Max Clark
CF Toledo Mud Hens| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A+/ADET | 490 | .279/.375/.421 | 9 | 29 | 85 | — | .246/.316/.357 |
| 2025 | 20 | AA/A+DET | 533 | .271/.406/.432 | 14 | 19 | 100 | — | .241/.338/.380 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAADET | 418 | .276/.370/.434 | 11 | 21 | 92 | — | .244/.315/.363 |
| 2026 | 21 | MLBDET | 206 | .272/.351/.417 | 3 | 5 | 116 | 1.1 | |
| 2027PROJ65% MLB | 22 | MLBDET | 155 | .246/.321/.376 | 3 | 7 | 101 | 0.6 | |
| 2028PROJ80% MLB | 23 | MLBDET | 493 | .251/.326/.391 | 12 | 21 | 107 | 2.2 | |
| 2029PROJ83% MLB | 24 | MLBDET | 507 | .254/.329/.401 | 13 | 22 | 110 | 2.5 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 51 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 353 | 179 | 532 | 26 | 250 | 29 | 24 | 278 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Tigers | — | 56 | 46 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 283 | 411 | 543 | 954 | 261 | 324 | 18 | 16 | 417 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 157 | 140 | 37 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 264 | 344 | 421 | 765 | 157 | 343 | 23 | 8 | 342 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 333 | 280 | 80 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 48 | 58 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 286 | 390 | 421 | 812 | 136 | 333 | 17 | 14 | 362 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 203 | 171 | 43 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 34 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 251 | 363 | 439 | 802 | 187 | 273 | 17 | 14 | 355 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 330 | 260 | 74 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 65 | 56 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 285 | 433 | 427 | 860 | 142 | 337 | 17 | 20 | 390 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 206 | 180 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 272 | 351 | 417 | 768 | 144 | 338 | 20 | 9 | 338 | 116 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 418 | 362 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 50 | 66 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 276 | 370 | 434 | 804 | 157 | 310 | 16 | 12 | 359 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 206 | 180 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 272 | 351 | 417 | 768 | 144 | 338 | 20 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 1.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 51 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 140 | 275 | 163 | 437 | 23 | 244 | 41 | 16 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Tigers | — | 56 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 321 | 449 | 770 | 224 | 248 | 27 | 11 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 157 | 144 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 48 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 236 | 299 | 382 | 681 | 146 | 329 | 31 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 333 | 296 | 74 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 77 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 250 | 323 | 345 | 668 | 95 | 311 | 23 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 203 | 179 | 41 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 40 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 229 | 313 | 385 | 699 | 156 | 256 | 20 | 10 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 330 | 282 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 74 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 248 | 354 | 376 | 730 | 128 | 307 | 22 | 13 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 206 | 181 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 271 | 347 | 414 | 761 | 144 | 338 | 20 | 8 | 340 | 116 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 418 | 377 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 79 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 244 | 315 | 363 | 678 | 119 | 289 | 19 | 8 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 92 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 174 | 290 | 304 | 594 | 130 | 259 | 34 | 13 | 252 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 107 | 85 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 224 | 383 | 376 | 760 | 153 | 293 | 23 | 20 | 351 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 490 | 440 | 107 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 124 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 243 | 313 | 350 | 663 | 107 | 319 | 25 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 490 | 420 | 117 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 61 | 94 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 279 | 375 | 421 | 797 | 143 | 336 | 19 | 12 | 355 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 461 | 112 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 64 | 114 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 243 | 340 | 382 | 722 | 139 | 293 | 21 | 12 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 533 | 431 | 117 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 94 | 90 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 271 | 406 | 432 | 838 | 160 | 311 | 17 | 18 | 377 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 624 | 558 | 143 | 29 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 121 | 8 | 26 | 3 | 256 | 328 | 385 | 714 | 129 | 308 | 19 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 624 | 542 | 149 | 31 | 5 | 14 | 68 | 108 | 8 | 26 | 3 | 275 | 364 | 428 | 792 | 153 | 319 | 17 | 11 | 352 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 107 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 36 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 176 | 290 | 308 | 597 | 132 | 246 | 34 | 13 | 252 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 490 | 442 | 107 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 124 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 242 | 313 | 348 | 662 | 106 | 317 | 25 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 460 | 112 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 64 | 114 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 243 | 340 | 383 | 723 | 139 | 288 | 21 | 12 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 624 | 559 | 143 | 29 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 121 | 8 | 26 | 3 | 256 | 328 | 385 | 713 | 129 | 305 | 19 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 490 | 442 | 107 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 124 | 4 | 29 | 4 | 242 | 313 | 348 | 662 | 106 | 317 | 25 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 533 | 460 | 112 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 64 | 114 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 243 | 340 | 383 | 723 | 139 | 288 | 21 | 12 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 624 | 559 | 143 | 29 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 121 | 8 | 26 | 3 | 256 | 328 | 385 | 713 | 129 | 305 | 19 | 8 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | DET | 65% | 648 | 579 | 146 | 27 | 5 | 14 | 57 | 132 | 7 | 27 | 6 | 251 | 325 | 385 | 710 | 134 | 299 | 20 | 9 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +3 | +3 | +2 | +14 | 0.8 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | DET | 65% | 155 | 138 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 246 | 321 | 376 | 697 | 130 | 295 | 20 | 9 | 313 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | +3 | 0.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | DET | 80% | 614 | 547 | 140 | 26 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 122 | 7 | 26 | 5 | 255 | 330 | 400 | 731 | 145 | 300 | 20 | 9 | 326 | 107 | +5 | +3 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | DET | 83% | 614 | 547 | 141 | 26 | 4 | 16 | 55 | 121 | 7 | 26 | 5 | 258 | 334 | 410 | 744 | 152 | 301 | 20 | 9 | 331 | 110 | +7 | +3 | +4 | +2 | +13 | 3.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | DET | 83% | 614 | 546 | 142 | 26 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 120 | 7 | 26 | 5 | 260 | 335 | 416 | 751 | 156 | 301 | 20 | 9 | 334 | 112 | +9 | +3 | +4 | +2 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | DET | 84% | 614 | 546 | 142 | 26 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 120 | 7 | 25 | 5 | 260 | 336 | 418 | 753 | 158 | 301 | 20 | 9 | 335 | 113 | +9 | +3 | +4 | +2 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | DET | 82% | 606 | 540 | 139 | 25 | 4 | 17 | 55 | 120 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 259 | 335 | 415 | 750 | 156 | 301 | 20 | 9 | 333 | 112 | +8 | +3 | +4 | +2 | +13 | 3.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | DET | 82% | 592 | 527 | 135 | 24 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 118 | 6 | 21 | 5 | 257 | 333 | 410 | 743 | 153 | 300 | 20 | 9 | 331 | 110 | +7 | +2 | +3 | +2 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | DET | 79% | 571 | 508 | 130 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 52 | 116 | 6 | 18 | 4 | 254 | 330 | 404 | 734 | 149 | 299 | 20 | 9 | 327 | 107 | +5 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +12 | 2.4 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | DET | 78% | 555 | 495 | 125 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 50 | 114 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 251 | 326 | 396 | 722 | 144 | 297 | 21 | 9 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +2 | +1 | +2 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | DET | 78% | 536 | 478 | 118 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 112 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 247 | 321 | 386 | 707 | 139 | 294 | 21 | 9 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB MLE | DET | 78% | 512 | 458 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 110 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 242 | 315 | 373 | 688 | 131 | 290 | 21 | 9 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB MLE | DET | 77% | 476 | 428 | 101 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 105 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 308 | 357 | 665 | 122 | 286 | 22 | 9 | 299 | 89 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | DET | 80% | 493 | 441 | 111 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 98 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 251 | 326 | 391 | 717 | 140 | 295 | 20 | 9 | 321 | 107 | +4 | +3 | +3 | +2 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | DET | 83% | 507 | 451 | 115 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 45 | 100 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 254 | 329 | 401 | 730 | 147 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 326 | 110 | +6 | +3 | +3 | +2 | +11 | 2.5 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | DET | 83% | 513 | 456 | 117 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 100 | 6 | 22 | 4 | 255 | 331 | 406 | 737 | 151 | 296 | 19 | 9 | 328 | 112 | +7 | +3 | +3 | +2 | +11 | 2.7 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | DET | 84% | 515 | 457 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 47 | 101 | 6 | 21 | 4 | 255 | 331 | 408 | 739 | 153 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 329 | 113 | +8 | +3 | +3 | +2 | +11 | 2.7 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | DET | 82% | 498 | 445 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 45 | 98 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 254 | 331 | 405 | 736 | 151 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 328 | 112 | +7 | +2 | +3 | +2 | +11 | 2.5 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | DET | 82% | 483 | 431 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 96 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 252 | 329 | 400 | 729 | 148 | 295 | 20 | 9 | 325 | 110 | +6 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 2.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | DET | 79% | 453 | 404 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 92 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 250 | 326 | 394 | 720 | 144 | 294 | 20 | 9 | 322 | 107 | +4 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +10 | 1.9 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | DET | 78% | 435 | 389 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 89 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 247 | 322 | 387 | 709 | 140 | 292 | 20 | 9 | 317 | 104 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | DET | 78% | 417 | 373 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 87 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 243 | 318 | 377 | 694 | 134 | 289 | 21 | 9 | 311 | 100 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB CTX | DET | 78% | 397 | 356 | 84 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 85 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 238 | 311 | 364 | 676 | 127 | 286 | 21 | 9 | 304 | 95 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB CTX | DET | 77% | 368 | 330 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 81 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 304 | 349 | 653 | 118 | 281 | 22 | 9 | 294 | 89 | -5 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 5285 | 4713 | 1178 | 211 | 37 | 130 | 473 | 1069 | 56 | 164 | 35 | 250 | 326 | 393 | 719 | 143 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 320 | 103 | +40 | +19 | +19 | +20 | +115 | 21.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 145 | 26 | 5 | 16 | 58 | 131 | 7 | 20 | 4 | 250 | 326 | 395 | 720 | 145 | 296 | 20 | 9 | 320 | 103 | +5 | +2 | +2 | +3 | +14 | 2.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8296 | 7383 | 1856 | 329 | 59 | 200 | 759 | 1721 | 84 | 284 | 55 | 251 | 328 | 393 | 721 | 142 | 301 | 21 | 9 | 321 | 103 | +48 | +24 | +24 | +26 | +146 | 27.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 146 | 26 | 5 | 16 | 59 | 135 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 253 | 329 | 398 | 727 | 145 | 302 | 21 | 9 | 321 | 103 | +5 | +2 | +2 | +2 | +14 | 2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 418 PAwOBA .350 → .304 (−47)K% 15.8% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×1.050 | 21.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×1.050 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×1.050 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.73% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .350 → .304; ISO .157 → .127; BABIP .310 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 330 PAwOBA .383 → .324 (−60)K% 17.0% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.97% | ÷0.960 | ×1.270 | — | — | 22.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.70% | ÷1.106 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 12.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.98% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 23.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.948 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 5.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.43% | ÷0.850 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.32% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 92, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .383 → .324; ISO .142 → .138; BABIP .337 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAErie SeaWolves · 203 PAwOBA .350 → .302 (−48)K% 16.7% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.75% | ÷1.035 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 10.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.44% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×0.951 | ×1.050 | 20.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.65% | ÷1.075 | ×0.860 | ×0.951 | ×1.050 | 2.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.19% | ÷1.115 | ×0.950 | ×0.951 | ×1.050 | 1.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.11% | ÷1.056 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 3.96% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 123, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .350 → .302; ISO .187 → .152; BABIP .273 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 333 PAwOBA .357 → .298 (−59)K% 17.4% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.42% | ÷1.028 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.41% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.58% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×1.030 | ×1.030 | 26.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.351 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×1.030 | 3.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.106 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×1.030 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.15% | ÷1.099 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.36% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 170, 3B 121, K 106, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .357 → .298; ISO .136 → .101; BABIP .333 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 157 PAwOBA .331 → .287 (−45)K% 22.9% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.93% | ÷0.957 | ×1.270 | — | — | 30.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.64% | ÷1.026 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.55% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 2.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.15% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.042 | 20.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷0.892 | ×0.810 | ×1.015 | ×1.042 | 9.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.015 | ×1.042 | 2.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷0.889 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 104, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .331 → .287; ISO .157 → .142; BABIP .343 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Tigers · 56 PAwOBA .407 → .293 (−114)K% 17.9% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.86% | ÷0.972 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.07% | ÷0.987 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 10.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 13.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.014 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 7.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.924 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.72% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .407 → .293; ISO .261 → .194; BABIP .324 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 51 PAwOBA .273 → .206 (−67)K% 29.4% → 41.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷1.089 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 15.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷0.957 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 20.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.056 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 3.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.216 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 91, 2B 111, 3B 104, K 95, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .273 → .206; ISO .026 → .019; BABIP .250 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).