Freddie Freeman

1B Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 37 L/R 6'4" / 220 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -8% Svc 16.192 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

MLB40-MANExtFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	34	MLBLAD	638	.282/.383/.476	22	9	139	2.9
2025	35	MLBLAD	627	.295/.370/.502	24	6	143	2.9
2026	36	MLBLAD	657	.288/.366/.430	16	7	128	2.7
2027PROJ	37	MLBLAD	416	.276/.352/.449	13	5	128	2.0
2028PROJ	38	MLBLAD	342	.263/.339/.421	10	1	117	0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 8.5 · Next 2 projected WAR 2.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service16.192First FA2028

2027Ext$27M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

xwOBA90

Avg EV62

Barrel%57

Bat Spd48

Speed10

Form.258/.331/.389 ▼▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .280/.353/.453

CompsRaul Ibanez (age 37) · Matt Stairs (age 38) · Torii Hunter (age 37)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 117128vR 131

AVG/OBP/SLG.276 / .352 / .449

PA416

HR13

SB5

K%19

BB%9

BABIP313

ISO168

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract

ToolsStatcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT

xAVG

820.277

POWER

Barrel%

579.2

Avg EV

6289.9

Bat Spd

4871.2

SPEED

Sprint

1025.3

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%22%▼▼25% over 93 PA (60d) · proj 18%

BB%9%·9% over 93 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.131▼▼.049 over 82 AB (60d) · proj .173

HR/BB3.4%▼1.7% over 60 BBE (60d) · proj 4.4%

BABIP.316·.271 over 59 BIP (60d) · proj .320

SLASH.258/.331/.389▼▼proj .280/.353/.453

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1370 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

424

946

—

wRC+

121

145

▶▶R

wOBA

347

382

▶R

ISO

193

202

▶R

BABIP

294

335

▶R

18.4%

16.9%

▶R

BB%

8.0%

10.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2010

Service 16.192 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

DEF 20%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext	$27M	+1.8	$14M	-$13M
Totals		$27M		$14M	-$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2007	17	ROK	GCL Braves	—	234	224	60	7	0	6	7	33	2	1	2	268	296	379	676	112	290	14	3	301	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A	Rome Braves	—	540	491	155	33	7	18	46	84	3	5	5	316	378	521	899	206	352	16	9	395	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	169	149	37	8	0	2	11	20	4	0	0	248	317	342	659	94	265	12	7	293	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	297	255	77	19	0	6	26	41	14	1	4	302	397	447	844	145	338	14	9	378	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	24	24	4	1	0	1	0	8	0	0	0	167	167	333	500	167	200	33	0	216	35	-2	+0	-0	-10	+1	-1.2
2010	20	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	519	461	147	35	2	18	43	84	6	6	2	319	384	521	905	202	351	16	8	392	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	INTL	Phoenix Desert Dogs	—	19	16	2	1	1	0	2	3	1	0	0	125	263	312	576	188	154	16	11	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	635	571	161	32	0	21	53	142	6	4	4	282	349	448	798	166	339	22	8	353	124	+18	-1	-24	-11	+14	-0.4
2012	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	620	540	140	33	2	23	64	129	7	2	0	259	345	456	801	196	295	21	10	351	122	+17	+0	-13	-11	+13	0.7
2013	23	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	629	551	176	27	2	23	66	121	7	1	0	319	399	501	900	181	371	19	10	396	149	+37	+0	-10	-11	+14	3.0
2014	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	708	607	175	43	4	18	90	145	8	3	4	288	387	461	849	173	351	20	13	378	139	+33	-1	-9	-13	+15	2.7
2015	25	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	481	416	115	27	0	18	56	98	7	3	1	276	372	471	843	195	321	20	12	374	137	+21	+0	-4	-9	+10	1.9
2016	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	693	589	178	43	6	34	89	171	10	6	1	302	403	569	971	267	370	25	13	420	161	+50	+1	+2	-12	+15	5.7
2017	27	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	514	440	135	35	2	28	65	95	7	8	5	307	404	586	991	280	335	18	13	429	163	+39	-0	-3	-9	+11	3.8
2018	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	707	618	191	44	4	23	76	132	7	10	3	309	391	505	896	196	358	19	11	393	144	+37	+1	-4	-13	+15	3.7
2019	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	692	597	176	34	2	38	87	127	6	6	3	295	390	549	939	255	318	18	13	410	156	+46	+0	-7	-12	+15	4.3
2020	30	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	262	214	73	23	1	13	45	37	3	2	0	341	462	640	1.102	299	366	14	17	475	195	+30	+0	-2	-5	+6	3.0
2021	31	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	695	600	180	25	2	31	85	107	8	8	3	300	394	503	897	203	321	15	12	396	144	+37	+0	-4	-12	+15	3.6
2022	32	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	708	612	199	47	2	21	84	102	5	13	3	325	411	511	922	186	359	14	12	404	157	+48	+1	-4	-13	+15	4.9
2023	33	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	730	637	211	59	2	29	72	121	16	23	1	331	412	567	979	235	370	17	10	426	172	+62	+4	-3	-13	+16	6.7
2024	34	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	638	542	153	35	2	22	78	100	10	9	2	282	383	476	859	194	306	16	12	377	139	+30	+1	-5	-11	+14	2.9
2025	35	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	627	556	164	39	2	24	60	128	6	6	2	295	370	502	872	207	342	20	10	381	143	+32	+0	-7	-11	+14	2.9
2026	36	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	657	579	167	32	1	16	66	116	5	7	0	288	366	430	796	142	333	18	10	354	128	+22	+1	+1	-12	+14	2.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	10020	8693	2598	579	34	383	1136	1879	118	111	32	299	387	505	893	207	341	19	11	392	151	+610	+9	-95	-189	+217	56.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2007	17	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	234	227	47	5	0	5	4	48	2	1	2	207	227	295	523	88	239	21	2	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	540	506	143	28	7	15	31	112	3	5	5	283	328	455	782	172	337	21	6	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	169	153	37	8	0	2	7	24	4	0	0	242	293	333	626	92	253	14	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	297	264	71	16	0	6	17	58	14	1	4	269	346	398	743	129	314	20	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	24	24	4	1	0	1	0	8	0	0	0	167	167	333	500	167	200	33	0	220	35	-2	+0	-0	-10	+1	-1.2
2010	20	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	519	476	140	32	2	17	28	105	6	6	2	294	341	477	818	183	331	20	5	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	635	574	161	30	0	23	50	142	6	4	4	280	344	453	797	172	339	22	8	352	124	+18	-1	-24	-11	+14	-0.4
2012	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	620	544	140	31	2	25	60	129	7	2	0	257	339	460	798	202	295	21	10	349	122	+17	+0	-13	-11	+13	0.7
2013	23	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	629	561	177	26	2	25	56	121	7	1	0	316	385	503	887	187	371	19	9	388	149	+37	+0	-10	-11	+14	3.0
2014	24	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	708	611	174	41	4	19	86	145	8	3	4	285	380	458	838	173	351	20	12	374	139	+33	-1	-9	-13	+15	2.7
2015	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	481	420	115	26	0	19	52	98	7	3	1	274	363	471	835	198	321	20	11	370	137	+21	+0	-4	-9	+10	1.9
2016	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	693	607	179	41	6	37	71	171	10	6	1	295	378	565	943	270	370	25	10	406	161	+50	+1	+2	-12	+15	5.7
2017	27	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	514	454	135	35	2	28	51	95	7	8	5	297	377	568	945	271	335	18	10	410	163	+39	-0	-3	-9	+11	3.8
2018	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	707	630	191	44	4	23	64	132	7	10	3	303	374	495	869	192	358	19	9	381	144	+37	+1	-4	-13	+15	3.7
2019	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	692	608	176	34	2	38	76	127	6	6	3	289	374	539	913	250	318	18	11	398	156	+46	+0	-7	-12	+15	4.3
2020	30	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	262	221	73	23	1	13	38	37	3	2	0	330	435	620	1.055	290	366	14	15	456	195	+30	+0	-2	-5	+6	3.0
2021	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	695	615	180	25	2	31	70	107	8	8	3	293	372	491	863	198	321	15	10	381	144	+37	+0	-4	-12	+15	3.6
2022	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	708	624	202	50	2	20	72	102	5	13	3	324	398	506	904	183	359	14	10	401	157	+48	+1	-4	-13	+15	4.9
2023	33	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	730	649	214	62	2	28	60	121	16	23	1	330	400	561	961	231	370	17	8	422	172	+62	+4	-3	-13	+16	6.7
2024	34	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	638	551	155	37	2	21	69	100	10	9	2	281	371	470	841	189	306	16	11	374	139	+30	+1	-5	-11	+14	2.9
2025	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	627	563	166	41	2	23	53	128	6	6	2	295	362	497	859	202	342	20	8	380	143	+32	+0	-7	-11	+14	2.9
2026	36	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	657	582	169	34	1	15	63	116	5	7	0	290	365	430	794	139	333	18	10	357	128	+22	+1	+1	-12	+14	2.7
2007	17	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	234	227	47	5	0	5	4	48	2	1	2	207	227	295	523	88	240	21	2	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	—	234	224	60	7	0	6	7	33	2	1	2	268	296	379	676	112	290	14	3	301	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	540	506	143	28	7	15	31	112	3	5	5	283	328	455	782	172	338	21	6	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A RAW	Rome Braves	—	540	491	155	33	7	18	46	84	3	5	5	316	378	521	899	206	352	16	9	395	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	466	417	107	24	0	7	24	83	18	1	4	257	325	365	689	108	299	18	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	466	404	114	27	0	8	37	61	18	1	4	282	368	408	777	126	310	13	8	347	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	562	517	149	34	2	19	29	117	7	6	2	288	335	472	806	184	333	21	5	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	562	501	153	37	3	19	45	95	7	6	2	305	371	505	876	200	338	17	8	380	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	635	574	161	30	0	23	50	142	6	4	4	280	344	453	797	172	333	22	8	352	124	+18	-1	-24	-11	+14	-0.4
2011	21	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	635	571	161	32	0	21	53	142	6	4	4	282	349	448	798	166	339	22	8	353	124	+18	-1	-24	-11	+14	-0.4
2012	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	620	544	140	31	2	25	60	129	7	2	0	257	339	460	798	202	288	21	10	349	122	+17	+0	-13	-11	+13	0.7
2012	22	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	620	540	140	33	2	23	64	129	7	2	0	259	345	456	801	196	295	21	10	351	122	+17	+0	-13	-11	+13	0.7
2013	23	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	629	561	177	26	2	25	56	121	7	1	0	316	385	503	887	187	362	19	9	388	149	+37	+0	-10	-11	+14	3.0
2013	23	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	629	551	176	27	2	23	66	121	7	1	0	319	399	501	900	181	371	19	10	396	149	+37	+0	-10	-11	+14	3.0
2014	24	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	708	611	174	41	4	19	86	145	8	3	4	285	380	458	838	173	344	20	12	374	139	+33	-1	-9	-13	+15	2.7
2014	24	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	708	607	175	43	4	18	90	145	8	3	4	288	387	461	849	173	351	20	13	378	139	+33	-1	-9	-13	+15	2.7
2015	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	481	420	115	26	0	19	52	98	7	3	1	274	363	471	835	198	315	20	11	370	137	+21	+0	-4	-9	+10	1.9
2015	25	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	481	416	115	27	0	18	56	98	7	3	1	276	372	471	843	195	321	20	12	374	137	+21	+0	-4	-9	+10	1.9
2016	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	693	607	179	41	6	37	71	171	10	6	1	295	378	565	943	270	351	25	10	406	161	+50	+1	+2	-12	+15	5.7
2016	26	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	693	589	178	43	6	34	89	171	10	6	1	302	403	569	971	267	370	25	13	420	161	+50	+1	+2	-12	+15	5.7
2017	27	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	514	454	135	35	2	28	51	95	7	8	5	297	377	568	945	271	321	18	10	410	163	+39	-0	-3	-9	+11	3.8
2017	27	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	514	440	135	35	2	28	65	95	7	8	5	307	404	586	991	280	335	18	13	429	163	+39	-0	-3	-9	+11	3.8
2018	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	707	630	191	44	4	23	64	132	7	10	3	303	374	495	869	192	349	19	9	381	144	+37	+1	-4	-13	+15	3.7
2018	28	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	707	618	191	44	4	23	76	132	7	10	3	309	391	505	896	196	358	19	11	393	144	+37	+1	-4	-13	+15	3.7
2019	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	692	608	176	34	2	38	76	127	6	6	3	289	374	539	913	250	310	18	11	398	156	+46	+0	-7	-12	+15	4.3
2019	29	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	692	597	176	34	2	38	87	127	6	6	3	295	390	549	939	255	318	18	13	410	156	+46	+0	-7	-12	+15	4.3
2020	30	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	262	221	73	23	1	13	38	37	3	2	0	330	435	620	1.055	290	351	14	15	456	195	+30	+0	-2	-5	+6	3.0
2020	30	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	262	214	73	23	1	13	45	37	3	2	0	341	462	640	1.102	299	366	14	17	475	195	+30	+0	-2	-5	+6	3.0
2021	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	695	615	180	25	2	31	70	107	8	8	3	293	372	491	863	198	311	15	10	381	144	+37	+0	-4	-12	+15	3.6
2021	31	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	695	600	180	25	2	31	85	107	8	8	3	300	394	503	897	203	321	15	12	396	144	+37	+0	-4	-12	+15	3.6
2022	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	708	624	202	50	2	20	72	102	5	13	3	324	398	506	904	183	358	14	10	401	157	+48	+1	-4	-13	+15	4.9
2022	32	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	708	612	199	47	2	21	84	102	5	13	3	325	411	511	922	186	359	14	12	404	157	+48	+1	-4	-13	+15	4.9
2023	33	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	730	649	214	62	2	28	60	121	16	23	1	330	400	561	961	231	368	17	8	422	172	+62	+4	-3	-13	+16	6.7
2023	33	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	730	637	211	59	2	29	72	121	16	23	1	331	412	567	979	235	370	17	10	426	172	+62	+4	-3	-13	+16	6.7
2024	34	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	638	551	155	37	2	21	69	100	10	9	2	281	371	470	841	189	306	16	11	374	139	+30	+1	-5	-11	+14	2.9
2024	34	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	638	542	153	35	2	22	78	100	10	9	2	282	383	476	859	194	306	16	12	377	139	+30	+1	-5	-11	+14	2.9
2025	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	627	563	166	41	2	23	53	128	6	6	2	295	362	497	859	202	343	20	8	380	143	+32	+0	-7	-11	+14	2.9
2025	35	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	627	556	164	39	2	24	60	128	6	6	2	295	370	502	872	207	342	20	10	381	143	+32	+0	-7	-11	+14	2.9
2026	36	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	657	582	169	34	1	15	63	116	5	7	0	290	365	430	794	139	336	18	10	357	128	+22	+1	+1	-12	+14	2.7
2026	36	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	657	579	167	32	1	16	66	116	5	7	0	288	366	430	796	142	333	18	10	354	128	+22	+1	+1	-12	+14	2.7
2007	17	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	234	226	47	5	0	5	4	48	2	1	2	208	227	296	524	88	239	21	2	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	540	501	143	28	7	15	31	112	3	5	5	285	328	459	787	174	337	21	6	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	466	421	107	24	0	7	24	83	18	1	4	254	325	361	686	107	292	18	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	562	521	149	34	2	19	29	117	7	6	2	286	335	468	803	182	325	21	5	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	635	574	161	30	0	23	50	142	6	4	4	280	344	453	797	172	339	22	8	352	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	620	548	140	31	2	25	60	129	7	2	0	255	339	456	795	201	295	21	10	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	629	561	177	26	2	25	56	121	7	1	0	316	385	503	887	187	371	19	9	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	708	608	174	41	4	19	86	145	8	3	4	286	380	461	841	174	351	20	12	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	481	419	115	26	0	19	52	98	7	3	1	274	363	473	836	198	321	20	11	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	693	607	179	41	6	37	71	171	10	6	1	295	378	565	943	270	370	25	10	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	514	451	135	35	2	28	51	95	7	8	5	299	377	572	949	273	335	18	10	410	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	707	630	191	44	4	23	64	132	7	10	3	303	374	495	869	192	358	19	9	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	692	605	176	34	2	38	76	127	6	6	3	291	374	542	916	251	318	18	11	398	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	262	219	73	23	1	13	38	37	3	2	0	333	435	626	1.061	292	366	14	15	456	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	695	612	180	25	2	31	70	107	8	8	3	294	372	493	866	199	321	15	10	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	708	625	202	50	2	20	72	102	5	13	3	323	398	506	904	182	359	14	10	401	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	730	648	214	62	2	28	60	121	16	23	1	330	400	562	962	231	370	17	8	422	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	34	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	638	554	155	37	2	21	69	100	10	9	2	280	371	468	839	188	306	16	11	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	627	563	166	41	2	23	53	128	6	6	2	295	362	497	859	202	342	20	8	380	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	36	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	657	584	169	34	1	15	63	116	5	7	0	289	365	428	793	139	333	18	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	34	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	638	554	155	37	2	21	69	100	10	9	2	280	371	468	839	188	306	16	11	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	35	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	627	563	166	41	2	23	53	128	6	6	2	295	362	497	859	202	342	20	8	380	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	36	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	657	584	169	34	1	15	63	116	5	7	0	289	365	428	793	139	333	18	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	37	MLB MLE	LAD	100%	496	441	123	27	2	15	47	91	5	5	2	280	356	453	809	173	320	18	9	357	128	+16	+0	+4	-9	+11	1.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	37	MLB CTX	LAD	100%	416	370	101	21	1	13	39	77	4	5	2	276	352	449	801	173	313	19	9	354	128	+14	+0	+4	-7	+9	2.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	38	MLB MLE	LAD	100%	342	304	82	17	1	10	32	64	3	1	1	267	342	425	768	158	307	19	9	341	117	+7	-0	-5	-6	+7	0.3
2028	38	MLB CTX	LAD	100%	342	304	80	16	1	10	32	64	3	1	1	263	339	421	760	158	301	19	9	338	117	+7	-0	-5	-6	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	10362	8997	2678	595	35	393	1168	1943	121	112	33	298	386	503	888	205	339	19	11	390	139	+617	+9	-100	-195	+225	56.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	168	37	2	25	73	122	8	7	2	298	386	504	890	206	339	19	11	390	139	+39	+1	-6	-12	+14	3.6
Career	—	MLE		—	12556	11155	3239	711	45	457	1150	2372	155	130	48	290	365	485	850	195	330	19	9	373	139	+631	+9	-96	-202	+234	58.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	168	37	2	24	60	123	8	7	2	291	366	487	853	196	331	19	9	373	139	+38	+1	-6	-12	+14	3.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2010 AAAGwinnett Braves · 519 PAwOBA .386 → .355 (−31)K% 16.2% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.18%	÷0.964	×1.200	—	—	20.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.71%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×1.050	5.44%
HBP% /PA	1.16%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	1.14%
Singles /BIP	24.40%	÷1.032	×0.930	×1.013	×1.050	23.38%
Doubles /BIP	9.28%	÷0.968	×0.830	×1.013	×1.050	8.47%
Triples /BIP	0.53%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.013	×1.050	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	4.77%	÷0.921	×0.840	—	×1.050	4.57%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 106, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .386 → .355; ISO .202 → .191; BABIP .351 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 297 PAwOBA .371 → .320 (−51)K% 13.8% → 19.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.80%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	19.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.75%	÷1.000	×0.630	—	×1.042	5.75%
HBP% /PA	4.71%	—	×0.860	—	×1.042	4.22%
Singles /BIP	24.30%	÷1.000	×0.940	×0.981	×1.042	23.35%
Doubles /BIP	8.88%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.981	×1.042	7.53%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	×0.981	×1.042	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.80%	÷1.000	×0.900	—	×1.042	2.63%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .371 → .320; ISO .145 → .127; BABIP .338 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAMississippi Braves · 169 PAwOBA .292 → .272 (−19)K% 11.8% → 14.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.83%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	14.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.92%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.050	4.22%
HBP% /PA	2.37%	—	×0.840	—	×1.050	2.09%
Singles /BIP	20.93%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.990	×1.050	20.02%
Doubles /BIP	6.20%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.990	×1.050	5.87%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.880	×0.990	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.55%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.050	1.30%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .292 → .272; ISO .094 → .088; BABIP .265 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 ARome Braves · 540 PAwOBA .384 → .335 (−49)K% 15.6% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.56%	÷1.000	×1.340	—	—	20.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷1.000	×0.660	—	×1.045	5.75%
HBP% /PA	0.56%	—	×0.770	—	×1.045	0.45%
Singles /BIP	23.83%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.027	×1.045	23.54%
Doubles /BIP	8.11%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.027	×1.045	7.14%
Triples /BIP	1.72%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.027	×1.045	1.74%
Home runs /BIP	4.42%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.045	3.79%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .384 → .335; ISO .206 → .176; BABIP .352 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2007 ROKGCL Braves · 234 PAwOBA .293 → .224 (−69)K% 14.1% → 20.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.10%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	20.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.99%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	1.90%
HBP% /PA	0.85%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.63%
Singles /BIP	24.61%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.004	×1.022	20.71%
Doubles /BIP	3.66%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.004	×1.022	2.71%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.004	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.14%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	2.51%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .293 → .224; ISO .112 → .082; BABIP .290 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Albert Pujolslast yr '22 MVPROYAS×3SS career totals — 22 seasons, 13,041 PA	19.6	13,041	703	117	296	374	544	-212	-86	94.3	76.9
/162	664	36	6	-10.8	-4.4	4.8	pk7: 60
#2Frank Thomas'90-'08 * career totals — 19 seasons, 10,074 PA	15.2	10,074	521	32	290*	406*	549*	-221	-47	83.2	67.2
/162	664	34	2	-14.6	-3.1	5.5	pk7: 51
#3Manny Ramirez'93-'11 * career totals — 18 seasons, 9,774 PA	14.7	9,774	555	38	299*	397*	570*	-125	-85	85.2	65.8
/162	664	38	3	-8.5	-5.7	5.8	pk7: 46
#4Miguel Cabreralast yr '23 MVP×2ROYAS×12SS×7HOF career totals — 21 seasons, 11,796 PA	17.8	11,796	511	40	306	382	518	-133	-139	79.4	65.7
/162	664	29	2	-7.5	-7.8	4.5	pk7: 52
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons	16.2	10,754	405	117	299	382	504	-194	-142	73.5	57.4
/162	664	25	7	-12.0	-8.8	4.5	pk7: 41
#5Joey Vottolast yr '23 MVPAS×6SS career totals — 17 seasons, 8,746 PA	13.2	8,746	356	80	294	409	511	-156	-146	57.2	49.2
/162	664	27	6	-11.9	-11.1	4.3	pk7: 41
#6Ken Singleton'70-'84 * career totals — 15 seasons, 8,558 PA	12.9	8,558	246	21	279*	387*	469*	-120	-74	43.6	38.8
/162	664	19	2	-9.3	-5.7	3.4	pk7: 34

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Freddie Freeman (OGILVIE)	37	—	—	—	—	277/353/449	172	320	13	5	18%	9%	128	+2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Raul Ibanez 2009 · MLB	37	56→60	54→60	38→45	51	284/339/473	189	309	21	2	16%	8%	128	+3.3	267/326/466	199	297	23	4	18%	8%	121	+2.9	256/316/454	197	285	23	3	19%	8%	116	+2.4
●Matt Stairs 2006 · MLB	38	53→55	54→65	41→45	58	269/354/453	184	296	21	3	17%	11%	128	+3.4	261/337/451	190	295	22	3	19%	10%	122	+2.9	257/331/450	193	292	24	2	20%	9%	121	+1.9
●Torii Hunter 2012 · MLB	37	53→63	53→65	40→55	53	272/340/448	176	303	21	9	18%	9%	122	+3.0	293/341/451	158	343	18	6	19%	6%	124	+3.1	300/342/456	155	349	17	5	18%	5%	126	+3.2
✕Hideki Matsui 2011 · MLB	37	52→59	56→60	38→40	58	271/351/462	190	289	24	2	16%	11%	130	+3.5	237/306/374	137	265	16	3	17%	9%	93	+0.8	224/289/335	111	250	12	1	16%	8%	78	-0.2
●John Vander Wal 2003 · MLB	37	53→57	53→60	46→50	54	264/343/447	182	319	19	9	23%	11%	122	+3.0	245/322/430	185	317	20	5	27%	10%	112	+2.2	254/342/463	209	330	22	2	28%	12%	128	+2.1
●Shin-Soo Choo 2019 · MLB	37	51→61	51→55	48→55	58	255/357/413	158	309	19	9	23%	12%	121	+2.9	254/352/426	172	316	20	13	24%	11%	122	+2.9	252/354/427	175	316	21	16	25%	11%	120	+1.8
✕Charlie Blackmon 2022 · MLB	36	54→59	49→60	46→55	52	268/336/419	151	299	16	4	16%	8%	114	+2.3	252/318/389	137	288	13	6	17%	7%	101	+1.4	248/315/385	137	283	13	6	17%	7%	100	+1.1
✕José Abreu 2024 · MLB	37	52→62	50→65	41→40	50	261/330/417	156	302	18	1	20%	8%	112	+2.2	225/285/362	137	265	16	5	21%	7%	82	+0.0	139/183/222	83	158	11	0	21%	3%	11	-1.2
✕Garret Anderson 2009 · MLB	37	56→60	50→65	45	45	281/311/435	153	301	17	5	14%	4%	108	+1.9	252/288/385	133	279	14	5	15%	5%	88	+0.4	243/276/364	121	270	13	2	15%	4%	80	-0.1
✕Matt Joyce 2021 · MLB	36	53→52	47→60	45→50	60	258/356/393	135	321	15	4	23%	13%	116	+2.5	230/326/368	138	284	15	7	23%	12%	99	+1.3	136/273/240	104	152	14	0	22%	14%	57	-0.3
✕David Segui 2003 · MLB	37	59→67	50	43→30	56	293/367/452	159	332	17	3	17%	10%	132	+3.7	263/334/396	133	314	14	6	19%	9%	107	+1.9	260/333/379	119	309	12	2	19%	10%	104	+0.7
✕Mark Sweeney 2007 · MLB	37	52	49→55	48→40	56	258/341/414	156	304	15	5	20%	11%	115	+2.4	231/315/348	117	286	10	7	21%	10%	91	+0.6	203/301/280	77	264	5	5	22%	11%	71	-0.2
✕Magglio Ordonez 2011 · MLB	37	61→70	50→65	43→50	58	304/370/459	155	323	17	4	12%	10%	135	+3.9	263/321/386	123	288	14	6	14%	8%	101	+1.4	255/303/340	85	281	10	3	13%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Pedro Valdes 2010 · AAA	37	57→63	49→50	45→30	61	285/368/435	150	292	17	2	10%	11%	129	+3.4	254/334/402	148	259	16	4	9%	10%	109	+2.0	243/324/388	145	242	16	1	8%	9%	104	+0.9
✕Dante Bichette 2001 · MLB	37	55→57	54→55	46→45	51	282/338/461	178	301	21	6	15%	7%	124	+3.1	275/323/447	172	311	19	6	18%	6%	116	+2.5	285/323/458	173	328	17	3	18%	5%	120	+1.9
✕Yuli Gurriel 2022 · MLB	38	57→63	51→60	41→50	54	287/348/451	164	299	19	3	12%	8%	126	+3.2	252/308/378	126	280	11	8	14%	7%	94	+0.9	237/293/354	117	267	9	10	15%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Kevin Millar 2008 · MLB	36	52→61	50→65	41→30	60	261/359/421	160	288	17	2	16%	12%	123	+3.0	238/327/396	158	261	18	2	16%	11%	105	+1.7	228/316/379	152	246	18	0	16%	11%	99	+0.9
✕Greg Norton 2009 · MLB	37	52	50→60	41→40	58	259/347/414	156	306	17	4	21%	12%	117	+2.6	235/330/361	126	287	12	7	21%	12%	99	+1.3	189/320/245	55	244	4	4	21%	15%	73	-0.1
●Fred McGriff 2001 · MLB	37	52→56	54→60	48→30	59	268/353/442	173	296	24	4	18%	12%	126	+3.2	276/347/485	209	300	28	2	18%	10%	134	+3.8	274/344/491	217	294	29	1	18%	9%	135	+3.2
●Hunter Pence 2018 · MLB	35	54→63	50→60	42→50	50	272/330/428	156	316	18	4	20%	8%	114	+2.3	254/305/409	155	306	19	8	23%	7%	100	+1.3	256/303/412	156	311	19	9	24%	6%	99	+0.7

Freddie Freeman

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps