Bradley Zimmer
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 28 | AAACLE | 75 | .267/.413/.367 | 1 | 4 | 85 | — | .222/.347/.302 | |
| 2021 | 28 | MLBCleveland Ind… | 348 | .227/.328/.344 | 8 | 15 | 94 | 1.5 | ||
| 2022 | 29 | MLBTOR | 117 | .124/.207/.229 | 2 | 3 | 24 | -0.5 | ||
| 2023 | 30 | AAABOS | 305 | .207/.321/.341 | 8 | 19 | 42 | — | .161/.249/.245 | |
| 2024 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 214 | 187 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 54 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 219 | 315 | 374 | 689 | 155 | 273 | 25 | 8 | 312 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 335 | 286 | 88 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 77 | 10 | 32 | 5 | 308 | 405 | 493 | 898 | 185 | 388 | 23 | 11 | 397 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 150 | 128 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 56 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 242 | 349 | 305 | 654 | 62 | 423 | 37 | 14 | 305 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 407 | 340 | 86 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 56 | 115 | 8 | 33 | 13 | 253 | 371 | 471 | 842 | 218 | 341 | 28 | 14 | 371 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 95 | 74 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 257 | 421 | 514 | 935 | 257 | 341 | 27 | 20 | 413 | 166 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 332 | 299 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 99 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 241 | 310 | 385 | 695 | 144 | 328 | 30 | 8 | 309 | 95 | -2 | +3 | +1 | +2 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 144 | 126 | 37 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 43 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 294 | 373 | 532 | 905 | 238 | 405 | 30 | 10 | 390 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 114 | 106 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 281 | 330 | 611 | 104 | 367 | 39 | 6 | 277 | 73 | -4 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 28 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 148 | 179 | 259 | 438 | 111 | 200 | 39 | 4 | 196 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 26 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 364 | 440 | 636 | 1.076 | 273 | 467 | 23 | 12 | 446 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 50 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 162 | 367 | 243 | 611 | 81 | 217 | 28 | 14 | 303 | 91 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 348 | 299 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 122 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 227 | 328 | 344 | 673 | 117 | 347 | 35 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -2 | +2 | +6 | +2 | +8 | 1.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 75 | 60 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 267 | 413 | 367 | 780 | 100 | 455 | 35 | 13 | 366 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 117 | 105 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 124 | 207 | 229 | 435 | 105 | 190 | 38 | 4 | 204 | 24 | -11 | -0 | +3 | +0 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | — | 305 | 261 | 54 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 114 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 207 | 321 | 341 | 662 | 134 | 331 | 37 | 11 | 306 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 961 | 846 | 183 | 34 | 3 | 21 | 75 | 324 | 31 | 42 | 8 | 216 | 304 | 338 | 642 | 122 | 318 | 34 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -19 | +5 | +12 | +4 | +21 | 2.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 214 | 191 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 65 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 199 | 282 | 340 | 622 | 141 | 261 | 30 | 7 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 335 | 301 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 106 | 10 | 32 | 5 | 246 | 318 | 382 | 700 | 136 | 346 | 32 | 7 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 150 | 135 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 70 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 207 | 282 | 259 | 541 | 52 | 415 | 47 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 407 | 355 | 78 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 141 | 8 | 33 | 13 | 220 | 314 | 389 | 703 | 169 | 327 | 35 | 10 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 332 | 300 | 72 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 99 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 240 | 307 | 383 | 690 | 143 | 328 | 30 | 8 | 308 | 95 | -2 | +3 | +1 | +2 | +7 | 1.1 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 144 | 132 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 52 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 250 | 303 | 417 | 719 | 167 | 389 | 36 | 6 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 114 | 106 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 44 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 281 | 330 | 611 | 104 | 367 | 39 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -4 | +0 | +2 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 28 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 148 | 179 | 259 | 438 | 111 | 191 | 46 | 4 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 26 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 348 | 400 | 609 | 1.009 | 261 | 444 | 27 | 8 | 402 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 50 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 162 | 367 | 243 | 611 | 81 | 217 | 28 | 14 | 303 | 91 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 348 | 299 | 68 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 122 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 227 | 328 | 344 | 673 | 117 | 347 | 35 | 9 | 308 | 94 | -2 | +2 | +6 | +2 | +8 | 1.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 75 | 63 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 222 | 347 | 302 | 648 | 79 | 424 | 41 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 117 | 105 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 124 | 207 | 229 | 435 | 105 | 190 | 38 | 4 | 204 | 24 | -11 | -0 | +3 | +0 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 305 | 273 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 134 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 161 | 249 | 245 | 495 | 84 | 293 | 44 | 7 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 492 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 171 | 18 | 44 | 7 | 228 | 304 | 362 | 666 | 134 | 318 | 31 | 7 | 292 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 549 | 473 | 129 | 26 | 4 | 16 | 55 | 131 | 18 | 44 | 7 | 273 | 370 | 446 | 816 | 173 | 343 | 24 | 10 | 364 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 652 | 573 | 125 | 25 | 6 | 14 | 65 | 246 | 10 | 46 | 15 | 218 | 309 | 356 | 665 | 138 | 355 | 38 | 10 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 652 | 542 | 136 | 32 | 6 | 19 | 96 | 197 | 10 | 46 | 15 | 251 | 373 | 437 | 811 | 186 | 359 | 30 | 15 | 362 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 432 | 106 | 24 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 151 | 6 | 27 | 4 | 245 | 308 | 400 | 708 | 155 | 347 | 32 | 7 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 476 | 425 | 109 | 26 | 4 | 13 | 40 | 142 | 6 | 27 | 4 | 256 | 329 | 428 | 757 | 172 | 350 | 30 | 8 | 334 | 98 | -1 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 142 | 133 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 57 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 261 | 316 | 576 | 105 | 342 | 40 | 6 | 251 | 56 | -7 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 142 | 133 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 55 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 261 | 316 | 576 | 105 | 333 | 39 | 6 | 261 | 56 | -7 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 26 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 348 | 400 | 609 | 1.009 | 261 | 467 | 27 | 8 | 402 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 26 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 364 | 440 | 636 | 1.076 | 273 | 467 | 23 | 12 | 446 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 50 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 162 | 367 | 243 | 611 | 81 | 217 | 28 | 14 | 303 | 91 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Indians | — | 50 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 162 | 367 | 243 | 611 | 81 | 217 | 28 | 14 | 303 | 91 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 423 | 362 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 153 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 227 | 332 | 337 | 669 | 110 | 358 | 36 | 9 | 305 | 93 | -4 | +2 | +6 | +2 | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 423 | 359 | 84 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 148 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 234 | 344 | 348 | 692 | 114 | 364 | 35 | 9 | 318 | 93 | -4 | +2 | +6 | +2 | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 117 | 105 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 124 | 207 | 229 | 435 | 105 | 190 | 38 | 4 | 204 | 24 | -11 | -0 | +3 | +0 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB RAW | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 117 | 105 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 124 | 207 | 229 | 435 | 105 | 190 | 38 | 4 | 204 | 24 | -11 | -0 | +3 | +0 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 305 | 273 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 134 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 161 | 249 | 245 | 495 | 84 | 291 | 44 | 7 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA RAW | Worcester Red Sox | — | 305 | 261 | 54 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 114 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 207 | 321 | 341 | 662 | 134 | 331 | 37 | 11 | 306 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 490 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 171 | 18 | 44 | 7 | 229 | 304 | 363 | 667 | 135 | 313 | 31 | 7 | 292 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 652 | 572 | 125 | 25 | 6 | 14 | 65 | 246 | 10 | 46 | 15 | 219 | 309 | 357 | 665 | 138 | 351 | 38 | 10 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 434 | 106 | 24 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 151 | 6 | 27 | 4 | 244 | 308 | 399 | 706 | 154 | 347 | 32 | 7 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 142 | 132 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 57 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 212 | 261 | 318 | 579 | 106 | 332 | 40 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 26 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 333 | 400 | 583 | 983 | 250 | 444 | 27 | 8 | 402 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 50 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 158 | 367 | 237 | 604 | 79 | 217 | 28 | 14 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 423 | 363 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 153 | 20 | 19 | 5 | 226 | 332 | 336 | 668 | 110 | 361 | 36 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Toronto Blue Jays | — | 117 | 105 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 124 | 207 | 229 | 435 | 105 | 190 | 38 | 4 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Worcester Red Sox | — | 305 | 270 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 134 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 163 | 249 | 248 | 497 | 85 | 293 | 44 | 7 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 961 | 846 | 183 | 34 | 3 | 21 | 75 | 324 | 31 | 42 | 8 | 216 | 304 | 338 | 642 | 122 | 318 | 34 | 8 | 292 | 80 | -19 | +5 | +12 | +4 | +21 | 2.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 124 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 51 | 219 | 21 | 28 | 5 | 217 | 304 | 337 | 642 | 121 | 320 | 34 | 8 | 292 | 80 | -13 | +4 | +8 | +3 | +14 | 1.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2740 | 2430 | 524 | 96 | 18 | 59 | 215 | 978 | 76 | 167 | 41 | 216 | 300 | 343 | 642 | 127 | 331 | 36 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -19 | +5 | +12 | +4 | +21 | 2.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 124 | 23 | 4 | 14 | 51 | 232 | 18 | 40 | 10 | 215 | 299 | 342 | 641 | 127 | 330 | 36 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -13 | +4 | +8 | +3 | +14 | 1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 305 PAwOBA .296 → .230 (−66)K% 37.4% → 43.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.38% | ÷1.023 | ×1.200 | — | — | 43.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.49% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 2.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.17% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 23.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.309 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 3.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷0.905 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 1.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.44% | ÷1.008 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.64% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 99, 2B 162, 3B 81, K 105, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .296 → .230; ISO .134 → .091; BABIP .331 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAColumbus Clippers · 75 PAwOBA .357 → .294 (−64)K% 34.7% → 41.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.67% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 8.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 6.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷0.949 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 33.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 7.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.96% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .357 → .294; ISO .100 → .073; BABIP .455 → .424. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAColumbus Clippers · 26 PAwOBA .434 → .402 (−32)K% 23.1% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷0.993 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.089 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷0.970 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 30.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 5.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 6.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.985 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 5.35% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 94, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 99, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .434 → .402; ISO .273 → .266; BABIP .467 → .444. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAColumbus Clippers · 28 PAwOBA .191 → .148 (−43)K% 39.3% → 46.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.29% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 46.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.57% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.974 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 18.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.135 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 4.71% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 95, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .191 → .148; ISO .111 → .075; BABIP .200 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAColumbus Clippers · 144 PAwOBA .380 → .325 (−55)K% 29.9% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.86% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.03% | ÷1.089 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.89% | ÷0.945 | ×0.930 | ×1.017 | ×1.033 | 23.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.25% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×1.017 | ×1.033 | 11.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.017 | ×1.033 | 2.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.231 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 4.25% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 89, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .380 → .325; ISO .238 → .191; BABIP .405 → .389. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAkron RubberDucks · 407 PAwOBA .361 → .309 (−52)K% 28.3% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.26% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.51% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 10.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.97% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.44% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.045 | ×1.012 | 20.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.89% | ÷1.015 | ×0.860 | ×1.045 | ×1.012 | 7.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | ×1.012 | 2.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.22% | ÷0.949 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 5.18% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .361 → .309; ISO .218 → .181; BABIP .341 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAColumbus Clippers · 150 PAwOBA .298 → .244 (−54)K% 37.3% → 46.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.33% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 46.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.00% | ÷1.077 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.72% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 34.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.043 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 6.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.113 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 1.10% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .298 → .244; ISO .062 → .049; BABIP .423 → .415. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 335 PAwOBA .389 → .306 (−82)K% 23.0% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.99% | ÷1.031 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.75% | ÷1.046 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 6.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.99% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 2.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.75% | ÷1.026 | ×0.940 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 25.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | ×1.008 | ×0.998 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.78% | ÷1.129 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 3.81% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 84, K 106, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .389 → .306; ISO .185 → .144; BABIP .388 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .