Yuli Gurriel — OGILVIE

Yuli Gurriel1B San Diego Padres

Age 42 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 166 proj PA

wRC+†vL -534vR 134

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .304 / .343

PA166

HR3

K%20

BB%10

ISO117

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT55

Whiff%

867.3%

xwOBA

210.275

POWER35

Barrel%

101.8

Avg EV

4288.5

Bat Spd

6472.8

EYE48

Chase%

4233.2%

SPEED48

Sprint

3626.8

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 92 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

-5

134

▶▶R

wOBA

179

360

▶▶R

ISO

020

091

▶▶R

BABIP

138

423

▶▶R

20.4%

21.1%

◀L

BB%

13.0%

10.5%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$-0.5M	-$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	29	INTL	Cuba	—	15	15	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	267	267	467	733	200	286	7	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	INTL	Cuba	—	15	15	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	267	267	467	733	200	286	7	0	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	INTL	Cuba	—	25	24	8	0	0	1	0	3	1	1	1	333	360	458	818	125	350	12	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	INTL	Cuba	—	25	24	8	0	0	1	0	3	1	1	1	333	360	458	818	125	350	12	0	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL	Cuba	—	24	20	9	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	0	450	522	500	1.022	50	450	4	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL	Cuba	—	24	20	9	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	0	450	522	500	1.022	50	450	4	12	442	197	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	MLB	4 teams	—	191	179	44	9	0	4	7	29	1	1	1	246	278	363	641	117	267	15	4	278	71	-6	-0	+2	+1	+5	0.1
2016	32	MLB	4 teams	—	191	179	46	10	0	5	7	25	1	1	1	257	289	397	685	140	268	13	4	298	86	-3	-0	+2	+1	+5	0.5
2017	33	MLB	Houston Astros	—	564	529	154	41	1	17	22	62	7	3	2	291	328	469	797	178	300	11	4	343	121	+13	-0	-7	-10	+16	1.2
2017	33	MLB	Houston Astros	—	564	529	158	43	1	18	22	62	7	3	2	299	335	486	821	187	308	11	4	358	132	+20	-0	-7	-10	+16	1.9
2018	34	MLB	2 teams	—	594	558	159	34	1	12	23	68	6	5	1	285	320	414	734	129	303	11	4	321	104	+3	+1	-3	-11	+17	0.7
2018	34	MLB	2 teams	—	594	558	165	37	1	13	23	67	6	5	1	296	330	435	766	140	313	11	4	336	116	+10	+1	-3	-11	+17	1.5
2019	35	MLB	Houston Astros	—	612	564	163	38	2	29	37	65	5	5	3	289	338	518	856	229	282	11	6	366	138	+26	-0	-1	-11	+17	3.2
2019	35	MLB	Houston Astros	—	612	564	168	40	2	31	37	65	5	5	3	298	347	541	887	243	289	11	6	383	151	+36	-0	-1	-11	+17	4.1
2020	36	MLB	Houston Astros	—	230	211	48	11	1	6	12	27	2	0	1	227	276	374	650	147	230	12	5	279	72	-7	-0	+0	-4	+7	-0.5
2020	36	MLB	Houston Astros	—	230	211	49	12	1	6	12	27	2	0	1	232	280	384	664	152	235	12	5	289	79	-5	-0	+0	-4	+7	-0.3
2021	37	MLB	Houston Astros	—	605	530	166	30	0	14	59	68	4	1	1	313	386	449	835	136	330	11	10	360	134	+23	-0	-7	-11	+17	2.2
2021	37	MLB	Houston Astros	—	605	530	169	31	0	15	59	68	4	1	1	319	391	462	853	143	336	11	10	374	145	+30	-0	-7	-11	+17	3.0
2022	38	MLB	Houston Astros	—	584	545	129	38	0	8	30	73	6	8	0	237	284	350	634	114	259	12	5	280	73	-18	+2	-13	-10	+17	-2.3
2022	38	MLB	Houston Astros	—	584	545	132	40	0	8	30	73	6	8	0	242	289	360	649	117	266	12	5	290	80	-13	+2	-13	-10	+17	-1.8
2023	39	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	329	298	76	17	3	4	26	44	1	4	0	255	317	372	689	117	283	13	8	296	85	-6	+1	-5	-6	+9	-0.6
2023	39	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	329	298	73	16	3	4	26	44	1	4	0	245	308	359	667	114	272	13	8	297	86	-5	+1	-5	-6	+9	-0.6
2024	40	AAA	2 teams	—	398	357	90	18	1	11	36	79	2	12	1	252	324	401	725	148	293	20	9	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	40	AAA	2 teams	—	398	345	98	21	1	12	48	64	2	12	1	284	375	455	830	171	316	16	12	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	41	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	40	36	4	1	0	0	4	8	0	0	0	111	200	139	339	28	143	20	10	171	-11	-5	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.5
2025	41	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	40	36	4	1	0	0	4	8	0	0	0	111	200	139	339	28	143	20	10	170	-12	-5	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	42	MLB	SD	—	166	148	34	7	1	3	16	33	1	3	1	230	309	351	660	122	271	20	10	295	84	-3	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3739	3434	956	226	8	98	227	437	32	28	9	278	329	434	763	156	291	12	6	335	115	+62	+2	-34	-70	+106	6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	165	39	1	17	39	76	6	5	2	276	327	430	758	154	289	12	6	335	115	+11	+0	-6	-12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	4377	4014	1088	248	10	109	275	561	36	46	12	271	323	419	743	148	288	13	6	317	100	+2	+4	-33	-74	+124	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	161	37	1	16	41	83	5	7	2	270	322	416	739	146	287	13	6	317	100	+0	+1	-5	-11	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	29	INTL	Cuba	—	15	15	4	3	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	267	267	467	733	200	286	7	0	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2014	30	INTL	Cuba	—	25	24	8	0	0	1	0	3	1	1	1	333	360	458	818	125	350	12	0	366	138	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2015	31	INTL	Cuba	—	24	20	9	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	0	450	522	500	1.022	50	450	4	12	442	197	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2016	32	MLB	Houston Astros	—	137	130	34	7	0	3	5	12	1	1	1	262	294	385	679	123	267	9	4	301	88	-2	-0	+2	+1	+4	0.4
2016	32	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	19	18	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	222	263	444	708	222	231	21	5	309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2016	32	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	19	17	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	118	167	118	284		167	32	5	132	-41	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2016	32	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	16	14	6	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	429	429	786	1.214	357	417	19	0	460	210	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2017	33	MLB	Houston Astros	—	564	529	158	43	1	18	22	62	7	3	2	299	335	486	821	187	308	11	4	358	132	+20	-0	-7	-10	+16	1.9
2018	34	MLB	Houston Astros	—	573	537	156	33	1	13	23	63	6	5	1	291	327	428	755	138	306	11	4	332	112	+8	+1	-3	-11	+16	1.2
2018	34	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	21	21	9	4	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	429	429	619	1.048	190	529	19	0	460	210	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2019	35	MLB	Houston Astros	—	612	564	168	40	2	31	37	65	5	5	3	298	347	541	887	243	289	11	6	383	151	+36	-0	-1	-11	+17	4.1
2020	36	MLB	Houston Astros	—	230	211	49	12	1	6	12	27	2	0	1	232	280	384	664	152	235	12	5	289	79	-5	-0	+0	-4	+7	-0.3
2021	37	MLB	Houston Astros	—	605	530	169	31	0	15	59	68	4	1	1	319	391	462	853	143	336	11	10	374	145	+30	-0	-7	-11	+17	3.0
2022	38	MLB	Houston Astros	—	584	545	132	40	0	8	30	73	6	8	0	242	289	360	649	117	266	12	5	290	80	-13	+2	-13	-10	+17	-1.8
2023	39	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	329	298	73	16	3	4	26	44	1	4	0	245	308	359	667	114	272	13	8	297	86	-5	+1	-5	-6	+9	-0.6
2024	40	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	65	54	13	3	0	0	9	15	0	1	0	241	349	296	646	56	317	23	14	295	84	-1	+0	-1	-7	+2	-0.7
2024	40	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	333	291	85	18	1	12	39	49	2	11	1	292	380	485	864	192	316	15	12	382	151	+19	+2	—	—	+9	3.1
2025	41	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	40	36	4	1	0	0	4	8	0	0	0	111	200	139	339	28	143	20	10	170	-12	-5	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3739	3434	956	226	8	98	227	437	32	28	9	278	329	434	763	156	291	12	6	335	115	+62	+2	-34	-70	+106	6.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1David Peraltalast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,590 PA	11	4,590	125	39	278	335	448	-49	-36	14.6	14.1
	/162	664	18	6	278	335	448	-7.1	-5.2	2.1	pk7: 14
#2Adam Lindlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,029 PA	12	5,029	200	7	272	330	465	-76	-76	11.6	11.8
#2Adam Lindlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,029 PA	/162	664	26	1	272	330	465	-10.0	-10.1	1.5	pk7: 12
#3Jeff Coninelast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,981 PA	8	3,981	95	43	283	342	430	-42	-47	9.9	10.1
	/162	664	16	7	283	342	430	-7.0	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 10
#4David Murphylast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,821 PA	9	3,821	103	54	274	333	432	-41	-35	9.6	10.0
	/162	664	18	9	274	333	432	-7.1	-6.1	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,865	101	31	278	325	434	-69	-54	9.1	9.8
	/162	664	17	5	278	325	434	-11.9	-9.4	1.6	pk7: 10
#5Xavier Nadylast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,169 PA	9	3,169	101	19	270	324	432	-41	-55	3.9	5.0
	/162	664	21	4	270	324	432	-8.5	-11.5	0.8	pk7: 6
#6Allen Craiglast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,013 PA	6	2,013	59	11	276	333	435	-29	-33	3.1	3.1
	/162	664	19	4	276	333	435	-9.7	-10.8	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yuli Gurriel (OGILVIE)	42	55	35	48	48	226/304/343	116	271	3	3	20%	10%	84	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Raul Sanchez 2015 · AAA	42	46→55	43→45	48→50	44	225/288/339	114	283	9	8	23%	6%	76	+0.0	254/316/356	102	299	10	9	17%	7%	91	+1.1	307/373/364	57	349	5	3	13%	8%	111	+0.7
✕Trenidad Hubbard 2005 · MLB	41	48→55	45→40	49→55	54	236/319/361	124	281	12	18	20%	10%	94	+1.3	249/314/349	100	276	8	21	12%	8%	89	+0.9	257/321/335	78	286	5	28	11%	7%	82	+0.4
✕So Taguchi 2009 · MLB	40	54→58	39→45	50	53	256/319/348	92	284	6	14	12%	8%	90	+1.0	234/308/334	100	264	9	10	15%	8%	82	+0.5	222/303/289	67	251	6	7	14%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Luis Arredondo 2013 · AAA	41	51→61	38→40	51→55	45	241/283/320	79	289	6	17	18%	5%	66	-0.6	248/287/351	103	303	9	17	21%	5%	77	+0.1	293/319/387	94	355	7	21	19%	4%	94	+0.4
✕Daniel Fernandez 2007 · AAA	41	52	36→40	49→50	50	241/300/312	70	287	3	11	16%	7%	72	-0.2	251/298/345	94	292	7	15	16%	6%	80	+0.4	321/357/390	69	354	4	23	10%	5%	109	+0.5
✕Sandy Alomar Jr. 2007 · MLB	41	53	40→45	47→40	48	251/291/349	98	273	7	4	12%	5%	78	+0.2	236/275/356	120	274	12	7	18%	5%	74	-0.1	224/246/322	98	263	10	3	19%	3%	50	-0.6
✕Ichiro Suzuki 2016 · MLB	42	53→63	36→45	54→60	49	250/297/316	66	285	4	18	14%	6%	71	-0.3	262/321/347	85	301	6	12	14%	8%	90	+1.0	283/346/368	84	325	4	11	13%	8%	102	+0.9
✕Ray Martinez 2009 · AAA	40	51→56	46→50	44→45	48	256/308/382	127	289	15	7	17%	6%	95	+1.4	273/319/400	127	325	13	8	19%	6%	104	+2.0	325/368/443	118	393	11	6	19%	6%	134	+1.9
✕Noe Munoz 2013 · AAA	42	47→57	41→45	41→40	47	229/282/318	89	276	9	5	20%	7%	66	-0.6	240/295/353	113	296	11	7	22%	7%	82	+0.5	270/323/401	131	332	14	0	22%	7%	102	+0.4
✕Ramon Orantes 2015 · AAA	41	56→63	40→45	39→40	43	267/306/354	87	314	8	5	18%	4%	85	+0.7	238/274/336	98	284	10	6	19%	4%	67	-0.5	253/284/355	102	289	11	0	16%	3%	74	-0.0
✕Roberto Mendez 2014 · AAA	41	51→59	44→50	48→45	52	247/317/370	123	300	11	5	21%	9%	95	+1.4	238/307/344	106	296	9	9	21%	9%	84	+0.6	239/320/315	76	296	6	7	20%	11%	82	+0.2
✕Christian Quintero 2016 · AAA	40	51→61	41→50	37→55	49	244/293/344	100	273	8	6	14%	6%	78	+0.2	231/278/327	96	266	9	8	16%	6%	67	-0.5	209/252/271	61	233	7	5	14%	5%	39	-0.8
✕Sharnol Adriana 2011 · AAA	40	51→61	45→55	46→60	49	252/314/378	126	287	13	13	17%	7%	96	+1.5	254/320/385	131	294	15	6	18%	8%	101	+1.8	264/334/395	130	304	16	4	18%	8%	104	+1.0
✕Mario Valenzuela 2017 · AAA	40	46→56	44→60	38→40	41	229/272/340	111	291	13	5	26%	5%	68	-0.5	230/281/346	116	296	12	6	26%	6%	74	-0.1	224/282/325	100	290	11	1	25%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Ruben Rivera 2017 · AAA	43	46→56	46→65	52→55	47	229/291/359	130	275	14	16	22%	7%	82	+0.5	224/285/350	126	277	14	14	23%	7%	77	+0.1	217/273/348	131	260	16	15	23%	6%	70	-0.1
●Raul Ibanez 2013 · MLB	41	47→57	53→60	49→45	51	244/306/424	180	264	21	4	17%	8%	105	+2.1	231/301/430	199	261	25	5	22%	9%	105	+2.1	221/297/431	209	249	28	2	24%	10%	101	+1.2
✕Manny Ramirez 2013 · MLB	41	52→62	44→70	46→30	50	251/326/366	115	326	11	6	25%	9%	98	+1.6	218/265/340	122	280	15	6	27%	6%	66	-0.6	196/242/291	95	212	14	0	16%	5%	42	-0.5
✕Miguel Cabrera 2023 · MLB	40	53→63	45→70	47→45	47	260/318/373	113	319	14	3	23%	7%	96	+1.5	257/319/368	111	318	11	4	21%	8%	95	+1.4	265/330/367	102	328	7	0	20%	8%	98	+1.0