Cade Marlowe — OGILVIE

Cade MarloweOF Las Vegas Aviators

Age 29 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION361 act + 240 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .297 / .365

PA240

HR4

SB16

K%29

BB%8

BABIP313

ISO138

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2024

CONTACT60

Whiff%

2014.4%

xwOBA

100.253

POWER50

Barrel%

386.7

Avg EV

1079.4

Bat Spd

3469.6

EYE60

Chase%

4532.7%

SPEED60

Sprint

5227.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.1M
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.5M		$0.6M	+$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	3 teams	—	577	526	107	19	11	23	43	213	4	30	9	203	269	413	681	209	287	37	7	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	3 teams	—	577	492	131	29	10	26	77	154	4	30	9	266	370	524	894	258	333	27	13	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	578	517	133	19	4	23	44	195	13	42	10	257	331	443	774	186	363	34	8	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	578	499	143	21	5	23	62	156	13	42	10	287	380	487	867	200	370	27	11	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	479	434	93	18	8	9	39	155	3	33	6	214	284	355	638	141	308	32	8	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	479	422	107	20	8	14	51	132	3	33	6	254	338	438	777	185	333	28	11	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	411	363	63	6	4	8	36	170	4	43	7	174	256	278	534	105	286	41	9	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	411	344	81	8	4	13	55	133	4	43	7	235	347	395	743	160	332	32	13	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	198	173	42	11	0	2	18	59	2	13	4	243	321	341	662	98	342	30	9	296	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	198	165	52	14	0	4	26	48	2	13	4	315	415	473	887	158	407	24	13	387	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	OAK	—	361	326	83	18	8	5	28	93	2	24	2	255	317	405	722	150	339	26	8	312	97	-1	+4	+0	-4	+10	0.9
YTD	29	AAA	OAK	—	361	315	100	23	10	7	39	72	2	24	2	317	396	521	917	203	391	20	11	397	162	+25	+4	+0	-4	+10	3.6
ROS	29	AAA	OAK	10%	240	216	49	10	4	4	20	70	2	16	2	226	297	365	662	138	308	29	8	293	83	-5	+2	+1	-3	+7	0.3
ROS	29	MLB	OAK	10%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	2	0	182	250	227	477	45	306	29	8	286	77	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
FULL	29	AAA	OAK	—	385	348	87	19	8	5	30	100	2	26	2	250	313	394	707	144	335	26	8	310	96	-2	+4	+0	-4	+11	1.0
TOT	29	AAA	OAK	—	601	542	132	28	12	9	48	163	4	40	4	243	309	389	698	146	329	27	8	305	91	-6	+6	+1	-6	+17	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	OAK	27%	303	273	62	12	4	6	25	86	2	17	2	227	297	366	663	139	304	28	8	292	82	-6	+3	-1	-3	+9	0.1
2028	31	MLB	OAK	37%	288	260	58	11	4	5	24	82	2	14	2	223	294	354	648	131	301	28	8	291	81	-6	+2	-2	-3	+8	-0.1
2027	30	MLB	OAK	27%	83	75	17	3	1	2	7	24	1	5	1	227	301	373	675	147	301	29	8	285	76	-2	+1	-0	-1	+2	-0.0
2028	31	MLB	OAK	37%	108	97	21	4	1	2	9	31	1	5	1	216	290	340	630	124	298	29	8	283	75	-3	+1	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	315	282	63	11	4	7	30	95	2	16	4	223	303	365	668	142	309	30	10	300	88	-4	+2	+1	-7	+9	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	130	23	8	14	62	196	4	33	8	223	302	363	665	139	310	30	10	300	88	-9	+3	+3	-15	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	3074	2762	607	106	39	80	249	1030	32	208	42	220	292	373	665	153	314	33	8	291	81	-67	+25	+0	-33	+87	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	128	22	8	17	53	218	7	44	9	219	292	372	664	152	314	34	8	291	81	-14	+5	+0	-7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	325	286	74	18	5	20	36	91	2	12	7	259	346	566	912	308	307	28	11	392	158	+21	-0	—	—	+9	3.1
2021	24	A	Modesto Nuts	—	160	133	40	6	5	6	24	40	1	11	2	301	411	556	968	256	382	25	15	416	176	+14	+1	—	—	+5	2.0
2021	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	92	73	17	5	0	0	17	23	1	7	0	233	385	301	686	68	340	25	18	325	107	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	25	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	60	52	13	3	1	3	7	23	1	6	0	250	350	519	869	269	385	38	12	379	148	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2022	25	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	518	447	130	18	4	20	55	133	12	36	10	291	383	483	866	192	369	26	11	382	151	+30	+3	—	—	+15	4.9
2023	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	100	88	21	3	2	3	12	33	0	4	2	239	330	420	750	182	346	33	12	335	114	+2	+0	+2	-5	+3	0.2
2023	26	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	379	334	86	17	6	11	39	99	3	29	4	257	340	443	784	186	330	26	10	345	122	+10	+4	—	—	+11	2.5
2024	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	411	344	81	8	4	13	55	133	4	43	7	235	347	395	743	160	332	32	13	330	111	+5	+6	—	—	+12	2.3
2025	28	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	182	152	48	12	0	4	23	43	2	12	3	316	412	474	886	158	400	24	13	386	153	+11	+1	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	28	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	16	13	4	2	0	0	3	5	0	1	1	308	438	462	899	154	500	31	19	404	168	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	100	88	21	3	2	3	12	33	0	4	2	239	330	420	750	182	346	33	12	335	114	+2	+0	+2	-5	+3	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	315	7	16	228	302	378	-2	+3	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	15	33	228	302	378	-5.2	+5.9	0.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cade Marlowe (OGILVIE)	29	60	50	60	60	243/309/389	146	329	9	40	27%	8%	91	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Quintin Berry 2014 · MLB	29	47→57	38→40	63→65	46	219/290/294	75	298	5	38	26%	8%	64	-0.8	227/294/295	68	305	4	33	25%	8%	66	-0.6	229/297/285	56	312	3	37	25%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	41→40	57→60	49	216/288/311	95	273	8	35	23%	9%	68	-0.5	227/294/306	79	301	6	35	25%	8%	69	-0.4	226/297/286	59	306	4	40	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Billy Hamilton 2020 · MLB	29	49→59	38→40	62→70	49	230/293/313	83	300	4	37	23%	8%	69	-0.4	207/263/305	98	292	7	34	30%	7%	55	-1.4	161/212/239	78	258	4	47	37%	6%	14	-0.9
✕Ian Miller 2021 · MLB	29	46→56	43→40	58→60	43	225/276/337	112	275	10	29	22%	6%	69	-0.4	228/277/322	94	285	7	21	21%	6%	66	-0.6	230/279/303	73	289	3	25	20%	5%	59	-0.7
✕Roman Quinn 2022 · MLB	29	46→53	45	61→65	44	223/300/352	129	313	12	31	31%	8%	84	+0.6	206/300/330	124	345	11	25	39%	10%	79	+0.3	167/275/272	105	312	9	34	44%	11%	53	-0.4
✕Darren Ford 2016 · AAA	30	46→53	41→45	58→65	44	222/275/316	94	285	9	39	25%	6%	63	-0.8	223/272/305	82	291	6	24	24%	6%	58	-1.2	221/267/269	48	296	1	23	24%	5%	43	-1.6
✕Eric Patterson 2011 · MLB	28	48→55	47→50	66→60	46	236/292/382	146	298	12	33	25%	7%	87	+0.8	206/270/315	109	268	9	22	25%	8%	61	-1.0	186/255/267	80	244	6	20	25%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Jordan Schafer 2014 · MLB	27	47→54	39→50	59→65	49	222/295/311	89	295	7	36	26%	9%	70	-0.3	226/292/317	91	297	7	37	24%	8%	70	-0.3	229/300/293	64	290	2	75	20%	9%	63	-0.3
✕Darin Mastroianni 2014 · MLB	28	48→58	38→40	61→60	47	225/288/303	78	289	5	34	23%	7%	65	-0.7	222/273/296	74	283	5	24	22%	6%	57	-1.2	221/270/284	63	280	4	24	21%	5%	49	-1.3
✕Travis Jankowski 2019 · MLB	28	53→62	38→40	56→65	52	249/324/330	81	323	6	30	23%	10%	87	+0.8	242/317/321	79	312	5	23	22%	9%	82	+0.5	243/344/307	64	306	2	35	19%	13%	86	+0.3
✕Kean Wong 2023 · MLB	28	49→59	38→45	58→55	42	232/280/307	76	315	5	29	27%	6%	62	-0.9	234/292/333	99	312	9	21	26%	7%	75	-0.0	247/317/338	91	316	11	15	24%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Andrew Velazquez 2023 · MLB	29	43→51	46→50	60	39	214/267/340	126	306	13	31	34%	6%	66	-0.6	207/258/322	115	316	13	33	37%	6%	58	-1.2	211/254/305	94	318	10	30	35%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	42→45	59→60	40	217/273/330	112	295	9	29	29%	6%	66	-0.6	207/268/318	111	304	11	20	33%	6%	62	-0.9	148/223/226	79	244	8	18	40%	7%	18	-1.1
✕Drew Avans 2023 · AAA	27	51→55	43→50	66→60	44	236/303/357	122	337	8	34	30%	8%	85	+0.7	225/294/326	101	320	8	28	30%	8%	74	-0.1	225/296/318	92	315	8	30	29%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Lane Adams 2019 · MLB	29	42→46	45→50	59→60	39	204/265/323	119	312	12	32	37%	7%	61	-1.0	202/270/352	150	319	18	17	40%	7%	72	-0.2	179/253/346	167	275	22	14	42%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Mallex Smith 2021 · MLB	28	51→61	41→45	65	47	241/308/351	110	307	7	40	22%	8%	86	+0.8	219/292/321	102	304	10	31	29%	9%	72	-0.2	189/274/277	88	282	11	40	34%	10%	50	-0.3
✕Tommy Murphy 2009 · MLB	29	50→54	40→50	56→60	42	239/285/335	96	313	7	29	25%	6%	72	-0.2	220/276/313	93	293	7	25	26%	7%	63	-0.9	192/254/259	67	258	4	26	26%	7%	36	-1.4
✕Todd Donovan 2008 · AAA	29	50→53	39→40	61→65	46	236/293/324	88	288	6	38	20%	6%	72	-0.2	233/306/311	78	304	4	35	22%	9%	75	-0.0	234/314/303	69	308	3	42	23%	10%	74	-0.1
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2015 · MLB	28	54→64	40→45	63→60	46	257/305/356	99	311	7	41	20%	6%	85	+0.7	254/313/359	105	314	10	22	21%	7%	90	+1.0	256/323/359	102	320	11	15	22%	8%	92	+0.7
✕John Andreoli 2019 · MLB	29	47→57	44→45	57→60	47	226/300/350	124	311	10	25	29%	9%	83	+0.6	206/292/329	123	320	12	15	36%	10%	75	-0.0	164/270/300	136	268	17	17	41%	12%	57	-0.8