Refugio Cervantes

PosDH

B/TL/R

Born1978-08-05

Age (2027)48

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	36	AAASaraperos de …	344	.258/.319/.411	10	1	49	—	.202/.240/.304
2016	37	AAAOlmecas de Ta…	17	.176/.176/.235	0	0	-29	—	.176/.176/.235
2017	38	AAADiablos Rojos…	109	.255/.318/.439	4	1	45	—	.188/.234/.287

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	26	AAA	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	414	373	104	20	1	18	34	52	4	0	0	279	345	483	828	204	282	13	8	363	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	454	408	119	14	1	17	39	53	4	0	1	292	359	456	815	164	299	12	9	361	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	163	144	36	5	0	9	16	15	2	0	0	250	333	472	806	222	223	9	10	354	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	303	271	84	22	1	19	27	37	1	0	1	310	375	609	983	299	297	12	9	419	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	386	344	115	24	2	20	37	37	3	0	0	334	404	590	994	256	329	10	10	430	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	387	361	106	20	0	21	20	54	3	0	0	294	336	524	859	230	294	14	5	373	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	114	102	16	2	0	2	10	21	1	0	0	157	239	235	474	78	177	18	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	428	384	137	22	0	25	39	55	2	0	2	357	419	609	1.028	253	365	13	9	445	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	186	176	49	7	0	8	8	42	1	0	0	278	314	455	768	176	323	23	4	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	299	272	81	17	1	14	23	53	1	0	0	298	355	522	877	224	322	18	8	380	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	160	143	41	4	0	5	9	28	3	0	0	287	342	420	762	133	313	18	6	331	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	22	22	3	0	0	1	0	8	0	0	0	136	136	273	409	136	154	36	0	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	333	310	86	18	0	12	19	76	0	0	0	277	319	452	771	174	327	23	6	336	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	18	17	2	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	118	167	294	461	176	111	39	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	344	314	81	18	0	10	26	56	2	1	0	258	319	411	730	153	284	16	8	324	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	250	29	0	182	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	109	98	25	6	0	4	8	20	1	1	0	255	318	439	757	184	280	18	7	330	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	26	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	414	386	92	17	1	13	21	63	4	0	0	238	285	389	673	150	249	15	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	454	423	104	11	1	12	24	64	4	0	1	246	293	362	654	116	260	14	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	163	151	30	4	0	6	9	18	2	0	0	199	253	344	597	146	188	11	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	303	283	71	18	1	13	15	45	1	0	1	251	291	459	750	208	251	15	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	386	359	99	20	2	14	22	44	3	0	0	276	323	460	783	184	276	11	6	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	387	369	83	14	0	15	12	63	3	0	0	225	255	385	640	160	228	16	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	428	404	111	17	0	18	19	69	2	0	2	275	311	450	761	176	287	16	4	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	299	284	63	13	1	9	11	68	1	0	0	222	253	370	623	148	254	23	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	160	148	33	3	0	3	4	35	3	0	0	223	258	304	562	81	253	22	2	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	333	320	69	14	0	8	9	92	0	0	0	216	237	334	571	119	269	28	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	344	326	66	15	0	6	14	68	2	1	0	202	240	304	543	101	233	20	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	199	35	0	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	109	101	19	4	0	2	5	25	1	1	0	188	234	287	521	99	218	23	5	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	414	386	92	17	1	13	21	63	4	0	0	238	285	389	673	150	253	15	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AAA RAW	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	414	373	104	20	1	18	34	52	4	0	0	279	345	483	828	204	282	13	8	363	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	454	423	104	11	1	12	24	64	4	0	1	246	293	362	654	116	263	14	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	454	408	119	14	1	17	39	53	4	0	1	292	359	456	815	164	299	12	9	361	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	163	151	30	4	0	6	9	18	2	0	0	199	253	344	597	146	188	11	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	163	144	36	5	0	9	16	15	2	0	0	250	333	472	806	222	223	9	10	354	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	303	283	71	18	1	13	15	45	1	0	1	251	291	459	750	208	253	15	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	303	271	84	22	1	19	27	37	1	0	1	310	375	609	983	299	297	12	9	419	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	386	359	99	20	2	14	22	44	3	0	0	276	323	460	783	184	281	11	6	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	386	344	115	24	2	20	37	37	3	0	0	334	404	590	994	256	329	10	10	430	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	477	107	18	0	19	16	82	4	0	0	224	256	382	637	157	232	16	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	501	463	122	22	0	23	30	75	4	0	0	263	314	460	774	197	269	15	6	339	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	614	579	159	25	0	26	28	99	3	0	2	275	311	453	764	178	290	16	5	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	614	560	186	29	0	33	47	97	3	0	2	332	387	561	948	229	353	16	8	412	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	299	284	63	13	1	9	11	68	1	0	0	222	253	370	623	148	257	23	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	299	272	81	17	1	14	23	53	1	0	0	298	355	522	877	224	322	18	8	380	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	182	169	38	4	0	3	5	39	3	0	0	225	260	302	562	77	265	21	3	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	182	165	44	4	0	6	9	36	3	0	0	267	316	400	716	133	297	20	5	312	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	351	338	73	15	0	8	9	97	0	0	0	216	236	331	568	115	274	28	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	351	327	88	18	0	13	20	83	0	0	0	269	311	443	755	174	319	24	6	330	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	344	326	66	15	0	6	14	68	2	1	0	202	240	304	543	101	236	20	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	344	314	81	18	0	10	26	56	2	1	0	258	319	411	730	153	284	16	8	324	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	273	35	0	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	AAA RAW	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	250	29	0	182	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	109	101	19	4	0	2	5	25	1	1	0	188	234	287	521	99	227	23	5	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA RAW	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	109	98	25	6	0	4	8	20	1	1	0	255	318	439	757	184	280	18	7	330	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	26	AAA MLE	Rieleros de Aguascalientes	—	414	386	92	17	1	13	21	63	4	0	0	238	285	389	673	150	249	15	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	27	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	454	423	104	11	1	12	24	64	4	0	1	246	293	362	654	116	260	14	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	28	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	163	151	30	4	0	6	9	18	2	0	0	199	253	344	597	146	188	11	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	29	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	303	284	71	18	1	13	15	45	1	0	1	250	291	458	749	208	251	15	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	30	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	386	358	99	20	2	14	22	44	3	0	0	277	323	461	784	184	276	11	6	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	501	476	107	18	0	19	16	82	4	0	0	225	256	382	638	158	228	16	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	614	578	159	25	0	26	28	99	3	0	2	275	311	453	765	178	287	16	5	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	33	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	299	285	63	13	1	9	11	68	1	0	0	221	253	368	622	147	254	23	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	182	172	38	4	0	3	5	39	3	0	0	221	260	297	556	76	253	21	3	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	35	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	351	339	73	15	0	8	9	97	0	0	0	215	236	330	567	115	269	28	3	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	36	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	344	325	66	15	0	6	14	68	2	1	0	203	240	305	544	102	233	20	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	37	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	17	17	3	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	176	176	235	412	59	199	35	0	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	38	AAA MLE	Diablos Rojos del Mexico	—	109	102	19	4	0	2	5	25	1	1	0	186	234	284	518	98	218	23	5	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4137	3893	924	165	6	131	179	718	28	2	4	237	276	384	660	146	258	17	4	288	81	-93	-1	+0	-103	+90	-11.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	612	146	26	1	21	28	113	4	0	1	239	276	387	663	149	259	17	4	288	81	-15	-0	+0	-16	+14	-1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 109 PAwOBA .323 → .234 (−89)K% 18.3% → 22.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.35%	÷0.967	×1.200	—	—	22.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.34%	÷1.003	×0.690	—	×0.940	4.74%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.81%
Singles /BIP	19.23%	÷1.036	×0.930	×0.995	×0.940	16.15%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.143	×0.830	×0.995	×0.940	5.22%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.093	×0.920	×0.995	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.13%	÷1.080	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.12%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 107, 2B 129, 3B 119, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .323 → .234; ISO .184 → .116; BABIP .280 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 17 PAwOBA .177 → .125 (−51)K% 29.4% → 36.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.41%	÷0.977	×1.200	—	—	36.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷0.933	×0.690	—	×0.940	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.022	×0.930	—	×0.940	14.25%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.142	×0.830	—	×0.940	5.69%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.872	×0.700	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .177 → .125; ISO .059 → .036; BABIP .250 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 344 PAwOBA .309 → .241 (−68)K% 16.3% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.28%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	19.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.52%	÷0.903	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.97%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.51%
Singles /BIP	20.54%	÷1.024	×0.930	×0.986	×0.940	17.28%
Doubles /BIP	6.98%	÷0.948	×0.830	×0.986	×0.940	5.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.986	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.88%	÷1.099	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.32%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 98, BB 81 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .309 → .241; ISO .153 → .105; BABIP .284 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 333 PAwOBA .325 → .249 (−76)K% 22.8% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.82%	÷0.988	×1.200	—	—	27.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.20%	÷1.041	×0.690	—	×0.940	2.62%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.93%	÷1.005	×0.930	×0.973	×0.940	20.26%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.945	×0.830	×0.973	×0.940	6.18%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.973	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.13%	÷1.006	×0.700	—	×0.940	3.36%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 101, 2B 89, 3B 100, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .325 → .249; ISO .174 → .122; BABIP .327 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 160 PAwOBA .325 → .256 (−70)K% 17.5% → 21.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.50%	÷0.967	×1.200	—	—	21.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.75%	÷0.937	×0.690	—	×0.940	2.60%
HBP% /PA	1.88%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	1.66%
Singles /BIP	27.83%	÷1.057	×0.930	×0.996	×0.940	22.93%
Doubles /BIP	3.48%	÷0.956	×0.830	×0.996	×0.940	2.83%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.996	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.35%	÷1.129	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.53%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 111, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 93, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .325 → .256; ISO .133 → .086; BABIP .313 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 299 PAwOBA .369 → .272 (−97)K% 17.7% → 22.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.73%	÷0.928	×1.200	—	—	22.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.35%	÷1.136	×0.690	—	×0.940	3.63%
HBP% /PA	0.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.30%
Singles /BIP	22.37%	÷1.036	×0.930	×0.976	×0.940	18.43%
Doubles /BIP	7.76%	÷1.003	×0.830	×0.976	×0.940	5.89%
Triples /BIP	0.46%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.976	×0.940	0.34%
Home runs /BIP	6.39%	÷0.984	×0.700	—	×0.940	4.27%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 107, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 86, BB 127 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .369 → .272; ISO .224 → .156; BABIP .322 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 428 PAwOBA .431 → .333 (−98)K% 12.9% → 16.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.85%	÷0.956	×1.200	—	—	16.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.48%	÷1.079	×0.690	—	×0.942	4.50%
HBP% /PA	0.47%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.41%
Singles /BIP	27.36%	÷1.049	×0.930	×0.978	×0.942	22.34%
Doubles /BIP	6.69%	÷1.008	×0.830	×0.978	×0.942	5.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.978	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.60%	÷0.920	×0.700	—	×0.942	5.44%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 91, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .431 → .333; ISO .253 → .188; BABIP .365 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 387 PAwOBA .364 → .273 (−91)K% 14.0% → 16.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.95%	÷1.030	×1.200	—	—	16.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.91%	÷1.057	×0.690	—	×0.952	3.05%
HBP% /PA	0.78%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.69%
Singles /BIP	21.17%	÷1.073	×0.930	×0.995	×0.952	17.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.51%	÷1.118	×0.830	×0.995	×0.952	4.58%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.995	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.84%	÷0.963	×0.700	—	×0.952	4.73%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 115, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 106, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .364 → .273; ISO .230 → .161; BABIP .294 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .