Rowdy Tellez — OGILVIE

Rowdy Tellez1B Gwinnett Stripers

Age 31 L/L 6'4" / 270 lbs AAA Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION234 act + 156 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5285vR 97

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .290 / .411

PA156

HR7

K%26

BB%8

BABIP253

ISO191

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

619.8%

xwOBA

580.318

POWER55

Barrel%

7111.4

Avg EV

6690.2

Bat Spd

8274.8

EYE50

Chase%

5730.2%

SPEED20

Sprint

1023.5

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 733 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

663

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

253

313

▶▶R

ISO

115

183

▶▶R

BABIP

222

272

▶▶R

38.6%

21.9%

▶▶R

BB%

12.9%

5.9%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 8.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.4M
Totals		$0.4M		$0.0M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	141	130	21	3	2	1	9	38	1	1	0	162	221	238	460	77	217	27	6	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	141	124	29	5	3	2	15	26	1	1	0	234	321	371	692	137	278	18	11	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	2 teams	—	267	242	60	8	1	5	17	52	3	3	2	248	305	351	657	103	289	19	6	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	2 teams	—	267	233	71	11	1	6	26	37	3	3	2	305	382	438	819	133	333	14	10	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	3 teams	—	538	498	103	17	0	12	30	151	2	6	2	207	255	313	568	106	265	28	6	254	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	3 teams	—	538	483	140	28	0	18	45	104	2	6	2	290	353	460	812	170	331	19	8	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	2 teams	—	564	513	125	28	2	15	38	139	6	4	3	244	303	394	697	150	301	25	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	AA	2 teams	—	564	480	140	30	2	25	71	103	6	4	3	292	390	519	908	227	320	18	13	395	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	501	463	87	26	1	6	29	125	2	6	1	188	239	287	526	99	239	25	6	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	501	445	99	29	1	6	47	94	2	6	1	222	300	333	632	110	264	19	9	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	517	474	120	28	0	13	31	111	5	7	4	253	306	395	700	141	300	21	6	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AAA	2 teams	—	517	463	128	31	0	17	42	95	5	7	4	276	343	454	797	177	310	18	8	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	518	466	113	27	0	27	40	148	8	1	1	242	313	474	787	232	292	29	8	334	114	+8	-0	-5	-9	+15	0.8
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	518	463	118	28	0	28	43	141	8	1	1	255	329	497	826	242	302	27	8	359	133	+19	-0	-5	-9	+15	2.0
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	127	113	32	5	0	8	11	20	1	0	1	283	352	540	892	257	276	16	9	372	143	+6	-0	-2	-2	+4	0.6
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	127	113	32	5	0	8	11	20	1	0	1	283	352	540	892	257	276	16	9	383	151	+7	-0	-2	-2	+4	0.7
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	388	352	89	18	2	17	29	79	6	0	0	253	320	460	781	207	280	20	7	329	110	+5	+0	-6	-7	+11	0.3
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	388	350	88	18	2	16	31	77	6	0	0	251	323	451	774	200	279	20	8	342	120	+9	+0	-6	-7	+11	0.7
2022	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	599	529	119	24	0	36	62	121	5	2	1	225	312	474	787	250	221	20	10	330	111	+7	+0	-8	-11	+17	0.5
2022	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	599	529	116	23	0	35	62	121	5	2	1	219	307	461	768	242	215	20	10	337	116	+11	+0	-8	-11	+17	0.9
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	385	344	76	11	1	15	36	95	0	0	0	221	295	390	684	169	255	25	9	293	83	-8	+0	-4	-7	+11	-0.8
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	—	385	342	74	11	1	14	38	93	0	0	0	216	295	377	672	161	250	24	10	298	86	-6	+0	-4	-7	+11	-0.6
2024	29	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	421	383	94	18	0	13	31	89	2	1	0	245	305	394	700	149	283	21	7	306	93	-3	+0	-8	-8	+12	-0.7
2024	29	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	421	383	93	18	0	13	31	89	2	1	0	243	303	392	695	149	280	21	7	307	93	-3	+0	-8	-8	+12	-0.7
2025	30	MLB	2 teams	—	328	304	69	12	0	18	18	90	3	1	0	227	277	444	721	217	256	27	5	312	97	-1	+0	-6	-6	+9	-0.3
2025	30	MLB	2 teams	—	328	304	71	12	0	19	18	89	3	1	0	234	283	461	744	227	261	27	5	323	105	+2	+0	-6	-6	+9	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	AAA	ATL	—	234	208	45	12	0	9	23	64	1	3	1	216	297	404	701	188	263	27	10	314	98	-0	+0	+0	-4	+7	0.2
YTD	31	AAA	ATL	—	234	196	52	15	0	11	35	53	1	3	1	265	379	510	890	245	306	23	15	388	155	+15	+0	+0	-4	+7	1.8
ROS	31	AAA	ATL	10%	156	141	31	6	0	7	13	40	1	1	0	220	290	411	702	191	259	26	8	310	95	-1	+0	-0	-3	+4	0.1
ROS	31	MLB	ATL	10%	16	15	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	267	312	533	846	267	259	25	6	306	92	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	31	AAA	ATL	—	250	223	49	13	0	10	24	68	1	3	1	220	298	413	711	193	265	27	10	313	98	-1	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.2
TOT	31	AAA	ATL	—	390	349	76	18	0	16	36	104	2	4	1	218	295	407	701	189	259	27	9	312	97	-1	+0	-0	-7	+11	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	ATL	100%	358	323	70	14	0	15	30	93	2	2	1	217	287	399	687	183	254	26	8	304	91	-4	+0	-4	-6	+10	-0.4
2028	33	MLB	ATL	100%	328	296	62	12	0	13	27	87	2	2	1	209	280	382	662	172	247	27	8	295	84	-6	+0	-4	-6	+9	-0.7
2027	32	MLB	ATL	100%	358	323	70	14	0	15	30	93	2	2	1	217	287	399	687	183	254	26	8	300	88	-5	+0	-4	-6	+10	-0.5
2028	33	MLB	ATL	100%	328	296	62	12	0	13	27	87	2	2	1	209	280	382	662	172	247	27	8	292	81	-7	+0	-4	-6	+9	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3319	2996	688	135	3	151	268	785	26	9	5	230	298	428	726	198	257	24	8	318	102	+7	-0	-49	-71	+94	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	135	26	1	30	52	154	5	2	1	230	298	431	729	201	257	24	8	318	102	+1	+0	-10	-14	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	6136	5571	1271	257	9	221	451	1478	49	37	17	228	292	397	688	168	267	24	7	299	87	-90	+1	-49	-110	+174	-7.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	134	27	1	23	48	157	5	4	2	227	291	393	684	166	266	24	7	299	87	-10	+0	-5	-12	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	141	124	29	5	3	2	15	26	1	1	0	234	321	371	692	137	278	18	11	311	96	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2014	19	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	49	42	15	0	0	2	7	10	0	0	0	357	449	500	949	143	433	20	14	425	183	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2014	19	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	218	191	56	11	1	4	19	27	3	3	2	293	366	424	790	131	315	12	9	347	124	+6	-0	—	—	+6	1.2
2015	20	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	148	131	36	5	0	7	14	28	0	3	0	275	345	473	818	198	293	19	9	355	129	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.0
2015	20	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	299	270	80	19	0	7	24	56	1	2	2	296	356	444	800	148	346	19	8	352	128	+9	-0	—	—	+8	1.8
2015	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	91	82	24	4	0	4	7	20	1	1	0	293	356	488	843	195	339	22	8	369	140	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2016	21	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	514	438	130	29	2	23	63	92	6	4	3	297	393	530	922	233	324	18	12	400	164	+37	-0	—	—	+15	5.2
2016	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	50	42	10	1	0	2	8	11	0	0	0	238	360	405	765	167	276	22	16	347	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2017	22	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	501	445	99	29	1	6	47	94	2	6	1	222	300	333	632	110	264	19	9	285	76	-14	+1	—	—	+14	0.1
2018	23	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	73	70	22	9	0	4	2	21	0	0	0	314	333	614	948	300	391	29	3	403	167	+5	+0	-3	-9	+2	-0.5
2018	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	444	393	106	22	0	13	40	74	5	7	4	270	345	425	770	155	298	17	9	340	119	+9	-0	—	—	+13	2.2
2019	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	409	370	84	19	0	21	29	116	7	1	1	227	296	449	744	222	267	28	7	326	108	+3	-0	-5	-9	+12	0.1
2019	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	109	93	34	9	0	7	14	25	1	0	0	366	454	688	1.142	323	435	23	13	485	230	+16	+0	—	—	+3	1.9
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	127	113	32	5	0	8	11	20	1	0	1	283	352	540	892	257	276	16	9	383	151	+7	-0	-2	-2	+4	0.7
2021	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	325	297	72	14	2	11	23	65	4	0	0	242	306	414	720	172	275	20	7	319	103	+1	+0	-6	-7	+9	-0.3
2021	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	63	53	16	4	0	5	8	12	2	0	0	302	413	660	1.073	358	306	19	13	459	210	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2022	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	599	529	116	23	0	35	62	121	5	2	1	219	307	461	768	242	215	20	10	337	116	+11	+0	-8	-11	+17	0.9
2023	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	351	311	67	9	1	13	35	86	0	0	0	215	295	376	671	161	249	25	10	298	86	-6	+0	-4	-7	+10	-0.7
2023	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	34	31	7	2	0	1	3	7	0	0	0	226	294	387	681	161	261	21	9	305	91	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	29	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	421	383	93	18	0	13	31	89	2	1	0	243	303	392	695	149	280	21	7	307	93	-3	+0	-8	-8	+12	-0.7
2025	30	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	312	289	66	11	0	17	17	83	3	1	0	228	278	443	721	215	255	27	5	314	98	-1	+0	-6	-6	+9	-0.3
2025	30	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	16	15	5	1	0	2	1	6	0	0	0	333	375	800	1.175	467	429	38	6	497	239	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2617	2362	552	108	3	122	210	601	22	5	3	234	302	437	739	203	259	23	8	324	106	+19	-0	-41	-59	+74	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mitch Morelandlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,536 PA	12	4,536	186	11	251	318	446	-81	-56	5.9	6.1
	/162	664	27	2	251	318	446	-11.9	-8.1	0.9	pk7: 6
#2Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,341	152	9	230	296	429	-60	-69	3.5	3.9
	/162	664	30	2	230	296	429	-11.9	-13.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#3Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#4Logan Morrisonlast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,713 PA	9	3,713	137	23	239	325	427	-58	-79	1.7	2.6
	/162	664	24	4	239	325	427	-10.4	-14.1	0.3	pk7: 3
#5Garrett Joneslast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,228 PA	8	3,228	122	28	251	312	445	-51	-70	0.9	1.3
	/162	664	25	6	251	312	445	-10.4	-14.3	0.2	pk7: 2
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rowdy Tellez (OGILVIE)	31	50	55	20	50	218/295/407	189	259	16	4	27%	9%	97	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Paul McAnulty 2011 · MLB	30	42→50	55→60	38→40	47	228/290/411	183	261	24	2	24%	8%	95	+1.4	234/296/416	182	277	23	4	24%	8%	99	+1.7	228/296/409	181	269	23	3	24%	8%	96	+1.2
✕Carlos Ibarra 2014 · AAA	30	48	54→55	37→40	38	254/286/424	170	299	24	4	24%	4%	97	+1.5	218/255/324	106	278	12	4	25%	4%	56	-1.3	200/236/267	67	263	6	1	25%	4%	32	-1.0
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	44→43	51→50	39→30	52	225/307/380	155	281	19	2	27%	11%	95	+1.4	230/320/383	153	314	18	7	30%	11%	101	+1.8	216/328/374	158	307	19	5	32%	14%	99	+0.8
✕Brett Harper 2013 · AAA	32	49→50	55→60	38→30	41	254/306/428	174	309	24	5	26%	5%	107	+2.2	250/308/422	172	311	24	6	27%	7%	105	+2.1	239/296/402	163	290	26	0	27%	6%	94	+0.7
●Cory Aldridge 2010 · AAA	31	47→50	53→55	41→45	42	241/292/417	176	306	21	4	28%	6%	97	+1.5	223/272/388	165	307	21	6	33%	6%	82	+0.5	214/280/387	173	293	27	5	36%	8%	84	+0.3
✕Craig Monroe 2008 · MLB	31	47→57	54→60	37→45	45	243/293/424	181	278	22	4	22%	6%	100	+1.7	229/292/404	175	276	22	4	25%	8%	94	+1.3	203/274/405	203	234	27	0	27%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Graham Koonce 2006 · AAA	31	43→41	54→55	43→30	45	228/291/402	174	277	23	3	27%	7%	94	+1.3	213/286/391	178	267	23	4	29%	8%	89	+1.0	191/275/374	183	232	24	2	29%	9%	78	+0.1
●Chris Colabello 2015 · MLB	31	47→57	56→60	37→40	42	247/301/433	186	307	24	2	28%	6%	106	+2.2	241/296/388	147	325	19	4	30%	7%	92	+1.2	228/290/356	128	314	17	2	31%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Edwin Rios 2023 · MLB	29	42→47	57→60	39→30	38	221/284/418	197	305	26	4	36%	6%	95	+1.4	220/289/399	179	322	22	3	37%	8%	92	+1.2	209/282/393	184	307	24	1	38%	8%	84	+0.4
●Randal Grichuk 2022 · MLB	30	45→50	57→70	37→45	43	244/287/437	194	272	26	3	22%	6%	102	+1.8	245/293/413	168	285	20	4	21%	6%	97	+1.5	255/310/448	193	290	21	1	20%	6%	110	+1.5
✕Felix Perez 2017 · AAA	32	48→52	54→65	38→50	44	251/297/431	180	286	22	5	21%	6%	104	+2.0	244/295/435	191	284	26	5	24%	5%	104	+2.0	231/285/456	225	252	34	0	25%	5%	107	+1.0
✕Daniel Palka 2023 · AAA	31	44	55	44→50	44	233/292/412	179	293	24	4	29%	8%	96	+1.5	222/276/377	155	292	20	6	30%	7%	81	+0.4	199/256/342	143	257	19	4	30%	7%	59	-0.8
●Jorge Soler 2023 · MLB	31	41→51	58→70	37→45	52	225/313/428	203	267	26	2	27%	10%	110	+2.4	243/332/466	223	287	29	2	25%	11%	127	+3.6	241/333/464	223	284	29	1	26%	11%	124	+2.7
✕Greg Jacobs 2008 · AAA	31	49→51	54→60	39→40	45	256/299/440	184	276	21	4	17%	5%	107	+2.2	242/290/382	140	276	14	5	17%	6%	87	+0.8	240/292/347	107	281	9	2	17%	6%	76	+0.0
●Aaron Guiel 2005 · MLB	32	46→53	52→60	37→45	50	235/313/404	169	268	19	6	20%	8%	104	+2.0	233/315/424	191	267	23	6	22%	8%	110	+2.4	228/313/423	195	258	24	4	22%	8%	107	+2.1
✕Jake Lamb 2023 · MLB	32	43→53	53→60	40→45	47	223/305/398	175	299	22	3	32%	9%	98	+1.6	226/303/361	135	299	15	3	28%	8%	88	+0.9	217/297/333	115	288	12	1	27%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Matt Clark 2019 · AAA	32	45→49	54→60	44→30	42	236/287/415	179	296	23	5	29%	6%	95	+1.4	240/299/439	199	287	25	6	25%	7%	107	+2.2	234/300/461	228	264	30	0	24%	8%	115	+1.5
✕Jorge Guzman 2014 · AAA	30	47→52	57→60	42→40	43	250/295/438	187	277	27	4	22%	5%	105	+2.1	228/278/345	117	287	14	5	25%	6%	72	-0.2	213/268/278	66	281	7	1	26%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Daryle Ward 2007 · MLB	32	51→56	54→60	37→30	53	264/329/444	180	280	21	3	15%	8%	120	+3.1	258/340/429	171	297	18	4	19%	11%	121	+3.2	238/320/387	149	278	17	2	20%	10%	91	+0.4
✕Tim Beckham 2021 · MLB	31	46→55	55	39→50	43	239/296/427	189	300	23	5	28%	7%	102	+1.9	256/306/420	164	331	21	7	28%	6%	105	+2.1	269/313/415	146	351	21	4	28%	5%	101	+0.5