Bryce Johnson — OGILVIE

Bryce JohnsonCF El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 30 S/R 5'11" / 190 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 1.564 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION128 act + 206 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5567vR 97

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .299 / .326

PA206

HR3

SB11

K%30

BB%8

BABIP314

ISO103

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

817.8%

xwOBA

240.278

POWER35

Barrel%

102.0

Avg EV

1085.4

Bat Spd

2468.6

EYE50

Chase%

9023.8%

SPEED60

Sprint

6828.2

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 157 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

114

▶▶R

wOBA

276

335

▶▶R

ISO

033

088

▶▶R

BABIP

297

405

▶▶R

18.1%

21.2%

◀L

BB%

11.1%

2.4%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2022

Service 1.564 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.3M		$-3M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	511	454	96	14	5	1	41	169	7	31	4	211	287	271	558	59	332	33	8	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	511	441	110	18	6	1	54	116	7	31	4	249	341	324	665	75	334	23	11	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	540	486	96	20	5	5	47	175	4	26	15	198	274	290	564	93	294	32	9	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	540	470	120	23	7	5	63	126	4	26	15	255	348	366	714	111	336	23	12	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	407	366	92	15	6	8	35	121	4	30	4	251	323	391	714	139	353	30	9	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	407	353	101	15	5	9	48	108	4	30	4	286	378	433	811	147	388	27	12	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	371	334	79	9	4	4	25	126	7	31	5	237	303	323	627	87	362	34	7	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	371	325	91	11	4	5	34	97	7	31	5	280	361	385	745	105	381	26	9	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	346	309	73	12	4	7	29	92	4	21	4	236	310	369	679	133	313	27	8	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	346	300	79	14	4	9	38	85	4	21	4	263	354	427	780	163	338	25	11	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	392	337	75	13	4	3	36	103	11	21	4	223	318	312	629	89	308	26	9	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	392	323	88	17	5	4	50	77	11	21	4	272	388	393	781	121	343	20	13	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	—	284	252	64	13	1	3	19	86	5	15	3	254	319	349	668	95	374	30	7	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	—	284	243	71	16	1	4	28	68	5	15	3	292	377	416	792	123	392	24	10	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	SD	—	128	113	19	4	0	0	11	50	1	9	2	168	248	204	452	35	302	39	9	213	21	-11	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.8
YTD	30	AAA	SD	—	128	110	22	5	0	0	14	43	1	9	2	200	296	245	541	45	328	34	11	252	51	-7	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	30	AAA	SD	100%	206	184	41	8	1	3	17	61	3	11	2	223	299	326	625	103	309	30	8	281	73	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
ROS	30	MLB	SD	100%	206	184	40	7	1	3	17	61	3	11	2	217	294	315	609	98	305	30	8	266	62	-9	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
FULL	30	AAA	SD	—	334	297	59	11	1	3	28	111	4	20	4	199	277	273	549	74	304	33	8	245	46	-20	+2	+0	-4	+9	-1.2
TOT	30	AAA	SD	—	334	297	60	12	1	3	28	111	4	20	4	202	280	279	559	77	310	33	8	254	53	-18	+2	+0	-4	+9	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	SD	82%	319	285	63	12	2	4	26	95	5	14	3	221	297	319	617	98	310	30	8	278	71	-10	+2	-2	-3	+9	-0.5
2027	31	MLB	SD	82%	262	234	50	9	1	3	22	78	4	12	3	214	292	299	591	85	306	30	8	264	60	-12	+1	-2	-3	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	692	618	138	23	2	8	54	192	9	31	7	223	295	306	601	83	309	28	8	266	62	-30	+3	+1	-10	+20	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	131	22	2	8	51	180	8	29	7	226	297	312	609	86	311	28	8	266	62	-28	+3	+1	-9	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	3376	3007	679	116	32	38	275	1028	50	200	44	226	301	324	625	98	328	30	8	277	70	-114	+22	+0	-26	+96	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	130	22	6	7	53	198	10	39	8	225	301	320	620	95	326	30	8	277	70	-22	+5	+0	-5	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	511	441	110	18	6	1	54	116	7	31	4	249	341	324	665	75	334	23	11	303	90	-6	+5	—	—	+14	1.3
2019	23	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	236	210	51	14	1	3	24	55	1	8	7	243	323	362	685	119	314	23	10	310	95	-1	-1	—	—	+7	0.4
2019	23	A+	San Jose Giants	—	304	260	69	9	6	2	39	71	3	18	8	265	368	369	737	104	354	23	13	335	115	+5	+0	—	—	+9	1.4
2021	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	407	353	101	15	5	9	48	108	4	30	4	286	378	433	811	147	388	27	12	363	136	+16	+4	—	—	+12	3.3
2022	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	19	18	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	111	158	111	269		182	37	5	132	-41	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2022	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	352	307	89	11	4	5	33	90	7	31	5	290	372	401	772	111	391	26	9	345	123	+9	+4	—	—	+10	2.4
2023	27	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	48	43	7	1	0	1	4	15	0	3	0	163	234	256	490	93	214	31	8	223	28	-4	+1	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2023	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	298	257	72	13	4	8	34	70	4	18	4	280	373	455	828	175	358	23	11	366	138	+13	+2	—	—	+8	2.4
2024	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	73	63	13	2	0	0	7	12	0	1	1	206	286	238	524	32	255	16	10	238	41	-5	-0	+1	-4	+2	-0.6
2024	28	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	319	260	75	15	5	4	43	65	11	20	3	288	411	431	842	142	366	20	13	376	146	+17	+3	—	—	+9	2.9
2025	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	84	76	26	4	0	1	3	19	2	4	1	342	383	434	817	92	446	23	4	355	130	+3	+0	+0	-3	+2	0.3
2025	29	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	200	167	45	12	1	3	25	49	3	11	2	269	374	407	782	138	365	24	12	346	123	+5	+1	—	—	+6	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	224	200	48	7	0	2	15	53	2	8	2	240	300	305	605	65	315	24	7	270	64	-9	+1	+2	-5	+6	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA	8	2,389	17	24	246	315	322	+2	+9	2.5	2.7
	/162	664	5	7	246	315	322	+0.5	+2.5	0.7	pk7: 3
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#5Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	753	10	32	239	308	337	-4	+2	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	9	28	239	308	337	-3.8	+1.4	0.8	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryce Johnson (OGILVIE)	30	60	35	60	50	202/280/279	77	310	3	20	33%	8%	53	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emilio Bonifácio 2015 · MLB	30	53→63	39→40	59→65	47	249/300/338	89	311	5	34	21%	7%	79	+0.3	250/293/325	75	311	4	29	20%	6%	72	-0.2	246/287/327	82	304	5	33	20%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	52→57	43→45	60→65	45	244/333/363	119	323	10	34	26%	7%	102	+1.8	226/314/349	123	299	10	35	26%	7%	90	+1.0	218/308/337	119	293	9	40	27%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Roman Quinn 2022 · MLB	29	46→53	45	61→65	44	223/300/352	129	313	12	31	31%	8%	84	+0.6	206/300/330	124	345	11	25	39%	10%	79	+0.3	167/275/272	105	312	9	34	44%	11%	53	-0.4
✕Billy Hamilton 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	39→40	59→70	49	220/286/306	86	285	5	34	24%	8%	65	-0.7	196/250/295	99	293	8	34	33%	7%	47	-1.9	161/212/239	78	258	4	47	37%	6%	14	-0.9
✕Elliot Johnson 2014 · MLB	30	45→53	42→45	59→60	45	219/274/323	104	281	10	33	25%	7%	65	-0.7	206/265/318	112	272	9	17	26%	7%	59	-1.1	186/247/294	108	249	8	12	27%	7%	44	-1.0
✕Tyler Graham 2014 · AAA	30	48→56	39→40	60→65	44	230/292/318	89	291	6	33	22%	6%	71	-0.3	230/274/310	80	286	7	28	21%	4%	61	-1.0	234/273/287	53	289	4	38	20%	4%	50	-1.3
✕Jonathan Davis 2023 · MLB	31	47→52	41→45	57→55	51	224/319/322	98	304	9	27	27%	10%	85	+0.7	224/300/352	128	310	12	17	30%	8%	84	+0.6	213/288/347	134	298	13	14	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Antoan Richardson 2014 · AAA	30	55→59	36→40	62→60	53	253/339/330	77	333	2	29	22%	10%	94	+1.3	233/308/316	83	317	4	32	26%	8%	78	+0.2	256/340/332	76	335	4	49	22%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Alexi Casilla 2014 · MLB	30	49→59	39→40	60	49	232/286/327	95	268	5	30	16%	7%	70	-0.3	240/280/324	84	284	6	18	17%	5%	66	-0.6	243/278/313	70	290	4	14	17%	4%	58	-0.6
✕Everth Cabrera 2015 · MLB	28	53→60	39→40	59→65	48	253/310/339	86	314	6	37	20%	8%	83	+0.6	219/273/289	70	275	5	21	21%	6%	55	-1.4	190/244/219	28	246	1	22	21%	6%	21	-1.4
✕Delino DeShields 2022 · MLB	29	48→55	40→45	56→65	52	228/311/321	93	302	7	25	25%	10%	80	+0.4	210/300/280	70	305	5	29	29%	11%	66	-0.6	197/300/240	43	317	1	35	33%	12%	54	-0.7
✕Travis Jankowski 2021 · MLB	30	51→61	38→40	52→65	49	240/306/317	77	309	6	25	23%	8%	76	+0.1	238/329/318	80	303	5	26	20%	12%	87	+0.8	243/344/307	64	306	2	35	19%	13%	86	+0.3
✕Eugenio Velez 2013 · MLB	31	51→58	43→50	55→65	43	245/292/366	121	307	9	29	23%	6%	83	+0.6	263/310/380	117	326	10	30	21%	6%	94	+1.3	278/324/384	106	341	8	34	20%	6%	97	+1.1
✕Trevor Crowe 2014 · MLB	30	50→55	38→45	53→55	48	238/295/321	83	293	6	24	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/273/332	103	273	9	17	19%	6%	66	-0.6	217/247/314	97	249	9	15	17%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2013 · MLB	30	51→57	38→40	58→60	49	240/297/326	85	292	4	28	18%	7%	74	-0.1	228/292/299	71	277	4	17	18%	8%	66	-0.6	219/288/274	56	261	2	15	16%	8%	55	-0.7
●Grégor Blanco 2013 · MLB	29	51→60	41→45	60	55	240/324/346	106	306	8	31	23%	11%	92	+1.2	264/340/374	110	324	7	21	19%	10%	105	+2.1	276/352/384	108	333	6	19	17%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Jon Berti 2019 · MLB	29	50→60	44→45	62→60	45	244/305/368	124	304	10	34	22%	6%	89	+1.0	255/337/382	127	325	12	28	23%	10%	107	+2.2	270/339/373	102	338	9	39	21%	9%	102	+1.0
✕Mike McCoy 2011 · MLB	30	53→58	39→40	59→60	54	252/322/344	92	300	6	29	18%	9%	90	+1.0	233/315/312	79	283	6	30	18%	10%	79	+0.3	226/313/292	66	275	5	33	18%	11%	71	-0.2
✕Tommy Murphy 2009 · MLB	29	50→54	40→50	56→60	42	239/285/335	96	313	7	29	25%	6%	72	-0.2	220/276/313	93	293	7	25	26%	7%	63	-0.9	192/254/259	67	258	4	26	26%	7%	36	-1.4
✕Shawn O'Malley 2017 · MLB	29	54→58	40→45	56→60	47	256/314/359	103	316	6	21	21%	7%	91	+1.1	231/286/333	102	296	8	12	23%	6%	72	-0.2	217/267/299	83	279	6	6	24%	6%	52	-0.4