Brandon Moss

Pos1B

B/TL/R

Born1983-09-16

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2017

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2015	31	MLBSTL	526	.226/.306/.407	19	0	100	-0.2
2016	32	MLBSTL	464	.225/.303/.484	28	1	119	1.0
2017	33	MLBKC	401	.207/.281/.428	22	2	104	0.3
2018	34	No MLB games played
2019	35	No MLB games played
2020	36	No MLB games played
2021	37	No MLB games played
2022	38	No MLB games played
2023	39	No MLB games played
2024	40	No MLB games played
2025	41	No MLB games played
2026	42	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015-2017

Barrel%83

xwOBA76

Avg EV49

Speed27

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	569	503	135	31	4	16	53	129	3	6	3	268	341	441	782	173	325	23	9	342	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	573	508	145	36	3	12	56	108	3	8	5	285	360	439	799	154	339	19	10	353	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	29	25	7	2	1	0	4	6	0	0	0	280	379	440	819	160	368	21	14	365	133	+1	+0	-1	-6	+1	-0.5
2007	23	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	559	493	139	41	2	16	61	148	3	3	5	282	364	471	835	189	372	26	11	369	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	263	236	58	15	3	8	21	70	1	1	2	246	310	436	747	191	307	27	8	324	103	+1	-1	+3	-5	+6	0.4
2008	24	AAA	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	182	163	46	8	4	8	16	47	1	2	0	282	350	528	878	245	345	26	9	378	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	424	385	91	20	4	7	34	84	4	1	5	236	305	364	669	127	285	20	8	301	87	-7	-2	+1	-5	+9	-0.3
2010	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	27	26	4	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	154	185	192	377	38	200	22	4	174	3	-3	+0	+0	-6	+1	-0.9
2010	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	556	500	133	32	2	22	42	118	7	12	7	266	332	470	802	204	306	21	8	349	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	436	120	31	1	23	62	127	4	4	6	275	371	509	880	234	334	25	12	384	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	296	265	77	18	0	21	26	90	3	1	1	291	361	596	957	306	359	30	9	411	169	+24	-0	-8	-9	+6	1.3
2012	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	224	196	56	11	1	15	22	40	5	4	0	286	372	582	954	296	289	18	10	412	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	505	446	114	23	3	30	50	140	6	4	2	256	339	522	861	267	301	28	10	373	144	+26	+0	-14	-9	+11	1.4
2014	30	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	580	500	117	23	2	25	67	153	10	1	0	234	336	438	774	204	283	26	12	344	119	+13	+0	-8	-10	+13	0.7
2015	31	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	526	469	106	24	2	19	49	148	5	0	1	226	306	407	713	181	285	28	9	317	100	+0	-0	-8	-6	+11	-0.2
2016	32	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	464	413	93	19	2	28	39	141	7	1	0	225	303	484	787	259	261	30	8	341	119	+11	+0	-3	-8	+10	1.0
2017	33	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	401	362	75	14	0	22	37	128	0	2	0	207	281	428	709	221	248	32	9	311	104	+2	+0	-1	-7	+9	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3515	3127	742	159	17	160	328	966	36	11	11	237	317	453	769	215	287	27	9	338	115	+62	-2	-39	-72	+76	2.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	569	522	130	28	4	13	35	158	3	6	3	249	300	393	693	144	318	28	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	573	527	136	31	3	10	37	132	3	8	5	258	310	385	696	127	320	23	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	29	25	7	2	1	0	4	6	0	0	0	280	379	440	819	160	368	21	14	365	133	+1	+0	-1	-6	+1	-0.5
2007	23	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	559	512	125	34	2	14	42	178	3	3	5	244	305	400	706	156	344	32	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	263	237	58	15	3	8	20	70	1	1	2	245	306	435	741	190	307	27	8	321	103	+1	-1	+3	-5	+6	0.4
2008	24	AAA MLE	Pawtucket Red Sox	—	182	168	42	7	4	7	11	56	1	2	0	250	300	464	764	214	320	31	6	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	424	388	91	20	4	7	31	84	4	1	5	235	298	361	659	126	285	20	7	296	87	-7	-2	+1	-5	+9	-0.3
2010	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	27	26	4	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	154	185	192	377	38	200	22	4	172	3	-3	+0	+0	-6	+1	-0.9
2010	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	556	514	110	26	2	17	28	146	7	12	7	214	264	372	636	158	259	26	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	458	99	25	1	20	40	152	4	4	6	216	285	406	691	190	271	30	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	296	267	78	17	0	23	24	90	3	1	1	292	357	614	971	322	359	30	8	419	169	+24	-0	-8	-9	+6	1.3
2012	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	224	204	47	8	1	12	14	50	5	4	0	230	296	456	752	225	239	22	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	505	449	116	22	3	33	47	140	6	4	2	258	337	541	878	283	301	28	9	380	144	+26	+0	-14	-9	+11	1.4
2014	30	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	580	507	118	22	2	27	60	153	10	1	0	233	326	444	770	211	283	26	10	343	119	+13	+0	-8	-10	+13	0.7
2015	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	526	473	106	23	2	20	45	148	5	0	1	224	298	408	706	184	285	28	9	316	100	+0	-0	-8	-6	+11	-0.2
2016	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	464	416	94	18	2	30	36	141	7	1	0	226	298	495	794	269	261	30	8	345	119	+11	+0	-3	-8	+10	1.0
2017	33	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	401	362	77	14	0	24	37	128	0	2	0	213	286	450	736	238	248	32	9	321	104	+2	+0	-1	-7	+9	0.3
2005	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	569	522	130	28	4	13	35	158	3	6	3	249	300	393	693	144	326	28	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	569	503	135	31	4	16	53	129	3	6	3	268	341	441	782	173	325	23	9	342	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	573	527	136	31	3	10	37	132	3	8	5	258	310	385	696	127	324	23	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	573	508	145	36	3	12	56	108	3	8	5	285	360	439	799	154	339	19	10	353	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	588	537	132	36	3	14	46	184	3	3	5	246	309	402	711	156	346	31	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	588	518	146	43	3	16	65	154	3	3	5	282	365	469	834	187	371	26	11	369	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	445	405	100	22	7	15	31	126	2	3	2	247	304	447	751	200	314	28	7	321	103	+2	-0	+3	-5	+10	1.0
2008	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	445	399	104	23	7	16	37	117	2	3	2	261	326	474	800	213	322	26	8	346	103	+2	-0	+3	-5	+10	1.0
2009	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	424	388	91	20	4	7	31	84	4	1	5	235	298	361	659	126	282	20	7	296	87	-7	-2	+1	-5	+9	-0.3
2009	25	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	424	385	91	20	4	7	34	84	4	1	5	236	305	364	669	127	285	20	8	301	87	-7	-2	+1	-5	+9	-0.3
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	583	540	114	27	2	17	29	152	7	12	7	211	260	363	623	152	259	26	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	583	526	137	33	2	22	43	124	7	12	7	260	325	456	781	196	300	21	7	341	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	458	99	25	1	20	40	152	4	4	6	216	285	406	691	190	272	30	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	436	120	31	1	23	62	127	4	4	6	275	371	509	880	234	334	25	12	384	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	520	471	125	25	1	35	38	140	8	5	1	265	331	546	876	280	301	27	7	377	141	+26	+1	-8	-9	+11	2.0
2012	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	520	461	133	29	1	36	48	130	8	5	1	289	366	590	956	302	326	25	9	411	141	+26	+1	-8	-9	+11	2.0
2013	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	505	449	116	22	3	33	47	140	6	4	2	258	337	541	878	283	297	28	9	380	144	+26	+0	-14	-9	+11	1.4
2013	29	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	505	446	114	23	3	30	50	140	6	4	2	256	339	522	861	267	301	28	10	373	144	+26	+0	-14	-9	+11	1.4
2014	30	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	580	507	118	22	2	27	60	153	10	1	0	233	326	444	770	211	276	26	10	343	119	+13	+0	-8	-10	+13	0.7
2014	30	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	—	580	500	117	23	2	25	67	153	10	1	0	234	336	438	774	204	283	26	12	344	119	+13	+0	-8	-10	+13	0.7
2015	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	526	473	106	23	2	20	45	148	5	0	1	224	298	408	706	184	279	28	9	316	100	+0	-0	-8	-6	+11	-0.2
2015	31	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	526	469	106	24	2	19	49	148	5	0	1	226	306	407	713	181	285	28	9	317	100	+0	-0	-8	-6	+11	-0.2
2016	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	464	416	94	18	2	30	36	141	7	1	0	226	298	495	794	269	256	30	8	345	119	+11	+0	-3	-8	+10	1.0
2016	32	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	464	413	93	19	2	28	39	141	7	1	0	225	303	484	787	259	261	30	8	341	119	+11	+0	-3	-8	+10	1.0
2017	33	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	401	362	77	14	0	24	37	128	0	2	0	213	286	450	736	238	250	32	9	321	104	+2	+0	-1	-7	+9	0.3
2017	33	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	401	362	75	14	0	22	37	128	0	2	0	207	281	428	709	221	248	32	9	311	104	+2	+0	-1	-7	+9	0.3
2005	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	569	526	130	28	4	13	35	158	3	6	3	247	300	390	690	143	318	28	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	573	528	136	31	3	10	37	132	3	8	5	258	310	384	695	127	320	23	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	588	534	132	36	3	14	46	184	3	3	5	247	309	404	713	157	345	31	8	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	445	409	100	22	7	15	31	126	2	3	2	244	304	443	746	198	312	28	7	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	424	386	91	20	4	7	31	84	4	1	5	236	298	363	661	127	285	20	7	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	583	542	114	27	2	17	29	152	7	12	7	210	260	362	622	151	256	26	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	506	457	99	25	1	20	40	152	4	4	6	217	285	407	692	190	271	30	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	520	469	125	25	1	35	38	140	8	5	1	267	331	548	879	281	307	27	7	377	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	505	447	116	22	3	33	47	140	6	4	2	260	337	544	880	284	301	28	9	380	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	580	505	118	22	2	27	60	153	10	1	0	234	326	446	771	212	283	26	10	343	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	526	471	106	23	2	20	45	148	5	0	1	225	298	410	708	185	285	28	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	464	418	94	18	2	30	36	141	7	1	0	225	298	493	791	268	261	30	8	345	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	33	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	401	361	77	14	0	24	37	128	0	2	0	213	286	452	737	238	248	32	9	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3515	3127	742	159	17	160	328	966	36	11	11	237	317	453	769	215	287	27	9	338	104	+62	-2	-39	-72	+76	2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	137	29	3	30	61	179	7	2	2	237	317	453	771	216	287	28	9	338	104	+11	-0	-7	-13	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6684	6055	1438	313	34	265	512	1838	62	50	37	237	304	432	735	194	293	27	8	322	104	+62	-2	-39	-72	+76	2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	139	30	3	26	50	179	6	5	4	236	303	430	732	194	290	28	8	322	104	+11	-0	-7	-13	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2012 AAASacramento River Cats · 224 PAwOBA .401 → .322 (−79)K% 17.9% → 22.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.86%	÷1.034	×1.290	—	—	22.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.38%	÷1.064	×0.710	—	×0.982	6.15%
HBP% /PA	2.23%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	2.15%
Singles /BIP	18.59%	÷0.940	×0.900	×0.950	×0.982	16.61%
Doubles /BIP	7.05%	÷1.045	×0.810	×0.950	×0.982	5.10%
Triples /BIP	0.64%	÷1.062	×0.810	×0.950	×0.982	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	9.62%	÷0.925	×0.780	—	×0.982	7.96%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 112, K 107, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .401 → .322; ISO .296 → .237; BABIP .289 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 506 PAwOBA .375 → .301 (−73)K% 25.1% → 30.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.10%	÷1.003	×1.200	—	—	30.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.66%	÷0.993	×0.690	—	×0.992	8.04%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.74%
Singles /BIP	21.04%	÷1.081	×0.930	×0.959	×0.992	17.22%
Doubles /BIP	10.03%	÷0.967	×0.830	×0.959	×0.992	8.20%
Triples /BIP	0.32%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.959	×0.992	0.33%
Home runs /BIP	7.44%	÷0.973	×0.840	—	×0.992	6.37%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 116, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .375 → .301; ISO .234 → .199; BABIP .334 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 556 PAwOBA .341 → .275 (−65)K% 21.2% → 26.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.22%	÷0.967	×1.200	—	—	26.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.37%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.10%
HBP% /PA	1.26%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.19%
Singles /BIP	20.16%	÷1.067	×0.930	×0.991	×1.003	17.46%
Doubles /BIP	8.38%	÷0.981	×0.830	×0.991	×1.003	7.04%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷1.148	×0.970	×0.991	×1.003	0.44%
Home runs /BIP	5.76%	÷1.048	×0.840	—	×1.003	4.63%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 113, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .341 → .275; ISO .204 → .163; BABIP .306 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 182 PAwOBA .372 → .321 (−50)K% 25.8% → 31.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.82%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	30.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.79%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.033	6.27%
HBP% /PA	0.55%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.53%
Singles /BIP	22.41%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.993	×1.033	21.38%
Doubles /BIP	6.90%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.993	×1.033	5.87%
Triples /BIP	3.45%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.993	×1.033	3.43%
Home runs /BIP	6.90%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.033	5.98%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .372 → .321; ISO .245 → .213; BABIP .345 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 AAAPawtucket Red Sox · 559 PAwOBA .359 → .308 (−50)K% 26.5% → 31.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.48%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	31.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.38%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.048	7.50%
HBP% /PA	0.54%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.53%
Singles /BIP	23.19%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.991	×1.048	22.39%
Doubles /BIP	11.88%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.991	×1.048	10.24%
Triples /BIP	0.58%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.991	×1.048	0.58%
Home runs /BIP	4.64%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.048	4.08%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .359 → .308; ISO .189 → .161; BABIP .372 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2006 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 573 PAwOBA .343 → .304 (−39)K% 18.8% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.85%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	22.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.90%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.027	6.40%
HBP% /PA	0.52%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	0.46%
Singles /BIP	23.50%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.982	×1.027	23.00%
Doubles /BIP	9.00%	÷1.000	×0.860	×0.982	×1.027	7.81%
Triples /BIP	0.75%	÷1.000	×0.950	×0.982	×1.027	0.72%
Home runs /BIP	3.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.027	2.40%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .343 → .304; ISO .154 → .130; BABIP .339 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2005 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 569 PAwOBA .335 → .303 (−32)K% 22.7% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.67%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	27.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.44%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.042	6.15%
HBP% /PA	0.53%	—	×0.850	—	×1.042	0.47%
Singles /BIP	22.46%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.005	×1.042	22.82%
Doubles /BIP	8.29%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.005	×1.042	7.47%
Triples /BIP	1.07%	÷1.000	×0.950	×1.005	×1.042	1.06%
Home runs /BIP	4.28%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.042	3.48%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .335 → .303; ISO .173 → .149; BABIP .325 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).