Jose Constanza

PosLF

B/TL/L

Born1983-09-01

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2014	30	AAAGwinnett Brav…	497	.293/.347/.324	30	67	—	.272/.310/.301
2015	31	AAA/INTL2 orgs	263	.277/.336/.332	14	68	—	.224/.258/.283
2016	32	AAA/INTL2 orgs	170	.266/.323/.286	2	52	—	.248/.279/.262

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	A	Lake County Captains	—	88	72	17	0	0	0	15	13	0	2	1	236	368	236	604		288	15	17	294	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A+	Kinston Indians	—	321	275	90	15	6	1	42	50	2	20	4	327	420	436	856	109	396	16	13	384	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A	Lake County Captains	—	191	159	44	5	3	1	30	30	1	19	4	277	395	365	760	88	336	16	16	349	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	A+	Kinston Indians	—	498	445	122	13	4	2	39	80	2	39	9	274	335	335	670	61	329	16	8	300	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AA	Akron Aeros	—	376	338	94	12	6	0	28	42	2	23	6	278	337	349	686	71	314	11	7	306	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AA	Akron Aeros	—	575	486	137	15	7	0	75	65	1	49	14	282	379	342	721	60	324	11	13	326	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	448	404	129	11	8	1	35	54	0	34	6	319	374	394	767	74	366	12	8	340	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	151	137	42	1	4	0	11	16	0	13	2	307	358	372	730	66	347	11	7	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	119	109	33	1	1	2	6	14	0	7	4	303	339	385	724	83	333	12	5	315	101	+0	-0	+1	-7	+3	-0.4
2011	27	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	363	333	104	2	4	1	25	41	1	23	8	312	362	351	713	39	353	11	7	322	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	160	144	35	2	0	0	13	12	0	14	3	243	306	257	563	14	265	8	8	259	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	86	76	19	2	0	0	8	21	0	5	2	250	321	276	598	26	345	24	9	274	59	-4	+0	+2	-7	+2	-0.7
2012	28	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	392	344	108	10	4	1	36	43	2	14	6	314	382	375	757	61	354	11	9	337	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	133	114	36	2	0	0	12	13	1	11	5	316	386	333	719	18	353	10	9	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	31	31	8	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	3	258	258	258	516		308	16	0	234	44	-2	-1	+1	-5	+1	-0.6
2013	29	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	373	341	94	7	3	0	29	49	0	21	9	276	332	314	646	38	322	13	8	295	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	INTL	Toros del Este	—	30	29	7	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	241	267	241	508		269	10	3	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA	Gwinnett Braves	—	497	447	131	10	2	0	37	49	0	30	10	293	347	324	671	31	326	10	7	301	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	161	146	37	6	2	0	12	20	1	9	4	253	314	322	636	68	294	12	7	287	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	102	89	28	3	0	0	8	12	0	5	5	315	371	348	719	34	354	12	8	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA	Broncos de Reynosa	—	150	138	38	3	0	0	9	15	0	2	5	275	320	297	617	22	309	10	6	279	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	20	16	3	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	188	350	188	537		200	5	20	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	236	216	60	3	1	2	14	40	0	12	9	278	322	329	650	51	333	17	6	289	82	-5	-1	+3	-18	+5	-1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	88	77	17	0	0	0	10	17	0	2	1	221	310	221	531		278	19	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	321	291	85	13	5	1	26	71	2	20	4	292	354	381	736	89	378	22	8	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	191	169	42	4	3	1	20	40	1	19	4	249	332	325	657	77	317	21	10	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	498	460	115	11	3	2	24	114	2	39	9	250	290	300	590	50	315	23	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AA MLE	Akron Aeros	—	376	347	96	11	6	0	19	51	2	23	6	277	318	343	661	66	315	14	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AA MLE	Akron Aeros	—	575	510	143	14	7	0	51	79	1	49	14	280	347	335	682	55	322	14	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	448	416	126	10	9	1	23	65	0	34	6	303	339	377	717	75	347	15	5	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	119	109	33	1	1	2	6	14	0	7	4	303	339	385	724	83	333	12	5	317	101	+0	-0	+1	-7	+3	-0.4
2011	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	363	342	103	2	4	1	16	49	1	23	8	301	334	339	673	38	342	13	4	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	86	78	19	2	0	0	6	21	0	5	2	244	298	269	567	26	345	24	7	256	59	-4	+0	+2	-7	+2	-0.7
2012	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	392	358	102	9	4	1	22	55	2	14	6	285	330	341	671	56	321	14	6	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	31	31	8	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	3	258	258	258	516		308	16	0	234	44	-2	-1	+1	-5	+1	-0.6
2013	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	373	350	86	6	3	0	20	60	0	21	9	246	286	280	566	34	294	16	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	497	459	125	9	2	0	25	60	0	30	10	272	310	301	611	28	300	12	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	161	152	34	5	2	0	6	23	1	9	4	224	258	283	541	59	263	14	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Broncos de Reynosa	—	150	141	35	2	0	0	6	18	0	2	5	248	279	262	541	14	278	12	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	88	77	17	0	0	0	10	17	0	2	1	221	310	221	531		283	19	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A RAW	Lake County Captains	—	88	72	17	0	0	0	15	13	0	2	1	236	368	236	604		288	15	17	294	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	512	460	127	17	8	2	46	111	3	39	8	276	346	361	707	85	359	22	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	512	434	134	20	9	2	72	80	3	39	8	309	411	410	821	101	374	16	14	371	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	498	460	115	11	3	2	24	114	2	39	9	250	290	300	590	50	327	23	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	A+ RAW	Kinston Indians	—	498	445	122	13	4	2	39	80	2	39	9	274	335	335	670	61	329	16	8	300	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AA MLE	Akron Aeros	—	376	347	96	11	6	0	19	51	2	23	6	277	318	343	661	66	321	14	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AA RAW	Akron Aeros	—	376	338	94	12	6	0	28	42	2	23	6	278	337	349	686	71	314	11	7	306	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AA MLE	Akron Aeros	—	575	510	143	14	7	0	51	79	1	49	14	280	347	335	682	55	330	14	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AA RAW	Akron Aeros	—	575	486	137	15	7	0	75	65	1	49	14	282	379	342	721	60	324	11	13	326	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	599	556	168	13	12	1	31	86	0	47	8	302	339	374	713	72	355	14	5	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	599	541	171	12	12	1	46	70	0	47	8	316	370	388	758	72	361	12	8	336	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	642	601	181	4	7	4	29	84	1	44	15	301	334	351	685	50	344	13	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	642	586	172	5	5	3	44	67	1	44	15	294	344	334	678	41	327	10	7	305	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	611	554	155	14	6	1	36	97	3	30	13	280	327	332	659	52	336	16	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	611	534	163	14	4	1	56	77	3	30	13	305	374	352	726	47	353	13	9	324	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	434	410	101	7	3	0	21	70	0	21	12	246	283	278	561	32	297	16	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	434	401	109	7	3	0	30	57	0	21	12	272	323	304	627	32	317	13	7	287	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	497	459	125	9	2	0	25	60	0	30	10	272	310	301	611	28	310	12	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Braves	—	497	447	131	10	2	0	37	49	0	30	10	293	347	324	671	31	326	10	7	301	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	263	245	56	8	4	0	10	38	1	14	9	229	262	294	556	65	268	14	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	263	235	65	9	2	0	20	32	1	14	9	277	336	332	668	55	317	12	8	298	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	170	160	40	3	0	0	7	20	0	2	5	250	281	269	550	19	286	12	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	170	154	41	3	0	0	13	16	0	2	5	266	323	286	609	19	297	9	8	278	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	88	78	17	0	0	0	10	17	0	2	1	218	310	218	528		278	19	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	512	458	127	17	8	2	46	111	3	39	8	277	346	362	708	85	355	22	9	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	A+ MLE	Kinston Indians	—	498	469	115	11	3	2	24	114	2	39	9	245	290	294	584	49	315	23	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AA MLE	Akron Aeros	—	376	352	96	11	6	0	19	51	2	23	6	273	318	338	656	65	315	14	5	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AA MLE	Akron Aeros	—	575	518	143	14	7	0	51	79	1	49	14	276	347	330	677	54	322	14	9	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	599	563	168	13	12	1	31	86	0	47	8	298	339	369	708	71	347	14	5	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	642	607	181	4	7	4	29	84	1	44	15	298	334	348	682	49	340	13	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	611	567	155	14	6	1	36	97	3	30	13	273	327	325	652	51	325	16	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	434	410	101	7	3	0	21	70	0	21	12	246	283	278	561	32	295	16	5	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Braves	—	497	469	125	9	2	0	25	60	0	30	10	267	310	294	604	28	300	12	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	31	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	263	250	56	8	4	0	10	38	1	14	9	224	262	288	550	64	263	14	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	170	161	40	3	0	0	7	20	0	2	5	248	281	267	549	19	278	12	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	236	216	60	3	1	2	14	40	0	12	9	278	322	329	650	51	333	17	6	289	78	-5	-1	+3	-18	+5	-1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	166	8	3	6	39	110	0	33	25	279	324	333	657	54	334	17	6	289	78	-14	-3	+8	-50	+14	-4.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5265	4839	1324	111	58	10	309	827	13	340	110	274	319	327	646	53	327	16	6	283	78	-5	-1	+3	-18	+5	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	163	14	7	1	38	102	2	42	14	273	318	325	643	52	327	16	6	283	78	-14	-3	+8	-50	+14	-4.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 150 PAwOBA .272 → .240 (−32)K% 10.0% → 11.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.00%	÷1.022	×1.200	—	—	11.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.00%	÷0.970	×0.690	—	×0.942	4.02%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.46%	÷1.014	×0.930	×1.050	×0.942	25.82%
Doubles /BIP	2.44%	÷1.030	×0.830	×1.050	×0.942	1.94%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.050	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.874	×0.700	—	×0.942	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .272 → .240; ISO .022 → .018; BABIP .309 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAADurham Bulls · 161 PAwOBA .278 → .241 (−37)K% 12.4% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.42%	÷1.025	×1.200	—	—	14.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.83%	÷1.148	×0.690	—	×0.952	3.91%
HBP% /PA	0.62%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.56%
Singles /BIP	23.02%	÷1.025	×0.930	×1.050	×0.952	20.88%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.062	×0.830	×1.050	×0.952	3.72%
Triples /BIP	1.59%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.050	×0.952	1.71%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.039	×0.840	—	×0.952	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 105, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .278 → .241; ISO .068 → .064; BABIP .294 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAGwinnett Braves · 497 PAwOBA .296 → .267 (−29)K% 9.9% → 12.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.86%	÷0.975	×1.200	—	—	12.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.44%	÷0.984	×0.690	—	×0.962	5.02%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	29.90%	÷1.012	×0.930	×1.050	×0.962	27.77%
Doubles /BIP	2.51%	÷0.992	×0.830	×1.050	×0.962	2.12%
Triples /BIP	0.50%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.050	×0.962	0.43%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.120	×0.840	—	×0.962	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .296 → .267; ISO .031 → .027; BABIP .326 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAGwinnett Braves · 373 PAwOBA .288 → .251 (−37)K% 13.1% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.14%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	16.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.77%	÷0.991	×0.690	—	×0.972	5.26%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	28.77%	÷1.038	×0.930	×1.050	×0.972	26.30%
Doubles /BIP	2.40%	÷0.964	×0.830	×1.050	×0.972	2.11%
Triples /BIP	1.03%	÷1.047	×0.970	×1.050	×0.972	0.97%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.949	×0.840	—	×0.972	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 109, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .288 → .251; ISO .038 → .035; BABIP .322 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAGwinnett Braves · 392 PAwOBA .328 → .294 (−33)K% 11.0% → 14.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.97%	÷0.944	×1.200	—	—	13.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.42%	÷0.993	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.74%
HBP% /PA	0.51%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.47%
Singles /BIP	30.90%	÷1.030	×0.930	×1.022	×0.982	28.01%
Doubles /BIP	3.32%	÷0.995	×0.830	×1.022	×0.982	2.78%
Triples /BIP	1.33%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.022	×0.982	1.44%
Home runs /BIP	0.33%	÷0.858	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.32%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 106, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 89, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .328 → .294; ISO .061 → .060; BABIP .354 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAGwinnett Braves · 363 PAwOBA .312 → .296 (−16)K% 11.3% → 13.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.29%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	13.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.06%	÷0.970	×0.690	—	×0.992	4.28%
HBP% /PA	0.28%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.26%
Singles /BIP	33.22%	÷0.999	×0.930	×1.050	×0.992	32.22%
Doubles /BIP	0.68%	÷0.923	×0.830	×1.050	×0.992	0.64%
Triples /BIP	1.37%	÷1.003	×0.970	×1.050	×0.992	1.38%
Home runs /BIP	0.34%	÷1.055	×0.840	—	×0.992	0.27%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .312 → .296; ISO .039 → .038; BABIP .353 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAColumbus Clippers · 448 PAwOBA .331 → .309 (−22)K% 12.1% → 14.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.05%	÷1.007	×1.200	—	—	14.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.59%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.23%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	31.14%	÷1.035	×0.930	×1.050	×1.003	29.48%
Doubles /BIP	3.14%	÷1.038	×0.830	×1.050	×1.003	2.65%
Triples /BIP	2.29%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.050	×1.003	2.59%
Home runs /BIP	0.29%	÷1.038	×0.840	—	×1.003	0.23%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .331 → .309; ISO .074 → .076; BABIP .366 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAkron Aeros · 575 PAwOBA .319 → .301 (−18)K% 11.3% → 13.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.30%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	13.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.87%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.988	8.90%
HBP% /PA	0.17%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	0.15%
Singles /BIP	27.32%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.050	×0.988	27.49%
Doubles /BIP	3.56%	÷1.000	×0.860	×1.050	×0.988	3.18%
Triples /BIP	1.66%	÷1.000	×0.950	×1.050	×0.988	1.64%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.988	0.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .319 → .301; ISO .060 → .059; BABIP .324 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .