Richie Palacios — OGILVIE

Richie PalaciosLF Tampa Bay Rays

Age 29 L/R 5'8" / 185 lbs MLB Svc 2.907S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 1.4 · 2026

wRC+†vL 103113vR 109

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .335 / .370

PA286

HR6

SB12

K%20

BB%11

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

40→40

SPD

45→45

EYE

64↘60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.8peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.907 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.9M	+1.4	$11M	+$10M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+1.2	$10M	+$7M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.6M
2029	Arb-4	$3M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$28M	+$18M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	2 teams	104	99	27	2	1	3	5	20	0	5	0	.273	.308	.404	.712	.131	.316	19	5	.316	100	+0	+1	+0	+0	+3	0.4
2021	24	AA	3 teams	521	457	116	32	4	9	49	108	10	24	4	.254	.339	.400	.740	.147	.312	21	9	.323	105	+3	+3	+0	+2	+15	2.3
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	420	376	95	18	7	4	33	89	7	18	4	.253	.325	.370	.694	.117	.320	21	8	.300	88	-6	+2	-2	-4	+12	0.2
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	566	490	114	28	0	13	56	85	9	11	6	.233	.323	.369	.692	.137	.253	15	10	.306	92	-5	-0	-2	-6	+16	0.3
2024	27	MLB	2 teams	337	284	62	8	1	5	47	68	5	19	1	.218	.339	.306	.646	.088	.269	20	14	.295	84	-6	+3	-0	+1	+10	0.8
2025	28	AAA	2 teams	130	120	24	4	0	2	9	32	0	7	1	.200	.256	.283	.539	.083	.253	25	7	.243	44	-8	+1	-3	+0	+4	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	48	38	10	1	0	1	7	7	3	3	1	.263	.417	.368	.785	.105	.300	15	15	.365	137	+2	+0	-1	+0	+1	0.3
ROS	29	MLB	TB	238	205	51	9	1	5	27	45	4	9	2	.249	.347	.376	.723	.127	.291	19	11	.327	109	+2	+1	-0	+1	+7	1.1
TOT	29	MLB	TB	286	243	61	10	1	6	34	52	7	12	3	.251	.359	.374	.734	.123	.296	18	12	.334	113	+4	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	30	MLB	TB	321	276	68	12	1	7	36	57	6	12	3	.246	.346	.373	.719	.127	.283	18	11	.324	106	+2	+1	-2	+1	+9	1.1
2028	31	MLB	TB	306	263	64	11	1	6	35	56	5	10	2	.243	.343	.361	.704	.118	.282	18	11	.321	103	+1	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.9
2029	32	MLB	TB	287	248	58	10	0	6	32	54	5	8	2	.234	.333	.347	.680	.113	.280	19	11	.315	100	-0	+1	-4	+1	+8	0.6
2030	33	MLB	TB	257	222	52	9	0	5	29	50	4	6	1	.234	.333	.342	.676	.108	.278	19	11	.310	95	-1	+1	-4	+1	+7	0.3
2031	34	MLB	TB	215	185	42	7	0	4	24	44	4	4	1	.227	.329	.330	.658	.103	.276	20	11	.303	90	-2	+0	-5	+1	+6	-0.0
2032	35	MLB	TB	164	142	31	5	0	3	18	35	3	3	0	.218	.319	.317	.636	.099	.274	21	11	.295	84	-3	+1	-6	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3866	3367	804	155	16	72	400	743	62	136	27	.239	.331	.358	.689	.120	.284	19	10	.309	95	-23	+16	-32	-0	+110	7.1
/ 162G	—			650	566	135	26	3	12	67	125	10	23	5	.239	.329	.359	.688	.120	.284	19	10	.309	95	-4	+3	-5	-0	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	Lake County Captains	82	80	24	2	1	2	2	13	0	3	0	.300	.317	.425	.742	.125	.338	16	2	.328	110	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2018	21	ROK	AZL Indians 1	22	16	7	1	0	2	6	2	0	2	0	.438	.591	.875	1.466	.438	.417	9	27	.602	319	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2021	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	145	113	33	9	1	1	25	28	4	10	0	.292	.437	.416	.853	.124	.376	19	17	.383	151	+8	+2	—	—	+4	1.5
2021	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	283	244	73	24	3	6	33	42	4	10	3	.299	.391	.496	.887	.197	.338	15	12	.390	156	+18	+1	—	—	+8	2.7
2021	24	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	93	78	21	8	1	3	13	15	2	4	1	.269	.387	.513	.900	.244	.300	16	14	.396	161	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	123	112	26	6	0	0	9	20	1	2	0	.232	.295	.286	.581	.054	.280	16	7	.267	62	-5	+0	-2	-4	+3	-0.8
2022	25	AAA	Columbus Clippers	206	179	50	10	5	4	24	43	2	12	2	.279	.371	.458	.829	.179	.348	21	12	.367	139	+9	+2	—	—	+6	1.7
2022	25	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	91	69	15	2	0	1	16	15	4	4	2	.217	.393	.290	.683	.072	.264	16	18	.325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	102	93	24	6	0	6	6	11	1	2	0	.258	.310	.516	.826	.258	.234	11	6	.353	128	+3	+0	-2	-6	+3	-0.1
2023	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	464	374	94	23	0	8	73	61	8	9	6	.251	.385	.377	.762	.126	.276	13	16	.345	122	+12	-1	—	—	+13	2.5
2024	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	316	264	59	8	1	5	45	67	5	19	1	.223	.346	.318	.664	.095	.280	21	14	.310	96	-2	+3	-0	+1	+9	1.2
2024	27	AAA	Durham Bulls	21	18	4	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	.222	.333	.222	.556	.000	.235	5	14	.272	66	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	48	42	14	2	0	1	5	9	0	4	0	.333	.404	.452	.857	.119	.394	19	10	.377	147	+3	+1	-3	+0	+1	0.2
2025	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	82	76	12	2	0	2	6	20	0	3	1	.158	.220	.263	.483	.105	.185	24	7	.221	28	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			589	511	123	22	1	12	65	107	7	27	1	.241	.334	.358	.692	.117	.280	18	11	.314	98	-1	+5	-7	-9	+17	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Richie Palacios (OGILVIE)	29	55	40	45	60	.246/.345/.371	.126	.284	6	11	17%	11%	109	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Xavier Paul 2014 · MLB	29	53→58	47→50	50→55	48	.260/.320/.402	.142	.317	14	16	22%	8%	105	+2.1	.218/.275/.349	.131	.286	15	6	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.178/.228/.284	.106	.247	14	1	33%	5%	33	-1.7
●Tony Kemp 2021 · MLB	29	50→60	44→45	51→55	56	.242/.323/.363	.122	.270	11	16	15%	9%	96	+1.5	.244/.333/.364	.120	.269	11	13	13%	10%	101	+1.8	.238/.327/.344	.107	.259	9	15	12%	10%	91	+0.9
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→55	45→50	52→55	54	.257/.335/.385	.128	.318	12	17	22%	10%	106	+2.2	.239/.309/.351	.112	.301	10	16	22%	9%	87	+0.8	.220/.291/.317	.097	.279	9	15	23%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Eric Campbell 2016 · MLB	29	54→57	44→45	49→50	55	.259/.346/.381	.122	.314	10	14	20%	10%	111	+2.5	.244/.329/.355	.111	.302	10	12	21%	10%	97	+1.5	.235/.322/.349	.115	.290	10	9	21%	10%	90	+0.7
●David Murphy 2012 · MLB	30	54→60	47→55	49→50	53	.270/.333/.408	.138	.303	15	14	16%	9%	111	+2.5	.266/.331/.415	.149	.291	15	9	14%	9%	112	+2.6	.260/.328/.412	.152	.282	15	5	13%	9%	104	+1.6
✕Mike Baxter 2014 · MLB	29	48→57	43→50	47→50	52	.230/.316/.354	.124	.282	9	12	21%	9%	92	+1.2	.229/.300/.335	.106	.292	7	13	23%	8%	79	+0.3	.226/.295/.322	.097	.292	7	13	23%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Larry Bigbie 2006 · MLB	28	54→56	47→50	48→50	50	.264/.325/.404	.140	.319	15	10	22%	8%	107	+2.2	.247/.309/.366	.119	.318	11	9	24%	8%	91	+1.1	.251/.312/.354	.103	.331	7	7	25%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Alex Presley 2014 · MLB	29	55→63	45→50	54→55	46	.269/.316/.403	.133	.317	12	18	19%	6%	102	+1.9	.252/.297/.354	.102	.295	10	14	17%	6%	82	+0.5	.253/.300/.339	.086	.302	7	13	18%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Raimel Tapia 2023 · MLB	29	55→64	41→50	52→55	47	.265/.309/.368	.103	.307	8	17	16%	6%	90	+1.0	.248/.308/.366	.118	.306	12	20	22%	8%	90	+1.0	.232/.311/.333	.101	.300	12	33	25%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Nate Schierholtz 2013 · MLB	29	50→58	47→55	46→50	50	.249/.308/.388	.139	.281	13	10	17%	7%	96	+1.5	.230/.283/.391	.161	.263	17	8	20%	6%	87	+0.8	.214/.262/.367	.153	.247	17	6	21%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Matt Beaty 2022 · MLB	29	52→58	48→50	47→45	49	.259/.333/.398	.140	.294	15	7	18%	7%	110	+2.4	.236/.320/.345	.109	.285	11	4	20%	7%	91	+1.1	.225/.310/.317	.092	.269	9	0	19%	6%	77	+0.0
✕Andrew Benintendi 2023 · MLB	29	57→65	45→55	43→50	53	.278/.344/.406	.127	.321	12	10	17%	9%	115	+2.8	.258/.322/.390	.132	.294	13	9	16%	8%	102	+1.9	.242/.308/.388	.146	.268	17	6	17%	8%	91	+1.0
●Michael Saunders 2016 · MLB	29	49→52	47→55	47→55	54	.241/.324/.387	.145	.307	14	11	25%	11%	102	+1.9	.230/.303/.399	.169	.291	19	4	26%	9%	97	+1.5	.215/.287/.378	.162	.268	19	2	26%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Chris Coghlan 2015 · MLB	30	51→61	44→50	50→55	52	.246/.314/.373	.126	.293	9	11	19%	8%	95	+1.4	.244/.327/.399	.155	.294	14	10	20%	10%	107	+2.2	.232/.326/.388	.156	.278	14	8	21%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Matt Szczur 2018 · MLB	29	48→56	46→45	47→55	52	.238/.315/.371	.133	.282	13	12	20%	9%	95	+1.4	.232/.307/.370	.138	.284	13	7	22%	9%	91	+1.1	.205/.261/.347	.142	.253	16	4	26%	7%	65	-0.2
✕Gerardo Parra 2016 · MLB	29	55→62	45→50	47→55	47	.269/.315/.403	.134	.306	11	11	16%	6%	102	+1.9	.265/.304/.394	.129	.308	11	10	17%	5%	95	+1.4	.263/.317/.375	.111	.306	11	11	17%	6%	91	+0.7
✕Luis Landaeta 2006 · AAA	29	53	47→45	45→50	48	.263/.312/.396	.133	.281	15	15	13%	6%	100	+1.7	.251/.296/.375	.124	.280	12	13	15%	5%	87	+0.8	.266/.299/.376	.111	.296	4	9	12%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Joshua Palacios 2023 · MLB	28	51→54	43→50	51→55	45	.247/.310/.353	.106	.306	10	21	22%	6%	88	+0.9	.246/.305/.395	.149	.293	17	15	22%	7%	97	+1.5	.235/.300/.390	.155	.278	19	11	22%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Ben Francisco 2012 · MLB	30	50→56	49→55	48→55	54	.249/.328/.404	.155	.277	16	15	17%	9%	109	+2.4	.225/.289/.341	.116	.274	10	9	21%	8%	76	+0.0	.206/.259/.298	.092	.263	7	6	23%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Ben Gamel 2021 · MLB	29	54→63	45→50	46→50	52	.257/.337/.390	.133	.339	10	9	26%	10%	108	+2.3	.240/.329/.381	.141	.316	14	7	26%	11%	104	+2.0	.235/.329/.378	.143	.305	15	6	26%	12%	97	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)