Akil Baddoo

LF Nashville Sounds

Age 28 L/L 5'11" / 216 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 3.332 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILForty Man (40M)

Overview

AAA40M40-MANArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	25	AAADET	377	.238/.341/.418	9	29	65	—	.191/.267/.341
2024	25	MLBDET	82	.137/.222/.301	2	1	47	-0.9
2025	26	AAA/ADET	484	.279/.388/.478	16	27	102	—	.242/.321/.409
2025	26	MLBDET	18	.118/.167/.176	0	1	-4	-0.6
2026	27	AAAMIL	262	.252/.344/.469	11	7	76	—	.211/.278/.371
2027PROJ45% MLB	28	MLBMIL	73	.216/.291/.380	2	3	89	0.0
2028PROJ48% MLB	29	MLBMIL	107	.214/.288/.373	3	4	86	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.4 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.332First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.4M2028Arb-2$0.4M2029Ext$1M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025

Speed66

Bat Spd49

Avg EV45

Barrel%42

xwOBA42

CompsCorey Julks (age 28) · Will Venable (age 28) · Clete Thomas (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .291 / .380

PA73

HR2

K%27

BB%10

BABIP272

ISO152

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT55

xAVG

100.214

POWER55

Barrel%

427.1

Avg EV

4588.7

Bat Spd

4971.2

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

6628.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.332 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	17	ROK	GCL Twins	—	128	107	19	0	2	2	18	36	1	8	1	178	299	271	570	93	243	28	14	268	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	243	201	65	19	5	4	36	32	5	9	4	323	438	527	965	204	367	13	15	424	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	517	437	106	22	11	11	74	124	1	24	5	243	354	419	772	176	311	24	14	343	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	131	117	25	3	3	4	12	39	1	6	2	214	292	393	685	179	280	30	9	303	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	461	413	107	20	7	13	45	122	0	18	4	259	332	436	768	177	335	26	10	339	118	+10	+2	-4	+2	+10	2.0
2021	22	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	18	14	2	1	0	0	4	5	0	1	0	143	333	214	548	71	222	28	22	277	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	225	201	41	3	2	2	24	64	0	9	6	204	289	269	558	65	289	28	11	261	65	-9	-1	-1	-4	+5	-1.0
2022	23	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	131	110	33	9	2	3	19	26	1	7	4	300	408	500	908	200	366	20	15	399	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	357	312	68	13	1	11	42	89	0	14	3	218	311	372	683	154	268	25	12	306	95	-2	+2	-2	-4	+8	0.1
2023	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	49	40	11	3	1	1	8	10	0	2	1	275	396	475	871	200	333	20	16	379	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	82	73	10	2	2	2	8	27	0	1	0	137	222	301	524	164	178	33	10	234	47	-5	+0	-1	-5	+2	-0.9
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	377	323	77	21	5	9	48	100	3	29	8	238	341	418	759	180	315	27	13	338	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	18	17	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	118	167	176	343	59	167	28	6	160	-4	-2	+0	+2	-5	+0	-0.6
2025	26	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	457	385	108	21	6	15	68	112	0	25	4	281	389	483	872	203	355	25	15	383	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	27	23	6	0	0	1	2	5	2	2	0	261	370	391	762	130	294	19	7	351	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	262	226	57	10	3	11	32	61	0	7	1	252	344	469	813	217	295	23	12	354	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1143	1016	228	39	12	28	120	307	0	43	13	224	306	369	675	145	292	27	10	303	91	-12	+3	-6	-17	+25	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	17	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	128	115	13	0	1	1	11	52	1	8	1	113	197	157	353	43	200	41	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	243	214	54	15	4	3	23	45	5	9	4	252	339	402	741	150	303	19	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	517	461	89	17	10	7	50	172	1	24	5	193	273	319	592	126	281	33	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	131	120	19	3	2	2	9	59	1	6	2	158	223	267	490	108	269	45	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	461	414	109	20	7	14	44	122	0	18	4	263	334	447	781	184	335	26	10	343	118	+10	+2	-4	+2	+10	2.0
2021	22	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	18	15	2	1	0	0	3	6	0	1	0	133	278	200	478	67	205	33	17	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	225	201	41	3	2	2	24	64	0	9	6	204	289	269	558	65	289	28	11	264	65	-9	-1	-1	-4	+5	-1.0
2022	23	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	131	115	31	8	2	2	14	31	1	7	4	270	354	426	780	157	348	24	11	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	357	314	69	13	1	11	40	89	0	14	3	220	308	373	681	153	268	25	11	308	95	-2	+2	-2	-4	+8	0.1
2023	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	49	42	10	2	1	1	6	12	0	2	1	238	333	405	738	167	301	24	12	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	82	73	10	2	2	2	8	27	0	1	0	137	222	301	524	164	178	33	10	238	47	-5	+0	-1	-5	+2	-0.9
2024	25	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	377	340	65	17	5	8	32	118	3	29	8	191	267	341	608	150	257	31	8	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	18	17	2	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	118	167	176	343	59	167	28	6	163	-4	-2	+0	+2	-5	+0	-0.6
2025	26	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	457	406	99	18	6	13	47	125	0	25	4	244	322	414	736	170	316	27	10	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	27	24	5	0	0	1	1	7	2	2	0	208	296	333	630	125	243	26	4	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	262	237	50	8	3	8	22	73	0	7	1	211	278	371	649	160	262	28	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	128	115	13	0	1	1	11	52	1	8	1	113	197	157	353	43	190	41	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	—	128	107	19	0	2	2	18	36	1	8	1	178	299	271	570	93	243	28	14	268	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	243	214	54	15	4	3	23	45	5	9	4	252	339	402	741	150	305	19	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	Elizabethton Twins	—	243	201	65	19	5	4	36	32	5	9	4	323	438	527	965	204	367	13	15	424	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	517	461	89	17	10	7	50	172	1	24	5	193	273	319	592	126	288	33	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	517	437	106	22	11	11	74	124	1	24	5	243	354	419	772	176	311	24	14	343	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	131	120	19	3	2	2	9	59	1	6	2	158	223	267	490	108	283	45	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ RAW	Fort Myers Miracle	—	131	117	25	3	3	4	12	39	1	6	2	214	292	393	685	179	280	30	9	303	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	479	429	111	21	7	14	47	128	0	19	4	259	332	438	770	179	334	27	10	338	115	+9	+2	-4	+2	+10	1.9
2021	22	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	479	427	109	21	7	13	49	127	0	19	4	255	332	429	761	173	331	27	10	336	115	+9	+2	-4	+2	+10	1.9
2022	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	356	316	73	11	4	4	38	95	1	16	10	231	315	329	645	98	317	27	11	294	85	-6	-1	-1	-4	+8	-0.5
2022	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	356	311	74	12	4	5	43	90	1	16	10	238	332	350	683	113	318	25	12	312	85	-6	-1	-1	-4	+8	-0.5
2023	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	406	356	80	16	2	12	46	101	0	16	4	225	313	382	695	157	278	25	11	309	96	-2	+2	-2	-4	+9	0.2
2023	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	406	352	79	16	2	12	50	99	0	16	4	224	321	384	704	159	276	24	12	315	96	-2	+2	-2	-4	+9	0.2
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	459	413	75	19	7	10	40	145	3	30	8	182	259	334	593	153	249	32	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	459	396	87	23	7	11	56	127	3	30	8	220	320	396	717	177	291	28	12	319	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	502	447	105	19	6	13	49	137	2	28	4	235	313	391	705	157	306	27	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	502	425	116	22	6	16	71	122	2	28	4	273	380	466	845	193	344	24	14	373	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	262	237	50	8	3	8	22	73	0	7	1	211	278	371	649	160	266	28	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	262	226	57	10	3	11	32	61	0	7	1	252	344	469	813	217	295	23	12	354	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	—	128	115	13	0	1	1	11	52	1	8	1	113	197	157	353	43	200	41	9	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	243	213	54	15	4	3	23	45	5	9	4	254	339	404	743	150	303	19	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	517	461	89	17	10	7	50	172	1	24	5	193	273	319	592	126	281	33	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	131	120	19	3	2	2	9	59	1	6	2	158	223	267	490	108	269	45	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	479	429	111	21	7	14	47	128	0	19	4	259	332	438	770	179	330	27	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	356	314	73	11	4	4	38	95	1	16	10	232	315	331	647	99	311	27	11	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	406	357	80	16	2	12	46	101	0	16	4	224	313	381	694	157	272	25	11	309	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	459	413	75	19	7	10	40	145	3	30	8	182	259	334	593	153	243	32	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	502	446	105	19	6	13	49	137	2	28	4	235	313	392	706	157	307	27	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	262	238	50	8	3	8	22	73	0	7	1	210	278	370	648	160	262	28	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	459	413	75	19	7	10	40	145	3	30	8	182	259	334	593	153	243	32	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	502	446	105	19	6	13	49	137	2	28	4	235	313	392	706	157	307	27	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	262	238	50	8	3	8	22	73	0	7	1	210	278	370	648	160	262	28	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIL	45%	312	279	60	11	3	9	29	85	1	12	3	218	293	380	673	162	277	27	9	299	89	-4	+1	+2	-3	+7	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIL	45%	73	66	14	2	1	2	7	20	0	3	1	216	291	380	672	164	272	27	10	298	89	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	224	201	43	8	2	6	20	62	1	8	2	215	290	373	663	158	275	28	9	295	86	-4	+1	-0	-2	+5	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	107	96	21	4	1	3	10	30	0	4	1	214	288	373	661	160	270	28	9	294	86	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1250	1112	249	43	13	31	130	337	0	47	14	224	305	370	675	146	291	27	10	302	82	-14	+4	-6	-18	+27	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	129	22	7	16	68	175	0	24	7	223	305	369	673	145	290	27	10	302	82	-7	+2	-3	-9	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3869	3455	744	143	50	85	370	1113	15	177	46	215	294	359	653	144	289	29	10	290	82	-18	+5	-5	-21	+33	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	124	24	8	14	62	187	3	30	8	214	293	355	648	141	287	29	10	290	82	-8	+2	-2	-9	+14	-0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAANashville Sounds · 262 PAwOBA .347 → .280 (−67)K% 23.3% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.28%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	27.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.21%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.992	8.36%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.005	×0.992	18.54%
Doubles /BIP	6.06%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.005	×0.992	5.02%
Triples /BIP	1.82%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.005	×0.992	1.76%
Home runs /BIP	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.992	4.63%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .347 → .280; ISO .217 → .166; BABIP .295 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 457 PAwOBA .376 → .322 (−54)K% 24.5% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.51%	÷1.073	×1.200	—	—	27.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.66%	÷0.988	×0.690	—	×1.003	10.27%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	24.18%	÷0.993	×0.930	×0.964	×1.003	21.89%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷0.953	×0.830	×0.964	×1.003	6.48%
Triples /BIP	2.20%	÷0.905	×0.970	×0.964	×1.003	2.28%
Home runs /BIP	5.49%	÷0.872	×0.700	—	×1.003	4.42%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 81, K 115, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.

Result: wOBA .376 → .322; ISO .203 → .180; BABIP .355 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 27 PAwOBA .342 → .268 (−73)K% 18.5% → 25.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.52%	÷0.998	×1.360	—	—	25.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.41%	÷0.945	×0.690	—	×0.950	5.14%
HBP% /PA	7.41%	—	×0.780	—	×0.950	5.49%
Singles /BIP	27.78%	÷1.051	×0.920	—	×0.950	23.10%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.971	×0.830	—	×0.950	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.910	—	×0.950	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.56%	÷0.864	×0.800	—	×0.950	4.89%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.0 → −5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .342 → .268; ISO .130 → .110; BABIP .294 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 377 PAwOBA .330 → .265 (−65)K% 26.5% → 31.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.53%	÷1.022	×1.200	—	—	31.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.47%	÷1.016	×0.690	—	×1.018	8.62%
HBP% /PA	0.80%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.76%
Singles /BIP	18.83%	÷1.117	×0.930	×0.975	×1.018	15.57%
Doubles /BIP	9.42%	÷1.049	×0.830	×0.975	×1.018	7.40%
Triples /BIP	2.24%	÷1.070	×0.970	×0.975	×1.018	2.02%
Home runs /BIP	4.04%	÷0.792	×0.700	—	×1.018	3.63%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 58, 1B 123, 2B 110, 3B 114, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .330 → .265; ISO .180 → .155; BABIP .315 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 49 PAwOBA .377 → .320 (−57)K% 20.4% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.41%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	24.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.33%	÷1.006	×0.690	—	×1.033	11.57%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.00%	÷0.965	×0.930	—	×1.033	19.91%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷1.156	×0.830	—	×1.033	7.42%
Triples /BIP	3.33%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×1.033	2.90%
Home runs /BIP	3.33%	÷0.901	×0.700	—	×1.033	2.67%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 93, 2B 131, 3B 130, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .377 → .320; ISO .200 → .166; BABIP .333 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 131 PAwOBA .392 → .344 (−47)K% 19.8% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.85%	÷1.008	×1.200	—	—	23.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.50%	÷0.964	×0.690	—	×1.048	10.88%
HBP% /PA	0.76%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.75%
Singles /BIP	22.62%	÷1.015	×0.930	×1.041	×1.048	22.61%
Doubles /BIP	10.71%	÷1.015	×0.830	×1.041	×1.048	9.56%
Triples /BIP	2.38%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.041	×1.048	2.19%
Home runs /BIP	3.57%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.048	2.55%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .392 → .344; ISO .200 → .167; BABIP .366 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 18 PAwOBA .271 → .217 (−54)K% 27.8% → 33.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.78%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	33.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.22%	÷1.038	×0.690	—	×1.050	15.51%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.11%	÷0.991	×0.930	—	×1.050	10.95%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.013	×0.830	—	×1.050	9.56%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.981	×0.920	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×1.050	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .271 → .217; ISO .071 → .063; BABIP .222 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 131 PAwOBA .297 → .216 (−82)K% 29.8% → 45.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.77%	÷0.939	×1.420	—	—	45.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.16%	÷1.019	×0.750	—	×1.027	6.92%
HBP% /PA	0.76%	—	×0.930	—	×1.027	0.73%
Singles /BIP	19.23%	÷0.975	×0.920	—	×1.027	18.64%
Doubles /BIP	3.85%	÷0.908	×0.960	—	×1.027	4.18%
Triples /BIP	3.85%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×1.027	3.55%
Home runs /BIP	5.13%	÷1.362	×0.880	—	×1.027	3.40%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 95, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 88, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .297 → .216; ISO .179 → .114; BABIP .280 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ricky Ledee'98-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,307 PA	3.5	2,307	63	29	233*	311*	398*	-19	-6	2.4	3.1
/162	664	18	8	-5.5	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#4Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.0	1,305	33	48	226	304	375	-14	-10	1.2	1.2
/162	664	17	25	-7.1	-5.1	0.6	pk7: 1
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Greg Briley'88-'93 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,670 PA	2.5	1,670	29	65	251*	309*	399*	-17	-4	0.9	0.9
/162	664	12	26	-6.8	-1.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Akil Baddoo (OGILVIE)	28	55	55	60	60	216/291/377	161	277	5	6	27%	9%	89	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Julks 2024 · MLB	28	46→50	49→50	54→55	46	234/295/386	152	289	17	21	25%	7%	92	+0.7	229/289/353	124	290	13	18	25%	7%	82	-0.0	222/281/337	115	280	13	16	25%	7%	73	-0.5
●Will Venable 2011 · MLB	28	47→55	50→55	56→60	45	238/301/399	161	306	18	20	28%	8%	97	+1.1	250/307/418	168	310	16	28	24%	7%	103	+1.6	257/311/436	179	309	17	31	22%	6%	109	+1.6
✕Clete Thomas 2011 · MLB	27	47→54	46→50	58→55	48	228/305/365	137	312	12	26	29%	9%	91	+0.6	211/264/346	135	302	15	19	33%	6%	70	-0.8	203/258/328	125	272	12	14	29%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Roger Bernadina 2012 · MLB	28	48→58	47→45	57→60	47	242/300/375	133	288	14	27	21%	7%	91	+0.6	230/300/350	120	292	12	22	24%	8%	85	+0.2	217/298/320	103	286	9	21	25%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Cade Marlowe 2024 · MLB	27	46→55	50→55	61→60	43	229/296/388	159	321	17	29	32%	8%	93	+0.8	225/292/351	126	328	11	35	32%	8%	82	+0.0	229/295/350	122	329	10	40	31%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2017 · MLB	29	47→53	51→55	58→60	42	235/290/403	168	310	17	19	30%	7%	93	+0.8	211/270/365	154	318	16	18	37%	7%	78	-0.3	185/247/329	144	292	15	21	40%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Jimmy Herron 2024 · AAA	28	47→48	47→45	57→55	49	232/309/370	138	287	14	24	24%	9%	93	+0.8	222/285/331	109	273	11	23	22%	7%	75	-0.5	211/271/300	89	255	10	25	21%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Joshua Palacios 2024 · MLB	29	50→53	49→50	53→55	46	253/307/400	146	292	17	18	20%	6%	99	+1.3	229/295/358	129	283	13	13	23%	7%	85	+0.2	210/285/314	105	268	9	11	24%	8%	71	-0.3
✕Steven Duggar 2022 · MLB	28	51→58	48→50	57→55	44	247/309/397	150	338	14	16	30%	8%	99	+1.2	206/280/330	124	329	13	17	38%	9%	73	-0.6	165/248/262	97	283	11	17	42%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Brian Bogusevic 2013 · MLB	29	47→54	43→45	56→55	49	227/302/341	114	290	10	22	24%	9%	84	+0.1	244/308/373	129	307	13	18	23%	8%	93	+0.8	252/309/379	126	316	13	19	23%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Michael A. Taylor 2019 · MLB	28	47→54	49→55	57→60	41	235/286/392	157	321	16	28	31%	6%	89	+0.5	227/280/373	146	311	15	20	30%	7%	83	+0.1	240/297/382	142	309	19	14	28%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Reggie Taylor 2005 · MLB	28	46→56	49→50	53→55	40	234/282/385	151	310	17	17	30%	6%	86	+0.3	230/282/354	124	284	13	19	23%	6%	79	-0.2	247/293/381	135	284	15	22	19%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Stuart Fairchild 2024 · MLB	28	46→43	49→50	52→55	45	228/312/380	152	304	15	16	29%	8%	97	+1.1	225/305/369	144	290	15	23	26%	8%	92	+0.7	216/307/360	144	270	16	31	25%	9%	89	+0.3
✕Scott Cousins 2013 · MLB	28	47→51	45→50	53→55	42	233/280/362	129	302	13	17	27%	6%	80	-0.2	216/274/316	100	293	9	16	28%	6%	67	-1.1	183/246/232	49	259	2	16	28%	5%	35	-1.2
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→53	47→50	55→60	46	218/293/346	128	298	15	24	31%	9%	82	-0.0	228/297/362	134	313	15	28	30%	8%	87	+0.4	239/292/380	141	304	16	27	26%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Jeff Salazar 2010 · MLB	29	47→51	45→50	58→55	50	231/295/358	127	271	12	17	20%	8%	84	+0.2	205/265/316	111	249	13	23	23%	7%	64	-1.3	188/251/288	100	228	13	25	23%	7%	51	-1.4
✕Drew Stubbs 2013 · MLB	28	46→56	46→50	57→60	46	229/298/356	127	310	15	31	30%	8%	86	+0.3	235/300/372	137	330	15	24	31%	8%	90	+0.6	233/301/372	139	331	14	24	32%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Troy Johnston 2024 · AAA	27	48→57	49→50	54→55	46	239/306/392	153	291	16	12	23%	7%	97	+1.1	238/298/373	135	292	13	19	22%	6%	90	+0.6	239/301/361	122	295	10	19	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Bradley Zimmer 2021 · MLB	28	48→51	47→50	52→60	46	233/325/371	139	326	15	17	31%	9%	100	+1.3	210/304/326	116	328	13	22	37%	8%	82	+0.0	187/282/287	100	311	11	27	39%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Eric Patterson 2011 · MLB	28	49→55	47→50	66→60	46	239/296/387	148	302	12	33	25%	7%	91	+0.7	209/272/317	108	269	9	22	24%	8%	67	-1.1	190/256/268	79	245	5	20	23%	8%	48	-0.9

Akil Baddoo

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps