Tyler Black — OGILVIE

Tyler Black3B Nashville Sounds

Age 26 L/R 6'0" / 208 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION431 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP296

ISO119

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

887.1%

xAVG

100.192

POWER42

Avg EV

1083.2

Bat Spd

3169.4

EYE70

Chase%

9016.4%

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-4	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	103	81	18	4	0	0	20	29	2	3	2	222	388	272	660	49	346	28	19	323	104	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	283	231	65	13	4	4	45	44	5	13	6	281	409	424	833	143	330	16	16	376	140	+14	+0	—	—	+6	2.0
2022	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	76	61	17	3	0	1	10	18	4	4	1	279	413	377	790	98	381	24	13	363	132	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	23	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	173	142	44	9	4	4	27	23	3	8	3	310	430	514	944	204	345	13	16	415	167	+14	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
2023	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	385	308	84	16	8	14	61	77	13	47	9	273	413	513	926	240	320	20	16	406	161	+28	+6	—	—	+8	4.3
2024	24	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	57	49	10	2	0	0	7	17	1	3	0	204	316	245	561	41	312	30	12	271	69	-2	+1	+0	-9	+1	-0.9
2024	24	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	462	387	100	14	5	14	61	87	12	20	3	258	376	429	805	171	299	19	13	362	131	+17	+3	—	—	+10	3.0
2025	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	268	222	54	10	2	4	43	71	2	22	3	243	371	360	731	117	338	26	16	337	114	+4	+3	—	—	+6	1.4
2025	25	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	39	31	12	2	1	1	8	3	0	0	1	387	513	613	1.126	226	407	8	21	489	217	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	57	49	10	2	0	0	7	17	1	3	0	204	316	245	561	41	312	30	12	271	69	-2	+1	+0	-9	+1	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	103	87	16	3	0	0	14	40	2	3	2	184	311	218	529	34	318	39	14	243	51	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	283	242	56	10	4	4	34	61	5	13	6	231	338	355	693	124	283	22	12	304	92	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.4
2023	23	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	173	150	43	8	4	3	19	28	3	8	3	287	378	453	831	167	334	16	11	365	133	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2023	23	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	385	329	76	16	8	10	41	102	13	47	9	231	339	419	759	188	299	26	11	333	112	+5	+6	—	—	+8	2.0
2024	24	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	57	49	10	2	0	0	7	17	1	3	0	204	316	245	561	41	312	30	12	269	68	-2	+1	+0	-9	+1	-0.9
2024	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	462	407	91	11	4	11	41	106	12	20	3	224	313	351	664	128	274	23	9	296	86	-7	+3	—	—	+10	0.5
2025	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	268	235	50	9	2	3	30	84	2	22	3	213	307	306	613	94	313	31	11	273	71	-9	+3	—	—	+6	-0.0
2025	25	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	39	34	10	1	1	1	5	4	0	0	1	294	385	471	855	176	308	10	13	357	128	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	103	87	16	3	0	0	14	40	2	3	2	184	311	218	529	34	340	39	14	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	—	103	81	18	4	0	0	20	29	2	3	2	222	388	272	660	49	346	28	19	323	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	359	304	71	13	5	5	43	77	9	17	7	234	346	359	704	125	295	21	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	359	292	82	16	4	5	55	62	9	17	7	281	410	414	824	134	339	17	15	373	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	480	120	24	12	14	59	130	16	55	12	250	351	438	789	188	313	23	11	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	558	450	128	25	12	18	88	100	16	55	12	284	418	513	931	229	328	18	16	409	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	456	101	13	4	11	48	123	13	23	3	221	313	340	653	118	278	24	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	519	436	110	16	5	14	68	104	13	23	3	252	369	408	778	156	300	20	13	352	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	307	269	59	10	3	3	35	89	2	22	4	219	314	312	626	93	315	29	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	307	253	66	12	3	5	51	74	2	22	4	261	389	391	780	130	349	24	17	356	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	103	86	16	3	0	0	14	40	2	3	2	186	311	221	532	35	318	39	14	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	359	304	71	13	5	5	43	77	9	17	7	234	346	359	704	125	283	21	12	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	478	120	24	12	14	59	130	16	55	12	251	351	439	791	188	310	23	11	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	453	101	13	4	11	48	123	13	23	3	223	313	342	656	119	278	24	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	307	267	59	10	3	3	35	89	2	22	4	221	314	315	628	94	312	29	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	478	120	24	12	14	59	130	16	55	12	251	351	439	791	188	310	23	11	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	453	101	13	4	11	48	123	13	23	3	223	313	342	656	119	278	24	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	307	267	59	10	3	3	35	89	2	22	4	221	314	315	628	94	312	29	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	MIL	—	431	374	83	17	5	5	45	115	7	23	4	222	317	334	651	112	302	27	10	289	81	-9	+3	+0	+2	+9	0.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	MIL	—	28	27	9	4	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	333	357	481	839	148	450	25	4	370	81	-1	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.2
YTD	26	AAA RAW	MIL	—	403	328	81	15	5	7	63	90	7	23	4	247	379	387	767	140	315	22	16	347	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB RAW	MIL	—	28	27	9	4	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	333	357	481	839	148	450	25	4	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AAA MLE	MIL	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		298	22	11	299	88	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	MIL	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						296	0	0	287	88	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	MIL	—	29	28	9	4	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	321	345	464	809	143	429	24	3	367	82	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
TOT	26	AAA MLE	MIL	—	440	382	84	17	5	5	46	117	7	23	4	220	315	330	645	110	299	27	10	289	82	-10	+3	-0	+2	+10	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIL	30%	380	332	75	14	4	6	39	98	6	18	4	226	318	346	665	120	295	26	10	300	89	-5	+2	-3	+1	+8	0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIL	42%	392	343	77	14	4	7	40	101	6	18	4	224	316	350	666	125	294	26	10	300	89	-5	+2	-4	+1	+8	0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIL	47%	390	341	76	14	3	7	40	100	6	16	4	223	315	343	658	120	293	26	10	300	89	-5	+2	-5	+1	+8	0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIL	51%	388	339	75	14	3	7	40	100	6	15	3	221	314	342	656	121	292	26	10	297	87	-6	+2	-5	+1	+8	0.0
2031	31	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	373	327	71	13	3	6	38	98	5	12	3	217	308	330	638	113	289	26	10	293	84	-7	+1	-6	+1	+8	-0.2
2032	32	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	354	310	66	12	3	5	36	94	5	10	2	213	305	319	624	106	285	27	10	287	80	-8	+1	-6	+1	+8	-0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIL	30%	112	97	22	4	1	2	12	29	2	5	1	227	324	351	675	124	293	26	11	289	89	-1	+1	-1	+0	+2	0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIL	42%	163	143	33	6	2	3	17	42	2	7	2	231	321	364	685	133	292	26	10	290	89	-2	+1	-2	+1	+4	0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIL	47%	183	159	36	7	2	3	19	47	3	8	2	226	320	352	673	126	291	26	10	289	89	-2	+1	-2	+1	+4	0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIL	51%	196	171	38	7	2	3	20	51	3	7	2	222	314	339	654	117	290	26	10	287	87	-3	+1	-3	+1	+4	-0.0
2031	31	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	197	172	38	7	2	3	20	52	3	6	1	221	313	337	650	116	287	26	10	283	84	-4	+1	-3	+1	+4	-0.1
2032	32	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	193	168	36	6	2	3	20	51	3	5	1	214	309	327	636	113	283	26	10	277	80	-4	+1	-4	+1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1102	960	213	39	11	17	115	289	17	41	9	222	316	339	654	117	297	26	10	285	90	-19	+5	-14	-6	+24	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	125	23	6	10	68	170	10	24	5	221	315	336	651	115	295	26	10	285	90	-11	+3	-8	-3	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4132	3596	808	144	44	71	433	1052	76	209	48	225	321	348	669	124	296	25	10	301	90	-38	+10	-29	-1	+51	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	127	23	7	11	68	165	12	33	8	224	320	348	668	124	295	25	10	301	90	-11	+3	-8	-0	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,127	18	44	221	310	335	+4	-2	1.9	1.9
/162	664	10	26	+2.4	-1.2	1.1	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Black (OGILVIE)	26	50	40→42	60	70	221/315/336	115	298	4	13	26%	10%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕José Caballero 2023 · AA	26	46	44→45	58→70	60	221/332/342	120	278	12	33	23%	13%	96	+1.0	227/322/343	116	296	11	49	25%	10%	93	+0.8	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	47→48	43→45	59→60	47	226/314/340	114	309	10	29	28%	8%	89	+0.5	223/314/328	105	298	10	21	26%	10%	86	+0.3	215/312/312	97	283	9	20	25%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Flavio Romero 2007 · AAA	27	50→56	42→45	55→60	53	242/321/348	105	292	10	31	20%	9%	93	+0.8	235/324/322	87	292	6	23	20%	11%	88	+0.4	257/350/302	45	319	1	22	17%	12%	92	+0.4
✕Drew Avans 2022 · AAA	26	50→53	44→45	59→60	47	238/306/363	124	325	10	26	28%	9%	90	+0.6	223/296/329	106	323	8	28	30%	9%	78	-0.3	222/293/311	89	310	7	30	29%	9%	70	-0.8
✕Richie Palacios 2023 · MLB	26	52→53	43→45	58→55	50	246/318/368	122	305	8	20	21%	8%	95	+1.0	230/316/348	118	272	11	19	19%	10%	91	+0.7	220/314/331	111	256	12	20	18%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Delino DeShields 2019 · MLB	26	48→55	39→45	56→65	53	228/311/310	83	294	7	31	23%	10%	80	-0.1	230/309/324	94	304	7	28	24%	10%	82	+0.0	227/310/316	89	305	6	31	25%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Cal Stevenson 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	42→45	54→60	52	225/305/331	105	294	10	20	26%	10%	82	+0.0	236/325/352	116	309	10	28	24%	11%	95	+0.9	235/330/349	114	307	10	34	24%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Damian Jackson 2001 · MLB	27	53→54	43→45	58→55	57	251/336/375	124	308	8	26	20%	11%	103	+1.6	247/317/353	106	311	6	27	21%	9%	92	+0.7	255/323/351	95	294	7	32	15%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Nick Gordon 2022 · MLB	26	49→56	44→50	57→55	42	239/287/359	120	300	11	25	24%	6%	82	-0.0	241/286/379	138	298	13	12	23%	5%	86	+0.3	238/279/377	139	293	13	8	23%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Tyler Wade 2022 · MLB	27	50→55	41→40	57→60	49	236/311/336	100	310	8	33	25%	9%	86	+0.3	225/293/311	86	295	7	38	24%	8%	74	-0.6	227/298/287	61	307	4	40	25%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Chris Getz 2010 · MLB	26	54→56	40	57→60	51	257/315/353	95	289	7	23	14%	7%	91	+0.6	247/304/313	66	279	3	27	12%	7%	77	-0.3	245/291/309	64	272	2	31	10%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Josh Rojas 2020 · MLB	26	47→54	48→50	55	50	235/301/382	148	279	14	25	21%	8%	93	+0.8	245/319/380	135	305	13	19	22%	10%	99	+1.2	251/326/371	120	316	11	18	22%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Kevin Thompson 2006 · AAA	26	51→52	46→45	57→60	49	248/320/389	141	308	11	29	22%	8%	101	+1.4	237/303/361	124	293	9	27	21%	8%	88	+0.5	234/299/349	115	286	8	31	20%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Eric Patterson 2009 · MLB	26	50→55	44→50	58→60	45	242/292/365	123	300	11	27	23%	6%	84	+0.2	233/288/370	137	293	11	31	23%	7%	84	+0.2	226/282/365	139	279	11	34	22%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Bryce Johnson 2022 · AAA	26	49→53	42→45	59→60	45	231/299/341	110	330	9	28	31%	8%	82	+0.0	231/301/335	104	330	9	32	30%	8%	82	-0.0	232/311/335	103	321	8	29	28%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA	25	52→59	38→40	55	56	245/322/328	83	289	5	25	16%	10%	87	+0.4	213/283/302	89	276	7	18	23%	9%	68	-1.0	193/264/283	90	251	7	13	25%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Cliff Pennington 2011 · MLB	27	51→55	40→45	59→55	53	242/311/346	104	286	6	27	17%	9%	88	+0.4	242/303/348	106	290	8	17	18%	8%	85	+0.2	239/300/334	95	288	7	14	19%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Jace Peterson 2015 · MLB	25	53→57	40→50	58→55	51	251/316/351	100	304	5	25	19%	8%	91	+0.6	236/314/337	101	291	7	13	20%	10%	87	+0.4	238/316/380	142	295	14	19	23%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Travis Jankowski 2017 · MLB	26	56→63	38→40	58→65	51	260/327/343	82	331	4	34	21%	9%	93	+0.8	246/318/319	73	325	4	29	23%	9%	84	+0.1	260/338/329	69	331	4	29	20%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Alex Sanchez 2002 · MLB	25	47→57	44→40	56→65	50	227/289/351	124	268	10	23	19%	8%	81	-0.1	276/318/355	79	321	3	42	14%	6%	91	+0.7	289/324/358	68	334	2	47	13%	5%	92	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps