Joey Wiemer

RF Charlotte Knights

Age 28 R/R 6'4" / 226 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 1.837 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAAPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	25	AAACIN	353	.224/.351/.312	3	10	57	—	.196/.289/.263
2024	25	MLBCIN	28	.154/.214/.154	0	1	6	-0.8
2025	26	AAAMIA	337	.203/.317/.357	11	13	47	—	.164/.251/.284
2025	26	MLBMIA	61	.236/.288/.436	3	0	96	-0.1
2026	27	AAACWS	245	.208/.266/.296	4	6	26	—	.182/.225/.251
2026	27	MLBWSH	83	.286/.398/.514	3	1	160	0.5
2027PROJ10% MLB	28	MLBCWS	24	.216/.289/.380	1	1	87	0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	29	MLBCWS	74	.213/.286/.373	3	3	84	-0.0
2029PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBCWS	102	.209/.282/.364	4	3	80	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.4 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.837First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.2M2030Ext$0.4M2031Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Speed87

Barrel%69

Bat Spd53

Avg EV45

xwOBA43

CompsWeston Wilson (age 29) · Kyle Datres (age 28) · Corey Julks (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 9187vR 75

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .289 / .380

PA24

HR1

K%29

BB%8

BABIP280

ISO182

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

xAVG

120.220

POWER50

Barrel%

6911.0

Avg EV

4588.7

Bat Spd

5371.7

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

Sprint

8728.9

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 118 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

180

◀◀L

wOBA

434

275

◀◀L

ISO

386

056

◀◀L

BABIP

406

414

—

35.9%

38.9%

◀L

BB%

7.8%

5.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.837 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	152	128	43	7	0	14	18	36	4	8	2	336	433	719	1.152	383	362	24	12	484	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	320	268	74	11	2	13	45	69	6	22	4	276	392	478	869	201	326	22	14	386	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	37	30	14	3	0	1	4	5	3	2	0	467	568	667	1.234	200	542	14	11	540	252	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	174	150	43	15	1	6	21	34	0	6	2	287	374	520	894	233	327	20	12	385	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	374	334	81	19	1	15	34	113	5	25	1	243	322	440	762	198	319	30	9	338	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	410	367	75	19	0	13	36	116	5	11	4	204	284	362	647	158	258	28	9	291	84	-8	+1	+6	+2	+9	0.9
2023	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	21	19	2	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	105	150	263	413	158	62	14	5	175	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	28	26	4	0	0	0	2	9	0	1	1	154	214	154	368		235	32	7	179	6	-3	-0	-1	-4	+1	-0.8
2024	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	353	295	66	15	1	3	55	98	3	10	4	224	351	312	663	88	325	28	16	312	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	61	55	13	2	0	3	2	23	2	0	0	236	288	436	724	200	323	38	3	310	96	-0	+0	+2	-4	+1	-0.1
2025	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	337	286	58	11	0	11	41	87	7	13	2	203	317	357	674	154	246	26	12	307	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	83	70	20	5	1	3	12	29	1	1	0	286	398	514	912	229	447	35	14	402	160	+6	+0	+1	-4	+2	0.5
2026	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	245	226	47	8	0	4	16	70	2	6	1	208	266	296	563	88	281	29	7	257	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	582	518	112	26	1	19	52	177	8	13	5	216	298	380	678	164	285	30	9	303	91	-6	+1	+8	-10	+13	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	152	136	35	5	0	10	10	49	4	8	2	257	327	515	841	257	309	32	7	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	320	283	62	7	2	10	30	94	6	22	4	219	307	364	671	145	286	29	9	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	174	156	39	13	1	5	15	42	0	6	2	250	316	442	758	192	301	24	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	374	346	68	17	1	11	22	141	5	25	1	197	255	347	602	150	290	38	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	410	367	75	20	0	12	36	116	5	11	4	204	284	357	641	153	258	28	9	292	84	-8	+1	+6	+2	+9	0.9
2023	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	21	19	2	0	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	105	150	263	413	158	63	19	5	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	28	26	4	0	0	0	2	9	0	1	1	154	214	154	368		235	32	7	177	6	-3	-0	-1	-4	+1	-0.8
2024	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	353	312	61	13	1	2	38	118	3	10	4	196	289	263	552	67	306	33	11	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	61	56	13	2	0	3	1	23	2	0	0	232	271	429	700	196	323	38	2	310	96	-0	+0	+2	-4	+1	-0.1
2025	26	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	337	299	49	9	0	9	28	107	7	13	2	164	251	284	536	120	209	32	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	83	70	20	5	1	3	12	29	1	1	0	286	398	514	912	229	447	35	14	405	160	+6	+0	+1	-4	+2	0.5
2026	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	245	231	42	7	0	3	11	84	2	6	1	182	225	251	476	69	263	34	4	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	509	450	106	14	2	22	43	154	13	32	6	236	320	422	742	187	303	30	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	509	426	131	21	2	28	67	110	13	32	6	308	417	563	980	256	354	22	13	427	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	548	501	108	31	2	16	38	183	5	31	3	216	278	381	659	166	301	33	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	548	484	124	34	2	21	55	147	5	31	3	256	338	465	803	209	322	27	10	353	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	431	386	77	20	0	13	37	120	5	11	4	199	278	352	630	153	250	28	9	285	79	-11	+1	+6	+2	+9	0.7
2023	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	431	386	77	19	0	14	37	119	5	11	4	199	278	358	636	158	246	28	9	285	79	-11	+1	+6	+2	+9	0.7
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	381	338	65	13	1	2	40	127	3	11	5	192	283	254	538	62	301	33	10	247	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	381	321	70	15	1	3	57	107	3	11	5	218	341	299	640	81	318	28	15	302	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	398	355	62	11	0	12	29	130	9	13	2	175	254	307	561	132	229	33	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	398	341	71	13	0	14	43	110	9	13	2	208	313	370	682	161	257	28	11	307	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	328	301	61	11	1	6	23	113	3	7	1	203	266	306	572	103	301	34	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	328	296	67	13	1	7	28	99	3	7	1	226	300	348	648	122	314	30	9	293	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	509	448	106	14	2	22	43	154	13	32	6	237	320	424	744	188	293	30	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	548	500	108	31	2	16	38	183	5	31	3	216	278	382	660	166	293	33	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	431	386	77	20	0	13	37	120	5	11	4	199	278	352	630	153	249	28	9	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	381	335	65	13	1	2	40	127	3	11	5	194	283	257	540	63	301	33	10	247	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	398	357	62	11	0	12	29	130	9	13	2	174	254	305	560	132	226	33	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	328	299	61	11	1	6	23	113	3	7	1	204	266	308	574	104	310	34	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	381	335	65	13	1	2	40	127	3	11	5	194	283	257	540	63	301	33	10	247	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	398	357	62	11	0	12	29	130	9	13	2	174	254	305	560	132	226	33	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	328	299	61	11	1	6	23	113	3	7	1	204	266	308	574	104	310	34	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CWS	10%	378	340	72	12	1	13	30	116	5	17	3	215	288	376	664	161	279	31	8	296	87	-6	+2	+4	-4	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	CWS	10%	24	22	5	1	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	216	289	380	669	164	280	29	8	298	87	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CWS	27%	271	245	52	9	1	9	21	84	3	10	2	212	285	369	654	157	277	31	8	292	84	-5	+1	+1	-3	+6	0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	CWS	37%	272	246	51	8	1	9	21	85	3	9	2	208	281	360	641	152	273	31	8	287	80	-6	+1	+1	-3	+6	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	CWS	27%	74	67	14	2	0	3	6	23	1	3	1	213	286	373	659	160	278	31	8	294	84	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	CWS	37%	102	92	19	3	0	4	8	32	1	3	1	209	282	364	645	154	274	31	8	288	80	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	758	677	145	31	1	26	66	232	10	19	7	214	293	378	672	164	281	31	9	300	76	-10	+1	+9	-12	+16	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	125	27	1	22	57	199	9	16	6	215	296	379	674	164	283	31	9	300	76	-8	+1	+8	-10	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3376	3036	628	125	9	97	271	1069	47	134	27	207	282	350	632	143	281	32	8	280	76	-21	+4	+13	-19	+30	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	121	24	2	19	52	206	9	26	5	207	282	352	634	145	280	32	8	280	76	-10	+2	+6	-9	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAACharlotte Knights · 245 PAwOBA .251 → .207 (−44)K% 28.6% → 34.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.57%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	34.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.53%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.003	4.52%
HBP% /PA	0.82%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.77%
Singles /BIP	22.44%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.031	×1.003	21.58%
Doubles /BIP	5.13%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.031	×1.003	4.40%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.031	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.56%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.003	1.80%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .251 → .207; ISO .088 → .064; BABIP .281 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 337 PAwOBA .302 → .238 (−64)K% 25.8% → 31.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.82%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	31.66%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.17%	÷1.027	×0.690	—	×1.018	8.32%
HBP% /PA	2.08%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.99%
Singles /BIP	18.09%	÷1.051	×0.930	×0.975	×1.018	15.88%
Doubles /BIP	5.53%	÷1.023	×0.830	×0.975	×1.018	4.45%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.975	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.53%	÷0.903	×0.700	—	×1.018	4.36%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .302 → .238; ISO .154 → .120; BABIP .246 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAALouisville Bats · 353 PAwOBA .305 → .253 (−52)K% 27.8% → 33.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.76%	÷0.999	×1.200	—	—	33.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.58%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×1.033	10.76%
HBP% /PA	0.85%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.83%
Singles /BIP	23.86%	÷0.995	×0.930	×1.001	×1.033	23.06%
Doubles /BIP	7.61%	÷0.964	×0.830	×1.001	×1.033	6.78%
Triples /BIP	0.51%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.001	×1.033	0.44%
Home runs /BIP	1.52%	÷1.111	×0.700	—	×1.033	0.99%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .305 → .253; ISO .088 → .070; BABIP .325 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAANashville Sounds · 21 PAwOBA .179 → .156 (−23)K% 14.3% → 17.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	17.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.76%	÷0.995	×0.690	—	×1.048	3.46%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	6.25%	÷0.953	×0.930	—	×1.048	6.39%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.971	×0.830	—	×1.048	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	—	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.25%	÷0.905	×0.700	—	×1.048	5.07%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .179 → .156; ISO .158 → .133; BABIP .062 → .063. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AABiloxi Shuckers · 374 PAwOBA .328 → .264 (−64)K% 30.2% → 37.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.21%	÷0.976	×1.220	—	—	37.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.82%	÷1.027	×0.680	—	×1.027	6.00%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	1.15%
Singles /BIP	20.81%	÷1.060	×0.920	×1.010	×1.027	18.72%
Doubles /BIP	8.60%	÷0.973	×0.910	×1.010	×1.027	8.34%
Triples /BIP	0.45%	÷0.900	×0.880	×1.010	×1.027	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	6.79%	÷1.012	×0.800	—	×1.027	5.51%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .328 → .264; ISO .198 → .159; BABIP .319 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAANashville Sounds · 174 PAwOBA .382 → .327 (−55)K% 19.5% → 24.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.54%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	24.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.07%	÷0.994	×0.690	—	×1.050	8.79%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.10%	÷0.996	×0.930	×0.976	×1.050	17.32%
Doubles /BIP	12.93%	÷0.952	×0.830	×0.976	×1.050	11.55%
Triples /BIP	0.86%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.976	×1.050	0.75%
Home runs /BIP	5.17%	÷0.946	×0.700	—	×1.050	4.02%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .382 → .327; ISO .233 → .195; BABIP .327 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ACarolina Mudcats · 320 PAwOBA .377 → .296 (−80)K% 21.6% → 29.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.56%	÷0.996	×1.360	—	—	29.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.75%	÷1.017	×0.690	—	—	9.32%
HBP% /PA	1.88%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.46%
Singles /BIP	24.12%	÷0.990	×0.920	×1.003	—	22.48%
Doubles /BIP	5.53%	÷1.177	×0.830	×1.003	—	3.91%
Triples /BIP	1.01%	÷1.052	×0.910	×1.003	—	0.87%
Home runs /BIP	6.53%	÷0.974	×0.800	—	—	5.36%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 135, 3B 110, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .377 → .296; ISO .201 → .155; BABIP .326 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 152 PAwOBA .470 → .366 (−104)K% 23.7% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.68%	÷1.001	×1.350	—	—	31.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.21%	÷0.988	×0.710	—	×1.012	6.70%
HBP% /PA	2.63%	—	×0.810	—	×1.012	2.16%
Singles /BIP	23.91%	÷0.982	×0.910	×1.003	×1.012	22.48%
Doubles /BIP	7.61%	÷1.132	×0.830	×1.003	×1.012	5.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.956	×0.820	×1.003	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	15.22%	÷1.155	×0.830	—	×1.012	11.07%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 91, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .470 → .366; ISO .383 → .273; BABIP .362 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustan Mohr'01-'07 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,537 PA	2.3	1,537	49	13	241*	315*	412*	-15	+20	3.8	3.8
/162	664	21	6	-6.6	+8.6	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ricky Ledee'98-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,307 PA	3.5	2,307	63	29	233*	311*	398*	-19	-6	2.4	3.1
/162	664	18	8	-5.5	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#4Larry Stahl'64-'73 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,889 PA	2.8	1,889	36	22	235*	297*	387*	-16	+11	2.4	2.9
/162	664	13	8	-5.5	+3.9	0.8	pk7: 4
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Brian Hunter'91-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,742 PA	2.6	1,742	67	4	226*	288*	432*	-29	+4	0.1	0.8
/162	664	26	2	-11.1	+1.6	0.0	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.1	754	26	19	218	295	387	-8	+10	0.6	0.7
/162	664	23	17	-7.1	+8.7	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joey Wiemer (OGILVIE)	28	35	50	55	55	213/286/373	160	279	8	10	31%	8%	87	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Weston Wilson 2024 · MLB	29	39→42	50→55	55	44	207/276/355	148	279	19	24	32%	8%	78	-0.3	213/286/366	153	280	19	21	30%	9%	84	+0.1	207/282/354	147	267	19	21	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Kyle Datres 2024 · AAA	28	43	47→50	57→55	45	216/296/351	134	292	16	24	30%	8%	84	+0.2	204/280/322	118	289	13	17	32%	8%	72	-0.7	173/254/274	102	244	13	16	33%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Corey Julks 2024 · MLB	28	46→50	49→50	54→55	46	234/295/386	152	289	17	21	25%	7%	92	+0.7	229/289/353	124	290	13	18	25%	7%	82	-0.0	222/281/337	115	280	13	16	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Michael Helman 2024 · AAA	28	43→42	49→50	58→55	45	221/279/369	148	262	17	25	23%	7%	82	-0.0	211/269/356	145	259	16	19	25%	6%	75	-0.5	193/252/335	142	235	16	18	25%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Stuart Fairchild 2024 · MLB	28	46→43	49→50	52→55	45	228/312/380	152	304	15	16	29%	8%	97	+1.1	225/305/369	144	290	15	23	26%	8%	92	+0.7	216/307/360	144	270	16	31	25%	9%	89	+0.3
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44→45	52→60	55→60	45	219/299/386	167	323	20	27	36%	10%	94	+0.9	223/294/406	183	315	22	15	34%	8%	96	+1.0	213/283/382	169	304	20	12	35%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	41→39	56→55	53→50	36	222/260/407	185	280	24	17	31%	4%	84	+0.1	222/284/362	140	318	16	10	33%	7%	82	-0.0	224/300/339	115	334	11	5	34%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Jake Slaughter 2024 · AAA	27	42→48	50	52→55	41	216/288/371	154	291	19	22	32%	7%	86	+0.3	227/291/355	128	317	14	19	31%	7%	83	+0.1	229/290/335	106	327	11	21	31%	6%	74	-0.5
✕Brewer Hicklen 2024 · AAA	28	39→49	50	61→60	40	196/276/350	154	296	17	32	38%	8%	77	-0.3	207/284/357	150	293	18	34	34%	7%	82	-0.0	207/283/355	147	290	18	38	33%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Jimmy Herron 2024 · AAA	28	47→48	47→45	57→55	49	232/309/370	138	287	14	24	24%	9%	93	+0.8	222/285/331	109	273	11	23	22%	7%	75	-0.5	211/271/300	89	255	10	25	21%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→49	53→55	55→65	49	212/303/387	175	269	21	29	29%	10%	96	+1.0	217/323/387	170	291	18	33	30%	11%	103	+1.6	207/326/378	171	283	16	41	30%	12%	103	+0.8
✕Sam Hilliard 2022 · MLB	28	35→45	57→55	55	41	198/261/395	197	267	26	15	36%	8%	82	-0.0	213/286/383	170	292	21	16	33%	9%	88	+0.4	208/281/383	175	283	19	18	32%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Daz Cameron 2024 · MLB	27	43→48	46→50	54→55	43	215/279/343	128	286	13	23	29%	7%	76	-0.4	226/293/381	155	291	17	23	27%	8%	90	+0.6	227/297/394	166	289	18	26	27%	8%	92	+0.3
✕Mario Lisson 2012 · AAA	28	44→49	50	51→55	39	226/276/380	154	295	18	16	30%	6%	84	+0.1	222/287/366	144	279	16	15	26%	7%	84	+0.2	222/292/345	123	288	15	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Rylan Bannon 2024 · MLB	28	40→47	49→50	47→50	50	208/293/355	147	263	18	14	28%	10%	84	+0.2	205/299/343	138	278	15	12	29%	11%	84	+0.1	174/284/300	125	238	14	10	30%	12%	68	-0.9
✕Narciso Crook 2023 · AAA	28	44→43	50	48→50	39	216/285/370	154	316	17	14	36%	7%	85	+0.2	208/286/343	135	332	14	15	39%	8%	79	-0.2	169/264/285	115	292	12	17	42%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	43→38	57→60	52→50	40	227/284/423	196	297	25	16	32%	6%	97	+1.1	214/281/373	159	294	17	14	31%	8%	84	+0.1	191/264/352	161	259	16	13	32%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Romy Gonzalez 2024 · MLB	27	42→44	49→50	55	35	216/259/364	148	307	18	20	35%	5%	73	-0.6	256/301/411	155	331	16	18	26%	5%	99	+1.2	270/316/424	155	341	15	16	25%	5%	108	+0.9
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→53	47→50	55→60	46	218/293/346	128	298	15	24	31%	9%	82	-0.0	228/297/362	134	313	15	28	30%	8%	87	+0.4	239/292/380	141	304	16	27	26%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Mark Contreras 2023 · MLB	28	38→39	49→50	55	37	197/258/342	145	283	17	20	36%	6%	68	-1.0	202/267/310	108	294	11	26	33%	7%	64	-1.3	193/262/280	87	283	8	32	32%	7%	52	-1.4

Joey Wiemer

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps