Bryce Johnson — OGILVIE

Bryce JohnsonRF El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 30 S/R 5'11" / 190 lbs MLB HR +5% Svc 1.564 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION281 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8484vR 84

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP309

ISO117

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

817.8%

xAVG

460.248

POWER35

Barrel%

102.0

Avg EV

1085.4

Bat Spd

2468.6

EYE50

Chase%

9023.8%

SPEED60

Sprint

6828.2

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 157 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

113

▶▶R

wOBA

276

335

▶▶R

ISO

033

088

▶▶R

BABIP

297

405

▶▶R

18.1%

21.2%

◀L

BB%

11.1%

2.4%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2022

Service 1.564 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.1M		$-2M	-$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	511	441	110	18	6	1	54	116	7	31	4	249	341	324	665	75	334	23	11	303	91	-6	+5	—	—	+11	1.0
2019	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	236	210	51	14	1	3	24	55	1	8	7	243	323	362	685	119	314	23	10	310	96	-1	-1	—	—	+5	0.3
2019	23	A+	San Jose Giants	—	304	260	69	9	6	2	39	71	3	18	8	265	368	369	737	104	354	23	13	335	113	+5	+0	—	—	+7	1.2
2021	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	407	353	101	15	5	9	48	108	4	30	4	286	378	433	811	147	388	27	12	363	132	+15	+4	—	—	+9	2.9
2022	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	19	18	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	111	158	111	269		182	37	5	132	-25	-3	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.1
2022	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	352	307	89	11	4	5	33	90	7	31	5	290	372	401	772	111	391	26	9	345	120	+8	+4	—	—	+8	2.1
2023	27	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	48	43	7	1	0	1	4	15	0	3	0	163	234	256	490	93	214	31	8	223	37	-4	+1	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2023	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	298	257	72	13	4	8	34	70	4	18	4	280	373	455	828	175	358	23	11	366	134	+12	+2	—	—	+6	2.1
2024	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	73	63	13	2	0	0	7	12	0	1	1	206	286	238	524	32	255	16	10	238	48	-5	-0	+1	-4	+2	-0.7
2024	28	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	319	260	75	15	5	4	43	65	11	20	3	288	411	431	842	142	366	20	13	376	140	+15	+3	—	—	+7	2.6
2025	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	84	76	26	4	0	1	3	19	2	4	1	342	383	434	817	92	446	23	4	355	126	+3	+0	+0	-3	+2	0.2
2025	29	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	200	167	45	12	1	3	25	49	3	11	2	269	374	407	782	138	365	24	12	346	120	+5	+1	—	—	+4	1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	224	200	48	7	0	2	15	53	2	8	2	240	300	305	605	65	315	24	7	270	69	-8	+1	+2	-5	+5	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	511	456	98	15	5	1	39	162	7	31	4	215	287	276	563	61	317	32	8	249	55	-28	+5	—	—	+11	-1.2
2019	23	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	236	218	44	12	1	3	16	69	1	8	7	202	260	307	567	106	276	29	7	247	53	-13	-1	—	—	+5	-0.9
2019	23	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	304	270	54	7	4	2	29	98	3	18	8	200	285	278	563	78	297	32	10	254	58	-15	+0	—	—	+7	-0.8
2021	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	407	367	90	14	5	6	34	125	4	30	4	245	316	360	676	114	351	31	8	299	88	-6	+4	—	—	+9	0.8
2022	26	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	19	18	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	111	158	111	269		182	37	5	132	-25	-3	+0	+0	+1	+0	-0.1
2022	26	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	352	316	74	8	3	4	24	118	7	31	5	234	303	316	619	82	349	34	7	277	74	-11	+4	—	—	+8	0.1
2023	27	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	48	43	7	1	0	1	4	15	0	3	0	163	234	256	490	93	214	31	8	226	39	-3	+1	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2023	27	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	298	266	63	11	3	6	25	83	4	18	4	237	312	368	680	132	319	28	8	298	88	-4	+2	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	73	63	13	2	0	0	7	12	0	1	1	206	286	238	524	32	255	16	10	238	47	-5	-0	+1	-4	+2	-0.7
2024	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	319	273	64	12	4	3	30	87	11	20	3	234	334	341	675	106	321	27	9	301	90	-4	+3	—	—	+7	0.6
2025	29	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	84	76	26	4	0	1	3	19	2	4	1	342	383	434	817	92	446	23	4	353	125	+3	+0	+0	-3	+2	0.2
2025	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	200	175	38	9	1	2	17	65	3	11	2	217	297	314	612	97	319	32	8	270	69	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.2
2018	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	511	456	98	15	5	1	39	162	7	31	4	215	287	276	563	61	329	32	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	San Jose Giants	—	511	441	110	18	6	1	54	116	7	31	4	249	341	324	665	75	334	23	11	303	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	540	488	97	19	5	4	45	166	4	26	15	199	272	283	555	84	290	31	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	540	470	120	23	7	5	63	126	4	26	15	255	348	366	714	111	336	23	12	324	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	407	367	90	14	5	6	34	125	4	30	4	245	316	360	676	114	354	31	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	—	407	353	101	15	5	9	48	108	4	30	4	286	378	433	811	147	388	27	12	363	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	371	334	76	8	3	4	25	125	7	31	5	228	295	305	600	78	346	34	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	371	325	91	11	4	5	34	97	7	31	5	280	361	385	745	105	381	26	9	335	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	346	309	70	12	3	7	29	98	4	21	4	227	301	353	654	126	307	28	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	346	300	79	14	4	9	38	85	4	21	4	263	354	427	780	163	338	25	11	346	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	392	336	78	14	4	3	37	99	11	21	4	232	328	324	653	92	316	25	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	392	323	88	17	5	4	50	77	11	21	4	272	388	393	781	121	343	20	13	350	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	284	251	64	13	1	3	20	84	5	15	3	255	322	351	673	96	372	30	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	284	243	71	16	1	4	28	68	5	15	3	292	377	416	792	123	392	24	10	348	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	511	460	98	15	5	1	39	162	7	31	4	213	287	274	561	61	317	32	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	540	486	97	19	5	4	45	166	4	26	15	200	272	284	556	84	288	31	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	407	366	90	14	5	6	34	125	4	30	4	246	316	361	677	115	351	31	8	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	371	336	76	8	3	4	25	125	7	31	5	226	295	304	599	77	340	34	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	346	310	70	12	3	7	29	98	4	21	4	226	301	352	653	126	304	28	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	392	341	78	14	4	3	37	99	11	21	4	229	328	320	648	91	309	25	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	284	257	64	13	1	3	20	84	5	15	3	249	322	342	665	93	357	30	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	346	310	70	12	3	7	29	98	4	21	4	226	301	352	653	126	304	28	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	392	341	78	14	4	3	37	99	11	21	4	229	328	320	648	91	309	25	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	284	257	64	13	1	3	20	84	5	15	3	249	322	342	665	93	357	30	7	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	SD	—	281	248	54	16	2	2	25	86	2	22	3	218	295	323	617	105	325	31	9	262	64	-12	+3	-0	-3	+6	-0.6
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	SD	—	49	45	8	2	0	0	3	18	0	5	1	178	229	222	451	44	296	37	6	206	64	-2	+1	-0	-3	+1	-0.4
YTD	30	AAA RAW	SD	—	232	194	52	17	2	2	31	53	2	17	2	268	374	407	782	139	360	23	13	346	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB RAW	SD	—	49	45	8	2	0	0	3	18	0	5	1	178	229	222	451	44	296	37	6	206	26	-4	+1	-0	-1	+1	-0.3
ROS	30	AAA MLE	SD	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		313	30	10	292	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	SD	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		309	30	10	281	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	SD	—	59	54	9	2	0	0	4	21	0	6	1	167	224	204	428	37	273	36	7	219	64	-3	+1	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
TOT	30	AAA MLE	SD	—	291	257	55	16	2	2	26	89	2	23	3	214	291	315	606	101	319	31	9	263	64	-12	+3	-0	-3	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	SD	92%	319	285	64	15	2	4	27	90	4	16	3	225	301	333	634	109	307	28	8	284	78	-8	+2	-2	-3	+7	-0.5
2027	31	MLB CTX	SD	92%	293	262	58	13	2	4	25	83	4	15	3	221	299	332	631	111	304	28	9	273	78	-8	+2	-2	-3	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	527	471	107	20	2	6	41	139	6	24	5	227	297	316	614	89	308	26	8	272	72	-16	+3	+0	-8	+11	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	131	25	2	7	51	171	7	30	6	225	296	312	607	86	306	26	8	272	72	-20	+3	+0	-10	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3180	2835	638	110	28	32	257	952	46	192	42	225	300	317	617	92	325	30	8	275	72	-17	+3	-0	-8	+12	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	131	22	6	7	53	195	9	39	9	226	301	321	622	95	326	30	8	275	72	-20	+4	-0	-10	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.2	784	10	36	239	309	341	-4	+2	1.3	1.3
/162	664	9	30	-3.6	+1.3	1.1	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryce Johnson (OGILVIE)	30	60	35	60	50	226/303/338	112	313	4	20	28%	9%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emilio Bonifácio 2015 · MLB	30	52→62	39→40	59→65	47	248/299/337	89	309	5	34	21%	7%	80	-0.1	251/294/326	75	313	4	29	20%	6%	76	-0.4	254/293/311	57	316	2	33	19%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	51→57	43→45	60→65	45	241/330/358	117	319	10	34	26%	7%	99	+1.3	221/310/338	117	292	9	35	26%	7%	87	+0.4	210/302/322	111	283	8	40	26%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Roman Quinn 2022 · MLB	29	47→55	45	61→65	44	224/301/353	129	315	11	31	31%	8%	86	+0.3	208/302/330	122	342	11	25	38%	10%	82	+0.0	172/280/277	105	314	8	34	42%	11%	61	-0.4
✕Billy Hamilton 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	39→40	59→70	49	220/286/307	86	286	5	34	24%	8%	70	-0.9	197/251/297	100	294	8	34	33%	7%	54	-2.0	162/214/241	78	260	4	47	37%	6%	25	-0.9
✕Mike McCoy 2011 · MLB	30	54→58	40	59→60	54	254/324/347	93	301	6	29	17%	9%	93	+0.8	232/315/312	80	281	6	30	18%	10%	82	-0.0	224/311/288	64	273	5	33	18%	11%	72	-0.5
✕Jonathan Davis 2023 · MLB	31	47→52	40→45	57→55	51	222/318/314	93	301	8	27	27%	10%	84	+0.2	222/299/341	119	310	10	17	29%	8%	83	+0.1	210/286/332	123	299	10	14	31%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Elliot Johnson 2014 · MLB	30	45→55	42→45	59→60	45	220/275/325	104	283	10	33	25%	7%	70	-0.9	207/267/315	108	275	9	17	26%	7%	64	-1.3	188/250/289	102	254	7	12	27%	7%	51	-1.1
✕Tommy Murphy 2009 · MLB	29	50→54	40→45	56→60	43	239/286/335	96	314	7	29	25%	6%	76	-0.4	221/279/314	93	295	7	25	26%	7%	68	-1.0	192/254/259	67	258	4	26	26%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Michael Bourn 2014 · MLB	31	57→63	41→45	59→65	49	271/331/380	109	342	7	31	22%	8%	102	+1.5	247/306/339	92	324	5	18	23%	8%	84	+0.1	241/301/322	81	317	3	18	23%	8%	76	-0.4
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2013 · MLB	30	51→57	38→40	59→60	49	242/298/329	88	293	4	28	18%	7%	78	-0.3	232/297/305	73	281	4	17	17%	8%	73	-0.6	224/294/281	57	267	2	15	15%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Gilberto Mejia 2014 · AAA	31	55→61	40→45	63→65	50	260/323/357	97	317	6	38	19%	8%	94	+0.9	263/315/359	96	319	5	39	18%	5%	91	+0.7	265/312/354	89	319	3	43	17%	4%	86	+0.3
✕Alexi Casilla 2014 · MLB	30	49→59	39→40	60	49	232/287/327	95	268	5	30	16%	7%	74	-0.5	239/281/320	81	283	5	18	17%	5%	70	-0.9	243/279/309	66	290	3	14	17%	5%	62	-0.7
✕Jon Berti 2020 · MLB	30	53→62	46→45	60	48	259/329/392	133	322	12	32	23%	8%	105	+1.7	246/336/365	119	316	11	30	23%	11%	102	+1.5	269/337/371	102	336	9	39	21%	9%	100	+0.7
✕Travis Jankowski 2021 · MLB	30	52→62	38→40	52→65	50	243/311/319	77	312	6	25	23%	9%	82	-0.0	238/331/317	79	302	5	26	20%	12%	89	+0.5	242/344/305	63	304	2	35	18%	13%	86	+0.1
✕Antoan Richardson 2014 · AAA	30	56→59	36→40	61→60	54	257/343/330	73	335	2	29	22%	10%	96	+1.0	233/309/313	80	314	4	32	25%	8%	80	-0.2	252/336/323	71	328	4	49	22%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Grégor Blanco 2013 · MLB	29	50→60	41→45	60	55	238/322/340	102	303	7	31	22%	11%	91	+0.6	261/337/369	108	321	7	21	19%	10%	102	+1.5	272/348/379	107	328	6	19	17%	10%	103	+1.1
✕Craig Gentry 2014 · MLB	30	56→57	39→40	62→60	51	265/342/362	97	315	5	35	17%	8%	103	+1.5	238/301/309	71	295	5	30	20%	7%	76	-0.4	221/287/294	73	284	4	29	22%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Alfredo Amezaga 2007 · MLB	29	54→56	39→40	52→55	52	257/319/344	87	293	6	27	14%	8%	90	+0.6	254/313/350	96	290	5	17	14%	7%	88	+0.5	269/319/347	78	317	5	6	16%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Eric Young Jr. 2015 · MLB	30	52→60	39→45	65	50	245/308/339	94	295	4	43	18%	8%	85	+0.2	229/292/314	85	282	6	36	20%	7%	74	-0.6	243/300/354	111	304	9	24	22%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Tyler Graham 2014 · AAA	30	48→54	39→40	60→65	45	226/292/312	86	288	6	33	23%	6%	73	-0.6	232/279/308	76	287	6	28	21%	5%	67	-1.1	236/277/285	48	291	3	38	19%	4%	57	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps