José Abreu — OGILVIE

José Abreu1B Houston Astros

Age 39 R/R 6'3" / 250 lbs MLB H +4%HR -3% Svc 12.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

wRC+†vL -983vR -18

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .287 / .367

PA195

HR5

K%21

BB%6

xwOBA.201

Barrel%2.3%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

PWR

52→52

SPD

33→33

EYE

42→42

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2014

Service 12.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$-2M	-$3M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	622	556	175	36	2	38	51	131	11	3	1	.315	.383	.592	.975	.277	.350	21	8	.392	158	+41	+0	-11	-11	+18	3.7
2015	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	668	613	177	36	3	28	39	140	15	0	0	.289	.346	.494	.841	.206	.334	21	6	.350	126	+19	+0	-9	-12	+19	1.8
2016	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	695	624	183	32	1	25	47	125	15	0	2	.293	.357	.468	.825	.175	.327	18	7	.351	127	+21	-1	-11	-12	+20	1.7
2017	30	MLB	Chicago White Sox	675	621	188	42	6	32	35	119	15	3	0	.303	.355	.544	.899	.242	.329	18	5	.382	150	+38	+1	-4	-12	+19	4.3
2018	31	MLB	Chicago White Sox	553	499	131	36	1	21	37	109	11	2	0	.263	.327	.465	.792	.202	.293	20	7	.336	115	+10	+0	-6	-10	+16	1.0
2019	32	MLB	Chicago White Sox	693	634	178	38	1	32	36	152	13	2	2	.281	.332	.495	.828	.215	.317	22	5	.351	127	+21	-0	-10	-12	+20	1.8
2020	33	MLB	Chicago White Sox	262	240	74	16	0	18	18	59	3	0	0	.308	.364	.600	.964	.292	.341	23	7	.408	170	+21	+0	+0	-5	+7	2.4
2021	34	MLB	Chicago White Sox	659	566	145	31	1	27	61	143	22	1	0	.256	.351	.458	.809	.201	.291	22	9	.347	124	+18	+0	-7	-12	+19	1.8
2022	35	MLB	Chicago White Sox	679	601	187	40	0	16	62	110	12	0	0	.311	.387	.458	.844	.146	.357	16	9	.371	142	+32	+0	-5	-12	+19	3.6
2023	36	MLB	Houston Astros	594	540	132	23	1	19	42	130	6	0	1	.244	.306	.396	.702	.152	.285	22	7	.307	93	-5	-0	-9	-11	+17	-0.8
2024	37	MLB	3 teams	239	221	32	6	0	4	8	51	7	0	0	.145	.199	.226	.425	.081	.166	21	3	.184	-1	-27	+0	-3	-4	+7	-2.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	39	MLB	HOU	195	179	42	8	1	5	12	41	2	1	0	.235	.290	.374	.664	.140	.269	21	6	.294	83	-4	+0	-2	-3	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6534	5894	1644	344	17	265	448	1310	132	12	6	.279	.344	.478	.821	.199	.315	20	7	.349	125	+185	+0	-77	-117	+185	18.0
/ 162G	—			650	586	163	34	2	26	45	130	13	1	1	.278	.343	.476	.819	.198	.314	20	7	.349	125	+18	-0	-8	-12	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	622	556	176	35	2	36	51	131	11	3	1	.317	.385	.581	.966	.264	.356	21	8	.418	178	+55	+0	-11	-11	+18	5.2
2015	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	668	613	178	34	3	30	39	140	15	0	0	.290	.348	.502	.850	.212	.333	21	6	.374	144	+33	+0	-9	-12	+19	3.2
2016	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	695	624	183	32	1	25	47	125	15	0	2	.293	.357	.468	.825	.175	.327	18	7	.362	135	+28	-1	-11	-12	+20	2.3
2017	30	MLB	Chicago White Sox	675	621	189	43	6	33	35	119	15	3	0	.304	.356	.552	.909	.248	.330	18	5	.394	160	+45	+1	-4	-12	+19	5.1
2018	31	MLB	Chicago White Sox	553	499	132	36	1	22	37	109	11	2	0	.265	.329	.473	.802	.208	.294	20	7	.350	126	+16	+0	-6	-10	+16	1.6
2019	32	MLB	Chicago White Sox	693	634	180	38	1	33	36	152	13	2	2	.284	.335	.503	.838	.219	.320	22	5	.363	136	+28	-0	-10	-12	+20	2.6
2020	33	MLB	Chicago White Sox	262	240	76	15	0	19	18	59	3	0	0	.317	.372	.617	.988	.300	.350	23	7	.426	184	+25	+0	+0	-5	+7	2.8
2021	34	MLB	Chicago White Sox	659	566	148	30	2	30	61	143	22	1	0	.261	.356	.481	.836	.219	.293	22	9	.365	138	+28	+0	-7	-12	+19	2.9
2022	35	MLB	Chicago White Sox	679	601	183	40	0	15	62	110	12	0	0	.304	.381	.446	.827	.141	.350	16	9	.369	140	+31	+0	-5	-12	+19	3.4
2023	36	MLB	Houston Astros	594	540	128	23	1	18	42	130	6	0	1	.237	.299	.383	.683	.146	.276	22	7	.303	90	-7	-0	-9	-11	+17	-1.0
2024	37	MLB	Houston Astros	120	113	14	2	0	2	4	28	2	0	0	.124	.168	.195	.363	.071	.143	23	3	.167	-14	-15	+0	-3	-4	+3	-2.0
2024	37	ROK	FCL Astros	24	22	7	2	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	.318	.375	.545	.920	.227	.316	8	4	.404	167	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	37	INTL	Senadores de San Juan	95	86	19	4	0	5	3	21	4	0	0	.221	.280	.442	.721	.221	.226	22	3	.312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			6220	5607	1587	328	17	263	432	1246	125	11	6	.283	.348	.488	.836	.205	.319	20	7	.366	138	+268	-0	-75	-113	+176	26.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
José Abreu (OGILVIE)	39	—	52	33	42	.229/.287/.367	.138	.269	5	1	21%	6%	83	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Guillermo Velasquez 2007 · AAA	39	47	49→45	38→30	50	.240/.302/.380	.140	.281	17	4	21%	8%	92	+1.2	.216/.266/.323	.107	.265	11	6	22%	6%	61	-1.0	.201/.245/.279	.078	.249	7	2	22%	6%	41	-1.2
✕Jason Wood 2008 · MLB	38	48→49	46→45	45→40	44	.241/.292/.368	.127	.297	14	4	24%	6%	84	+0.6	.229/.278/.320	.091	.286	9	6	22%	5%	65	-0.7	.226/.274/.282	.057	.278	5	4	20%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Hernando Arredondo 2016 · AAA	39	48→56	48→50	41→50	42	.242/.280/.377	.135	.278	16	5	20%	4%	82	+0.5	.235/.274/.344	.109	.298	11	9	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.233/.254/.275	.042	.307	0	5	24%	3%	37	-0.5
✕Christian Quintero 2015 · AAA	39	48→58	44→50	40→55	48	.238/.284/.357	.119	.260	12	7	14%	6%	78	+0.2	.243/.290/.337	.094	.276	8	6	14%	6%	75	-0.0	.252/.297/.316	.064	.290	4	3	14%	6%	69	-0.2
✕José Hernández 2008 · MLB	39	45→55	47→55	41→45	44	.228/.281/.358	.130	.281	16	4	25%	6%	77	+0.1	.241/.300/.354	.113	.313	10	9	25%	7%	84	+0.6	.262/.321/.369	.106	.344	7	11	24%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Pedro Mere 2009 · AAA	39	49	41→40	40	46	.236/.286/.330	.093	.268	8	5	15%	5%	72	-0.2	.228/.291/.313	.085	.272	6	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4	.225/.296/.287	.062	.270	3	3	16%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Hector Hurtado 2009 · AAA	38	44	43→45	43→30	37	.220/.261/.323	.103	.280	11	4	26%	3%	59	-1.1	.225/.259/.306	.081	.279	8	4	22%	3%	53	-1.5	.233/.263/.286	.053	.288	5	0	20%	2%	45	-0.6
✕Mario Valenzuela 2016 · AAA	39	47→57	43→60	38→40	41	.230/.281/.333	.103	.305	12	5	28%	6%	70	-0.3	.239/.287/.360	.121	.304	14	5	25%	6%	80	+0.4	.245/.293/.366	.121	.307	14	1	24%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Said Gutierrez 2017 · AAA	37	45	44→50	40	41	.227/.265/.332	.105	.261	14	4	20%	4%	63	-0.8	.248/.287/.358	.110	.296	14	6	21%	4%	79	+0.3	.292/.328/.388	.097	.339	14	0	18%	3%	102	+0.7
●Robert Perez 2007 · AAA	38	51→56	50→55	43→50	43	.258/.290/.402	.144	.281	19	7	16%	4%	92	+1.2	.268/.303/.426	.158	.283	21	10	14%	4%	105	+2.1	.273/.309/.427	.153	.289	20	11	13%	4%	104	+1.5
✕Pedro Iturbe 2007 · AAA	38	55	45	39→30	40	.274/.301/.396	.122	.312	13	5	17%	3%	95	+1.4	.256/.288/.359	.103	.286	11	4	14%	3%	79	+0.3	.282/.309/.369	.087	.311	8	0	12%	2%	87	+0.5
✕Raul Sanchez 2012 · AAA	39	54→55	40→45	42→50	47	.260/.315/.354	.094	.305	8	7	17%	6%	90	+1.0	.243/.298/.352	.109	.296	9	7	20%	6%	82	+0.5	.244/.307/.337	.093	.297	7	3	19%	7%	80	+0.1
✕Carlos Sievers 2014 · AAA	39	46→56	47→50	42→45	50	.234/.300/.362	.128	.266	16	7	19%	8%	86	+0.8	.236/.295/.351	.115	.272	13	8	18%	7%	81	+0.4	.251/.315/.326	.075	.283	10	0	15%	7%	82	+0.1
✕Issmael Salas 2019 · AAA	37	49→51	45→50	44→50	47	.241/.289/.362	.121	.263	12	6	14%	5%	82	+0.5	.245/.285/.380	.135	.268	16	6	15%	5%	85	+0.7	.252/.287/.386	.133	.270	16	1	14%	4%	86	+0.5
✕Hector Paez 2016 · AAA	38	45	43→45	42→40	42	.223/.265/.327	.105	.247	11	4	16%	3%	63	-0.9	.223/.251/.310	.087	.255	8	6	16%	3%	51	-1.7	.224/.238/.287	.063	.254	5	3	14%	1%	38	-0.7
✕Arnoldo Castro 2006 · AAA	37	50	40	39→40	46	.241/.283/.330	.088	.277	8	4	16%	5%	69	-0.4	.237/.278/.308	.071	.263	6	6	12%	5%	62	-0.9	.242/.280/.263	.021	.257	0	2	5%	5%	46	-0.7
✕Ray Martinez 2009 · AAA	40	51→56	46→50	45	48	.253/.308/.379	.126	.287	15	8	18%	7%	94	+1.3	.274/.320/.401	.127	.324	14	8	19%	6%	104	+2.0	.325/.368/.443	.118	.393	11	6	19%	6%	134	+1.9
✕Carlos Valencia 2017 · AAA	37	42→52	45→60	43→40	40	.214/.247/.330	.115	.248	15	5	21%	4%	55	-1.4	.222/.264/.334	.112	.270	13	7	23%	5%	63	-0.8	.212/.262/.310	.098	.256	15	0	23%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Juan Castro 2010 · MLB	38	47	40→50	46→40	46	.225/.273/.314	.089	.265	8	4	18%	6%	62	-0.9	.229/.280/.315	.086	.280	7	5	20%	7%	65	-0.7	.194/.243/.231	.036	.240	0	0	18%	6%	24	-0.9
✕Leobardo Arauz 2015 · AAA	38	45→55	44→50	38→45	57	.221/.307/.333	.112	.252	11	4	17%	10%	82	+0.5	.230/.301/.324	.094	.264	9	5	16%	9%	77	+0.1	.248/.322/.321	.073	.276	8	0	13%	9%	85	+0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)