Tyler Black

3B Nashville Sounds
Age 27 L/R 6'0" / 208 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.224 · Ctrl thru 2032 ILForty Man (40M)
Overview
AAA40M40-MANROOKIEPre-ArbFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AAAMIL462.258/.376/.429142096—.235/.326/.365
202424MLBMIL57.204/.316/.2450372-0.9
202525AAA/ROKMIL307.261/.389/.39152281—.224/.320/.328
202626AAAMIL430.246/.372/.38772378—.212/.308/.322
202626MLBMIL28.333/.357/.481001460.4
2027PROJ45% MLB27MLBMIL70.216/.309/.32313840.0
2028PROJ47% MLB28MLBMIL133.215/.307/.32325830.0
2029PROJ46% MLB29MLBMIL132.214/.305/.3202481-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5  ·  Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service0.224First FA2033
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$0.2M2031Ext$0.8M2032Ext$1M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed93
Chase%88
BB%85
Max EV67
Whiff%60
K%56
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%
CompsTyler Wade (age 27) · Miles Mastrobuoni (age 28) · Cal Stevenson (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†84
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .309 / .323
PA70
HR1
K%26
BB%10
BABIP288
ISO113
MLB%45%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT
xAVG
100.192
POWER
Avg EV
1083.2
Bat Spd
3169.4
SPEED
Sprint
6328.0
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   0.224 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Arb-1$0.2M———
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202121 ACarolina Mudcats — 10381 18400 20292 32 222388272660 49346 2819 323 53 — — — — — —
202222 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers — 283231 651344 45445 136 281409424833 143330 1616 376 97 — — — — — —
202222 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 7661 17301 10184 41 279413377790 98381 2413 363 132 — — — — — —
202323 AAANashville Sounds — 173142 44944 27233 83 310430514944 204345 1316 415 145 — — — — — —
202323 AABiloxi Shuckers — 385308 8416814 617713 479 273413513926 240320 2016 406 117 — — — — — —
202424 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 5749 10200 7171 30 204316245561 41312 3012 271 72 -2 +1 +0 -9 +1 -0.9
202424 AAANashville Sounds — 462387 10014514 618712 203 258376429805 171299 1913 362 96 — — — — — —
202525 AAANashville Sounds — 268222 541024 43712 223 243371360731 117338 2616 337 76 — — — — — —
202525 ROKACL Brewers — 3931 12211 830 01 3875136131.126 226407 821 489 116 — — — — — —
202626 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 2827 9400 170 00 333357481839 148450 254 370 146 +2 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.4
202626 AAANashville Sounds — 430354 871957 64957 234 246372387759 141312 2215 343 78 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 8576 19600 8241 30 250329329658 79365 289 303 91 -1 +1 +0 -8 +2 -0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202121 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 10387 16300 14402 32 184311218529 34323 3914 246 53 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLEWisconsin Timber Rattlers — 283242 571044 34575 136 236342360701 124288 2012 312 97 — — — — — —
202323 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 173149 45853 20283 83 302395483879 181353 1612 383 145 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 385329 7917811 4110213 479 240347441788 201305 2611 341 117 — — — — — —
202424 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 5749 10200 7171 30 204316245561 41312 3012 274 72 -2 +1 +0 -9 +1 -0.9
202424 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 462405 9512411 4310612 203 235326365692 131288 239 310 96 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 268234 51923 31842 223 218315312627 94324 3112 281 76 — — — — — —
202525 ROK MLEACL Brewers — 3934 9111 540 01 265359441800 176291 1013 340 116 — — — — — —
202626 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 2827 9400 170 00 333357481839 148450 254 383 146 +2 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.4
202626 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 430373 791655 451147 234 212308322630 110283 2710 284 78 — — — — — —
202121 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 10387 16300 14402 32 184311218529 34340 3914 246 53 — — — — — —
202121 A RAWCarolina Mudcats — 10381 18400 20292 32 222388272660 49346 2819 323 53 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLE2 teams — 359304 731355 43739 177 240351365716 125298 2012 312 97 — — — — — —
202222 A+ RAW2 teams — 359292 821645 55629 177 281410414824 134339 1715 373 97 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLE2 teams — 558478 125261314 6113016 5512 262364458822 197329 2311 354 126 — — — — — —
202323 AA RAW2 teams — 558450 128251218 8810016 5512 284418513931 229328 1816 409 126 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 519454 10514411 5012313 233 231325352677 121292 2410 306 93 — — — — — —
202424 AAA RAW2 teams — 519436 11016514 6810413 233 252369408778 156300 2013 352 93 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE2 teams — 307269 601033 35892 224 223317316633 93320 2911 288 81 — — — — — —
202525 AAA RAW2 teams — 307253 661235 51742 224 261389391780 130349 2417 356 81 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLE2 teams — 458400 882055 461217 234 220311333644 113299 2610 290 82 — — — — — —
202626 AAA RAW2 teams — 458381 962357 651027 234 252371394765 142322 2214 345 82 — — — — — —
202121 A MLECarolina Mudcats — 10386 16300 14402 32 186311221532 35323 3914 246 53 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLE2 teams — 359304 731355 43739 177 240351365716 125288 2012 312 97 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLE2 teams — 558476 125261314 6113016 5512 263364460824 197320 2311 354 126 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 519451 10514411 5012313 233 233325355680 122291 2410 306 93 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE2 teams — 307267 601033 35892 224 225317318635 94320 2911 288 81 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLE2 teams — 458402 882055 461217 234 219311331642 112293 2610 290 82 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 519451 10514411 5012313 233 233325355680 122291 2410 306 93 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE2 teams — 307267 601033 35892 224 225317318635 94320 2911 288 81 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLE2 teams — 458402 882055 461217 234 219311331642 112293 2610 290 82 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLEMIL 45% 380332 721435 391006 174 218311327638 109293 2610 292 84 -7 +2 -2 +1 +8 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXMIL 45% 7062 13211 7181 31 216309323632 108288 2610 289 84 -1 +0 -0 +0 +2 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLEMIL 47% 286251 551124 29754 113 218310326636 108292 2610 291 83 -6 +1 -2 +1 +6 0.0
202929 MLB MLEMIL 46% 284249 541124 29754 103 217307324631 107290 2610 288 81 -6 +1 -3 +1 +6 -0.1
203030 MLB MLEMIL 46% 281247 531024 28744 82 215304320624 105288 2610 285 79 -7 +1 -4 +1 +6 -0.3
202828 MLB CTXMIL 47% 133116 25512 14352 51 215307323630 108287 2611 288 83 -3 +1 -1 +0 +3 0.0
202929 MLB CTXMIL 46% 132116 25512 13352 41 214305320625 107285 2710 286 81 -3 +0 -1 +0 +3 -0.1
203030 MLB CTXMIL 46% 130114 24412 13342 41 212301316618 104283 2610 283 79 -3 +0 -2 +0 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 480422 932036 481287 163 220310325635 104299 2710 289 92 -10 +2 -4 -6 +10 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 1262748 651739 224 221310324634 103299 2710 289 92 -13 +3 -5 -8 +14 -1.0
Career— MLE — 33102875 6581243752 35184163 17942 229326352678 123303 2511 304 92 -23 +4 -9 -4 +24 -0.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650565 12824710 6916512 358 227324347670 120300 2511 304 92 -14 +2 -5 -2 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAANashville Sounds · 430 PAwOBA .338 → .284 (−54)K% 22.1% → 26.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.09%÷1.000×1.200——26.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.88%÷1.000×0.690—×1.01810.45%
HBP% /PA1.63%—×0.940—×1.0181.56%
Singles /BIP21.62%÷1.000×0.930×0.988×1.01820.22%
Doubles /BIP7.34%÷1.000×0.830×0.988×1.0186.12%
Triples /BIP1.93%÷1.000×0.970×0.988×1.0181.88%
Home runs /BIP2.70%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0181.93%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .338 → .284; ISO .141 → .117; BABIP .312 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAANashville Sounds · 268 PAwOBA .330 → .281 (−49)K% 26.5% → 31.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.49%÷1.010×1.200——31.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.04%÷1.000×0.690—×1.03311.44%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.940—×1.0330.72%
Singles /BIP25.17%÷0.983×0.930×1.004×1.03324.69%
Doubles /BIP6.62%÷0.973×0.830×1.004×1.0335.86%
Triples /BIP1.32%÷0.900×0.970×1.004×1.0331.48%
Home runs /BIP2.65%÷1.111×0.700—×1.0331.72%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .330 → .281; ISO .117 → .095; BABIP .338 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Brewers · 39 PAwOBA .478 → .340 (−138)K% 7.7% → 11.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA7.69%÷0.973×1.440——11.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.51%÷1.011×0.620—×0.94511.88%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.031×0.820—×0.94521.48%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.109×0.720—×0.9454.38%
Triples /BIP3.57%÷1.001×0.720—×0.9452.43%
Home runs /BIP3.57%÷0.971×0.780—×0.9452.71%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 122, 3B 100, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .478 → .340; ISO .226 → .168; BABIP .407 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAANashville Sounds · 462 PAwOBA .354 → .310 (−44)K% 18.8% → 23.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.83%÷0.983×1.200——22.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.99%÷1.014×0.690—×1.0489.26%
HBP% /PA2.60%—×0.940—×1.0482.56%
Singles /BIP22.33%÷0.951×0.930×0.984×1.04822.51%
Doubles /BIP4.67%÷1.010×0.830×0.984×1.0483.95%
Triples /BIP1.67%÷1.150×0.970×0.984×1.0481.45%
Home runs /BIP4.67%÷0.909×0.700—×1.0483.76%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 90, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .354 → .310; ISO .171 → .141; BABIP .299 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 385 PAwOBA .397 → .341 (−56)K% 20.0% → 26.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷0.924×1.220——26.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.32%÷1.000×0.680—×1.02710.71%
HBP% /PA3.38%—×0.840—×1.0272.91%
Singles /BIP19.91%÷0.988×0.920×0.968×1.02718.42%
Doubles /BIP6.93%÷0.827×0.910×0.968×1.0277.58%
Triples /BIP3.46%÷0.900×0.880×0.968×1.0273.37%
Home runs /BIP6.06%÷1.055×0.800—×1.0274.72%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .397 → .341; ISO .240 → .213; BABIP .320 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAANashville Sounds · 173 PAwOBA .407 → .383 (−24)K% 13.3% → 16.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.29%÷0.978×1.200——16.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.61%÷0.995×0.690—×1.05011.37%
HBP% /PA1.73%—×0.940—×1.0501.71%
Singles /BIP22.69%÷0.953×0.930×1.022×1.05023.77%
Doubles /BIP7.56%÷0.971×0.830×1.022×1.0506.94%
Triples /BIP3.36%÷0.900×0.970×1.022×1.0503.89%
Home runs /BIP3.36%÷0.905×0.700—×1.0502.73%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .407 → .383; ISO .204 → .197; BABIP .345 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 283 PAwOBA .370 → .312 (−58)K% 15.5% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.55%÷0.977×1.270——20.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.90%÷0.944×0.710—×1.01212.11%
HBP% /PA1.77%—×0.790—×1.0121.41%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷1.083×0.920×1.031×1.01220.84%
Doubles /BIP6.95%÷1.049×0.810×1.031×1.0125.60%
Triples /BIP2.14%÷0.900×0.850×1.031×1.0122.11%
Home runs /BIP2.14%÷0.885×0.800—×1.0121.96%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .370 → .312; ISO .143 → .127; BABIP .330 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ACarolina Mudcats · 103 PAwOBA .316 → .246 (−70)K% 28.2% → 38.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.16%÷0.996×1.360——38.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.42%÷1.017×0.690—×1.01513.37%
HBP% /PA1.94%—×0.780—×1.0151.54%
Singles /BIP26.92%÷0.990×0.920×1.044×1.01526.52%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.177×0.830×1.044×1.0155.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.052×0.910×1.044×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.974×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 135, 3B 110, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .316 → .246; ISO .049 → .034; BABIP .346 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .