Andrew Stevenson

Andrew StevensonCF Durham Bulls

Age 32 L/L 5'11" / 191 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 252 proj PA

wRC+†108

AVG/OBP/SLG.262 / .319 / .411

PA252

HR7

SB18

K%24

BB%6

ISO150

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2020-2023

CONTACT55

Whiff%

4012.1%

xwOBA

400.296

POWER50

Barrel%

285.3

Avg EV

5589.4

Bat Spd

3369.5

EYE45

Chase%

3933.9%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+0.0	$0.2M	-$4M
Totals		$4M		$0.2M	-$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	153	140	35	3	2	1	5	23	4	16	4	250	295	321	617	71	288	15	3	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	153	137	39	3	2	1	8	16	4	16	4	285	342	358	700	73	311	10	5	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+	3 teams	—	676	637	159	25	10	2	31	157	1	48	16	250	286	330	615	80	326	23	5	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+	3 teams	—	676	614	176	27	12	5	54	112	1	48	16	287	345	394	739	107	342	17	8	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA	3 teams	—	488	456	106	11	4	2	27	129	1	12	4	232	277	287	564	55	320	26	6	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA	3 teams	—	488	446	115	14	5	2	37	111	1	12	4	258	316	325	641	67	339	23	8	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA	2 teams	—	417	376	79	12	1	5	29	106	6	13	7	210	277	287	565	77	275	25	7	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA	2 teams	—	417	368	88	12	1	7	37	98	6	13	7	239	319	334	653	95	303	24	9	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	3 teams	—	458	424	113	17	6	5	25	150	3	13	5	267	312	370	682	104	399	33	5	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	3 teams	—	458	416	133	22	9	7	33	111	3	13	5	320	374	466	840	147	420	24	7	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	47	41	15	7	1	2	5	11	1	2	0	366	447	732	1.179	366	464	23	11	495	237	+7	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.9
2020	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	47	41	15	7	1	2	5	11	1	2	0	366	447	732	1.179	366	464	23	11	500	241	+7	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.9
2021	27	MLB	2 teams	—	271	248	65	9	0	7	15	75	5	3	1	262	317	383	700	121	347	28	6	302	89	-3	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.4
2021	27	MLB	2 teams	—	271	247	68	10	0	7	16	72	5	3	1	275	332	401	733	126	361	27	6	326	108	+2	+0	-2	+1	+8	1.0
2022	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	604	560	143	31	10	12	31	149	10	39	7	255	306	411	717	155	326	25	5	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	604	545	152	31	9	16	46	136	10	39	7	279	346	457	803	178	343	23	8	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA	2 teams	—	510	470	122	12	7	13	27	131	12	48	6	260	316	398	714	138	334	26	5	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	AAA	2 teams	—	510	453	139	24	7	16	44	105	12	48	6	307	383	497	880	190	370	21	9	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	202	187	53	14	1	2	13	48	1	18	6	283	333	401	734	118	370	24	6	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	202	180	53	14	1	5	20	45	1	18	6	294	368	467	835	172	366	22	10	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	32	MLB	TB	—	252	231	61	11	2	7	16	61	3	18	3	264	320	420	740	156	328	24	6	326	108	+2	+2	+0	+1	+7	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	TB	36%	222	203	53	9	2	6	14	54	3	12	2	261	318	414	732	153	324	24	6	319	102	+0	+2	-4	+1	+6	0.5
2027	33	MLB	TB	36%	80	74	19	3	1	2	5	20	1	4	1	257	312	405	718	149	328	25	6	311	96	-0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	569	506	124	22	3	10	44	154	10	13	5	245	318	360	678	115	329	27	8	302	89	-7	+1	-1	-12	+16	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	141	25	3	11	50	176	11	15	6	244	316	355	671	111	328	27	8	302	89	-8	+1	-2	-14	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	4300	3973	1004	161	46	64	238	1094	50	242	61	253	303	365	668	112	332	25	6	291	81	-93	+24	-4	-5	+122	4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	152	24	7	10	36	165	8	37	9	253	304	366	670	113	331	25	6	291	81	-14	+4	-1	-1	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	21	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	153	137	39	3	2	1	8	16	4	16	4	285	342	358	700	73	311	10	5	311	96	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.5
2016	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	280	256	63	11	2	2	20	51	1	12	5	246	303	328	631	82	299	18	7	284	76	-8	+0	—	—	+8	0.1
2016	22	A+	Potomac Nationals	—	300	273	83	12	8	1	24	44	0	27	9	304	360	418	778	114	358	15	8	344	122	+7	+2	—	—	+8	1.8
2016	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	96	85	30	4	2	2	10	17	0	9	2	353	421	518	939	165	418	18	10	411	172	+8	+1	—	—	+3	1.2
2017	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	66	57	9	2	0	0	7	20	0	1	0	158	250	193	443	35	243	30	11	209	18	-6	+0	+1	-5	+2	-0.8
2017	23	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	331	309	78	7	4	2	19	72	1	10	1	252	298	320	618	68	323	22	6	279	72	-11	+2	—	—	+9	0.0
2017	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	91	80	28	5	1	0	11	19	0	1	3	350	429	438	866	88	459	21	12	391	158	+6	-1	—	—	+3	0.8
2018	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	86	75	19	2	0	1	6	23	1	1	1	253	317	320	637	67	333	27	7	280	72	-3	-0	-1	-4	+2	-0.6
2018	24	AAA	Syracuse Chiefs	—	331	293	69	10	1	6	31	75	5	12	6	235	319	338	657	102	296	23	9	300	88	-5	+0	—	—	+9	0.5
2019	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	37	30	11	1	1	0	6	11	1	0	1	367	486	467	953	100	579	30	16	431	188	+4	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.0
2019	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	—	333	302	101	17	8	6	24	76	1	10	4	334	385	503	889	169	428	23	7	385	152	+20	+0	—	—	+9	3.0
2019	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	88	84	21	4	0	1	3	24	1	3	0	250	284	333	617	83	339	27	3	279	71	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2020	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	47	41	15	7	1	2	5	11	1	2	0	366	447	732	1.179	366	464	23	11	500	241	+7	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.9
2021	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	213	192	44	6	0	5	13	61	5	1	1	229	295	339	634	109	307	29	6	285	76	-6	-0	-2	+1	+6	-0.1
2021	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	58	55	24	4	0	2	3	11	0	2	0	436	466	618	1.084	182	524	19	5	477	223	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.0
2022	28	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	604	545	152	31	9	16	46	136	10	39	7	279	346	457	803	178	343	23	8	354	129	+20	+5	—	—	+17	4.3
2023	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	40	37	7	1	0	0	2	8	1	4	1	189	250	216	466	27	241	20	5	221	27	-3	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.1
2023	29	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	470	416	132	23	7	16	42	97	11	44	5	317	394	522	916	204	383	21	9	403	166	+35	+7	—	—	+13	5.7
2025	31	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	202	180	53	14	1	5	20	45	1	18	6	294	368	467	835	172	366	22	10	369	141	+9	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	489	432	105	19	2	8	39	134	9	9	4	243	319	352	671	109	330	27	8	300	88	-7	+0	-0	-12	+14	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	470	9	9	229	292	327	+1	-0	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	12	13	229	292	327	+0.8	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Stevenson (OGILVIE)	32	55	50	60	45	262/319/411	149	328	7	18	24%	6%	108	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Greene 2019 · AAA	33	58→65	47→50	59→60	45	283/335/417	134	350	14	42	23%	7%	115	+2.7	256/303/391	135	333	15	21	26%	6%	95	+1.4	283/324/407	125	371	15	21	27%	6%	102	+0.5
✕Alexis Gomez 2011 · AAA	32	56→61	53→55	60→55	46	283/328/456	173	320	22	34	19%	6%	122	+3.3	257/303/402	145	299	15	21	19%	6%	97	+1.5	251/294/377	126	290	8	13	16%	4%	85	+0.2
✕Rajai Davis 2013 · MLB	32	53→63	42→50	64→70	45	254/301/370	116	304	8	50	19%	6%	88	+0.9	264/312/396	132	312	11	47	18%	6%	99	+1.7	266/315/413	147	314	13	43	19%	6%	103	+1.5
✕Jonathan Villar 2021 · MLB	30	51→60	47→50	58→65	48	252/319/387	135	321	15	34	25%	9%	100	+1.7	242/303/389	147	311	16	21	26%	8%	95	+1.4	238/299/388	150	305	17	20	26%	8%	89	+0.7
●Donzell McDonald II 2007 · AAA	32	52→62	48→50	68→65	51	257/328/414	157	307	13	44	20%	9%	111	+2.5	265/331/411	146	332	11	28	22%	9%	111	+2.5	281/345/432	151	346	10	22	20%	8%	121	+2.5
✕Jacoby Ellsbury 2015 · MLB	31	55→65	45→55	64→65	52	271/327/403	132	301	12	37	15%	8%	108	+2.3	257/322/370	113	294	10	26	15%	8%	97	+1.5	252/323/356	103	290	8	25	15%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Eduardo Núñez 2018 · MLB	31	58→61	48→50	55→60	46	290/326/437	147	312	16	30	13%	5%	117	+2.9	253/283/375	122	278	13	15	14%	4%	82	+0.5	240/264/347	107	264	11	10	14%	3%	64	-0.4
●Coco Crisp 2012 · MLB	32	55→59	45→50	66→65	54	266/325/400	133	290	11	45	12%	8%	105	+2.1	261/329/416	155	279	15	33	12%	9%	111	+2.5	256/335/413	157	270	16	29	12%	11%	110	+2.2
✕Gilberto Mejia 2015 · AAA	32	57→64	40→45	63→65	46	272/325/372	99	326	6	41	18%	6%	98	+1.6	258/307/358	100	306	6	35	17%	5%	87	+0.8	259/309/355	96	306	5	37	16%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Eugenio Velez 2014 · MLB	32	52→58	44→50	59→65	46	253/306/380	127	312	10	30	22%	7%	92	+1.2	267/310/372	105	327	9	29	20%	6%	92	+1.2	275/316/366	91	335	7	30	19%	5%	90	+0.7
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	52→57	43→45	60→65	45	244/333/363	119	323	10	34	26%	7%	102	+1.8	226/314/349	123	299	10	35	26%	7%	90	+1.0	218/308/337	119	293	9	40	27%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Chris Dickerson 2013 · MLB	31	52→55	46→50	60	47	246/316/381	135	339	12	29	29%	9%	98	+1.6	240/308/373	133	333	13	20	29%	8%	92	+1.2	235/319/362	127	334	13	19	31%	10%	91	+0.6
✕Jon Berti 2023 · MLB	33	50→60	42→45	62→60	55	237/326/345	108	304	8	39	23%	11%	93	+1.3	265/328/371	106	327	10	29	21%	8%	99	+1.7	279/335/370	91	341	9	30	20%	7%	98	+0.6
●Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	48→49	48→50	62→70	41	239/294/378	139	312	16	42	28%	6%	88	+0.9	253/315/388	135	325	14	71	25%	6%	99	+1.7	253/321/383	130	320	13	95	24%	7%	98	+0.7
✕Cameron Maybin 2018 · MLB	31	52→60	44→50	57→55	54	252/328/376	123	302	11	30	20%	10%	102	+1.8	252/330/385	133	318	12	20	23%	10%	105	+2.1	256/335/387	131	329	12	16	24%	10%	104	+0.9
✕Dee Strange-Gordon 2020 · MLB	32	58→68	38→40	61→65	43	277/308/364	86	316	5	32	14%	4%	88	+0.9	240/277/331	91	279	7	19	16%	4%	67	-0.5	212/239/305	93	250	8	13	19%	3%	40	-1.0
●Dave Roberts 2006 · MLB	34	54→61	43→45	64→65	59	257/337/385	128	282	9	37	12%	10%	107	+2.2	266/340/379	113	304	5	38	13%	10%	106	+2.2	268/343/369	101	309	3	43	13%	10%	101	+1.2
✕Tom Goodwin 2001 · MLB	33	54→56	41→45	67→65	56	256/337/353	97	313	7	45	20%	11%	98	+1.6	249/312/348	99	300	7	42	18%	9%	87	+0.8	250/304/339	89	300	5	51	17%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Will Venable 2014 · MLB	31	52→55	55→60	61→60	47	267/321/463	197	314	21	26	22%	7%	121	+3.2	239/300/373	134	299	14	18	24%	7%	89	+0.9	220/285/321	101	282	10	16	24%	7%	65	-0.4
●Ángel Pagán 2012 · MLB	31	56→65	44→55	59→60	52	270/326/399	129	301	10	30	14%	8%	105	+2.1	285/337/419	134	323	9	24	14%	7%	115	+2.7	297/347/428	131	337	7	23	13%	7%	117	+2.3