Fernando Alejos
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 35 | AAAPericos de Pu… | 377 | .292/.387/.385 | 3 | 6 | 63 | — | .227/.288/.289 |
| 2015 | 36 | AAAPericos de Pu… | 191 | .248/.362/.280 | 0 | 2 | 42 | — | .208/.281/.232 |
| 2017 | 38 | AAATigres de Qui… | 26 | .125/.192/.208 | 0 | 0 | -24 | — | .120/.154/.200 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 26 | AAA | Langosteros de Cancun | — | 75 | 66 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 233 | 303 | 536 | 152 | 173 | 17 | 9 | 236 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA | Cafeteros de Cordoba | — | 269 | 237 | 72 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 304 | 365 | 439 | 804 | 135 | 375 | 19 | 8 | 347 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 213 | 184 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 351 | 326 | 677 | 60 | 306 | 13 | 10 | 307 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 80 | 68 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 289 | 265 | 554 | 59 | 264 | 20 | 9 | 246 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 392 | 318 | 113 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 63 | 58 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 355 | 463 | 522 | 985 | 167 | 412 | 15 | 16 | 426 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 438 | 359 | 107 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 68 | 43 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 298 | 413 | 393 | 805 | 95 | 327 | 10 | 16 | 362 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 351 | 296 | 87 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 47 | 60 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 294 | 396 | 378 | 774 | 84 | 359 | 17 | 13 | 351 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 344 | 287 | 83 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 51 | 55 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 289 | 402 | 422 | 823 | 132 | 332 | 16 | 15 | 371 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 337 | 297 | 90 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 303 | 369 | 384 | 753 | 81 | 343 | 13 | 9 | 333 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 377 | 322 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 59 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 292 | 387 | 385 | 772 | 93 | 347 | 16 | 13 | 348 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 191 | 157 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 248 | 362 | 280 | 642 | 32 | 283 | 10 | 14 | 297 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 26 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 192 | 208 | 401 | 83 | 200 | 35 | 8 | 187 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Langosteros de Cancun | — | 75 | 68 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 147 | 205 | 294 | 500 | 147 | 162 | 21 | 7 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Cafeteros de Cordoba | — | 269 | 244 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 279 | 323 | 389 | 712 | 111 | 348 | 23 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 213 | 191 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 251 | 312 | 304 | 616 | 52 | 289 | 15 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 80 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 263 | 257 | 520 | 57 | 251 | 24 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 392 | 342 | 108 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 70 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 316 | 387 | 444 | 832 | 129 | 366 | 18 | 10 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 438 | 386 | 102 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 54 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 264 | 338 | 339 | 677 | 75 | 289 | 12 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 351 | 311 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 69 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 244 | 321 | 312 | 633 | 68 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 344 | 309 | 72 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 69 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 233 | 305 | 320 | 625 | 87 | 278 | 20 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 337 | 309 | 75 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 243 | 287 | 304 | 591 | 61 | 278 | 17 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 377 | 343 | 78 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 78 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 227 | 288 | 289 | 576 | 61 | 283 | 21 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 191 | 168 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 208 | 281 | 232 | 513 | 24 | 234 | 14 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 26 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 154 | 200 | 354 | 80 | 168 | 42 | 4 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Langosteros de Cancun | — | 75 | 68 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 147 | 205 | 294 | 500 | 147 | 176 | 21 | 7 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA RAW | Langosteros de Cancun | — | 75 | 66 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 152 | 233 | 303 | 536 | 152 | 173 | 17 | 9 | 236 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Cafeteros de Cordoba | — | 269 | 244 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 279 | 323 | 389 | 712 | 111 | 363 | 23 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA RAW | Cafeteros de Cordoba | — | 269 | 237 | 72 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 304 | 365 | 439 | 804 | 135 | 375 | 19 | 8 | 347 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 213 | 191 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 251 | 312 | 304 | 616 | 52 | 296 | 15 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 213 | 184 | 49 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 351 | 326 | 677 | 60 | 306 | 13 | 10 | 307 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 80 | 70 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 200 | 263 | 257 | 520 | 57 | 269 | 24 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 80 | 68 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 289 | 265 | 554 | 59 | 264 | 20 | 9 | 246 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 392 | 342 | 108 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 70 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 316 | 387 | 444 | 832 | 129 | 380 | 18 | 10 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 392 | 318 | 113 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 63 | 58 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 355 | 463 | 522 | 985 | 167 | 412 | 15 | 16 | 426 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 438 | 386 | 102 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 54 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 264 | 338 | 339 | 677 | 75 | 298 | 12 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 438 | 359 | 107 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 68 | 43 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 298 | 413 | 393 | 805 | 95 | 327 | 10 | 16 | 362 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 351 | 311 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 69 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 244 | 321 | 312 | 633 | 68 | 305 | 20 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 351 | 296 | 87 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 47 | 60 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 294 | 396 | 378 | 774 | 84 | 359 | 17 | 13 | 351 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 344 | 309 | 72 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 69 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 233 | 305 | 320 | 625 | 87 | 282 | 20 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 344 | 287 | 83 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 51 | 55 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 289 | 402 | 422 | 823 | 132 | 332 | 16 | 15 | 371 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 337 | 309 | 75 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 243 | 287 | 304 | 591 | 61 | 289 | 17 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 337 | 297 | 90 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 303 | 369 | 384 | 753 | 81 | 343 | 13 | 9 | 333 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 377 | 343 | 78 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 78 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 227 | 288 | 289 | 576 | 61 | 287 | 21 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 377 | 322 | 94 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 59 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 292 | 387 | 385 | 772 | 93 | 347 | 16 | 13 | 348 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 191 | 168 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 208 | 281 | 232 | 513 | 24 | 245 | 14 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 191 | 157 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 248 | 362 | 280 | 642 | 32 | 283 | 10 | 14 | 297 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 26 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 154 | 200 | 354 | 80 | 214 | 42 | 4 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA RAW | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 26 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 192 | 208 | 401 | 83 | 200 | 35 | 8 | 187 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 26 | AAA MLE | Langosteros de Cancun | — | 75 | 70 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 143 | 205 | 286 | 491 | 143 | 162 | 21 | 7 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 27 | AAA MLE | Cafeteros de Cordoba | — | 269 | 251 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 271 | 323 | 378 | 702 | 108 | 348 | 23 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 28 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 213 | 194 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 312 | 299 | 611 | 52 | 289 | 15 | 7 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 29 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 80 | 74 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 189 | 263 | 243 | 506 | 54 | 251 | 24 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 30 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 392 | 349 | 108 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 39 | 70 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 309 | 387 | 436 | 823 | 126 | 366 | 18 | 10 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 31 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 438 | 392 | 102 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 54 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 260 | 338 | 334 | 672 | 74 | 289 | 12 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 32 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 351 | 313 | 76 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 69 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 243 | 321 | 310 | 631 | 67 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 33 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 344 | 309 | 72 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 69 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 233 | 305 | 320 | 625 | 87 | 278 | 20 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 34 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 337 | 315 | 75 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 238 | 287 | 298 | 585 | 60 | 278 | 17 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 35 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 377 | 345 | 78 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 78 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 226 | 288 | 287 | 575 | 61 | 283 | 21 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 36 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 191 | 172 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 203 | 281 | 227 | 508 | 23 | 234 | 14 | 8 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 38 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 26 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 154 | 200 | 354 | 80 | 168 | 42 | 4 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3093 | 2766 | 689 | 109 | 20 | 23 | 241 | 562 | 19 | 53 | 36 | 249 | 314 | 328 | 642 | 79 | 302 | 18 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -83 | -4 | +0 | -55 | +67 | -7.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 145 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 118 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 250 | 314 | 329 | 643 | 79 | 303 | 18 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -17 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 26 PAwOBA .183 → .133 (−50)K% 34.6% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.62% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.975 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 5.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 10.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.898 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 98, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .183 → .133; ISO .083 → .063; BABIP .200 → .168. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPericos de Puebla · 191 PAwOBA .292 → .231 (−61)K% 10.5% → 13.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.47% | ÷0.913 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.14% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.82% | ÷1.075 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×0.940 | 20.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.65% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×0.940 | 2.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 115, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 83, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .292 → .231; ISO .032 → .025; BABIP .283 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAPericos de Puebla · 377 PAwOBA .340 → .261 (−79)K% 15.6% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.65% | ÷0.914 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.47% | ÷1.071 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.27% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.76% | ÷1.068 | ×0.930 | ×1.024 | ×0.940 | 23.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.70% | ÷1.108 | ×0.830 | ×1.024 | ×0.940 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.024 | ×0.940 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.78% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 114, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 83, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .340 → .261; ISO .093 → .069; BABIP .347 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAPericos de Puebla · 337 PAwOBA .327 → .257 (−70)K% 12.8% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.76% | ÷0.905 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.31% | ÷1.047 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.13% | ÷1.081 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×0.940 | 23.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.33% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.940 | 3.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.940 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.74% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 116, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 81, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .327 → .257; ISO .081 → .060; BABIP .343 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAPericos de Puebla · 344 PAwOBA .359 → .279 (−80)K% 16.0% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.99% | ÷0.957 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.95% | ÷1.070 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.87% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.59% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×0.940 | 24.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.88% | ÷1.085 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.940 | 2.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.940 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.88% | ÷1.044 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.45% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 100, 2B 117, 3B 130, K 91, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .359 → .279; ISO .132 → .091; BABIP .332 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAALeones de Yucatan · 351 PAwOBA .345 → .281 (−63)K% 17.1% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.09% | ÷1.041 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.11% | ÷0.949 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 8.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.76% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.97% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×0.985 | ×0.942 | 23.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.05% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×0.942 | 6.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.85% | ÷0.794 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 0.70% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 59, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 108, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .345 → .281; ISO .084 → .069; BABIP .359 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAALeones de Yucatan · 438 PAwOBA .352 → .302 (−51)K% 9.8% → 12.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.82% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.38% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 9.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.27% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×0.952 | 23.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×0.952 | 4.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×0.952 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.95% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .352 → .302; ISO .095 → .080; BABIP .327 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAALeones de Yucatan · 392 PAwOBA .419 → .365 (−54)K% 14.8% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.80% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 9.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×0.962 | 26.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×0.962 | 8.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.029 | ×0.962 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.55% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .419 → .365; ISO .167 → .142; BABIP .412 → .366. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).