Andrew Stevenson

Andrew StevensonCF Durham Bulls

Age 32 L/L 5'11" / 191 lbs AAA Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 1.2 · 2026

wRC+†101

AVG/OBP/SLG.251 / .310 / .400

PA252

HR7

SB18

K%25

BB%6

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

50→50

SPD

60→60

EYE

45→45

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.0peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.2	$10M	+$2M
Totals		$8M		$10M	+$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	A	Hagerstown Suns	153	140	35	3	1	1	5	21	4	16	4	.250	.295	.307	.602	.057	.283	14	3	.257	55	-8	+2	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2016	22	A+	3 teams	676	636	159	23	10	2	32	152	1	48	16	.250	.287	.327	.614	.077	.324	22	5	.270	65	-27	+3	+0	+2	+19	-0.2
2017	23	AAA	3 teams	488	456	108	12	5	2	27	130	1	12	4	.237	.281	.298	.579	.061	.327	27	6	.252	51	-27	+1	+1	-5	+14	-1.7
2018	24	AAA	2 teams	417	377	79	11	1	5	28	109	6	13	7	.210	.275	.284	.559	.074	.277	26	7	.251	50	-24	-0	-1	-4	+12	-1.8
2019	25	AAA	3 teams	458	424	113	17	6	5	25	145	3	13	5	.267	.312	.370	.682	.104	.391	32	5	.299	87	-7	+1	+0	-5	+13	0.2
2020	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	47	41	14	6	1	2	5	11	1	2	0	.341	.426	.683	1.108	.341	.429	23	11	.483	228	+7	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.8
2021	27	MLB	2 teams	271	248	65	9	0	7	15	75	5	3	1	.262	.317	.383	.700	.121	.347	28	6	.301	89	-3	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.4
2022	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	604	561	141	28	10	13	30	157	10	39	7	.251	.301	.406	.708	.155	.325	26	5	.304	91	-6	+5	+0	+2	+17	1.8
2023	29	AAA	2 teams	510	469	122	13	7	13	28	130	12	48	6	.260	.318	.401	.719	.141	.334	25	5	.311	96	-2	+7	+1	+2	+14	2.3
2025	31	AAA	Durham Bulls	202	187	51	13	1	3	13	51	1	18	6	.273	.323	.401	.724	.128	.358	25	6	.319	102	+1	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	TB	252	230	59	10	2	7	16	63	4	18	3	.257	.316	.409	.725	.152	.317	25	6	.317	101	+0	+2	+1	+1	+7	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	33	MLB 20%	TB	222	203	51	8	2	6	14	57	3	15	3	.251	.309	.399	.708	.148	.316	26	6	.311	96	-1	+2	-4	+1	+6	0.5
2028	34	MLB 33%	TB	180	164	39	6	1	4	11	48	3	12	2	.238	.298	.360	.658	.122	.315	27	6	.305	91	-2	+2	-4	+1	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4480	4136	1036	159	47	70	249	1149	54	257	64	.250	.302	.362	.664	.112	.329	26	6	.291	81	-98	+26	-7	-4	+127	4.4
/ 162G	—			650	600	150	23	7	10	36	167	8	37	9	.250	.301	.362	.663	.112	.329	26	6	.291	81	-14	+4	-1	-1	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	A	Hagerstown Suns	153	137	39	3	2	1	8	16	4	16	4	.285	.342	.358	.700	.073	.311	10	5	.311	96	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.5
2016	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	280	256	63	11	2	2	20	51	1	12	5	.246	.303	.328	.631	.082	.299	18	7	.284	76	-8	+0	—	—	+8	0.1
2016	22	A+	Potomac Nationals	300	273	83	12	8	1	24	44	0	27	9	.304	.360	.418	.778	.114	.358	15	8	.344	122	+7	+2	—	—	+8	1.8
2016	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	96	85	30	4	2	2	10	17	0	9	2	.353	.421	.518	.939	.165	.418	18	10	.411	172	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2017	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	66	57	9	2	0	0	7	20	0	1	0	.158	.250	.193	.443	.035	.243	30	11	.209	18	-6	+0	+1	-5	+2	-0.8
2017	23	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	331	309	78	7	4	2	19	72	1	10	1	.252	.298	.320	.618	.068	.323	22	6	.279	72	-11	+2	—	—	+9	0.0
2017	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	91	80	28	5	1	0	11	19	0	1	3	.350	.429	.438	.866	.088	.459	21	12	.391	158	+6	-1	—	—	+3	0.8
2018	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	86	75	19	2	0	1	6	23	1	1	1	.253	.317	.320	.637	.067	.333	27	7	.280	72	-3	-0	-1	-4	+2	-0.6
2018	24	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	331	293	69	10	1	6	31	75	5	12	6	.235	.319	.338	.657	.102	.296	23	9	.300	88	-5	+0	—	—	+9	0.5
2019	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	37	30	11	1	1	0	6	11	1	0	1	.367	.486	.467	.953	.100	.579	30	16	.431	188	+4	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.0
2019	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	333	302	101	17	8	6	24	76	1	10	4	.334	.385	.503	.889	.169	.428	23	7	.385	152	+20	+0	—	—	+9	3.0
2019	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	88	84	21	4	0	1	3	24	1	3	0	.250	.284	.333	.617	.083	.339	27	3	.279	71	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2020	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	47	41	15	7	1	2	5	11	1	2	0	.366	.447	.732	1.179	.366	.464	23	11	.500	241	+7	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.9
2021	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	213	192	44	6	0	5	13	61	5	1	1	.229	.295	.339	.634	.109	.307	29	6	.285	76	-6	-0	-2	+1	+6	-0.1
2021	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	58	55	24	4	0	2	3	11	0	2	0	.436	.466	.618	1.084	.182	.524	19	5	.477	223	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2022	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	604	545	152	31	9	16	46	136	10	39	7	.279	.346	.457	.803	.178	.343	23	8	.354	129	+20	+5	—	—	+17	4.3
2023	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	40	37	7	1	0	0	2	8	1	4	1	.189	.250	.216	.466	.027	.241	20	5	.221	27	-3	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.1
2023	29	AAA	St. Paul Saints	470	416	132	23	7	16	42	97	11	44	5	.317	.394	.522	.916	.204	.383	21	9	.403	166	+35	+7	—	—	+13	5.7
2025	31	AAA	Durham Bulls	202	180	53	14	1	5	20	45	1	18	6	.294	.368	.467	.835	.172	.366	22	10	.369	141	+9	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			489	432	105	19	2	8	39	134	9	9	4	.243	.319	.352	.671	.109	.330	27	8	.300	88	-7	+0	-0	-12	+14	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Stevenson (OGILVIE)	32	55	50	60	45	.251/.310/.400	.148	.317	7	18	25%	6%	101	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexis Gomez 2011 · AAA	32	55→61	52→55	59→55	47	.279/.325/.445	.166	.317	21	33	19%	6%	118	+3.0	.261/.307/.403	.142	.302	15	22	18%	6%	99	+1.7	.252/.295/.373	.121	.290	9	13	16%	4%	85	+0.2
✕Justin Greene 2019 · AAA	33	59→66	46→50	60	45	.286/.338/.418	.132	.354	14	42	22%	7%	116	+2.8	.255/.302/.386	.131	.332	14	22	26%	6%	92	+1.2	.271/.311/.387	.116	.357	14	21	27%	6%	91	+0.3
●Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	49→52	48→50	62→70	41	.242/.296/.383	.141	.312	16	41	27%	6%	90	+1.0	.254/.315/.388	.134	.326	14	69	25%	6%	99	+1.7	.253/.319/.379	.126	.320	13	95	24%	6%	96	+0.6
✕Rajai Davis 2013 · MLB	32	53→63	41→50	64→70	45	.254/.299/.364	.111	.302	7	50	18%	6%	85	+0.7	.258/.306/.384	.126	.306	11	48	19%	6%	94	+1.3	.262/.309/.394	.132	.306	11	49	18%	5%	94	+0.9
●Donzell McDonald II 2007 · AAA	32	52→62	48→50	68→65	51	.255/.327/.412	.157	.305	14	44	20%	8%	110	+2.4	.263/.330/.410	.147	.329	12	29	22%	9%	110	+2.4	.282/.347/.435	.153	.347	11	22	20%	8%	122	+2.6
✕Jonathan Villar 2021 · MLB	30	53→58	48→50	58→65	48	.260/.326/.398	.138	.331	16	34	25%	8%	106	+2.2	.241/.303/.386	.145	.309	17	22	26%	8%	94	+1.3	.232/.294/.377	.145	.296	17	20	27%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Tom Goodwin 2001 · MLB	33	54→56	41→45	66→65	56	.255/.336/.354	.099	.311	8	44	20%	11%	98	+1.6	.248/.313/.348	.100	.300	8	42	18%	9%	87	+0.8	.250/.304/.339	.089	.300	5	51	17%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Will Venable 2014 · MLB	31	51→56	52→55	61→60	47	.256/.313/.434	.178	.304	18	27	22%	7%	110	+2.4	.235/.296/.363	.128	.294	13	19	23%	8%	85	+0.7	.216/.282/.309	.093	.277	9	16	24%	8%	60	-0.7
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	51→56	44→45	60→65	45	.243/.333/.365	.121	.319	11	34	25%	7%	102	+1.8	.225/.314/.348	.123	.296	10	36	26%	7%	90	+1.0	.214/.305/.335	.121	.286	9	40	26%	7%	80	+0.1
✕Gilberto Mejia 2015 · AAA	32	56→61	39→45	63→65	47	.263/.318/.359	.096	.319	6	41	19%	6%	92	+1.2	.260/.310/.356	.096	.312	5	36	17%	5%	88	+0.9	.261/.312/.350	.089	.311	4	37	16%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Chris Dickerson 2013 · MLB	31	52→55	45→50	60	47	.246/.315/.377	.131	.340	11	29	29%	9%	96	+1.5	.241/.309/.372	.131	.333	12	21	29%	8%	92	+1.2	.235/.317/.352	.116	.335	11	19	30%	9%	88	+0.5
✕Jacoby Ellsbury 2016 · MLB	32	55→65	43→55	60→65	51	.267/.326/.383	.116	.303	11	33	16%	7%	102	+1.8	.256/.324/.370	.114	.293	9	23	15%	9%	98	+1.6	.256/.330/.369	.112	.292	8	24	14%	9%	93	+1.1
●Coco Crisp 2012 · MLB	32	54→59	45→50	66→65	54	.263/.324/.395	.132	.285	11	44	13%	8%	104	+2.0	.259/.327/.411	.152	.277	15	34	12%	9%	109	+2.4	.254/.333/.409	.155	.268	16	29	12%	11%	107	+2.0
✕Wynton Bernard 2023 · MLB	32	48→58	47→45	60	43	.241/.287/.383	.142	.290	14	29	22%	6%	85	+0.7	.241/.289/.358	.117	.302	11	33	23%	6%	80	+0.4	.237/.288/.336	.099	.302	8	39	23%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Eugenio Velez 2014 · MLB	32	52→60	43→50	57→65	46	.250/.303/.371	.121	.309	10	29	22%	7%	89	+1.0	.262/.308/.368	.106	.322	8	29	20%	6%	90	+1.0	.270/.312/.359	.089	.329	6	30	19%	5%	86	+0.5
✕Jon Berti 2021 · MLB	31	55→59	45	58→60	52	.263/.346/.393	.130	.330	13	30	23%	9%	113	+2.6	.240/.325/.352	.112	.306	10	31	23%	10%	94	+1.3	.259/.328/.356	.097	.323	8	39	21%	9%	90	+0.6
●Scott Podsednik 2008 · MLB	32	55→65	39→45	58→65	52	.260/.324/.353	.093	.305	4	38	16%	8%	93	+1.3	.271/.328/.372	.101	.313	6	30	15%	7%	99	+1.7	.287/.340/.379	.092	.327	6	34	13%	7%	102	+1.5
●Freddy Guzman 2013 · AAA	32	51→61	43→45	72→70	49	.247/.299/.366	.119	.285	9	56	17%	7%	86	+0.8	.269/.320/.380	.111	.321	9	62	18%	7%	98	+1.6	.267/.324/.349	.082	.327	6	63	19%	7%	88	+0.6
●Dave Roberts 2003 · MLB	31	55→61	40→45	65	58	.263/.337/.362	.099	.289	6	43	12%	10%	101	+1.8	.255/.334/.354	.099	.282	6	45	11%	10%	98	+1.6	.269/.347/.389	.121	.301	6	47	12%	10%	108	+1.8
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→48	52→50	57→65	52	.221/.329/.392	.171	.290	19	34	29%	11%	108	+2.3	.214/.318/.385	.171	.289	18	32	30%	11%	101	+1.8	.199/.301/.374	.174	.267	20	37	31%	10%	88	+0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)