José Abreu — OGILVIE

José Abreu1B Houston Astros

Age 39 R/R 6'3" / 250 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 12.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 9087vR 79

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .278 / .471

PA18

HR1

K%22

BB%6

BABIP268

ISO235

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 70 / POW 80

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT70

Whiff%

4911.0%

xAVG

610.260

POWER80

Barrel%

528.5

Avg EV

7090.5

Bat Spd

6673.1

EYE55

Chase%

2736.2%

SPEED30

Sprint

1025.3

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024 · 120 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

-4

◀◀L

wOBA

174

162

◀L

ISO

059

076

▶▶R

BABIP

138

146

▶R

13.5%

27.7%

◀◀L

BB%

5.4%

2.4%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2014

Service 12.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.1M		$-0.1M	-$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2014	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	622	556	176	35	2	36	51	131	11	3	1	317	385	581	966	264	356	21	8	418	169	+51	+0	-11	-11	+13	4.4
2015	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	668	613	178	34	3	30	39	140	15	0	0	290	348	502	850	212	333	21	6	374	139	+31	+0	-9	-12	+14	2.5
2016	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	695	624	183	32	1	25	47	125	15	0	2	293	357	468	825	175	327	18	7	362	131	+26	-1	-11	-12	+15	1.7
2017	30	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	675	621	189	43	6	33	35	119	15	3	0	304	356	552	909	248	330	18	5	394	153	+42	+1	-4	-12	+15	4.3
2018	31	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	553	499	132	36	1	22	37	109	11	2	0	265	329	473	802	208	294	20	7	350	123	+15	+0	-6	-10	+12	1.1
2019	32	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	693	634	180	38	1	33	36	152	13	2	2	284	335	503	838	219	320	22	5	363	132	+26	-0	-10	-12	+15	1.9
2020	33	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	262	240	76	15	0	19	18	59	3	0	0	317	372	617	988	300	350	23	7	426	174	+23	+0	+0	-5	+6	2.5
2021	34	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	659	566	148	30	2	30	61	143	22	1	0	261	356	481	836	219	293	22	9	365	133	+26	+0	-7	-12	+14	2.2
2022	35	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	679	601	183	40	0	15	62	110	12	0	0	304	381	446	827	141	350	16	9	369	136	+29	+0	-5	-12	+15	2.7
2023	36	MLB	Houston Astros	—	594	540	128	23	1	18	42	130	6	0	1	237	299	383	683	146	276	22	7	303	91	-6	-0	-9	-11	+13	-1.3
2024	37	MLB	Houston Astros	—	120	113	14	2	0	2	4	28	2	0	0	124	168	195	363	71	143	23	3	167	-1	-14	+0	-3	-4	+3	-2.0
2024	37	ROK	FCL Astros	—	24	22	7	2	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	318	375	545	920	227	316	8	4	404	160	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	37	INTL	Senadores de San Juan	—	95	86	19	4	0	5	3	21	4	0	0	221	280	442	721	221	226	22	3	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	6220	5607	1587	328	17	263	432	1246	125	11	6	283	348	488	836	205	319	20	7	366	134	+249	-0	-75	-113	+135	20.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2014	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	622	556	175	35	2	35	51	131	11	3	1	315	383	574	957	259	356	21	8	394	153	+39	+0	-11	-11	+13	3.1
2015	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	668	613	177	34	3	29	39	140	15	0	0	289	346	496	842	207	333	21	6	356	127	+21	+0	-9	-12	+14	1.5
2016	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	695	624	183	32	1	25	47	125	15	0	2	293	357	468	825	175	327	18	7	349	122	+19	-1	-11	-12	+15	0.9
2017	30	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	675	621	187	42	6	32	35	119	15	3	0	301	353	543	896	242	330	18	5	381	144	+35	+1	-4	-12	+15	3.6
2018	31	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	553	499	132	36	1	22	37	109	11	2	0	265	329	473	802	208	294	20	7	335	113	+8	+0	-6	-10	+12	0.5
2019	32	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	693	634	179	38	1	32	36	152	13	2	2	282	334	497	831	215	320	22	5	352	125	+20	-0	-10	-12	+15	1.3
2020	33	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	262	240	76	15	0	19	18	59	3	0	0	317	372	617	988	300	350	23	7	415	167	+21	+0	+0	-5	+6	2.2
2021	34	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	659	566	147	30	2	29	61	143	22	1	0	260	354	473	828	214	293	22	9	356	127	+21	+0	-7	-12	+14	1.7
2022	35	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	679	601	183	40	0	15	62	110	12	0	0	304	381	446	827	141	350	16	9	361	131	+25	+0	-5	-12	+15	2.3
2023	36	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	594	540	128	22	1	19	42	130	6	0	1	237	299	387	686	150	276	22	7	299	88	-8	-0	-9	-11	+13	-1.5
2024	37	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	120	113	14	2	0	2	4	28	2	0	0	124	168	195	363	71	143	23	3	165	-2	-15	+0	-3	-4	+3	-2.0
2024	37	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	24	22	5	1	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	227	292	409	701	182	247	12	4	292	84	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2014	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	622	556	175	35	2	35	51	131	11	3	1	315	383	574	957	259	355	21	8	394	153	+39	+0	-11	-11	+13	3.1
2014	27	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	622	556	176	35	2	36	51	131	11	3	1	317	385	581	966	264	356	21	8	418	153	+39	+0	-11	-11	+13	3.1
2015	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	668	613	177	34	3	29	39	140	15	0	0	289	346	496	842	207	333	21	6	356	127	+21	+0	-9	-12	+14	1.5
2015	28	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	668	613	178	34	3	30	39	140	15	0	0	290	348	502	850	212	333	21	6	374	127	+21	+0	-9	-12	+14	1.5
2016	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	695	624	183	32	1	25	47	125	15	0	2	293	357	468	825	175	327	18	7	349	122	+19	-1	-11	-12	+15	0.9
2016	29	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	695	624	183	32	1	25	47	125	15	0	2	293	357	468	825	175	327	18	7	362	122	+19	-1	-11	-12	+15	0.9
2017	30	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	675	621	187	42	6	32	35	119	15	3	0	301	353	543	896	242	327	18	5	381	144	+35	+1	-4	-12	+15	3.6
2017	30	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	675	621	189	43	6	33	35	119	15	3	0	304	356	552	909	248	330	18	5	394	144	+35	+1	-4	-12	+15	3.6
2018	31	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	553	499	132	36	1	22	37	109	11	2	0	265	329	473	802	208	294	20	7	335	113	+8	+0	-6	-10	+12	0.5
2018	31	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	553	499	132	36	1	22	37	109	11	2	0	265	329	473	802	208	294	20	7	350	113	+8	+0	-6	-10	+12	0.5
2019	32	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	693	634	179	38	1	32	36	152	13	2	2	282	334	497	831	215	320	22	5	352	125	+20	-0	-10	-12	+15	1.3
2019	32	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	693	634	180	38	1	33	36	152	13	2	2	284	335	503	838	219	320	22	5	363	125	+20	-0	-10	-12	+15	1.3
2020	33	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	262	240	76	15	0	19	18	59	3	0	0	317	372	617	988	300	350	23	7	415	167	+21	+0	+0	-5	+6	2.2
2020	33	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	262	240	76	15	0	19	18	59	3	0	0	317	372	617	988	300	350	23	7	426	167	+21	+0	+0	-5	+6	2.2
2021	34	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	659	566	147	30	2	29	61	143	22	1	0	260	354	473	828	214	292	22	9	356	127	+21	+0	-7	-12	+14	1.7
2021	34	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	659	566	148	30	2	30	61	143	22	1	0	261	356	481	836	219	293	22	9	365	127	+21	+0	-7	-12	+14	1.7
2022	35	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	679	601	183	40	0	15	62	110	12	0	0	304	381	446	827	141	350	16	9	361	131	+25	+0	-5	-12	+15	2.3
2022	35	MLB RAW	Chicago White Sox	—	679	601	183	40	0	15	62	110	12	0	0	304	381	446	827	141	350	16	9	369	131	+25	+0	-5	-12	+15	2.3
2023	36	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	594	540	128	22	1	19	42	130	6	0	1	237	299	387	686	150	275	22	7	299	88	-8	-0	-9	-11	+13	-1.5
2023	36	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	—	594	540	128	23	1	18	42	130	6	0	1	237	299	383	683	146	276	22	7	303	88	-8	-0	-9	-11	+13	-1.5
2024	37	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	239	221	33	6	0	5	8	51	7	0	0	149	203	244	448	95	167	21	3	186	12	-25	+0	-3	-4	+5	-2.8
2024	37	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	239	221	40	8	0	8	8	51	7	0	0	181	233	326	559	145	194	21	3	248	12	-25	+0	-3	-4	+5	-2.8
2014	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	622	555	175	35	2	35	51	131	11	3	1	315	383	575	958	259	356	21	8	394	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	668	609	177	34	3	29	39	140	15	0	0	291	346	499	846	209	333	21	6	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	695	628	183	32	1	25	47	125	15	0	2	291	357	465	822	174	327	18	7	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	675	620	187	42	6	32	35	119	15	3	0	302	353	544	897	242	330	18	5	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	553	500	132	36	1	22	37	109	11	2	0	264	329	472	801	208	294	20	7	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	693	639	179	38	1	32	36	152	13	2	2	280	334	493	827	213	320	22	5	352	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	262	239	76	15	0	19	18	59	3	0	0	318	372	619	991	301	350	23	7	415	167	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	34	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	659	571	147	30	2	29	61	143	22	1	0	257	354	469	824	212	293	22	9	356	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	35	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	679	600	183	40	0	15	62	110	12	0	0	305	381	447	827	142	350	16	9	361	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	36	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	594	541	128	22	1	19	42	130	6	0	1	237	299	386	686	150	276	22	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	37	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	239	222	33	6	0	5	8	51	7	0	0	149	203	243	447	95	160	21	3	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	36	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	594	541	128	22	1	19	42	130	6	0	1	237	299	386	686	150	276	22	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	37	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	239	222	33	6	0	5	8	51	7	0	0	149	203	243	447	95	160	21	3	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	39	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	18	17	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	235	278	471	748	235	266	22	6	296	87	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.3
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	39	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	18	17	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	235	278	471	748	235	268	22	6	287	87	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	40	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	127	116	26	5	0	4	8	27	2	1	0	224	286	371	656	147	258	21	6	287	80	-3	+0	-9	-2	+3	-1.1
2027	40	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	127	116	26	5	0	4	8	27	2	1	0	224	286	371	656	147	259	21	6	278	80	-3	+0	-9	-2	+3	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6347	5723	1613	333	17	267	440	1273	127	12	6	282	347	486	833	204	317	20	7	364	122	+246	+0	-84	-115	+138	18.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	165	34	2	27	45	130	13	1	1	282	346	485	831	203	317	20	7	364	122	+25	+0	-9	-12	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6484	5848	1630	336	17	267	445	1300	132	12	6	279	344	479	822	200	314	20	7	349	122	+246	+0	-84	-116	+138	18.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	164	34	2	27	45	130	13	1	1	280	345	483	828	203	315	20	7	349	122	+25	+0	-9	-12	+14	1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adrián Gonzálezlast yr '18 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,002 PA	12.1	8,002	316	6	287	358	486	-143	-102	32.2	29.7
/162	664	26	0	-11.9	-8.4	2.7	pk7: 27
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	9.9	6,573	273	14	281	341	484	-118	-122	29.8	28.6
/162	664	28	1	-11.9	-12.3	3.0	pk7: 27
#2Anthony Rizzolast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,336 PA	11.0	7,336	303	72	261	361	467	-131	-79	28.7	27.3
/162	664	27	7	-11.9	-7.1	2.6	pk7: 26
#3Jason Baylast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,258 PA	7.9	5,258	222	95	266	360	481	-56	-118	20.8	21.9
/162	664	28	12	-7.1	-14.9	2.6	pk7: 23
#4Justin Morneaulast yr '16 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,392 PA	9.6	6,392	247	5	281	348	481	-112	-75	22.4	21.7
/162	664	26	1	-11.6	-7.8	2.3	pk7: 21
#5Andre Ethierlast yr '15 AS×2GGSS career totals — 10 seasons, 5,361 PA	8.1	5,361	159	29	286	359	464	-44	-77	22.5	20.3
/162	664	20	4	-5.5	-9.5	2.8	pk7: 18
#6Hideki Matsuilast yr '12 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,066 PA	7.6	5,066	175	13	282	360	462	-52	-106	17.0	17.1
/162	664	23	2	-6.8	-13.8	2.2	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Abreu (OGILVIE)	39	70	80	30	55	229/285/377	148	266	7	2	21%	6%	87	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hernando Arredondo 2016 · AAA	39	48→56	46→50	42→50	42	240/281/363	123	281	14	5	20%	5%	80	-0.1	234/278/341	107	301	10	9	25%	5%	74	-0.5	233/254/275	42	308	0	5	24%	3%	45	-0.5
✕Robert Saucedo 2014 · AAA	38	43→53	53→60	42→40	48	231/294/398	167	251	23	2	20%	7%	95	+0.9	229/292/373	144	262	18	5	20%	8%	88	+0.4	221/293/353	131	259	17	0	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Robert Perez 2008 · AAA	39	52→56	51→50	45→50	45	263/300/414	150	275	20	10	14%	4%	99	+1.3	261/297/393	132	285	15	11	14%	4%	94	+0.9	266/301/389	123	292	14	10	14%	4%	91	+0.5
✕Christian Quintero 2015 · AAA	39	49→59	43→50	40→55	49	236/285/350	114	259	11	7	14%	6%	79	-0.2	242/290/329	87	277	7	6	14%	6%	76	-0.4	251/297/312	60	290	3	3	14%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Mario Valenzuela 2017 · AAA	40	49→57	45→55	38→40	42	241/286/354	113	303	13	5	25%	6%	80	-0.1	233/289/348	115	301	12	6	25%	7%	80	-0.1	225/286/323	98	292	10	1	25%	7%	72	-0.4
✕José Hernández 2008 · MLB	39	44→54	46→55	42→45	44	223/278/347	124	279	14	4	25%	6%	76	-0.4	238/299/343	105	312	9	9	25%	7%	83	+0.1	260/320/361	101	343	6	11	24%	7%	93	+0.6
✕Randy Ruiz 2015 · AAA	37	50→56	49→60	42→40	39	251/295/389	138	325	18	6	28%	5%	92	+0.7	232/277/355	123	312	13	8	29%	5%	77	-0.3	211/237/325	114	288	9	0	30%	2%	53	-0.4
✕Brian Jordan 2005 · MLB	38	52→57	49→55	42→45	52	258/320/408	150	281	16	5	15%	8%	105	+1.7	245/301/375	130	288	14	7	20%	7%	91	+0.7	249/300/360	111	299	13	4	21%	6%	88	+0.1
✕John Lindsey 2014 · AAA	37	45→53	58→60	41→30	41	237/311/436	199	299	27	3	30%	6%	110	+2.1	231/311/412	181	293	23	4	29%	7%	105	+1.7	217/307/411	193	266	26	0	28%	8%	101	+1.0
✕Pedro Iturbe 2007 · AAA	38	56	44→45	39→30	40	273/300/387	114	313	12	5	17%	3%	93	+0.8	250/284/344	94	281	9	4	14%	4%	77	-0.3	280/307/359	79	311	7	0	12%	2%	85	+0.1
✕Guillermo Velasquez 2007 · AAA	39	46	46→45	38→30	50	232/295/355	123	275	14	4	21%	8%	84	+0.2	214/266/314	100	266	10	6	22%	7%	63	-1.3	199/243/271	72	248	6	2	22%	6%	45	-1.3
✕Serafin Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	39	56→66	41→40	37→50	43	270/299/364	95	292	9	4	12%	3%	87	+0.4	251/293/353	102	291	9	10	17%	5%	82	+0.0	279/311/339	60	325	3	11	14%	3%	82	-0.0
✕Brandon Phillips 2019 · MLB	38	55→60	45→55	43→55	45	268/306/395	127	296	12	10	14%	4%	97	+1.1	233/287/359	126	267	12	8	17%	6%	82	+0.0	201/252/296	95	226	8	0	15%	4%	54	-0.5
✕Roberto Vizcarra 2007 · AAA	40	58→62	45	41→40	50	284/336/406	122	289	13	6	8%	5%	112	+2.2	251/299/362	111	260	13	6	9%	6%	87	+0.4	268/311/366	99	272	14	1	8%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Clint Barmes 2016 · MLB	37	47→57	43→55	41→50	44	228/282/340	112	279	9	4	22%	6%	76	-0.4	223/280/346	123	274	11	7	22%	6%	76	-0.4	172/214/251	80	213	4	0	21%	3%	28	-0.7
✕Jayson Werth 2018 · MLB	39	46→56	52→60	44→55	55	237/326/406	169	281	20	6	23%	11%	108	+1.9	225/301/384	159	281	18	8	25%	9%	94	+0.9	166/233/313	147	212	14	0	28%	7%	51	-0.5
✕Yuli Gurriel 2023 · MLB	39	54→63	45→60	49→50	52	264/320/396	131	284	12	6	12%	7%	103	+1.5	245/308/371	126	279	11	10	16%	8%	93	+0.8	244/312/367	123	281	11	12	17%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Ray Martinez 2009 · AAA	40	51→56	44→45	44→45	48	252/305/367	115	288	13	7	17%	6%	91	+0.6	271/320/390	119	325	12	8	19%	6%	101	+1.4	321/365/429	108	391	9	6	19%	6%	126	+1.5
✕Luis Alfonso Garcia 2016 · AAA	37	46→56	50→55	44→40	51	239/303/387	147	269	20	3	20%	8%	95	+0.9	239/310/377	138	288	17	5	22%	9%	95	+1.0	243/320/379	136	297	18	1	23%	9%	97	+0.7
✕Jason Wood 2008 · MLB	38	48→49	46→45	45→40	44	240/291/365	125	299	14	4	24%	6%	85	+0.2	229/281/321	92	285	9	7	22%	6%	71	-0.8	226/274/282	57	278	5	4	20%	5%	57	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps