Yordan AlvarezLF Houston Astros
Age 30 L/R 6'4" / 237 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 6.657 · Ctrl thru 2028
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 168159vR 155
AVG/OBP/SLG.295 / .380 / .553
PA612
HR35
K%17
BB%10
BABIP308
ISO258
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +42.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+43BATRUN: -0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: -3.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-3FLDPOS: -6.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-7POSREP: +13.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +5.00+5.0WAR
0.02.55.05.04.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$37M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT60
Whiff%
904.9%
xAVG
900.306
POWER60
Barrel%
9015.1
Avg EV
9093.9
Bat Spd
8775.2
EYE45
Chase%
9018.1%
SPEED40
Sprint
1025.4
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%17%·17% over 108 PA (45d) · proj 17%
BB%13%▲▲15% over 162 PA (60d) · proj 11%
ISO.252·.242 over 132 AB (60d) · proj .260
HR/BB7.5%▼6.7% over 104 BBE (60d) · proj 8.2%
BABIP.306·.330 over 97 BIP (60d) · proj .304
SLASH.290/.392/.541·proj .293/.375/.553
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 955 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
287
668
—
wRC+
200
144
◀◀L
wOBA
463
381
◀◀L
ISO
299
240
◀◀L
BABIP
392
277
◀◀L
K%
16.0%
13.9%
▶R
BB%
7.3%
10.3%
▶▶R
Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2019
Service   6.657 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027ROSExt$20M+5.0$60M+$40M
2028Ext$20M+4.5$50M+$33M
Totals $39M $110M +$73M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201619 ROKDSL Astros Orange — 5744 15211 1270 21 341482500982 159378 1221 431 86 — — — — — —
201720 A+Buies Creek Astros — 252224 621133 19412 61 277339393732 116316 168 320 73 — — — — — —
201720 AQuad Cities River Bandits — 139111 40609 23362 20 3604786581.136 297449 2617 479 148 — — — — — —
201720 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 1716 5010 160 00 312353438790 125500 356 349 122 — — — — — —
201821 AAAFresno Grizzlies — 189166 43808 23470 10 259349452801 193315 2512 357 75 — — — — — —
201821 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 190169 5513012 19450 52 3253946151.009 290377 2410 432 128 — — — — — —
201922 MLBHouston Astros — 369313 9826027 52942 00 3134146551.069 342366 2514 455 188 +39 +0 -2 -7 +8 3.9
201922 AAARound Rock Express — 253213 7316023 38501 21 3434447421.186 399355 2015 500 171 — — — — — —
202124 MLBHouston Astros — 598537 14935133 501458 10 277348531879 253320 248 382 141 +29 +0 -1 -6 +13 3.5
202225 MLBHouston Astros — 561470 14429237 781066 11 3064126131.024 306320 1914 437 174 +49 -0 -2 -6 +12 5.5
202326 MLBHouston Astros — 496410 12024131 699213 00 293411583993 290306 1914 429 171 +42 +0 -2 -5 +11 4.6
202427 MLBHouston Astros — 635552 17034235 699510 60 308395567962 259317 1511 417 156 +42 +1 -6 -7 +14 4.5
202528 MLBHouston Astros — 199165 45806 28330 11 273378430809 158295 1714 354 112 +3 -0 -1 -2 +4 0.3
202528 AACorpus Christi Hooks — 1715 7400 230 10 4675297331.263 267583 1812 544 195 — — — — — —
202629 MLBHouston Astros — 692567 17934142 10912011 10 3164356011.037 286334 1716 447 166 +54 +0 -0 -7 +15 6.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 35503014 9051907211 45568550 102 300401578979 278323 1913 422 172 +303 +1 -15 -41 +77 33.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201619 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 5748 11111 890 21 229339354693 125247 1614 295 86 — — — — — —
201720 A+ MLEBuies Creek Astros — 252231 56923 12612 61 242286338623 95296 245 276 73 — — — — — —
201720 A MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 139120 35507 14462 20 292375508883 217393 3310 387 148 — — — — — —
201821 AAA MLEFresno Grizzlies — 189172 35606 17620 10 203275343618 140285 339 279 75 — — — — — —
201821 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 190176 491109 12550 52 278324494819 216347 296 357 128 — — — — — —
201922 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 369317 9825028 48942 00 3094036531.056 344366 2513 447 188 +39 +0 -2 -7 +8 3.9
201922 AAA MLERound Rock Express — 253232 6814021 19631 21 293349625974 332311 258 421 171 — — — — — —
202124 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 598540 14833134 471458 10 274341528869 254320 248 377 141 +29 +0 -1 -6 +13 3.5
202225 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 561479 14327238 691066 11 299394601995 303320 1912 425 174 +49 -0 -2 -6 +12 5.5
202326 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 496415 12023132 649213 00 289400581981 292306 1913 421 171 +42 +0 -2 -5 +11 4.6
202427 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 635568 16932236 539510 60 298368551919 254317 158 398 156 +42 +1 -6 -7 +14 4.5
202528 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 199170 45806 23330 11 265352418770 153295 1712 334 112 +3 -0 -1 -2 +4 0.3
202528 AA MLECorpus Christi Hooks — 1716 7400 140 10 4384716881.158 250518 246 456 195 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 692600 17732143 7612011 10 295384567951 272334 1711 413 166 +54 +0 -0 -7 +15 6.2
201619 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 5748 11111 890 21 229339354693 125256 1614 295 86 — — — — — —
201619 ROK RAWDSL Astros Orange — 5744 15211 1270 21 341482500982 159378 1221 431 86 — — — — — —
201720 A+ MLE3 teams — 408366 9615310 281124 81 262322402723 139339 277 315 100 — — — — — —
201720 A+ RAW3 teams — 408351 10717412 43834 81 305387479866 174357 2011 375 100 — — — — — —
201821 AA MLE2 teams — 379348 8617016 291170 62 247305434739 187323 318 318 101 — — — — — —
201821 AA RAW2 teams — 379335 9821020 42920 62 293371534906 242347 2411 394 101 — — — — — —
201922 MLB MLE2 teams — 622549 16438048 671573 21 2993786301.008 332334 2511 436 181 +60 +0 -2 -7 +13 6.7
201922 MLB RAW2 teams — 622526 17142050 901443 21 3254266901.117 365361 2314 473 181 +60 +0 -2 -7 +13 6.7
202124 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 598540 14833134 471458 10 274341528869 254313 248 377 141 +29 +0 -1 -6 +13 3.5
202124 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 598537 14935133 501458 10 277348531879 253320 248 382 141 +29 +0 -1 -6 +13 3.5
202225 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 561479 14327238 691066 11 299394601995 303307 1912 425 174 +49 -0 -2 -6 +12 5.5
202225 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 561470 14429237 781066 11 3064126131.024 306320 1914 437 174 +49 -0 -2 -6 +12 5.5
202326 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 496415 12023132 649213 00 289400581981 292298 1913 421 171 +42 +0 -2 -5 +11 4.6
202326 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 496410 12024131 699213 00 293411583993 290306 1914 429 171 +42 +0 -2 -5 +11 4.6
202427 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 635568 16932236 539510 60 298368551919 254302 158 398 156 +42 +1 -6 -7 +14 4.5
202427 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 635552 17034235 699510 60 308395567962 259317 1511 417 156 +42 +1 -6 -7 +14 4.5
202528 MLB MLE2 teams — 216186 511106 24370 21 274357430787 156302 1711 344 119 +5 +0 -1 -2 +5 0.6
202528 MLB RAW2 teams — 216180 521206 30360 21 289390456846 167319 1714 368 119 +5 +0 -1 -2 +5 0.6
202629 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 692600 17732143 7612011 10 295384567951 272303 1711 413 166 +54 +0 -0 -7 +15 6.2
202629 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 692567 17934142 10912011 10 3164356011.037 286334 1716 447 166 +54 +0 -0 -7 +15 6.2
201619 ROK MLEDSL Astros Orange — 5749 11111 890 21 224339347686 122247 1614 295 86 — — — — — —
201720 A+ MLE3 teams — 408373 9615310 281124 81 257322394716 137330 277 315 100 — — — — — —
201821 AA MLE2 teams — 379347 8617016 291170 62 248305435740 187316 318 318 101 — — — — — —
201922 MLB MLE2 teams — 622547 16438048 671573 21 3003786331.011 333344 2511 436 181 — — — — — —
202124 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 598538 14833134 471458 10 275341530871 255320 248 377 141 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 561481 14327238 691066 11 297394599992 301320 1912 425 174 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 496416 12023132 649213 00 288400579980 291306 1913 421 171 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 635567 16932236 539510 60 298368552920 254317 158 398 156 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLE2 teams — 216190 511106 24370 21 268357421778 153313 1711 344 119 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 692600 17732143 7612011 10 295384567951 272334 1711 413 166 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 635567 16932236 539510 60 298368552920 254317 158 398 156 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLE2 teams — 216190 511106 24370 21 268357421778 153313 1711 344 119 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 692600 17732143 7612011 10 295384567951 272334 1711 413 166 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLEHOU 100% 612535 15629136 641058 31 293378553930 259304 1710 403 159 +43 +0 -3 -7 +13 5.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXHOU 100% 612535 15831135 641058 31 295380553932 257308 1710 404 159 +43 +0 -3 -7 +13 4.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLEHOU 100% 648566 16431137 681129 11 290374544918 255301 1710 398 156 +43 -0 -6 -7 +14 4.5
202932 MLB MLEHOU 100% 648568 16130136 671158 11 284368532900 248296 1810 391 151 +39 -0 -7 -7 +14 4.0
203033 MLB MLEHOU 100% 573502 13925131 591047 00 277361516877 239291 1810 382 145 +31 +0 -7 -6 +12 3.0
203134 MLB MLEHOU 100% 533468 12622128 54996 00 268352496848 228282 1910 371 137 +23 +0 -8 -6 +12 2.2
203235 MLB MLEHOU 100% 503442 11519125 50966 00 258341473814 215274 1910 357 128 +17 +0 -8 -5 +11 1.5
203336 MLB MLEHOU 100% 463410 10116022 45915 00 248330450780 202265 2010 344 119 +10 +0 -9 -5 +10 0.7
203437 MLB MLEHOU 100% 413366 8613018 40844 00 237319425744 188256 2010 329 109 +4 +0 -9 -4 +9 -0.0
202831 MLB CTXHOU 100% 648566 16532136 681129 11 292376544920 253305 1710 399 156 +43 -0 -6 -7 +14 4.5
202932 MLB CTXHOU 100% 648568 16231135 671158 11 286370532902 246301 1810 392 151 +39 -0 -7 -7 +14 4.0
203033 MLB CTXHOU 100% 573502 14026130 591047 00 279363516879 237295 1810 383 145 +31 +0 -7 -6 +12 3.0
203134 MLB CTXHOU 100% 533468 12723127 54996 00 270353496849 226287 1910 371 137 +23 +0 -8 -6 +12 2.2
203235 MLB CTXHOU 100% 503442 11620125 50966 00 260343473815 213278 1910 358 128 +17 +0 -8 -5 +11 1.5
203336 MLB CTXHOU 100% 463410 10217021 45915 00 249332449781 200269 2010 344 119 +10 +0 -9 -5 +10 0.7
203437 MLB CTXHOU 100% 413366 8713018 40844 00 238320424744 186259 2010 330 109 +4 +0 -9 -4 +9 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 73316336 180435212403 838138695 124 285377535911 250305 1911 396 146 +471 +1 -67 -81 +159 49.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650562 16031136 741238 10 285375536911 251305 1911 396 146 +42 +0 -6 -7 +14 4.4
Career— MLE — 90577956 221341417497 9121796108 3410 278360522882 244299 2010 383 146 +514 +1 -70 -88 +172 53.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 15930136 651298 21 278360524884 245299 2010 383 146 +42 +0 -6 -7 +14 4.4