	0	16	35	93	1	4	0	.211	.286	.398	.683	.187	.238	24	9	.302	89	-5	+1	-5	-7	+11	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB 20%	ATL	362	323	70	14	0	15	34	75	2	1	0	.217	.295	.399	.695	.183	.235	21	9	.311	96	-2	+0	-9	-6	+10	-0.7
2028	33	MLB 33%	ATL	332	297	64	13	0	14	31	71	1	0	0	.215	.292	.401	.692	.185	.233	21	9	.305	92	-3	+0	-9	-6	+9	-0.9
2029	34	MLB 43%	ATL	288	259	54	11	0	11	26	64	1	0	0	.208	.283	.378	.662	.170	.230	22	9	.298	86	-5	+0	-9	-5	+8	-1.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6575	5958	1353	272	9	234	500	1513	49	35	15	.227	.292	.394	.686	.166	.262	23	8	.298	86	-101	+1	-74	-117	+186	-10.7
/ 162G	—			650	589	134	27	1	23	49	150	5	3	1	.228	.292	.394	.686	.166	.263	23	8	.298	86	-10	+0	-7	-12	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	141	124	29	5	3	2	15	26	1	1	0	.234	.321	.371	.692	.137	.278	18	11	.311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2014	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	49	42	15	0	0	2	7	10	0	0	0	.357	.449	.500	.949	.143	.433	20	14	.425	183	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2014	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	218	191	56	11	1	4	19	27	3	3	2	.293	.366	.424	.790	.131	.315	12	9	.347	124	+6	-0	—	—	+6	1.2
2015	20	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	148	131	36	5	0	7	14	28	0	3	0	.275	.345	.473	.818	.198	.293	19	9	.355	129	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2015	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	299	270	80	19	0	7	24	56	1	2	2	.296	.356	.444	.800	.148	.346	19	8	.352	128	+9	-0	—	—	+8	1.8
2015	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	91	82	24	4	0	4	7	20	1	1	0	.293	.356	.488	.843	.195	.339	22	8	.369	140	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2016	21	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	514	438	130	29	2	23	63	92	6	4	3	.297	.393	.530	.922	.233	.324	18	12	.400	164	+37	-0	—	—	+15	5.2
2016	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	50	42	10	1	0	2	8	11	0	0	0	.238	.360	.405	.765	.167	.276	22	16	.347	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2017	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	501	445	99	29	1	6	47	94	2	6	1	.222	.300	.333	.632	.110	.264	19	9	.285	76	-14	+1	—	—	+14	0.1
2018	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	73	70	22	9	0	4	2	21	0	0	0	.314	.333	.614	.948	.300	.391	29	3	.403	167	+5	+0	-3	-9	+2	-0.5
2018	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	444	393	106	22	0	13	40	74	5	7	4	.270	.345	.425	.770	.155	.298	17	9	.340	119	+9	-0	—	—	+13	2.2
2019	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	409	370	84	19	0	21	29	116	7	1	1	.227	.296	.449	.744	.222	.267	28	7	.326	108	+3	-0	-5	-9	+12	0.1
2019	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	109	93	34	9	0	7	14	25	1	0	0	.366	.454	.688	1.142	.323	.435	23	13	.485	230	+16	+0	—	—	+3	1.9
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	127	113	32	5	0	8	11	20	1	0	1	.283	.352	.540	.892	.257	.276	16	9	.383	151	+7	-0	-2	-2	+4	0.7
2021	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	325	297	72	14	2	11	23	65	4	0	0	.242	.306	.414	.720	.172	.275	20	7	.319	103	+1	+0	-6	-7	+9	-0.3
2021	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	63	53	16	4	0	5	8	12	2	0	0	.302	.413	.660	1.073	.358	.306	19	13	.459	210	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2022	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	599	529	116	23	0	35	62	121	5	2	1	.219	.307	.461	.768	.242	.215	20	10	.337	116	+11	+0	-8	-11	+17	0.9
2023	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	351	311	67	9	1	13	35	86	0	0	0	.215	.295	.376	.671	.161	.249	25	10	.298	86	-6	+0	-4	-7	+10	-0.7
2023	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	34	31	7	2	0	1	3	7	0	0	0	.226	.294	.387	.681	.161	.261	21	9	.305	91	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	29	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	421	383	93	18	0	13	31	89	2	1	0	.243	.303	.392	.695	.149	.280	21	7	.307	93	-3	+0	-8	-8	+12	-0.7
2025	30	MLB	Texas Rangers	312	289	66	11	0	17	17	83	3	1	0	.228	.278	.443	.721	.215	.255	27	5	.314	98	-1	+0	-6	-6	+9	-0.3
2025	30	AAA	Round Rock Express	16	15	5	1	0	2	1	6	0	0	0	.333	.375	.800	1.175	.467	.429	38	6	.497	239	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2617	2362	552	108	3	122	210	601	22	5	3	.234	.302	.437	.739	.203	.259	23	8	.324	106	+19	-0	-41	-59	+74	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rowdy Tellez (OGILVIE)	31	50	55	20	50	.221/.286/.405	.184	.254	16	2	24%	8%	93	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Paul McAnulty 2011 · MLB	30	43→49	53→55	39→40	48	.226/.294/.395	.169	.266	21	2	24%	8%	92	+1.2	.230/.291/.401	.171	.276	21	4	24%	7%	93	+1.3	.223/.290/.397	.174	.268	21	3	25%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	42→41	51→50	40→30	52	.220/.305/.375	.155	.275	19	2	27%	11%	92	+1.2	.224/.315/.372	.148	.311	17	6	31%	11%	95	+1.4	.208/.320/.357	.149	.306	18	5	34%	13%	91	+0.5
✕Jorge Guzman 2014 · AAA	30	46→51	57→60	41→40	44	.247/.294/.435	.188	.275	27	5	22%	6%	104	+2.0	.227/.276/.345	.118	.287	14	5	25%	6%	72	-0.2	.211/.266/.279	.068	.280	7	1	26%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Randal Grichuk 2022 · MLB	30	45→51	57→70	38→45	43	.244/.288/.437	.194	.274	26	3	23%	6%	102	+1.8	.248/.296/.411	.163	.290	20	4	22%	6%	98	+1.6	.251/.306/.434	.183	.285	20	1	20%	6%	103	+1.2
✕Carlos Ibarra 2014 · AAA	30	48	51→50	37→40	37	.250/.281/.403	.153	.302	20	4	25%	3%	89	+1.0	.222/.258/.329	.107	.280	12	4	25%	4%	59	-1.1	.207/.242/.275	.068	.266	6	1	24%	4%	37	-0.9
●Chris Colabello 2015 · MLB	31	48→58	55→60	38→40	43	.250/.305/.430	.180	.309	23	2	27%	6%	107	+2.2	.246/.301/.396	.150	.328	19	4	29%	7%	95	+1.4	.233/.295/.359	.126	.318	16	2	30%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Daryle Ward 2007 · MLB	32	51→56	54→60	38→30	53	.261/.325/.443	.182	.276	21	3	15%	8%	118	+3.0	.260/.341/.431	.171	.298	18	4	18%	11%	121	+3.2	.238/.320/.387	.149	.278	17	2	20%	10%	91	+0.4
✕Jake Lamb 2023 · MLB	32	43→53	53→60	40→45	47	.222/.306/.395	.173	.297	21	4	31%	10%	98	+1.6	.228/.307/.363	.135	.300	15	3	28%	9%	90	+1.0	.219/.300/.330	.111	.289	12	1	26%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Graham Koonce 2006 · AAA	31	43→41	54→55	43→30	45	.229/.291/.403	.173	.279	23	4	27%	7%	94	+1.3	.214/.287/.393	.179	.267	23	4	28%	8%	89	+1.0	.191/.275/.374	.183	.232	24	2	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Craig Monroe 2008 · MLB	31	47→57	54→60	39→45	46	.247/.297/.429	.182	.280	22	4	21%	6%	102	+1.9	.229/.290/.406	.177	.275	22	4	25%	8%	94	+1.3	.203/.274/.405	.203	.234	27	0	27%	9%	83	+0.2
●Jorge Soler 2023 · MLB	31	41→51	58→65	38→45	52	.222/.310/.423	.201	.263	26	2	27%	10%	108	+2.3	.235/.325/.455	.220	.275	29	2	25%	11%	121	+3.2	.234/.326/.453	.219	.273	29	1	26%	11%	119	+2.5
✕Edwin Rios 2023 · MLB	29	41→47	56→60	40→30	39	.218/.283/.409	.192	.296	25	4	35%	7%	92	+1.2	.219/.290/.394	.175	.322	22	3	37%	8%	92	+1.2	.211/.284/.391	.180	.310	23	1	38%	8%	85	+0.5
✕Felix Perez 2017 · AAA	32	49→55	53→65	38→50	44	.252/.298/.429	.177	.287	21	4	21%	6%	103	+1.9	.249/.301/.445	.196	.285	26	5	23%	6%	109	+2.4	.237/.291/.470	.232	.254	35	0	23%	5%	114	+1.2
●Aaron Guiel 2005 · MLB	32	46→53	51→60	36→45	50	.237/.314/.402	.165	.272	18	6	20%	8%	103	+1.9	.233/.315/.424	.191	.266	23	6	22%	8%	109	+2.4	.228/.313/.423	.195	.258	24	4	22%	8%	107	+2.1
●Cory Aldridge 2010 · AAA	31	46→51	52→55	42→45	43	.237/.291/.407	.170	.304	20	4	29%	7%	94	+1.3	.230/.277/.398	.168	.314	21	6	32%	6%	86	+0.8	.218/.283/.396	.178	.295	28	5	35%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Baltazar Lopez 2015 · AAA	31	47	51→50	41→45	39	.237/.286/.397	.160	.317	20	5	31%	6%	90	+1.0	.222/.281/.327	.105	.346	11	7	36%	6%	69	-0.4	.214/.285/.264	.050	.374	4	2	40%	7%	56	-0.3
✕Brett Harper 2013 · AAA	32	49→51	57→60	39→30	41	.260/.310/.448	.188	.308	26	5	25%	5%	114	+2.7	.255/.312/.440	.185	.311	26	6	26%	6%	112	+2.6	.256/.315/.438	.182	.308	29	0	26%	7%	111	+1.3
✕Daniel Palka 2023 · AAA	31	43	55→60	45→50	46	.231/.292/.412	.181	.284	24	5	28%	8%	96	+1.5	.221/.276/.380	.159	.283	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	.199/.255/.342	.143	.252	20	4	29%	6%	58	-0.8
●Mitch Moreland 2018 · MLB	32	46→56	57→60	43→40	49	.243/.314/.440	.196	.273	25	2	22%	8%	113	+2.6	.241/.319/.444	.203	.275	25	3	22%	10%	115	+2.8	.238/.319/.448	.210	.267	27	2	22%	10%	113	+1.4
✕Michael Saunders 2018 · MLB	31	45→52	51→55	42→55	47	.230/.298/.398	.167	.287	19	3	26%	8%	95	+1.4	.210/.274/.339	.129	.266	13	7	25%	8%	69	-0.4	.132/.208/.194	.062	.174	5	7	26%	9%	2	-1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)