Jason Krizan
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 31 | INTLGigantes del … | 35 | .121/.147/.182 | 0 | 0 | -16 | — | |
| 2021 | 32 | AAASF | 480 | .316/.374/.492 | 16 | 1 | 91 | — | .262/.306/.393 |
| 2022 | 33 | AAASF | 395 | .266/.332/.487 | 15 | 1 | 71 | — | .214/.260/.371 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 205 | 184 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 293 | 321 | 614 | 82 | 272 | 15 | 6 | 270 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 426 | 365 | 89 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 50 | 48 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 244 | 337 | 337 | 674 | 93 | 267 | 11 | 12 | 303 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 472 | 399 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 288 | 391 | 396 | 787 | 108 | 314 | 9 | 13 | 354 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 525 | 464 | 136 | 31 | 2 | 7 | 53 | 47 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 293 | 367 | 414 | 781 | 121 | 312 | 9 | 10 | 347 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 82 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 169 | 244 | 183 | 427 | 14 | 207 | 18 | 9 | 197 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 475 | 414 | 110 | 22 | 2 | 8 | 51 | 43 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 266 | 346 | 386 | 733 | 121 | 277 | 9 | 11 | 325 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 111 | 100 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 300 | 369 | 400 | 769 | 100 | 341 | 13 | 10 | 348 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 406 | 356 | 104 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 292 | 372 | 469 | 841 | 177 | 292 | 7 | 11 | 368 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 166 | 134 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 284 | 418 | 388 | 806 | 104 | 324 | 13 | 19 | 370 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 414 | 371 | 98 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 53 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 264 | 336 | 377 | 713 | 113 | 297 | 13 | 10 | 320 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 66 | 56 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 393 | 469 | 679 | 1.147 | 286 | 353 | 5 | 12 | 480 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 150 | 340 | 231 | 33 | 5 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 415 | 368 | 92 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 378 | 711 | 128 | 286 | 16 | 11 | 321 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 76 | 63 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 365 | 467 | 603 | 1.070 | 238 | 404 | 12 | 16 | 460 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 367 | 323 | 83 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 337 | 443 | 780 | 186 | 256 | 10 | 10 | 342 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 35 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 147 | 182 | 329 | 61 | 154 | 23 | 3 | 145 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 480 | 431 | 136 | 26 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 70 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 374 | 492 | 866 | 176 | 340 | 15 | 8 | 376 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 395 | 357 | 95 | 30 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 332 | 487 | 819 | 221 | 282 | 15 | 9 | 357 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 205 | 189 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 253 | 296 | 549 | 79 | 250 | 20 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 426 | 383 | 79 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 67 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 206 | 269 | 287 | 556 | 81 | 229 | 16 | 8 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 472 | 417 | 109 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 61 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 339 | 355 | 694 | 94 | 290 | 13 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 525 | 480 | 132 | 30 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 56 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 275 | 328 | 383 | 712 | 108 | 293 | 11 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 82 | 73 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 231 | 192 | 423 | 14 | 205 | 22 | 6 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 475 | 433 | 107 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 55 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 247 | 299 | 339 | 638 | 92 | 261 | 12 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 111 | 103 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 306 | 330 | 636 | 78 | 299 | 15 | 7 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 406 | 372 | 94 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 253 | 307 | 392 | 699 | 140 | 254 | 8 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 414 | 384 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 63 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 224 | 275 | 315 | 590 | 91 | 259 | 15 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 66 | 59 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 339 | 391 | 559 | 950 | 220 | 297 | 6 | 8 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 415 | 383 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 80 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 217 | 275 | 321 | 597 | 104 | 254 | 19 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 76 | 67 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 299 | 373 | 493 | 866 | 194 | 330 | 14 | 11 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 367 | 334 | 72 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 276 | 359 | 636 | 144 | 214 | 11 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 480 | 443 | 116 | 23 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 81 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 306 | 393 | 699 | 131 | 285 | 17 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 395 | 369 | 79 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 260 | 371 | 631 | 157 | 238 | 19 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 205 | 189 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 253 | 296 | 549 | 79 | 264 | 20 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 205 | 184 | 44 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 293 | 321 | 614 | 82 | 272 | 15 | 6 | 270 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 426 | 383 | 79 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 67 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 206 | 269 | 287 | 556 | 81 | 237 | 16 | 8 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A RAW | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 426 | 365 | 89 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 50 | 48 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 244 | 337 | 337 | 674 | 93 | 267 | 11 | 12 | 303 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 472 | 417 | 109 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 61 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 339 | 355 | 694 | 94 | 298 | 13 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ RAW | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 472 | 399 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 288 | 391 | 396 | 787 | 108 | 314 | 9 | 13 | 354 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 525 | 480 | 132 | 30 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 56 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 275 | 328 | 383 | 712 | 108 | 299 | 11 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA RAW | Erie SeaWolves | — | 525 | 464 | 136 | 31 | 2 | 7 | 53 | 47 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 293 | 367 | 414 | 781 | 121 | 312 | 9 | 10 | 347 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 506 | 120 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 73 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 237 | 289 | 318 | 607 | 81 | 263 | 13 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 557 | 485 | 122 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 58 | 58 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 252 | 331 | 357 | 688 | 105 | 268 | 10 | 10 | 306 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 683 | 628 | 159 | 35 | 7 | 10 | 49 | 65 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 253 | 307 | 379 | 686 | 126 | 267 | 10 | 7 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 683 | 590 | 172 | 37 | 7 | 12 | 87 | 62 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 292 | 383 | 439 | 822 | 147 | 307 | 9 | 13 | 365 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 501 | 463 | 112 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 70 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 242 | 292 | 352 | 644 | 110 | 271 | 14 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 501 | 447 | 123 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 49 | 63 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 275 | 347 | 405 | 752 | 130 | 303 | 13 | 10 | 335 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 415 | 383 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 80 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 217 | 275 | 321 | 597 | 104 | 256 | 19 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA RAW | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 415 | 368 | 92 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 46 | 67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 378 | 711 | 128 | 286 | 16 | 11 | 321 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 443 | 401 | 92 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 293 | 382 | 674 | 152 | 238 | 12 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 443 | 386 | 106 | 31 | 1 | 14 | 50 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 275 | 359 | 469 | 828 | 194 | 280 | 10 | 11 | 362 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL MLE | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 35 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 147 | 182 | 329 | 61 | 154 | 23 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 31 | INTL RAW | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 35 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 147 | 182 | 329 | 61 | 154 | 23 | 3 | 145 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 480 | 443 | 116 | 23 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 81 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 306 | 393 | 699 | 131 | 292 | 17 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 480 | 431 | 136 | 26 | 1 | 16 | 39 | 70 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 316 | 374 | 492 | 866 | 176 | 340 | 15 | 8 | 376 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 395 | 369 | 79 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 260 | 371 | 631 | 157 | 240 | 19 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 395 | 357 | 95 | 30 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 332 | 487 | 819 | 221 | 282 | 15 | 9 | 357 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 205 | 194 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 211 | 253 | 289 | 541 | 77 | 250 | 20 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 426 | 390 | 79 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 67 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 203 | 269 | 282 | 551 | 79 | 229 | 16 | 8 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 472 | 420 | 109 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 61 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 260 | 339 | 352 | 691 | 93 | 290 | 13 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 525 | 482 | 132 | 30 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 56 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 274 | 328 | 382 | 710 | 108 | 293 | 11 | 7 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 557 | 515 | 120 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 73 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 233 | 289 | 313 | 602 | 80 | 253 | 13 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 683 | 629 | 159 | 35 | 7 | 10 | 49 | 65 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 253 | 307 | 378 | 686 | 126 | 264 | 10 | 7 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 501 | 463 | 112 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 70 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 242 | 292 | 352 | 644 | 110 | 264 | 14 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 415 | 381 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 80 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 218 | 275 | 323 | 598 | 105 | 254 | 19 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 30 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 443 | 404 | 92 | 26 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 293 | 379 | 672 | 151 | 234 | 12 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 480 | 449 | 116 | 23 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 81 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 306 | 388 | 693 | 129 | 285 | 17 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 33 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 395 | 369 | 79 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 260 | 371 | 631 | 157 | 238 | 19 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5137 | 4695 | 1126 | 242 | 27 | 77 | 357 | 728 | 10 | 50 | 29 | 240 | 295 | 352 | 647 | 112 | 267 | 14 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -147 | -2 | +0 | -55 | +111 | -9.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 143 | 31 | 3 | 10 | 45 | 92 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 241 | 295 | 354 | 648 | 113 | 268 | 14 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -19 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAASacramento River Cats · 395 PAwOBA .349 → .273 (−76)K% 15.4% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.44% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.86% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 5.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.22% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×0.942 | 14.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.14% | ÷0.967 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.942 | 8.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×0.942 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.07% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 3.38% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .349 → .273; ISO .221 → .163; BABIP .282 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASacramento River Cats · 480 PAwOBA .372 → .302 (−69)K% 14.6% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.58% | ÷1.034 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.12% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 5.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.76% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×1.003 | ×0.952 | 21.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.20% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×0.952 | 6.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×0.952 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.43% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 2.97% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 110, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 107, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .372 → .302; ISO .176 → .135; BABIP .340 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 367 PAwOBA .335 → .273 (−61)K% 9.8% → 11.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.81% | ÷1.083 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.35% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 7.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.27% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.72% | ÷1.026 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.948 | 14.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.67% | ÷0.945 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.948 | 6.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.948 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.18% | ÷1.012 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 3.05% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 105, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 117, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .273; ISO .186 → .149; BABIP .256 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAASyracuse Mets · 76 PAwOBA .448 → .369 (−79)K% 11.8% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.84% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 10.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.042 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 19.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 12.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.960 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 3.15% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 108, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 104, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .448 → .369; ISO .238 → .201; BABIP .404 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 415 PAwOBA .313 → .266 (−47)K% 16.1% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.14% | ÷1.011 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.84% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×0.982 | 19.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.31% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×0.982 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.038 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×0.982 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.66% | ÷0.893 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 2.45% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 108, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .313 → .266; ISO .128 → .113; BABIP .286 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 414 PAwOBA .312 → .263 (−49)K% 12.8% → 15.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.80% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.42% | ÷0.996 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.38% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×0.992 | 18.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.92% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×0.992 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.26% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×0.992 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.26% | ÷1.049 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 1.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 111, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .312 → .263; ISO .113 → .098; BABIP .297 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAErie SeaWolves · 66 PAwOBA .482 → .388 (−94)K% 4.5% → 5.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 4.55% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 5.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.12% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 7.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷1.020 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 23.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷0.944 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.094 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.55% | ÷1.259 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 4.53% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 119, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .482 → .388; ISO .286 → .203; BABIP .353 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAErie SeaWolves · 406 PAwOBA .362 → .303 (−59)K% 6.7% → 8.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.65% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 8.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.84% | ÷1.027 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.76% | ÷1.045 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×0.978 | 17.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.29% | ÷0.973 | ×0.860 | ×0.983 | ×0.978 | 6.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.127 | ×0.950 | ×0.983 | ×0.978 | 1.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.095 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 109, 2B 95, 3B 125, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .362 → .303; ISO .177 → .144; BABIP .292 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .