Yordan Alvarez
LF Houston Astros| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | MLBHOU | 635 | .308/.395/.567 | 35 | 6 | 156 | 4.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLBHOU | 199 | .273/.378/.430 | 6 | 1 | 112 | 0.3 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLBHOU | 692 | .316/.435/.601 | 42 | 1 | 166 | 6.2 |
| 2027PROJ | 30 | MLBHOU | 556 | .295/.380/.553 | 31 | 3 | 159 | 4.3 |
| 2028PROJ | 31 | MLBHOU | 614 | .292/.376/.544 | 34 | 1 | 156 | 4.2 |
| 2029PROJ | 32 | MLBHOU | 614 | .286/.370/.532 | 33 | 1 | 151 | 3.8 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Astros Orange | — | 57 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 482 | 500 | 982 | 159 | 378 | 12 | 21 | 431 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ | Buies Creek Astros | — | 252 | 224 | 62 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 277 | 339 | 393 | 732 | 116 | 316 | 16 | 8 | 320 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 139 | 111 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 360 | 478 | 658 | 1.136 | 297 | 449 | 26 | 17 | 479 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 17 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 353 | 438 | 790 | 125 | 500 | 35 | 6 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 189 | 166 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 47 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 349 | 452 | 801 | 193 | 315 | 25 | 12 | 357 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 190 | 169 | 55 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 45 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 325 | 394 | 615 | 1.009 | 290 | 377 | 24 | 10 | 432 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 369 | 313 | 98 | 26 | 0 | 27 | 52 | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 313 | 414 | 655 | 1.069 | 342 | 366 | 25 | 14 | 455 | 188 | +39 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +8 | 3.9 |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 253 | 213 | 73 | 16 | 0 | 23 | 38 | 50 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 343 | 444 | 742 | 1.186 | 399 | 355 | 20 | 15 | 500 | 171 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 598 | 537 | 149 | 35 | 1 | 33 | 50 | 145 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 277 | 348 | 531 | 879 | 253 | 320 | 24 | 8 | 382 | 141 | +29 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 3.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 561 | 470 | 144 | 29 | 2 | 37 | 78 | 106 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 306 | 412 | 613 | 1.024 | 306 | 320 | 19 | 14 | 437 | 174 | +49 | -0 | -2 | -6 | +12 | 5.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 496 | 410 | 120 | 24 | 1 | 31 | 69 | 92 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 411 | 583 | 993 | 290 | 306 | 19 | 14 | 429 | 171 | +42 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +11 | 4.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 552 | 170 | 34 | 2 | 35 | 69 | 95 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 308 | 395 | 567 | 962 | 259 | 317 | 15 | 11 | 417 | 156 | +42 | +1 | -6 | -7 | +14 | 4.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 199 | 165 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 273 | 378 | 430 | 809 | 158 | 295 | 17 | 14 | 354 | 112 | +3 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 17 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 467 | 529 | 733 | 1.263 | 267 | 583 | 18 | 12 | 544 | 195 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 692 | 567 | 179 | 34 | 1 | 42 | 109 | 120 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 435 | 601 | 1.037 | 286 | 334 | 17 | 16 | 447 | 166 | +54 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +15 | 6.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 3550 | 3014 | 905 | 190 | 7 | 211 | 455 | 685 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 300 | 401 | 578 | 979 | 278 | 323 | 19 | 13 | 422 | 172 | +303 | +1 | -15 | -41 | +77 | 33.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros Orange | — | 57 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 339 | 354 | 693 | 125 | 247 | 16 | 14 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ MLE | Buies Creek Astros | — | 252 | 231 | 56 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 61 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 242 | 286 | 338 | 623 | 95 | 296 | 24 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 139 | 120 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 292 | 375 | 508 | 883 | 217 | 393 | 33 | 10 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 189 | 172 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 62 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 275 | 343 | 618 | 140 | 285 | 33 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 190 | 176 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 278 | 324 | 494 | 819 | 216 | 347 | 29 | 6 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 369 | 317 | 98 | 25 | 0 | 28 | 48 | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 309 | 403 | 653 | 1.056 | 344 | 366 | 25 | 13 | 447 | 188 | +39 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +8 | 3.9 |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 253 | 232 | 68 | 14 | 0 | 21 | 19 | 63 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 293 | 349 | 625 | 974 | 332 | 311 | 25 | 8 | 421 | 171 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 598 | 540 | 148 | 33 | 1 | 34 | 47 | 145 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 341 | 528 | 869 | 254 | 320 | 24 | 8 | 377 | 141 | +29 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 3.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 561 | 479 | 143 | 27 | 2 | 38 | 69 | 106 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 299 | 394 | 601 | 995 | 303 | 320 | 19 | 12 | 425 | 174 | +49 | -0 | -2 | -6 | +12 | 5.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 496 | 415 | 120 | 23 | 1 | 32 | 64 | 92 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 400 | 581 | 981 | 292 | 306 | 19 | 13 | 421 | 171 | +42 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +11 | 4.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 568 | 169 | 32 | 2 | 36 | 53 | 95 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 298 | 368 | 551 | 919 | 254 | 317 | 15 | 8 | 398 | 156 | +42 | +1 | -6 | -7 | +14 | 4.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 199 | 170 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 265 | 352 | 418 | 770 | 153 | 295 | 17 | 12 | 334 | 112 | +3 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 17 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 438 | 471 | 688 | 1.158 | 250 | 518 | 24 | 6 | 456 | 195 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 692 | 600 | 177 | 32 | 1 | 43 | 76 | 120 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 384 | 567 | 951 | 272 | 334 | 17 | 11 | 413 | 166 | +54 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +15 | 6.2 |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros Orange | — | 57 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 339 | 354 | 693 | 125 | 256 | 16 | 14 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Astros Orange | — | 57 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 341 | 482 | 500 | 982 | 159 | 378 | 12 | 21 | 431 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 408 | 366 | 96 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 112 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 262 | 322 | 402 | 723 | 139 | 339 | 27 | 7 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 408 | 351 | 107 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 83 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 305 | 387 | 479 | 866 | 174 | 357 | 20 | 11 | 375 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 348 | 86 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 117 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 247 | 305 | 434 | 739 | 187 | 323 | 31 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 379 | 335 | 98 | 21 | 0 | 20 | 42 | 92 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 293 | 371 | 534 | 906 | 242 | 347 | 24 | 11 | 394 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 622 | 549 | 164 | 38 | 0 | 48 | 67 | 157 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 299 | 378 | 630 | 1.008 | 332 | 334 | 25 | 11 | 436 | 181 | +60 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +13 | 6.7 |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 622 | 526 | 171 | 42 | 0 | 50 | 90 | 144 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 325 | 426 | 690 | 1.117 | 365 | 361 | 23 | 14 | 473 | 181 | +60 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +13 | 6.7 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 598 | 540 | 148 | 33 | 1 | 34 | 47 | 145 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 341 | 528 | 869 | 254 | 313 | 24 | 8 | 377 | 141 | +29 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 3.5 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 598 | 537 | 149 | 35 | 1 | 33 | 50 | 145 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 277 | 348 | 531 | 879 | 253 | 320 | 24 | 8 | 382 | 141 | +29 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 3.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 561 | 479 | 143 | 27 | 2 | 38 | 69 | 106 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 299 | 394 | 601 | 995 | 303 | 307 | 19 | 12 | 425 | 174 | +49 | -0 | -2 | -6 | +12 | 5.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 561 | 470 | 144 | 29 | 2 | 37 | 78 | 106 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 306 | 412 | 613 | 1.024 | 306 | 320 | 19 | 14 | 437 | 174 | +49 | -0 | -2 | -6 | +12 | 5.5 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 496 | 415 | 120 | 23 | 1 | 32 | 64 | 92 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 400 | 581 | 981 | 292 | 298 | 19 | 13 | 421 | 171 | +42 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +11 | 4.6 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 496 | 410 | 120 | 24 | 1 | 31 | 69 | 92 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 411 | 583 | 993 | 290 | 306 | 19 | 14 | 429 | 171 | +42 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +11 | 4.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 568 | 169 | 32 | 2 | 36 | 53 | 95 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 298 | 368 | 551 | 919 | 254 | 302 | 15 | 8 | 398 | 156 | +42 | +1 | -6 | -7 | +14 | 4.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 552 | 170 | 34 | 2 | 35 | 69 | 95 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 308 | 395 | 567 | 962 | 259 | 317 | 15 | 11 | 417 | 156 | +42 | +1 | -6 | -7 | +14 | 4.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 186 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 274 | 357 | 430 | 787 | 156 | 302 | 17 | 11 | 344 | 119 | +5 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 216 | 180 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 36 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 289 | 390 | 456 | 846 | 167 | 319 | 17 | 14 | 368 | 119 | +5 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 692 | 600 | 177 | 32 | 1 | 43 | 76 | 120 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 384 | 567 | 951 | 272 | 303 | 17 | 11 | 413 | 166 | +54 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +15 | 6.2 |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 692 | 567 | 179 | 34 | 1 | 42 | 109 | 120 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 435 | 601 | 1.037 | 286 | 334 | 17 | 16 | 447 | 166 | +54 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +15 | 6.2 |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Astros Orange | — | 57 | 49 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 339 | 347 | 686 | 122 | 247 | 16 | 14 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 408 | 373 | 96 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 112 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 257 | 322 | 394 | 716 | 137 | 330 | 27 | 7 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 347 | 86 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 117 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 248 | 305 | 435 | 740 | 187 | 316 | 31 | 8 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 622 | 547 | 164 | 38 | 0 | 48 | 67 | 157 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 300 | 378 | 633 | 1.011 | 333 | 344 | 25 | 11 | 436 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 598 | 538 | 148 | 33 | 1 | 34 | 47 | 145 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 341 | 530 | 871 | 255 | 320 | 24 | 8 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 561 | 481 | 143 | 27 | 2 | 38 | 69 | 106 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 297 | 394 | 599 | 992 | 301 | 320 | 19 | 12 | 425 | 174 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 496 | 416 | 120 | 23 | 1 | 32 | 64 | 92 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 400 | 579 | 980 | 291 | 306 | 19 | 13 | 421 | 171 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 567 | 169 | 32 | 2 | 36 | 53 | 95 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 298 | 368 | 552 | 920 | 254 | 317 | 15 | 8 | 398 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 190 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 357 | 421 | 778 | 153 | 313 | 17 | 11 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 692 | 600 | 177 | 32 | 1 | 43 | 76 | 120 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 384 | 567 | 951 | 272 | 334 | 17 | 11 | 413 | 166 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 635 | 567 | 169 | 32 | 2 | 36 | 53 | 95 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 298 | 368 | 552 | 920 | 254 | 317 | 15 | 8 | 398 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 216 | 190 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 268 | 357 | 421 | 778 | 153 | 313 | 17 | 11 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 692 | 600 | 177 | 32 | 1 | 43 | 76 | 120 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 384 | 567 | 951 | 272 | 334 | 17 | 11 | 413 | 166 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 612 | 535 | 156 | 29 | 1 | 36 | 64 | 105 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 293 | 378 | 553 | 930 | 259 | 304 | 17 | 10 | 403 | 159 | +43 | +0 | -3 | -7 | +13 | 4.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 556 | 485 | 143 | 28 | 1 | 31 | 58 | 95 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 295 | 380 | 553 | 932 | 257 | 308 | 17 | 10 | 404 | 159 | +39 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +12 | 4.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 614 | 537 | 155 | 29 | 1 | 35 | 64 | 107 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 290 | 374 | 544 | 918 | 255 | 301 | 17 | 10 | 398 | 156 | +41 | -0 | -6 | -7 | +13 | 4.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 614 | 537 | 152 | 28 | 1 | 34 | 64 | 109 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 284 | 368 | 532 | 900 | 248 | 296 | 18 | 10 | 391 | 151 | +37 | -0 | -7 | -7 | +13 | 3.8 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 507 | 444 | 124 | 22 | 1 | 28 | 52 | 92 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 277 | 361 | 516 | 877 | 239 | 291 | 18 | 10 | 382 | 145 | +27 | +0 | -7 | -5 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 460 | 404 | 109 | 19 | 1 | 24 | 47 | 85 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 352 | 496 | 848 | 228 | 282 | 18 | 10 | 371 | 137 | +20 | +0 | -7 | -5 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 425 | 375 | 96 | 16 | 0 | 21 | 42 | 81 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 341 | 473 | 814 | 215 | 274 | 19 | 10 | 357 | 128 | +14 | +0 | -8 | -5 | +9 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 375 | 331 | 82 | 13 | 0 | 18 | 37 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 330 | 450 | 780 | 202 | 265 | 20 | 10 | 344 | 119 | +8 | +0 | -8 | -4 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 37 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 312 | 276 | 66 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 30 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 319 | 425 | 744 | 188 | 256 | 20 | 10 | 329 | 109 | +3 | +0 | -9 | -3 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 614 | 537 | 156 | 31 | 1 | 34 | 64 | 107 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 292 | 376 | 544 | 920 | 253 | 305 | 17 | 10 | 399 | 156 | +41 | -0 | -6 | -7 | +13 | 4.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 614 | 537 | 154 | 30 | 1 | 33 | 64 | 109 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 286 | 370 | 532 | 902 | 246 | 301 | 18 | 10 | 392 | 151 | +37 | -0 | -7 | -7 | +13 | 3.8 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 507 | 444 | 124 | 23 | 1 | 27 | 52 | 92 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 363 | 516 | 879 | 237 | 295 | 18 | 10 | 383 | 145 | +27 | +0 | -7 | -5 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 460 | 404 | 109 | 20 | 1 | 23 | 47 | 85 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 353 | 496 | 849 | 226 | 287 | 18 | 10 | 371 | 137 | +20 | +0 | -7 | -5 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 425 | 375 | 97 | 17 | 0 | 21 | 42 | 81 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 343 | 473 | 815 | 213 | 278 | 19 | 10 | 358 | 128 | +14 | +0 | -8 | -5 | +9 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 375 | 331 | 81 | 13 | 0 | 17 | 37 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 332 | 449 | 781 | 200 | 269 | 20 | 10 | 344 | 119 | +8 | +0 | -8 | -4 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 37 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 312 | 276 | 66 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 30 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 320 | 424 | 744 | 186 | 259 | 20 | 10 | 330 | 109 | +3 | +0 | -9 | -3 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 6857 | 5918 | 1692 | 334 | 11 | 380 | 791 | 1296 | 90 | 12 | 4 | 286 | 378 | 539 | 917 | 253 | 306 | 19 | 12 | 399 | 146 | +454 | +1 | -65 | -76 | +149 | 47.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 561 | 161 | 32 | 1 | 36 | 75 | 123 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 287 | 380 | 540 | 921 | 253 | 307 | 19 | 12 | 399 | 146 | +43 | +0 | -6 | -7 | +14 | 4.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8527 | 7488 | 2091 | 393 | 16 | 470 | 859 | 1696 | 103 | 34 | 10 | 279 | 361 | 524 | 886 | 245 | 301 | 20 | 10 | 385 | 146 | +493 | +1 | -68 | -82 | +161 | 51.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 159 | 30 | 1 | 36 | 65 | 129 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 278 | 360 | 524 | 884 | 245 | 299 | 20 | 10 | 385 | 146 | +43 | +0 | -6 | -7 | +14 | 4.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 17 PAwOBA .529 → .456 (−73)K% 17.6% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.036 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.948 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 8.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 22.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.930 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 29.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.057 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 107, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .529 → .456; ISO .267 → .234; BABIP .583 → .518. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAARound Rock Express · 253 PAwOBA .478 → .421 (−57)K% 19.8% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.76% | ÷1.022 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.030 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 7.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.86% | ÷0.966 | ×0.900 | ×0.955 | ×1.050 | 19.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.82% | ÷0.995 | ×0.810 | ×0.955 | ×1.050 | 8.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.126 | ×0.810 | ×0.955 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.11% | ÷0.948 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 12.19% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 99, 3B 125, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .478 → .421; ISO .399 → .354; BABIP .355 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 190 PAwOBA .421 → .357 (−64)K% 23.7% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.95% | ÷1.036 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.19% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×1.050 | 23.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.48% | ÷1.075 | ×0.840 | ×1.036 | ×1.050 | 8.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.036 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.059 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 7.67% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 105, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 99, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .421 → .357; ISO .290 → .232; BABIP .377 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 189 PAwOBA .347 → .279 (−68)K% 24.9% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.87% | ÷0.982 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.17% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 8.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.69% | ÷0.962 | ×0.900 | ×0.953 | ×1.050 | 21.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷0.974 | ×0.810 | ×0.953 | ×1.050 | 5.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.953 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.72% | ÷0.951 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 5.79% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .347 → .279; ISO .193 → .153; BABIP .315 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Buies Creek Astros · 252 PAwOBA .319 → .276 (−43)K% 16.3% → 24.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.27% | ÷0.954 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷0.981 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.042 | 4.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.59% | ÷0.999 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×1.042 | 23.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.01% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×1.042 | 5.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.984 | ×0.800 | ×0.985 | ×1.042 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.006 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.042 | 1.53% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 100, 2B 98, 3B 97, K 91, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .319 → .276; ISO .116 → .099; BABIP .316 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 139 PAwOBA .472 → .387 (−84)K% 25.9% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.90% | ÷1.057 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.39% | ÷0.982 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×1.030 | 30.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×1.030 | 7.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.00% | ÷1.154 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 8.57% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 111, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .472 → .387; ISO .297 → .226; BABIP .449 → .393. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 DSLDSL Astros Orange · 57 PAwOBA .429 → .295 (−134)K% 12.3% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 14.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.995 | 20.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.995 | 3.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.995 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 1.26% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .429 → .295; ISO .159 → .093; BABIP .378 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .