Cal Stevenson — OGILVIE

Cal StevensonOF Toledo Mud Hens

Age 29 L/L 5'9" / 175 lbs AAA HR +5%H +3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 1.1 · 2027

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .323 / .357

PA250

HR5

SB10

K%24

BB%11

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

40→40

SPD

60→60

EYE

59↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.3M
2027	Arb-3	$6M	+1.1	$9M	+$3M
Totals		$7M		$11M	+$4M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	280	237	70	12	5	2	41	34	0	21	1	.295	.399	.414	.813	.118	.335	12	15	.358	132	+10	+4	+0	+1	+8	2.3
2019	22	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	490	442	101	11	3	5	44	94	0	13	9	.229	.298	.301	.599	.072	.279	19	9	.267	63	-21	-1	+0	+2	+14	-0.6
2021	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	365	313	71	14	1	9	38	104	1	17	5	.227	.312	.364	.677	.137	.300	28	10	.294	83	-7	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.6
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	378	330	75	10	3	4	40	92	1	17	4	.227	.313	.312	.625	.085	.298	24	11	.280	72	-12	+2	+1	+1	+11	0.3
2023	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	289	234	55	6	0	8	42	81	3	19	5	.235	.358	.363	.722	.128	.309	28	15	.323	105	+2	+2	+0	+1	+8	1.3
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	424	368	99	26	3	7	48	82	0	29	5	.269	.353	.413	.766	.144	.326	19	11	.336	115	+7	+4	+0	+2	+12	2.5
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	432	377	82	12	2	7	46	118	1	25	6	.218	.304	.316	.620	.098	.293	27	11	.278	71	-14	+3	-1	+2	+12	0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	29	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	40	36	6	0	0	2	3	14	1	0	1	.167	.250	.333	.583	.167	.200	35	8	.282	74	-1	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
ROS	29	MLB	DET	210	184	43	8	1	5	23	53	1	10	3	.234	.322	.370	.692	.136	.291	25	11	.306	92	-2	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.6
TOT	29	MLB	DET	250	220	49	8	1	7	26	67	2	10	4	.223	.310	.364	.674	.141	.286	27	10	.302	89	-3	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	30	MLB 20%	DET	380	333	77	14	1	9	42	85	2	17	5	.231	.321	.360	.681	.129	.282	22	11	.312	97	-1	+1	-2	+1	+11	1.0
2028	31	MLB 33%	DET	365	321	73	13	1	9	39	83	2	14	4	.227	.315	.358	.673	.131	.281	23	11	.309	94	-2	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.8
2029	32	MLB 43%	DET	346	304	68	12	1	8	37	81	2	12	4	.224	.312	.349	.661	.125	.280	23	11	.304	91	-3	+1	-4	+1	+10	0.5
2030	33	MLB 52%	DET	316	278	62	11	1	7	33	76	2	10	3	.223	.310	.345	.655	.122	.279	24	10	.299	87	-5	+1	-4	+1	+9	0.2
2031	34	MLB 64%	DET	272	239	53	9	1	6	29	68	2	8	2	.222	.311	.343	.654	.121	.277	25	11	.292	82	-6	+1	-5	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4547	3960	929	158	23	86	502	1051	17	212	56	.235	.323	.351	.675	.117	.295	23	11	.302	90	-54	+20	-17	+16	+129	9.6
/ 162G	—			650	566	133	23	3	12	72	150	2	30	8	.235	.323	.350	.673	.115	.296	23	11	.302	90	-8	+3	-2	+2	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	280	214	79	15	6	2	64	24	0	21	1	.369	.514	.523	1.038	.154	.405	9	23	.459	209	+35	+4	—	—	+8	4.7
2019	22	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	490	417	120	15	5	5	69	65	0	13	9	.288	.389	.384	.773	.096	.330	13	14	.351	127	+15	-1	—	—	+14	2.8
2021	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	365	295	75	15	1	9	56	78	1	17	5	.254	.375	.403	.778	.149	.307	21	15	.342	120	+8	+1	—	—	+10	2.0
2022	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	71	60	10	3	0	0	8	23	0	1	1	.167	.265	.217	.481	.050	.263	32	11	.222	28	-6	-0	+1	+1	+2	-0.2
2022	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	307	257	73	9	3	6	45	54	1	16	3	.284	.393	.412	.805	.128	.335	18	15	.361	134	+12	+2	—	—	+9	2.3
2023	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	289	216	55	7	0	9	60	67	3	19	5	.255	.423	.412	.835	.157	.313	23	21	.371	142	+14	+2	—	—	+8	2.4
2024	27	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	27	24	6	3	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	.250	.333	.375	.708	.125	.300	15	11	.321	104	+0	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.3
2024	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	397	321	97	25	5	8	68	66	0	29	5	.302	.424	.486	.910	.184	.356	17	17	.397	162	+28	+4	—	—	+11	4.4
2025	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	346	278	66	11	1	6	59	78	1	22	4	.237	.373	.349	.722	.112	.303	23	17	.328	109	+4	+3	—	—	+10	1.7
2025	28	INTL	Tigres del Licey	86	70	20	3	1	1	16	16	0	3	2	.286	.419	.400	.819	.114	.358	19	19	.375	145	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			98	84	16	6	0	0	11	27	0	1	1	.190	.284	.262	.546	.071	.276	28	11	.249	49	-6	-0	+1	+3	+3	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cal Stevenson (OGILVIE)	29	45	40	60	60	.232/.323/.357	.125	.297	5	13	24%	11%	96	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roger Bernadina 2013 · MLB	29	51→61	46→45	56→60	49	.253/.318/.384	.131	.303	14	28	21%	8%	99	+1.7	.219/.295/.337	.118	.294	11	19	28%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.296/.347	.119	.323	12	20	31%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Tim Locastro 2021 · MLB	29	50→52	44→45	60	46	.242/.336/.366	.124	.289	10	27	19%	6%	104	+2.0	.215/.296/.338	.123	.262	12	24	22%	5%	80	+0.4	.211/.301/.325	.114	.266	11	36	23%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Chris Dickerson 2011 · MLB	29	55	46→50	59→60	51	.260/.337/.403	.144	.350	12	25	27%	10%	111	+2.5	.243/.312/.365	.122	.339	10	27	29%	9%	92	+1.2	.246/.321/.390	.144	.339	13	22	29%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Grégor Blanco 2013 · MLB	29	50→59	41→45	60	55	.239/.321/.340	.102	.302	7	31	22%	11%	89	+1.0	.253/.330/.357	.104	.312	7	22	19%	10%	97	+1.5	.264/.341/.367	.103	.318	6	19	17%	10%	96	+1.1
✕Eric Patterson 2011 · MLB	28	48→56	46→50	65→60	45	.238/.293/.379	.142	.300	12	33	25%	7%	87	+0.8	.212/.274/.326	.114	.271	9	23	24%	8%	66	-0.6	.194/.262/.275	.081	.251	6	20	23%	8%	45	-0.8
✕Brian Bogusevic 2013 · MLB	29	47→55	43→45	56→55	49	.228/.302/.341	.113	.293	10	22	24%	9%	82	+0.5	.247/.314/.376	.129	.312	13	19	24%	8%	95	+1.4	.259/.317/.387	.128	.326	13	19	23%	7%	96	+1.1
✕James Adduci 2014 · MLB	29	51→59	44→45	55→60	46	.247/.301/.363	.116	.311	12	25	24%	7%	86	+0.8	.226/.283/.339	.113	.297	11	20	26%	7%	72	-0.2	.245/.283/.365	.120	.325	11	12	27%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	48→43	48→50	61→65	46	.239/.309/.386	.147	.307	15	32	26%	8%	96	+1.5	.248/.324/.382	.134	.313	12	36	23%	9%	102	+1.8	.258/.338/.390	.132	.319	9	43	21%	10%	106	+1.1
●Will Venable 2013 · MLB	30	50→56	49→55	63→60	49	.248/.318/.408	.160	.305	15	31	24%	9%	105	+2.1	.247/.306/.401	.154	.302	16	23	23%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.301/.379	.138	.298	15	22	24%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Andrew Stevenson 2023 · MLB	29	51→58	47→50	58→60	41	.251/.302/.398	.147	.324	14	23	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.252/.305/.393	.141	.326	14	35	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.263/.318/.400	.137	.340	13	48	25%	6%	98	+0.9
✕Flavio Romero 2008 · AAA	28	50→57	43→45	54→60	55	.241/.325/.352	.111	.293	10	28	20%	10%	94	+1.3	.236/.324/.316	.080	.291	6	21	19%	11%	85	+0.7	.258/.350/.304	.046	.320	2	22	18%	12%	92	+0.6
✕Tyler Greene 2012 · MLB	28	49→51	48→50	59→55	44	.239/.309/.382	.143	.320	15	26	29%	7%	95	+1.4	.231/.286/.369	.138	.322	14	19	31%	6%	82	+0.5	.224/.268/.346	.121	.323	11	13	33%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Trent Oeltjen 2012 · MLB	29	49→59	46→50	57→55	42	.236/.291/.376	.140	.314	11	22	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.216/.277/.354	.138	.312	13	20	33%	6%	75	-0.0	.206/.268/.349	.143	.302	14	21	35%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→55	45→50	52→55	54	.257/.335/.385	.128	.318	12	17	22%	10%	106	+2.2	.239/.309/.351	.112	.301	10	16	22%	9%	87	+0.8	.220/.291/.317	.097	.279	9	15	23%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Kevin Thompson 2008 · MLB	28	49→53	45→50	56→60	49	.241/.309/.376	.136	.294	11	27	22%	8%	93	+1.3	.231/.292/.348	.117	.285	10	28	22%	7%	79	+0.3	.247/.301/.352	.105	.298	9	44	20%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Roger Cedeno 2004 · MLB	29	56→60	41→45	57→65	50	.267/.320/.372	.104	.308	8	28	16%	7%	96	+1.5	.245/.303/.352	.107	.288	9	13	17%	8%	84	+0.6	.260/.323/.368	.108	.313	8	13	18%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2017 · MLB	29	47→54	49→55	58→60	42	.233/.287/.393	.160	.315	16	20	30%	7%	89	+0.9	.217/.280/.374	.157	.326	16	19	36%	8%	81	+0.4	.191/.257/.337	.146	.304	15	21	40%	8%	57	-0.6
✕George Lombard 2005 · MLB	29	48→44	47→50	56→55	45	.236/.294/.373	.137	.301	14	19	26%	7%	86	+0.8	.228/.299/.388	.160	.314	18	22	31%	8%	92	+1.2	.220/.294/.374	.154	.306	17	27	32%	8%	85	+0.4
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	51→56	44→45	60→65	45	.243/.333/.365	.121	.319	11	34	25%	7%	102	+1.8	.225/.314/.348	.123	.296	10	36	26%	7%	90	+1.0	.214/.305/.335	.121	.286	9	40	26%	7%	80	+0.1
✕Chris Duffy 2009 · MLB	29	52→62	41→45	60	48	.249/.310/.359	.110	.297	8	30	18%	7%	89	+1.0	.225/.282/.338	.113	.300	9	16	26%	6%	72	-0.2	.224/.271/.332	.108	.319	7	16	31%	4%	63	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)