Troy Johnston — OGILVIE

Troy JohnstonOF Colorado Rockies

Age 29 L/L 5'11" / 206 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.360 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION314 act + 209 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†116

AVG/OBP/SLG.272 / .342 / .411

PA209

HR4

SB5

K%20

BB%8

BABIP328

ISO139

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

904.0%

xwOBA

710.333

POWER55

Barrel%

194.2

Avg EV

5789.6

Bat Spd

4370.6

EYE40

Chase%

9010.4%

SPEED60

Sprint

2226.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.360 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$12M	+$11M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$8M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$3M	+$1M
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$26M	+$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	3 teams	—	597	538	127	26	1	13	50	154	7	8	2	236	309	361	670	125	306	26	8	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	3 teams	—	597	511	153	30	1	15	77	124	7	8	2	299	398	450	848	151	369	21	13	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	492	442	98	20	1	11	34	129	8	4	0	222	289	346	635	124	282	26	7	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	492	426	111	25	1	14	50	95	8	4	0	261	349	423	772	162	299	19	10	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	2 teams	—	600	538	136	34	4	21	38	133	19	24	2	253	324	448	772	195	296	22	6	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	2 teams	—	600	512	157	36	5	26	62	108	19	24	2	307	400	549	949	242	343	18	10	412	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	714	664	161	36	5	14	34	163	13	21	3	242	293	375	668	133	300	23	5	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	714	642	173	39	4	12	56	129	13	21	3	269	340	399	739	129	319	18	8	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	475	436	96	13	4	16	26	111	12	33	7	220	283	378	661	158	258	23	5	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	475	426	110	17	5	16	36	94	12	33	7	258	333	434	768	176	297	20	8	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	COL	—	314	276	83	23	0	3	29	53	5	4	5	301	377	417	794	116	359	17	9	350	126	+9	-1	-0	-3	+9	1.4
YTD	29	MLB	COL	—	314	276	83	23	0	3	29	53	5	4	5	301	377	417	794	116	359	17	9	354	129	+10	-1	-0	-3	+9	1.5
ROS	29	MLB	COL	100%	209	187	51	12	1	4	16	41	4	5	3	272	342	411	753	139	326	20	8	337	116	+4	-0	+0	-2	+6	0.8
ROS	29	MLB	COL	100%	209	187	56	14	1	5	16	41	4	5	3	299	367	465	832	166	352	20	8	349	125	+6	-0	+0	-2	+6	1.0
FULL	29	MLB	COL	—	523	463	139	37	1	8	45	94	9	9	8	300	373	436	810	136	359	18	9	350	126	+15	-1	-0	-6	+15	2.3
TOT	29	MLB	COL	—	523	463	134	35	1	7	45	94	9	9	8	289	363	414	778	125	347	18	9	345	122	+13	-1	-0	-6	+15	2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	COL	92%	559	501	134	31	2	11	43	112	10	13	7	267	338	403	741	136	323	20	8	333	113	+8	-0	-2	-6	+16	1.6
2028	31	MLB	COL	92%	548	491	131	30	2	11	42	112	10	11	6	267	337	403	740	136	321	20	8	329	110	+6	-0	-3	-6	+16	1.3
2029	32	MLB	COL	92%	537	482	126	29	2	10	41	112	9	9	5	261	331	392	723	131	317	21	8	323	105	+3	-0	-3	-6	+15	0.9
2030	33	MLB	COL	92%	463	417	106	24	1	8	35	99	8	6	3	254	324	374	698	120	313	21	8	315	99	-0	+0	-4	-5	+13	0.4
2031	34	MLB	COL	88%	391	352	86	19	1	6	30	86	6	4	2	244	314	355	670	111	306	22	8	305	92	-4	+0	-5	-4	+11	-0.2
2032	35	MLB	COL	83%	330	297	71	15	1	5	25	75	5	2	1	239	309	347	656	108	299	23	8	294	83	-6	+0	-6	-4	+9	-0.6
2027	30	MLB	COL	92%	514	460	134	32	2	12	40	103	9	12	6	291	360	448	807	157	349	20	8	344	122	+13	+0	-2	-6	+15	2.0
2028	31	MLB	COL	92%	504	451	129	31	2	11	39	103	9	10	5	286	355	437	792	151	346	20	8	340	118	+10	+0	-2	-5	+14	1.7
2029	32	MLB	COL	92%	494	445	126	30	2	11	38	103	8	8	4	283	350	434	784	151	342	21	8	333	113	+7	+0	-3	-5	+14	1.3
2030	33	MLB	COL	92%	426	384	105	24	1	9	32	91	7	5	3	273	340	411	752	138	337	21	8	325	107	+3	-0	-4	-5	+12	0.7
2031	34	MLB	COL	88%	342	307	81	18	1	6	26	75	6	3	2	264	333	388	721	124	329	22	8	314	99	-1	-0	-4	-4	+10	0.1
2032	35	MLB	COL	83%	274	248	64	14	1	5	20	62	4	2	1	258	324	383	707	125	321	23	7	302	89	-3	+0	-5	-3	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2884	2594	726	165	11	63	219	604	48	47	26	280	347	425	772	145	342	21	8	331	111	+37	-1	-21	-38	+82	6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	163	37	2	14	49	136	11	11	6	279	346	421	766	142	340	21	8	331	111	+8	-0	-5	-9	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	5915	5345	1323	289	25	130	414	1327	111	140	41	248	315	384	699	136	304	22	7	309	95	-35	+12	-24	-67	+168	5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	146	32	3	14	45	146	12	15	5	249	315	385	700	136	306	22	7	309	95	-4	+1	-3	-7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	Beloit Snappers	—	420	357	103	22	1	14	57	91	5	6	1	289	394	473	867	185	352	22	14	386	154	+25	+1	—	—	+12	3.9
2021	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	96	83	29	5	0	1	11	12	1	0	0	349	432	446	877	96	394	12	11	393	159	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	81	71	21	3	0	0	9	21	1	2	1	296	383	338	721	42	420	26	11	335	115	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	116	97	15	5	0	4	18	24	1	1	0	155	293	330	623	175	159	21	16	289	79	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	376	329	96	20	1	10	32	71	7	3	0	292	367	450	817	158	337	19	9	357	132	+13	+1	—	—	+11	2.5
2023	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	226	198	64	13	1	8	20	44	7	8	1	323	404	520	925	197	381	19	9	407	170	+18	+1	—	—	+6	2.6
2023	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	374	314	93	23	4	18	42	64	12	16	1	296	397	567	964	271	319	17	11	414	175	+32	+3	—	—	+11	4.6
2024	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	479	132	30	4	11	37	100	10	17	3	276	340	424	764	148	327	19	7	340	119	+11	+2	—	—	+15	2.9
2024	27	INTL	Toros del Este	—	186	163	41	9	0	1	19	29	3	4	0	252	341	325	666	74	299	16	10	307	93	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.5
2025	28	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	121	112	31	2	1	4	8	26	1	2	2	277	331	420	750	143	329	21	7	335	115	+2	-0	-1	-8	+3	-0.5
2025	28	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	354	314	79	15	4	12	28	68	11	31	5	252	334	439	774	188	285	19	8	344	121	+9	+4	—	—	+10	2.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	121	112	31	2	1	4	8	26	1	2	2	277	331	420	750	143	329	21	7	335	115	+2	-0	-1	-8	+3	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Spieziolast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,044 PA	8	3,044	86	23	258	334	427	-21	-15	9.6	10.0
	/162	664	19	5	258	334	427	-4.5	-3.4	2.1	pk7: 10
#2Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	8	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
	/162	664	16	12	259	332	405	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,498	68	63	263	328	394	-25	-10	8.2	8.2
	/162	664	13	12	263	328	394	-4.8	-2.0	1.6	pk7: 8
#3Michael Tuckerlast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,732 PA	7	2,732	71	71	253	340	419	-23	-26	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	17	17	253	340	419	-5.5	-6.3	1.8	pk7: 7
#4Alejandro De Azalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,819 PA	8	2,819	51	89	259	325	396	-6	-12	7.0	7.2
	/162	664	12	21	259	325	396	-1.4	-2.8	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Terrence Longlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,282 PA	6	3,282	69	27	270	319	407	-26	-7	6.9	6.9
	/162	664	14	5	270	319	407	-5.2	-1.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#6Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#6Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Troy Johnston (OGILVIE)	29	50	55	60	40	289/363/414	125	347	7	9	18%	9%	122	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→54	45→50	53→55	54	255/333/381	126	315	11	18	22%	10%	105	+2.1	236/306/347	111	297	10	16	22%	9%	85	+0.7	221/291/320	99	280	9	15	23%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Tyler Neslony 2023 · AAA	29	53→47	50→55	51→55	44	259/312/429	170	333	15	17	26%	7%	108	+2.3	221/276/341	120	304	12	19	29%	7%	71	-0.3	195/255/293	98	273	10	22	31%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Nathan Lukes 2023 · AAA	29	55→57	44→50	51→50	45	269/316/391	123	320	11	15	20%	6%	100	+1.7	276/330/408	132	320	13	10	17%	7%	110	+2.4	281/341/417	136	315	14	5	15%	8%	112	+1.5
●Mike Tauchman 2020 · MLB	29	50→56	50→55	52→55	51	248/317/417	169	297	16	14	22%	9%	107	+2.2	233/317/376	143	303	13	14	25%	10%	97	+1.5	244/350/366	121	305	13	6	22%	13%	107	+1.6
✕Alex Presley 2014 · MLB	29	55→63	45→50	53→55	46	266/313/397	131	317	11	17	20%	6%	100	+1.7	252/298/354	102	295	10	14	17%	6%	82	+0.5	257/304/345	88	306	7	13	18%	6%	79	+0.2
●Fred Lewis 2011 · MLB	30	55→60	46→50	54→55	51	264/339/415	151	332	10	19	22%	9%	115	+2.8	253/327/401	148	324	13	18	24%	9%	107	+2.2	252/327/399	147	327	13	19	25%	9%	101	+1.1
●Abraham Almonte 2018 · MLB	29	51→55	44→55	56→55	49	245/304/380	135	300	9	15	21%	8%	92	+1.2	215/294/369	154	267	14	12	24%	10%	85	+0.7	227/326/416	190	273	22	11	24%	13%	108	+1.4
✕Lonnie Chisenhall 2017 · MLB	28	53→56	46→55	52→45	46	259/307/396	137	302	12	7	19%	6%	98	+1.6	265/325/427	162	313	16	8	20%	7%	113	+2.6	282/351/470	187	330	20	5	20%	8%	130	+1.4
✕Alejandro De Aza 2014 · MLB	30	55→61	46→50	52→55	49	267/328/403	136	320	13	21	20%	8%	108	+2.3	249/317/389	140	312	12	15	23%	8%	100	+1.7	241/315/378	137	306	11	14	23%	8%	92	+0.7
✕Andrew Stevenson 2023 · MLB	29	52→59	47→50	59→60	42	254/305/402	147	325	13	24	25%	6%	98	+1.6	255/308/393	138	329	13	36	25%	6%	97	+1.5	266/320/399	133	345	13	48	25%	6%	98	+1.0
●TJ Friedl 2023 · MLB	27	46→54	47→50	55	48	231/299/374	143	270	14	16	20%	7%	89	+0.9	245/325/396	151	276	16	19	17%	9%	106	+2.2	248/339/390	142	278	16	18	16%	10%	108	+2.0
●Harrison Bader 2023 · MLB	29	50→56	49→55	55	46	253/308/405	152	298	17	21	21%	6%	101	+1.8	239/292/372	133	285	15	23	21%	6%	85	+0.7	242/304/399	157	300	20	16	25%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	47→48	47→50	57→50	46	230/294/372	142	295	13	11	26%	8%	86	+0.8	221/302/378	157	287	19	8	28%	10%	92	+1.2	209/296/361	152	272	19	4	29%	11%	83	+0.2
✕BJ Boyd 2022 · AAA	29	49→56	49→45	56→50	42	249/296/395	146	309	17	13	25%	5%	93	+1.3	259/317/404	145	308	15	12	20%	7%	104	+2.0	289/354/441	153	330	14	10	16%	8%	125	+1.7
●David Peralta 2017 · MLB	29	55→62	51→60	55→45	47	273/326/451	178	321	16	9	20%	7%	120	+3.1	279/339/455	176	323	19	6	19%	8%	127	+3.6	282/345/462	180	324	20	4	19%	8%	126	+3.2
✕Mark Teahen 2010 · MLB	28	55→60	46→55	49→50	48	266/324/407	140	324	13	8	21%	7%	108	+2.3	245/309/361	116	314	10	7	23%	8%	89	+1.0	233/297/324	92	309	6	6	25%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Greg Dobbs 2008 · MLB	30	53→58	46→55	50	48	262/311/398	136	302	13	10	18%	6%	99	+1.7	255/304/414	159	291	18	8	19%	6%	101	+1.8	272/318/375	103	318	9	3	17%	6%	87	+0.5
✕Xavier Paul 2014 · MLB	29	52→58	47→45	48→55	49	254/317/395	141	310	14	13	22%	8%	102	+1.8	208/263/332	124	277	14	6	29%	6%	63	-0.8	164/211/257	94	234	12	1	35%	5%	19	-2.3
✕John Rodriguez 2007 · MLB	29	52→47	51→55	52→40	48	257/328/427	170	320	18	6	25%	8%	115	+2.7	235/310/394	159	297	18	4	26%	8%	99	+1.7	216/294/374	157	272	19	1	27%	7%	85	+0.3
●Alex Dickerson 2019 · MLB	29	51→55	51→60	51→45	48	259/316/428	169	287	18	9	17%	6%	110	+2.4	270/337/472	202	315	23	4	21%	8%	131	+3.9	270/342/486	215	312	26	1	22%	8%	132	+1.9