James Wood
RF Washington Nationals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AAAWSH | 231 | .353/.465/.595 | 10 | 10 | 153 | — | .318/.404/.512 |
| 2024 | 21 | MLBWSH | 336 | .264/.354/.427 | 9 | 14 | 124 | 0.5 | |
| 2025 | 22 | MLBWSH | 689 | .256/.351/.475 | 31 | 15 | 126 | 2.2 | |
| 2026 | 23 | MLBWSH | 623 | .265/.391/.503 | 30 | 21 | 144 | 4.0 | |
| 2027PROJ | 24 | MLBWSH | 599 | .256/.366/.505 | 32 | 19 | 143 | 3.9 | |
| 2028PROJ | 25 | MLBWSH | 614 | .257/.367/.508 | 33 | 19 | 144 | 4.1 | |
| 2029PROJ | 26 | MLBWSH | 614 | .257/.367/.507 | 33 | 19 | 144 | 4.1 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 101 | 86 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 372 | 465 | 535 | 1.000 | 163 | 569 | 32 | 13 | 445 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 329 | 275 | 89 | 27 | 1 | 12 | 47 | 68 | 5 | 19 | 5 | 324 | 431 | 560 | 991 | 236 | 391 | 21 | 14 | 432 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 263 | 125 | 388 | 222 | 37 | 16 | 205 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 20 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 368 | 323 | 80 | 19 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 124 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 248 | 336 | 492 | 828 | 245 | 339 | 34 | 11 | 362 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 181 | 150 | 44 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 49 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 293 | 401 | 580 | 981 | 287 | 371 | 27 | 14 | 415 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 336 | 295 | 78 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 97 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 264 | 354 | 427 | 781 | 163 | 365 | 29 | 12 | 350 | 124 | +10 | -0 | -6 | -6 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 231 | 190 | 67 | 16 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 42 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 353 | 465 | 595 | 1.060 | 242 | 410 | 18 | 17 | 460 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 689 | 598 | 153 | 38 | 0 | 31 | 85 | 221 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 256 | 351 | 475 | 826 | 219 | 350 | 32 | 12 | 364 | 126 | +22 | +0 | -8 | -7 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 623 | 513 | 136 | 30 | 1 | 30 | 102 | 179 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 265 | 391 | 503 | 894 | 238 | 344 | 29 | 16 | 393 | 144 | +33 | +3 | -3 | -7 | +13 | 4.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1648 | 1406 | 367 | 81 | 5 | 70 | 226 | 497 | 9 | 50 | 19 | 261 | 367 | 475 | 842 | 214 | 351 | 30 | 14 | 372 | 138 | +74 | +2 | -16 | -20 | +36 | 7.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 101 | 91 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 242 | 317 | 341 | 657 | 99 | 454 | 46 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 329 | 287 | 79 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 96 | 5 | 19 | 5 | 275 | 364 | 460 | 824 | 185 | 372 | 29 | 11 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 59 | 158 | 59 | 217 | 188 | 53 | 11 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 20 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 368 | 334 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 151 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 207 | 276 | 380 | 656 | 174 | 319 | 41 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 181 | 161 | 42 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 66 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 261 | 328 | 522 | 849 | 261 | 355 | 36 | 8 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 336 | 296 | 79 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 97 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 267 | 354 | 436 | 790 | 169 | 365 | 29 | 11 | 351 | 124 | +10 | -0 | -6 | -6 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 21 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 231 | 201 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 53 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 318 | 404 | 512 | 917 | 194 | 396 | 23 | 13 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 689 | 606 | 152 | 37 | 0 | 31 | 77 | 221 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 251 | 338 | 465 | 804 | 215 | 350 | 32 | 11 | 355 | 126 | +22 | +0 | -8 | -7 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 623 | 523 | 136 | 30 | 1 | 30 | 92 | 179 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 260 | 375 | 493 | 868 | 233 | 344 | 29 | 15 | 381 | 144 | +33 | +3 | -3 | -7 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 101 | 91 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 242 | 317 | 341 | 657 | 99 | 465 | 46 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Padres | — | 101 | 86 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 372 | 465 | 535 | 1.000 | 163 | 569 | 32 | 13 | 445 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 305 | 81 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 106 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 266 | 353 | 439 | 792 | 174 | 375 | 30 | 10 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 348 | 291 | 91 | 27 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 75 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 313 | 422 | 536 | 958 | 223 | 383 | 22 | 14 | 419 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 494 | 110 | 24 | 8 | 20 | 44 | 217 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 223 | 293 | 425 | 718 | 202 | 342 | 40 | 8 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 549 | 473 | 124 | 28 | 8 | 26 | 65 | 173 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 262 | 357 | 520 | 877 | 258 | 350 | 32 | 12 | 379 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 567 | 497 | 143 | 28 | 5 | 17 | 67 | 150 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 288 | 375 | 467 | 841 | 179 | 381 | 26 | 12 | 369 | 136 | +24 | +1 | -6 | -6 | +12 | 2.7 |
| 2024 | 21 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 567 | 485 | 145 | 29 | 4 | 19 | 79 | 139 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 299 | 399 | 493 | 892 | 194 | 384 | 25 | 14 | 395 | 136 | +24 | +1 | -6 | -6 | +12 | 2.7 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 689 | 606 | 152 | 37 | 0 | 31 | 77 | 221 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 251 | 338 | 465 | 804 | 215 | 339 | 32 | 11 | 355 | 126 | +22 | +0 | -8 | -7 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 689 | 598 | 153 | 38 | 0 | 31 | 85 | 221 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 256 | 351 | 475 | 826 | 219 | 350 | 32 | 12 | 364 | 126 | +22 | +0 | -8 | -7 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 623 | 523 | 136 | 30 | 1 | 30 | 92 | 179 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 260 | 375 | 493 | 868 | 233 | 333 | 29 | 15 | 381 | 144 | +33 | +3 | -3 | -7 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB RAW | Washington Nationals | — | 623 | 513 | 136 | 30 | 1 | 30 | 102 | 179 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 265 | 391 | 503 | 894 | 238 | 344 | 29 | 16 | 393 | 144 | +33 | +3 | -3 | -7 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 101 | 90 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 244 | 317 | 344 | 661 | 100 | 454 | 46 | 8 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 348 | 304 | 81 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 106 | 5 | 20 | 5 | 266 | 353 | 441 | 793 | 174 | 362 | 30 | 10 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 495 | 110 | 24 | 8 | 20 | 44 | 217 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 222 | 293 | 424 | 717 | 202 | 331 | 40 | 8 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 567 | 493 | 143 | 28 | 5 | 17 | 67 | 150 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 290 | 375 | 471 | 845 | 181 | 378 | 26 | 12 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 689 | 604 | 152 | 37 | 0 | 31 | 77 | 221 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 252 | 338 | 467 | 805 | 215 | 350 | 32 | 11 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 623 | 522 | 136 | 30 | 1 | 30 | 92 | 179 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 261 | 375 | 494 | 869 | 234 | 344 | 29 | 15 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 567 | 493 | 143 | 28 | 5 | 17 | 67 | 150 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 290 | 375 | 471 | 845 | 181 | 378 | 26 | 12 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 689 | 604 | 152 | 37 | 0 | 31 | 77 | 221 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 252 | 338 | 467 | 805 | 215 | 350 | 32 | 11 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 623 | 522 | 136 | 30 | 1 | 30 | 92 | 179 | 4 | 21 | 4 | 261 | 375 | 494 | 869 | 234 | 344 | 29 | 15 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 639 | 541 | 138 | 28 | 2 | 34 | 89 | 182 | 4 | 20 | 5 | 256 | 365 | 505 | 870 | 249 | 316 | 28 | 14 | 380 | 143 | +33 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +14 | 4.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 599 | 506 | 129 | 27 | 1 | 32 | 84 | 171 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 256 | 366 | 505 | 871 | 249 | 316 | 29 | 14 | 380 | 143 | +31 | +2 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 3.9 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 614 | 519 | 132 | 27 | 1 | 33 | 86 | 175 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 257 | 367 | 507 | 874 | 251 | 316 | 29 | 14 | 381 | 144 | +32 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 614 | 519 | 132 | 27 | 1 | 33 | 86 | 175 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 256 | 366 | 507 | 873 | 251 | 315 | 29 | 14 | 381 | 144 | +32 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 614 | 518 | 132 | 27 | 1 | 33 | 87 | 176 | 4 | 18 | 5 | 255 | 365 | 504 | 869 | 249 | 314 | 29 | 14 | 379 | 143 | +31 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 594 | 502 | 127 | 26 | 1 | 32 | 84 | 171 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 253 | 363 | 498 | 861 | 246 | 313 | 29 | 14 | 376 | 141 | +29 | +2 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 3.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 571 | 483 | 121 | 25 | 1 | 30 | 80 | 166 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 250 | 360 | 491 | 851 | 241 | 310 | 29 | 14 | 372 | 138 | +26 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +12 | 3.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 553 | 468 | 115 | 23 | 1 | 29 | 77 | 163 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 245 | 356 | 481 | 836 | 235 | 307 | 29 | 14 | 367 | 134 | +23 | +1 | -3 | -6 | +12 | 2.7 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 538 | 456 | 109 | 22 | 0 | 27 | 75 | 160 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 240 | 350 | 469 | 818 | 229 | 301 | 30 | 14 | 360 | 130 | +19 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +12 | 2.2 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 523 | 444 | 104 | 21 | 0 | 26 | 72 | 158 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 233 | 342 | 452 | 795 | 219 | 294 | 30 | 14 | 351 | 124 | +15 | -1 | -4 | -6 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 472 | 403 | 90 | 17 | 0 | 22 | 64 | 146 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 333 | 433 | 766 | 208 | 285 | 31 | 14 | 340 | 116 | +9 | -0 | -5 | -5 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 414 | 354 | 78 | 14 | 0 | 19 | 56 | 131 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 327 | 417 | 745 | 198 | 285 | 32 | 14 | 331 | 110 | +5 | -0 | -5 | -4 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB MLE | WSH | 100% | 346 | 296 | 63 | 11 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 112 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 319 | 398 | 717 | 185 | 281 | 32 | 13 | 320 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -6 | -4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 614 | 519 | 133 | 28 | 1 | 33 | 86 | 175 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 257 | 367 | 508 | 875 | 251 | 316 | 29 | 14 | 381 | 144 | +32 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 614 | 519 | 132 | 27 | 1 | 33 | 86 | 175 | 4 | 19 | 5 | 257 | 367 | 507 | 874 | 251 | 316 | 29 | 14 | 381 | 144 | +32 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +13 | 4.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 614 | 518 | 132 | 27 | 1 | 33 | 87 | 176 | 4 | 18 | 5 | 255 | 366 | 504 | 870 | 249 | 315 | 29 | 14 | 380 | 143 | +31 | +2 | -1 | -7 | +13 | 4.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 594 | 502 | 127 | 26 | 1 | 32 | 84 | 171 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 253 | 363 | 499 | 862 | 246 | 313 | 29 | 14 | 377 | 141 | +29 | +2 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 3.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 571 | 483 | 121 | 25 | 1 | 30 | 80 | 166 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 250 | 360 | 491 | 852 | 241 | 311 | 29 | 14 | 373 | 138 | +26 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +12 | 3.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 553 | 468 | 115 | 24 | 0 | 29 | 77 | 163 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 246 | 356 | 482 | 838 | 236 | 308 | 29 | 14 | 368 | 134 | +23 | +1 | -3 | -6 | +12 | 2.7 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 538 | 456 | 110 | 23 | 0 | 27 | 75 | 160 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 241 | 350 | 470 | 820 | 229 | 303 | 30 | 14 | 361 | 130 | +19 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +12 | 2.2 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 523 | 444 | 104 | 21 | 0 | 26 | 72 | 158 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 234 | 343 | 454 | 797 | 220 | 296 | 30 | 14 | 352 | 124 | +15 | -1 | -4 | -6 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 472 | 403 | 91 | 18 | 0 | 22 | 64 | 146 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 225 | 334 | 434 | 768 | 209 | 286 | 31 | 14 | 340 | 116 | +9 | -0 | -5 | -5 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 414 | 354 | 79 | 15 | 0 | 19 | 56 | 131 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 220 | 328 | 419 | 747 | 198 | 286 | 32 | 14 | 332 | 110 | +5 | -0 | -5 | -4 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB CTX | WSH | 100% | 346 | 296 | 63 | 11 | 0 | 15 | 46 | 112 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 320 | 399 | 718 | 185 | 282 | 32 | 13 | 321 | 103 | +1 | +0 | -6 | -4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 7501 | 6368 | 1574 | 326 | 10 | 369 | 1039 | 2230 | 38 | 151 | 51 | 247 | 356 | 475 | 831 | 228 | 317 | 30 | 14 | 365 | 130 | +296 | +10 | -47 | -83 | +163 | 34.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 552 | 136 | 28 | 1 | 32 | 90 | 193 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 246 | 355 | 475 | 830 | 228 | 315 | 30 | 14 | 365 | 130 | +26 | +1 | -4 | -7 | +14 | 3.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 9329 | 7984 | 1975 | 412 | 22 | 440 | 1221 | 2823 | 54 | 228 | 65 | 247 | 351 | 470 | 821 | 222 | 322 | 30 | 13 | 360 | 130 | +327 | +12 | -47 | -89 | +176 | 38.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 556 | 139 | 29 | 2 | 31 | 85 | 197 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 250 | 353 | 477 | 830 | 227 | 326 | 30 | 13 | 360 | 130 | +26 | +1 | -4 | -7 | +14 | 3.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAARochester Red Wings · 231 PAwOBA .450 → .395 (−54)K% 18.2% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.88% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 12.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.70% | ÷1.029 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 27.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 10.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.76% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 5.04% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .450 → .395; ISO .242 → .199; BABIP .410 → .396. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAHarrisburg Senators · 368 PAwOBA .354 → .284 (−70)K% 33.7% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.70% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.60% | ÷1.016 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.10% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×1.000 | ×1.050 | 20.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.55% | ÷1.033 | ×0.860 | ×1.000 | ×1.050 | 8.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.51% | ÷0.935 | ×0.950 | ×1.000 | ×1.050 | 1.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.05% | ÷1.115 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 6.65% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 87, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .354 → .284; ISO .245 → .181; BABIP .339 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 181 PAwOBA .411 → .357 (−54)K% 27.1% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.07% | ÷0.973 | ×1.310 | — | — | 36.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.81% | ÷1.005 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 8.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.78% | ÷0.981 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 20.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.91% | ÷0.894 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 8.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.95% | ÷0.913 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 4.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.92% | ÷0.913 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 7.84% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 79, 3B 83, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .411 → .357; ISO .287 → .276; BABIP .371 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFredericksburg Nationals · 329 PAwOBA .423 → .352 (−71)K% 20.7% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.67% | ÷0.966 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.67% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.030 | 23.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.030 | 12.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷0.910 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×1.030 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.80% | ÷1.074 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 4.45% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 97, 2B 87, 3B 82, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .423 → .352; ISO .236 → .188; BABIP .391 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Padres · 19 PAwOBA .202 → .127 (−75)K% 36.8% → 53.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.84% | ÷0.984 | ×1.440 | — | — | 53.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.015 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 9.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.965 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 18.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.081 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .202 → .127; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .222 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Padres · 101 PAwOBA .433 → .288 (−146)K% 31.7% → 45.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 45.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.98% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 44.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 36.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 6.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.37% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .433 → .288; ISO .163 → .104; BABIP .569 → .454. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).