Cavan Biggio — OGILVIE

Cavan Biggio1B Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 31 L/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION324 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 6988vR 95

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .336 / .377

PA216

HR6

K%27

BB%12

BABIP292

ISO153

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

758.4%

xwOBA

380.294

POWER35

Barrel%

275.3

Avg EV

1486.4

Bat Spd

1968.0

EYE60

Chase%

9019.5%

SPEED55

Sprint

6628.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 298 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

266

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

253

284

▶R

ISO

—

112

—

BABIP

353

264

◀◀L

34.4%

30.1%

▶R

BB%

12.5%

11.3%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.2M	-$0.2M
Totals		$0.4M		$0.2M	-$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	42	37	7	1	0	0	3	11	1	2	0	189	268	216	485	27	259	26	7	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	42	36	8	1	0	0	4	7	1	2	0	222	317	250	567	28	267	17	10	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	556	494	89	17	3	6	43	196	6	11	7	180	254	263	517	83	278	35	8	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	556	463	108	17	5	11	74	140	6	11	7	233	346	363	709	130	304	25	13	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	642	542	120	23	4	31	82	204	7	22	10	221	331	450	781	229	281	32	13	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	642	509	130	27	5	28	115	163	7	22	10	255	399	493	892	238	311	25	18	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	604	501	120	24	3	21	97	159	3	19	1	240	366	425	791	186	306	26	16	350	126	+18	+3	+0	+2	+17	4.1
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	604	492	126	25	3	22	105	151	3	19	1	256	389	453	843	197	323	25	17	376	146	+31	+3	+0	+2	+17	5.5
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	265	221	55	16	0	8	41	61	3	6	0	249	374	430	803	181	309	23	15	357	132	+9	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.8
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	265	220	55	16	0	8	41	61	3	6	0	250	374	432	805	182	311	23	15	362	136	+11	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.9
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	384	332	67	12	1	9	44	111	2	3	1	202	299	325	624	123	267	29	11	274	68	-14	+0	-6	+1	+11	-0.7
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	384	327	70	12	1	10	48	104	2	3	1	214	317	349	666	135	275	27	12	300	88	-5	+0	-6	+1	+11	0.1
2022	27	MLB	2 teams	—	342	290	60	21	1	6	44	92	6	4	0	207	324	348	672	141	280	27	13	305	91	-3	+1	+4	+1	+10	1.3
2022	27	MLB	2 teams	—	342	286	60	21	1	6	48	91	6	4	0	210	335	353	688	143	284	27	14	316	100	-0	+1	+4	+1	+10	1.6
2023	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	338	289	68	12	0	9	40	88	7	5	2	235	342	370	713	135	304	26	12	320	103	+1	+0	-2	+1	+10	1.0
2023	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	338	289	68	12	0	9	40	88	7	5	2	235	342	370	713	135	304	26	12	325	107	+3	+0	-2	+1	+10	1.2
2024	29	MLB	2 teams	—	292	243	45	6	0	7	36	90	10	4	1	185	315	296	611	111	259	31	12	283	74	-8	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.1
2024	29	MLB	2 teams	—	292	236	45	6	0	7	41	86	10	4	1	191	332	305	637	114	264	29	14	299	87	-4	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.3
2025	30	AAA	2 teams	—	379	327	60	12	1	5	39	121	9	5	3	183	288	272	560	89	271	32	10	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	2 teams	—	379	319	79	16	2	6	47	95	9	5	3	248	360	367	727	119	332	25	12	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	AAA	HOU	—	324	271	55	6	2	10	45	81	5	7	1	203	327	351	678	148	246	25	14	305	92	-3	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.8
YTD	31	AAA	HOU	—	324	252	65	8	2	13	64	63	5	7	1	258	417	460	878	202	291	19	20	392	158	+21	+1	+0	+1	+9	3.3
ROS	31	AAA	HOU	10%	216	183	41	8	1	6	27	58	4	4	1	224	336	377	713	153	288	27	12	318	101	+0	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.7
ROS	31	MLB	HOU	10%	22	19	5	1	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	263	364	474	837	211	291	27	14	307	93	-0	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	31	AAA	HOU	—	346	290	60	7	2	11	48	87	5	7	1	207	329	359	688	152	251	25	14	305	92	-3	+1	-0	+1	+10	0.9
TOT	31	AAA	HOU	—	540	454	96	14	3	16	72	139	9	11	2	211	331	361	692	150	264	26	13	310	95	-3	+1	-1	+2	+15	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	HOU	100%	572	484	106	22	1	14	72	157	11	8	1	219	333	355	689	136	289	27	13	315	99	-1	+1	-6	+2	+16	1.3
2028	33	MLB	HOU	100%	493	419	89	18	1	12	62	138	9	5	1	212	327	346	673	134	281	28	13	306	92	-4	+1	-6	+2	+14	0.6
2029	34	MLB	HOU	100%	416	353	71	13	1	9	52	119	8	3	1	201	317	320	637	119	272	29	12	295	84	-8	+0	-6	+1	+12	-0.1
2027	32	MLB	HOU	100%	572	484	107	22	1	15	72	157	11	8	1	221	335	364	699	143	292	27	13	304	91	-6	+1	-6	+2	+16	0.8
2028	33	MLB	HOU	100%	493	419	89	18	1	12	62	138	9	5	1	212	327	346	673	134	284	28	13	295	84	-9	+1	-6	+2	+14	0.1
2029	34	MLB	HOU	100%	416	353	72	14	1	9	52	119	8	3	1	204	320	326	645	122	275	29	12	284	76	-11	+0	-6	+1	+12	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3440	2902	636	135	7	89	451	948	56	49	6	219	335	363	697	143	291	28	13	311	96	-14	+7	-26	+7	+97	7.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	548	121	26	1	17	85	179	11	9	1	221	336	365	701	144	293	28	13	311	96	-3	+1	-5	+1	+18	1.4
Career	—			—	5541	4715	998	205	17	143	682	1605	86	101	29	212	322	353	675	142	284	29	12	304	91	-59	+9	-26	+12	+157	9.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	553	117	24	2	17	80	188	10	12	3	212	322	354	676	143	283	29	12	304	91	-7	+1	-3	+1	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	42	36	8	1	0	0	4	7	1	2	0	222	317	250	567	28	267	17	10	265	61	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2017	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	556	463	108	17	5	11	74	140	6	11	7	233	346	363	709	130	304	25	13	318	101	+1	-1	—	—	+16	1.6
2018	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	563	449	113	23	5	26	100	148	5	20	8	252	394	499	892	247	307	26	18	388	155	+35	+1	—	—	+16	5.3
2018	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	79	60	17	4	0	2	15	15	2	2	2	283	442	450	892	167	333	19	19	395	160	+5	-0	—	—	+2	0.7
2019	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	430	354	83	17	2	16	71	123	2	14	0	234	364	429	794	195	309	29	17	355	130	+15	+3	+0	+2	+12	3.2
2019	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	174	138	43	8	1	6	34	28	1	5	1	312	451	514	965	203	352	16	20	426	184	+17	+1	—	—	+5	2.3
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	265	220	55	16	0	8	41	61	3	6	0	250	374	432	805	182	311	23	15	362	136	+11	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.9
2021	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	294	250	56	10	1	7	37	78	1	3	1	224	325	356	681	132	290	27	13	306	92	-3	+0	-6	+1	+8	0.2
2021	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	90	77	14	2	0	3	11	26	1	0	0	182	292	325	617	143	224	29	12	282	74	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2022	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	303	257	52	18	1	6	38	85	6	2	0	202	319	350	669	148	275	28	13	306	92	-3	+0	+4	+1	+9	1.2
2022	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	39	29	8	3	0	0	10	6	0	2	0	276	462	379	841	103	348	15	26	394	159	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	338	289	68	12	0	9	40	88	7	5	2	235	342	370	713	135	304	26	12	325	107	+3	+0	-2	+1	+10	1.2
2024	29	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	224	188	37	5	0	5	24	72	8	2	0	197	311	303	614	106	288	32	11	285	76	-6	+0	-2	+1	+6	-0.0
2024	29	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	68	48	8	1	0	2	17	14	2	2	1	167	403	312	715	146	182	21	25	343	120	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	30	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	83	69	12	2	0	1	11	21	1	1	0	174	296	246	543	72	234	25	13	255	54	-4	+0	+0	-7	+2	-0.9
2025	30	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	296	250	67	14	2	5	36	74	8	4	3	268	378	400	778	132	358	25	12	352	128	+9	-0	—	—	+8	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1937	1627	363	80	4	52	262	528	28	33	3	223	340	373	713	150	295	27	14	323	106	+12	+5	-7	+1	+55	6.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Aaron Hickslast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,651 PA	12	3,651	109	71	231	330	383	+7	-9	11.8	12.4
	/162	664	20	13	231	330	383	+1.3	-1.6	2.1	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,455	88	51	218	331	360	-19	-12	7.4	7.8
	/162	664	17	10	218	331	360	-3.7	-2.3	1.4	pk7: 8
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Ricky Ledeelast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,897 PA	7	1,897	52	21	239	323	404	-8	-6	5.0	5.0
	/162	664	18	7	239	323	404	-2.9	-2.1	1.7	pk7: 5
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#6Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cavan Biggio (OGILVIE)	31	35	35	55	60	211/331/361	150	264	16	11	26%	13%	95	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roger Bernadina 2015 · MLB	31	43→53	43→45	53→60	48	210/295/321	111	283	10	15	28%	9%	74	-0.1	214/287/330	116	314	11	20	33%	8%	72	-0.2	221/290/331	110	319	11	20	32%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Jason Conti 2006 · MLB	31	42→41	45	44→50	40	214/262/337	123	284	13	6	29%	6%	63	-0.8	220/268/333	113	290	12	8	27%	5%	65	-0.7	212/258/286	73	278	7	5	25%	5%	47	-0.6
✕Darren Bragg 2001 · MLB	31	47	46→45	51→50	51	231/305/365	134	288	13	13	24%	10%	89	+1.0	245/316/364	119	323	9	13	25%	9%	93	+1.3	239/311/346	108	305	8	9	23%	9%	83	+0.2
●Mike Ford 2023 · MLB	31	38→48	48→55	47→30	50	200/283/336	136	249	16	3	27%	10%	73	-0.1	228/307/404	176	277	23	4	26%	9%	101	+1.8	225/307/409	184	269	25	2	26%	9%	99	+0.8
✕Webster Rivas 2022 · MLB	31	44	44→45	47→40	47	219/283/331	112	278	12	4	25%	8%	71	-0.3	223/302/320	97	302	8	6	26%	10%	76	+0.1	215/312/283	68	302	2	2	26%	12%	69	-0.2
✕Rico Brogna 2001 · MLB	31	48	44→40	49→45	45	233/286/362	129	282	10	7	21%	6%	80	+0.4	240/296/360	120	293	11	9	21%	7%	83	+0.6	245/296/332	87	302	8	8	21%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Shane Peterson 2019 · MLB	31	44→54	45→50	54→50	38	220/260/348	128	293	13	8	30%	5%	66	-0.6	207/257/333	126	296	13	8	33%	6%	60	-1.0	175/231/301	127	255	12	7	35%	6%	37	-1.3
✕Sherman Johnson 2021 · AAA	31	41→51	43→50	46→50	43	205/265/314	109	283	10	10	30%	7%	59	-1.1	200/286/312	112	286	10	9	31%	9%	68	-0.5	159/268/254	95	233	7	5	32%	11%	44	-1.0
✕Matthew den Dekker 2018 · MLB	30	39→49	45→50	51→55	41	199/254/325	125	267	12	18	30%	6%	57	-1.2	218/260/366	148	304	15	14	32%	5%	70	-0.3	215/249/377	162	301	17	11	34%	4%	65	-0.4
✕Matt Tuiasosopo 2017 · AAA	31	41→50	47→45	47→45	44	206/282/342	135	295	14	4	33%	9%	74	-0.1	203/276/316	113	320	12	5	37%	8%	65	-0.7	177/260/259	82	296	10	1	40%	9%	41	-1.7
✕Jack Hannahan 2011 · MLB	31	42→52	45	47→45	49	210/283/334	124	269	12	4	26%	9%	72	-0.2	232/306/351	119	290	11	4	23%	9%	86	+0.8	237/318/345	108	296	9	1	21%	10%	87	+0.4
✕Brandon Allen 2016 · AAA	30	43→47	48→55	47→50	45	218/277/358	140	274	16	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0	205/267/322	117	261	12	6	25%	7%	62	-0.9	162/235/243	81	200	10	0	24%	8%	27	-1.5
✕Mark Johnson 2007 · MLB	31	43	41→40	46→40	49	209/277/304	95	254	8	6	21%	8%	62	-0.9	239/316/316	77	277	6	5	15%	9%	81	+0.4	261/346/320	58	294	4	1	12%	11%	92	+0.5
✕Chris Parmelee 2019 · AAA	31	40→50	49→55	44→45	46	208/275/352	144	273	17	6	30%	8%	73	-0.1	216/284/401	185	316	25	6	38%	8%	91	+1.1	187/265/386	199	258	31	0	39%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Ricardo Gastelum 2013 · AAA	29	45	45→40	46→40	46	226/279/347	121	265	13	9	20%	6%	73	-0.1	209/264/321	112	289	11	8	30%	5%	60	-1.0	165/217/275	110	231	9	3	32%	4%	25	-0.9
✕Ryan Flaherty 2017 · MLB	31	43→45	46→55	51→45	48	218/290/343	126	277	13	5	26%	9%	78	+0.2	230/305/352	122	296	13	7	25%	9%	85	+0.7	224/293/354	130	292	15	4	27%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Dee Brown 2009 · AAA	31	47→50	46→50	48→45	48	234/290/358	125	267	14	7	19%	7%	81	+0.4	235/297/387	152	267	16	11	18%	8%	92	+1.2	236/302/412	176	260	20	10	18%	8%	98	+1.2
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2023 · MLB	31	41→51	44→50	45→50	46	204/284/315	111	277	12	9	29%	9%	68	-0.5	205/298/309	104	282	9	8	28%	11%	72	-0.2	192/293/284	92	268	7	8	28%	11%	62	-0.7
✕Brad Nelson 2014 · AAA	31	43→48	50	45→50	46	224/283/378	154	269	19	4	25%	7%	84	+0.6	213/264/332	119	258	13	6	22%	6%	63	-0.9	185/232/266	81	219	9	0	20%	5%	32	-1.3
✕David Matranga 2008 · AAA	31	40	46→45	51→50	43	206/273/329	123	265	14	13	28%	7%	67	-0.5	218/294/343	125	294	13	9	29%	8%	79	+0.3	211/297/329	119	288	12	5	29%	9%	75	+0.0