Matt Angle
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 593 | .274/.365/.419 | 11 | 26 | 76 | — | .224/.293/.332 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAANew Orleans Z… | 267 | .213/.282/.264 | 1 | 4 | 25 | — | .184/.237/.229 |
| 2015 | 29 | AAOAK | 193 | .229/.356/.287 | 0 | 14 | 42 | — | .189/.271/.231 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 566 | 478 | 137 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 71 | 86 | 7 | 37 | 11 | 287 | 387 | 379 | 765 | 92 | 340 | 15 | 13 | 345 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 32 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 357 | 438 | 393 | 830 | 36 | 435 | 16 | 12 | 382 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Frederick Keys | — | 556 | 478 | 138 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 59 | 72 | 4 | 40 | 12 | 289 | 369 | 347 | 717 | 59 | 337 | 13 | 11 | 323 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 400 | 350 | 91 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 54 | 1 | 24 | 4 | 260 | 338 | 303 | 641 | 43 | 303 | 14 | 10 | 293 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 70 | 60 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 383 | 439 | 467 | 906 | 83 | 400 | 7 | 9 | 385 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 95 | 79 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 177 | 293 | 266 | 559 | 89 | 200 | 14 | 13 | 258 | 59 | -5 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 490 | 423 | 116 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 87 | 5 | 27 | 3 | 274 | 353 | 355 | 708 | 80 | 330 | 18 | 10 | 315 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 447 | 393 | 119 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 82 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 303 | 377 | 412 | 789 | 109 | 370 | 18 | 9 | 351 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 468 | 400 | 113 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 104 | 9 | 22 | 5 | 282 | 376 | 432 | 809 | 150 | 361 | 22 | 11 | 357 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 125 | 108 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 241 | 322 | 370 | 693 | 130 | 311 | 25 | 8 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 267 | 239 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 62 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 282 | 264 | 546 | 50 | 281 | 23 | 7 | 251 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 193 | 157 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 42 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 229 | 356 | 287 | 643 | 57 | 310 | 22 | 15 | 299 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 95 | 79 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 177 | 293 | 266 | 559 | 89 | 200 | 14 | 13 | 258 | 60 | -4 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 566 | 503 | 130 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 115 | 7 | 37 | 11 | 258 | 329 | 334 | 663 | 76 | 319 | 20 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 32 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 345 | 406 | 379 | 786 | 34 | 422 | 19 | 9 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Frederick Keys | — | 556 | 503 | 134 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 102 | 4 | 40 | 12 | 266 | 322 | 314 | 636 | 48 | 322 | 18 | 7 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 400 | 366 | 90 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 65 | 1 | 24 | 4 | 246 | 298 | 287 | 585 | 41 | 291 | 16 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 70 | 62 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 403 | 439 | 484 | 923 | 81 | 409 | 9 | 6 | 386 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 95 | 79 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 177 | 293 | 266 | 559 | 89 | 200 | 14 | 13 | 256 | 59 | -5 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 490 | 438 | 111 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 109 | 5 | 27 | 3 | 253 | 313 | 320 | 633 | 66 | 311 | 22 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 447 | 405 | 101 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 113 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 249 | 309 | 331 | 640 | 81 | 325 | 25 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 468 | 419 | 94 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 143 | 9 | 22 | 5 | 224 | 293 | 332 | 625 | 107 | 310 | 31 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 267 | 245 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 79 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 184 | 237 | 229 | 465 | 45 | 255 | 30 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 193 | 169 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 55 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 189 | 271 | 231 | 502 | 41 | 270 | 28 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 566 | 503 | 130 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 115 | 7 | 37 | 11 | 258 | 329 | 334 | 663 | 76 | 327 | 20 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 566 | 478 | 137 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 71 | 86 | 7 | 37 | 11 | 287 | 387 | 379 | 765 | 92 | 340 | 15 | 13 | 345 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 532 | 144 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 108 | 4 | 42 | 12 | 271 | 326 | 318 | 644 | 47 | 336 | 18 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 588 | 506 | 148 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 63 | 77 | 4 | 42 | 12 | 292 | 373 | 350 | 723 | 57 | 342 | 13 | 11 | 326 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 428 | 115 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 72 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 269 | 318 | 308 | 626 | 40 | 318 | 15 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 470 | 410 | 114 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 59 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 278 | 353 | 327 | 680 | 49 | 318 | 13 | 10 | 307 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 517 | 125 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 122 | 6 | 38 | 4 | 242 | 310 | 311 | 621 | 70 | 304 | 21 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 585 | 502 | 130 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 59 | 100 | 6 | 38 | 4 | 259 | 343 | 341 | 684 | 82 | 309 | 17 | 10 | 306 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 447 | 405 | 101 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 113 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 249 | 309 | 331 | 640 | 81 | 334 | 25 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 447 | 393 | 119 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 82 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 303 | 377 | 412 | 789 | 109 | 370 | 18 | 9 | 351 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 593 | 528 | 118 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 181 | 12 | 26 | 7 | 223 | 294 | 331 | 626 | 108 | 322 | 31 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 593 | 508 | 139 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 135 | 12 | 26 | 7 | 274 | 365 | 419 | 784 | 146 | 351 | 23 | 10 | 346 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 267 | 245 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 79 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 184 | 237 | 229 | 465 | 45 | 263 | 30 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 267 | 239 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 62 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 282 | 264 | 546 | 50 | 281 | 23 | 7 | 251 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 193 | 169 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 55 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 189 | 271 | 231 | 502 | 41 | 278 | 28 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 193 | 157 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 42 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 229 | 356 | 287 | 643 | 57 | 310 | 22 | 15 | 299 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 566 | 508 | 130 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 115 | 7 | 37 | 11 | 256 | 329 | 331 | 660 | 75 | 319 | 20 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 539 | 144 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 108 | 4 | 42 | 12 | 267 | 326 | 314 | 640 | 46 | 327 | 18 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 436 | 115 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 72 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 264 | 318 | 303 | 621 | 39 | 309 | 15 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 529 | 125 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 122 | 6 | 38 | 4 | 236 | 310 | 304 | 614 | 68 | 293 | 21 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 447 | 409 | 101 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 113 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 247 | 309 | 328 | 637 | 81 | 325 | 25 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 593 | 535 | 118 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 181 | 12 | 26 | 7 | 221 | 294 | 327 | 621 | 107 | 310 | 31 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 267 | 248 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 79 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 181 | 237 | 226 | 462 | 44 | 255 | 30 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 193 | 172 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 55 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 186 | 271 | 227 | 498 | 41 | 270 | 28 | 9 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 95 | 79 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 177 | 293 | 266 | 559 | 89 | 200 | 14 | 13 | 258 | 71 | -4 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 541 | 96 | 27 | 0 | 7 | 82 | 89 | 7 | 75 | 7 | 177 | 294 | 266 | 560 | 89 | 200 | 14 | 13 | 258 | 71 | -31 | +12 | -19 | +14 | +14 | -0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3709 | 3327 | 810 | 101 | 27 | 23 | 262 | 845 | 41 | 203 | 47 | 243 | 307 | 311 | 617 | 67 | 317 | 23 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -4 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 142 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 148 | 7 | 36 | 8 | 244 | 307 | 312 | 619 | 69 | 317 | 23 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -31 | +12 | -19 | +14 | +14 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAMidland RockHounds · 193 PAwOBA .294 → .230 (−64)K% 21.8% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.76% | ÷0.928 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.03% | ÷1.106 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 9.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.948 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.35% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.948 | 22.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.09% | ÷1.125 | ×0.840 | ×1.028 | ×0.948 | 4.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.028 | ×0.948 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 98, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 86, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .294 → .230; ISO .057 → .044; BABIP .310 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 267 PAwOBA .246 → .205 (−41)K% 23.2% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.22% | ÷1.008 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.49% | ÷1.007 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 5.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.16% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×1.018 | ×0.982 | 21.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.923 | ×0.810 | ×1.018 | ×0.982 | 4.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.018 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.098 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 0.39% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 102, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .246 → .205; ISO .050 → .040; BABIP .281 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 468 PAwOBA .349 → .273 (−76)K% 22.2% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.938 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.47% | ÷1.071 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 6.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.01% | ÷1.029 | ×0.900 | ×1.039 | ×0.992 | 23.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷1.082 | ×0.810 | ×1.039 | ×0.992 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.039 | ×0.992 | 1.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.004 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.08% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 88, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .349 → .273; ISO .150 → .109; BABIP .361 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 447 PAwOBA .342 → .280 (−62)K% 18.3% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.34% | ÷0.935 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.72% | ÷0.962 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.26% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×1.047 | ×1.003 | 26.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.79% | ÷1.135 | ×0.810 | ×1.047 | ×1.003 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.055 | ×0.810 | ×1.047 | ×1.003 | 1.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.018 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.24% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 107, 2B 127, 3B 111, K 87, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .342 → .280; ISO .109 → .081; BABIP .370 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAANorfolk Tides · 490 PAwOBA .310 → .279 (−31)K% 17.8% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.76% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.39% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.27% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×1.044 | ×1.018 | 27.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.87% | ÷1.038 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.018 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷1.127 | ×0.970 | ×1.044 | ×1.018 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.036 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 1.23% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 106, 2B 108, 3B 125, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .310 → .279; ISO .080 → .070; BABIP .330 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAANorfolk Tides · 400 PAwOBA .285 → .262 (−24)K% 13.5% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.50% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.75% | ÷1.062 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.25% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.70% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 26.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.983 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.272 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.23% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 111, 2B 93, 3B 97, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .285 → .262; ISO .043 → .043; BABIP .303 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AABowie Baysox · 70 PAwOBA .380 → .386 (+5)K% 7.1% → 9.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.14% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 8.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷1.060 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.36% | ÷0.982 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 37.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.64% | ÷0.963 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 3.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.82% | ÷1.095 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.29% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 96, 2B 93, 3B 87, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .380 → .386; ISO .083 → .073; BABIP .400 → .409. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Frederick Keys · 556 PAwOBA .316 → .280 (−37)K% 12.9% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.95% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 18.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 27.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 3.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.22% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .316 → .280; ISO .059 → .051; BABIP .337 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .