Jack Dunn — OGILVIE

Jack DunnSS Toledo Mud Hens

Age 29 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .311 / .300

PA170

HR2

SB6

K%23

BB%11

ISO91

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	231	209	52	5	2	2	18	52	3	11	2	249	317	321	638	72	321	23	8	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	231	203	56	5	2	2	24	36	3	11	2	276	361	350	711	74	325	16	10	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	455	405	89	19	0	3	38	119	5	10	8	220	295	289	584	69	300	26	8	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	455	390	95	19	0	3	53	94	5	10	8	244	342	315	657	72	310	21	12	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	417	346	78	9	1	5	54	92	8	32	6	225	343	301	644	75	290	22	13	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	417	322	81	11	1	6	78	73	8	32	6	252	409	348	757	96	305	18	19	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	443	381	75	10	1	8	47	94	9	14	4	197	300	291	591	94	238	21	11	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	443	364	86	11	2	9	64	72	9	14	4	236	364	352	715	115	270	16	14	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	60	52	9	0	1	0	5	20	2	3	0	173	271	212	483	38	273	33	8	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	60	50	9	0	1	0	7	19	2	3	0	180	305	220	525	40	281	32	12	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	DET	—	170	146	30	4	1	2	19	39	3	6	1	205	310	288	597	82	268	23	11	286	77	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	DET	33%	243	211	45	7	1	4	26	56	4	7	2	213	311	313	624	100	270	23	11	287	78	-6	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.2
2028	31	MLB	DET	46%	245	213	45	7	1	4	26	57	4	6	1	211	309	310	619	99	269	23	11	286	77	-6	+1	-3	+3	+7	0.1
2027	30	MLB	DET	33%	79	70	14	2	0	1	8	18	1	2	1	200	291	271	563	71	265	23	10	270	65	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	31	MLB	DET	46%	112	97	21	3	1	2	12	26	2	3	1	216	315	330	645	113	265	23	11	269	64	-5	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	191	167	35	5	1	3	20	44	3	5	2	210	305	305	611	96	264	23	10	270	64	-8	+0	-2	+2	+5	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	118	17	3	10	68	150	10	17	7	208	303	301	604	93	263	23	10	270	64	-26	+1	-7	+7	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	2264	1963	423	61	8	28	233	529	38	89	24	215	311	298	608	82	278	23	10	277	70	-76	+8	-5	+24	+64	1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	122	18	2	8	67	152	11	26	7	216	312	298	610	82	279	23	10	277	70	-22	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	231	203	56	5	2	2	24	36	3	11	2	276	361	350	711	74	325	16	10	326	108	+2	+1	—	—	+7	1.0
2022	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	52	46	10	2	0	0	4	13	0	2	0	217	280	261	541	43	294	25	8	242	44	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	403	344	85	17	0	3	49	81	5	8	8	247	349	323	672	76	312	20	12	310	95	-2	-2	—	—	+11	0.8
2023	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	241	193	47	5	1	3	41	43	4	15	3	244	387	326	713	83	297	18	17	333	113	+4	+2	—	—	+7	1.2
2023	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	176	129	34	6	0	3	37	30	4	17	3	264	441	380	821	116	316	17	21	371	142	+8	+2	—	—	+5	1.6
2024	27	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	443	364	86	11	2	9	64	72	9	14	4	236	364	352	715	115	270	16	14	328	109	+5	+1	—	—	+13	1.9
2025	28	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	60	50	9	0	1	0	7	19	2	3	0	180	305	220	525	40	281	32	12	253	52	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jack Hannahanlast yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,867 PA	7	1,867	29	6	232	315	348	+6	+29	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	10	2	232	315	348	+2.0	+10.4	2.2	pk7: 6
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	209	3	6	214	309	310	+2	+3	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	10	19	214	309	310	+7.1	+9.5	0.9	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Dunn (OGILVIE)	29	49	38	54	57	210/311/300	90	268	2	6	23%	11%	77	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Fryer 2015 · MLB	29	43→53	41→45	56→50	46	211/272/316	105	269	8	14	24%	7%	62	-0.9	239/305/321	82	310	6	7	23%	8%	77	+0.1	266/332/325	58	346	3	1	22%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2023 · MLB	28	55→56	39→40	53→55	48	261/310/342	81	294	7	20	14%	6%	84	+0.6	256/304/349	93	299	8	18	16%	5%	84	+0.6	264/305/353	89	308	7	18	16%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Garrett Stubbs 2022 · MLB	29	45	43→45	53→50	53	220/304/331	110	272	10	15	22%	10%	80	+0.4	227/306/347	120	292	12	12	25%	9%	85	+0.7	217/300/315	98	284	9	12	25%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Josh Wilson 2009 · MLB	28	48→50	41→45	50	44	232/286/336	104	272	8	14	18%	5%	73	-0.1	227/278/327	100	275	7	9	20%	4%	67	-0.5	226/275/323	96	276	6	6	20%	4%	63	-0.4
✕Pokey Reese 2004 · MLB	31	50→55	41→45	55	51	239/303/336	97	286	8	20	19%	8%	80	+0.4	228/286/332	104	283	10	14	22%	7%	72	-0.2	215/265/295	80	271	7	13	22%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	43→51	44→45	54→55	50	211/304/325	114	268	12	21	24%	9%	79	+0.3	200/298/284	84	273	7	21	27%	10%	67	-0.5	173/285/221	48	247	3	23	28%	11%	45	-1.8
✕Drew Maggi 2018 · AAA	29	50→54	39→45	48→60	45	235/298/320	85	307	6	17	24%	7%	74	-0.1	233/301/335	102	307	9	14	25%	7%	79	+0.3	217/292/327	110	299	11	15	29%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jake Elmore 2015 · MLB	28	53→62	38→40	51→55	52	249/316/329	80	298	4	20	17%	8%	84	+0.6	224/297/281	57	269	4	15	17%	9%	64	-0.8	240/302/310	70	291	3	10	18%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Nate Orf 2019 · MLB	29	46→53	40→45	53→50	47	220/295/315	95	274	7	15	22%	7%	72	-0.2	222/308/332	110	272	11	14	21%	8%	83	+0.6	213/311/314	102	255	11	11	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Delino DeShields 2022 · MLB	29	48→55	40→45	56→65	52	228/311/321	93	302	7	25	25%	10%	80	+0.4	210/300/280	70	305	5	29	29%	11%	66	-0.6	197/300/240	43	317	1	35	33%	12%	54	-0.7
✕Steve Tolleson 2013 · MLB	29	47→53	42→45	51→50	47	228/287/329	100	283	9	15	22%	7%	72	-0.2	235/302/343	108	300	9	15	23%	8%	82	+0.5	242/315/351	109	308	9	16	23%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Trevor Crowe 2013 · MLB	29	48→55	39→45	54→55	49	230/289/323	92	278	5	24	19%	8%	70	-0.3	233/281/323	90	283	7	21	19%	6%	67	-0.5	236/280/314	78	285	6	22	19%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Brent Abernathy 2007 · MLB	29	52→53	39→40	47→50	49	252/299/332	81	283	8	17	14%	6%	77	+0.1	236/283/315	79	268	6	17	14%	6%	66	-0.6	234/281/291	57	261	3	19	11%	6%	56	-0.9
✕Garrett Hampson 2023 · MLB	28	41→51	42→45	56→60	46	202/267/311	109	263	9	22	26%	8%	59	-1.1	242/305/337	95	325	6	18	25%	8%	81	+0.4	244/299/335	90	331	5	17	26%	7%	74	-0.0
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	43→45	48→50	49	213/288/334	121	268	10	13	24%	8%	74	-0.1	204/270/325	121	268	14	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Shawn O'Malley 2017 · MLB	29	54→58	40→45	56→60	47	256/314/359	103	316	6	21	21%	7%	91	+1.1	231/286/333	102	296	8	12	23%	6%	72	-0.2	217/267/299	83	279	6	6	24%	6%	52	-0.4
✕Tyler Bortnick 2016 · AAA	29	50→60	39→45	53→55	48	236/303/319	83	304	6	20	23%	8%	76	+0.1	230/285/332	102	292	9	13	23%	6%	72	-0.2	237/288/346	109	292	10	10	22%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Eric Campbell 2016 · MLB	29	52→57	44→45	49→50	55	251/340/370	119	306	10	14	20%	10%	105	+2.1	241/327/351	110	299	9	12	21%	10%	95	+1.4	233/322/348	115	288	10	9	21%	10%	90	+0.7
✕Rob Johnson 2012 · MLB	30	43→52	42→45	48→50	50	210/290/320	110	269	9	7	24%	9%	72	-0.2	211/268/328	117	255	12	6	22%	7%	64	-0.8	197/247/305	108	232	12	3	21%	6%	45	-0.9
✕Tomas De La Rosa 2007 · MLB	29	51→49	43→45	47→50	45	246/291/356	109	280	10	13	16%	5%	80	+0.4	237/278/352	115	275	11	17	18%	5%	74	-0.1	235/274/345	110	270	10	21	17%	5%	66	-0.5