Nathan LukesRF Toronto Blue Jays
Age 32 L/R 5'11" / 180 lbs MLB Svc 1.843 · Ctrl thru 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION408 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†vL 93103vR 106
AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .333 / .250
PA9
HR0
K%11
BB%11
BABIP298
ISO133
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)
BAT so far: -0.7 runs (408 MLB PA)BAT projected ROS: -0.0 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)-1BATRUN so far: -0.2 runs (408 MLB PA)RUN projected ROS: +0.0 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)-0RUNFLD so far: +0.9 runs (408 MLB PA)FLD projected ROS: +0.1 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)+1FLDPOS so far: -4.4 runs (408 MLB PA)POS projected ROS: -0.1 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)-4POSREP so far: +8.8 runs (408 MLB PA)REP projected ROS: +0.2 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)+9REP2026 MLB WAR (so far + projected ROS): +0.48so far: +0.5 WAR+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.00.326272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT60
Whiff%
903.5%
xAVG
600.259
POWER40
Barrel%
153.7
Avg EV
3087.6
Bat Spd
1767.8
EYE45
Chase%
9019.6%
SPEED50
Sprint
4027.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%16%·15% over 97 PA (30d) · proj 16%
BB%6%▼▼3% over 145 PA (45d) · proj 8%
ISO.124.114 over 175 AB (60d) · proj .134xISO .088 vs .133 prior — approach backs the move
HR/BB3.3%·3.4% over 148 BBE (60d) · proj 3.1%barrel% 2.5% vs 4.7% prior
BABIP.295·.280 over 143 BIP (60d) · proj .298xBABIP .276 vs .329 prior
SLASH.267/.312/.390proj .266/.330/.400
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 570 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
53
517
wRC+
98
106
R
wOBA
313
325
R
ISO
119
148
▶▶R
BABIP
323
280
L
K%
22.6%
11.8%
▶▶R
BB%
11.3%
7.5%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2023
Service   1.843 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.1M+0.0$0.1M+$0.0M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $1M +$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201622 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs 9490 19201 3140 11 211237267503 56240 153 226 39 -7 -0 +2 -0.5
201622 ALake County Captains 393342 1032185 37606 148 301379453832 152349 159 364 132 +15 -0 +9 2.4
201723 AAMontgomery Biscuits 404359 971553 32713 68 270335365700 95323 188 310 96 -2 -2 +9 0.5
201723 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs 2220 8100 240 12 400455450905 50500 189 410 163 +2 -1 +0 0.2
201824 AAMontgomery Biscuits 484435 1212936 31936 94 278335400735 122336 196 322 104 +2 +0 +10 1.3
201925 AAADurham Bulls 295260 57834 26563 73 219298319617 100260 199 277 74 -9 +0 +6 -0.3
202127 AAADurham Bulls 326294 893114 21414 22 303357456813 153335 136 354 125 +10 -0 +7 1.7
202228 AAABuffalo Bisons 484428 12225111 47897 203 285365425790 140336 1810 354 126 +15 +3 +10 2.9
202329 MLBToronto Blue Jays 3126 5110 490 00 192300308608 115278 2913 271 70 -1 +0 +0 -3 +1 -0.3
202329 AAABuffalo Bisons 222202 741615 17253 31 366423530953 163401 118 422 172 +19 +0 +5 2.4
202430 MLBToronto Blue Jays 9176 23421 1090 10 303384447831 145319 1011 351 123 +3 +0 -1 -3 +2 0.1
202430 AAABuffalo Bisons 231207 69707 22362 42 333403469871 135378 1610 390 150 +14 +0 +5 1.9
202531 MLBToronto Blue Jays 438388 9919212 38602 24 255325407732 152273 149 320 103 +2 -1 +2 -5 +9 0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 560490 12724513 52782 34 259333408741 149281 149 323 104 +3 -1 +1 -11 +12 0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201622 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs 9491 15101 2200 11 165183209392 44203 212 171 2 -11 -0 +2 -0.9
201622 A MLELake County Captains 393353 911873 26796 148 258319374693 116309 207 299 88 -5 -0 +9 0.3
201723 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits 404370 881342 21873 68 238284311595 73293 225 265 65 -17 -2 +9 -1.0
201723 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs 2220 7100 260 12 350409400809 50435 279 322 104 +0 -1 +0 -0.0
201824 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits 484445 1152535 211076 94 258301362663 103313 224 284 78 -12 +0 +10 -0.2
201925 AAA MLEDurham Bulls 295268 52733 18663 73 194253276529 82232 226 229 41 -21 +0 +6 -1.4
202127 AAA MLEDurham Bulls 326301 852613 14484 22 282323405728 123312 154 312 97 -1 -0 +7 0.6
202228 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons 484445 1162218 301057 203 261317369686 108320 226 302 91 -5 +3 +10 0.8
202329 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays 3126 5110 490 00 192300308608 115278 2913 266 66 -1 +0 +0 -3 +1 -0.3
202329 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons 222208 691414 11313 31 332374466840 135371 145 360 130 +8 +0 +5 1.3
202430 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays 9176 23421 1090 10 303384447831 145319 1011 345 119 +2 +0 -1 -3 +2 0.0
202430 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons 231214 65605 15432 42 304355402757 98362 196 332 111 +3 +0 +5 0.8
202531 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays 438388 9919212 38602 24 255325407732 152273 149 313 98 -1 -1 +2 -5 +9 0.4
201622 A MLE2 teams 487444 1061974 28996 159 239293340633 101296 206 274 72
201622 A RAW2 teams 487432 1222386 40746 159 282351414766 132326 158 337 72
201723 AA MLE2 teams 426390 951442 23933 710 244291315606 72309 225 268 67
201723 AA RAW2 teams 426379 1051653 34753 710 277341369711 92332 188 315 67
201824 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits 484445 1152535 211076 94 258301362663 103324 224 284 78
201824 AA RAWMontgomery Biscuits 484435 1212936 31936 94 278335400735 122336 196 322 78
201925 AAA MLEDurham Bulls 295268 52733 18663 73 194253276529 82241 226 229 41
201925 AAA RAWDurham Bulls 295260 57834 26563 73 219298319617 100260 199 277 41
202127 AAA MLEDurham Bulls 326301 852613 14484 22 282323405728 123322 154 312 97
202127 AAA RAWDurham Bulls 326294 893114 21414 22 303357456813 153335 136 354 97
202228 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons 484445 1162218 301057 203 261317369686 108323 226 302 91
202228 AAA RAWBuffalo Bisons 484428 12225111 47897 203 285365425790 140336 1810 354 91
202329 AAA MLE2 teams 253234 741524 15403 31 316365449814 132366 166 348 122
202329 AAA RAW2 teams 253228 791725 21343 31 346409504913 158389 138 404 122
202430 AAA MLE2 teams 322290 881026 25522 52 303363414777 110349 168 336 113
202430 AAA RAW2 teams 322283 921128 32452 52 325397463860 138361 1410 379 113
202531 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays 438388 9919212 38602 24 255325407732 152273 149 313 98 -1 -1 +2 -5 +9 0.4
202531 MLB RAWToronto Blue Jays 438388 9919212 38602 24 255325407732 152273 149 320 98 -1 -1 +2 -5 +9 0.4
201622 A MLE2 teams 487450 1061974 28996 159 236293336628 100289 206 274 72
201723 AA MLE2 teams 426397 951442 23933 710 239291310601 71300 225 268 67
201824 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits 484454 1152535 211076 94 253301355655 101313 224 284 78
201925 AAA MLEDurham Bulls 295272 52733 18663 73 191253272525 81232 226 229 41
202127 AAA MLEDurham Bulls 326305 852613 14484 22 279323400723 121312 154 312 97
202228 AAA MLEBuffalo Bisons 484444 1162218 301057 203 261317369687 108320 226 302 91
202329 AAA MLE2 teams 253233 741524 15403 31 318365451816 133360 166 348 122
202430 AAA MLE2 teams 322292 881026 25522 52 301363411774 110350 168 336 113
202531 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays 438395 9919212 38602 24 251325400725 149273 149 313 98
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202329 AAA MLE2 teams 253233 741524 15403 31 318365451816 133360 166 348 122
202430 AAA MLE2 teams 322292 881026 25522 52 301363411774 110350 168 336 113
202531 MLB MLEToronto Blue Jays 438395 9919212 38602 24 251325400725 149273 149 313 98
YTD32 MLB MLETOR 408373 10213010 21606 11 273323389711 115302 155 310 96 -2 -0 +1 -4 +9 0.3
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR32 MLB RAWTOR 408373 10213010 21606 11 273323389711 115302 155 314 96 -2 -0 +1 -4 +9 0.3
YTD32 MLB RAWTOR 408373 10213010 21606 11 273323389711 115302 155 314 99 -1 -0 +1 -4 +9 0.5
ROS32 MLB MLETOR 100% 98 2000 110 00 250333250583 297 1111 320 103 +0 +0 +0 -0 +0 0.0
ROS32 MLB CTXTOR 100% 98 2000 110 00 250333250583 298 1111 312 103 +0 +0 +0 -0 +0 0.0
FULL32 MLB A+CTOR 417381 10413010 22616 11 273323386709 113301 155 314 96 -2 -0 +1 -4 +9 0.3
TOT32 MLB MLETOR 417381 10413010 22616 11 273323386709 113301 155 310 96 -2 -0 +1 -4 +9 0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202733 MLB MLETOR 98% 349319 841218 23554 11 263321382703 119292 167 312 97 -1 -0 +1 -4 +8 0.3
202733 MLB CTXTOR 98% 342313 831218 22544 11 265322387708 121293 166 304 97 -1 -0 +1 -4 +7 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career A+C 911811 21236621 751336 45 261328398727 137287 158 316 86 +2 -1 +2 -15 +20 0.8
/ 162G A+C 650579 15126415 54954 34 261328397725 136286 158 316 86 +1 -1 +2 -10 +14 0.6
Career MLE 38733532 9161692655 23672640 7139 259313369682 109309 196 296 86 +2 -1 +2 -15 +20 0.8
/ 162G MLE 650593 1532849 401227 127 258313364677 106308 196 296 86 +1 -1 +2 -10 +14 0.6