Joey WiemerLF Rochester Red Wings
Age 27 R/R 6'4" / 226 lbs MLB Svc 1.517 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION202 act + 134 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†90
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .307 / .393
PA134
HR5
SB5
K%33
BB%9
BABIP307
ISO167
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +2.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +1.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +9.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.81.70.21.21.00.8+$19M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT35
Whiff%
788.1%
xwOBA
430.300
POWER50
Barrel%
6911.0
Avg EV
4588.7
Bat Spd
5371.7
EYE55
Chase%
9020.3%
SPEED55
Sprint
8728.9
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 118 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
64
54
wRC+
190
69
◀◀L
wOBA
434
275
◀◀L
ISO
386
056
◀◀L
BABIP
406
414
K%
35.9%
38.9%
L
BB%
7.8%
5.6%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2023
Service   1.517 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.3M+0.2$0.6M+$0.3M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.2$9M+$8M
2028Arb-1$2M+1.0$7M+$5M
2029Arb-2$3M+0.8$3M+$0.4M
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $6M $19M +$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 A3 teams 509450 10412221 4315413 326 231316407723 176299 308 310 96
202122 A3 teams 509426 13121228 6711013 326 308417563980 256354 2213 427 185
202223 AA2 teams 548503 10329218 361965 313 205265378642 173290 367 275 68
202223 AA2 teams 548484 12434221 551475 313 256338465803 209322 2710 353 128
202324 MLB2 teams 431386 7920015 371205 114 205283373656 168252 289 288 78 -11 +1 +6 +2 +12 1.0
202324 MLB2 teams 431386 7719014 371195 114 199278358636 158246 289 285 76 -12 +1 +6 +2 +12 0.9
202425 AAA2 teams 381340 641312 381273 115 188276250526 62294 3310 243 44
202425 AAA2 teams 381321 701513 571073 115 218341299640 81318 2815 302 90
202526 AAA2 teams 398355 6110014 291329 132 172252318570 146220 337 254 52
202526 AAA2 teams 398341 7113014 431109 132 208313370682 161257 2811 307 93
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD27 AAAWSH 202180 40714 19752 31 222303339642 117353 379 290 80 -5 +0 +1 -2 +6 -0.0
YTD27 AAAWSH 202177 43814 22672 31 243333367701 124364 3311 318 101 +0 +0 +1 -2 +6 0.5
ROS27 AAAWSH 100% 134119 27505 12442 51 226307393699 167300 339 302 90 -2 +1 +0 +0 +4 0.4
ROS27 MLBWSH 100% 135120 27505 12442 51 225306392698 167300 339 293 82 -3 +1 +0 +0 +4 0.3
FULL27 AAAWSH 337300 671219 311194 82 223304360664 137333 359 291 81 -7 +1 +1 -2 +10 0.3
TOT27 AAAWSH 336299 671219 311194 82 224305360665 137334 359 295 84 -6 +1 +1 -2 +10 0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728 MLBWSH 65% 429383 8415115 381425 153 219298381679 162300 339 301 89 -5 +2 +1 +2 +12 1.1
202829 MLBWSH 65% 420375 8114114 371395 133 216295371666 155298 339 299 87 -6 +1 +0 +1 +12 0.9
202930 MLBWSH 65% 412367 7914114 371385 122 215296373669 158296 339 296 85 -7 +2 -1 +1 +12 0.7
202728 MLBWSH 65% 279248 54919 25924 92 218300371671 153300 339 292 82 -6 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.5
202829 MLBWSH 65% 273244 53919 24913 92 217295373668 156298 339 290 80 -6 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.4
202930 MLBWSH 65% 268239 52919 24903 82 218297377674 159296 349 287 78 -7 +1 -0 +1 +8 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 14541299 27853348 12546519 4312 214292370663 156290 329 289 79 -34 +4 +8 -3 +41 1.6
/ 162G 650581 12424121 562088 195 213291367658 153289 329 289 79 -15 +2 +4 -2 +18 0.7
Career 36623278 6821328118 307119252 14329 208286361647 153283 338 285 76 -99 +17 +8 +2 +104 3.3
/ 162G 650582 12023121 542129 255 206284357641 151280 338 285 76 -17 +3 +1 +0 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers 152128 437014 18364 82 3364337191.152 383362 2412 484 228 +22 +1 +4 2.8
202122 ACarolina Mudcats 320268 7411213 45696 224 276392478869 201326 2214 386 154 +19 +3 +9 3.2
202122 INTLSalt River Rafters 3730 14301 453 20 4675686671.234 200542 1411 540 271 +7 +0 +1 0.9
202223 AAANashville Sounds 174150 431516 21340 62 287374520894 233327 2012 385 153 +10 +0 +5 1.6
202223 AABiloxi Shuckers 374334 8119115 341135 251 243322440762 198319 309 338 116 +7 +5 +11 2.3
202324 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 410367 7519013 361165 114 204284362647 158258 289 291 81 -9 +1 +6 +2 +12 1.1
202324 AAANashville Sounds 2119 2001 130 00 105150263413 15862 145 175 -8 -3 +0 +1 -0.2
202425 MLBCincinnati Reds 2826 4000 290 11 154214154368 235 327 179 -5 -3 -0 -1 -4 +1 -0.8
202425 AAALouisville Bats 353295 661513 55983 104 224351312663 88325 2816 312 97 -1 +0 +10 0.9
202526 MLBMiami Marlins 6155 13203 2232 00 236288436724 200323 383 310 95 -0 +0 +2 -4 +2 -0.0
202526 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp 337286 5811011 41877 132 203317357674 154246 2612 307 93 -3 +2 +10 0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 499448 9221016 401487 125 205281359640 154264 308 287 78 -13 +0 +8 -7 +14 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA
112,8717942226302380+10+168.18.5
/1626641810+2.3+3.71.9pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#5Chris Heiseylast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA
81,7586225238296413-18+33.03.2
/162664239-6.7+1.01.1pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
61,4865143218296382-6+152.02.0
/1626642319-2.9+6.60.9pk7: 2
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Joey Wiemer (OGILVIE) 27 35 50 55 55 224/305/360 137334 98 35% 9% 84 +0.4
Sean Bouchard
2023 · MLB
27 43→41 54→55 52→50 50 221/307/408 188288 2113 30% 10% 102 +1.8 208/299/363 155294 1715 32% 10% 87 +0.8 177/275/304127268131636%10%59-0.5
Stone Garrett
2023 · MLB
27 38→37 56→55 53→50 35 214/252/400 187277 2517 33% 4% 77 +0.1 219/282/362 143318 1610 34% 7% 79 +0.3 222/301/34111833712534%9%79+0.1
Weston Wilson
2022 · AAA
27 42→43 59→55 51→55 46 231/296/433 202277 2814 28% 8% 104 +2.0 215/280/381 166290 2222 32% 8% 83 +0.6 212/291/397185265262530%9%90+0.7
Michael Helman
2023 · AAA
27 40→41 52→55 57→55 45 217/276/382 165258 2126 26% 7% 82 +0.5 223/280/386 163269 2022 25% 6% 85 +0.7 215/273/387171253202023%6%79+0.1
Stuart Fairchild
2023 · MLB
27 44→42 52→50 50→55 42 223/298/390 167299 2013 31% 7% 94 +1.3 223/301/370 147293 1620 28% 8% 89 +1.0 220/316/365145284152626%9%92+0.7
Corey Julks
2023 · AAA
27 43→51 55 53→55 42 229/287/409 180290 2318 30% 6% 94 +1.3 232/293/371 139295 1520 25% 8% 86 +0.8 233/296/352119297112124%8%79+0.2
Brewer Hicklen
2023 · AAA
27 39→43 53→55 61→60 37 196/272/363 168322 2232 44% 8% 76 +0.1 203/283/375 172293 2234 37% 8% 84 +0.6 219/291/395177297254034%7%90+0.7
Michael Hermosillo
2022 · MLB
27 45→46 55 50→55 43 229/318/418 189310 2315 32% 8% 110 +2.4 216/295/383 167282 2015 30% 7% 91 +1.1 177/240/344167200271728%4%56-0.5
Clint Frazier
2022 · MLB
27 44→45 51→55 48→50 53 223/318/386 163288 187 28% 11% 101 +1.8 199/286/319 120299 1211 35% 9% 70 -0.3 180/265/284104278111236%9%50-1.0
Justin Maxwell
2013 · MLB
29 43→44 58→60 52→60 45 225/302/428 203308 2619 35% 9% 105 +2.1 220/285/378 158318 1811 34% 7% 85 +0.7 209/274/34513630715835%7%69-0.2
Kyle Datres
2023 · AA
27 41→40 50 56→55 43 212/287/361 149289 1823 32% 8% 82 +0.5 205/283/343 138285 1721 32% 8% 76 +0.0 187/271/314127259162133%9%61-0.4
Drew Ellis
2023 · MLB
27 39→37 52→55 46→40 48 203/292/382 179269 186 31% 10% 89 +1.0 195/284/360 165248 206 29% 10% 81 +0.4 169/268/32715820123329%11%62-0.4
Alex Castellanos
2014 · MLB
27 39→49 50→55 53→50 39 205/271/359 154280 1818 33% 6% 74 -0.1 204/264/339 135297 1412 34% 6% 66 -0.6 198/258/32712929412835%6%57-0.6
Michael A. Taylor
2018 · MLB
27 47→53 52→55 54→60 40 238/288/402 164323 2024 32% 6% 92 +1.2 226/281/380 154318 1624 32% 7% 82 +0.5 242/299/384143312191428%7%90+0.8
Rylan Bannon
2023 · MLB
27 37→42 49→50 52→50 48 196/278/340 144250 1812 29% 9% 72 -0.2 207/297/365 158271 1913 29% 11% 87 +0.8 195/295/355161251201230%12%82+0.4
Jabari Blash
2016 · AAA
27 39→41 58→60 48→50 44 214/292/419 206279 279 33% 8% 98 +1.6 208/310/397 189306 247 37% 11% 101 +1.8 194/309/38719329225639%12%95+0.9
Blake Tekotte
2012 · MLB
25 44→48 53→55 53→55 44 228/293/405 176290 2124 29% 8% 95 +1.4 199/253/331 132275 1316 31% 6% 59 -1.1 189/253/30511625691028%6%49-0.9
J.J. Matijevic
2023 · MLB
27 44→42 58→60 52→50 42 230/293/433 203313 2612 34% 8% 102 +1.9 226/286/400 174310 1911 32% 7% 90 +1.0 213/276/38817529018832%7%79+0.3
Scott Kingery
2021 · MLB
27 45→51 50→55 51→55 43 229/285/393 164294 1713 28% 7% 89 +0.9 197/266/322 125295 1218 35% 8% 62 -0.9 198/239/341143265191733%5%52-0.8
Jayson Nix
2011 · MLB
28 43→49 54→55 46→55 46 230/296/403 173266 2210 23% 7% 96 +1.5 216/281/350 134275 1413 26% 7% 76 +0.0 207/276/316109275101827%7%61-0.5