Anthony Rizzo — OGILVIE

Anthony Rizzo1B New York Yankees

Age 36 L/L 6'3" / 240 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 15.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 299 proj PA

wRC+†vL 5378vR 87

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .306 / .367

PA299

HR8

K%20

BB%8

ISO138

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT50

Whiff%

609.9%

xwOBA

670.328

POWER53

Barrel%

477.7

Avg EV

4688.8

Bat Spd

2468.5

EYE50

Chase%

3634.5%

SPEED26

Sprint

1024.5

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024 · 375 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

278

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

255

299

▶R

ISO

023

136

▶▶R

BABIP

279

252

◀L

19.6%

16.6%

▶▶R

BB%

5.1%

7.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2011

Service 15.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.2M	-$0.3M
Totals		$0.4M		$0.2M	-$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2007	17	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	24	21	5	0	0	1	1	3	2	0	0	238	333	381	714	143	235	12	4	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	17	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	24	21	6	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	0	286	375	429	804	143	278	8	4	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A	Greenville Drive	—	87	84	28	5	0	0	2	20	1	0	0	333	356	393	749	60	438	23	2	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	A	Greenville Drive	—	87	83	31	6	0	0	3	15	1	0	0	373	402	446	848	72	456	17	3	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A	2 teams	—	504	467	110	28	0	10	29	136	3	4	1	236	285	360	644	124	307	27	6	284	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	A	2 teams	—	504	445	132	37	0	12	50	99	3	4	1	297	371	461	831	164	354	20	10	366	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AA	2 teams	—	602	554	112	30	0	19	38	185	2	10	1	202	256	359	615	157	260	31	6	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AA	2 teams	—	602	531	138	42	0	25	61	132	2	10	1	260	338	480	819	220	296	22	10	356	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AAA	3 teams	—	590	522	112	34	2	22	50	185	10	9	7	215	296	414	709	199	279	31	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AAA	3 teams	—	590	505	143	43	2	28	67	141	10	9	7	283	378	543	921	259	334	24	11	397	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	MLB	2 teams	—	652	600	171	28	2	38	44	128	7	5	4	285	341	528	869	243	306	20	7	371	142	+31	-1	-2	-12	+18	3.6
2012	22	MLB	2 teams	—	652	594	184	33	2	38	50	114	7	5	4	310	370	564	934	254	330	17	8	407	169	+51	-1	-2	-12	+18	5.7
2013	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	690	606	139	39	2	22	76	127	6	6	5	229	321	409	730	180	255	18	11	317	101	+1	-1	-5	-12	+20	0.2
2013	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	690	606	141	40	2	23	76	127	6	6	5	233	324	419	743	186	258	18	11	331	112	+9	-1	-5	-12	+20	1.1
2014	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	616	524	148	27	1	31	73	116	15	5	4	282	386	515	901	233	307	19	12	384	152	+36	-1	-7	-11	+17	3.5
2014	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	616	524	150	28	1	32	73	116	15	5	4	286	389	527	916	240	311	19	12	400	165	+45	-1	-7	-11	+17	4.4
2015	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	701	586	161	37	3	30	78	105	30	17	6	275	388	502	889	227	286	15	11	378	147	+37	+1	-11	-13	+20	3.6
2015	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	701	586	163	38	3	31	78	105	30	17	6	278	390	512	902	234	289	15	11	395	161	+48	+1	-11	-13	+20	4.6
2016	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	676	583	168	42	4	31	74	108	16	3	5	288	383	533	917	245	306	16	11	388	155	+42	-1	-5	-12	+19	4.4
2016	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	676	583	170	43	4	32	74	108	16	3	5	292	386	544	930	252	309	16	11	405	168	+52	-1	-5	-12	+19	5.4
2017	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	691	572	154	31	3	31	91	90	24	10	4	269	392	497	888	227	270	13	13	377	147	+37	+0	-2	-12	+20	4.4
2017	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	691	572	156	32	3	32	91	90	24	10	4	273	394	507	901	234	273	13	13	397	162	+48	+0	-2	-12	+20	5.6
2018	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	665	566	157	28	1	24	70	80	20	6	4	277	377	458	834	180	282	12	11	352	127	+21	-0	-1	-12	+19	2.7
2018	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	665	566	160	29	1	25	70	80	20	6	4	283	381	470	851	187	287	12	11	375	145	+34	-0	-1	-12	+19	4.0
2019	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	613	512	148	28	3	26	71	86	27	5	2	289	403	508	911	219	303	14	12	396	161	+42	+0	-5	-11	+17	4.5
2019	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	613	512	150	29	3	27	71	86	27	5	2	293	407	520	926	227	306	14	12	408	170	+49	+0	-5	-11	+17	5.2
2020	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	243	203	45	6	0	11	28	38	10	3	1	222	344	414	758	192	218	16	12	322	105	+1	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.4
2020	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	243	203	45	6	0	11	28	38	10	3	1	222	344	414	758	192	218	16	12	341	119	+5	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.8
2021	31	MLB	New York Yankees	—	576	496	120	22	3	20	52	87	23	6	2	242	342	419	761	177	254	15	9	336	115	+10	+0	-2	-10	+16	1.5
2021	31	MLB	New York Yankees	—	576	496	123	23	3	22	52	87	23	6	2	248	347	440	786	192	258	15	9	349	125	+17	+0	-2	-10	+16	2.2
2022	32	MLB	New York Yankees	—	548	465	101	20	1	30	58	101	23	6	5	217	333	458	791	241	211	18	11	339	118	+11	-1	-7	-10	+16	1.0
2022	32	MLB	New York Yankees	—	548	465	104	21	1	32	58	101	23	6	5	224	339	480	818	256	216	18	11	361	134	+21	-1	-7	-10	+16	2.0
2023	33	MLB	New York Yankees	—	421	373	89	13	0	11	35	97	12	0	3	239	324	362	686	123	293	23	8	310	95	-2	-1	+2	-8	+12	0.3
2023	33	MLB	New York Yankees	—	421	373	91	14	0	12	35	97	12	0	3	244	329	378	707	134	298	23	8	321	104	+2	-1	+2	-8	+12	0.7
2024	34	MLB	New York Yankees	—	375	337	76	12	0	7	27	65	9	0	0	226	300	323	624	98	258	17	7	283	75	-11	+0	-3	-7	+11	-1.0
2024	34	MLB	New York Yankees	—	375	337	77	12	0	8	27	65	9	0	0	228	303	335	638	107	259	17	7	291	81	-8	+0	-3	-7	+11	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	36	MLB	NYY	—	299	267	62	11	1	8	23	59	7	2	1	232	310	371	681	139	266	20	8	305	92	-3	+0	+3	-5	+8	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	37	MLB	NYY	100%	218	195	42	7	0	5	16	44	5	1	0	215	292	328	620	113	256	20	7	290	80	-5	+0	-5	-4	+6	-0.7
2027	37	MLB	NYY	100%	218	195	43	7	0	6	16	44	5	1	0	221	296	349	645	128	257	20	7	277	70	-7	+0	-5	-4	+6	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7554	6483	1687	345	22	309	797	1252	227	73	44	260	361	463	824	203	277	17	11	365	137	+319	-3	-53	-148	+214	33.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	146	30	2	27	69	108	20	6	4	262	364	468	832	206	279	17	11	365	137	+27	-0	-5	-13	+18	2.9
Career	—			—	9791	8533	2148	448	26	377	936	1860	252	98	55	252	343	443	786	191	278	19	10	340	119	+207	-2	-50	-175	+277	26.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	143	30	2	25	62	123	17	7	4	253	344	445	789	193	279	19	10	340	119	+14	-0	-3	-12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2007	17	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	24	21	6	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	0	286	375	429	804	143	278	8	4	366	138	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2008	18	A	Greenville Drive	—	87	83	31	6	0	0	3	15	1	0	0	373	402	446	848	72	456	17	3	381	150	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2009	19	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	229	200	59	16	0	3	25	39	1	2	0	295	376	420	796	125	348	17	11	354	129	+8	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2009	19	A	Greenville Drive	—	275	245	73	21	0	9	25	60	2	2	1	298	366	494	860	196	360	22	9	376	146	+14	+0	—	—	+8	2.3
2010	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	467	414	109	30	0	20	45	100	2	7	1	263	338	481	819	217	297	21	10	356	131	+16	+1	—	—	+13	3.1
2010	20	A+	Salem Red Sox	—	135	117	29	12	0	5	16	32	0	3	0	248	338	479	817	231	293	24	12	354	129	+4	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2011	21	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	153	128	18	8	1	1	21	46	4	2	1	141	281	242	523	102	210	30	14	254	52	-8	+0	-1	-11	+4	-1.6
2011	21	AAA	Tucson Padres	—	413	356	118	34	1	26	43	89	6	7	6	331	412	652	1.064	320	369	22	10	449	202	+47	-1	—	—	+12	5.9
2011	21	INTL	Toros del Este	—	24	21	7	1	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	333	417	524	940	190	429	25	12	416	176	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2012	22	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	368	337	96	15	0	15	27	62	3	3	2	285	343	463	806	178	310	17	7	357	131	+13	-0	-2	-12	+10	1.0
2012	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	284	257	88	18	2	23	23	52	4	2	2	342	405	696	1.101	354	357	18	8	472	219	+38	-0	—	—	+8	4.7
2013	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	690	606	141	40	2	23	76	127	6	6	5	233	324	419	743	186	258	18	11	331	112	+9	-1	-5	-12	+20	1.1
2014	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	616	524	150	28	1	32	73	116	15	5	4	286	389	527	916	240	311	19	12	400	165	+45	-1	-7	-11	+17	4.4
2015	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	701	586	163	38	3	31	78	105	30	17	6	278	390	512	902	234	289	15	11	395	161	+48	+1	-11	-13	+20	4.6
2016	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	676	583	170	43	4	32	74	108	16	3	5	292	386	544	930	252	309	16	11	405	168	+52	-1	-5	-12	+19	5.4
2017	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	691	572	156	32	3	32	91	90	24	10	4	273	394	507	901	234	273	13	13	397	162	+48	+0	-2	-12	+20	5.6
2018	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	665	566	160	29	1	25	70	80	20	6	4	283	381	470	851	187	287	12	11	375	145	+34	-0	-1	-12	+19	4.0
2019	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	613	512	150	29	3	27	71	86	27	5	2	293	407	520	926	227	306	14	12	408	170	+49	+0	-5	-11	+17	5.2
2020	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	243	203	45	6	0	11	28	38	10	3	1	222	344	414	758	192	218	16	12	341	119	+5	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.8
2021	31	MLB	New York Yankees	—	576	496	123	23	3	22	52	87	23	6	2	248	347	440	786	192	258	15	9	349	125	+17	+0	-2	-10	+16	2.2
2022	32	MLB	New York Yankees	—	548	465	104	21	1	32	58	101	23	6	5	224	339	480	818	256	216	18	11	361	134	+21	-1	-7	-10	+16	2.0
2023	33	MLB	New York Yankees	—	421	373	91	14	0	12	35	97	12	0	3	244	329	378	707	134	298	23	8	321	104	+2	-1	+2	-8	+12	0.7
2024	34	MLB	New York Yankees	—	375	337	77	12	0	8	27	65	9	0	0	228	303	335	638	107	259	17	7	291	81	-8	+0	-3	-7	+11	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	7336	6288	1644	338	22	303	781	1208	222	72	44	261	363	467	830	205	278	16	11	367	139	+326	-3	-48	-144	+208	34.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	16	7,853	317	75	261	357	463	-142	-90	35.9	33.8
	/162	664	27	6	261	357	463	-12.0	-7.6	3.0	pk7: 32
#1Paul Konerkolast yr '14 career totals — 15 seasons, 8,694 PA	15	8,694	408	8	280	356	490	-133	-125	36.7	32.4
	/162	664	31	1	280	356	490	-10.2	-9.5	2.8	pk7: 28
#2Adrián Gonzálezlast yr '18 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,002 PA	14	8,002	316	6	287	358	486	-143	-102	32.1	29.7
	/162	664	26	0	287	358	486	-11.9	-8.4	2.7	pk7: 27
#3Justin Uptonlast yr '22 AS×4SS×2 career totals — 16 seasons, 7,649 PA	16	7,649	325	151	261	342	469	-82	-91	29.6	27.0
	/162	664	28	13	261	342	469	-7.1	-7.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#4Nick Swisherlast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA	12	6,308	245	13	249	351	447	-62	-56	24.5	24.4
	/162	664	26	1	249	351	447	-6.5	-5.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#5Justin Morneaulast yr '16 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,392 PA	14	6,392	247	5	281	348	481	-112	-75	22.4	21.6
	/162	664	26	1	281	348	481	-11.6	-7.8	2.3	pk7: 21
#6Brandon Beltlast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,483 PA	13	5,483	194	47	261	357	460	-96	-62	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	23	6	261	357	460	-11.7	-7.5	2.3	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anthony Rizzo (OGILVIE)	36	50	56→53	26	50	230/306/367	137	266	8	2	20%	8%	92	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leobardo Arauz 2013 · AAA	36	46→56	48→50	34→45	57	232/319/373	141	256	15	4	16%	11%	98	+1.6	226/306/331	105	262	10	4	17%	10%	81	+0.4	225/304/307	81	262	8	2	16%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Andy Abad 2007 · AAA	34	49→51	50	39→45	48	249/299/400	151	264	18	4	15%	6%	96	+1.5	240/285/364	124	269	15	8	17%	5%	80	+0.4	242/283/350	109	270	14	7	16%	5%	77	+0.1
●Andy Tracy 2008 · AAA	34	42→48	51→60	40→45	50	221/297/378	157	265	19	5	25%	9%	89	+1.0	234/303/414	180	280	23	6	24%	8%	102	+1.8	236/305/427	191	278	25	5	25%	8%	106	+1.8
✕Francisco Mendez 2013 · AAA	35	49→59	46→50	39→40	54	240/322/366	126	295	14	3	23%	10%	96	+1.5	222/297/345	123	307	14	4	30%	9%	81	+0.4	222/296/352	130	297	17	2	30%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Shawn Wooten 2006 · MLB	34	45	47→50	40→30	45	230/281/360	130	255	16	3	18%	5%	78	+0.2	213/260/307	94	260	10	3	21%	5%	55	-1.4	196/243/262	66	247	6	1	23%	5%	34	-1.1
●Kevin Barker 2011 · MLB	36	46→47	52→55	44→40	52	239/310/407	168	268	19	3	19%	9%	102	+1.9	262/318/423	161	313	16	6	21%	7%	109	+2.4	293/341/473	181	357	17	3	22%	6%	131	+2.4
✕Pedro Iturbe 2007 · AAA	38	56	46→45	39→30	40	276/302/400	124	313	14	5	17%	3%	96	+1.5	252/284/352	100	281	10	4	14%	3%	76	+0.0	282/309/369	87	311	8	0	12%	2%	87	+0.5
●Scott McClain 2008 · MLB	36	39→45	55	41→40	45	214/269/391	177	242	24	4	24%	7%	82	+0.5	235/300/412	177	275	23	6	23%	8%	100	+1.7	240/309/430	190	274	25	4	22%	9%	107	+2.2
●Scott Hatteberg 2006 · MLB	36	54→63	44→50	39→30	60	263/344/379	115	274	11	1	9%	10%	108	+2.3	279/367/419	140	291	13	3	9%	12%	128	+3.7	295/390/447	152	304	14	1	8%	13%	138	+3.5
✕Adam Rosales 2019 · MLB	36	41→49	50→55	42→45	41	214/268/368	154	272	18	5	28%	6%	75	-0.0	205/253/329	124	279	14	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	175/215/264	89	251	12	2	35%	4%	20	-1.9
✕Mario Valdez 2011 · AAA	36	54	49→50	41→40	52	268/329/420	152	287	16	5	14%	8%	113	+2.6	263/313/413	150	303	18	6	19%	6%	105	+2.1	261/300/353	93	336	11	2	25%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jay Gibbons 2012 · MLB	35	46→54	46→60	44→30	48	231/283/358	127	259	15	3	18%	7%	78	+0.2	226/284/358	132	263	14	7	20%	7%	79	+0.3	213/270/357	144	237	14	2	17%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Hernando Arredondo 2014 · AAA	37	47→56	50	41→50	39	245/271/399	154	277	19	6	20%	3%	84	+0.6	239/278/366	127	282	15	5	21%	4%	78	+0.2	241/283/344	103	287	12	2	20%	4%	69	-0.1
✕Issmael Salas 2017 · AAA	35	49→50	45→50	42→50	43	244/282/364	120	275	13	7	17%	4%	79	+0.3	241/286/367	126	265	14	6	15%	5%	82	+0.5	244/290/365	121	263	14	3	13%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Kosuke Fukudome 2012 · MLB	35	53→55	45→50	39→50	60	257/349/392	135	301	12	7	18%	12%	115	+2.7	241/331/355	114	291	10	7	19%	11%	98	+1.6	215/329/282	67	268	5	2	19%	14%	79	+0.1
✕Hector Garanzuay 2016 · AAA	35	55→61	41→45	37→50	47	265/309/361	96	297	9	5	14%	5%	89	+1.0	247/296/349	102	283	10	7	16%	6%	80	+0.4	240/298/321	81	264	9	5	13%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Carlos Valencia 2016 · AAA	36	41→51	48→60	41→40	40	216/251/346	130	250	17	4	22%	4%	61	-1.0	219/255/322	103	265	12	6	22%	4%	56	-1.3	216/250/295	79	261	9	3	21%	4%	46	-0.9
●Raul Gonzalez 2009 · AAA	35	53→62	43→45	37→50	49	259/310/370	112	294	10	5	16%	7%	92	+1.2	282/341/418	136	323	15	13	17%	7%	118	+3.0	319/383/464	146	361	17	16	16%	8%	142	+1.9
●Jolbert Cabrera 2008 · AAA	35	46→52	43→50	41→50	41	227/270/343	116	261	10	6	18%	4%	69	-0.4	248/291/377	129	300	11	11	20%	4%	85	+0.7	263/307/394	131	317	11	12	20%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Eric Karros 2004 · MLB	36	53→55	49→55	44→40	51	268/324/416	147	289	17	4	14%	7%	110	+2.4	247/305/394	147	271	16	7	16%	8%	97	+1.5	192/243/308	115	209	11	5	14%	6%	42	-0.4