Ben Francisco
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 30 | AATOR | 39 | .222/.282/.306 | 0 | 0 | 35 | — | .189/.231/.243 | |
| 2012 | 30 | MLBTB | 207 | .240/.288/.385 | 4 | 0 | 87 | -0.6 | ||
| 2013 | 31 | AAATucson Padres | 209 | .241/.311/.310 | 1 | 6 | 28 | — | .186/.233/.242 | |
| 2013 | 31 | MLBNYY | 50 | .114/.220/.182 | 1 | 0 | 19 | -0.6 | ||
| 2015 | 33 | AAARieleros de A… | 53 | .244/.346/.267 | 0 | 0 | 39 | — | .213/.288/.234 | |
| 2016 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2017 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 43 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 44 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 23 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 18 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 500 | 529 | 562 | 1.092 | 62 | 571 | 17 | 6 | 462 | 203 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 23 | AA | Akron Aeros | — | 352 | 323 | 99 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 59 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 307 | 358 | 474 | 832 | 167 | 357 | 17 | 7 | 364 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 24 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 579 | 515 | 143 | 32 | 4 | 17 | 45 | 72 | 10 | 25 | 5 | 278 | 347 | 454 | 802 | 177 | 293 | 12 | 8 | 351 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 66 | 62 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 274 | 308 | 500 | 808 | 226 | 341 | 29 | 5 | 347 | 121 | +2 | -1 | +3 | -5 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 425 | 377 | 120 | 27 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 66 | 4 | 22 | 8 | 318 | 384 | 496 | 880 | 178 | 359 | 16 | 8 | 382 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | — | 499 | 447 | 119 | 32 | 0 | 15 | 40 | 86 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 266 | 335 | 438 | 773 | 172 | 297 | 17 | 8 | 340 | 116 | +10 | -0 | -5 | -6 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 104 | 92 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 228 | 311 | 315 | 626 | 87 | 299 | 24 | 11 | 286 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 459 | 405 | 104 | 30 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 83 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 257 | 334 | 447 | 781 | 190 | 287 | 18 | 8 | 342 | 118 | +10 | +0 | -11 | -5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2010 | 28 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 197 | 179 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 268 | 328 | 441 | 770 | 173 | 302 | 18 | 7 | 338 | 111 | +3 | +2 | -3 | -2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2011 | 29 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 293 | 250 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 244 | 344 | 364 | 708 | 120 | 268 | 14 | 11 | 319 | 99 | -0 | -1 | -9 | -3 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2012 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 207 | 192 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 288 | 385 | 673 | 146 | 298 | 24 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -3 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2012 | 30 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 39 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 282 | 306 | 588 | 83 | 250 | 10 | 8 | 268 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 50 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 220 | 182 | 402 | 68 | 125 | 22 | 10 | 198 | 19 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA | Tucson Padres | — | 209 | 187 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 38 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 241 | 311 | 310 | 621 | 70 | 295 | 18 | 9 | 282 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 53 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 346 | 267 | 613 | 22 | 289 | 13 | 13 | 287 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1771 | 1579 | 400 | 104 | 3 | 50 | 146 | 325 | 23 | 30 | 17 | 253 | 326 | 418 | 744 | 165 | 287 | 18 | 8 | 328 | 108 | +17 | -1 | -29 | -27 | +38 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 23 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 18 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 500 | 529 | 562 | 1.092 | 62 | 551 | 22 | 6 | 468 | 203 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 23 | AA MLE | Akron Aeros | — | 352 | 331 | 91 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 72 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 275 | 312 | 411 | 723 | 136 | 334 | 20 | 5 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 24 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 579 | 528 | 131 | 27 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 86 | 10 | 25 | 5 | 248 | 304 | 400 | 703 | 152 | 265 | 15 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 66 | 62 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 274 | 308 | 500 | 808 | 226 | 341 | 29 | 5 | 347 | 121 | +2 | -1 | +3 | -5 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 425 | 389 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 79 | 4 | 22 | 8 | 288 | 336 | 434 | 770 | 147 | 329 | 19 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Indians | — | 499 | 447 | 119 | 32 | 0 | 15 | 40 | 86 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 266 | 335 | 438 | 773 | 172 | 297 | 17 | 8 | 340 | 116 | +10 | -0 | -5 | -6 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 104 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 189 | 252 | 263 | 516 | 74 | 260 | 29 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 459 | 405 | 104 | 30 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 83 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 257 | 334 | 447 | 781 | 190 | 287 | 18 | 8 | 342 | 118 | +10 | +0 | -11 | -5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2010 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 197 | 180 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 267 | 323 | 439 | 762 | 172 | 302 | 18 | 7 | 332 | 111 | +3 | +2 | -3 | -2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2011 | 29 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 293 | 251 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 243 | 340 | 363 | 703 | 120 | 268 | 14 | 11 | 314 | 99 | -0 | -1 | -9 | -3 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2012 | 30 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 207 | 192 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 283 | 380 | 663 | 146 | 298 | 24 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -3 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2012 | 30 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 39 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 231 | 243 | 474 | 54 | 220 | 13 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 50 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 220 | 182 | 402 | 68 | 125 | 22 | 10 | 196 | 19 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | Tucson Padres | — | 209 | 194 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 52 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 186 | 233 | 242 | 475 | 57 | 242 | 25 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 53 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 288 | 234 | 523 | 21 | 248 | 17 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 347 | 99 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 285 | 322 | 418 | 740 | 133 | 349 | 20 | 5 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 339 | 107 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 62 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 316 | 366 | 478 | 844 | 162 | 368 | 17 | 7 | 369 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 24 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 579 | 528 | 131 | 27 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 86 | 10 | 25 | 5 | 248 | 304 | 400 | 703 | 152 | 269 | 15 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 24 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 579 | 515 | 143 | 32 | 4 | 17 | 45 | 72 | 10 | 25 | 5 | 278 | 347 | 454 | 802 | 177 | 293 | 12 | 8 | 351 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 451 | 129 | 28 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 98 | 4 | 22 | 10 | 286 | 332 | 443 | 775 | 157 | 338 | 20 | 5 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 491 | 439 | 137 | 32 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 85 | 4 | 22 | 10 | 312 | 373 | 497 | 870 | 185 | 357 | 17 | 8 | 377 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 603 | 542 | 137 | 34 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 116 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 253 | 320 | 408 | 728 | 155 | 292 | 19 | 8 | 321 | 104 | +3 | +0 | -5 | -6 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2008 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 603 | 539 | 140 | 35 | 1 | 16 | 51 | 111 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 260 | 331 | 417 | 748 | 158 | 297 | 18 | 8 | 331 | 104 | +3 | +0 | -5 | -6 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2009 | 27 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 459 | 405 | 104 | 30 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 83 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 257 | 334 | 447 | 781 | 190 | 287 | 18 | 8 | 342 | 118 | +10 | +0 | -11 | -5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2009 | 27 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 459 | 405 | 104 | 30 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 83 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 257 | 334 | 447 | 781 | 190 | 287 | 18 | 8 | 342 | 118 | +10 | +0 | -11 | -5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2010 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 197 | 180 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 267 | 323 | 439 | 762 | 172 | 300 | 18 | 7 | 332 | 111 | +3 | +2 | -3 | -2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2010 | 28 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 197 | 179 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 268 | 328 | 441 | 770 | 173 | 302 | 18 | 7 | 338 | 111 | +3 | +2 | -3 | -2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2011 | 29 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 293 | 251 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 243 | 340 | 363 | 703 | 120 | 267 | 14 | 11 | 314 | 99 | -0 | -1 | -9 | -3 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2011 | 29 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 293 | 250 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 244 | 344 | 364 | 708 | 120 | 268 | 14 | 11 | 319 | 99 | -0 | -1 | -9 | -3 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2012 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 229 | 53 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 279 | 367 | 646 | 135 | 283 | 22 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -6 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +5 | -0.8 |
| 2012 | 30 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 246 | 228 | 54 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 287 | 373 | 660 | 136 | 289 | 22 | 7 | 292 | 79 | -6 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +5 | -0.8 |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 238 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 63 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 172 | 230 | 231 | 462 | 59 | 224 | 24 | 6 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 259 | 231 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 49 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 216 | 293 | 286 | 579 | 69 | 265 | 19 | 9 | 266 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 53 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 288 | 234 | 523 | 21 | 263 | 17 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 53 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 346 | 267 | 613 | 22 | 289 | 13 | 13 | 287 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 348 | 99 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 284 | 322 | 417 | 739 | 132 | 345 | 20 | 5 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 24 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 579 | 532 | 131 | 27 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 86 | 10 | 25 | 5 | 246 | 304 | 397 | 700 | 150 | 265 | 15 | 6 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 457 | 129 | 28 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 98 | 4 | 22 | 10 | 282 | 332 | 438 | 770 | 155 | 331 | 20 | 5 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 603 | 544 | 137 | 34 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 116 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 252 | 320 | 406 | 727 | 154 | 291 | 19 | 8 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 459 | 409 | 104 | 30 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 83 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 254 | 334 | 443 | 777 | 188 | 287 | 18 | 8 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 28 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 197 | 180 | 48 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 267 | 323 | 439 | 762 | 172 | 302 | 18 | 7 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 29 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 293 | 254 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 240 | 340 | 358 | 699 | 118 | 268 | 14 | 11 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 229 | 53 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 279 | 367 | 646 | 135 | 286 | 22 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 239 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 63 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 172 | 230 | 230 | 461 | 59 | 219 | 24 | 6 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 53 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 288 | 229 | 518 | 21 | 248 | 17 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1771 | 1579 | 400 | 104 | 3 | 50 | 146 | 325 | 23 | 30 | 17 | 253 | 326 | 418 | 744 | 165 | 287 | 18 | 8 | 328 | 96 | +17 | -1 | -29 | -27 | +38 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 580 | 146 | 38 | 1 | 18 | 54 | 119 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 252 | 324 | 414 | 738 | 162 | 286 | 18 | 8 | 328 | 96 | +6 | -0 | -11 | -10 | +14 | -0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3550 | 3218 | 813 | 183 | 18 | 82 | 243 | 661 | 40 | 102 | 36 | 253 | 313 | 397 | 710 | 144 | 293 | 19 | 7 | 310 | 96 | +17 | -1 | -29 | -27 | +38 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 149 | 34 | 3 | 15 | 44 | 121 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 253 | 312 | 397 | 709 | 144 | 293 | 19 | 7 | 310 | 96 | +6 | -0 | -11 | -10 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 53 PAwOBA .281 → .226 (−55)K% 13.2% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.21% | ÷0.903 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.21% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 22.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 1.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.488 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .281 → .226; ISO .022 → .017; BABIP .289 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAATucson Padres · 209 PAwOBA .274 → .210 (−65)K% 18.2% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷0.933 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.13% | ÷1.045 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.952 | 5.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.48% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.952 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.49% | ÷1.023 | ×0.900 | ×0.993 | ×0.952 | 19.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.37% | ÷0.963 | ×0.810 | ×0.993 | ×0.952 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.993 | ×0.952 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.67% | ÷0.901 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.952 | 0.55% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 87, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .274 → .210; ISO .070 → .053; BABIP .295 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 39 PAwOBA .262 → .220 (−42)K% 10.3% → 12.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.26% | ÷1.037 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷0.943 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.62% | ÷0.994 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.940 | 14.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.987 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.940 | 7.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.019 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 99, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 107, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .262 → .220; ISO .083 → .069; BABIP .250 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAABuffalo Bisons · 104 PAwOBA .281 → .230 (−52)K% 24.0% → 28.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.04% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 21.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .281 → .230; ISO .087 → .073; BABIP .299 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAABuffalo Bisons · 425 PAwOBA .372 → .332 (−40)K% 15.5% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.000 | ×1.018 | 24.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×1.018 | 7.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.000 | ×1.018 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.30% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .372 → .332; ISO .178 → .156; BABIP .359 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 AAABuffalo Bisons · 579 PAwOBA .344 → .303 (−41)K% 12.4% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.44% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | 18.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 3.33% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .344 → .303; ISO .177 → .155; BABIP .293 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 AAAkron Aeros · 352 PAwOBA .354 → .313 (−42)K% 16.8% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 24.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 6.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.983 | ×1.012 | 2.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.09% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .354 → .313; ISO .167 → .142; BABIP .357 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2005 AAABuffalo Bisons · 18 PAwOBA .476 → .468 (−8)K% 16.7% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 53.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 52.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .476 → .468; ISO .062 → .057; BABIP .571 → .551. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).