Cooper HummelLF Durham Bulls
Age 31 S/R 5'9" / 198 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 344 proj PA
wRC+†vL 11289vR 29
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .322 / .379
PA344
HR10
SB9
K%25
BB%12
ISO162
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +0.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +1.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -3.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +9.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.70+0.7WAR
0.00.51.00.00.3-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025
CONTACT55
Whiff%
2913.4%
xwOBA
320.287
POWER60
Barrel%
569.1
Avg EV
1986.8
Bat Spd
5471.8
EYE60
Chase%
8125.6%
SPEED45
Sprint
7128.3
Platoon Splits2025 · 105 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
45
60
wRC+
112
29
◀◀L
wOBA
332
223
◀◀L
ISO
231
BABIP
208
233
R
K%
26.7%
31.7%
◀◀L
BB%
11.1%
15.0%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-2$1.0M+0.0$0.1M+$0.0M (cut)
2027Arb-3$2M+0.3$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201621 ROKHelena Brewers 133113 16411 16362 40 142260221481 80197 2712 215 23
201621 ROKHelena Brewers 133102 18511 27252 40 176359275633 98224 1920 304 91
201722 A+Carolina Mudcats 239210 42824 25612 22 200291314605 114259 2610 269 64
201722 A+Carolina Mudcats 239197 481124 38422 22 244371381752 137288 1816 342 120
201823 A+Carolina Mudcats 404350 581406 4014112 31 166274257531 91255 3510 248 48
201823 A+Carolina Mudcats 404327 852508 639312 31 260398410808 150339 2316 368 140
201924 AABiloxi Shuckers 419362 705314 4213614 47 193301340641 146263 3210 288 79
201924 AABiloxi Shuckers 419342 858517 6210014 47 249385450835 202301 2415 375 145
202126 AAA2 teams 406343 8617513 51834 42 251354443797 192286 2013 346 123
202126 AAA2 teams 406319 9623612 75744 42 301440524963 223349 1818 417 177
202227 MLB3 teams 379333 671548 411223 85 201294342637 141288 3211 287 78 -10 -0 -6 -4 +11 -1.0
202227 MLB3 teams 379322 7917410 521053 85 245355416772 171330 2814 346 123 +10 -0 -6 -4 +11 1.0
202328 AAA2 teams 481411 872665 5914010 276 212325341666 129307 2912 297 85
202328 AAA2 teams 481386 972868 8411510 276 251398417815 166337 2417 370 141
202429 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys 442376 8925310 531149 154 237345399744 162309 2612 328 109
202429 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys 442350 9726310 79899 154 277422454877 177341 2018 392 158
202530 AAA2 teams 294248 563510 37776 33 226340399739 173282 2613 324 106
202530 AAA2 teams 294236 593416 49746 33 250392500892 250291 2517 390 157
▸ 2026 Season
202631 MLBTB 344295 6512310 40876 92 220326383709 163274 2512 318 101 +1 +1 +0 -4 +10 0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732 MLBTB 33% 325279 601139 37846 72 215320373693 158269 2611 312 97 -1 +1 -3 -3 +9 0.2
202732 MLBTB 33% 10691 19313 12272 21 209314363677 154273 2511 300 87 -2 +0 -1 -1 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 438378 671249 511316 82 177285302587 124242 3012 269 64 -18 +1 -8 -14 +12 -2.6
/ 162G 650561 9918613 761949 123 176285299584 123241 3012 269 64 -26 +1 -12 -20 +18 -3.9
Career 38663320 6961403590 441108174 8634 210316354670 145279 2811 299 87 -56 +4 -9 -41 +110 0.6
/ 162G 650558 11724615 7418212 146 210315355670 145279 2811 299 87 -9 +0 -2 -7 +18 0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201621 ROKHelena Brewers 133102 18511 27252 40 176359275633 98224 1920 304 91 -1 +1 +4 0.3
201722 A+Carolina Mudcats 239197 481124 38422 22 244371381752 137288 1816 342 120 +5 -0 +7 1.2
201823 A+Carolina Mudcats 404327 852508 639312 31 260398410808 150339 2316 368 140 +18 +0 +11 3.0
201924 AABiloxi Shuckers 419342 858517 6210014 47 249385450835 202301 2415 375 145 +21 -2 +12 3.2
202126 AAAReno Aces 366293 9121612 63614 41 311439546985 235350 1717 425 183 +35 +0 +10 4.6
202126 INTLSalt River Rafters 4026 5200 12130 01 192447269717 77333 3230 341 119 +1 -0 +1 0.2
202227 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 201176 31833 23641 41 176275307582 131255 3211 266 62 -9 +0 -6 -4 +6 -1.3
202227 AAAReno Aces 156129 40816 24402 34 310426527953 217405 2615 418 178 +14 -1 +4 1.8
202227 INTLSalt River Rafters 2217 8101 510 10 4715917061.297 235467 523 558 285 +5 +0 +1 0.6
202328 MLBSeattle Mariners 2623 2100 291 10 87192130323 43143 358 166 -15 -3 +0 -0 -5 +1 -0.8
202328 AAATacoma Rainiers 455363 952768 821069 266 262410435845 174348 2318 382 150 +26 +3 +13 4.2
202429 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys 442350 9726310 79899 154 277422454877 177341 2018 392 158 +29 +1 +13 4.4
202530 MLBHouston Astros 10588 15003 14312 10 170298273571 102222 3013 270 65 -4 +0 -1 -3 +3 -0.5
202530 AAADurham Bulls 189148 443413 35434 23 2974446351.079 338330 2319 457 208 +23 -1 +5 2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 332287 48936 391044 61 167276282558 115236 3112 260 57 -16 +1 -7 -12 +9 -2.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
2447108188293322-5-3-0.5-0.5
/1626641512-7.1-5.2-0.7pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Cooper Hummel (OGILVIE) 31 55 60 45 60 218/322/379 161274 109 25% 12% 101 +1.0
Henry Ramos
2023 · MLB
31 52→56 51→50 43→50 47 265/324/423 159309 199 21% 7% 112 +2.6 257/328/408 151325 1511 24% 9% 109 +2.4 268/346/423155342151024%9%117+2.0
Rafael Ortega
2022 · MLB
31 49→54 53→55 49→55 49 254/317/429 176298 2117 23% 8% 111 +2.5 232/319/365 133283 1420 22% 11% 95 +1.4 217/315/340123267132422%12%85+0.4
Abraham Almonte
2021 · MLB
32 41→51 50→55 51→55 53 210/294/377 167257 1613 25% 11% 88 +0.9 238/332/420 182295 2210 25% 12% 115 +2.8 228/330/41218428025827%13%109+1.2
Garrett Jones
2012 · MLB
31 49→53 54→60 47→50 51 252/318/438 185287 2110 20% 9% 114 +2.7 254/311/454 200292 234 21% 8% 115 +2.8 254/310/45420029123221%7%111+2.1
Ben Francisco
2012 · MLB
30 50→56 49→55 47→55 55 248/328/397 149275 1614 16% 9% 108 +2.3 220/282/334 114272 108 22% 8% 72 -0.2 200/253/295952567624%6%46-0.8
Cole Gillespie
2015 · MLB
31 49→59 46→50 50 50 244/311/377 132293 1412 21% 8% 95 +1.4 246/300/346 100299 712 19% 7% 81 +0.4 245/298/3318530131118%7%75-0.0
Chris Young
2015 · MLB
31 43→49 52→60 49→55 51 224/299/399 175258 2014 22% 9% 96 +1.5 241/314/418 177282 209 21% 9% 107 +2.2 241/319/41917828120721%9%106+1.0
Ben Gamel
2023 · MLB
31 49→59 47→50 43→50 54 238/328/381 142303 137 24% 11% 103 +1.9 236/330/383 147321 157 28% 12% 105 +2.1 228/330/37614832115631%13%99+0.8
Todd Hollandsworth
2004 · MLB
31 54→56 51→55 43→50 50 269/330/445 176320 169 21% 8% 120 +3.1 260/319/427 167306 177 20% 8% 111 +2.5 258/311/42616730017420%7%102+0.8
Aaron Hicks
2022 · MLB
32 44→54 51→55 47→55 61 226/335/392 166267 197 23% 14% 109 +2.4 226/328/342 116288 1311 24% 13% 94 +1.3 225/335/329103287121323%14%89+0.6
Chris Aguila
2010 · MLB
31 45→54 53→55 49→50 44 235/291/404 169290 2212 27% 7% 94 +1.3 224/282/377 153295 177 29% 7% 82 +0.5 219/280/36614729017529%7%76+0.0
Jonny Gomes
2012 · MLB
31 46→52 54→60 46→50 50 239/324/421 182290 229 25% 9% 112 +2.6 244/344/424 180311 236 27% 11% 121 +3.2 243/348/41216831422228%12%115+1.6
John Mayberry Jr.
2015 · MLB
31 44→48 51→55 44→50 49 226/296/394 168267 195 23% 8% 93 +1.3 214/280/366 152263 167 25% 8% 79 +0.3 160/214/28112120011426%6%28-0.9
Michael McKenry
2016 · MLB
31 46→47 49→55 43→40 53 230/316/381 151281 168 24% 10% 98 +1.6 203/297/330 127279 126 29% 11% 78 +0.2 175/277/28410924710231%11%55-0.6
Leobardo Arauz
2008 · AAA
31 51→58 49→50 48→45 52 255/324/400 144279 179 16% 8% 106 +2.2 263/336/393 130285 147 12% 9% 109 +2.4 266/343/38411828811411%10%110+1.8
Jonathan Villar
2022 · MLB
31 50→60 50 53→65 49 250/319/403 153314 1824 26% 9% 105 +2.1 236/293/378 142305 1519 26% 7% 87 +0.8 226/270/352127298112527%6%67-0.3
Niko Goodrum
2022 · MLB
30 45→54 49→55 53→55 46 224/298/374 150315 1619 32% 9% 89 +1.0 229/321/362 133325 1415 31% 12% 95 +1.4 235/336/360125330131429%13%98+0.6
Chad Huffman
2016 · AAA
31 48→52 48→55 50→45 47 239/304/384 145299 169 25% 8% 94 +1.3 231/309/398 167277 198 23% 8% 100 +1.7 224/306/39116726919524%8%94+0.8
Marwin Gonzalez
2019 · MLB
30 51→58 52→55 44→50 51 258/326/427 170304 197 22% 9% 115 +2.7 242/310/385 143291 174 22% 8% 97 +1.5 230/298/35712727816222%7%82+0.3
Robbie Grossman
2021 · MLB
31 51→58 48→50 51→50 59 251/344/403 152293 1312 19% 12% 115 +2.8 237/342/396 159295 1713 24% 13% 113 +2.6 229/341/380150290161024%13%106+1.9