Cal Stevenson — OGILVIE

Cal StevensonOF Toledo Mud Hens

Age 29 L/L 5'9" / 175 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION167 act + 111 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .326 / .353

PA111

HR2

K%25

BB%12

BABIP297

ISO125

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

904.2%

xwOBA

100.251

POWER40

Barrel%

315.7

Avg EV

1070.7

Bat Spd

2768.9

EYE60

Chase%

8524.9%

SPEED60

Sprint

5027.5

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.0	$0.1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	280	237	70	12	5	2	41	34	0	21	1	295	399	414	813	118	335	12	15	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	280	214	79	15	6	2	64	24	0	21	1	369	514	523	1.038	154	405	9	23	459	209	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	490	442	98	10	3	5	44	96	0	13	9	222	292	292	584	70	272	20	9	261	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	490	417	120	15	5	5	69	65	0	13	9	288	389	384	773	96	330	13	14	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	365	313	70	12	1	10	38	107	1	17	5	224	310	364	674	141	296	29	10	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	365	295	75	15	1	9	56	78	1	17	5	254	375	403	778	149	307	21	15	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	378	329	74	9	3	4	41	91	1	17	4	225	313	307	620	82	294	24	11	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	378	317	83	12	3	6	53	77	1	17	4	262	369	375	745	114	324	20	14	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	289	233	53	5	0	8	43	81	3	19	5	227	355	352	707	124	298	28	15	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	289	216	55	7	0	9	60	67	3	19	5	255	423	412	835	157	313	23	21	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	424	369	104	28	4	7	47	80	0	29	5	282	363	436	799	154	340	19	11	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	424	345	103	28	5	8	71	70	0	29	5	299	418	478	897	180	352	17	17	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	432	379	84	12	2	8	44	118	1	25	6	222	304	327	631	106	296	27	10	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	—	432	348	86	14	2	7	75	94	1	25	6	247	382	359	741	112	315	22	17	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	DET	—	167	143	31	3	2	5	20	47	2	2	1	217	321	371	692	154	280	28	12	307	93	-1	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.4
YTD	29	AAA	DET	—	167	133	32	3	2	6	30	39	2	2	1	241	388	429	816	188	289	23	18	365	138	+7	+0	+0	+1	+5	1.3
ROS	29	AAA	DET	10%	111	96	22	4	1	2	13	28	1	4	1	228	326	353	679	125	297	25	12	311	96	-1	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.3
ROS	29	MLB	DET	10%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		292	27	9	301	89	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	29	AAA	DET	—	178	153	33	3	2	5	21	50	2	2	1	216	318	359	678	144	280	28	12	307	93	-1	+0	-0	+1	+5	0.4
TOT	29	AAA	DET	—	278	239	53	7	3	7	33	75	3	6	2	221	323	364	687	142	287	27	12	308	94	-2	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	DET	33%	380	333	78	13	3	9	42	96	2	13	4	234	324	372	696	138	295	25	11	309	95	-2	+1	-3	+1	+11	0.8
2028	31	MLB	DET	46%	365	320	72	12	2	8	40	93	2	11	3	225	315	350	665	125	292	25	11	306	93	-3	+1	-4	+1	+10	0.6
2027	30	MLB	DET	33%	124	108	25	4	1	3	14	31	1	4	1	231	325	370	696	139	290	25	11	300	88	-2	+0	-1	+0	+4	0.2
2028	31	MLB	DET	46%	167	146	34	6	1	4	18	42	1	5	1	233	321	370	691	137	287	25	11	297	85	-3	+1	-2	+1	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	400	348	77	16	2	7	44	103	2	10	3	221	312	339	651	118	290	26	11	286	77	-10	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	124	26	3	11	72	167	3	16	5	219	311	334	645	115	288	26	11	286	77	-17	+1	-2	+6	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	3514	3051	725	117	24	63	393	824	11	169	43	238	327	354	680	116	301	23	11	302	89	-43	+17	-6	+13	+100	8.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	134	22	4	12	73	152	2	31	8	238	327	355	682	117	300	23	11	302	89	-8	+3	-1	+2	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	280	214	79	15	6	2	64	24	0	21	1	369	514	523	1.038	154	405	9	23	459	209	+35	+4	—	—	+8	4.7
2019	22	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	490	417	120	15	5	5	69	65	0	13	9	288	389	384	773	96	330	13	14	351	127	+15	-1	—	—	+14	2.8
2021	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	365	295	75	15	1	9	56	78	1	17	5	254	375	403	778	149	307	21	15	342	120	+8	+1	—	—	+10	2.0
2022	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	71	60	10	3	0	0	8	23	0	1	1	167	265	217	481	50	263	32	11	222	28	-6	-0	+1	+1	+2	-0.2
2022	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	307	257	73	9	3	6	45	54	1	16	3	284	393	412	805	128	335	18	15	361	134	+12	+2	—	—	+9	2.3
2023	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	289	216	55	7	0	9	60	67	3	19	5	255	423	412	835	157	313	23	21	371	142	+14	+2	—	—	+8	2.4
2024	27	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	27	24	6	3	0	0	3	4	0	0	0	250	333	375	708	125	300	15	11	321	104	+0	+0	+0	+2	+1	0.3
2024	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	397	321	97	25	5	8	68	66	0	29	5	302	424	486	910	184	356	17	17	397	162	+28	+4	—	—	+11	4.4
2025	28	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	346	278	66	11	1	6	59	78	1	22	4	237	373	349	722	112	303	23	17	328	109	+4	+3	—	—	+10	1.7
2025	28	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	86	70	20	3	1	1	16	16	0	3	2	286	419	400	819	114	358	19	19	375	145	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	98	84	16	6	0	0	11	27	0	1	1	190	284	262	546	71	276	28	11	249	49	-6	-0	+1	+3	+3	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	388	7	11	218	306	335	-1	+0	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	12	19	218	306	335	-2.4	+0.8	0.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cal Stevenson (OGILVIE)	29	45	40	60	60	221/323/364	142	287	7	6	27%	12%	94	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→54	45→50	53→55	54	255/333/381	126	315	11	18	22%	10%	105	+2.1	236/306/347	111	297	10	16	22%	9%	85	+0.7	221/291/320	99	280	9	15	23%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2016 · MLB	29	54→64	41→45	57→60	46	260/309/356	97	314	8	31	20%	6%	87	+0.8	245/308/354	109	307	11	19	23%	8%	87	+0.8	236/304/337	102	299	11	20	24%	8%	79	+0.1
✕Andrew Stevenson 2023 · MLB	29	52→59	47→50	59→60	42	254/305/402	147	325	13	24	25%	6%	98	+1.6	255/308/393	138	329	13	36	25%	6%	97	+1.5	266/320/399	133	345	13	48	25%	6%	98	+1.0
✕Tyler Greene 2012 · MLB	28	50→53	48→50	59→55	44	244/317/394	150	330	15	26	29%	8%	102	+1.8	228/282/364	136	320	14	18	31%	6%	79	+0.3	219/264/338	119	315	12	13	33%	5%	61	-0.6
●Grégor Blanco 2013 · MLB	29	51→60	41→45	60	55	240/324/346	106	306	8	31	23%	11%	92	+1.2	264/340/374	110	324	7	21	19%	10%	105	+2.1	276/352/384	108	333	6	19	17%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Chris Duffy 2009 · MLB	29	51→61	42→45	58→60	48	246/306/358	112	293	8	28	19%	7%	87	+0.8	226/282/340	114	302	9	15	27%	6%	72	-0.2	228/275/341	113	323	8	16	30%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Chris Dickerson 2011 · MLB	29	55	45→50	59→60	51	259/336/394	135	351	11	25	27%	10%	108	+2.3	242/311/366	124	339	11	26	29%	9%	92	+1.2	241/318/390	149	333	14	22	30%	9%	99	+0.9
✕Roger Bernadina 2013 · MLB	29	52→62	46→45	56→60	49	254/320/383	129	305	14	28	21%	8%	100	+1.7	214/291/330	116	293	11	18	29%	8%	75	-0.0	221/290/331	110	319	11	20	32%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Shawn O'Malley 2017 · MLB	29	54→58	40→45	56→60	47	256/314/359	103	316	6	21	21%	7%	91	+1.1	231/286/333	102	296	8	12	23%	6%	72	-0.2	217/267/299	83	279	6	6	24%	6%	52	-0.4
✕Flavio Romero 2008 · AAA	28	50→57	42→45	54→60	55	237/323/342	105	291	8	28	20%	10%	91	+1.1	238/325/315	77	292	6	20	19%	11%	85	+0.7	256/348/301	45	319	2	22	18%	12%	91	+0.5
✕Eugenio Velez 2011 · MLB	29	53→58	43→50	56→65	45	258/299/380	122	305	9	30	19%	5%	89	+1.0	246/292/364	118	308	9	27	22%	6%	82	+0.5	265/316/392	127	329	10	34	22%	6%	96	+1.1
✕James Adduci 2014 · MLB	29	49→59	45→50	55→60	46	241/298/361	121	306	13	25	25%	8%	85	+0.7	223/281/339	116	293	12	20	26%	7%	72	-0.2	247/285/371	124	326	12	12	27%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Eric Patterson 2011 · MLB	28	48→55	47→50	66→60	46	236/292/382	146	298	12	33	25%	7%	87	+0.8	206/270/315	109	268	9	22	25%	8%	61	-1.0	186/255/267	80	244	6	20	25%	8%	40	-0.9
✕Tim Locastro 2021 · MLB	29	50→53	44→45	61→60	47	240/335/368	128	288	10	27	19%	6%	105	+2.1	210/291/332	122	257	12	24	23%	5%	76	+0.1	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Joshua Palacios 2023 · MLB	28	52	42→50	52→55	46	249/313/355	106	306	10	22	21%	7%	89	+1.0	242/303/389	147	291	17	15	22%	7%	95	+1.4	231/297/381	150	276	18	11	23%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
✕Roger Cedeno 2004 · MLB	29	55→60	42→45	55→65	50	266/319/371	105	307	8	25	16%	7%	95	+1.4	242/300/349	107	284	9	13	17%	7%	82	+0.5	260/323/368	108	313	8	13	18%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Steven Duggar 2023 · MLB	29	45→55	46→50	60→55	42	215/284/348	133	332	13	21	37%	8%	76	+0.1	204/285/332	128	341	14	14	40%	10%	73	-0.1	167/266/278	111	293	14	9	43%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	52→57	43→45	60→65	45	244/333/363	119	323	10	34	26%	7%	102	+1.8	226/314/349	123	299	10	35	26%	7%	90	+1.0	218/308/337	119	293	9	40	27%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Jace Peterson 2019 · MLB	29	46→56	42→50	53→55	57	220/314/331	111	272	8	17	21%	12%	85	+0.7	239/317/393	154	292	15	18	22%	10%	102	+1.8	243/319/402	159	297	17	19	23%	9%	101	+1.2