Troy Johnston — OGILVIE

Troy JohnstonRF Colorado Rockies

Age 29 L/L 5'11" / 206 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.360 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION421 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†105

AVG/OBP/SLG.333 / .400 / .444

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP332

ISO111

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

903.2%

xAVG

830.278

POWER55

Barrel%

163.9

Avg EV

5889.7

Bat Spd

4370.6

EYE40

Chase%

908.3%

SPEED60

Sprint

2326.2

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%22%·22% over 76 PA (45d) · proj 22%

BB%7%·7% over 107 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.134▼.115 over 96 AB (60d) · proj .145xISO .103 vs .187 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB2.6%▼1.3% over 76 BBE (60d) · proj 3.4%barrel% 2.3% vs 9.3% prior — approach backs the move

BABIP.301·.280 over 75 BIP (60d) · proj .303xBABIP .320 vs .332 prior

SLASH.245/.307/.378▼proj .252/.314/.397

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.360 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	24	A+	Beloit Snappers	—	420	357	103	22	1	14	57	91	5	6	1	289	394	473	867	185	352	22	14	386	147	+24	+1	—	—	+9	3.4
2021	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	96	83	29	5	0	1	11	12	1	0	0	349	432	446	877	96	394	12	11	393	152	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	81	71	21	3	0	0	9	21	1	2	1	296	383	338	721	42	420	26	11	335	113	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	116	97	15	5	0	4	18	24	1	1	0	155	293	330	623	175	159	21	16	289	81	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2022	25	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	376	329	96	20	1	10	32	71	7	3	0	292	367	450	817	158	337	19	9	357	128	+13	+1	—	—	+8	2.2
2023	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	226	198	64	13	1	8	20	44	7	8	1	323	404	520	925	197	381	19	9	407	162	+17	+1	—	—	+5	2.3
2023	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	374	314	93	23	4	18	42	64	12	16	1	296	397	567	964	271	319	17	11	414	167	+30	+3	—	—	+8	4.1
2024	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	479	132	30	4	11	37	100	10	17	3	276	340	424	764	148	327	19	7	340	117	+10	+2	—	—	+11	2.5
2024	27	INTL	Toros del Este	—	186	163	41	9	0	1	19	29	3	4	0	252	341	325	666	74	299	16	10	307	94	-1	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	28	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	121	112	31	2	1	4	8	26	1	2	2	277	331	420	750	143	329	21	7	335	113	+2	-0	-1	-8	+3	-0.6
2025	28	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	354	314	79	15	4	12	28	68	11	31	5	252	334	439	774	188	285	19	8	344	119	+8	+4	—	—	+8	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	121	112	31	2	1	4	8	26	1	2	2	277	331	420	750	143	329	21	7	335	113	+2	-0	-1	-8	+3	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	420	377	86	19	1	10	37	120	5	6	1	228	305	363	669	135	302	29	9	295	86	-7	+1	—	—	+9	0.3
2021	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	96	86	24	3	0	1	8	16	1	0	0	279	347	349	696	70	330	17	8	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	116	102	13	5	0	3	13	30	1	1	0	127	233	265	497	137	142	26	11	218	34	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2022	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	376	340	85	16	1	7	21	90	7	3	0	250	307	365	672	115	303	24	6	297	87	-6	+1	—	—	+8	0.3
2023	26	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	226	204	54	11	1	5	14	51	7	8	1	265	333	402	735	137	327	23	6	325	106	+2	+1	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	26	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	374	332	79	21	3	13	26	79	12	16	1	238	316	437	753	199	269	21	7	327	107	+3	+3	—	—	+8	1.5
2024	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	528	491	117	26	4	8	25	120	10	17	3	238	289	356	645	118	297	23	5	282	77	-14	+2	—	—	+11	-0.1
2025	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	121	112	31	2	1	4	8	26	1	2	2	277	331	420	750	143	329	21	7	339	116	+2	-0	-1	-8	+3	-0.5
2025	28	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	354	324	63	11	3	9	18	84	11	31	5	194	261	330	591	136	233	24	5	263	64	-15	+4	—	—	+8	-0.3
2021	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	597	536	127	25	1	13	52	157	7	8	2	237	313	360	673	123	310	26	9	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	597	511	153	30	1	15	77	124	7	8	2	299	398	450	848	151	369	21	13	380	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	442	99	21	1	10	34	120	8	4	0	224	291	344	635	120	279	24	7	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	492	426	111	25	1	14	50	95	8	4	0	261	349	423	772	162	299	19	10	341	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	600	536	135	32	4	19	40	130	19	24	2	252	326	433	759	181	297	22	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	600	512	157	36	5	26	62	108	19	24	2	307	400	549	949	242	343	18	10	412	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	714	664	158	35	5	11	34	162	13	21	3	238	288	355	644	117	298	23	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	714	642	173	39	4	12	56	129	13	21	3	269	340	399	739	129	319	18	8	332	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	436	95	14	4	13	26	110	12	33	7	218	281	358	638	140	261	23	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	475	426	110	17	5	16	36	94	12	33	7	258	333	434	768	176	297	20	8	342	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	597	533	127	25	1	13	52	157	7	8	2	238	313	362	675	124	307	26	9	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	492	447	99	21	1	10	34	120	8	4	0	221	291	340	631	119	265	24	7	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	600	536	135	32	4	19	40	130	19	24	2	252	326	433	759	181	291	22	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	714	661	158	35	5	11	34	162	13	21	3	239	288	357	645	118	297	23	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	434	95	14	4	13	26	110	12	33	7	219	281	359	640	141	258	23	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	600	536	135	32	4	19	40	130	19	24	2	252	326	433	759	181	291	22	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	714	661	158	35	5	11	34	162	13	21	3	239	288	357	645	118	297	23	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	434	95	14	4	13	26	110	12	33	7	219	281	359	640	141	258	23	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	MLB MLE	COL	—	421	372	101	27	1	4	36	75	7	4	5	272	347	382	729	110	326	18	9	319	102	+1	-1	-0	-5	+9	0.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	COL	—	421	372	105	29	1	4	36	75	7	4	5	282	357	398	754	116	339	18	9	337	102	+1	-1	-0	-5	+9	0.4
YTD	29	MLB RAW	COL	—	421	372	105	29	1	4	36	75	7	4	5	282	357	398	754	116	339	18	9	337	114	+7	-1	-0	-5	+9	1.0
ROS	29	MLB MLE	COL	100%	10	9	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	333	400	444	844	111	315	20	10	324	105	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	COL	100%	10	9	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	333	400	444	844	111	332	20	10	328	105	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	29	MLB A+C	COL	—	431	381	108	30	1	4	37	77	7	4	5	283	358	399	757	115	341	18	9	336	102	+1	-1	-0	-5	+9	0.5
TOT	29	MLB MLE	COL	—	431	381	104	28	1	4	37	77	7	4	5	273	348	383	731	110	328	18	9	319	102	+1	-1	-0	-5	+9	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	COL	92%	559	501	129	30	2	9	43	111	10	10	6	257	329	379	708	122	311	20	8	318	101	+1	-0	-1	-6	+12	0.6
2028	31	MLB MLE	COL	92%	548	491	124	29	2	8	42	111	10	9	5	253	324	369	693	116	308	20	8	313	98	-1	-0	-2	-6	+12	0.3
2029	32	MLB MLE	COL	92%	537	482	120	27	2	8	41	111	9	7	4	249	320	363	683	114	304	21	8	307	94	-4	-0	-2	-6	+12	-0.1
2030	33	MLB MLE	COL	92%	316	284	68	15	1	4	24	67	5	3	2	239	310	342	651	102	299	21	8	298	88	-4	-0	-3	-3	+7	-0.5
2027	30	MLB CTX	COL	92%	514	461	125	30	3	9	39	102	9	9	5	271	340	408	748	137	328	20	8	322	101	+1	-0	-1	-6	+11	0.5
2028	31	MLB CTX	COL	92%	504	452	121	29	2	9	38	102	9	8	4	268	337	400	737	133	325	20	8	317	98	-1	+0	-1	-5	+11	0.3
2029	32	MLB CTX	COL	92%	494	444	116	28	2	8	38	102	9	7	4	261	332	387	719	126	320	21	8	310	94	-4	-0	-2	-5	+11	-0.1
2030	33	MLB CTX	COL	92%	291	262	66	15	1	4	22	62	5	3	2	252	322	363	684	111	315	21	8	301	88	-4	-0	-3	-3	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1934	1740	462	105	9	34	146	396	33	29	17	266	334	395	729	129	324	20	8	315	90	-7	-1	-9	-28	+42	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	155	35	3	11	49	133	11	10	6	265	333	391	725	126	324	20	8	315	90	-2	-0	-3	-9	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4848	4381	1058	229	22	95	337	1081	93	119	31	241	309	369	678	127	298	22	7	301	90	-7	-1	-9	-30	+45	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	142	31	3	13	45	145	12	16	4	242	309	371	680	129	298	22	7	301	90	-2	-0	-3	-9	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	3.9	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
/162	664	16	12	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
#2Alejandro De Azalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,819 PA	4.2	2,819	51	89	259	325	396	-6	-12	7.0	7.2
/162	664	12	21	-1.4	-2.8	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Chris Denorfialast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,339 PA	3.5	2,339	40	55	272	330	392	-20	+2	6.0	6.4
/162	664	11	16	-5.5	+0.5	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Chris Coghlanlast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,905 PA	4.4	2,905	53	47	258	334	398	-23	-40	4.1	5.1
/162	664	12	11	-5.2	-9.2	0.9	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.1	2,695	44	44	258	324	380	-20	-9	4.9	4.9
/162	664	11	11	-5.0	-2.2	1.2	pk7: 5
#5Fred Lewislast yr '11 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	27	53	266	344	405	-19	-21	3.5	3.5
/162	664	10	20	-7.1	-7.9	1.3	pk7: 3
#6Raimel Tapialast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA	3.0	1,959	28	60	275	319	389	-21	-13	2.1	2.1
/162	664	9	20	-7.1	-4.4	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Troy Johnston (OGILVIE)	29	50	55	60	40	260/329/388	129	315	6	7	20%	8%	105	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→54	45→50	53→55	54	256/334/385	129	314	12	18	22%	10%	105	+1.7	235/306/346	111	295	10	16	22%	9%	86	+0.3	220/290/317	97	278	9	15	23%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Lonnie Chisenhall 2017 · MLB	28	53→57	46→55	53→45	46	260/309/399	139	304	12	7	19%	6%	99	+1.3	265/325/429	164	313	16	8	20%	7%	112	+2.2	282/351/470	188	329	20	5	20%	8%	126	+1.2
✕Tyler Neslony 2023 · AAA	29	53→48	49→55	51→55	45	259/314/423	164	328	14	17	25%	7%	107	+1.8	222/280/340	118	297	11	19	28%	7%	75	-0.5	199/260/294	95	270	10	22	29%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Abraham Almonte 2018 · MLB	29	51→53	44→55	56→55	49	245/306/382	137	301	9	15	21%	8%	94	+0.9	218/297/377	159	268	15	12	23%	10%	91	+0.6	228/326/410	182	278	20	11	24%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Alex Presley 2014 · MLB	29	55→63	44→50	53→55	46	266/313/393	127	314	11	17	19%	6%	99	+1.2	251/297/353	102	293	10	14	17%	6%	84	+0.1	254/301/339	85	304	7	13	18%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Xavier Paul 2014 · MLB	29	52→58	47→45	48→55	49	257/320/395	139	313	14	13	22%	8%	103	+1.5	213/270/340	127	282	15	6	29%	7%	72	-0.7	176/225/280	104	245	13	1	33%	5%	38	-1.9
✕Raimel Tapia 2023 · MLB	29	54→63	42→50	52→55	47	260/303/365	105	301	9	16	17%	6%	88	+0.5	244/306/363	119	302	12	20	22%	8%	90	+0.6	230/310/327	97	298	12	33	25%	10%	82	-0.0
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	46→49	46→50	56→50	46	229/294/368	139	294	13	11	26%	8%	87	+0.4	219/303/375	156	285	18	8	28%	10%	92	+0.7	206/296/357	150	270	19	4	29%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Nathan Lukes 2023 · AAA	29	53→54	43→45	51→50	45	258/309/372	113	311	9	15	20%	6%	93	+0.8	272/328/396	124	318	12	10	17%	7%	105	+1.7	280/340/410	130	315	13	5	15%	8%	109	+1.1
✕Joey Wendle 2019 · MLB	29	54→61	44→50	54→50	43	261/309/388	128	316	9	15	20%	5%	97	+1.1	258/315/392	134	311	11	16	20%	6%	100	+1.3	266/317/405	139	317	11	16	19%	5%	100	+0.8
✕Ryan Roberts 2010 · MLB	29	52	45→50	53→55	54	251/328/379	128	297	11	14	19%	10%	102	+1.5	234/308/376	142	276	15	16	20%	10%	94	+0.9	229/304/364	135	264	16	13	19%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Greg Dobbs 2008 · MLB	30	53→58	46→55	50	48	262/312/398	136	302	13	10	18%	7%	100	+1.3	255/304/412	157	291	18	8	19%	6%	101	+1.4	270/316/374	104	316	9	3	17%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Nick Martini 2019 · MLB	29	53→58	41→50	51→45	52	251/329/351	100	319	7	7	22%	10%	96	+1.0	247/332/359	112	316	10	5	23%	10%	99	+1.2	236/326/369	133	296	14	1	23%	10%	96	+0.8
✕BJ Boyd 2022 · AAA	29	50→58	48→45	55→50	42	250/297/392	142	307	17	13	24%	5%	93	+0.8	262/320/402	140	312	14	12	20%	7%	104	+1.6	297/361/441	145	342	13	10	16%	8%	125	+1.5
✕Brock Holt 2017 · MLB	29	55→65	42→45	51→50	51	263/327/376	113	316	8	10	19%	8%	100	+1.3	249/328/360	111	306	10	8	20%	9%	98	+1.2	266/351/379	112	335	8	7	21%	10%	107	+0.8
✕Joe Inglett 2007 · MLB	29	59→63	41→45	53→50	47	284/329/394	110	327	6	16	15%	6%	105	+1.7	266/319/371	105	309	6	12	15%	6%	96	+1.0	291/353/406	115	339	5	12	15%	8%	113	+1.1
✕Fred Lewis 2011 · MLB	30	55→60	46→50	54→55	51	264/339/415	151	332	10	19	22%	9%	114	+2.4	250/324/387	137	322	11	18	24%	9%	102	+1.5	246/322/376	130	322	11	19	25%	9%	93	+0.5
●Donovan Walton 2023 · MLB	29	47→56	47→50	48→45	48	233/295/381	148	261	13	8	17%	7%	91	+0.6	234/295/349	115	270	11	7	17%	7%	83	+0.1	246/321/364	118	275	14	5	16%	8%	95	+0.7
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2017 · MLB	29	48→55	51→55	58→60	43	240/296/410	170	318	17	19	30%	7%	97	+1.1	213/277/366	153	324	16	18	37%	8%	80	-0.1	188/255/328	140	302	13	21	40%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Shane Peterson 2017 · MLB	29	52→58	45→50	51→50	45	251/310/382	131	338	12	8	28%	8%	95	+1.0	226/269/361	135	303	13	10	29%	5%	76	-0.4	213/256/343	130	291	13	8	30%	5%	64	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps