Drew Avans — OGILVIE

Drew AvansLF Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 30 L/L 5'9" / 182 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION293 act + 195 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .284 / .281

PA195

HR2

SB11

K%28

BB%9

BABIP285

ISO75

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT60

Whiff%

837.6%

xwOBA

100.153

POWER40

Avg EV

1084.7

Bat Spd

1066.9

EYE55

Chase%

1040.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-15M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	2 teams	—	255	222	52	5	4	8	24	58	3	20	5	234	317	401	718	167	273	23	9	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	2 teams	—	255	211	60	6	5	10	35	43	3	20	5	284	394	502	896	218	307	17	14	386	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	3 teams	—	421	391	83	12	3	9	23	151	3	24	9	212	261	327	589	115	318	36	5	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	3 teams	—	421	379	106	16	5	10	35	108	3	24	9	280	345	427	773	148	365	26	8	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	279	247	67	15	5	4	29	72	1	19	2	271	350	421	771	150	366	26	10	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	279	233	64	15	4	5	43	59	1	19	2	275	390	438	828	163	347	21	15	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	504	455	103	15	11	5	38	163	7	40	7	226	296	341	637	114	340	32	8	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	504	432	122	17	12	7	61	129	7	40	7	282	380	426	806	144	387	26	12	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	659	583	117	24	1	9	63	187	5	27	10	201	284	292	576	91	276	28	10	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	659	565	144	29	5	12	81	140	5	27	10	255	353	388	741	133	316	21	12	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	902	813	187	35	7	11	78	298	4	62	12	230	301	331	631	101	346	33	9	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	902	777	213	44	10	8	114	212	4	62	12	274	370	387	757	113	365	24	13	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	3 teams	—	640	577	152	24	2	8	47	147	6	52	14	263	325	354	679	90	336	23	7	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	3 teams	—	640	551	156	25	5	10	73	112	6	52	14	283	373	401	774	118	336	18	11	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	COL	—	293	251	42	4	1	1	30	81	2	18	4	167	261	203	465	36	233	28	10	218	25	-25	+2	+0	-3	+8	-1.8
YTD	30	AAA	COL	—	293	238	46	5	1	1	43	63	2	18	4	193	322	235	557	42	249	22	15	262	59	-14	+2	+0	-3	+8	-0.7
ROS	30	AAA	COL	10%	195	174	36	5	1	2	18	54	1	11	2	207	284	281	566	75	281	28	9	257	55	-10	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.5
ROS	30	MLB	COL	10%	20	18	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	222	300	278	578	56	301	25	10	268	63	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
FULL	30	AAA	COL	—	313	269	46	5	1	1	32	86	2	19	4	171	264	208	472	37	238	27	10	221	27	-26	+2	-0	-3	+9	-1.8
TOT	30	AAA	COL	—	488	425	78	9	2	3	48	135	3	29	6	183	271	235	506	52	254	28	10	234	37	-35	+3	-0	-5	+14	-2.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	COL	27%	660	590	121	19	2	7	61	180	4	30	6	205	284	280	564	75	282	27	9	261	58	-31	+4	-4	-7	+19	-2.0
2028	32	MLB	COL	37%	648	580	119	19	2	7	59	177	4	24	5	205	283	281	564	76	279	27	9	260	57	-31	+3	-4	-7	+18	-2.2
2027	31	MLB	COL	27%	180	160	36	6	1	2	17	49	1	8	2	225	303	312	616	87	302	27	9	272	66	-7	+1	-1	-2	+5	-0.4
2028	32	MLB	COL	37%	242	216	48	8	1	3	22	66	2	9	2	222	300	310	610	88	299	27	9	270	65	-10	+1	-2	-3	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	460	411	90	15	2	5	41	126	3	19	4	219	295	302	596	83	300	27	9	264	60	-21	+2	-3	-12	+13	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	127	21	3	7	58	178	4	27	6	219	294	301	595	83	300	27	9	264	60	-29	+3	-5	-16	+18	-2.9
Career	—			—	5163	4632	1037	173	38	70	440	1487	38	309	72	224	296	323	619	99	311	29	9	276	69	-180	+33	-9	-55	+146	-6.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	131	22	5	9	55	187	5	39	9	225	297	326	623	101	312	29	8	276	69	-23	+4	-1	-7	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	148	123	28	5	2	2	17	29	3	12	2	228	336	350	685	122	271	20	11	305	91	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.4
2018	22	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	107	88	32	1	3	8	18	14	0	8	3	364	472	716	1.188	352	358	13	17	499	240	+17	+0	—	—	+3	2.1
2019	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	241	220	63	8	1	6	19	64	1	17	5	286	346	414	759	127	380	27	8	339	118	+5	+1	—	—	+7	1.3
2019	23	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	137	123	36	7	4	3	10	37	2	3	3	293	356	488	843	195	393	27	7	365	138	+6	-1	—	—	+4	0.9
2019	23	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	43	36	7	1	0	1	6	7	0	4	1	194	310	306	615	111	207	16	14	281	73	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	279	233	64	15	4	5	43	59	1	19	2	275	390	438	828	163	347	21	15	369	141	+13	+3	—	—	+8	2.4
2022	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	504	432	122	17	12	7	61	129	7	40	7	282	380	426	806	144	387	26	12	360	133	+19	+5	—	—	+14	3.9
2023	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	596	508	129	27	2	11	77	132	5	23	8	254	358	380	738	126	319	22	13	333	113	+9	+1	—	—	+17	2.8
2023	27	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	63	57	15	2	3	1	4	8	0	4	2	263	311	456	768	193	292	13	6	324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	28	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	625	541	147	27	8	8	80	157	2	35	6	272	368	396	763	124	368	25	13	345	122	+16	+5	—	—	+18	3.9
2024	28	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	277	236	66	17	2	0	34	55	2	27	6	280	375	369	744	89	361	20	12	335	115	+5	+3	—	—	+8	1.6
2025	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	118	118	118	235		167	33	0	101	-65	-3	+0	-1	-7	+1	-1.0
2025	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	444	388	112	19	1	8	50	85	3	40	8	289	374	405	779	116	349	19	11	351	127	+13	+5	—	—	+13	3.1
2025	29	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	178	146	42	6	4	2	23	21	3	11	6	288	395	425	820	137	320	12	13	358	132	+6	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	18	17	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	118	118	118	235		167	33	0	101	-65	-3	+0	-1	-7	+1	-1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#2Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.7
	/162	664	4	56	245	312	332	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#3Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	448	5	18	208	283	284	-5	-0	-1.3	-0.7
	/162	664	7	27	208	283	284	-7.1	-0.5	-2.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Avans (OGILVIE)	30	60	40	60	55	183/271/235	52	254	3	29	28%	10%	37	-2.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Quintin Berry 2015 · MLB	30	50→60	37→40	59→65	48	235/302/310	75	310	4	32	24%	8%	73	-0.1	220/285/286	66	301	5	33	26%	8%	60	-1.0	208/274/258	50	292	4	42	28%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Travis Jankowski 2021 · MLB	30	51→61	38→40	52→65	49	240/306/317	77	309	6	25	23%	8%	76	+0.1	238/329/318	80	303	5	26	20%	12%	87	+0.8	243/344/307	64	306	2	35	19%	13%	86	+0.3
✕Billy Hamilton 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	39→40	59→70	49	220/286/306	86	285	5	34	24%	8%	65	-0.7	196/250/295	99	293	8	34	33%	7%	47	-1.9	161/212/239	78	258	4	47	37%	6%	14	-0.9
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2013 · MLB	30	51→57	38→40	58→60	49	240/297/326	85	292	4	28	18%	7%	74	-0.1	228/292/299	71	277	4	17	18%	8%	66	-0.6	219/288/274	56	261	2	15	16%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Chris Dickerson 2012 · MLB	30	52→55	41→50	58→60	46	242/311/341	100	341	7	29	29%	8%	85	+0.7	241/311/380	139	335	13	23	29%	9%	95	+1.4	241/318/390	149	333	14	22	30%	9%	99	+0.9
✕Ian Miller 2021 · MLB	29	46→56	43→40	58→60	43	225/276/337	112	275	10	29	22%	6%	69	-0.4	228/277/322	94	285	7	21	21%	6%	66	-0.6	230/279/303	73	289	3	25	20%	5%	59	-0.7
✕Rich Thompson 2009 · AAA	30	52→61	40→45	60→65	46	247/302/347	100	303	5	25	20%	6%	82	+0.5	249/298/349	100	304	5	31	19%	5%	81	+0.4	265/314/370	105	322	4	44	18%	4%	90	+0.8
✕Darin Mastroianni 2015 · MLB	29	47→57	39→40	55→60	44	224/280/305	81	288	7	26	24%	6%	62	-0.9	221/270/292	71	279	4	22	21%	6%	54	-1.4	219/266/274	55	275	2	24	20%	5%	44	-1.4
✕Delino DeShields 2023 · MLB	30	46→55	37→45	56→65	53	209/305/277	68	302	4	31	29%	11%	67	-0.5	215/296/292	77	317	5	23	30%	10%	66	-0.6	230/312/290	60	384	0	11	36%	9%	68	-0.1
✕Tony Campana 2016 · MLB	30	49→59	36→30	55→70	43	231/275/296	65	300	3	26	23%	5%	57	-1.2	215/261/285	70	255	5	18	17%	5%	49	-1.8	236/269/292	57	284	1	25	17%	4%	49	-1.2
✕Tyler Graham 2014 · AAA	30	48→56	39→40	60→65	44	230/292/318	89	291	6	33	22%	6%	71	-0.3	230/274/310	80	286	7	28	21%	4%	61	-1.0	234/273/287	53	289	4	38	20%	4%	50	-1.3
✕John Andreoli 2019 · MLB	29	47→57	44→45	57→60	47	226/300/350	124	311	10	25	29%	9%	83	+0.6	206/292/329	123	320	12	15	36%	10%	75	-0.0	164/270/300	136	268	17	17	41%	12%	57	-0.8
✕Darren Ford 2016 · AAA	30	46→53	41→45	58→65	44	222/275/316	94	285	9	39	25%	6%	63	-0.8	223/272/305	82	291	6	24	24%	6%	58	-1.2	221/267/269	48	296	1	23	24%	5%	43	-1.6
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	41→40	57→60	49	216/288/311	95	273	8	35	23%	9%	68	-0.5	227/294/306	79	301	6	35	25%	8%	69	-0.4	226/297/286	59	306	4	40	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Kean Wong 2023 · MLB	28	49→59	38→45	58→55	42	232/280/307	76	315	5	29	27%	6%	62	-0.9	234/292/333	99	312	9	21	26%	7%	75	-0.0	247/317/338	91	316	11	15	24%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Todd Donovan 2009 · AAA	30	51→53	37→40	61→65	48	239/299/311	72	305	4	38	22%	8%	72	-0.2	229/308/315	86	300	5	31	23%	10%	78	+0.2	220/315/297	77	287	4	38	22%	12%	74	-0.0
✕Tommy Murphy 2009 · MLB	29	50→54	40→50	56→60	42	239/285/335	96	313	7	29	25%	6%	72	-0.2	220/276/313	93	293	7	25	26%	7%	63	-0.9	192/254/259	67	258	4	26	26%	7%	36	-1.4
✕Matt Young 2013 · MLB	30	52→60	36→40	55→60	53	241/316/312	71	299	3	22	19%	9%	79	+0.3	230/301/324	94	278	8	22	19%	8%	77	+0.1	224/298/311	87	255	8	32	15%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Adam Stern 2010 · AAA	30	52→56	38→40	55	45	248/292/332	84	295	5	23	17%	5%	73	-0.1	253/306/358	105	307	8	15	19%	7%	86	+0.8	274/332/382	108	334	8	11	19%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Jose Constanza 2013 · MLB	29	58→63	36→40	56→60	47	273/315/336	63	319	3	26	15%	6%	84	+0.6	253/293/302	49	300	2	25	15%	5%	66	-0.6	260/296/292	32	299	0	26	13%	5%	60	-0.5