Drew Avans — OGILVIE

Drew AvansLF Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 30 L/L 5'9" / 182 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION447 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP304

ISO86

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT60

Whiff%

837.6%

xAVG

100.150

POWER40

Avg EV

1084.7

Bat Spd

1066.9

EYE55

Chase%

1040.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	148	123	28	5	2	2	17	29	3	12	2	228	336	350	685	122	271	20	11	305	92	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2018	22	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	107	88	32	1	3	8	18	14	0	8	3	364	472	716	1.188	352	358	13	17	499	224	+16	+0	—	—	+2	1.9
2019	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	241	220	63	8	1	6	19	64	1	17	5	286	346	414	759	127	380	27	8	339	116	+5	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2019	23	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	137	123	36	7	4	3	10	37	2	3	3	293	356	488	843	195	393	27	7	365	133	+5	-1	—	—	+3	0.8
2019	23	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	43	36	7	1	0	1	6	7	0	4	1	194	310	306	615	111	207	16	14	281	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	279	233	64	15	4	5	43	59	1	19	2	275	390	438	828	163	347	21	15	369	136	+12	+3	—	—	+6	2.1
2022	26	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	504	432	122	17	12	7	61	129	7	40	7	282	380	426	806	144	387	26	12	360	130	+18	+5	—	—	+11	3.5
2023	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	596	508	129	27	2	11	77	132	5	23	8	254	358	380	738	126	319	22	13	333	112	+8	+1	—	—	+13	2.3
2023	27	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	63	57	15	2	3	1	4	8	0	4	2	263	311	456	768	193	292	13	6	324	106	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	28	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	625	541	147	27	8	8	80	157	2	35	6	272	368	396	763	124	368	25	13	345	120	+15	+5	—	—	+14	3.3
2024	28	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	277	236	66	17	2	0	34	55	2	27	6	280	375	369	744	89	361	20	12	335	113	+4	+3	—	—	+6	1.4
2025	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	118	118	118	235		167	33	0	101	-46	-3	+0	-1	-7	+0	-1.0
2025	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	444	388	112	19	1	8	50	85	3	40	8	289	374	405	779	116	349	19	11	351	124	+12	+5	—	—	+10	2.7
2025	29	INTL	Algodoneros de Guasave	—	178	146	42	6	4	2	23	21	3	11	6	288	395	425	820	137	320	12	13	358	128	+6	-0	—	—	+4	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	18	17	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	118	118	118	235		167	33	0	101	-46	-3	+0	-1	-7	+0	-1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	148	128	25	4	2	1	12	38	3	12	2	195	280	281	561	86	245	26	8	256	59	-7	+2	—	—	+3	-0.2
2018	22	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	107	95	26	1	2	6	11	20	0	8	3	274	349	516	865	242	281	19	10	370	137	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2019	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	241	227	52	6	1	5	12	82	1	17	5	229	271	330	601	101	333	34	5	261	63	-11	+1	—	—	+5	-0.4
2019	23	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	137	125	27	5	2	3	8	50	2	3	3	216	274	360	634	144	318	36	6	268	68	-5	-1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2019	23	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	43	39	7	1	0	1	3	9	0	4	1	179	238	282	520	103	188	21	7	228	40	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	279	247	63	14	4	4	29	71	1	19	2	255	336	393	728	138	340	25	10	318	101	+0	+3	—	—	+6	1.0
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	504	453	102	14	10	5	40	165	7	40	7	225	298	333	631	108	337	33	8	280	76	-15	+5	—	—	+11	0.2
2023	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	596	529	108	22	1	8	56	170	5	23	8	204	286	295	581	91	275	29	9	263	64	-25	+1	—	—	+13	-1.1
2024	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	625	566	125	22	5	7	55	204	2	35	6	221	292	314	607	94	330	33	9	271	70	-23	+5	—	—	+14	-0.5
2025	29	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	118	118	118	235		167	33	0	100	-46	-3	+0	-1	-7	+0	-1.0
2025	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	444	404	104	17	1	5	34	101	3	40	8	257	320	342	661	84	326	23	8	294	85	-8	+5	—	—	+10	0.7
2018	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	255	223	52	5	4	8	23	59	3	20	5	233	313	399	712	166	273	23	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	255	211	60	6	5	10	35	43	3	20	5	284	394	502	896	218	307	17	14	386	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	421	391	85	12	3	8	23	141	3	24	9	217	266	325	591	107	316	33	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	421	379	106	16	5	10	35	108	3	24	9	280	345	427	773	148	365	26	8	342	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	279	247	63	14	4	4	29	71	1	19	2	255	336	393	728	138	341	25	10	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	279	233	64	15	4	5	43	59	1	19	2	275	390	438	828	163	347	21	15	369	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	504	453	102	14	10	5	40	165	7	40	7	225	298	333	631	108	342	33	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	504	432	122	17	12	7	61	129	7	40	7	282	380	426	806	144	387	26	12	360	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	659	584	120	24	2	9	62	188	5	27	10	205	287	300	587	94	283	29	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	659	565	144	29	5	12	81	140	5	27	10	255	353	388	741	133	316	21	12	333	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	902	812	181	32	8	10	79	295	4	62	12	223	295	319	614	96	335	33	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	902	777	213	44	10	8	114	212	4	62	12	274	370	387	757	113	365	24	13	342	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	640	577	147	23	1	7	47	148	6	52	14	255	317	334	652	80	327	23	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	640	551	156	25	5	10	73	112	6	52	14	283	373	401	774	118	336	18	11	346	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	255	227	52	5	4	8	23	59	3	20	5	229	313	392	705	163	260	23	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	421	392	85	12	3	8	23	141	3	24	9	217	266	324	590	107	313	33	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	279	247	63	14	4	4	29	71	1	19	2	255	336	393	728	138	340	25	10	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	504	452	102	14	10	5	40	165	7	40	7	226	298	334	632	108	337	33	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	659	587	120	24	2	9	62	188	5	27	10	204	287	298	585	94	275	29	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	902	811	181	32	8	10	79	295	4	62	12	223	295	319	614	96	330	33	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	640	582	147	23	1	7	47	148	6	52	14	253	317	332	649	79	320	23	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	659	587	120	24	2	9	62	188	5	27	10	204	287	298	585	94	275	29	9	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	902	811	181	32	8	10	79	295	4	62	12	223	295	319	614	96	330	33	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	640	582	147	23	1	7	47	148	6	52	14	253	317	332	649	79	320	23	7	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	COL	—	447	385	72	10	2	2	46	130	2	28	6	187	277	239	516	52	267	29	10	239	48	-28	+3	+0	-5	+10	-2.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AAA RAW	COL	—	447	367	81	12	3	3	64	101	2	28	6	221	339	294	634	74	287	23	14	290	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	30	AAA MLE	COL	10%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		289	30	10	260	62	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	30	MLB CTX	COL	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						304	0	0	268	62	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	COL	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	268	48	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	30	AAA MLE	COL	—	457	394	73	10	2	2	47	133	2	29	6	185	275	236	511	51	265	29	10	239	48	-28	+3	-0	-5	+10	-2.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	COL	27%	365	326	67	11	2	3	34	103	2	17	4	206	285	279	564	74	288	28	9	263	64	-16	+2	-3	-4	+8	-1.3
2027	31	MLB CTX	COL	27%	100	90	20	3	1	1	9	28	1	5	1	222	300	311	611	89	303	28	9	272	64	-4	+1	-1	-1	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	119	108	22	3	1	1	9	34	1	6	1	204	271	278	549	74	284	29	8	246	73	-7	+1	-1	-8	+3	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	119	16	5	5	49	186	5	33	5	202	268	271	539	69	282	29	8	246	73	-41	+4	-8	-43	+14	-7.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4035	3622	818	135	34	54	338	1173	31	262	63	226	297	327	624	101	316	29	8	277	73	-19	+2	-4	-11	+9	-2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	132	22	5	9	54	189	5	42	10	226	297	328	625	101	316	29	8	277	73	-32	+4	-6	-18	+14	-3.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Avans (OGILVIE)	30	60	40	60	55	204/284/272	68	289	2	14	28%	10%	62	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Billy Hamilton 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	39→40	59→70	49	220/286/307	86	286	5	34	24%	8%	70	-0.9	197/251/297	100	294	8	34	33%	7%	54	-2.0	162/214/241	78	260	4	47	37%	6%	25	-0.9
✕Travis Jankowski 2021 · MLB	30	52→62	38→40	52→65	50	243/311/319	77	312	6	25	23%	9%	82	-0.0	238/331/317	79	302	5	26	20%	12%	89	+0.5	242/344/305	63	304	2	35	18%	13%	86	+0.1
✕Quintin Berry 2015 · MLB	30	50→60	37→40	59→65	49	233/303/304	72	309	4	32	24%	8%	75	-0.5	220/287/284	64	301	5	33	26%	8%	65	-1.2	208/275/255	47	293	3	42	28%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2013 · MLB	30	51→57	38→40	59→60	49	242/298/329	88	293	4	28	18%	7%	78	-0.3	232/297/305	73	281	4	17	17%	8%	73	-0.6	224/294/281	57	267	2	15	15%	8%	63	-0.7
✕John Andreoli 2019 · MLB	29	46→56	42→45	56→60	47	218/295/331	113	309	9	25	30%	9%	79	-0.2	205/295/329	124	318	12	15	35%	11%	79	-0.2	163/270/290	127	266	15	17	41%	12%	60	-1.0
✕Jonathan Davis 2023 · MLB	31	47→52	40→45	57→55	51	222/318/314	93	301	8	27	27%	10%	84	+0.2	222/299/341	119	310	10	17	29%	8%	83	+0.1	210/286/332	123	299	10	14	31%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Rich Thompson 2009 · AAA	30	52→60	39→40	60→65	46	247/302/344	98	303	5	25	20%	6%	84	+0.1	248/298/342	94	303	5	31	19%	5%	81	-0.1	263/313/360	96	321	4	44	18%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Chris Dickerson 2012 · MLB	30	51→55	40→50	58→60	46	239/308/334	96	336	7	29	29%	9%	84	+0.1	239/310/369	130	333	11	23	29%	9%	93	+0.8	241/317/376	135	334	12	22	29%	9%	95	+0.5
✕Darin Mastroianni 2015 · MLB	29	47→57	38→40	55→60	45	223/280/301	78	284	6	26	23%	7%	66	-1.1	221/269/292	71	279	4	22	21%	6%	59	-1.7	218/264/275	56	276	2	24	21%	5%	50	-1.5
✕Delino DeShields 2023 · MLB	30	45→55	37→45	56→65	53	209/305/276	67	303	4	31	29%	12%	71	-0.8	216/299/291	75	317	5	23	30%	10%	72	-0.7	235/314/289	55	376	0	11	34%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Tommy Murphy 2009 · MLB	29	50→54	40→45	56→60	43	239/286/335	96	314	7	29	25%	6%	76	-0.4	221/279/314	93	295	7	25	26%	7%	68	-1.0	192/254/259	67	258	4	26	26%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Ian Miller 2021 · MLB	29	46→56	41→40	58→60	45	222/277/327	105	274	8	29	22%	6%	71	-0.8	229/282/320	91	289	6	21	22%	6%	71	-0.8	233/282/301	69	296	3	25	21%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Jose Constanza 2013 · MLB	29	59→63	35→40	56→60	48	277/319/337	60	323	3	26	15%	6%	87	+0.4	258/298/306	48	304	2	25	15%	5%	72	-0.7	263/300/295	32	303	0	26	13%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Tony Campana 2016 · MLB	30	50→60	36→30	55→70	43	234/279/299	65	303	3	26	23%	6%	64	-1.3	218/266/287	69	260	5	18	18%	6%	57	-1.8	243/277/304	61	290	1	25	16%	4%	60	-1.0
✕Tyler Graham 2014 · AAA	30	48→54	39→40	60→65	45	226/292/312	86	288	6	33	23%	6%	73	-0.6	232/279/308	76	287	6	28	21%	5%	67	-1.1	236/277/285	48	291	3	38	19%	4%	57	-1.4
✕Brian Bogusevic 2013 · MLB	29	47→55	43→45	56→55	49	227/304/342	115	290	10	22	24%	9%	85	+0.2	248/314/377	129	313	13	18	23%	8%	96	+1.0	257/316/382	124	324	13	19	23%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Sam Fuld 2012 · MLB	30	51→58	41→45	58→60	56	238/309/348	111	264	6	26	12%	9%	87	+0.4	226/297/325	99	260	7	25	15%	9%	78	-0.3	224/300/314	89	259	6	28	15%	10%	73	-0.3
✕Kean Wong 2023 · MLB	28	49→59	37→45	58→55	43	231/282/305	73	315	5	29	27%	6%	67	-1.1	233/296/331	98	311	9	21	26%	8%	79	-0.2	240/315/327	87	305	11	15	23%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Emilio Bonifácio 2015 · MLB	30	52→62	39→40	59→65	47	248/299/337	89	309	5	34	21%	7%	80	-0.1	251/294/326	75	313	4	29	20%	6%	76	-0.4	254/293/311	57	316	2	33	19%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Matt Young 2013 · MLB	30	52→60	36→40	55→60	54	239/314/308	69	297	2	22	19%	10%	80	-0.1	228/301/319	91	278	7	22	19%	9%	78	-0.3	221/292/301	80	252	7	32	15%	8%	67	-0.5