Jack DunnSS
Toledo Mud Hens
Age 29
R/R
6'1" / 185 lbs
AAA
HR +5%H +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.4 · 2026
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .317 / .317
PA170
HR3
SB6
K%22
BB%10
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
38→38
SPD
54→54
EYE
56→56
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.4M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-0.6M | $-0.1M | +$0.4M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 231 | 210 | 52 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 51 | 3 | 11 | 2 | .248 | .313 | .319 | .632 | .071 | .316 | 22 | 7 | .281 | 73 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 455 | 405 | 91 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 119 | 5 | 10 | 8 | .225 | .299 | .291 | .590 | .067 | .307 | 26 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -21 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | 2 teams | 417 | 347 | 81 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 91 | 8 | 32 | 6 | .233 | .348 | .311 | .659 | .078 | .299 | 22 | 13 | .298 | 87 | -6 | +4 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 443 | 382 | 77 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 91 | 9 | 14 | 4 | .202 | .302 | .296 | .598 | .094 | .242 | 21 | 10 | .269 | 64 | -18 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 60 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .173 | .271 | .212 | .483 | .038 | .290 | 37 | 8 | .223 | 29 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | DET | 170 | 147 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .231 | .327 | .340 | .668 | .109 | .279 | 22 | 11 | .294 | 83 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 20% | DET | 243 | 212 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 55 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .222 | .315 | .321 | .636 | .099 | .279 | 23 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 33% | DET | 245 | 214 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 57 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .220 | .313 | .318 | .631 | .098 | .279 | 23 | 10 | .293 | 82 | -5 | +1 | -3 | +3 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 43% | DET | 236 | 206 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 56 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .223 | .316 | .325 | .641 | .102 | .278 | 24 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -5 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 52% | DET | 213 | 187 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 52 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .214 | .303 | .305 | .608 | .091 | .277 | 24 | 10 | .285 | 77 | -6 | +1 | -4 | +2 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 64% | DET | 175 | 153 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .216 | .306 | .320 | .627 | .105 | .276 | 25 | 10 | .279 | 72 | -6 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2888 | 2515 | 557 | 80 | 11 | 39 | 289 | 676 | 48 | 102 | 25 | .221 | .313 | .309 | .622 | .087 | .285 | 23 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -86 | +10 | -17 | +31 | +82 | 2.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 566 | 125 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 65 | 152 | 11 | 23 | 6 | .221 | .313 | .307 | .621 | .087 | .284 | 23 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -19 | +2 | -4 | +7 | +18 | 0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 231 | 203 | 56 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 36 | 3 | 11 | 2 | .276 | .361 | .350 | .711 | .074 | .325 | 16 | 10 | .326 | 108 | +2 | +1 | — | — | +7 | 1.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 52 | 46 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .280 | .261 | .541 | .043 | .294 | 25 | 8 | .242 | 44 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 403 | 344 | 85 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 49 | 81 | 5 | 8 | 8 | .247 | .349 | .323 | .672 | .076 | .312 | 20 | 12 | .310 | 95 | -2 | -2 | — | — | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 241 | 193 | 47 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 43 | 4 | 15 | 3 | .244 | .387 | .326 | .713 | .083 | .297 | 18 | 17 | .333 | 113 | +4 | +2 | — | — | +7 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 176 | 129 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 4 | 17 | 3 | .264 | .441 | .380 | .821 | .116 | .316 | 17 | 21 | .371 | 142 | +8 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 1.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 443 | 364 | 86 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 64 | 72 | 9 | 14 | 4 | .236 | .364 | .352 | .715 | .115 | .270 | 16 | 14 | .328 | 109 | +5 | +1 | — | — | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 60 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .180 | .305 | .220 | .525 | .040 | .281 | 32 | 12 | .253 | 52 | -3 | +1 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jack Dunn (OGILVIE) | 29 | 50 | 38 | 54 | 56 | .221/.317/.317 | .096 | .279 | 3 | 6 | 22% | 10% | 83 | +0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Eric Fryer 2015 · MLB |
29 | 43→53 | 41→45 | 55→50 | 46 | .210/.272/.311 | .101 | .268 | 8 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .235/.301/.316 | .081 | .307 | 6 | 8 | 23% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .257/.324/.311 | .054 | .337 | 3 | 1 | 22% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA |
28 | 45→51 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 51 | .219/.313/.337 | .118 | .275 | 12 | 21 | 24% | 10% | 86 | +0.8 | .204/.303/.288 | .084 | .276 | 7 | 21 | 26% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .178/.290/.225 | .047 | .253 | 3 | 23 | 27% | 11% | 47 | -1.6 |
|
✕Steve Tolleson 2013 · MLB |
29 | 48→53 | 42→45 | 51→50 | 48 | .234/.294/.336 | .102 | .286 | 9 | 15 | 21% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .234/.299/.339 | .105 | .299 | 9 | 15 | 23% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .240/.310/.346 | .106 | .307 | 9 | 16 | 23% | 8% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕Pokey Reese 2004 · MLB |
31 | 49→55 | 41→45 | 55 | 51 | .238/.302/.338 | .100 | .282 | 9 | 21 | 19% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .228/.286/.329 | .101 | .283 | 9 | 14 | 22% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .215/.265/.295 | .080 | .271 | 7 | 13 | 22% | 6% | 50 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jason Donald 2013 · MLB |
28 | 51→55 | 42→45 | 50 | 44 | .244/.305/.353 | .108 | .314 | 8 | 14 | 24% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .216/.263/.316 | .100 | .303 | 8 | 9 | 30% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .193/.231/.278 | .084 | .285 | 5 | 6 | 33% | 4% | 31 | -1.3 |
|
✕Shawn O'Malley 2017 · MLB |
29 | 53→58 | 40 | 56→60 | 47 | .253/.313/.354 | .101 | .313 | 6 | 21 | 20% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .232/.288/.332 | .100 | .297 | 8 | 13 | 23% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .219/.270/.301 | .082 | .281 | 6 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 54 | -0.4 |
|
✕Brent Abernathy 2007 · MLB |
29 | 52→53 | 40 | 47→50 | 49 | .252/.300/.336 | .084 | .282 | 8 | 16 | 14% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .237/.284/.314 | .077 | .268 | 6 | 17 | 14% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .234/.281/.291 | .057 | .262 | 3 | 19 | 11% | 6% | 56 | -0.9 |
|
✕Ed Lucas 2011 · AAA |
29 | 50→56 | 45 | 51→50 | 48 | .244/.308/.367 | .123 | .301 | 13 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .226/.280/.340 | .114 | .288 | 12 | 7 | 25% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .256/.307/.325 | .069 | .332 | 5 | 3 | 23% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Fernando Rios 2008 · AAA |
29 | 54 | 42→40 | 51→50 | 48 | .260/.310/.365 | .106 | .290 | 10 | 15 | 15% | 6% | 91 | +1.1 | .243/.299/.327 | .084 | .279 | 6 | 10 | 14% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .252/.309/.323 | .070 | .285 | 4 | 6 | 13% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Tyler Bortnick 2016 · AAA |
29 | 50→60 | 38→45 | 54→55 | 48 | .235/.302/.318 | .083 | .302 | 6 | 21 | 23% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .233/.288/.336 | .103 | .294 | 9 | 13 | 23% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .243/.296/.355 | .112 | .300 | 10 | 10 | 22% | 6% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Damian Jackson 2004 · MLB |
30 | 52→54 | 40→45 | 55 | 49 | .246/.308/.345 | .099 | .302 | 6 | 29 | 20% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .241/.313/.361 | .120 | .283 | 11 | 22 | 18% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .241/.328/.365 | .124 | .282 | 13 | 20 | 19% | 10% | 96 | +0.6 |
|
✕Mike McCoy 2010 · AAA |
29 | 53→58 | 38→40 | 56→60 | 53 | .251/.319/.334 | .083 | .300 | 5 | 25 | 18% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .243/.320/.328 | .085 | .293 | 6 | 30 | 18% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .229/.317/.302 | .073 | .275 | 6 | 32 | 17% | 11% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Garrett Hampson 2023 · MLB |
28 | 43→53 | 44→45 | 55→60 | 46 | .215/.277/.330 | .116 | .278 | 11 | 21 | 26% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .236/.300/.330 | .094 | .316 | 6 | 18 | 25% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .253/.313/.333 | .080 | .340 | 3 | 18 | 24% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jake Elmore 2015 · MLB |
28 | 55→62 | 38→40 | 52→55 | 53 | .258/.325/.343 | .086 | .302 | 4 | 21 | 16% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .230/.304/.290 | .060 | .275 | 4 | 15 | 17% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .242/.306/.310 | .068 | .294 | 3 | 10 | 17% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Nate Orf 2019 · MLB |
29 | 48→54 | 40→45 | 52→50 | 48 | .228/.301/.322 | .094 | .277 | 7 | 14 | 20% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .225/.311/.334 | .109 | .274 | 10 | 14 | 21% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .213/.314/.315 | .102 | .255 | 11 | 11 | 20% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 |
|
✕Matt Szczur 2018 · MLB |
29 | 48→56 | 46→45 | 47→55 | 52 | .238/.315/.371 | .133 | .282 | 13 | 12 | 20% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .232/.307/.370 | .138 | .284 | 13 | 7 | 22% | 9% | 91 | +1.1 | .205/.261/.347 | .142 | .253 | 16 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 65 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2011 · MLB |
28 | 50→54 | 44→50 | 51→50 | 49 | .245/.303/.363 | .118 | .294 | 10 | 15 | 20% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .225/.290/.353 | .128 | .271 | 12 | 10 | 21% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .216/.288/.345 | .130 | .258 | 13 | 8 | 21% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Delino DeShields 2022 · MLB |
29 | 48→53 | 40→45 | 57→65 | 52 | .227/.308/.324 | .097 | .300 | 8 | 26 | 25% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .209/.302/.281 | .072 | .304 | 5 | 29 | 29% | 11% | 67 | -0.5 | .199/.301/.240 | .040 | .320 | 1 | 35 | 33% | 12% | 54 | -0.7 |
|
✕Tyler Greene 2013 · MLB |
29 | 48→51 | 49→50 | 56→55 | 44 | .237/.303/.391 | .154 | .314 | 16 | 23 | 29% | 7% | 95 | +1.4 | .228/.276/.352 | .124 | .329 | 12 | 15 | 33% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .224/.267/.328 | .104 | .336 | 8 | 10 | 34% | 4% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Gorkys Hernández 2017 · MLB |
29 | 54→57 | 41→45 | 50→55 | 46 | .258/.311/.358 | .100 | .321 | 8 | 20 | 22% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .239/.300/.355 | .116 | .306 | 11 | 17 | 24% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .216/.284/.339 | .123 | .286 | 13 | 17 | 28% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 |