Jake Lamb1B Sacramento River Cats
Age 35 L/R 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 12.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 298 proj PA
wRC+†88
AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .303 / .358
PA298
HR7
K%27
BB%8
ISO134
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: -0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: -0.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +1.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +8.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.62627
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023
CONTACT45
Whiff%
4511.5%
xwOBA
490.308
POWER40
Barrel%
6710.7
Avg EV
7390.7
EYE55
Chase%
6828.3%
SPEED45
Sprint
1025.1
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2014
Service   12.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$0.4M
Totals $0.4M $-0.0M -$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201221 ROKMissoula Osprey 315290 731647 14737 82 252302407709 155308 234 298 86
201221 ROKMissoula Osprey 315280 922259 24517 82 329395539935 211371 168 405 168
201322 A+3 teams 392352 8022012 341353 00 227301392693 165327 349 305 92
201322 A+3 teams 392325 9828014 611003 00 302416517933 215393 2616 410 172
201423 AA3 teams 593538 14540520 391736 41 270326474800 204352 297 344 122
201423 AA3 teams 593518 15844619 591416 41 305383523906 218378 2410 391 157
201524 MLB2 teams 405362 941556 39981 32 260333378712 119337 2410 311 96 -2 -0 +5 +1 +11 1.6
201524 MLB2 teams 405361 961656 40981 32 266341388729 122346 2410 326 108 +4 -0 +5 +1 +11 2.2
201625 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 594523 12730928 641543 61 243329495824 252287 2611 348 124 +16 +1 +4 +2 +17 4.1
201625 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 594523 13031929 641543 61 249334509843 260294 2611 365 137 +25 +1 +4 +2 +17 5.0
201726 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 635536 13029429 871527 64 243356474829 231281 2414 346 123 +16 -0 -3 +2 +18 3.3
201726 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 635536 13330430 871527 64 248360487847 239287 2414 371 142 +30 -0 -3 +2 +18 4.8
201827 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 238207 46806 26651 12 222312348660 126286 2711 288 79 -6 -1 +1 +1 +7 0.3
201827 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 238207 46806 26651 12 222312348660 126286 2711 297 85 -4 -1 +1 +1 +7 0.5
201928 MLB2 teams 272228 40926 37715 10 175304311615 136222 2614 282 74 -8 +0 -0 +1 +8 0.0
201928 MLB2 teams 272226 431027 39675 10 190322345667 155234 2514 306 92 -2 +0 -0 +1 +8 0.6
202029 MLBOakland Athletics 9988 17503 8253 01 193283352635 159233 258 292 81 -2 -0 -1 +0 +3 -0.1
202029 MLBOakland Athletics 9988 17503 8253 01 193283352635 159233 258 289 79 -2 -0 -1 +0 +3 -0.1
202130 MLB2 teams 239208 40709 27692 00 192291356647 163235 2911 286 77 -6 +0 -2 +1 +7 -0.1
202130 MLB2 teams 239205 439010 30662 00 210316400716 190252 2813 320 103 +1 +0 -2 +1 +7 0.6
202231 AAA2 teams 387343 7817115 351326 12 227310414724 187317 349 315 99
202231 AAA2 teams 387328 8818118 501126 12 268375494869 226348 2913 381 150
202332 AAA2 teams 411364 8817011 391018 20 242328379708 137306 259 313 98
202332 AAA2 teams 411342 9516013 61868 20 278399439838 161337 2115 379 148
202433 AAAIndianapolis Indians 414370 801717 291138 01 216287324612 108284 277 271 66
202433 AAAIndianapolis Indians 414356 942317 43848 01 264356393750 129320 2010 335 114
202534 AAASacramento River Cats 176156 29902 15565 00 186278282560 96276 329 248 48
202534 AAASacramento River Cats 176150 361102 21445 00 240352353706 113327 2512 326 108
▸ 2026 Season
202635 MLBSF 298266 611417 24796 21 229307368676 139295 278 300 88 -4 +0 -0 +1 +8 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202736 MLBSF 100% 228204 451015 18634 10 221296353649 132284 288 287 77 -6 +0 -7 +1 +6 -0.5
202736 MLBSF 100% 228204 44915 18634 10 216292343635 127279 288 268 63 -10 +0 -7 +1 +6 -0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career 28782513 58712123101 31375229 1912 234325421746 187289 2611 329 110 +33 -1 -4 +0 +82 11.2
/ 162G 650568 13227523 711707 43 232326419745 187287 2611 329 110 +7 -0 -1 +0 +18 2.5
Career 56965035 117326533173 535155975 3517 233316402718 169298 279 311 96 -23 +0 -4 +6 +161 14.3
/ 162G 650575 13430420 611789 42 233317403720 170298 279 311 96 -3 +0 -1 +1 +18 1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201221 ROKMissoula Osprey 315280 922259 24517 82 329395539935 211371 168 405 168 +24 +1 +9 3.5
201322 A+Visalia Rawhide 283231 7020013 48702 00 303427558985 255380 2517 428 186 +27 +0 +8 3.6
201322 ROKACL D-backs 2117 5200 251 00 294400412812 118385 2410 353 128 +1 +0 +1 0.1
201322 INTLSalt River Rafters 8877 23601 11250 00 299386416802 117431 2812 363 136 +4 +0 +2 0.6
201423 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 133126 29414 6370 11 230265373638 143291 285 281 73 -4 -0 +1 +2 +4 0.2
201423 AAAReno Aces 2118 9401 340 20 5005718891.460 389615 1914 616 329 +5 +0 +1 0.7
201423 AAMobile BayBears 439374 12036514 501006 10 321409556965 235394 2311 414 175 +37 +0 +12 5.1
201524 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 390350 921556 36971 32 263333386719 123344 259 322 104 +2 -0 +5 +1 +11 1.9
201524 AAAReno Aces 1511 4100 410 00 364533455988 91400 727 453 205 +2 +0 +0 0.2
201625 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 594523 13031929 641543 61 249334509843 260294 2611 365 137 +25 +1 +4 +2 +17 5.0
201726 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 635536 13330430 871527 64 248360487847 239287 2414 371 142 +30 -0 -3 +2 +18 4.8
201827 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 238207 46806 26651 12 222312348660 126286 2711 297 85 -4 -1 +1 +1 +7 0.5
201928 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 226187 36826 32555 10 193326353679 160234 2414 310 96 -1 +0 -0 +1 +6 0.6
201928 AAAReno Aces 4639 7201 7120 00 179304308612 128231 2615 286 77 -1 +0 +1 0.0
202029 MLBOakland Athletics 9988 17503 8253 01 193283352635 159233 258 289 79 -2 -0 -1 +0 +3 -0.1
202130 MLBToronto Blue Jays 170144 28407 22512 00 194310368678 174239 3013 305 92 -2 +0 -2 +1 +5 0.2
202130 AAACharlotte Knights 6961 15503 8150 00 246333475809 230279 2212 356 131 +2 +0 +2 0.4
202231 MLBSeattle Mariners 11197 21613 11383 01 216315392707 175321 3410 319 102 +0 -0 -2 -4 +3 -0.3
202231 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers 276231 6712015 39743 11 290399537936 247359 2714 407 169 +22 -0 +8 3.0
202332 MLBLos Angeles Angels 5451 11102 3150 00 216259353612 137265 286 274 68 -2 +0 +1 -7 +2 -0.7
202332 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders 357291 8415011 58718 20 289420454874 165349 2016 395 160 +24 +0 +10 3.6
202433 AAAIndianapolis Indians 414356 942317 43848 01 264356393750 129320 2010 335 114 +7 -0 +12 1.8
202534 AAASacramento River Cats 176150 361102 21445 00 240352353706 113327 2512 326 108 +2 +0 +5 0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 26502309 5431122296 29568925 1812 235328427756 192289 2611 335 114 +42 -1 +2 -1 +75 12.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Aaron Hickslast yr '24
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,651 PA
123,65110971231330383+7-911.812.4
/1626642013+1.3-1.62.1pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons
112,90810119235323422+4+311.311.6
/162664234+0.9+0.82.6pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA
103,52711310226311395+13+110.511.2
/162664212+2.4+0.12.0pk7: 12
#3Damion Easleylast yr '08
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,995 PA
92,9957733247323396-2-157.88.3
/162664177-0.5-3.31.7pk7: 9
#4Doug Mirabellilast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,509 PA
81,509563231316412+11+87.27.1
/162664251+4.8+3.63.2pk7: 7
#5Rick Ankiellast yr '13
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,092 PA
82,0927621242303426+2-56.36.5
/162664247+0.7-1.62.0pk7: 7
#6Ian Stewartlast yr '14
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA
61,6466017230317416+6+26.26.2
/162664247+2.4+0.92.5pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jake Lamb (OGILVIE) 35 45 40 45 55 225/303/358 133295 72 27% 8% 88 +0.4
Shamar Almeida
2007 · AAA
35 46 45 46→45 55 226/323/343 117293 138 26% 12% 92 +1.2 247/329/362 115288 115 17% 10% 98 +1.6 267/351/38111430411215%11%111+1.3
Shawn Wooten
2007 · MLB
35 44→45 44→50 47→30 42 220/263/332 112261 133 22% 4% 63 -0.9 207/258/293 86257 85 22% 5% 50 -1.7 183/241/229462294021%6%25-1.0
Ildelfonso Lara
2009 · AAA
34 50→54 44→45 50→45 47 246/304/367 121302 116 22% 7% 89 +0.9 239/297/362 123306 138 25% 7% 85 +0.7 245/305/35511031613525%7%84+0.3
Curtis Pride
2005 · MLB
36 48 45 51→55 42 238/292/367 129301 1212 25% 6% 84 +0.6 242/317/377 135328 1218 28% 10% 97 +1.5 235/315/360125328112129%10%90+0.5
Pedro Swann
2006 · MLB
35 47 50 53→45 40 237/289/397 160287 187 24% 4% 92 +1.2 242/290/382 140304 1311 24% 5% 87 +0.8 247/294/379132313111224%5%87+0.5
Vinny Rottino
2016 · AAA
36 48→57 42→45 49→55 46 232/291/337 104293 105 24% 7% 76 +0.0 217/284/316 99278 106 24% 7% 68 -0.5 183/268/247642377024%8%42-1.0
Jose Munoz
2013 · AAA
34 44→49 40→45 47→50 50 213/291/304 91278 88 25% 9% 68 -0.5 212/279/324 112277 119 26% 8% 68 -0.5 160/238/26510520110425%9%32-0.6
Jason Wood
2007 · AAA
37 49 46→45 44→40 44 242/293/367 125294 144 23% 6% 84 +0.6 233/281/333 100293 105 23% 6% 70 -0.3 228/277/302742877322%5%58-0.5
Andy Abad
2008 · AAA
35 50→51 49→50 44→45 46 254/297/398 144271 187 15% 5% 94 +1.3 229/278/341 112270 129 19% 5% 72 -0.2 180/240/219392250019%5%22-0.7
Francisco Mendez
2014 · AAA
36 44→54 45→50 40 48 216/294/336 119295 123 30% 9% 77 +0.1 224/297/355 131307 164 30% 9% 83 +0.6 222/296/35213029717230%9%81+0.3
Preston Tucker
2023 · AAA
33 47→46 48→55 48→40 47 237/296/376 140273 156 20% 6% 89 +0.9 242/326/401 159297 177 23% 10% 108 +2.3 242/359/42818630019224%13%124+1.4
Jesus Cota
2015 · AAA
33 41→51 46→50 49→50 44 210/264/335 125256 157 24% 6% 64 -0.8 211/259/326 115287 138 30% 6% 59 -1.1 170/213/2457523411032%5%17-1.0
Don Kelly
2014 · MLB
34 45→55 45 51→55 56 225/301/346 121243 149 15% 9% 82 +0.5 219/299/308 89257 710 17% 10% 72 -0.2 196/271/239432441919%9%39-0.9
Kevin Barker
2009 · MLB
34 44→47 51→55 43→40 47 227/291/385 158277 203 26% 8% 89 +0.9 245/309/417 172286 203 21% 8% 105 +2.1 258/324/43617829819120%8%115+1.8
Mark Sweeney
2004 · MLB
34 48 47→55 43→40 48 239/303/383 144301 147 25% 8% 93 +1.3 262/355/441 179321 186 22% 12% 129 +3.7 265/365/43717231817421%13%125+1.5
Kole Calhoun
2023 · MLB
35 40→50 50→60 44→50 44 212/280/365 152269 195 29% 8% 79 +0.3 225/291/380 155276 185 24% 8% 88 +0.9 220/289/38216226018022%8%85+0.5
Wes Helms
2011 · MLB
35 50 44→55 40→30 47 241/308/361 120311 103 25% 8% 89 +1.0 225/301/332 107301 96 26% 8% 79 +0.3 186/271/222362700028%8%35-0.8
Nick Martini
2023 · MLB
33 48→58 46→55 46→45 48 234/315/366 132295 147 24% 8% 94 +1.3 229/311/391 162278 183 24% 9% 99 +1.7 216/305/36715126116023%9%88+0.6
Ryan Goins
2022 · MLB
34 45→55 42→45 45 40 216/270/316 100323 106 35% 7% 61 -1.0 203/238/277 74283 66 29% 4% 37 -2.7 188/209/222342560026%3%6-2.5
Alejandro De Aza
2018 · MLB
34 46→56 44→50 48→55 49 227/294/350 123275 119 22% 8% 81 +0.4 243/310/373 130294 1311 21% 7% 93 +1.3 262/335/392130319121320%7%107+0.6