Richie Palacios — OGILVIE

Richie Palacios2B Tampa Bay Rays

Age 29 L/R 5'8" / 185 lbs MLB HR +6%H +4% Svc 2.907S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION365 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8699vR 104

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP280

ISO124

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

905.1%

xAVG

500.251

POWER40

Barrel%

184.1

Avg EV

1586.4

Bat Spd

2368.5

EYE60

Chase%

9013.0%

SPEED45

Sprint

3626.8

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%15%▲▲11% over 76 PA (30d) · proj 20%

BB%11%·12% over 137 PA (60d) · proj 11%

ISO.155▲▲.197 over 117 AB (60d) · proj .124xISO .093 vs .095 prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

HR/BB4.6%▲6.3% over 95 BBE (60d) · proj 3.1%barrel% 4.4% vs 3.5% prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

BABIP.282▼.225 over 89 BIP (60d) · proj .288xBABIP .265 vs .304 prior — approach backs the move

SLASH.262/.353/.417▲▲proj .241/.332/.365

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 390 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

359

—

wRC+

106

▶R

wOBA

309

324

▶R

ISO

036

111

▶▶R

BABIP

421

284

◀◀L

29.0%

19.5%

▶▶R

BB%

9.7%

13.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.907 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.2M
2027	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$1M		$1M	+$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	A	Lake County Captains	—	82	80	24	2	1	2	2	13	0	3	0	300	317	425	742	125	338	16	2	328	108	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2018	21	ROK	AZL Indians 1	—	22	16	7	1	0	2	6	2	0	2	0	438	591	875	1.466	438	417	9	27	602	294	+5	+0	—	—	+0	0.6
2021	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	145	113	33	9	1	1	25	28	4	10	0	292	437	416	853	124	376	19	17	383	145	+8	+2	—	—	+3	1.3
2021	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	283	244	73	24	3	6	33	42	4	10	3	299	391	496	887	197	338	15	12	390	150	+17	+1	—	—	+6	2.4
2021	24	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	93	78	21	8	1	3	13	15	2	4	1	269	387	513	900	244	300	16	14	396	154	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	123	112	26	6	0	0	9	20	1	2	0	232	295	286	581	54	280	16	7	267	67	-5	+0	-2	-4	+3	-0.8
2022	25	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	206	179	50	10	5	4	24	43	2	12	2	279	371	458	829	179	348	21	12	367	134	+8	+2	—	—	+4	1.5
2022	25	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	91	69	15	2	0	1	16	15	4	4	2	217	393	290	683	72	264	16	18	325	106	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	102	93	24	6	0	6	6	11	1	2	0	258	310	516	826	258	234	11	6	353	125	+3	+0	-2	-6	+2	-0.2
2023	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	464	374	94	23	0	8	73	61	8	9	6	251	385	377	762	126	276	13	16	345	120	+11	-1	—	—	+10	2.1
2024	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	316	264	59	8	1	5	45	67	5	19	1	223	346	318	664	95	280	21	14	310	96	-1	+3	-0	+1	+7	1.0
2024	27	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	21	18	4	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	222	333	222	556		235	5	14	272	70	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	48	42	14	2	0	1	5	9	0	4	0	333	404	452	857	119	394	19	10	377	141	+2	+1	-4	+0	+1	0.1
2025	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	82	76	12	2	0	2	6	20	0	3	1	158	220	263	483	105	185	24	7	221	36	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	589	511	123	22	1	12	65	107	7	27	1	241	334	358	692	117	280	18	11	314	99	-1	+5	-7	-9	+13	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	82	81	21	2	1	1	1	18	0	3	0	259	268	346	614	86	322	22	1	272	70	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2018	21	ROK MLE	AZL Indians 1	—	22	18	7	1	0	2	4	3	0	2	0	389	500	778	1.278	389	322	14	18	462	199	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2021	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	145	121	35	9	1	1	17	33	4	10	0	289	394	405	799	116	370	23	12	344	119	+3	+2	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	283	254	60	18	2	5	23	52	4	10	3	236	310	382	691	146	277	18	8	308	95	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.5
2022	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	123	112	26	6	0	0	9	20	1	2	0	232	295	286	581	54	280	16	7	258	61	-6	+0	-2	-4	+3	-0.9
2022	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	206	186	48	8	5	3	17	50	2	12	2	258	327	403	730	145	341	24	8	321	103	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	102	93	24	6	0	6	6	11	1	2	0	258	310	516	826	258	234	11	6	359	129	+4	+0	-2	-6	+2	-0.2
2023	26	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	464	397	88	21	0	6	50	74	8	9	6	222	321	320	641	98	248	16	11	291	83	-9	-1	—	—	+10	0.0
2024	27	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	316	265	58	8	1	5	45	67	5	19	1	219	343	313	656	94	280	21	14	301	90	-4	+3	-0	+1	+7	0.8
2024	27	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	21	19	4	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	211	286	211	496		222	5	10	235	45	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2025	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	48	42	14	2	0	1	5	9	0	4	0	333	404	452	857	119	394	19	10	365	133	+2	+1	-4	+0	+1	0.1
2025	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	82	78	10	2	0	1	4	23	0	3	1	128	171	192	363	64	168	28	5	164	-3	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2018	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	104	99	27	2	1	3	5	21	0	5	0	273	308	404	712	131	320	20	5	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	104	96	31	3	1	4	8	15	0	5	0	323	375	500	875	177	351	14	8	386	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	521	457	116	33	4	7	49	105	10	24	4	254	339	389	729	136	313	20	9	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	521	435	127	41	5	10	71	85	10	24	4	292	403	478	881	186	341	16	14	389	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	420	376	95	18	7	4	33	89	7	18	4	253	325	370	694	117	320	21	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	420	360	91	18	5	5	49	78	7	18	4	253	353	372	726	119	309	19	12	328	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	490	113	27	0	13	56	85	9	11	6	231	321	365	686	135	250	15	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	566	467	118	29	0	14	79	72	9	11	6	253	371	405	776	152	267	13	14	346	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	337	284	62	8	1	5	47	68	5	19	1	218	339	306	646	88	269	20	14	297	87	-5	+3	-0	+1	+7	0.7
2024	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	337	282	63	8	1	5	48	68	5	19	1	223	345	312	657	89	276	20	14	308	87	-5	+3	-0	+1	+7	0.7
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	130	120	24	4	0	2	9	32	0	7	1	200	256	283	539	83	253	25	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	130	118	26	4	0	3	11	29	0	7	1	220	287	331	617	110	264	22	8	279	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	104	98	27	2	1	3	5	21	0	5	0	276	308	408	716	133	322	20	5	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	521	457	116	33	4	7	49	105	10	24	4	254	339	389	729	136	309	20	9	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	420	377	95	18	7	4	33	89	7	18	4	252	325	369	693	117	318	21	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	496	113	27	0	13	56	85	9	11	6	228	321	361	682	133	245	15	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	337	282	62	8	1	5	47	68	5	19	1	220	339	309	648	89	276	20	14	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	130	120	24	4	0	2	9	32	0	7	1	200	256	283	539	83	251	25	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	496	113	27	0	13	56	85	9	11	6	228	321	361	682	133	245	15	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	337	282	62	8	1	5	47	68	5	19	1	220	339	309	648	89	276	20	14	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	130	120	24	4	0	2	9	32	0	7	1	200	256	283	539	83	251	25	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	MLB MLE	TB	—	365	315	72	12	2	9	42	63	4	14	6	229	327	365	692	137	257	17	12	310	96	-2	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.7
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	TB	—	365	315	73	12	2	9	42	63	4	14	6	232	330	368	698	137	261	17	12	315	96	-2	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.7
YTD	29	MLB RAW	TB	—	365	315	73	12	2	9	42	63	4	14	6	232	330	368	698	137	261	17	12	315	99	-0	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.8
ROS	29	MLB MLE	TB	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		272	20	10	314	99	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	29	MLB CTX	TB	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		280	20	10	313	99	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	29	MLB A+C	TB	—	375	324	74	12	2	9	43	65	4	14	6	228	326	361	687	133	258	17	11	315	96	-2	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.7
TOT	29	MLB MLE	TB	—	375	324	73	12	2	9	43	65	4	14	6	225	323	358	681	133	254	17	11	311	96	-2	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TB	82%	321	278	64	11	1	7	36	61	4	11	4	230	327	353	680	122	271	19	11	312	97	-1	+1	-4	+1	+7	0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	TB	82%	263	228	55	10	1	6	30	50	3	9	3	241	337	373	710	132	278	19	11	311	97	-1	+1	-3	+1	+6	0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	862	748	179	32	2	18	96	159	10	36	4	239	333	360	693	120	280	18	11	313	91	-2	+6	-11	-8	+19	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	136	24	2	14	72	120	8	27	3	241	335	365	701	124	281	18	11	313	91	-1	+4	-8	-6	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2409	2113	502	103	14	41	236	463	35	95	20	238	324	358	682	120	284	19	10	303	91	-2	+6	-11	-8	+20	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	136	28	4	11	64	125	9	26	5	239	325	360	684	121	285	19	10	303	91	-1	+4	-8	-5	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	4.3	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
/162	664	11	6	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.3	1,519	33	59	235	327	361	+2	-12	3.9	3.9
/162	664	15	26	+0.7	-5.2	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Richie Palacios (OGILVIE)	29	55	40	45	60	233/328/360	128	272	8	13	19%	11%	99	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tony Kemp 2021 · MLB	29	50→60	44→45	50→55	56	242/326/366	125	270	11	15	15%	10%	99	+1.2	246/334/368	122	270	11	13	13%	10%	102	+1.5	237/327/349	112	258	10	15	12%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Luis Landaeta 2006 · AAA	29	54	45	45→50	49	263/314/386	123	283	13	15	13%	6%	98	+1.2	249/298/369	120	282	11	13	15%	6%	88	+0.4	264/297/371	106	296	4	9	12%	4%	84	+0.0
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→54	45→50	53→55	54	256/334/385	129	314	12	18	22%	10%	105	+1.7	235/306/346	111	295	10	16	22%	9%	86	+0.3	220/290/317	97	278	9	15	23%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Desmond Jennings 2016 · MLB	29	49→59	45→50	50→60	52	241/315/374	133	285	12	17	19%	9%	96	+1.0	214/278/350	136	261	15	10	24%	8%	77	-0.3	188/251/322	133	227	16	7	25%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Ender Inciarte 2021 · MLB	30	49→59	43→45	52→60	54	238/311/353	115	271	10	18	16%	9%	90	+0.6	226/290/336	110	276	11	12	21%	8%	78	-0.3	219/276/306	87	272	9	12	22%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Xavier Paul 2014 · MLB	29	52→58	47→45	48→55	49	257/320/395	139	313	14	13	22%	8%	103	+1.5	213/270/340	127	282	15	6	29%	7%	72	-0.7	176/225/280	104	245	13	1	33%	5%	38	-1.9
✕Mike Baxter 2014 · MLB	29	48→58	43→50	48→50	53	230/318/355	125	281	9	12	20%	9%	93	+0.8	230/300/335	105	294	7	13	23%	8%	82	-0.0	227/296/325	98	293	7	13	23%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Gerardo Parra 2016 · MLB	29	55→62	45→50	48→55	47	269/314/402	133	305	11	12	16%	6%	101	+1.4	263/302/387	124	306	11	10	17%	5%	94	+0.9	266/319/381	115	308	12	11	17%	6%	95	+0.6
✕Roosevelt Brown 2005 · MLB	29	47→55	46→50	47→45	52	234/312/369	135	283	13	9	22%	9%	94	+0.9	257/315/399	142	294	14	6	17%	7%	101	+1.4	269/323/406	137	308	12	2	16%	6%	105	+1.2
✕Matt Szczur 2018 · MLB	29	49→57	45	45→55	54	239/322/372	133	283	12	10	20%	10%	98	+1.2	234/308/373	139	287	14	7	22%	9%	93	+0.8	203/259/339	136	252	15	4	26%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Nathan Lukes 2023 · AAA	29	53→54	43→45	51→50	45	258/309/372	113	311	9	15	20%	6%	93	+0.8	272/328/396	124	318	12	10	17%	7%	105	+1.7	280/340/410	130	315	13	5	15%	8%	109	+1.1
✕Eric Campbell 2016 · MLB	29	53→57	44→45	49→50	55	256/345/379	123	310	11	14	20%	10%	109	+2.0	244/329/355	111	302	10	12	21%	10%	97	+1.1	236/323/352	116	290	11	9	21%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Roger Bernadina 2013 · MLB	29	52→62	46→45	56→60	49	254/320/380	127	306	13	28	21%	8%	99	+1.3	216/294/334	118	293	11	18	28%	8%	80	-0.2	229/297/347	119	324	11	20	31%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Alex Presley 2014 · MLB	29	55→63	44→50	53→55	46	266/313/393	127	314	11	17	19%	6%	99	+1.2	251/297/353	102	293	10	14	17%	6%	84	+0.1	254/301/339	85	304	7	13	18%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Chris Singleton 2002 · MLB	29	54→59	45→50	50→55	47	264/305/392	128	294	11	18	15%	6%	96	+1.0	253/299/381	128	293	9	17	16%	6%	91	+0.7	249/295/373	124	291	7	19	16%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Jose Munoz 2008 · AAA	29	50→49	42→45	43→50	55	239/319/343	103	283	9	9	18%	10%	91	+0.6	246/320/356	110	293	8	11	17%	10%	94	+0.9	250/327/357	107	297	7	9	17%	10%	93	+0.4
✕Matt Watson 2008 · MLB	29	51→53	48→50	50	53	254/319/401	147	278	15	9	15%	8%	103	+1.6	242/310/368	126	287	12	6	19%	9%	93	+0.8	244/309/384	140	281	14	1	18%	8%	94	+0.4
✕Jace Peterson 2019 · MLB	29	46→56	42→50	53→55	57	221/315/332	111	274	8	17	21%	12%	86	+0.3	236/316/376	140	291	13	18	22%	10%	97	+1.1	238/316/380	142	295	14	19	23%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2017 · MLB	30	52→62	42→45	52→60	48	249/310/350	101	304	9	20	21%	8%	88	+0.5	236/299/345	109	301	11	18	24%	8%	84	+0.1	240/302/340	100	305	11	24	24%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Nate Schierholtz 2013 · MLB	29	52→58	47→55	47→50	50	256/315/401	145	291	14	9	17%	7%	102	+1.5	233/285/400	167	266	19	8	20%	6%	91	+0.7	220/268/381	161	252	18	6	21%	5%	77	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps