J.D. Martinez — OGILVIE

J.D. MartinezDH New York Mets

Age 38 R/R 6'3" / 230 lbs MLB H +5%HR +3% Svc 15.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 1.5 · 2026

wRC+†vL 141137vR 90

AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .335 / .495

PA267

HR13

K%29

BB%9

xwOBA.353

Barrel%14.9%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

55→55

SPD

36→36

FLD

45→45

EYE

56↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.9peak

2026

Barrel%

9014.9

xwOBA

890.353

Avg EV

7891.0

Whiff%

200.144

Chase%

490.320

Speed

1625.8

Bat Spd

6573.0

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2011

Service 15.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.5	$12M	+$7M
Totals		$5M		$12M	+$7M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2009	21	ROK	Greeneville Astros	83	79	24	6	1	4	3	20	1	0	0	.304	.337	.557	.894	.253	.364	24	4	.365	137	+4	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.5
2010	22	A	2 teams	601	559	162	35	4	13	27	129	13	5	2	.290	.337	.436	.774	.147	.356	21	4	.336	115	+10	+0	+0	-6	+17	2.2
2011	23	AA	2 teams	596	541	151	36	1	17	39	117	6	1	1	.279	.334	.444	.778	.165	.321	20	7	.338	117	+11	-0	+5	-6	+17	2.7
2012	24	MLB	2 teams	534	487	111	20	3	10	43	117	1	0	3	.228	.292	.343	.635	.115	.278	22	8	.278	71	-17	-1	-4	-6	+15	-1.3
2013	25	MLB	3 teams	436	418	106	25	0	10	13	110	1	2	0	.254	.278	.385	.663	.132	.318	25	3	.288	79	-10	+0	-7	-5	+12	-0.9
2014	26	MLB	2 teams	551	507	158	33	4	32	32	146	6	8	3	.312	.360	.582	.941	.270	.376	26	6	.388	155	+34	+0	-8	-6	+16	3.7
2015	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	657	596	168	31	2	41	53	178	5	3	2	.282	.346	.547	.893	.265	.334	27	8	.372	143	+32	-0	+3	-7	+19	4.7
2016	28	MLB	2 teams	555	496	149	38	2	22	50	141	4	2	2	.300	.369	.518	.887	.218	.376	25	9	.381	150	+31	-0	-14	-6	+16	2.7
2017	29	MLB	2 teams	507	448	128	23	3	44	54	135	0	4	0	.286	.363	.645	1.008	.359	.307	27	11	.411	173	+42	+1	-10	-5	+14	4.3
2018	30	MLB	Boston Red Sox	649	569	180	33	2	42	69	146	4	6	1	.316	.394	.603	.997	.286	.356	22	11	.413	174	+54	+1	-6	-7	+18	6.1
2019	31	MLB	Boston Red Sox	657	576	172	27	2	36	72	138	4	2	0	.299	.380	.540	.920	.241	.334	21	11	.387	154	+40	+0	-3	-7	+19	5.0
2020	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	237	211	44	14	0	8	22	59	2	1	0	.209	.289	.389	.678	.180	.247	25	9	.285	77	-6	+0	-1	-3	+7	-0.3
2021	33	MLB	Boston Red Sox	634	571	160	39	3	29	55	150	3	0	0	.280	.347	.511	.858	.231	.330	24	9	.362	135	+25	+0	-1	-7	+18	3.6
2022	34	MLB	Boston Red Sox	596	534	144	43	1	16	52	145	5	0	0	.270	.340	.444	.784	.174	.339	24	9	.340	118	+12	+0	+0	-6	+17	2.3
2023	35	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	479	434	115	28	2	32	34	149	2	1	0	.265	.321	.560	.881	.295	.317	31	7	.369	140	+22	+0	+0	-5	+14	3.1
2024	36	MLB	New York Mets	495	438	102	23	1	16	49	141	6	0	0	.233	.318	.400	.718	.167	.304	28	10	.316	100	-0	+0	+0	-5	+14	0.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	38	MLB	NYM	267	238	61	14	1	13	25	77	2	1	0	.256	.332	.487	.819	.231	.326	29	9	.364	137	+11	+0	-2	-3	+8	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	39	MLB	NYM	166	149	38	8	1	8	15	49	1	0	0	.255	.327	.483	.810	.228	.317	30	9	.350	126	+5	+0	-9	-2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8700	7851	2173	476	33	393	707	2147	66	36	14	.277	.342	.496	.838	.219	.330	25	8	.356	130	+299	+2	-56	-93	+246	40.7
/ 162G	—			650	587	162	36	2	29	53	160	5	3	1	.276	.342	.492	.834	.216	.329	25	8	.356	130	+22	+0	-4	-7	+18	3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2009	21	ROK	Greeneville Astros	83	77	31	9	1	5	5	14	1	0	0	.403	.446	.740	1.186	.338	.448	17	6	.509	248	+14	+0	—	—	+2	1.7
2010	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	208	189	57	9	1	3	15	42	2	2	2	.302	.357	.407	.765	.106	.372	20	7	.342	120	+5	-0	—	—	+6	1.0
2010	22	A	Lexington Legends	393	348	126	31	3	15	33	55	11	3	0	.362	.434	.598	1.031	.236	.398	14	8	.450	202	+45	+1	—	—	+11	5.8
2011	23	MLB	Houston Astros	226	208	57	13	0	6	13	48	2	0	1	.274	.323	.423	.746	.149	.325	21	6	.328	109	+2	-0	+5	-6	+6	0.7
2011	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	370	317	107	25	1	13	42	55	4	1	0	.338	.421	.546	.967	.208	.367	15	11	.418	178	+33	+0	—	—	+10	4.4
2012	24	MLB	Houston Astros	439	395	95	14	3	11	40	96	1	0	2	.241	.311	.375	.686	.134	.290	22	9	.307	93	-3	-1	-4	-6	+12	-0.1
2012	24	AAA	Oklahoma City RedHawks	95	90	21	6	0	0	4	17	0	0	1	.233	.266	.300	.566	.067	.284	18	4	.253	52	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2013	25	MLB	Houston Astros	310	296	74	17	0	7	10	82	0	2	0	.250	.274	.378	.652	.128	.319	26	3	.286	77	-8	+0	-7	-5	+9	-1.1
2013	25	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	20	20	6	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	.300	.300	.550	.850	.250	.278	5	0	.368	140	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2013	25	INTL	Leones del Caracas	106	93	29	6	0	6	11	23	1	0	0	.312	.390	.570	.960	.258	.354	22	10	.415	176	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2014	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	480	441	139	30	3	23	30	126	3	6	3	.315	.363	.553	.916	.238	.389	26	6	.395	160	+33	+0	-8	-6	+14	3.3
2014	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	71	65	20	3	1	10	3	17	3	2	0	.308	.366	.846	1.212	.538	.263	24	4	.507	246	+12	+0	—	—	+2	1.4
2015	27	MLB	Detroit Tigers	657	596	168	33	2	38	53	178	5	3	2	.282	.346	.535	.881	.253	.339	27	8	.382	151	+38	-0	+3	-7	+19	5.3
2016	28	MLB	Detroit Tigers	517	460	141	35	2	22	49	128	3	1	2	.307	.377	.535	.912	.228	.378	25	9	.396	161	+36	-1	-14	-6	+15	3.0
2016	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	38	36	10	3	0	0	1	11	1	1	0	.278	.316	.361	.677	.083	.400	29	3	.306	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2017	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	489	432	131	26	3	45	53	128	0	4	0	.303	.379	.690	1.069	.387	.327	26	11	.451	203	+57	+1	-10	-5	+14	5.8
2017	29	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	18	15	1	0	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	.067	.176	.267	.443	.200	.000	33	11	.193	6	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2018	30	MLB	Boston Red Sox	649	569	188	37	2	43	69	146	4	6	1	.330	.407	.629	1.036	.299	.375	22	11	.443	197	+71	+1	-6	-7	+18	7.8
2019	31	MLB	Boston Red Sox	657	575	175	33	2	36	72	138	4	2	0	.304	.385	.557	.941	.252	.342	21	11	.408	170	+52	+0	-3	-7	+19	6.2
2020	32	MLB	Boston Red Sox	237	211	45	16	0	7	22	59	2	1	0	.213	.294	.389	.682	.175	.259	25	9	.303	90	-3	+0	-1	-3	+7	0.1
2021	33	MLB	Boston Red Sox	634	570	163	42	3	28	55	150	3	0	0	.286	.351	.518	.869	.232	.340	24	9	.377	147	+33	+0	-1	-7	+18	4.4
2022	34	MLB	Boston Red Sox	596	533	146	43	1	16	52	145	5	0	0	.274	.343	.448	.792	.174	.345	24	9	.349	125	+17	+0	+0	-6	+17	2.8
2023	35	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	479	432	117	27	2	33	34	149	2	1	0	.271	.326	.572	.897	.301	.324	31	7	.379	148	+26	+0	+0	-5	+14	3.5
2024	36	MLB	New York Mets	495	434	102	24	1	16	49	141	6	0	0	.235	.318	.406	.724	.171	.308	28	10	.322	105	+3	+0	+0	-5	+14	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			6865	6152	1741	390	24	331	601	1714	40	26	11	.283	.350	.516	.866	.233	.338	25	9	.376	146	+354	+1	-45	-81	+195	43.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.D. Martinez (OGILVIE)	38	60	55	36	60	.259/.335/.495	.236	.326	13	1	29%	9%	137	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Olmedo Saenz 2007 · MLB	36	51	60	42→30	49	.270/.338/.493	.223	.302	28	3	21%	8%	137	+4.3	.246/.327/.434	.188	.281	22	6	21%	9%	117	+2.9	.184/.295/.333	.149	.200	18	0	19%	12%	77	+0.0
✕John Lindsey 2014 · AAA	37	46→53	61→65	41→30	41	.247/.318/.465	.219	.304	30	3	29%	6%	122	+3.3	.233/.312/.433	.200	.291	27	4	29%	7%	111	+2.5	.214/.304/.419	.204	.260	28	0	29%	8%	102	+1.4
✕Paul Konerko 2013 · MLB	37	56→59	56→65	41→30	58	.287/.368/.473	.187	.304	24	2	15%	11%	144	+4.8	.250/.319/.387	.137	.277	17	2	16%	8%	101	+1.8	.230/.295/.341	.111	.259	14	0	17%	7%	72	-0.1
●Raul Ibanez 2010 · MLB	38	54→61	58→60	45	54	.282/.350/.499	.217	.307	25	3	18%	9%	142	+4.6	.260/.327/.450	.190	.290	21	4	18%	9%	120	+3.1	.241/.300/.447	.206	.262	27	2	20%	7%	103	+1.6
✕Ruben Mateo 2015 · AAA	37	51→54	62→65	42→45	43	.275/.333/.498	.223	.297	31	3	20%	5%	137	+4.3	.235/.298/.400	.165	.272	22	6	22%	5%	96	+1.5	.164/.235/.294	.130	.178	21	0	23%	4%	41	-0.8
✕Eduardo Perez 2006 · MLB	36	50	58→60	42→50	58	.263/.352/.467	.204	.283	26	7	18%	11%	135	+4.2	.253/.333/.451	.198	.270	25	5	17%	10%	124	+3.4	.249/.324/.445	.196	.258	26	0	16%	9%	111	+0.9
✕Hideki Matsui 2011 · MLB	37	53→60	56→60	39→40	60	.275/.360/.468	.193	.292	24	2	16%	11%	138	+4.4	.246/.320/.388	.142	.274	16	3	16%	10%	102	+1.8	.230/.299/.339	.109	.259	12	1	16%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Fred McGriff 2003 · MLB	39	54→58	60	40→30	59	.282/.366/.497	.215	.303	28	2	18%	12%	148	+5.1	.257/.332/.449	.192	.287	25	3	19%	10%	122	+3.3	.249/.322/.428	.178	.280	24	0	20%	9%	105	+1.1
●Andres Galarraga 2001 · MLB	40	56→59	60	39→40	46	.291/.358/.509	.217	.340	29	5	23%	7%	149	+5.1	.272/.341/.462	.190	.332	23	4	24%	7%	130	+3.8	.268/.339/.445	.176	.330	21	2	24%	7%	118	+1.8
●Matt Stairs 2005 · MLB	37	51→55	59→65	46→45	57	.268/.355/.482	.213	.290	26	3	18%	11%	141	+4.5	.267/.353/.457	.190	.300	21	3	18%	11%	133	+4.0	.268/.357/.466	.198	.298	22	1	17%	11%	130	+2.7
✕Alfonso Soriano 2014 · MLB	38	46→56	61→70	46→60	44	.250/.302/.471	.221	.285	29	10	24%	6%	117	+2.9	.236/.282/.414	.178	.293	22	10	27%	5%	92	+1.2	.210/.236/.341	.132	.278	14	3	30%	3%	50	-0.7
✕Steve Pearce 2019 · MLB	36	51→57	56→60	40→50	55	.263/.345/.456	.193	.288	24	2	18%	10%	130	+3.8	.234/.313/.382	.148	.293	17	5	25%	9%	98	+1.6	.165/.244/.227	.062	.252	5	0	34%	7%	27	-0.7
✕Jeromy Burnitz 2006 · MLB	37	49→52	61→65	41→45	52	.262/.328/.483	.221	.280	29	6	19%	8%	130	+3.8	.248/.312/.440	.192	.274	25	6	20%	8%	112	+2.6	.228/.289/.418	.190	.248	28	2	22%	6%	89	+0.6
✕Kendrys Morales 2019 · MLB	36	48→58	58→65	39→40	51	.255/.323/.451	.196	.280	28	2	21%	8%	120	+3.1	.235/.323/.376	.141	.263	17	5	18%	11%	100	+1.7	.191/.311/.246	.056	.214	6	0	13%	13%	63	-0.3
✕Edwin Encarnación 2020 · MLB	37	44→54	66→65	46→50	59	.248/.348/.496	.248	.259	35	3	21%	12%	141	+4.6	.227/.315/.452	.225	.256	31	5	25%	10%	117	+2.9	.151/.245/.362	.210	.153	31	0	30%	9%	63	-0.3
★Nelson Cruz 2019 · MLB	39	50→58	66→70	46→55	53	.273/.355/.521	.248	.297	35	2	22%	10%	150	+5.2	.283/.365/.556	.273	.315	40	2	23%	10%	163	+6.1	.286/.367/.568	.283	.316	42	1	24%	10%	155	+4.1
✕Marlon Byrd 2016 · MLB	38	51→61	57→60	42→50	41	.263/.310/.466	.202	.324	25	4	27%	6%	118	+3.0	.249/.306/.431	.182	.315	23	6	27%	7%	107	+2.2	.247/.311/.402	.155	.327	21	0	29%	9%	91	+0.2
✕Luis Alfonso Garcia 2015 · AAA	36	47→57	59→60	45→40	50	.254/.315/.459	.205	.276	29	4	21%	8%	118	+3.0	.246/.311/.407	.161	.283	22	3	21%	8%	103	+1.9	.243/.316/.383	.140	.284	20	1	21%	9%	97	+1.0
✕Mario Valenzuela 2013 · AAA	36	53→58	57→60	40	46	.278/.329/.469	.191	.312	26	4	20%	6%	127	+3.6	.252/.301/.387	.135	.321	17	5	26%	6%	93	+1.3	.235/.287/.345	.109	.296	14	1	25%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Tony Clark 2008 · MLB	36	46→56	67→70	47→30	50	.260/.327/.516	.256	.284	37	3	24%	9%	138	+4.4	.233/.328/.407	.174	.295	22	4	27%	12%	110	+2.4	.201/.329/.337	.135	.271	16	0	29%	16%	90	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)