Michael ConfortoLF Chicago Cubs
Age 33 L/R 5'11" / 215 lbs MLB Svc 9.250 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION160 act + 302 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 142104vR 89
AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .331 / .430
PA302
HR12
K%26
BB%11
BABIP291
ISO190
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +10.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+10BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -2.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-3FLDPOS: -4.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +13.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +1.60+1.6WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
1.20.82627
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
718.8%
xwOBA
780.341
POWER55
Barrel%
6911.0
Avg EV
6890.4
Bat Spd
6873.3
EYE55
Chase%
8924.0%
SPEED40
Sprint
2226.1
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1005 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
184
821
wRC+
138
89
◀◀L
wOBA
366
301
◀◀L
ISO
204
165
◀◀L
BABIP
334
256
◀◀L
K%
25.0%
24.7%
BB%
9.8%
10.5%
R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2015
Service   9.250 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.8M+0.6$3M+$2M
Totals $0.8M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201522 A+3 teams 597548 13534317 401245 12 246304412716 166287 217 313 97
201522 A+3 teams 597531 15438321 571005 12 290364492856 202321 1710 375 145
201623 MLB2 teams 492436 11126318 461147 43 255335452787 197303 239 337 116 +9 -0 +1 -5 +14 1.8
201623 MLB2 teams 492432 12129321 491077 43 280362507869 227326 2210 379 148 +27 -0 +1 -5 +14 3.7
201724 MLBNew York Mets 440373 10420127 571138 20 279386555941 276328 2613 397 162 +31 +0 +1 -5 +12 4.1
201724 MLBNew York Mets 440373 10420127 571138 20 279386555941 276328 2613 409 171 +35 +0 +1 -5 +12 4.6
201825 MLBNew York Mets 638543 13225128 841597 34 243352448799 204289 2513 343 121 +15 -1 +2 -7 +18 2.8
201825 MLBNew York Mets 638543 13225128 841597 34 243352448799 204289 2513 355 130 +21 -1 +2 -7 +18 3.4
201926 MLBNew York Mets 648549 14129133 8414910 72 257365494859 237290 2313 368 140 +29 +1 -0 -7 +18 4.2
201926 MLBNew York Mets 648549 14129133 8414910 72 257365494859 237290 2313 377 146 +34 +1 -0 -7 +18 4.7
202027 MLBNew York Mets 233202 651209 24577 33 322412515927 193412 2410 408 170 +18 -1 -3 -2 +7 2.0
202027 MLBNew York Mets 233202 651209 24577 33 322412515927 193412 2410 411 173 +19 -1 -3 -2 +7 2.1
202128 MLBNew York Mets 479406 9420014 5910412 10 232346384730 153276 2212 325 107 +4 +0 -2 -5 +14 1.0
202128 MLBNew York Mets 479406 9420014 5910412 10 232346384730 153276 2212 332 112 +7 +0 -2 -5 +14 1.3
202330 MLBSan Francisco Giants 470406 10115016 531067 40 249345404749 155295 2311 328 109 +5 +1 -3 -5 +13 1.1
202330 MLBSan Francisco Giants 470406 9714015 531067 40 239337384721 145284 2311 325 107 +4 +1 -3 -5 +13 1.0
202431 MLBSan Francisco Giants 488438 11029322 421185 01 251324482805 231292 249 343 121 +11 -0 -5 -5 +14 1.5
202431 MLBSan Francisco Giants 488438 10427320 421185 01 237311450761 212277 249 334 114 +8 -0 -5 -5 +14 1.1
202532 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 486418 8621013 561219 10 206313349662 144254 2512 297 86 -8 +0 -9 -5 +14 -0.8
202532 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 486418 8320012 561219 10 199306333639 134247 2512 293 83 -10 +0 -9 -5 +14 -1.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD33 MLBCHC 160140 341008 19470 10 243333486819 243302 2912 349 126 +5 +0 -2 -2 +5 0.6
YTD33 MLBCHC 160140 341008 19470 10 243333486819 243302 2912 358 132 +6 +0 -2 -2 +5 0.7
ROS33 MLBCHC 100% 302263 6314012 33783 20 240331430761 190290 2611 337 116 +5 +0 -1 -3 +9 1.0
ROS33 MLBCHC 100% 302263 6314012 33783 20 240331430761 190292 2611 331 111 +4 +0 -1 -3 +9 0.9
FULL33 MLBCHC 462403 9724020 521253 30 241332449781 208295 2711 337 116 +9 +1 -3 -5 +13 1.5
TOT33 MLBCHC 462403 9724020 521253 30 241332449781 208295 2711 341 119 +10 +1 -3 -5 +13 1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202734 MLBCHC 100% 403352 8017115 441074 20 227320409729 182280 2711 325 107 +3 +0 -6 -4 +11 0.5
202734 MLBCHC 100% 403352 8118115 441074 20 230323415737 185282 2711 319 103 +1 +0 -6 -4 +11 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 51294428 10782348206 589124078 2712 243342439782 196289 2411 346 123 +134 +1 -22 -61 +145 20.1
/ 162G 650561 13730126 7515710 32 244344440784 196291 2412 346 123 +17 -0 -3 -8 +18 2.5
Career 56764934 122226213224 622135084 3015 248342442784 195294 2411 341 119 +121 +0 -22 -61 +161 20.4
/ 162G 650565 14030126 7115510 32 248342442785 195294 2411 341 119 +14 -0 -2 -7 +18 2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201522 MLBNew York Mets 194174 471409 17391 01 270339506844 236297 209 366 138 +8 -0 +4 -6 +5 1.1
201522 AABinghamton Mets 197173 551235 23351 10 318401509910 191376 1812 402 165 +15 +0 +6 2.1
201522 A+St. Lucie Mets 206184 521207 17263 01 283353462815 179294 138 359 133 +8 -0 +6 1.3
201623 MLBNew York Mets 348304 6721112 36895 21 220313414728 194267 2610 322 105 +2 +0 +1 -5 +10 0.7
201623 AAALas Vegas 51s 144128 54829 13182 22 4224797271.206 305446 129 517 254 +25 -0 +4 2.9
201724 MLBNew York Mets 440373 10420127 571138 20 279386555941 276328 2613 409 171 +35 +0 +1 -5 +12 4.6
201825 MLBNew York Mets 638543 13225128 841597 34 243352448799 204289 2513 355 130 +21 -1 +2 -7 +18 3.4
201926 MLBNew York Mets 648549 14129133 8414910 72 257365494859 237290 2313 377 146 +34 +1 -0 -7 +18 4.7
202027 MLBNew York Mets 233202 651209 24577 33 322412515927 193412 2410 411 173 +19 -1 -3 -2 +7 2.1
202128 MLBNew York Mets 479406 9420014 5910412 10 232346384730 153276 2212 332 112 +7 +0 -2 -5 +14 1.3
202330 MLBSan Francisco Giants 470406 9714015 531067 40 239337384721 145284 2311 325 107 +4 +1 -3 -5 +13 1.0
202431 MLBSan Francisco Giants 488438 10427320 421185 01 237311450761 212277 249 334 114 +8 -0 -5 -5 +14 1.1
202532 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 486418 8320012 561219 10 199306333639 134247 2512 293 83 -10 +0 -9 -5 +14 -1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 44243813 9342027179 512105571 2312 245345442788 197290 2412 350 126 +129 -0 -14 -53 +125 19.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Nick Swisherlast yr '15
career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA
126,30824513249351447-62-5624.524.4
/162664261-6.5-5.92.6pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons
135,44921828244339442-58-3121.919.7
/162664273-7.1-3.82.7pk7: 17
#2José Cruz Jr.last yr '08
career totals — 9 seasons, 4,179 PA
94,17915381247336445-35-717.417.2
/1626642413-5.6-1.12.8pk7: 17
#3Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA
83,75312253247350440-35-815.816.2
/162664229-6.2-1.42.8pk7: 17
#4Austin Kearnslast yr '12
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,148 PA
114,14812133254351415-42-415.715.9
/162664195-6.8-0.62.5pk7: 16
#5Luke Scottlast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,193 PA
93,19313517258340481-40-1314.715.0
/162664284-8.4-2.73.1pk7: 15
#6Seth Smithlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,076 PA
104,07612622260343445-44-3613.913.3
/162664214-7.1-5.92.3pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Michael Conforto (OGILVIE) 33 50 55 40 55 241/332/449 208295 203 27% 11% 119 +1.6
Yadiel Hernandez
2022 · MLB
34 50→55 55 46→45 46 261/316/438 177310 247 24% 7% 113 +2.6 251/298/392 141314 177 25% 6% 93 +1.3 267/312/40714032616423%6%101+1.0
Garrett Jones
2014 · MLB
33 48→53 57→60 49→50 48 251/307/455 204285 245 22% 7% 114 +2.7 245/303/417 172291 193 22% 8% 102 +1.8 244/304/40916529118022%8%95+0.8
Jason Kubel
2014 · MLB
32 47→57 53→60 41→40 49 241/314/417 176305 213 27% 10% 107 +2.2 233/311/359 126330 136 30% 10% 90 +1.0 224/312/294703543334%11%69-0.1
Aaron Guiel
2006 · MLB
33 44→53 54→60 44→45 47 233/306/416 184264 226 22% 7% 104 +2.0 233/319/423 190270 236 23% 9% 111 +2.5 221/327/42920824825322%10%115+2.0
Todd Hollandsworth
2005 · MLB
32 55→56 53→55 43→50 52 275/341/459 184317 197 20% 9% 128 +3.7 249/301/408 159295 166 20% 7% 98 +1.6 243/288/39315028914421%6%85+0.3
Charlie Blackmon
2020 · MLB
34 51→57 55→60 45→55 50 263/327/455 192290 227 18% 8% 121 +3.2 247/313/389 142281 155 17% 8% 98 +1.6 232/307/35011926511416%8%83+0.5
Robinson Chirinos
2017 · MLB
33 43→46 57→60 40→50 49 231/311/434 202266 243 23% 8% 111 +2.5 237/340/449 212297 264 28% 10% 127 +3.6 230/343/43520529626229%11%122+2.1
John Mabry
2004 · MLB
33 47 54→60 46→30 52 244/320/425 181272 215 20% 9% 111 +2.5 251/319/424 173298 213 22% 9% 111 +2.5 242/310/40416229020023%9%96+0.6
Jay Bruce
2019 · MLB
32 46→54 58→65 41→50 52 244/316/454 210273 264 22% 10% 118 +3.0 224/286/456 232245 314 24% 8% 106 +2.2 206/255/49228719543124%6%101+0.7
Eduardo Escobar
2023 · MLB
34 47→57 56→60 43→50 48 246/304/443 197281 242 22% 8% 109 +2.4 237/291/392 155292 176 24% 7% 90 +1.0 225/270/34412028612425%6%66-0.3
Brad Miller
2023 · MLB
33 43→53 54→60 48→50 50 226/305/397 171284 238 29% 10% 98 +1.6 225/305/372 147291 188 27% 10% 92 +1.2 177/289/29812023314028%13%66-0.1
Luis Valbuena
2018 · MLB
32 41→51 59→60 38→50 55 227/317/437 210258 283 24% 11% 114 +2.7 223/291/395 172293 227 30% 9% 92 +1.2 200/256/33913927919635%7%55-0.7
David Dellucci
2008 · MLB
34 50→46 56→65 46→50 54 256/340/462 206294 236 21% 10% 128 +3.7 240/309/393 153290 157 22% 7% 98 +1.6 234/304/38014628514622%6%89+0.4
José Cruz Jr.
2006 · MLB
32 48→51 55→65 42→50 62 247/349/441 194281 216 20% 14% 127 +3.6 234/330/387 153282 1510 21% 13% 105 +2.1 228/323/362134279111321%12%92+0.6
Brandon Moss
2016 · MLB
32 45→50 58→65 43→45 51 239/323/444 205292 262 27% 10% 118 +3.0 229/303/456 227282 314 30% 9% 113 +2.6 219/294/46624725936231%9%108+1.7
John Buck
2013 · MLB
33 44→53 52→60 42→30 52 231/314/395 165275 202 24% 10% 102 +1.8 229/300/364 135282 174 24% 8% 87 +0.8 227/292/34611828016224%7%74-0.0
Mark Reynolds
2016 · MLB
32 42→52 54→65 43→50 50 222/307/401 179278 235 28% 10% 100 +1.7 236/317/400 164304 213 28% 10% 104 +2.0 234/318/39616329922128%10%101+1.3
Matt Joyce
2019 · MLB
34 46→53 56→60 41→50 60 239/341/436 196271 234 21% 13% 123 +3.3 251/353/398 147309 164 22% 13% 118 +3.0 251/369/37412331614122%15%115+0.8
Jake Lamb
2023 · MLB
32 43→53 53→60 40→45 47 223/305/398 175299 223 32% 9% 98 +1.6 226/303/361 135299 153 28% 8% 88 +0.9 217/297/33311528812127%8%76+0.0
Neil Walker
2019 · MLB
33 48→57 51→55 41→45 56 247/332/404 158280 192 20% 11% 111 +2.5 250/328/390 140306 146 21% 10% 105 +2.1 270/352/41014032813520%11%117+1.8